Rethinking the advantage of zero-HLA mismatches in unrelated living donor kidney transplantation: implications on kidney paired donation

Predicting kidney transplant survival using multiple feature representations for HLAs

Kidney transplantation can significantly enhance living standards for people suffering from end-stage renal disease. A significant factor that affects graft survival time (the time until the transplant fails and the patient requires another transplant) for kidney transplantation is the compatibility of the Human Leukocyte Antigens (HLAs) between the donor and recipient. In this paper, we propose 4 new biologically-relevant feature representations for incorporating HLA information into machine learning-based survival analysis algorithms. We evaluate our proposed HLA feature representations on a database of over 100,000 transplants and find that they improve prediction accuracy by about 1%, modest at the patient level but potentially significant at a societal level. Accurate prediction of survival times can improve transplant survival outcomes, enabling better allocation of donors to recipients and reducing the number of re-transplants due to graft failure with poorly matched donors.

Comparative Study of the Impact of Human Leukocyte Antigens on Renal Transplant Survival in Andalusia and the United States

Renal transplantation is the treatment of choice for patients suffering from chronic renal disease, one of the leading causes of death worldwide. Among the biological barriers that may increase the risk of acute renal graft rejection is the presence of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) incompatibilities between donor and recipient. This work presents a comparative study of the influence of HLA incompatibilities on renal transplantation survival in the Andalusian (South of Spain) and United States (US) population. The main objective is to analyse the extent to which results about the influence of different factors on renal graft survival can be generalised to different populations. The Kaplan-Meier estimator and the Cox model have been used to identify and quantify the impact on the survival probability of HLA incompatibilities, both in isolation and in conjunction with other factors associated with the donor and recipient. According to the results obtained, HLA incompatibilities considered in isolation have negligible impact on renal survival in the Andalusian population and a moderate impact in the US population. Grouping by HLA score presents some similarities for both populations, while the sum of all HLA scores (aHLA) only has an impact on the US population. Finally, the graft survival probability of the two populations differs when aHLA is considered in conjunction with blood type. The results suggest that the disparities in the renal graft survival probability between the two populations under study are due not only to biological and transplantation-associated factors, but also to social-health factors and ethnic heterogeneity between populations.

Seeking Standardized Definitions for HLA-incompatible Kidney Transplants: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

There is no standard definition for "HLA incompatible" transplants. For the first time, we systematically assessed how HLA incompatibility was defined in contemporary peer-reviewed publications and its prognostic implication to transplant outcomes.

METHODS

We combined 2 independent searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library from 2015 to 2019. Content-expert reviewers screened for original research on outcomes of HLA-incompatible transplants (defined as allele or molecular mismatch and solid-phase or cell-based assays). We ascertained the completeness of reporting on a predefined set of variables assessing HLA incompatibility, therapies, and outcomes. Given significant heterogeneity, we conducted narrative synthesis and assessed risk of bias in studies examining the association between death-censored graft failure and HLA incompatibility.

RESULTS

Of 6656 screened articles, 163 evaluated transplant outcomes by HLA incompatibility. Most articles reported on cytotoxic/flow T-cell crossmatches (n = 98). Molecular genotypes were reported for selected loci at the allele-group level. Sixteen articles reported on epitope compatibility. Pretransplant donor-specific HLA antibodies were often considered (n = 143); yet there was heterogeneity in sample handling, assay procedure, and incomplete reporting on donor-specific HLA antibodies assignment. Induction (n = 129) and maintenance immunosuppression (n = 140) were frequently mentioned but less so rejection treatment (n = 72) and desensitization (n = 70). Studies assessing death-censored graft failure risk by HLA incompatibility were vulnerable to bias in the participant, predictor, and analysis domains.

CONCLUSIONS

Optimization of transplant outcomes and personalized care depends on accurate HLA compatibility assessment. Reporting on a standard set of variables will help assess generalizability of research, allow knowledge synthesis, and facilitate international collaboration in clinical trials.

Greater Impact of Living Donation Than HLA Mismatching in Short-Term Renal Allograft Survival

INTRODUCTION

Living donor kidney transplantation (LDKT) is accepted as first-line treatment for patients with end-stage kidney disease with advantages over deceased donor kidney transplantation (DDKT). Still, how the known detrimental effect of HLA mismatch (MM) may hamper these advantages remains unsettled. We sought to determine the effect of the degree of HLA MM, separately in deceased and living donor renal allograft outcomes.

METHODS

We evaluated all adults submitted to LDKT and DDKT at our center between 2006 and 2018. Their HLA MM was classified according to the British Society of Transplantation system in low mismatch (LM) (level 1-2) and high mismatch (HM) (level 3-4). Acute rejection (AR) and global or censored graft survival were the outcomes of interest. Recipients were followed up from transplant until death, graft failure or the end of 2020.  Results: One thousand sixty-eight kidney transplant recipients were analyzed, 815 (76%) received a DDKT whereas 253 (24%) received an LDKT. From those submitted to DDKT, 95 (12%) had an LM and 720 (88%) had an HM, whereas in LDKT 32 (13%) had an LM and 221 (87%) had an HM. The AR at one year was 9% in the full cohort. Significant risk factors for AR were HM DDKT (OR:2.3, P=0.047) or HM LDKT (OR:5.6, P=0.003) (LM DDKT as reference), calculated panel-reactive antibody (cPRA) ≥5% (OR:1.9, P=0.040) and delayed graft function (DGF), (OR:3.2, P<0.001). Censored graft survival (CGS) at five years was 96% in the full cohort. Independent predictors for censored graft failure (CGF) were HM LDKT (HR:0.2, P=0.046) (LM DDKT as reference), AR (HR:2.7, P=0.008) and DGF (HR:2.2, P=0.017). Global graft survival (GGS) at five years was 91% in the full cohort. Independent predictors for global graft failure (GGF) were HM LDKT (HR:0.2, P=0.042) (LM DDKT as reference), recipient age (HR:1.8, P<0.001) and DGF (HR:1.8, P=0.006). No AR, CGF or GGF episodes were observed in the LM LDKT group.

CONCLUSIONS

In our cohort, the level of HLA MM increased the risk of AR independently of donor type. Considering short graft survival, our results support the advantage of living donor vs deceased donor even with an increased HLA MM. However, its effect on long-term graft survival remains to be settled, emphasizing the need for further studies on this matter.

Pearls and Pitfalls in Pediatric Kidney Transplantation After 5 Decades

Worldwide, over 1,300 pediatric kidney transplantations are performed every year. Since the first transplantation in 1959, healthcare has evolved dramatically. Pre-emptive transplantations with grafts from living donors have become more common. Despite a subsequent improvement in graft survival, there are still challenges to face. This study attempts to summarize how our understanding of pediatric kidney transplantation has developed and improved since its beginnings, whilst also highlighting those areas where future research should concentrate in order to help resolve as yet unanswered questions. Existing literature was compared to our own data of 411 single-center pediatric kidney transplantations between 1968 and 2020, in order to find discrepancies and allow identification of future challenges. Important issues for future care are innovations in immunosuppressive medication, improving medication adherence, careful donor selection with regard to characteristics of both donor and recipient, improvement of surgical techniques and increased attention for lower urinary tract dysfunction and voiding behavior in all patients.

A Historical Cohort in Kidney Transplantation: 55-Year Follow-Up of 72 HLA-Identical, Donor-Recipient Pairs

The impact of HLA matching on graft survival has been well characterized in renal transplantation, with a higher degree of matching associated with superior graft survival. Additionally, living donor grafts are known to confer superior survival compared to those from deceased donors. The purpose of this study is to report our multi-decade institutional experience and outcomes for patients who received HLA-identical living donor grafts, which represent the most favorable scenario in kidney transplantation. We conducted a retrospective analysis of these graft recipients performed at a Duke University Medical Center between the years of 1965 and 2002. The recipients demonstrated excellent graft and patient survival outcomes, superior to a contemporary cohort, with median patient and graft survival of 24.2 and 30.9 years, respectively, among Duke recipients vs. 16.1 and 16.0 years in a cohort derived from national data. This study offers a broad perspective on the importance of HLA matching and graft type, and demonstrates a historical best-case-scenario in renal transplantation.

A Survival Analysis of Living Donor Kidney Transplant

BACKGROUND

Superior patient and graft survival rates have been attributed to living donor kidney transplant (LDKT) when compared to deceased donor transplantation. The aim of this study was to assess graft survival in a population of LDKT in the last 14 years and the potential impact of some clinical features.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study was conducted, reviewing the records of all patients undergoing LDKT in one center from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2017. Survival data were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier, log rank test, and Cox regression.

RESULTS

Two hundred seventy-seven LDKT were performed. The median follow-up time was 4 (0-13) years. Graft loss was observed in 9% of patients; 4 patients died. The overall survival was 97% at year 1, 94% at year 5, and 83% at years 10 and 13. We found a significantly worse graft survival in patients with early vascular complications that required surgical intervention (P = .00) ≥3 HLA MM (P = .01), ≥1 HLA-DR MM (P = .04) and female recipients (P = .01). The negative impact of ≥1 HLA-B MM on survival was borderline (P = .05). After excluding early graft losses secondary to vascular events, ≥1 HLA-A MM and rejection have also implicated a negative impact on survival (P = .04 and .01, respectively). In the multivariate analysis, these variables were still related to inferior survival.

CONCLUSIONS

We observed a good overall graft survival (>80% after 13 years). Possible factors related to poor outcomes suggested by this study were early vascular complications; HLA mismatches; rejection; and, with less certainty, female recipients.

A Kidney Graft Survival Calculator that Accounts for Mismatches in Age, Sex, HLA, and Body Size

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Outcomes for transplants from living unrelated donors are of particular interest in kidney paired donation (KPD) programs where exchanges can be arranged between incompatible donor-recipient pairs or chains created from nondirected/altruistic donors.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

Using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data, we analyzed 232,705 recipients of kidney-alone transplants from 1998 to 2012. Graft failure rates were estimated using Cox models for recipients of kidney transplants from living unrelated, living related, and deceased donors. Models were adjusted for year of transplant and donor and recipient characteristics, with particular attention to mismatches in age, sex, human leukocyte antigens (HLA), body size, and weight.

RESULTS

The dependence of graft failure on increasing donor age was less pronounced for living-donor than for deceased-donor transplants. Male donor-to-male recipient transplants had lower graft failure, particularly better than female to male (5%-13% lower risk). HLA mismatch was important in all donor types. Obesity of both the recipient (8%-18% higher risk) and donor (5%-11% higher risk) was associated with higher graft loss, as were donor-recipient weight ratios of <75%, compared with transplants where both parties were of similar weight (9%-12% higher risk). These models are used to create a calculator of estimated graft survival for living donors.

CONCLUSIONS

This calculator provides useful information to donors, candidates, and physicians of estimated outcomes and potentially in allowing candidates to choose among several living donors. It may also help inform candidates with compatible donors on the advisability of joining a KPD program.

The Risk of Transplant Failure With HLA Mismatch in First Adult Kidney Allografts 2: Living Donors, Summary, Guide

Background

Allografts from living donors survive longer than those from deceased donors but the role of HLA mismatching in living kidney donation is still in question. We examined the effect of HLA compatibility on kidney allograft survival from living donors by studying all first adult kidney transplants performed in the United States over 25 years.

Methods

Using the United Network for Organ Sharing data, we identified first kidney transplants between October 1, 1987, and December 31, 2013. Recipients were classified by their number of HLA mismatches and stratified by donor origin. Cox multivariate regression analyses adjusting for recipient and donor transplant characteristics were performed to determine impact of HLA compatibility on kidney allograft survival for all living donors and for living related and living unrelated subsets.

Results

There were 66 596 first adult transplants from living donors with 348 960 years of follow-up. We found a linear relationship between HLA mismatch and allograft survival. In adjusted analyses, among all living donors, 1 mismatch conferred a 44% higher risk, whereas 6 mismatches conferred a twofold higher risk of allograft failure. When using 0-mismatched full siblings as a reference, living-donor kidneys reduce the hazard of failure by approximately 34% when compared with deceased donors. Twenty-five years of transplant experience, stratified by donor source, was summarized and presented as a guide for allocation.

Conclusions

These data reinforce the importance of optimizing HLA matching to further improve survival in first adult kidney allografts in the future, especially in living unrelated donations, when possible.