Using pharmacokinetic and viral kinetic modeling to estimate the antiviral effectiveness of telaprevir, boceprevir, and pegylated interferon during triple therapy in treatment-experienced hepatitis C virus-infected cirrhotic patients

Viral kinetics analysis and virological characterization of treatment failures in patients with chronic hepatitis C treated with sofosbuvir and an NS5A inhibitor

BACKGROUND

The combination of sofosbuvir (SOF) plus an NS5A inhibitor for 12 weeks is highly efficacious in patients with chronic hepatitis C. As the costs of generic production of sofosbuvir and NS5A inhibitor are rapidly decreasing, the combination of these DAAs will be the standard treatment in most low- to middle-income countries in the future.

AIM

To identify key predictors of response that can be used to tailor treatment decisions.

METHODS

A cohort of 216 consecutive patients infected with HCV genotype 1 (1a: n = 57; 1b: n = 77), 2 (n = 4), 3 (n = 33) or 4 (n = 44) were treated with sofosbuvir (SOF) + daclatasvir (n = 176) or SOF + ledipasvir (n = 40) for 12 weeks. The viral kinetics was analysed using the biphasic model and the cure boundary was used to predict time to clear HCV.

RESULTS

The overall SVR rate was high (94.4%; n = 204), regardless of the time to viral suppression or low-level viraemia at the end of treatment. The model-based predicted HCV RNA levels at the end of treatment could not differentiate patients who did from those who did not achieve SVR. The presence of NS5A resistance-associated substitutions [position 28 (OR = 70.3, P<.001) and/or 31 (OR = 61.6, P = .002)] at baseline was predictive of virological failure in cirrhotic patients but was not associated with on-treatment viral kinetics.

CONCLUSION

This real-world study confirms the excellent results of clinical trials with therapies based on a combination of SOF plus an NS5A inhibitor. It suggests that a personalized approach including baseline NS5A inhibitor resistance testing may inform treatment decisions in cirrhotic patients.

Short article: Viral dynamics among hepatitis C virus chronic infected patients during direct-acting antiviral agents therapy: impact for monitoring and optimizing treatment duration

OBJECTIVES

Direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) have provided an ultimate treatment duration of 12 weeks for most hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients. The opportunity to reduce treatment duration to 6 or 8 weeks is being evaluated. Here, the HCV viral dynamics at short times during HCV therapies and its implications for monitoring and optimizing treatment duration have been assessed.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

HCV chronic infected patients who began HCV therapy (March 2014 to June 2015) at a reference hospital of the Northwest of Spain were selected. HCV-RNA was quantified at different short time points during HCV therapy using Abbott RealTime HCV assay. Epidemiological, clinical, and virological data were recorded.

RESULTS

Eleven HCV-infected patients were included; 90.9% had cirrhosis (>12.5 kPa) and 72.7% were treatment-experienced. HCV genotype 1b was the most prevalent (72.7%). All of the combinations were pegylated interferon-free and all included ribavirin. The median HCV-RNA (log IU/ml) at baseline was 5.8 (5.4-6.1); the decline between baseline and day 3, weeks 4, 8, and 12 was 3.2, 4.8, 5.1, and 5.6, respectively. Fewer than 50% of patients achieved undetectable viral load at weeks 4 and 8; however, all patients achieved a sustained virologic response at 12 weeks.

CONCLUSION

Rapid and high HCV-RNA decline was observed among HCV-infected patients under DAA-based regimens, especially for those without cirrhosis. Despite low rates of patients with undetectable HCV-RNA at weeks 4 and 8, all achieved a sustained virologic response at 12 weeks. These findings suggest that the time points to monitor HCV-RNA during DAA therapies and the treatment duration need to be optimized.

Improvement of ALT decay kinetics by all-oral HCV treatment: Role of NS5A inhibitors and differences with IFN-based regimens

BACKGROUND

Intracellular HCV-RNA reduction is a proposed mechanism of action of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), alternative to hepatocytes elimination by pegylated-interferon plus ribavirin (PR). We modeled ALT and HCV-RNA kinetics in cirrhotic patients treated with currently-used all-DAA combinations to evaluate their mode of action and cytotoxicity compared with telaprevir (TVR)+PR.

STUDY DESIGN

Mathematical modeling of ALT and HCV-RNA kinetics was performed in 111 HCV-1 cirrhotic patients, 81 treated with all-DAA regimens and 30 with TVR+PR. Kinetic-models and Cox-analysis were used to assess determinants of ALT-decay and normalization.

RESULTS

HCV-RNA kinetics was biphasic, reflecting a mean effectiveness in blocking viral production >99.8%. The first-phase of viral-decline was faster in patients receiving NS5A-inhibitors compared to TVR+PR or sofosbuvir+simeprevir (p<0.001), reflecting higher efficacy in blocking assembly/secretion. The second-phase, noted δ and attributed to infected-cell loss, was faster in patients receiving TVR+PR or sofosbuvir+simeprevir compared to NS5A-inhibitors (0.27 vs 0.21 d-1, respectively, p = 0.0012). In contrast the rate of ALT-normalization, noted λ, was slower in patients receiving TVR+PR or sofosbuvir+simeprevir compared to NS5A-inhibitors (0.17 vs 0.27 d-1, respectively, p<0.001). There was no significant association between the second-phase of viral-decline and ALT normalization rate and, for a given level of viral reduction, ALT-normalization was more profound in patients receiving DAA, and NS5A in particular, than TVR+PR.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data support a process of HCV-clearance by all-DAA regimens potentiated by NS5A-inhibitor, and less relying upon hepatocyte death than IFN-containing regimens. This may underline a process of "cell-cure" by DAAs, leading to a fast improvement of liver homeostasis.

Modelling hepatitis C therapy--predicting effects of treatment

Mathematically modelling changes in HCV RNA levels measured in patients who receive antiviral therapy has yielded many insights into the pathogenesis and effects of treatment on the virus. By determining how rapidly HCV is cleared when viral replication is interrupted by a therapy, one can deduce how rapidly the virus is produced in patients before treatment. This knowledge, coupled with estimates of the HCV mutation rate, enables one to estimate the frequency with which drug resistant variants arise. Modelling HCV also permits the deduction of the effectiveness of an antiviral agent at blocking HCV replication from the magnitude of the initial viral decline. One can also estimate the lifespan of an HCV-infected cell from the slope of the subsequent viral decline and determine the duration of therapy needed to cure infection. The original understanding of HCV RNA decline under interferon-based therapies obtained by modelling needed to be revised in order to interpret the HCV RNA decline kinetics seen when using direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs). There also exist unresolved issues involving understanding therapies with combinations of DAAs, such as the presence of detectable HCV RNA at the end of therapy in patients who nonetheless have a sustained virologic response.

HCV Kinetic Models and Their Implications in Drug Development

Chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) affects about 170 million people worldwide and is a major cause of liver complications. Mathematical modeling of viral kinetics under treatment has provided insight into the viral life cycle, treatment effectiveness, and drugs' mechanisms of action. Here we review the implications of viral kinetic models at the different stages of development of anti-HCV agents.

A Model-Based Illustrative Exploratory Approach to Optimize the Dosing of Peg-IFN/RBV in Cirrhotic Hepatitis C Patients Treated With Triple Therapy

Hézode et al. recently reported the frequent occurrence of anemia and thrombocytopenia in the ANRS-CO20-CUPIC cohort of hepatitis C virus (HCV) cirrhotic experienced patients treated with pegylated-interferon (Peg-IFN), ribavirin (RBV), and telaprevir or boceprevir.1,2 Using frequent measurements of serum drug concentrations, hemoglobin, and platelet concentrations obtained in 15 patients of this cohort, we show how an on-treatment model-based approach could be used to individualize dose regimen and avoid the occurrence of RBV-induced anemia and Peg-IFN-induced thrombocytopenia.

A pharmacokinetic-viral kinetic model describes the effect of alisporivir as monotherapy or in combination with peg-IFN on hepatitis C virologic response

Alisporivir is a cyclophilin inhibitor with demonstrated in vitro and in vivo activity against hepatitis C virus (HCV). We estimated the antiviral effectiveness of alisporivir alone or in combination with pegylated interferon (peg-IFN) in 88 patients infected with different HCV genotypes treated for 4 weeks. The pharmacokinetics of the two drugs were modeled and used as driving functions for the viral kinetic model. Genotype was found to significantly affect peg-IFN effectiveness (ɛ = 86.3 and 99.1% for genotypes 1/4 and genotypes 2/3, respectively, P < 10(-7)) and the loss rate of infected cells (δ = 0.22 vs. 0.39 per day in genotype 1/4 and genotype 2/3 patients, respectively, P < 10(-6)). Alisporivir effectiveness was not significantly different across genotypes and was high for doses ≥600 mg q.d. We simulated virologic responses with other alisporivir dosing regimens in HCV genotype 2/3 patients using the model. Our predictions consistently matched the observed responses, demonstrating that this model could be a useful tool for anticipating virologic response and optimizing alisporivir-based therapies.