THE 1927 EPIDEMIC OF DENGUE IN EGYPT

High Seroprevalence of Dengue Virus Infection in Sudan: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

The goal of this study was to systematically review the published data on dengue virus (DENV) seroprevalence in Sudan and to estimate disease burden through meta-analysis. We searched, reviewed, and extracted online available reports on DENV in Sudan. Among 168 identified records, 19 were selected. Dengue infections were documented in 11/18 states. The overall seroprevalence of DENV in Sudan was estimated to be 27%, while the prevalence of dengue IgM was 22% and IgG was 38%. The prevalence of dengue estimated from community and hospital-based cross-sectional studies were 26% and 30% respectively. Additionally, one cohort study and a single PCR-based study reported a prevalence of 1% and 4%, respectively. Regional analysis revealed that the variation in seroprevalence in East, North, West, and Central Sudan was 23%, 24%, 36% and 43%, respectively. Interestingly, we found that DENV is circulating countrywide with a significant spatiotemporal variation in the disease seroprevalence. Furthermore, publications on dengue prevalence are temporally and geographically fragmented, perhaps due to limited resources. However, this gap in data and knowledge highlights the urgent need for a country-wide surveillance system and continued study of dengue burden in Sudan to accurately estimate the disease prevalence and determine the associated risk factors.

A travel medicine view of dengue and dengue hemorrhagic fever

Dengue fever is the most prevalent arboviral infection worldwide, with up to 40% of the world population living in endemic regions. Among travelers to tropical countries, dengue infection is increasingly reported, and it is now a leading cause of post-travel fever. Outbreaks of dengue-like illness were already described since the 18th century, but it is only in the last half century that a severe form of the disease - dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) has been described. Although the cause of DHF is not established, the prevailing theory attributes the disease to antibody-dependent enhancement of viral replication, in the presence of a secondary dengue infection. Comparative studies of primary vs. secondary infection are difficult to perform in endemic countries because of the rarity of primary infection except during early infancy. Travelers on the other hand are usually diagnosed with primary infection and are therefore a better study population. Data on dengue and DHF among travelers appears to suggest that severe dengue and DHF occur in similar rates among cases with primary and with secondary infections. Epidemiological and physiological data from travelers suggest that the prevailing theory on the causes of DHF needs to be reconsidered.

The history and evolution of human dengue emergence

Dengue viruses (DENV) are the most important human arboviral pathogens. Transmission in tropical and subtropical regions of the world includes a sylvatic, enzootic cycle between nonhuman primates and arboreal mosquitoes of the genus Aedes, and an urban, endemic/epidemic cycle principally between Aedes aegypti, a mosquito that exploits peridomestic water containers as its larval habitats, and human reservoir hosts that are preferred for blood feeding. Genetic studies suggest that all four serotypes of endemic/epidemic DENV evolved independently from ancestral, sylvatic viruses and subsequently became both ecologically and evolutionarily distinct. The independent evolution of these four serotypes was accompanied by the expansion of the sylvatic progenitors' host range in Asia to new vectors and hosts, which probably occurred gradually over a period of several hundred years. Although many emerging viral pathogens adapt to human replication and transmission, the available evidence indicates that adaptation to humans is probably not a necessary component of sylvatic DENV emergence. These findings imply that the sylvatic DENV cycles in Asia and West Africa will remain a potential source of re-emergence. Sustained urban vector control programs and/or human vaccination will be required to control DEN because the enzootic vectors and primate reservoir hosts are not amenable to interventions.