van den Berg DMN, van den Puttelaar R, de Jonge L, Lansdorp-Vogelaar I, Toes-Zoutendijk E. Fecal Hemoglobin Levels in Prior Negative Screening and Detection of Colorectal Neoplasia: A Dose-Response Meta-Analysis.
Gastroenterology 2025;
168:587-597. [PMID:
39612955 DOI:
10.1053/j.gastro.2024.10.047]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/01/2024] [Revised: 10/14/2024] [Accepted: 10/29/2024] [Indexed: 12/01/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS
Prior studies have shown that individuals with fecal hemoglobin (f-Hb) concentrations just below the positivity cutoff have an increased colorectal cancer risk compared with those with no or low f-Hb. Understanding the dose-response association between f-Hb in a prior screening round and the detection of colorectal neoplasia is crucial for tailoring risk-based screening recommendations.
METHODS
We searched the literature to identify studies reporting the association between f-Hb in prior screening round and colorectal neoplasia detection in an average-risk population. Analysis involved a 2-stage approach using log-log regression models to assess dose-response relationships across studies, with effect sizes pooled using a random effects model. Heterogeneity was assessed by excluding individual studies in sensitivity analyses. Subgroup analyses examined variations in effects by outcome definitions and detection methods.
RESULTS
This systematic review and meta-analysis included 13 studies with 4,493,672 individuals. All studies demonstrated a positive association between f-Hb in prior screenings and colorectal neoplasia detection. Pooled analysis revealed that individuals with f-Hb concentrations of 5, 10, 20, and 40 μg/g had a 3-, 5-, 8-, and 13-fold higher risk of colorectal neoplasia, respectively, compared with individuals with 0 μg/g. Although significant heterogeneity (I2 = 97.5%, P < .001) was observed, sensitivity analyses confirmed the consistency of findings. Subgroup analyses indicated that f-Hb concentrations from previous negative tests were especially predictive of advanced neoplasia in subsequent screenings.
CONCLUSIONS
Our findings suggest that the risk of detecting colorectal neoplasia increases with prior f-Hb concentrations in negative tests, supporting the development of risk-stratified screening strategies based on these concentrations.
Collapse