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Karthikeyan Suseeladevi A, Denholm R, Babu-Narayan SV, Sinha S, Stoica S, Dong T, Angelini GD, Sudlow CLM, Walker V, Brown K, Caputo M, Lawlor DA. Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on rates of congenital heart disease procedures among children: prospective cohort analyses of 26 270 procedures in 17 860 children using CVD-COVID-UK consortium record linkage data. Open Heart 2025; 12:e003054. [PMID: 40132895 PMCID: PMC11938256 DOI: 10.1136/openhrt-2024-003054] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/08/2024] [Accepted: 03/10/2025] [Indexed: 03/27/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The COVID-19 pandemic necessitated major reallocation of healthcare services. Our aim was to assess the impact on paediatric congenital heart disease (CHD) procedures during different pandemic periods compared with the prepandemic period, to inform appropriate responses to future major health services disruptions. METHODS AND RESULTS We analysed 26 270 procedures from 17 860 children between 1 January 2018 and 31 March 2022 in England, linking them to primary/secondary care data. The study period included prepandemic and pandemic phases, with the latter including three restriction periods and corresponding relaxation periods. We compared procedure characteristics and outcomes between each pandemic period and the prepandemic period. There was a reduction in all procedures across all pandemic periods, with the largest reductions during the first, most severe restriction period (23 March 2020 to 23 June 2020), and the relaxation period following second restrictions (3 December 2020 to 4 January 2021) coinciding with winter pressures. During the first restrictions, median procedures per week dropped by 51 compared with the prepandemic period (80 vs 131 per week, p=4.98×10-08). Elective procedures drove these reductions, falling from 96 to 44 per week (p=1.89×10-06), while urgent (28 vs 27 per week, p=0.649) and life-saving/emergency procedures (7 vs 6 per week, p=0.198) remained unchanged. Cardiac surgery rates increased, and catheter-based procedure rates reduced during the pandemic. Procedures for children under 1 year were prioritised, especially during the first four pandemic periods. No evidence was found for differences in postprocedure complications (age-adjusted OR 1.1 (95% CI 0.9, 1.4)) or postprocedure mortality (age and case mix adjusted OR 0.9 (95% CI 0.6, 1.3)). CONCLUSIONS Prioritisation of urgent, emergency and life-saving procedures during the pandemic, particularly in infants, did not impact paediatric CHD postprocedure complications or mortality. This information is valuable for future major health services disruptions, though longer-term follow-up of the effects of delaying elective surgery is needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arun Karthikeyan Suseeladevi
- Population Health Science, University of Bristol Medical School, Bristol, UK
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol Faculty of Health Sciences, Bristol, UK
- NIHR Bristol Biomedical Research Centre, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Rachel Denholm
- Population Health Science, University of Bristol Medical School, Bristol, UK
- NIHR Bristol Biomedical Research Centre, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
- Health Data Research UK South West, Bristol, UK
| | - Sonya V Babu-Narayan
- British Heart Foundation, Health Data Research UK, London, UK
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College, London, UK
| | - Shubhra Sinha
- Translational Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Serban Stoica
- Translational Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Tim Dong
- Translational Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | | | | | - Venexia Walker
- Population Health Science, University of Bristol Medical School, Bristol, UK
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol Faculty of Health Sciences, Bristol, UK
- Department of Surgery, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Kate Brown
- Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children NHS Trust, London, UK
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, UK
| | - Massimo Caputo
- Translational Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Debbie A Lawlor
- Population Health Science, University of Bristol Medical School, Bristol, UK
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol Faculty of Health Sciences, Bristol, UK
- NIHR Bristol Biomedical Research Centre, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
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Huang Q, Lawlor DA, Nolan J, Espuny-Pujol F, Caputo M, Pagel C, Crowe S, Franklin RC, Brown KL. Peripandemic outcomes of infants treated for sentinel congenital heart diseases in England and Wales. Open Heart 2025; 12:e002964. [PMID: 39961700 PMCID: PMC11836792 DOI: 10.1136/openhrt-2024-002964] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2024] [Accepted: 01/06/2025] [Indexed: 02/21/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Infants with congenital heart disease (CHD) are clinically vulnerable to cardiac deteriorations and intercurrent infections. We aimed to quantify the impact of health system disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, on their clinical outcomes and whether these differed by socioeconomic and ethnic subgroups. METHODS In this population-based cohort study, we used linked electronic healthcare datasets from England and Wales to identify infants with nine sentinel CHDs born and undergoing intervention in 2018-2022. The outcomes of cardiac intervention timing, infant mortality and hospital care utilisation, were described by birth eras, and risk factors were explored using multivariable regression. RESULTS Of 4900 included infants, 1545 (31.5%) were born prepandemic (reference), 1175 (24.0%) in the transition period, 1375 (28.0%) during restrictions and 810 (16.5%) postrestrictions. The casemix was hypoplastic left heart syndrome (195; 3.9%), functionally univentricular heart (180; 3.7%), transposition (610; 13.5%), pulmonary atresia (290; 5.9%), atrioventricular septal defect (590; 12.1%), tetralogy of Fallot (820; 16.7%), aortic stenosis (225; 4.6%), coarctation (740; 15.1%) and ventricular septal defect (1200; 24.5%).Compared with prepandemic, there was no evidence for delay in treatment procedures in transition, restrictions or postrestrictions eras. Infant mortality increased for those born in the transition period, adjusted OR 1.60 (95% CI 1.06, 2.42) p=0.01, but not in restrictions or postrestrictions. The days spent at home were similar with birth in transition and restrictions, but fewer for postrestrictions, adjusted days difference -2 (95% CI -4, 0), p=0.05.Outcomes did not vary by pandemic birth era according to social characteristics. There was higher infant mortality in the deprived versus non-deprived binary category (adjusted OR 1.56 (95% CI 1.11, 2.18), p=0.004) and there were fewer days spent at home for the most versus least deprived neighbourhood quintile (adjusted difference -4 (95% CI -6, -2), p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS Specialist care for infants with CHD during the pandemic, in terms of pathway procedure timing and healthcare contacts, was not compromised. Increased healthcare utilisation postpandemic and heath inequality based on socioeconomic status require further evaluation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qi Huang
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, Department of Mathematics, University College London, London, UK
| | - Deborah A Lawlor
- Population Health Science,Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
- Medical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - John Nolan
- British Heart Foundation Data Science Centre, Health Data Research UK, London, UK
| | | | - Massimo Caputo
- Cardiac Surgery, Translational Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Christina Pagel
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, Department of Mathematics, University College London, London, UK
| | - Sonya Crowe
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, Department of Mathematics, University College London, London, UK
| | - Rodney Cg Franklin
- Paediatric Cardiology, Royal Brompton & Harefield NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Kate L Brown
- Cardiorespiratory, NIHR Great Ormond Street Hospital Biomedical Research Centre, London, UK
- Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London , London, UK
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English KM, Espuny-Pujol F, Franklin RC, Crowe S, Pagel C. Secundum atrial septal defect closure in adults in the UK. EUROPEAN HEART JOURNAL. QUALITY OF CARE & CLINICAL OUTCOMES 2025; 11:78-88. [PMID: 38479784 PMCID: PMC11736148 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcae019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2023] [Revised: 02/02/2024] [Accepted: 03/12/2024] [Indexed: 01/18/2025]
Abstract
AIMS To examine determinants of access to treatment, outcomes, and hospital utilization in patients undergoing secundum atrial septal defect (ASD) closure in adulthood in England and Wales. METHODS AND RESULTS Large retrospective cohort study of all adult patients undergoing secundum ASD closures in England and Wales between 2000/01 and 2016/17. Data were from population-based official data sets covering congenital heart disease procedures, hospital episodes, and death registries. Out of 6541 index closures, 79.4% were transcatheter [median age 47 years, interquartile range (IQR) 34-61] and 20.6% were surgical (40 years, 28-52). The study cohort was predominantly female (66%), with socioethnic profile similar to the general population. Mortality in hospital was 0.2% and at 1 year 1.0% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.8-1.2%]. Risk of death was lower for transcatheter repairs, adjusting for age, sex, year of procedure, comorbidities, and cardiac risk factors [in-hospital adjusted odds ratio 0.09, 95% CI 0.02-0.46; 1-year adjusted hazard ratio 0.5, 95% CI 0.3-0.9]. There was excess mortality 1 year after ASD closure compared with matched population data. Median (IQR) peri-procedural length of stay was 1.8 (1.4-2.5) and 7.3 (6.2-9.2) days for transcatheter and surgical closures, respectively. Hospital resource use for cardiac reasons started the year before repair (median two inpatient and two outpatient-only days) and decreased post-repair (zero inpatient and one outpatient days during the first 2 years). CONCLUSION This national study confirms that ASD closure in adults, by surgical or transcatheter methods, is provided independently of ethnic or socioeconomic differences, it is low (but not no) risk, and appears to reduce future cardiac hospitalization even in older ages.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kate M English
- Department of Congenital Cardiology, Leeds General Infirmary, Great George Street, LS1 3EX, Leeds, UK
| | - Ferran Espuny-Pujol
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, University College London, 3rd Floor, 4 Taviton Street, WC1H 0BT, London, UK
| | - Rodney C Franklin
- Royal Brompton Hospital, Sydney Street, Chelsea, SW3 6NP, London, UK
| | - Sonya Crowe
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, University College London, 3rd Floor, 4 Taviton Street, WC1H 0BT, London, UK
| | - Christina Pagel
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, University College London, 3rd Floor, 4 Taviton Street, WC1H 0BT, London, UK
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Bruns N, Dohna-Schwake C, Olivieri M, Urschitz MS, Blomenkamp S, Frosch C, Lieftüchter V, Tomidis Chatzimanouil MK, Hoffmann F, Brenner S. Pediatric intensive care unit admissions network-rationale, framework and method of operation of a nationwide collaborative pediatric intensive care research network in Germany. Front Pediatr 2024; 11:1254935. [PMID: 38269291 PMCID: PMC10806156 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2023.1254935] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2023] [Accepted: 12/22/2023] [Indexed: 01/26/2024] Open
Abstract
The Pediatric Intensive Care Unit Admissions (PIA) network aims to establish a nationwide database in Germany to gather epidemiological, clinical, and outcome data on pediatric critical illness. The heterogeneity of pediatric patients in intensive care units (PICU) poses challenges in obtaining sufficient case numbers for reliable research. Multicentered approaches, such as patient registries, have proven effective in collecting large-scale data. However, Germany lacks a systematic registration system for pediatric intensive care admissions, hindering epidemiological and outcome assessments. The PIA network intends to address these gaps and provide a framework for clinical and epidemiological research in pediatric intensive care. The network will interconnect PICUs across Germany and collect structured data on diagnoses, treatment, clinical course, and short-term outcomes. It aims to identify areas for improvement in care, enable disease surveillance, and potentially serve as a quality control tool. The PIA network builds upon the existing infrastructure of the German Pediatric Surveillance Unit ESPED and utilizes digitalized data collection techniques. Participating units will complete surveys on their organizational structure and equipment. The study population includes patients aged ≥28 days admitted to participating PICUs, with a more detailed survey for cases meeting specific criteria. Data will be collected by local PIA investigators, anonymized, and entered into a central database. The data protection protocol complies with regulations and ensures patient privacy. Quarterly data checks and customized quality reports will be conducted to monitor data completeness and plausibility. The network will evaluate its performance, data collection feasibility, and data quality. Eligible investigators can submit proposals for data analyses, which will be reviewed and analyzed by trained statisticians or epidemiologists. The PIA network aims to improve pediatric intensive care medicine in Germany by providing a comprehensive understanding of critical illness, benchmarking treatment quality, and enabling disease surveillance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nora Bruns
- Department of Pediatrics I, Neonatology, Pediatric Intensive Care Medicine, and Pediatric Neurology, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
- TNBS, Centre for Translational Neuro- and Behavioural Sciences, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Christian Dohna-Schwake
- Department of Pediatrics I, Neonatology, Pediatric Intensive Care Medicine, and Pediatric Neurology, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
- TNBS, Centre for Translational Neuro- and Behavioural Sciences, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Martin Olivieri
- Pediatric Intensive Care Unit, Dr. von Hauner Childreńs Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Michael S. Urschitz
- Division of Pediatric Epidemiology, Institute of Medical Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University Medical Centre of the Johannes Gutenberg-University, Mainz, Germany
| | - Susanne Blomenkamp
- Division of Pediatric Epidemiology, Institute of Medical Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University Medical Centre of the Johannes Gutenberg-University, Mainz, Germany
| | - Clara Frosch
- Department of Pediatrics I, Neonatology, Pediatric Intensive Care Medicine, and Pediatric Neurology, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
- TNBS, Centre for Translational Neuro- and Behavioural Sciences, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Victoria Lieftüchter
- Pediatric Intensive Care Unit, Dr. von Hauner Childreńs Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Markos K. Tomidis Chatzimanouil
- Pediatric Intensive Care Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University Clinic Carl Gustav Carus, TU Dresden, Dresden, Germany
| | - Florian Hoffmann
- Pediatric Intensive Care Unit, Dr. von Hauner Childreńs Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Sebastian Brenner
- Pediatric Intensive Care Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University Clinic Carl Gustav Carus, TU Dresden, Dresden, Germany
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Dorobantu DM, Espuny Pujol F, Kostolny M, Brown KL, Franklin RC, Crowe S, Pagel C, Stoica SC. Arterial Switch for Transposition of the Great Arteries: Treatment Timing, Late Outcomes, and Risk Factors. JACC. ADVANCES 2023; 2:100407. [PMID: 38939004 PMCID: PMC11198700 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacadv.2023.100407] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2023] [Revised: 03/23/2023] [Accepted: 04/06/2023] [Indexed: 06/29/2024]
Abstract
Background Reports of long-term mortality and reintervention after transposition of the great arteries with intact ventricular septum treatment, although favorable, are mostly limited to single-center studies. Even less is known about hospital resource utilization (days at hospital) and the impact of treatment choices and timing on outcomes. Objectives The purpose of this study was to describe survival, reintervention and hospital resource utilization after arterial switch operation (ASO) in a national dataset. Methods Follow-up and life status data for all patients undergoing ASO between 2000 and 2017 in England and Wales were collected and explored using multivariable regressions and matching. Results A total of 1,772 patients were identified, with median ASO age of 9.5 days (IQR: 6.5-14.5 days). Mortality and cardiac reintervention at 10 years after ASO were 3.2% (95% CI: 2.5%-4.2%) and 10.7% (95% CI: 9.1%-12.2%), respectively. The median time spent in hospital during the ASO spell was 19 days (IQR: 14, 24). Over the first year after the ASO patients spent 7 days (IQR: 4-10 days) in hospital in total, decreasing to 1 outpatient day/year beyond the fifth year. In a subgroup with complete risk factor data (n = 652), ASO age, and balloon atrial septostomy (BAS) use were not associated with late mortality and reintervention, but cardiac or congenital comorbidities, low weight, and circulatory/renal support at ASO were. After matching for patient characteristics, BAS followed by ASO and ASO as first procedure, performed within the first 3 weeks of life, had comparable early and late outcomes, including hospital resource utilization. Conclusions Mortality and hospital resource utilization are low, while reintervention remains relatively frequent. Early ASO and individualized use of BAS allows for flexibility in treatment choices and a focus on at-risk patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dan-Mihai Dorobantu
- Children's Health and Exercise Research Centre (CHERC), University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
- Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
- Cardiology Department, University Hospitals Bristol and Weston National Health Service Foundation Trust, Bristol, United Kingdom
| | - Ferran Espuny Pujol
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, Department of Mathematics, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Martin Kostolny
- Heart and Lung Division, Great Ormond Street Hospital NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, London, United Kingdom
| | - Katherine L. Brown
- Heart and Lung Division, Great Ormond Street Hospital NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, London, United Kingdom
| | - Rodney C. Franklin
- Department of Paediatric Cardiology, Royal Brompton and Harefield National Health Service Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom
| | - Sonya Crowe
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, Department of Mathematics, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Christina Pagel
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, Department of Mathematics, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Serban C. Stoica
- Cardiology Department, University Hospitals Bristol and Weston National Health Service Foundation Trust, Bristol, United Kingdom
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Dorobantu DM, Huang Q, Espuny Pujol F, Brown KL, Franklin RC, Pufulete M, Lawlor DA, Crowe S, Pagel C, Stoica SC. Hospital resource utilization in a national cohort of functionally single ventricle patients undergoing surgical treatment. JTCVS OPEN 2023; 14:441-461. [PMID: 37425480 PMCID: PMC10329026 DOI: 10.1016/j.xjon.2023.03.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/27/2022] [Revised: 02/22/2023] [Accepted: 03/27/2023] [Indexed: 07/11/2023]
Abstract
Objective The study objective was to provide a detailed overview of health resource use from birth to 18 years old for patients with functionally single ventricles and identify associated risk factors. Methods All patients with functionally single ventricles treated between 2000 and 2017 in England and Wales were linked to hospital and outpatient records using data from the Linking AUdit and National datasets in Congenital HEart Services project. Hospital stay was described in yearly age intervals, and associated risk factors were explored using quantile regression. Results A total of 3037 patients with functionally single ventricles were included, 1409 (46.3%) undergoing a Fontan procedure. During the first year of life, the median days spent in hospital was 60 (interquartile range, 37-102), mostly inpatient days, mirroring a mortality of 22.8%. This decreases to between 2 and 9 in-hospital days/year afterward. Between 2 and 18 years, most hospital days were outpatient, with a median of 1 to 5 days/year. Lower age at the first procedure, hypoplastic left heart syndrome/mitral atresia, unbalanced atrioventricular septal defect, preterm birth, congenital/acquired comorbidities, additional cardiac risk factors, and severity of illness markers were associated with fewer days at home and more intensive care unit days in the first year of life. Only markers of early severe illness were associated with fewer days at home in the first 6 months after the Fontan procedure. Conclusions Hospital resource use in functionally single ventricle cases is not uniform, decreasing 10-fold during adolescence compared with the first year of life. There are subsets of patients with worse outcomes during their first year of life or with persistently high hospital use throughout their childhood, which could be the target of future research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dan-Mihai Dorobantu
- Children's Health and Exercise Research Centre, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
- Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
- University Hospitals Bristol and Weston National Health Service Foundation Trust, Bristol, United Kingdom
| | - Qi Huang
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, Department of Mathematics, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Ferran Espuny Pujol
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, Department of Mathematics, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Katherine L. Brown
- Cardiac and Critical Care Division, Great Ormond Street Hospital National Health Service Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom
| | - Rodney C. Franklin
- Department of Paediatric Cardiology, Royal Brompton and Harefield National Health Service Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom
| | - Maria Pufulete
- Bristol Heart Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
| | - Deborah A. Lawlor
- Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
- Medical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
- Bristol National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre, Bristol, United Kingdom
| | - Sonya Crowe
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, Department of Mathematics, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Christina Pagel
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, Department of Mathematics, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Serban C. Stoica
- University Hospitals Bristol and Weston National Health Service Foundation Trust, Bristol, United Kingdom
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Espuny Pujol F, Franklin RC, Crowe S, Brown KL, Swan L, Pagel C, English KM. Transfer of congenital heart patients from paediatric to adult services in England. Heart 2022; 108:1964-1971. [PMID: 35794015 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2022-321085] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2022] [Accepted: 06/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study assessed the transfer of patients from paediatric cardiac to adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) services in England and the factors impacting on this process. METHODS This retrospective cohort study used a population-based linked data set (LAUNCHES QI data set: 'Linking Audit and National datasets in Congenital Heart Services for Quality Improvement') including all patients born between 1987 and 2000, recorded as having a congenital heart disease (CHD) procedure in childhood. Hospital Episode Statistics data identified transfer from paediatric to ACHD services between the ages of 16 and 22 years. RESULTS Overall, 63.8% of a cohort of 10 298 patients transferred by their 22nd birthday. The estimated probability of transfer by age 22 was 96.5% (95% CI 95.3 to 97.7), 86.7% (95% CI 85.6 to 87.9) and 41.0% (95% CI 39.4 to 42.6) for severe, moderate and mild CHD, respectively. 166 patients (1.6%) died between 16 and 22 years; 42 of these (0.4%) died after age 16 but prior to transfer. Multivariable ORs in the moderate and severe CHD groups up to age 20 showed significantly lower likelihood of transfer among female patients (0.87, 95% CI 0.78 to 0.97), those with missing ethnicity data (0.31, 95% CI 0.18 to 0.52), those from deprived areas (0.84, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.98) and those with moderate (compared with severe) CHD (0.30, 95% CI 0.26 to 0.35). The odds of transfer were lower for the horizontal compared with the vertical care model (0.44, 95% CI 0.27 to 0.72). Patients who did not transfer had a lower probability of a further National Congenital Heart Disease Audit procedure between ages 20 and 30 compared with those who did transfer: 12.3% (95% CI 5.1 to 19.6) vs 32.5% (95% CI 28.7 to 36.3). CONCLUSIONS Majority of patients with moderate or severe CHD in England transfer to adult services. Patients who do not transfer undergo fewer elective CHD procedures over the following decade.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Rodney C Franklin
- Paediatric Cardiology, Royal Brompton and Harefield NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Sonya Crowe
- Clinical Operational Research Unit, UCL, London, UK
| | - Kate L Brown
- Cardiorespiratory, GOSH, London, UK.,Heart and Lung Division, Great Ormond Street Hospital NIHR Biomedical Research Centre', London, UK
| | - Lorna Swan
- Adult Congenital Heart Disease, Golden Jubilee National Hospital, Glasgow, UK
| | | | - Kate M English
- Department of Congenital Cardiology, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK
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