Socioeconomic position and SARS-CoV-2 infections: seroepidemiological findings from a German nationwide dynamic cohort

Impact of nursing home characteristics on COVID-19 infections among residents and staff

BACKGROUND

Excess mortality occurred in nursing homes during the SARS-CoV pandemic. This study aimed to identify risk factors for COVID-19 infection and mortality in nursing home residents and staff in Hesse, Germany.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of 687 nursing homes was performed. We used t tests and logistic regressions to quantify the role of nursing homes' size, location, staff qualification, and room occupancy as potential risk factors.

RESULTS

The bivariate statistics show that a higher proportion of infected staff and for-profit operations were associated with an increase in infections among residents and staff, while more single rooms and registered nurses showed protective effects. Our model calculations also show that the presence of a higher ratio of registered nurses was a significant protective factor against resident infection (odds ratios [OR]: 0.969, P = .002), resident mortality (OR: 0.973, P = .006), and safeguarded staff (OR: 0.979, P = .034). In contrast, more single rooms (OR: 0.993, P = .029) were protective for residents, while increased risk factors included more beds (OR: 1.006, P = .006 for residents' infections, OR: 1.008, P < .001 for mortality) and infected staff (OR: 2.363, P < .001 for residents' infections). For staff, medium population density (OR: 2.322, P = .016) and infected residents (OR: 1.308, P < .001) were associated with elevated risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Preventing infection outbreaks among residents and staff is crucial to reduce mortality. Strategies include increasing single-occupancy rooms, improving staff qualifications, and targeting facilities with lower registered nurse ratios and single-occupancy rooms for inspection.

Non-standard employment and COVID-19 testing in South Korean workers

OBJECTIVES

SARS-CoV-2 testing has been critical in monitoring and containing the COVID-19 pandemic, but there is a dearth of studies on how individuals' adherence to testing varies according to their working conditions. This study aimed to investigate the association between the type of employment contract and COVID-19 testing among wage workers in South Korea.

STUDY DESIGN

We used a nationally representative sample of employees aged 20-65 years collected from March 24 to 31, 2022. To focus on individual responses when the test was recommended, our sample consisted of 1266 participants who had experienced symptoms of COVID-19 or had been exposed to a confirmed case in the household.

METHODS

We used multivariate logistic regression to estimate the association between the odds of receiving a PCR test and the type of employment contract while controlling for other potential covariates.

RESULTS

The percentage of participants who had a SARS-CoV-2 PCR test was 77.8%. After adjusting for all potential covariates, daily workers (OR = 0.35, 95% CI 0.18 to 0.70, P = 0.003) and part-time workers (OR = 0.58, 95% CI 0.39 to 0.86, P = 0.007) had significantly lower odds of being tested relative to standard workers. Other temporary or atypical workers showed no significant differences from standard workers.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggested that individuals in the most vulnerable job positions, with less job security and working hours, exhibited a decreased inclination to undergo COVID-19 testing. More effective job retention and income support policies are required to improve compliance.

COVID-19 risks in private equity nursing homes in Hesse, Germany - a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Private-equity-owned nursing homes (PENH) represent the strongest form of profit orientation in the nursing care market. Private equity firms aim to increase the profitability of nursing care facilities, which often leads to cost-cutting measures and the use of less qualified staff. Our study aims to fill the existing knowledge gap by examining the association between private equity ownership and COVID-19 related infections and deaths among residents and staff during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

We analyzed outbreak and mortality data for the period from 20/03/2020 to 05/01/2022 from 32 long-term care facilities in the Federal State of Hesse, Germany, which included 16 PENH that were propensity score matched on regional population density and number of beds with 16 non-PENH. We used logistic regression to determine the odds ratios (OR) for above-median values for the independent variables of PENH-status, number of beds, proportion of single rooms, registered nurses' ratio, and copayments.

RESULTS

PENH had substantially fewer outbreaks in number, but longer and larger outbreaks among nursing home residents, as well as a markedly increased proportion of deceased residents. The odds of the outcome "infections & deaths" were 5.38 (p <. 05) times higher among PENH compared to non-PENH.

CONCLUSIONS

The study indicates a need for further research into the quality of care in PENH to inform evidence-based policy decisions, given the higher infection and death rates. Improved documentation and public visibility of PENH is also recommended, in line with existing practices for for-profit and non-profit nursing homes in Germany. Given our findings, regulatory bodies should closely observe PENH operational practices.

Socioeconomic Differences in SARS-CoV-2 Infection and Vaccination in Germany: A Seroepidemiological Study After One Year of COVID-19 Vaccination Campaign

Objective: To evaluate the socioeconomic patterns of SARS-CoV-2 antigen contacts through infection, vaccination or both ("hybrid immunity") after 1 year of vaccination campaign. Methods: Data were derived from the German seroepidemiological Corona Monitoring Nationwide study (RKI-SOEP-2; n = 10,448; November 2021-February 2022). Combining serological and self-report data, we estimated adjusted prevalence ratios (PR) of SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19 vaccination, basic immunization (at least two SARS-CoV-2 antigen contacts through vaccination and/or infection), and three antigen contacts by education and income. Results: Low-education groups had 1.35-times (95% CI 1.01-1.82) the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to high-education groups. COVID-19 vaccination (at least one dose) and basic immunization decreased with lower education and income. Low-education and low-income groups were less likely to have had at least three antigen contacts (PR low vs. high education: 0.74, 95% CI 0.65-0.84; PR low vs. high income: 0.66, 95% CI 0.57-0.77). Conclusion: The results suggest a lower level of protection against severe COVID-19 for individuals from low and medium socioeconomic groups. Pandemic response and vaccination campaigns should address the specific needs and barriers of these groups.

Incidence and Determinants of COVID-19 in Patients Seeking Treatment for Substance Use Disorder: A Patient-Based Linkage Study

INTRODUCTION

People with substance use disorder (SUD) may be at increased risk of COVID-19 infection. However, there is little evidence regarding the incidence of and determinants associated with infection in this group. The aims of the study were to determine the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 among people who sought treatment for heroin, cocaine, cannabis, and alcohol use disorder in Catalonia; to identify sociodemographic, substance, and clinical determinants associated with COVID-19 infection among SUD patients; and to compare the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 infection in the population with SUD with that of the general population.

METHODS

A patient-based retrospective observational study was conducted. The study population comprised people who sought treatment for heroin, cocaine, cannabis, or alcohol use disorder in Catalonia in 2018 and 2019. We analysed cumulative incidence of COVID-19 (confirmed by PCR test) from 25 February to 31 December 2020. Additionally, we used a log-link binomial generalized linear model for COVID-19 infection, using the substance as the exposition, adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical variables.

RESULTS

Of the 23,092 individuals who sought treatment for SUD, 38.15% were considered suspected cases of COVID-19, and 2.60% (95% CI = 2.41-2.82) were confirmed positive for COVID-19 by PCR test during the study period. Those who sought treatment for alcohol use (cumulative incidence of COVID-19 of 3% [95% CI = 2.70-3.34]) had a higher risk ratio than, those who sought treatment for heroin use (cumulative incidence of 1.94% [95% CI = 1.47-2.56]). Being born outside of Spain, living in an institutionalized residence, having HIV, and being in a high morbidity group were associated with higher risk of COVID-19 infection. Meanwhile, the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 in the general population, according to public COVID-19 test data, was 3.86% (95% CI = 3.85-3.87).

CONCLUSION

This study did not find higher cumulative incidence of COVID-19 infection among people with SUD in Catalonia in 2020, despite the clinical vulnerability of this population and their social disadvantage. However, differences were seen in the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 according to the substance for which treatment was sought. For example, those with alcohol dependence had a higher rate than those dependent on heroin. Further studies are needed to determine the factors contributing to these differences.

[Occupational differences of COVID-19 morbidity and mortality in Germany. An analysis of health insurance data from 3.17 million insured persons]

INTRODUCTION

During the COVID-19 pandemic, occupation was assumed to play a central role in the occurrence of infection and disease. For Germany, however, there are only a few studies that analyse occupational differences in risk of COVID-19, COVID-19-associated hospitalisation, and mortality.

METHODS

The study uses longitudinal health insurance data from the research database of the Institute for Applied Health Research (InGef) with information on 3.17 million insured persons aged 18-67 years (1,488,452 women; 1,684,705 men). Outcomes (morbidity, hospitalisation, and mortality) were determined on the basis of submitted COVID-19 diagnoses between 1 January 2020 and 31 December 2021. Occupations were classified according to four groupings of the official German classification of occupations. In addition to cumulative incidences, relative risks (RR) were calculated - separately for men and women.

RESULTS

There is an increased risk of disease in personal service occupations, especially in health care, compared to other occupations (RR for women 1.46; for men 1.30). The same applies to social and cultural service occupations (but only for women) and for manufacturing occupations (only for men). In addition, the risks for hospitalisation and mortality are increased for cleaning occupations and transport and logistics occupations (especially for men). For all three outcomes, the risks are higher in non-managerial occupations and differ by skill level (highest for unskilled jobs and lowest for expert positions).

CONCLUSION

The study provides important findings on work- and gender-related differences in COVID-19 morbidity and mortality in Germany, which indicate starting points for structural infection protection measures.

[People with a history of migration in the COVID-19 pandemic : Associations between life satisfaction and indirect socioeconomic effects of the pandemic]

INTRODUCTION

It is not only the risks of SARS-CoV‑2 infection and severe to fatal courses of the disease that are socially unequally distributed, but also job and income losses as a result of the containment measures. People with a history of migration are at increased risk of being affected by such indirect socio-economic effects of the pandemic as well. The aim of this article is to investigate the associations between indirect socio-economic effects of the pandemic and life satisfaction among people with selected citizenships.

METHODS

We analysed data from the multilingual and multimodal interview survey German Health Update Fokus (Gesundheit in Deutschland aktuell: Fokus; GEDA Fokus), which was conducted from November 2021 to May 2022 among people all over Germany with Croatian, Italian, Polish, Syrian or Turkish citizenship. Using multivariable Poisson regression, we analysed associations between sex, age, education, income, German language proficiency and job as well as income losses and life satisfaction.

RESULTS

Of the 4114 participants, 64.4% reported a high life satisfaction. While a higher income showed positive associations with life satisfaction, negative associations were found for lower self-assessed German language proficiency and for job and income losses that are anticipated or have already occurred.

DISCUSSION

This article shows that life satisfaction, which is relevant for multiple health outcomes, is lower among those that are affected by job and income losses. Structural causes of socio-economic disadvantages need to be reduced to address health inequalities and to be better prepared for future crises.

[Consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic: Are there risk groups for reduced subjective well-being after the first lockdown?]

BACKGROUND

Measures to contain COVID-19 have created burdens that have widened health inequalities. We examine the extent to which risk groups for reduced subjective well-being can be identified after the 2020 lockdown. In doing so, we also consider possible interactions of different social grouping characteristics as part of an intersectional approach.

METHOD

Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) data from the years 2018-2020 were analyzed. A total of 16,000 cases with information on changes in well-being (SF-12 scores and individual indicators) were included in the analyses. We use the classification method "random forests" to identify groups with different trends in well-being. For the interpretation of the content, we also present results from a regression model with social and health aspects as predictors.

RESULTS

Demographic and social characteristics explained only a very small part of the changes in subjective well-being (R² = 0.007-0.012) and did not allow for the differentiation of homogeneous risk groups. Although some significant predictors were found in the regression models, the corresponding effects were mostly small. In addition to the initial state of well-being before the pandemic began, the presence of chronic illnesses and disabilities in particular contributed to the explanation of subjective well-being.

DISCUSSION

The currently available data do not allow a clear identification of risk groups for losses in well-being in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. Health status before the onset of the pandemic appears to be more important for short-term changes in subjective well-being than socio-demographic and socio-economic categorization characteristics.

Cohort profile: a longitudinal regional cohort study to assess COVID-19 seroprevalence in blood donors - baseline characteristics of the SeMaCo study participants

PURPOSE

The SeMaCo study (Serologische Untersuchungen bei Blutspendern des Großraums Magdeburg auf Antikörper gegen SARS-CoV-2), a prospective, longitudinal cohort study with four survey phases spanning 3-5 months each over a period of 22 months, extends the spectrum of seroepidemiological studies in Germany. We present here a careful characterisation of the initial survey phase of the cohort to provide baseline data on infection incidence and obtained from questionnaires, focussing in particular on the attitude towards COVID-19 vaccinations, the vaccination success and the vaccination acceptance.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 2195 individual blood donors from the donor pool of the blood donation service of the University Hospital Magdeburg were enrolled in the initial survey phase from 20 January 2021 to 30 April 2021. 2138 participants gave sociodemographic/contact data (51.7% male, mean age 44 years) and 2082 participants answered the vaccination questionnaire.

FINDINGS TO DATE

Out of 2195 participants with antibody results, 1909 (87.0%) were antibody negative. The remaining 286 subjects (13.0%) were either antibody-positive and vaccinated (160/286; 55.9%) or antibody-positive without vaccination information (17/286; 5.9%) or antibody-positive and unvaccinated (109/286; 38.1%). The latter result reflects the rate of true or highly probable SARS-CoV-2 infections in our initial study cohort.

FUTURE PLANS

The study primarily aims to measure the prevalence and long-term kinetics of IgG-antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. Including the baseline, the study foresees four survey periods of 3-4 months each. At each visit, we will assess the blood donors' attitude towards vaccination, the antibody response following vaccination and/or infection, as well as undesired vaccination effects. We aim to test the same participants during the survey periods by repeated invitations for blood donation to ensure a long-term (follow-up) in as many study participants as possible. After the four survey phases, a longitudinal data set will be created that reflects the course of the antibody levels/frequencies as well as the infection and vaccination incidence.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

DRKS00023263.

Participation of the adult population in preventive measures for non-communicable diseases during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020/2021

Background

In 2020/2021, the COVID-19 pandemic and the protective measures associated therewith severely limited the opportunity to participate in prevention and health promotion measures. The article examines the utilisation of the measures and possible factors that are associated with a lower participation during these pandemic years.

Methods

It is based on data acquired between March and August 2021 from the study 'COVID-19 vaccination rate monitoring in Germany' (COVIMO), a cross-sectional telephone survey. The data was used to examine the participation in preventive measures in the last 12 months in terms of sociodemographic factors and to analyse a decreased participation with regard to pandemic-related factors. The analysis sample includes individuals aged 18 years and over (n=3,998).

Results

63% of participants generally did not use these programmes, 7% indicated an unchanged participation, 28% reported having participated in fewer measures, and 2% in more measures. Men reported significantly more often than women that they generally do not participate in prevention and health promotion measures. A relevant pandemic-related factor for decreased participation of men was the less clearly perceived comprehensibility of the regulations against the spread of SARS-CoV-2.

Conclusions

Prevention and health promotion should be part of the contingency planning in epidemically significant situations to prevent a decreased participation and to promote health and gender-related equal opportunities even in a crisis.

Analysis of two choir outbreaks acting in concert to characterize long- range transmission risks through SARS-CoV-2, Berlin, Germany, 2020

BACKGROUND

Superspreading events are important drivers of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and long-range (LR) transmission is believed to play a major role. We investigated two choir outbreaks with different attack rates (AR) to analyze the contribution of LR transmission and highlight important measures for prevention.

METHODS

We conducted two retrospective cohort studies and obtained demographic, clinical, laboratory and contact data, performed SARS-CoV-2 serology, whole genome sequencing (WGS), calculated LR transmission probabilities, measured particle emissions of selected choir members, and calculated particle air concentrations and inhalation doses.

RESULTS

We included 65 (84%) and 42 (100%) members of choirs 1 and 2, respectively, of whom 58 (89%) and 10 (24%) became cases. WGS confirmed strain identity in both choirs. Both primary cases transmitted presymptomatically. Particle emission rate when singing was 7 times higher compared to talking. In choir 1, the median concentration of primary cases' emitted particles in the room was estimated to be 8 times higher, exposure at least 30 minutes longer and room volume smaller than in choir 2, resulting in markedly different estimated probabilities for LR transmission (mode: 90% vs. 16%, 95% CI: 80-95% vs. 6-36%). According to a risk model, the first transmission in choir 1 occurred likely after 8 minutes of singing.

CONCLUSIONS

The attack rate of the two choirs differed significantly reflecting the differences in LR transmission risks. The pooled proportion of cases due to LR transmission was substantial (81%; 55/68 cases) and was facilitated by likely highly infectious primary cases, high particle emission rates, and indoor rehearsing for an extended time. Even in large rooms, singing of an infectious person may lead to secondary infections through LR exposure within minutes. In the context of indoor gatherings without mask-wearing and waning or insufficient immunity, these results highlight the ongoing importance of non-pharmaceutical interventions wherever aerosols can accumulate.

Nationally representative results on SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and testing in Germany at the end of 2020

Pre-vaccine SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence data from Germany are scarce outside hotspots, and socioeconomic disparities remained largely unexplored. The nationwide representative RKI-SOEP study (15,122 participants, 18-99 years, 54% women) investigated seroprevalence and testing in a supplementary wave of the Socio-Economic-Panel conducted predominantly in October-November 2020. Self-collected oral-nasal swabs were PCR-positive in 0.4% and Euroimmun anti-SARS-CoV-2-S1-IgG ELISA from dry-capillary-blood antibody-positive in 1.3% (95% CI 0.9-1.7%, population-weighted, corrected for sensitivity = 0.811, specificity = 0.997). Seroprevalence was 1.7% (95% CI 1.2-2.3%) when additionally correcting for antibody decay. Overall infection prevalence including self-reports was 2.1%. We estimate 45% (95% CI 21-60%) undetected cases and lower detection in socioeconomically deprived districts. Prior SARS-CoV-2 testing was reported by 18% from the lower educational group vs. 25% and 26% from the medium and high educational group (p < 0.001, global test over three categories). Symptom-triggered test frequency was similar across educational groups. Routine testing was more common in low-educated adults, whereas travel-related testing and testing after contact with infected persons was more common in highly educated groups. This countrywide very low pre-vaccine seroprevalence in Germany at the end of 2020 can serve to evaluate the containment strategy. Our findings on social disparities indicate improvement potential in pandemic planning for people in socially disadvantaged circumstances.

Association of Household Deprivation, Comorbidities, and COVID-19 Hospitalization in Children in Germany, January 2020 to July 2021

IMPORTANCE

Adults in disadvantaged socioeconomic positions have elevated risks of a severe course of COVID-19, but it is unclear whether this holds true for children.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether young people from disadvantaged households have a higher risk of COVID-19 hospitalization and whether differences were associated with comorbidities that predispose children to severe courses.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This population-based cohort study included all children and adolescents (aged 0-18 years) who were enrolled in a statutory health insurance carrier in Germany during the observation period of January 1, 2020, to July 13, 2021. Logistic regressions were calculated to compare children from households with and without an indication of poverty. Age, sex, days under observation, nationality, and comorbidities (eg, obesity, diabetes) were controlled for to account for explanatory factors.

EXPOSURES

Disadvantage on the household level was assessed by the employment status of the insurance holder (ie, employed, long- or short-term unemployed, low-wage employment, economically inactive). Socioeconomic characteristics of the area of residence were also assessed.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Daily hospital diagnoses of COVID-19 (International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision codes U07.1 and U07.2) were recorded. Comorbidities were assessed using inpatient and outpatient diagnoses contained in the insurance records.

RESULTS

A total of 688 075 children and adolescents were included, with a mean (SD) age of 8.3 (5.8) years and 333 489 (48.4%) female participants. COVID-19 hospital diagnosis was a rare event (1637 participants [0.2%]). Children whose parents were long-term unemployed were 1.36 (95% CI, 1.22-1.51) times more likely than those with employed parents to be hospitalized. Elevated odds were also found for children whose parents had low-wage employment (odds ratio, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.05-1.58). Those living in low-income areas had 3.02 (95% CI, 1.73-5.28) times higher odds of hospitalization than those in less deprived areas. Comorbidities were associated with hospitalization, but their adjustment did not change main estimates for deprivation.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study, children who had parents who were unemployed and those who lived in low-income areas were at higher risk of COVID-19 hospitalization. This finding suggests that attention must be paid to children with SARS-CoV-2 from vulnerable families and closer monitoring should be considered. A number of explanatory factors, including comorbidities, were taken into account, but their analysis yielded no clear picture about underlying processes.

Protagonist der Sozialepidemiologie: Laudatio zu Ehren von PD Dr. PH Thomas Lampert – Träger der Salomon-Neumann-Medaille 2022

The Salomon Neumann Medal of the German Society for Social Medicine and Prevention (DGSMP) honours individuals and institutions who have made special contributions to preventive and social medicine. In 2022, the medal was awarded to PD Dr. Thomas Lampert, Robert Koch Institute, who has been a strong advocate for reporting on health inequalities in Germany for many years. His extensive work provides a precise cartography of the social determinants of health in Germany after the turn of the millennium.

[The 2022 Poverty and Health Congress against the backdrop of the current crises]

Der Kongress Armut und Gesundheit wird seit 1995 jährlich von Gesundheit Berlin-Brandenburg e. V. in Zusammenarbeit mit verschiedenen Kooperationspartner*innen ausgerichtet. Inzwischen gehört er zu den größten regelmäßig stattfindenden Public-Health-Veranstaltungen in Deutschland. Der Kongress versteht sich als eine Plattform für den Austausch zwischen Wissenschaft, Praxis, Zivilgesellschaft und Politik. Unter dem Motto „Was jetzt zählt“ wurden in diesem Jahr Aspekte gesundheitlicher Ungleichheit und Public-Health-relevante Fragestellungen vor allem vor dem Hintergrund der COVID-19-Pandemie und des Krieges in der Ukraine diskutiert. In über 100 digitalen Veranstaltungen mit mehr als 2000 Teilnehmenden, darunter ca. 500 Referierenden, fand ein vielfältiger Austausch statt.

Personal Protective Measures during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Germany

OBJECTIVES

The coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 is highly contagious and can only be contained if the majority of the population takes measures to protect themselves against infection. The present study aimed to investigate personal protective measures, their development over the course of the pandemic in Germany, and potential differences in behavior in terms of sex, age, and education.

METHODS

Data from 20 waves of the serial cross-sectional study "BfR-Corona-Monitor" were analyzed. The total sample consisted of N = 20,317 respondents (about 1000 per wave). Data were collected through telephone surveys between June 2020 and March 2021.

RESULTS

To protect themselves from infection, participants primarily relied on wearing covers for mouth and nose, keeping their distance from other individuals, and washing their hands thoroughly. Analyses over time showed a strong positive correlation between the number of measures taken and the national incidence rate. Sociodemographic differences also emerged, with women and those who are higher educated as well as younger respondents taking a higher number of protective measures.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicated that in times of greater infection risks, individuals adapted accordingly and took more protective measures. However, on the basis of sociodemographic differences, campaigns should especially focus on older individuals, the male sex, and those with lower education to enhance their protective behavior.

Area Deprivation and COVID-19 Incidence and Mortality in Bavaria, Germany: A Bayesian Geographical Analysis

Background

Area deprivation has been shown to be associated with various adverse health outcomes including communicable as well as non-communicable diseases. Our objective was to assess potential associations between area deprivation and COVID-19 standardized incidence and mortality ratios in Bavaria over a period of nearly 2 years. Bavaria is the federal state with the highest infection dynamics in Germany and demographically comparable to several other European countries.

Methods

In this retrospective, observational ecological study, we estimated the strength of associations between area deprivation and standardized COVID-19 incidence and mortality ratios (SIR and SMR) in Bavaria, Germany. We used official SARS-CoV-2 reporting data aggregated in monthly periods between March 1, 2020 and December 31, 2021. Area deprivation was assessed using the quintiles of the 2015 version of the Bavarian Index of Multiple Deprivation (BIMD 2015) at district level, analyzing the overall index as well as its single domains.

Results

Deprived districts showed higher SIR and SMR than less deprived districts. Aggregated over the whole period, the SIR increased by 1.04 (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.01 to 1.07, p = 0.002), and the SMR by 1.11 (95% CI: 1.07 to 1.16, p < 0.001) per BIMD quintile. This represents a maximum difference of 41% between districts in the most and least deprived quintiles in the SIR and 110% in the SMR. Looking at individual months revealed clear linear association between the BIMD quintiles and the SIR and SMR in the first, second and last quarter of 2021. In the summers of 2020 and 2021, infection activity was low.

Conclusions

In more deprived areas in Bavaria, Germany, higher incidence and mortality ratios were observed during the COVID-19 pandemic with particularly strong associations during infection waves 3 and 4 in 2020/2021. Only high infection levels reveal the effect of risk factors and socioeconomic inequalities. There may be confounding between the highly deprived areas and border regions in the north and east of Bavaria, making the relationship between area deprivation and infection burden more complex. Vaccination appeared to balance incidence and mortality rates between the most and least deprived districts. Vaccination makes an important contribution to health equality.

Did the Socio-Economic Gradient in Depression in Later-Life Deteriorate or Weaken during the COVID-19 Pandemic? New Evidence from England Using Path Analysis

It is well established that there is a socioeconomic gradient in adult mental health. However, little is known about whether and how this gradient has been exacerbated or mitigated by the COVID-19 pandemic. This study aims to identify the modifiable pathways involved in the association between socioeconomic position (SEP) and mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic. The analysis included 5107 adults aged 50+ living in England and participating in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing Wave nine (2018–2019) and the COVID-19 study (June 2020). Mental health was measured using a shortened version of the Centre for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale. Path analysis with multiple mediator models was used to estimate the direct effect of SEP (measured by educational qualification and household wealth) on mental health (measured by depression), along with the indirect effects of SEP via three mediators: COVID-19 infection symptoms, service accessibility and social contact. The results show that the prevalence of depression for the same cohort increased from 12.6% pre-pandemic to 19.7% during the first wave of the pandemic. The risk of depression increased amongst older people who experienced COVID-19 infection, difficulties accessing services and less frequent social contact. The total effects of education and wealth on depression were negatively significant. Through mediators, wealth and education were indirectly associated with depression. Wealth also directly affected the outcome. The findings suggest that the socioeconomic gradient in depression among older people may have deteriorated during the initial phase of the pandemic and that this could in part be explained by increased financial hardship, difficulties in accessing services and reduced social contact.

Impact of COVID-19 shocks, precarity and mediating resources on the mental health of residents of share housing in Victoria, Australia: an analysis of data from a two-wave survey

OBJECTIVES

COVID-19 lockdown measures have challenged people's mental health, especially among economically vulnerable households. The objective of this study was to investigate the impact of exposure to COVID-19 shocks (defined as job loss, living cost pressures and changing housing conditions throughout the lockdown period) and double precarity (defined as precarity in housing and employment) on mental health outcomes for members of share households as well as the mediating effects of a range of resources.

DESIGN

We conducted a two-wave survey of occupants of share housing in June and October 2020 during a prolonged period of population lockdown. Research design involved fixed effects ordered logit regression models to assess the mental health consequences of baseline precarity and COVID-related shocks.

SETTING

Victoria, Australia.

PARTICIPANTS

We surveyed 293 occupants of share houses (mean age 34 SD 11.5, 56% female). Members of share houses (where individuals are unrelated adults and not in a romantic relationship) are more likely to be young, casually employed, visa-holders and low-income.

OUTCOME MEASURES

We measured household composition, housing and employment precarity, access to government support, household crowding, social networks and COVID-19 shocks. We used a self-reported measure of mental health.

RESULTS

Those exposed to COVID-19 shocks reported a 2.7 times higher odds of mental health deterioration (OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.53 to 4.85). People exposed to double precarity (precarity in both housing and employment) reported 2.4 times higher odds of mental health deterioration (OR 2.4, 95% CI 0.99 to 5.69). Housing inadequacy and lack of access to sufficient government payments explained 14.7% and 7% of the total effect of double precarity on mental health, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Results indicate that residents of group households characterised by pre-existing precarity were vulnerable to negative mental health effects during lockdown. Access to sufficient government payments and adequate housing buffered this negative effect.

COVID-19 and Gender Differences in Social Trust: Causal Evidence from the First Wave of the Pandemic

Although research provides causal evidence on the effects of COVID-19 lockdown measures on trust, causal effects of infection risks are missing. To contribute to increasing research on the societal consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, we estimate whether high incidence rates net of lockdown measures induce causal changes in social trust. We use representative household panel data from Germany and employ a difference-in-difference design. Although social trust increased during the first phase of the pandemic, the difference-in-difference analysis reveals that high incidences have a negative effect on social trust. We show that females drive this effect. The negative effect is especially large among highly educated women and women with poor pre-COVID-19 health. Overall, our results suggest that increasing incidences signal noncompliance of unknown others. Consequently, the overall positive trend might reverse in the medium and long run, leading to declines in social cohesion over the course of the pandemic.

SARS-CoV-2 antibodies among people with cystic fibrosis prior to the vaccination campaign: A seroprevalence study in two specialized centres in Northern Italy

The prevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in people with cystic fibrosis (CF) is largely unknown. We carried out a cross-sectional study between March and June 2021 with the aim of estimating the seroprevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in two CF centres in Northern Italy. Total serum anti-SARS-CoV-2 (spike) antibodies levels were measured and values ≥0.8 U/mL were considered positive. Among 434 patients aged >12 years, 64 patients had a positive result (14.7%, 95% CI: 11.5–18.4), 36 (56.3%) without experiencing any COVID-19-related symptoms. Three out of 49 transplanted patients tested positive with an odds ratio for a positive result among transplanted as compared to non-transplanted patients of 0.35 (95% CI: 0.07–1.14). No significant differences were observed between sexes, age groups, socioeconomic status and lung disease severity. In conclusion, SARS-CoV-2 has infected a relatively high proportion of our patients but in most cases the infection was asymptomatic.

Die Erforschung der Dynamik der Corona-Pandemie in Deutschland: Survey-Konzepte und eine exemplarische Umsetzung mit dem Sozio-oekonomischen Panel (SOEP)

Die Weltgesundheitsorganisation (WHO) hat im Frühjahr 2020 Richtlinien für Bevölkerungsstichproben veröffentlicht, die Basisdaten für gesundheitspolitische Entscheidungen im Pandemiefall liefern können. Diese Richtlinien umzusetzen ist keineswegs trivial. In diesem Beitrag schildern wir die Herausforderungen einer entsprechenden statistischen Erfassung der Corona Pandemie. Hierbei gehen wir im ersten Teil auf die Erfassung der Dunkelziffer bei der Meldung von Corona Infektionen, die Messung von Krankheitsverläufen im außerklinischen Bereich, die Messung von Risikomerkmalen sowie die Erfassung von zeitlichen und regionalen Veränderungen der Pandemie-Intensität ein. Wir diskutieren verschiedene Möglichkeiten, aber auch praktische Grenzen der Survey-Statistik, den vielfältigen Herausforderungen durch eine geeignete Anlage der Stichprobe und des Survey-Designs zu begegnen. Ein zentraler Punkt ist die schwierige Koppelung medizinischer Tests mit bevölkerungsrepräsentativen Umfragen, wobei bei einer personalisierten Rückmeldung der Testergebnisse das Statistik-Geheimnis eine besondere Herausforderung darstellt.

Im zweiten Teil berichten wir wie eine der großen Wiederholungsbefragungen in Deutschland, das Sozio-oekonomische Panel (SOEP), für eine WHO-konforme Covid-19-Erhebung genutzt wird, die im Rahmen einer Kooperation des Robert-Koch-Instituts (RKI) mit dem SOEP als „RKI-SOEP Stichprobe“ im September 2020 gestartet wurde. Erste Ergebnisse zum Rücklauf dieser Studie, die ab Oktober 2021 mit einer zweiten Erhebungswelle bei denselben Personen fortgesetzt werden wird, werden vorgestellt. Es zeigt sich, dass knapp fünf Prozent der bereits in der Vergangenheit erfolgreich Befragten aufgrund der Anfrage zwei Tests zu machen die weitere Teilnahme an der SOEP-Studie verweigern. Berücksichtigt man alle in der Studie erhobenen Informationen (IgG-Antikörper-Tests, PCR-Tests und Fragebögen) ergibt eine erste Schätzung, dass sich bis November 2020 nur etwa zwei Prozent der in Privathaushalten lebenden Erwachsenen in Deutschland mit SARS-CoV‑2 infiziert hatten. Damit war die Zahl der Infektionen etwa doppelt so hoch wie die offiziell gemeldeten Infektionszahlen.