Natriuretic peptides for the detection of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

Biomarkers for predicting atrial fibrillation: An explorative sub-analysis of the randomised SCREEN-AF trial

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common treatable risk factor for stroke. Screening for paroxysmal AF in general practice is difficult, but biomarkers might help improve screening strategies.

OBJECTIVES

We investigated six blood biomarkers for predicting paroxysmal AF in general practice.

METHODS

This was a pre-specified sub-study of the SCREEN-AF RCT done in Germany. Between 12/2017-03/2019, we enrolled ambulatory individuals aged 75 years or older with a history of hypertension but without known AF. Participants in the intervention group received active AF screening with a wearable patch, continuous ECG monitoring for 2x2 weeks and usual care in the control group. The primary endpoint was ECG-confirmed AF within six months after randomisation. High-sensitive Troponin I (hsTnI), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-pro BNP), N-terminal pro atrial natriuretic peptide (NT-ANP), mid-regional pro atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-pro ANP) and C-reactive protein (CRP) plasma levels were investigated at randomisation for predicting AF within six months after randomisation.

RESULTS

Blood samples were available for 291 of 301 (96.7%) participants, including 8 with AF (3%). Five biomarkers showed higher median results in AF-patients: BNP 78 vs. 41 ng/L (p = 0.012), NT-pro BNP 273 vs. 186 ng/L (p = 0.029), NT-proANP 4.4 vs. 3.5 nmol/L (p = 0.027), MR-pro ANP 164 vs. 125 pmol/L (p = 0.016) and hsTnI 7.4 vs. 3.9 ng/L (p = 0.012). CRP levels were not different between groups (2.8 vs 1.9 mg/L, p = 0.1706).

CONCLUSION

Natriuretic peptide levels and hsTnI are higher in patients with AF than without and may help select patients for AF screening, but larger trials are needed.

Predictive value of soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 in atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose

Atrial fibrosis is the main pathological basis for the pathogenesis and progression of atrial fibrillation (AF). Soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2) is involved in fibrosis. Recent studies have explored its predictive value in AF outcomes. We performed this study to assess whether sST2 is an independent biomarker of AF outcomes and explore the potential mechanism.

Methods

PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases were searched systematically from inception through July 1, 2023, to identify relevant studies. Outcomes of interest included occurrence, recurrence, and major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) of AF. This meta-analysis was reported following the criteria outlined in PRISMA 2020, and the protocol was registered in PROSPERO (number: CRD42023459789). All statistical analyses were performed using the STATA version 16.

Result

Twenty four studies with 14,755 patients were included in the meta-analysis. The meta-analyses found that sST2 was significantly associated with the risk of occurrence [HR:1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.07, P < 0.01; I2 = 67.8%], recurrence [HR:1.09, 95% CI: 1.02-1.16, P < 0.01; I2 = 89.5%], and MACEs (HR:1.60, 95% CI: 1.13-2.27, P < 0.01; I2 = 82.0%) of AF. Furthermore, patients with AF showed higher sST2 than controls without AF (SMD: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.27-0.54, P < 0.01; I2 = 0%), and AF patients with recurrence after catheter ablation (CA) showed significantly higher sST2 than those without recurrence (SMD: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.33-1.28, P < 0.01; I2 = 83.9%). Sensitivity analyses showed that the outcomes were stable.

Conclusions

Higher sST2 was association with an increased risk of occurrence, recurrence, and MACEs of AF. Assessing sST2 can be used as a potential screening method to predict AF outcomes.

Systematic Review Registration

PROSPERO (CRD42023459789).

The Role of Biochemical Cardiac Markers in Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common type of cardiac arrhythmia. Proteins are a component of cardiac biomarkers containing cell structures that are released into the circulation when a myocardial injury occurs. They are essential in the diagnosis, risk assessment, and treatment of patients who have chest pain, are thought to have acute coronary syndrome, or are experiencing acute heart failure exacerbations. There are numerous biochemical cardiac markers, but this article summarizes the basic role of major biochemical cardiac markers, including cardiac natriuretic peptides, cardiac troponins, C-reactive protein (CRP), creatine kinase-MB, heart-type fatty acid-binding protein, ischemia-modified albumin, lipoprotein (a), osteopontin (OPN), and soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2), in AF. Atrial natriuretic peptide may serve as an indicator of atrial integrity, which may help to select appropriate treatment approaches for AF. Higher levels of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and brain natriuretic peptide are predictive of incidental AF. Increased troponin T release may indicate better clinical results following AF ablation. Similarly, CRP increases the risk of the AF-increasing calcium (Ca) influx in atrial myocytes, but not because of atrial fibrosis. Patients with postoperative AF have lower FABP3 gene expression in the atrium. Lipoprotein (a) (Lp[a]) may play a causative role in the onset of AF and impact various cardiac tissues. Clinical trials for Lp(a)-lowering drugs should assess their impact on preventing AF. Also, OPN was highly expressed in the circulation of AF patients and further increased with the progression of AF. sST2 was a reliable predictor of new-onset AF and can improve the accuracy of the AF risk model. There is a greater chance that these cardiac biomarkers might be employed to enhance clinical risk stratification in AF.

Performance of the Abbott Architect Immuno-Chemiluminometric NT-proBNP Assay

Background: We evaluated the performance of the Abbott N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) assay against the Roche NT-proBNP immunoassay across two sites. Methods: Precision, linearity, and sensitivity studies were performed. A combined method of comparison and regression analysis was performed between the Roche and Abbott assays using samples from both sites (n = 494). To verify biotin interference, lyophilised biotin powder was reconstituted and spiked into serum samples at two medical decision levels (final concentration 500/4250 ng/mL) and compared to controls. NT-proBNP was also measured in anonymised leftover sera (n = 388) in a cardio-renal healthy population and stratified into three age bands—<50 (n = 145), 50−75 (n = 183) and >75 (n = 60). Results: Between-run precision (CV%) for NT-proBNP was 4.17/4.50 (139.5/142.0 pg/mL), 3.83/2.17 (521.6/506.3), and 4.60/2.51 (5053/4973), respectively. The assay was linear from 0.7−41,501 pg/mL. The limit of blank/quantitation was 1.2/7.9 pg/mL. The assay showed no interference from biotin up to 4250 ng/mL. Passing−Bablok regression analysis showed excellent agreement between the two assays (r = 0.999, 95% CI 0.999 to 0.999, p < 0.0001). The Roche assay had a slightly persistent, negative bias across different levels of NT-proBNP. ESC age cut-offs for diagnosing acute heart failure are applicable for the Abbott assay, with the median NT-proBNP of subjects < 50 years old at 43.0 pg/mL (range 4.9−456 pg/mL), 50−75 years old at 95.1 pg/mL (range 10.5−1079 pg/mL), and >75 years old at 173.1 pg/mL (range 23.2−1948 pg/mL). Conclusions: The Abbott Architect NT-proBNP assay has good performance that agrees with the manufacturer’s specifications. ESC/AHA recommended NT-proBNP age groups for acute heart failure diagnosis are applicable to this assay.

Signs of left atrial disease and 10-year risk of atrial fibrillation

Background

The contribution of left atrial disease and excessive supraventricular ectopic activity (ESVEA) to the risk for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) is incompletely understood.

Objective

To analyse the ten-year risk to develop AF in patients with cardiovascular risk factors and to define the impact of parameters of left atrial disease and ESVEA on AF risk.

Methods

148 patients from the Diast-CHF trial with at least one cardiovascular risk factor and free of AF at baseline were followed for 10 years. Left atrial disease was defined as left atrial volume index (LAVI) >35 ml/m², P-terminal force in lead V₁ (PTFV₁) >4000 ms*μV or elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) >250 pg/ml. We analyzed the association of these parameters and ESVEA (either >720 premature atrial contractions (PAC) or one atrial run >20 beats per day) on AF-free survival.

Results

After ten years, AF was newly detected in twelve patients (13.4%) with signs of left atrial disease and two patients (3.4%) without signs of left atrial disease (p = 0.04). LAVI (p = 0.005), ESVEA (p = 0.016) and NT-proBNP (p = 0.010) were significantly associated with AF-free survival in univariate analysis. A combined Cox model of left atrial disease parameters showed associations for NT-proBNP (HR 3.56; 95%CI 1.33–5.31; p = 0.04) and PAC (HR 2.66; 95%CI 1.25–10.15; p = 0.01) but not for LAVI or PTFV₁ with AF-free survival.

Conclusion

The risk for AF is higher in patients with cardiovascular risk factors and signs of left atrial disease. NT-proBNP and premature atrial contractions independently predict AF-free survival. The role of excessive supraventricular ectopic activity for the assessment of AF risk may be underestimated and requires further study.

NT-proBNP as a marker for atrial fibrillation and heart failure in four observational outpatient trials

AIMS

Heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexist and are both associated with increased levels of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). It is known that AF impairs the diagnostic accuracy of NT-proBNP for HF. The aim of the present study was to compare the diagnostic and predictive accuracy of NT-proBNP for HF and AF in stable outpatients with cardiovascular risk factors.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data were obtained from the DIAST-CHF trial, a prospective cohort study that recruited individuals with cardiovascular risk factors and followed them up for 12 years. Data were validated in three independent population-based cohorts using the same inclusion/exclusion criteria: LIFE-Adult (n = 2869), SHIP (n = 2013), and SHIP-TREND (n = 2408). Serum levels of NT-proBNP were taken once at baseline. The DIAST-CHF study enrolled 1727 study participants (47.7% female, mean age 66.9 ± 8.1 years). At baseline, patients without AF or HF (n = 1375) had a median NT-proBNP of 94 pg/mL (interquartile range 51;181). In patients with AF (n = 93), NT-proBNP amounted to 667 (215;1130) pg/mL. It was significantly higher than in the first group (P < 0.001) and compared with those with only HF [n = 201; 158 (66;363) pg/mL; P < 0.001]. The highest levels of NT-proBNP [868 (213;1397) pg/mL] were measured in patients with concomitant HF and AF (n = 58; P < 0.001 vs. control and vs. HF, P = 1.0 vs. AF). In patients with AF, NT-proBNP levels did not differ between those with HF and preserved ejection fraction (EF) > 50% [n = 38; 603 (175;1070) pg/mL] and those without HF (P = 1.0). Receiver-operating characteristic curves of NT-proBNP showed a similar area under the curve (AUC) for the detection of AF at baseline (0.84, 95% CI [0.79-0.88]) and for HF with EF < 50% (0.78 [0.72-0.85]; P = 0.18). The AUC for HF with EF > 50% was significantly lower (0.61 [0.56-0.65]) than for AF (P = 0.001). During follow-up, AF was newly diagnosed in 157 (9.1%) and HF in 141 (9.6%) study participants. NT-proBNP was a better predictor of incident AF during the first 2 years (AUC: 0.79 [0.75-0.83]) than of newly diagnosed HF (0.59 [0.55-0.63]; P < 0.001). Data were validated in three independent population-based cohorts (LIFE-Adult, n = 2869; SHIP, n = 2013; and SHIP-TREND, n = 2408).

CONCLUSIONS

In stable outpatients, NT-proBNP is a better marker for prevalent and incident AF than for HF. In AF patients, the diagnostic value of NT-proBNP for HF with EF > 50% is very limited.

Stepwise mass screening for atrial fibrillation using N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide: the STROKESTOP II study

Aims

To study the prevalence of unknown atrial fibrillation (AF) in a high-risk, 75/76-year-old, population using N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and handheld electrocardiogram (ECG) recordings in a stepwise screening procedure.

Methods and results

The STROKESTOP II study is a population-based cohort study in which all 75/76-year-old in the Stockholm region (n = 28 712) were randomized 1:1 to be invited to an AF screening programme or to serve as the control group. Participants without known AF had NT-proBNP analysed and were stratified into low-risk (NT-proBNP <125 ng/L) and high-risk (NT-proBNP ≥125 ng/L) groups. The high-risk group was offered extended ECG-screening, whereas the low-risk group performed only one single-lead ECG recording. In total, 6868 individuals accepted the screening invitation of which 6315 (91.9%) did not have previously known AF. New AF was detected in 2.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.2–3.0] of all participants without previous AF. In the high-risk group (n = 3766/6315, 59.6%), AF was diagnosed in 4.4% (95% CI 3.7–5.1) of the participants. Out of these, 18% had AF on their index-ECG. In the low-risk group, one participant was diagnosed with AF on index-ECG. The screening procedure resulted in an increase in known prevalence from 8.1% to 10.5% among participants. Oral anticoagulant treatment was initiated in 94.5% of the participants with newly diagnosed AF.

Conclusion

N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide-stratified systematic screening for AF identified 4.4% of the high-risk participants with new AF. Oral anticoagulant treatment initiation was well accepted in the group diagnosed with new AF.

Potential pitfalls when interpreting plasma BNP levels in heart failure practice

B-type (or brain) natriuretic peptide (BNP) is synthesized in cardiac myocytes and released constitutively into the circulation. Pressure/volume overload, neurohumoral factors, cytokines, and ischemia enhance BNP gene expression, and then precursor proBNP is produced. It has been thought that proBNP is cleaved into active BNP molecule and inactive marker molecule NT-proBNP intracellularly by processing enzyme furin, and they are released into the circulation. However, recent studies have shown that considerable amount of uncleaved proBNP circulates in the blood. The commercially available BNP assay kits consist of two antibodies that sandwich the BNP molecule. Therefore, if proBNP is present, BNP assay kit cross-reacts to proBNP and measures it as BNP. Therefore, it should be noted that the current BNP value is proBNP plus BNP. BNP and NT-proBNP have been established as a biomarker for heart failure patients presenting dyspnea. But many pitfalls are present for interpreting the BNP value. For example, the presence of renal dysfunction, age, female sex, atrial fibrillation, inflammation, hyperthyroidism, use of sacubitril/valsartan, and macro-proBNPemia overestimate BNP value, whereas the presence of obesity, immediately after acute coronary syndrome onset, and pericardial effusion underestimate BNP value. In the management for heart failure patients, BNP plays an important role. Therefore, clinicians should note the pitfall of interpretation of BNP and we describe the mechanism involved.

Absence of natriuretic peptide clearance receptor attenuates TGF-β1-induced selective atrial fibrosis and atrial fibrillation

Aims

TGF-β1 plays an important role in atrial fibrosis and atrial fibrillation (AF); previous studies have shown that the atria are more susceptible to TGF-β1 mediated fibrosis than the ventricles. Natriuretic peptides (NPs) play an important role in cardiac remodelling and fibrosis, but the role of natriuretic peptide clearance (NPR-C) receptor is largely unknown. We investigated the role of NPR-C in modulating TGF-β1 signalling in the atria.

Methods and results

MHC-TGF-β1 transgenic (TGF-β1-Tx) mice, which develop isolated atrial fibrosis and AF, were cross-bred with NPR-C knock-out mice (NPR-C-KO). Transverse aortic constriction (TAC) was performed in wild type (Wt) and NPR-C knockout mice to study. Atrial fibrosis and AF inducibility in a pathophysiologic model. Electrophysiology, molecular, and histologic studies were performed in adult mice. siRNA was used to interrogate the interaction between TGF-β1 and NP signalling pathways in isolated atrial and ventricular fibroblasts/myofibroblasts. NPR-C expression level was 17 ± 5.8-fold higher in the atria compared with the ventricle in Wt mice (P = 0.009). Cross-bred mice demonstrated markedly decreased pSmad2 and collagen expression, atrial fibrosis, and AF compared with TGF-β1-Tx mice with intact NPR-C. There was a marked reduction in atrial fibrosis gene expression and AF inducibility in the NPR-C-KO-TAC mice compared with Wt-TAC. In isolated fibroblasts, knockdown of NPR-C resulted in a marked reduction of pSmad2 (56 ± 4% and 24 ± 14% reduction in atrial and ventricular fibroblasts, respectively) and collagen (76 ± 15% and 35 ± 23% reduction in atrial and ventricular fibroblasts/myofibroblasts, respectively) in response to TGF-β1 stimulation. This effect was reversed by simultaneously knocking down NPR-A but not with simultaneous knock down of PKG-1.

Conclusion

The differential response to TGF-β1 stimulated fibrosis between the atria and ventricle are in part mediated by the abundance of NPR-C receptors in the atria.

Brain Natriuretic Peptide and Discovery of Atrial Fibrillation After Stroke

Background and Purpose—

Diagnosing paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (pAF) can be challenging after acute ischemic stroke. Enhanced and prolonged Holter-ECG monitoring (EPM) improves the detection rate but is not feasible for all patients. We hypothesized that brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) may help to identify patients with stroke at high risk for pAF to select patients for EPM more effectively.

Methods—

Patients with acute cerebral ischemia ≥60 years presenting in sinus rhythm and without history of AF were included into a prospective, randomized multicenter study to receive either EPM (3× 10-day Holter-ECG) or usual stroke care diagnostic work-up. BNP plasma levels were measured on randomization and 3 months thereafter. Levels were compared between patients with and without pAF detected by means of EPM or usual care. Furthermore, the number needed to screen for EPM depending on BNP cut offs was calculated.

Results—

A total of 398 patients were analyzed. In 373 patients (93.7%), BNP was measured at baseline and in 275 patients (69.1%) after 3 months. pAF was found in 27 patients by means of EPM and in 9 patients by means of usual care ( P =0.002). Median BNP was higher in patients with pAF as compared to patients without AF in both study arms at baseline (57.8 versus 28.3 pg/mL in the EPM arm, P =0.0003; 46.2 versus 27.7 pg/mL, P =0.28 in the control arm) and after 3 months (74.9 versus 31.3 pg/mL, P =0.012 in the EPM arm, 99.3 versus 26.3 pg/mL, P =0.02 in the control arm). Applying a cut off of 100 pg/mL, the number needed to screen was reduced from 18 by usual care to 3 by EPM.

Conclusions—

BNP measured early after ischemic stroke identifies a subgroup of patients with stroke at increased risk for AF, in whom EPM is particularly efficacious.

Registration—

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT01855035.

Markers of endothelial pathology to support detection of atrial fibrillation in embolic stroke of undetermined source

A relevant part of embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS) is assumed to be cardiogenic. As shown previously, certain biomarkers of endothelial pathology are related to atrial fibrillation (AF). In this long-term follow-up study, we aimed to investigate whether these biomarkers are associated with subsequently diagnosed AF and with atrial cardiopathy. In 98 patients who suffered ischemic stroke of known and unknown origin L-arginine, Asymmetric (ADMA) and Symmetric Dimethylarginine (SDMA) have been measured on follow-up at least one year after index stroke. Stroke-diagnostics were available for all patients, including carotid Intima-Media-Thickness (CIMT) and comprehensive echocardiography studies. CIMT was larger in AF- compared with ESUS-patients (P < 0.001), independently from CHA2DS2VASC in the regression analysis (P = 0.004). SDMA-values were stable over time (P < 0.001; r = 0.788), whereas for ADMA moderate correlation with the initial values could be found (P = 0.007; r = 0.356). According to Kaplan-Meier-analyses, AF-detection rates were associated with CIMT (P = 0.003) and SDMA (P < 0.001). SDMA correlated with left atrial volume-index within the whole collective (P = 0.003, r = 0.322) and within the ESUS-subgroup (P = 0.003; r = 0.446). These associations were independent from CHA2DS2VASC and renal function in the regression analysis (P = 0.02 and P = 0.005, respectively). In conclusion, these results highlight SDMA and CIMT as potential markers of atrial cardiopathy and AF in ESUS-patients.

N-Terminal Pro B-Type Natriuretic Peptide's Usefulness for Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation Detection Among Populations Carrying Cardiovascular Risk Factors

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) systematic screening studies have not shown a clear usefulness in stroke prevention, as AF might present as paroxysmal and asymptomatic. This study aims to determine the usefulness of some blood-biomarkers to identify paroxysmal atrial fibrillation in the context of a screening programme. Methods: A total of 100 subjects aged 65-75 years with hypertension and diabetes were randomly selected. AF was assessed by conventional electrocardiogram (ECG) and 4 weeks monitoring with a wearable Holter device (Nuubo™). N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), apolipoprotein CIII (ApoC-III), von Willebrand factor (vWF), ADAMTS13, urokinase plasminogen activator surface receptor (uPAR), and urokinase plasminogen activator (uPA) were determined in serum/plasma samples and the levels were compared depending on AF presence and mode of detection. Results: The AF prevalence in the studied population was found to be 20%. In seven subjects, AF was only detected after 1 month of Holter monitoring (hAF group). NT-proBNP levels were higher in subjects with AF compared with subjects with no AF (p < 0.0001), even when only taking into account the hAF group (p = 0.031). No significant differences were found in the other biomarkers. The NT-proBNP >95 pg/ml cut-off showed high sensitivity and specificity to detect AF (95%, 66.2%) or hAF (85.72%, 66.2%) and was found to be an independent predictor of AF and hAF in a logistic regression analysis. NT-proBNP correlated with AF burden (r = 0.597, p = 0.024). Conclusion: NT-proBNP was elevated in AF cases not identified by ECG; thus, it may be used as a screening biomarker in asymptomatic high-risk populations, with a promising cut-off point of 95 pg/ml that requires further validation.

Comparison of continuous 24-h and 14-day monitoring for detection of otherwise unknown atrial fibrillation: a registry to identify Japanese concealed atrial fibrillation (REAL-AF)-based study

Early detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) is desirable for preventing strokes. Not only does AF often go undetected in patients being followed up for various disease conditions, but the optimal detection method also remains to be elucidated. In a prospective observational study of 24-h Holter monitoring versus 14-day external loop recording performed for detection of previously undiagnosed AF in 868 Japanese outpatients (aged 75 ± 6 years), with a CHA2DS2-vasc score ≥ 1, but no prior AF episodes, AF was detected during the initial monitoring period in 16 (1.8%) patients, in 7 (1.1% [7/645]) by 24-h monitoring and 9 (4.0% [9/223]) by 14-day monitoring (P = 0.005), and overall in 32 (3.7%) during the 1-year study period. Absence of a beta-blocker therapy and the serum N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide level were independent predictors of a new detection of AF. Oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy was given to 22 (69%) of the 32 patients in whom AF was detected, and no difference in the incidence of subsequent major adverse events was found between the patients managed with and without oral OAC therapy. Previously unknown AF was documented at a prevalence of 3.7% per year among Japanese with a notable CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, and 14-day external loop monitoring was significantly more effective for detection of the disorder. A large-scale prospective AF screening study conducted to clarify the type or types of patients who would benefit from "early" OAC therapy for primary stroke prevention is warranted.

Atrial fibrillation in cryptogenic stroke and transient ischaemic attack - The Nordic Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke (NOR-FIB) Study: Rationale and design

Purpose

Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation is often suspected as a probable cause of cryptogenic stroke. Continuous long-term ECG monitoring using insertable cardiac monitors is a clinically effective technique to screen for atrial fibrillation and superior to conventional follow-up in cryptogenic stroke. However, more studies are needed to identify factors which can help selecting patients with the highest possibility of detecting atrial fibrillation with prolonged rhythm monitoring. The clinical relevance of short-term atrial fibrillation, the need for medical intervention and the evaluation as to whether intervention results in improved clinical outcomes should be assessed.

Method

The Nordic Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke Study is an international, multicentre, prospective, observational trial evaluating the occurrence of occult atrial fibrillation in cryptogenic stroke and transient ischaemic attack. Patients with cryptogenic stroke or transient ischaemic attack from the Nordic countries are included and will have the Reveal LINQ® Insertable cardiac monitor system implanted for 12 months for atrial fibrillation detection. Biomarkers which can be used as predictors for atrial fibrillation and may identify patients, who could derive the most clinical benefit from the detection of atrial fibrillation by prolonged monitoring, are being studied.

Conclusion

The primary endpoint is atrial fibrillation burden within 12 months of continuous rhythm monitoring. Secondary endpoints are atrial fibrillation burden within six months, levels of biomarkers predicting atrial fibrillation, CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, incidence of recurrent stroke or transient ischaemic attack, use of anticoagulation and antiarrhythmic drugs, and quality of life measurements. The clinical follow-up period is 12 months. The study started in 2017 and the completion is expected at the end of 2020.

Assessment of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide level in screening for atrial fibrillation in primary health care

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF), an important cause of thromboembolic events, is often silent and intermittent, thus presenting a diagnostic challenge. The aim of this study was to assess whether the plasma level of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is related to the presence of AF and thereby might be used to facilitate screening programs for AF in primary care.

Methods

This was a cross sectional screening study. A population of 70–74-year-old individuals registered at a single primary care center in Stockholm were invited to AF screening. Intermittent ECG recording, 30 seconds twice a day using a hand-held device over 2 weeks, was offered to participants without previously known AF. Of the 324 participating persons, 34 patients had already known AF and 16 new cases of AF were detected by screening. Plasma NT-proBNP was measured in patients with previously known AF, newly detected AF, and 53 control participants without AF.

Findings

The median NT-proBNP was 697 ng/L in patients with previously known AF, 335 ng/L in new cases of AF, and 146 ng/L in patients without AF. After adjustment for several clinical variables and morbidities, the differences of median NT-proBNP levels were statistically significant between cases of previously known AF and new cases of AF as well as between new cases of AF and those without AF. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve of detection of new AF was 0.68 (95% CI 0.56 to 0.79) yielding a cut-off point of 124 ng/L with 75% sensitivity, 45% specificity, and 86% negative predictive value.

Conclusions

The NT-proBNP plasma levels among patients with known AF are higher than those with newly detected AF, and the latter have higher levels than those without AF. Therefore NT-proBNP might be a useful screening marker for the detection of AF and its persistence.

Development and validation of a score to detect paroxysmal atrial fibrillation after stroke

OBJECTIVE

Prolonged monitoring times (72 hours) are recommended to detect paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (pAF) after ischemic stroke but this is not yet clinical practice; therefore, an individual patient selection for prolonged ECG monitoring might increase the diagnostic yield of pAF in a resource-saving manner.

METHODS

We used individual patient data from 3 prospective studies (n_total = 1,556) performing prolonged Holter-ECG monitoring (at least 72 hours) and centralized data evaluation after TIA or stroke in patients with sinus rhythm. Based on the TRIPOD (Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis) guideline, a clinical score was developed on one cohort, internally validated by bootstrapping, and externally validated on 2 other studies.

RESULTS

pAF was detected in 77 of 1,556 patients (4.9%) during 72 hours of Holter monitoring. After logistic regression analysis with variable selection, age and the qualifying stroke event (categorized as stroke severity with NIH Stroke Scale [NIHSS] score ≤5 [odds ratio 2.4 vs TIA; 95% confidence interval 0.8-6.9, p = 0.112] or stroke with NIHSS score >5 [odds ratio 7.2 vs TIA; 95% confidence interval 2.4-21.8, p < 0.001]) were found to be predictive for the detection of pAF within 72 hours of Holter monitoring and included in the final score (Age: 0.76 points/year, Stroke Severity NIHSS ≤5 = 9 points, NIHSS >5 = 21 points; to Find AF [AS5F]). The high-risk group defined by AS5F is characterized by a predicted risk between 5.2% and 40.8% for detection of pAF with a number needed to screen of 3 for the highest observed AS5F points within the study population. Regarding the low number of outcomes before generalization of AS5F, the results need replication.

CONCLUSION

The AS5F score can select patients for prolonged ECG monitoring after ischemic stroke to detect pAF.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class I evidence that the AS5F score accurately identifies patients with ischemic stroke at a higher risk of pAF.

Risk factors for hyperuricemia in congenital heart disease patients and its relation to cardiovascular death

INTRODUCTION

Hyperuricemia has been associated with cardiovascular risk factors but it remains controversial if uric acid is an independent predictor of cardiac mortality.

METHODS

A total of 503 CHD patients (457 nonhypoxemic and 46 hypoxemic) and 772 control patients fulfilled inclusion criteria. Demographic, clinical, and analytical data [serum uric acid and 24h urine uric acid levels, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP), and C-reactive-protein (CRP) concentrations] were studied. Survivals curves to determine cardiac death and arterial thrombosis in CHD patients were also examined.

RESULTS

Noncyanotic and cyanotic CHD patients had significant higher serum uric acid concentration (5.2 ± 1.5 vs 4.9 ± 1.3mg/dL, P = .007 and 6.7 ± 2.1 vs 4.9 ± 1.3mg/dL, P < .001, respectively) and gout (1% vs 0%, P = .003 and 4% vs 0%, P < .01, respectively) than the control population. Among CHD patients, hyperuricemic patients were significant older and with overweight, used more diuretics, were more cyanotic and had higher serum creatinine, NT-pro-BNP and CRP concentrations than nonhyperuricemic. In the multivariable analysis, the body mass index (BMI) (OR 1.09; 95% CI 1.01-1.18), cyanosis (OR 6.2; 95 CI 1.5-24.6), serum creatinine concentration (OR 49; 95% CI 44-538), and being under diuretic treatment (OR 4.5; 95% CI 1.4-14.5) proved to be risk factors for hyperuricemia in CHD patients. The Kaplan-Meier events free survival curves, during a 5.2 ± 2.7 years follow-up of up time, showed that hyperuricemic CHD patients had significant higher cardiovascular death (P = .002). However, after applying the Cox regression analysis uric acid levels lost its statistical significance. No significant differences were seen in relation to thrombotic events between CHD patients with and without hyperuricemia.

CONCLUSIONS

CHD patients, noncyanotic and cyanotic, have higher serum uric acid levels and gout than patients in the general population. BMI, renal insufficiency, cyanosis, and the use of diuretics were risk factor for hyperuricemia among CHD patients.

Clinical Applications of Biomarkers in Atrial Fibrillation

While biomarkers have greatly impacted the diagnosis and management of myocardial infarction and heart failure, the use of biomarkers has been slow to permeate management of atrial fibrillation. Guideline recommendations on the use of biomarkers in atrial fibrillation were virtually nonexistent until the 2016 European Society of Cardiology guidelines on atrial fibrillation offered a class IIb recommendation to consider using biomarkers such as high-sensitivity troponin and natriuretic peptide to further refine stroke and bleeding risk in atrial fibrillation patients. Biomarker levels have been associated with incident atrial fibrillation, postoperative atrial fibrillation, acute atrial fibrillation, diagnosis of myocardial infarction and heart failure in atrial fibrillation, and prognosis in atrial fibrillation. This review will offer an in-depth survey of current evidence on the use of biomarkers in atrial fibrillation and propose clinical algorithms to aid the internist in using biomarkers in atrial fibrillation management.

Stepwise mass screening for atrial fibrillation using N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide: the STROKESTOP II study design

Aim

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent clinical arrhythmia and a major risk factor for ischaemic stroke. Treatment with oral anticoagulants (OACs) reduces the risk of stroke by two thirds in AF patients with risk factors. Due to its often paroxysmal and asymptomatic presentation, AF is sometimes challenging to diagnose. So far, AF screening studies have applied opportunistic or systematic screening, most often using a single 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) recording or ambulatory ECG. We hypothesise that the biomarker N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a valuable adjunct in population based AF screening.

Methods

We are conducting a randomized population-based study on AF screening using ambulatory ECG recording where the decision to use prolonged intermittent ECG recording is directed by NT-proBNP levels, the STROKESTOP II trial. The entire population of inhabitants 75 or 76 years of age (n = 28 712) in the capital region of Sweden will be randomized 1:1 to intervention or control group. In the intervention group NT-proBNP will be analysed in all without previously known AF. Those with NT-proBNP ≤ 125 pg/L will make a single one lead ECG recording, participants with NTproBNP ≥ 125 np/L will be instructed to record ECG for 30 s at least twice daily for 2 weeks with a handheld ambulatory ECG recorder. Participants with newly diagnosed or undertreated AF will be referred to a cardiologist and offered OAC treatment. Primary endpoint is incidence of stroke or systemic embolus, during a 5 year follow-up period in the control group vs the group invited to screening.

N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide in systematic screening for atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

Screening for atrial fibrillation (AF) in individuals aged 65 and above is recommended by the European Society of Cardiology. Increased levels of the biomarker N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) has in cohort studies been associated with incident AF.The aim of this study was to assess whether NT-proBNP could be useful for AF detection in systematic screening.

METHODS

The Strokestop study entailed 7173 Swedish residents aged 75/76 that were screened for AF using twice daily intermittent ECG recordings during 2 weeks. In a substudy of 886 participants, the last 815 consecutive participants and 71 individuals with newly detected AF, levels of NT-proBNP were determined.

RESULTS

Participants with newly detected AF (n=96) had a median NT-proBNP of 330 ng/L (IQR 121;634). In individuals without AF (n=742), median NT-proBNP was 171 ng/L (IQR 95;283), p<0.001. The CHA₂DS₂-VASc parameters did not differ significantly between individuals with newly detected AF and without AF nor between newly detected AF in the NT-proBNP cohort compared with the cohort where NT-proBNP was not assessed. Using an NT-proBNP cut-off of ≥125 ng/L in a non-acute setting yielded a negative predictive value of 92%, meaning that 35% fewer participants would need to be screened when applied to systematic AF screening. Adding weight to NT-proBNP further reduced participants needed to be screened with a preserved sensitivity.

CONCLUSIONS

NT-proBNP was increased in individuals with newly detected AF. Prospective studies could clarify if NT-proBNP can be used to correctly select individuals that benefit most from AF screening.

CLINICAL TRIALS

ClinicalTrials.gov. Identifier: NCT01593553.