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Sahu D, Kumar P, Chandra N, Rajan S, Shukla DK, Venkatesh S, Nair S, Kumar A, Singh J, Reddy S, Godbole S, Elangovan A, Saha MK, Rai S, Lakshmi PVM, Gambhir T, Ammassari S, Joshi D, Das A, Bakshi P, Chakraborty S, Palkar A, Singh SK, Reddy DCS, Kant S, Pandey A, Vardhana Rao MV. Findings from the 2017 HIV estimation round & trend analysis of key indicators 2010-2017: Evidence for prioritising HIV/AIDS programme in India. Indian J Med Res 2021; 151:562-570. [PMID: 32719229 PMCID: PMC7602920 DOI: 10.4103/ijmr.ijmr_1619_19] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background & objectives: The National AIDS Control Organisation (NACO) and the ICMR-National Institute of Medical Statistics, the nodal agency for conducting HIV estimations in India, have been generating HIV estimates regularly since 2003. The objective of this study was to describe India's biennial HIV estimation 2017 process, data inputs, tool, methodology and epidemiological assumptions used to generate the HIV estimates and trends of key indicators for 2010-2017 at national and State/Union Territory levels. Methods: Demographic Projection (DemProj) and AIDS Impact Modules (AIM) of Spectrum 5.63 software recommended by the United Nations Programme on HIV and AIDS Global Reference Group on HIV Estimates, Modelling and Projections, were used for generating HIV estimations on key indicators. HIV sentinel surveillance, epidemiological and programme data were entered into Estimation Projection Package (EPP), and curve fitting was done using EPP classic model. Finally, calibration was done using the State HIV prevalence of two rounds of National Family Health Survey (NFHS) -3 and -4 and Integrated Biological and Behavioural Surveillance (IBBS), 2014-2015. Results: The national adult prevalence of HIV was estimated to be 0.22 per cent in 2017. Mizoram, Manipur and Nagaland had the highest prevalence over one per cent. An estimated 2.1 million people were living with HIV in 2017, with Maharashtra estimated to have the highest number. Of the 88 thousand annual new HIV infections estimated nationally in 2017, Telangana accounted for the largest share. HIV incidence was found to be higher among key population groups, especially people who inject drugs. The annual AIDS-related deaths were estimated to be 69 thousand nationally. For all indicators, geographic variation in levels and trends between States existed. Interpretation & conclusions: With a slow decline in annual new HIV infections by only 27 per cent from 2010 to 2017 against the national target of 75 per cent by 2020, the national target to end AIDS by 2030 may be missed; although at the sub-national level some States have made better progress to reduce new HIV infection. It calls for reinforcement of HIV prevention, diagnosis and treatment efforts by geographical regions and population groups.
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Affiliation(s)
- Damodar Sahu
- ICMR-National Institute of Medical Statistics, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Pradeep Kumar
- Division of Strategic lnformation - Surveillance and Epidemiology, National AIDS Control Organisation, Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Government of India, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Nalini Chandra
- Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS, New Delhi, India
| | - Shobini Rajan
- Division of Strategic lnformation - Surveillance and Epidemiology, National AIDS Control Organisation, Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Government of India, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - D K Shukla
- ICMR-National Institute of Medical Statistics, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - S Venkatesh
- Principal Advisor to Board of Governors, Medical Council of India, New Delhi, India
| | - Saritha Nair
- ICMR-National Institute of Medical Statistics, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Anil Kumar
- ICMR-National Institute of Medical Statistics, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Jitenkumar Singh
- ICMR-National Institute of Medical Statistics, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Srikanth Reddy
- ICMR-National Institute of Medical Statistics, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Sheela Godbole
- ICMR-National AIDS Research Institute, Pune, Maharashtra, India
| | - A Elangovan
- Computing and Information Sciences, ICMR-National Institute of Epidemiology, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - M K Saha
- Department of Virology, ICMR-National Institute of Cholera & Enteric Diseases, Kolkata, West Bengal, India
| | - Sanjay Rai
- Centre for Community Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - P V M Lakshmi
- Department of Community Medicine and School of Public Health, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education & Research, Chandigarh, India
| | - T Gambhir
- Department of Community Medicine, Regional Institute of Medical Sciences, Imphal, Manipur, India
| | | | | | - Amitabh Das
- Odisha State AIDS Control Society, Bhubaneswar, Odisha, India
| | - Poonam Bakshi
- Chandigarh State AIDS Control Society, Chandigarh, India
| | | | - Amol Palkar
- Mumbai District AIDS Control Society, Maharashtra, India
| | - S K Singh
- Department of Mathematical Demography and Statistics, International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai, India
| | - D C S Reddy
- Department of Community Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, Uttar Pradesh, India
| | - Shashi Kant
- Centre for Community Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Arvind Pandey
- ICMR-National Institute of Medical Statistics, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
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Nayyar C, Chander R, Gupta P, Sherwal BL. Co-infection of human immunodeficiency virus and sexually transmitted infections in circumcised and uncircumcised cases in India. Indian J Sex Transm Dis AIDS 2014. [PMID: 26396445 PMCID: PMC4553838 DOI: 10.4103/2589-0557.142405] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS), is now one of the greatest challenges facing the world. Sexual transmission is the primary route of human immunodeficiency virus infection worldwide. Male circumcision is being considered as strategy to reduce the burden of HIV/AIDS. MATERIAL AND METHODS The present study was conducted on 200 HIV positive clients. They were screened for bacterial causes of STIs (Chlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, Treponema pallidum and Gardnerella vaginalis). RESULTS There were 138 males and 62 females. The males were examined and the circumcision status was observed. In the females, circumcision status of their male partners was observed. The coinfection of HIV and STIs in circumcised and uncircumcised cases was found out. Diagnosis was made using standard tests. A total of 23% cases were diagnosed to have HIV -STI coinfection. Most common diagnosed diseases were Chlamydia (10%), Gonorrhoea (9%), Bacterial Vaginosis (4.8%) and Syphilis (2.5%). The coinfection rate in uncircumcised cases was found to be higher (29.2% in males and 39.2% in females) as compared to the circumcised cases (14.2% in males and 13.6% in females). CONCLUSION The present study suggests that circumcision is a protective factor for acquisition of STIs in HIV positive clients but other factors like sexual behaviours, use of barrier contraceptives, drug abuse etc also play a role.
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Affiliation(s)
- Charu Nayyar
- Department of Microbiology, Lady Hardinge Medical College, New Delhi, India
| | - Ram Chander
- Department of Dermatology, Lady Hardinge Medical College, New Delhi, India
| | - Poonam Gupta
- Department of Microbiology, Lady Hardinge Medical College, New Delhi, India
| | - B. L. Sherwal
- Department of Microbiology, Lady Hardinge Medical College, New Delhi, India,Address for correspondence: Dr. B. L. Sherwal, Department of Microbiology, Lady Hardinge Medical College, New Delhi - 110 001, India. E-mail:
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Becker ML, Ramesh BM, Washington RG, Halli S, Blanchard JF, Moses S. Prevalence and determinants of HIV infection in South India: a heterogeneous, rural epidemic. AIDS 2007; 21:739-47. [PMID: 17413695 DOI: 10.1097/qad.0b013e328012b885] [Citation(s) in RCA: 39] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To assess the prevalence and determinants of HIV infection in the general population in Bagalkot district, a largely rural district in the southern Indian state of Karnataka. METHODS Approximately 6700 individuals aged 15-49 years were randomly sampled from 10 villages and six towns, from three of Bagalkot's six sub-districts. Each consenting respondent was administered a questionnaire, followed by blood collection and testing for HIV, syphilis, and herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) on a 25% sub-sample. RESULTS HIV prevalence was 2.9% overall, 2.4% in urban areas and 3.6% in rural areas [odds ratio (OR), 0.65; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.45-0.95]. Significant differences in HIV prevalence were seen between the three sub-districts, with prevalences of 1.1, 3.0 and 6.4% (P < 0.05), and HIV prevalence in the 10 villages ranged from 0 to 8.2%. Reported multiple sexual partners, receiving money for sex and a history of medical injections were significantly associated with HIV infection, as were older age, being widowed, divorced, separated or deserted, lower education levels and being a woman of a lower caste. There was a strong association between HSV-2 and HIV infection (OR, 5.2; 95% CI, 2.3-11.5). CONCLUSIONS The rural nature of this epidemic has important implications for prevention and care programs. The striking differentials observed in HIV prevalence between sub-districts and even villages suggest that risk and vulnerability for HIV are highly heterogeneous. Further research is required to understand the individual and community-level factors behind these differentials, so that preventive interventions can be directed to where they are most needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marissa L Becker
- Department of Medical Microbiology, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada.
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Chandrasekaran P, Dallabetta G, Loo V, Rao S, Gayle H, Alexander A. Containing HIV/AIDS in India: the unfinished agenda. THE LANCET. INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2006; 6:508-21. [PMID: 16870529 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(06)70551-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 147] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Abstract
India's HIV epidemic is not yet contained and prevention in populations most at risk (high-risk groups) needs to be enhanced and expanded. HIV prevalence as measured through surveillance of antenatal and sexually transmitted disease clinics is the chief source of information on HIV in India, but these data cannot provide real insight into where transmission is occurring or guide programme strategy. The factors that influence the Indian epidemic are the size, behaviours, and disease burdens of high-risk groups, their interaction with bridge populations and general population sexual networks, and migration and mobility of both bridge populations and high-risk groups. The interplay of these forces has resulted in substantial epidemics in several pockets of many Indian states that could potentially ignite subepidemics in other, currently low prevalence, parts of the country. The growth of HIV, unless contained, could have serious consequences for India's development. India's national response to HIV began in 1992 and has shown early success in some states. The priority is to build on those successes by increasing prevention coverage of high-risk groups to saturation level, enhancing access and uptake of care and treatment services, ensuring systems and capacity for evidence-based programming, and building in-country technical and managerial capacity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Padma Chandrasekaran
- Avahan-India AIDS Initiative, The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, New Delhi, India
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