Examining the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on community virus prevalence and healthcare utilisation reveals that peaks in asthma, COPD and respiratory tract infection occur with the re-emergence of rhino/enterovirus

Trends of antibiotic use for acute upper respiratory infections in Chinese emergency departments and the impact of COVID-19: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

The emergence of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has impacted antibiotic use; however, studies on antibiotic use for acute upper respiratory infections (AURIs) in Chinese emergency department (ED) settings are still scarce.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore trends and patterns in antibiotic use and the impact of COVID-19 in Chinese ED settings.

METHODS

A cross-sectional, retrospective analysis was conducted using prescriptions for ED visits due to AURIs through the Hospital Prescription Analysis Cooperative Project Database between 2018 and 2023. We examined patterns of antibiotic use for AURIs and employed an interrupted time series analysis to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on antibiotic use. The proportion of antibiotic prescriptions adhering to first-line guideline recommendations was also evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 1,972,270 prescriptions for AURIs from 108 hospitals in EDs were extracted. The antibiotic prescription rate (APR) was 58.44%. The predominant antibiotics prescribed for AURIs were second- and third-generation cephalosporins and azithromycin. Among these prescriptions, only 22.26% adhered to first-line guideline recommendations, while 83.82% involved Watch-group antibiotics. A substantial decrease in antibiotic consumption was observed at the onset of the pandemic, but no significant changes were found in the APR. After the relaxation of anti-COVID-19 measures, both antibiotic consumption and the APR exhibited an upward trend. However, neither returned to pre-pandemic levels.

CONCLUSION

Antibiotic use for AURIs was prevalent in ED settings, with a predominant use of broad-spectrum and Watch-group antibiotics. After the lifting of pandemic control measures, both antibiotic consumption and the APR exhibited an upward trend, underscoring the need to reinforce antimicrobial stewardship, particular targeting broad-spectrum and Watch-group antibiotic use.

Healthcare utilization trends in adults with asthma or COPD during the first year of COVID-19 pandemic in comparison to pre-pandemic: A population-based study

OBJECTIVES

To assess how changes in outpatient services during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic were related to acute healthcare use (emergency department or hospitalizations) for individuals with asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

METHODS

We conducted an observational study using health administrative data in Ontario (Canada) from January 2016 to March 2021 on all adults with diagnosed asthma or COPD. We used monthly time series auto-regressive integrated moving-average (ARIMA) and pre-pandemic monthly rates (January 2016 to February 2020) to calculate projected rates (i.e., a pandemic had not occurred) during the pandemic (March 2020 to March 2021), and Quasi-Poisson models with two-way interaction to estimate crude and adjusted rate ratios.

RESULTS

In the first pandemic year, in individuals with asthma or COPD, outpatient visit rates started lower than projected (Mar-May 2020), returned to projected in the middle of the year (Jun-Aug 2020) and then rose to higher than projected between Sep 2020 and Mar 2021: observed rates of 80,293 per 100,000 persons vs. projected 74,192 (95% CI: 68,926-79,868) in individuals with asthma, and 92,651 vs. projected 85,871 (95% CI: 79,975-92,207) in individuals with COPD. Acute care rates remained below projected during the first pandemic year. While pulmonary function test (PFT) rates remained below projected during the first pandemic year, in both populations, a decrease in acute care visits during the pandemic, compared to pre-pandemic, was noted during months with the highest PFT rates (interaction p-values < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite asthma and COPD being ambulatory-care sensitive conditions, lower rates of outpatient visits during the beginning of the pandemic were not associated with increased rates of acute care use. Lower PFT rates were associated with higher acute care visit rates, suggesting that access to PFT during pandemic is likely important for individuals with asthma or COPD.

Change in exacerbation rate of COPD patients before and after COVID-19 infection

The COVID-19 pandemic has profoundly affected global health system, significantly altering not only the acute management of viral infection, but also management strategies for chronic diseases. This study aimed to investigate the impact of COVID-19 infection on exacerbation rates and the economic burden in patients with COPD. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from the national insurance reimbursement data of South Korea. Eligible participants included COPD patients diagnosed with COVID-19 between January and December 2020. We analyzed exacerbation rates, healthcare utilization, and medical costs pre- and post-COVID-19 infection. In 3,445 COPD patients who were infected by COVID-19, COVID-19 infection resulted in increased annual moderate-to-severe and severe exacerbations compared to pre-COVID-19 infection (IRR = 1.062 [95%CI 1.027-1.099]; IRR = 1.315 [95%CI 1.182-1.481], respectively). Among previously non-exacerbators, 11.2% of patients transitioned to exacerbator after COVID-19 infection. Older age, comorbidities and use of triple therapy were the factors associated with transitioners. Direct medical costs escalated significantly from approximately $6810 to $11,032, reflecting the increased intensity of care after COVID-19 infection. COVID-19 infection has significantly increased rate of exacerbations in patients with COPD and imposed a heavier economic burden on healthcare system. Among non-exacerbators, substantial number of patients transitioned to exacerbators after COVID-19 infection.

Effects of nonpharmaceutical interventions during COVID-19 pandemic on pediatric asthma exacerbations and viral infections

Background

The emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in March 2020 led to the implementation of nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to curb its spread. Studies have shown that adult asthma exacerbations and viral infections decreased during NPI use. However, few studies have shown the effects of NPIs on pediatric asthma exacerbations and infections during and after the pandemic.

Objective

This study aimed to understand the impact of NPIs on asthma exacerbations and viral respiratory infections in pediatric patients at our institution from March 2018 to December 2022.

Methods

The medical record numbers of children with asthma exacerbations seen at our institution between March 2018 and December 2022 were analyzed. Subjects were categorized on the basis of timing of their exacerbation in relation to NPI enforcement. We used the results from clinical testing with the BioFire Respiratory Panel (BRP) to detect up to 22 respiratory pathogens and then correlated these results with asthma exacerbation severity.

Results

There were 5,758 asthma exacerbations recorded, with a 50% decline in average weekly exacerbations during NPI enforcement. Of the 70,682 BRP tests performed, 87% returned a positive result for at least 1 pathogen. Several viruses (respiratory syncytial virus, parainfluenza, and influenza) had a decrease in positivity rate with NPIs, whereas rhinovirus/enterovirus positivity rates were unchanged throughout the pandemic. Asthma exacerbations with a positive BRP result required higher clinical levels of care during the admission.

Conclusion

NPIs were associated with significantly reduced numbers of asthma exacerbations and respiratory viral infections. The post-NPI period saw a return to prepandemic levels of asthma exacerbations and an unusual surge in respiratory syncytial virus infections, emphasizing the need for continuous monitoring and adaptive strategies in the postpandemic landscape.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mechanical ventilation cases and mortality rates in non-SARS-CoV-2 patients: A nationwide analysis in Spain

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic has presented unprecedented challenges for healthcare systems globally, impacting critical care resources and patient outcomes. Understanding its multifaceted effects is crucial for future crisis response.

OBJECTIVE

Analyze the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on mechanical ventilation cases and mortality among non-SARS-CoV-2 patients.

METHODS

A nationwide database encompassing all patients receiving mechanical ventilation in Spain was used to compare the number of cases and clinical outcomes during COVID-19 (March 2020 - December 2021) to pre-pandemic cases (May 2018 - February 2020). Univariate and multivariate analyses were employed.

RESULTS

COVID-19 significantly reduced access to ventilation for non-COVID-19 patients. A 16 % decrease (12,099 fewer patients) was observed during the pandemic compared to pre-pandemic times. This reduction affected all analyzed conditions except self-inflicted injuries, coinciding with a rise in overall mortality risk (34.5% vs 35.6 %, OR 1.09, 95 %CI 1.06-1.12). The increased mortality was consistent across diverse admission types, including cancer (37.1% vs. 41.5 %, OR 1.18, 95 %CI 1.09-1.29), hemorrhagic strokes (55.4% vs. 56.6 %, OR 1.07, 95 %CI 1.02-1.20), acute myocardial infarction (35.6% vs. 38 %, OR 1.11, 95 %CI 1.01-1.21), non-SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia (44.5% vs. 45.8 %, OR 1.12, 95 %CI 1.02-1.24), septic shock (54.7% vs. 56.3 %, OR 1.10, 95 %CI 1.06-1.15), and prolonged ventilation (≥96 h) (37% vs. 38.2 %, OR 1.10, 95 %CI 1.06-1.10).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings underscore the profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on critical care utilization and patient outcomes among non-SARS-CoV-2 patients. As healthcare systems strive to mitigate future crises, these insights emphasize adaptable strategies for equitable access to life-saving treatments.

Trends in hospitalisations for lower respiratory infections after the COVID-19 pandemic in France

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to evaluate the impact of the pandemic and post-pandemic periods on hospital admissions for LRTI, with a focus on patients with chronic respiratory disease (CRD).

METHODS

From July 2013 to June 2023, monthly numbers of adult hospitalisations for LRTI (excluding SARS-CoV-2) were extracted from the French National Hospital Discharge Database. They were modelled by regressions with autocorrelated errors. Three periods were defined: (1) early pandemic and successive lockdowns; (2) gradual lifting of restrictions and widespread SARS-CoV-2 vaccination; (3) withdrawal of restriction measures.

RESULTS

Pre-pandemic incidence was 96 (90.5 to 101.5) per 100,000 population. Compared with the pre-pandemic period, no more seasonality and significant reductions were estimated in the first two periods: -43.64% (-50.11 to -37.17) and -32.97% (-39.88 to -26.05), respectively. A rebound with a positive trend and a seasonal pattern was observed in period 3. Similar results were observed for CRD patients with no significant difference with pre-pandemic levels in the last period (-9.21%; -20.9% to 1.67%), albeit with differential changes according to the type of CRD.

CONCLUSIONS

COVID-19 pandemic containment measures contributed to changes in LRTI incidence, with a rapid increase and return to a seasonal pattern after their lifting, particularly in patients with CRD.

Model informed dose regimen optimizing in development of leritrelvir for the treatment of mild or moderate COVID-19

Introduction

Leritrelvir (RAY1216) acts as a main protease inhibitor that hinders the cleavage of viral precursor proteins, thereby inhibiting virus replication of SARS-CoV-2). This antiviral mechanism has shown significant efficacy against the novel coronavirus. Preclinical studies have demonstrated the potent antiviral activity and favorable safety profile of this compound. This study aims to develop a pharmacokinetic model for leritrelvir, with and without ritonavir as a pharmacokinetic enhancer and to evaluate the necessity of co-administration with ritonavir and to investigate different dosage regimens.

Method

The model establishment was based on plasma concentration data from a phase I trial involving 72 subjects in single-ascending dose (SAD), multiple-ascending dose (MAD), and a food effect cohort. Analysis was conducted using a nonlinear mixed-effects model, and clinical trial simulations were carried out.

Results

The findings of this study demonstrate a favorable safety profile for leritrelvir. With simulation suggests that a 400 mg thrice-daily (TID) regimen may be optimal to maintain the trough concentrations (Ctrough) above levels required for inhibiiting viral replication. While ritonavir was found to enhance exposure, it was deemed unnecessary. Gender and food consumption were identified as significant covariates affecting pharmacokinetic parameters, however, no dose adjustments were deemed necessary.

Discussion

This findings supported by subsequent phase II and phase III trials validated the appropriateness of a 400 mg TID regimen for the administration of leritrelvir.

Modifiable risk factors for asthma exacerbations during the COVID-19 pandemic: a population-based repeated cross-sectional study using the Research and Surveillance Centre primary care database

Background

There were substantial reductions in asthma exacerbations during the COVID-19 pandemic for reasons that remain poorly understood. We investigated changes in modifiable risk factors which might help explain the reductions in asthma exacerbations.

Methods

Multilevel generalised linear mixed models were fitted to examine changes in modifiable risk factors for asthma exacerbations during 2020-2022, compared to pre-pandemic year (2019), using observational, routine data from general practices in the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre. Asthma exacerbations were defined as any of GP recorded: asthma exacerbations, prescriptions of prednisolone, accident and emergency department attendance or hospitalisation for asthma. Modifiable risk factors of interest were ownership of asthma self-management plan, asthma annual review, inhaled-corticosteroid (ICS) prescriptions, influenza vaccinations and respiratory-tract-infections (RTI).

Findings

Compared with 2019 (n = 550,995), in 2020 (n = 565,956) and 2022 (n = 562,167) (p < 0.05): asthma exacerbations declined from 67.1% to 51.9% and 61.1%, the proportion of people who had: asthma exacerbations reduced from 20.4% to 15.1% and 18.5%, asthma self-management plans increased from 28.6% to 37.7% and 55.9%; ICS prescriptions increased from 69.9% to 72.0% and 71.1%; influenza vaccinations increased from 14.2% to 25.4% and 55.3%; current smoking declined from 15.0% to 14.5% and 14.7%; lower-RTI declined from 10.5% to 5.3% and 8.1%; upper-RTI reduced from 10.7% to 5.8% and 7.6%. There was cluster effect of GP practices on asthma exacerbations (p = 0.001). People with asthma were more likely (p < 0.05) to have exacerbations if they had LRTI (seven times(x)), had URTI and ILI (both twice), were current smokers (1.4x), PPV vaccinated (1.3x), seasonal flu vaccinated (1.01x), took ICS (1.3x), had asthma reviews (1.09x). People with asthma were less likely to have exacerbations if they had self-management plan (7%), and were partially (4%) than fully COVID-19 vaccinated.

Interpretation

We have identified changes in modifiable risk factors for asthma exacerbation that need to be maintained in the post-pandemic era.

Funding

Asthma UK Centre for Applied Research and Health Data Research UK.

Epidemiological surveillance of respiratory viral infections in SARS-CoV-2-negative samples during COVID-19 pandemic in Iran

BACKGROUND

To improve the patient care, public health surveillance, and infection control, it is crucial to identify the presence and frequency of the common respiratory infections in individuals with COVID-19 symptoms but tested negative for SARS-CoV-2. This study aimed to shed light on this during the COVID-19 pandemic in Iran.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, a total of 1,002 patients with acute respiratory infection who had negative SARS-CoV-2 test results and referred to Valfajr Health Center, the National Collaborating Laboratory of Influenza and COVID-19 National Reference Laboratory at Pasteur Institute of Iran were recruited between January 2020 and January 2022. Nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab samples were collected to detect 17 common respiratory viruses via TaqMan one-step real-time multiplex PCR. Demographic and clinical data of the participants were obtained from their electronic medical records.

RESULTS

In total, 218 samples (21.8%) were tested positive for at least one respiratory virus infection. Most of the common investigated respiratory viruses belonged to the years 2020 and 2022. The number of investigated patients in 2021 was few, which highlights the impact of health measures following the COVID-19 pandemic in Iran. Influenza A was the most common virus (5.8%), while adenovirus had the lowest prevalence (0.1%). Although the rate of respiratory virus infection was higher in men (24%) compared to women (19.3%), this difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.069). The prevalence of respiratory viruses had an inverse association with increasing age, with the highest rate (55.6%) observed in the age group below 2 years and the lowest rate (12.7%) in those above 65 years.

CONCLUSION

Our findings underscore the significance of adopting a comprehensive approach to respiratory infections detection and management. These results can be employed for the development of syndromic surveillance systems and implementation of the effective infection control measures. Furthermore, the results contribute to better understanding of the dynamics of respiratory viruses, both during pandemic periods and in non-pandemic contexts.

Population-level trends in asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease emergency department visits and hospitalizations before and during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic in the United States

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have identified reductions in exacerbations of chronic lung disease in many locales after onset of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the population-level impacts of COVID-19 on asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations-with a focus on disadvantaged communities-in the United States.

METHODS

We analyzed 2016 to 2020 county-level data on asthma and COPD acute care use, with myocardial infarction hospitalizations as a comparator condition. We linked this with county-level lower respiratory disease mortality data. We calculated rates of emergency department (ED) visits, hospitalizations, and deaths and evaluated changes using linear regressions adjusted for year and county-fixed effects. For a supplementary analysis, we calculated ED visit rates nationwide for asthma, COPD, or any diagnosis using the 2016 to 2020 National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey.

RESULTS

Our county-level data included 685 counties in 13 states. Rates of each outcome fell in 2020. In adjusted analyses, we found large reductions in asthma and COPD ED visit rates (eg, a 21.5 per 10,000-person reduction in COPD ED visits; 95% confidence interval, -23.8 to -19.1), with smaller reductions in hospitalizations and chronic lower respiratory mortality. Disadvantaged communities had mostly higher baseline rates of respiratory morbidity and larger absolute reductions in some outcomes. Among 90,808 ED visits in the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, asthma ED visits/y fell 33% during the pandemic and COPD visits by 51%; overall ED visits fell by only 7%.

CONCLUSION

Onset of the COVID-19 pandemic coincided with reductions in acute care utilization for asthma and COPD. Understanding the mechanism of this reduction might inform future efforts to prevent exacerbations.