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Bilal AI, Bititci US, Fenta TG. Challenges and the Way Forward in Demand-Forecasting Practices within the Ethiopian Public Pharmaceutical Supply Chain. PHARMACY 2024; 12:86. [PMID: 38921962 PMCID: PMC11207870 DOI: 10.3390/pharmacy12030086] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2024] [Revised: 05/20/2024] [Accepted: 05/24/2024] [Indexed: 06/27/2024] Open
Abstract
This study delves into the challenges of pharmaceutical forecasting within the Ethiopian public pharmaceutical supply chain, which is vital for ensuring medicine availability and optimizing healthcare delivery. t It aims to identify and analyze key hindrances to pharmaceutical forecasting in Ethiopia, employing qualitative analysis through semi-structured interviews with stakeholders. Thematic analysis using NVIVO 14 software reveals challenges including finance-related constraints, workforce shortages, and data quality issues. Financial challenges arise from funding uncertainties, causing delayed procurement and stockouts. Workforce shortages hinder accurate forecasting, while data quality issues result from incomplete and untimely reporting. Recommendations include prioritizing healthcare financing, investing in workforce development, and improving data quality through technological advancements and enhanced coordination among stakeholders.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arebu Issa Bilal
- Department of Pharmaceutics and Social Pharmacy, School of Pharmacy, College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa P.O. Box 9086, Ethiopia;
| | - Umit Sezer Bititci
- Edinburgh Business School, Heriot Watt University, Edinburgh EH14 4AS, UK;
| | - Teferi Gedif Fenta
- Department of Pharmaceutics and Social Pharmacy, School of Pharmacy, College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa P.O. Box 9086, Ethiopia;
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Christian RJ, Baccon J, Knollmann-Ritschel B, Elliott K, Laposata M, Conran RM. The Need for Laboratory Medicine in the Undergraduate Medical Education Curriculum: A White Paper from the Association of Pathology Chairs. MEDICAL SCIENCE EDUCATOR 2024; 34:193-200. [PMID: 38510385 PMCID: PMC10948729 DOI: 10.1007/s40670-023-01895-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/21/2023] [Indexed: 03/22/2024]
Abstract
Considering laboratory results are used to make medical decisions, a fundamental understanding of laboratory medicine is paramount to enhance patient care, optimize health care cost containment, and prevent legal repercussions. With increasing laboratory testing complexity, this education is needed now more than ever. This article is a call to action to have medical schools adequately incorporate practical laboratory medicine content into their undergraduate medical education (UME) curricula. The authors discuss the definition of laboratory medicine, what it encompasses, who uses it and why it matters, and propose that a core laboratory medicine curriculum is a necessary part of UME.
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Affiliation(s)
- R. J. Christian
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Oregon Health & Science University, 3181 S.W. Sam Jackson Park Road, L-113 Portland, OR USA
| | - J. Baccon
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Akron Children’s Hospital, Akron, OH USA
- Department of Pathology, Northeast Ohio Medical University, Rootstown, OH USA
| | - B. Knollmann-Ritschel
- Department of Pathology, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD USA
| | - K. Elliott
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, University of Vermont Medical Center, Burlington, VT USA
| | - M. Laposata
- Department of Pathology, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX USA
| | - R. M. Conran
- Department of Pathology and Anatomy, Eastern Virginia Medical School, Norfolk, VA USA
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3
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Chen S, Kuhn M, Prettner K, Bloom DE, Wang C. Macro-level efficiency of health expenditure: Estimates for 15 major economies. Soc Sci Med 2021; 287:114270. [PMID: 34482274 PMCID: PMC8412416 DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2021.114270] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2021] [Revised: 07/05/2021] [Accepted: 07/23/2021] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic highlights the importance of strong and resilient health systems. Yet how much a society should spend on healthcare is difficult to determine because additional health expenditures imply lower expenditures on other types of consumption. Furthermore, the welfare-maximizing ("efficient") aggregate amount and composition of health expenditures depend on efficiency concepts at three levels that often get blurred in the debate. While the understanding of efficiency is good at the micro- and meso-levels-that is, relating to minimal spending for a given bundle of treatments and to the optimal mix of different treatments, respectively-this understanding rarely links to the efficiency of aggregate health expenditure at the macroeconomic level. While micro- and meso-efficiency are necessary for macro-efficiency, they are not sufficient. We propose a novel framework of a macro-efficiency score to assess welfare-maximizing aggregate health expenditure. This allows us to assess the extent to which selected major economies underspend or overspend on health relative to their gross domestic products per capita. We find that all economies under consideration underspend on healthcare with the exception of the United States. Underspending is particularly severe in China, India, and the Russian Federation. Our study emphasizes that the major and urgent issue in many countries is underspending on health at the macroeconomic level, rather than containing costs at the microeconomic level.
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Affiliation(s)
- Simiao Chen
- Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China; Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Michael Kuhn
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria; Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, OeAW, University of Vienna), Vienna Institute of Demography, Vienna, Austria
| | - Klaus Prettner
- Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, OeAW, University of Vienna), Vienna Institute of Demography, Vienna, Austria; Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU), Department of Economics, Vienna, Austria
| | - David E Bloom
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Chen Wang
- Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing, China; Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Center of Respiratory Medicine, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China; Chinese Academy of Engineering, Beijing, China.
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Cabral M, Mahoney N. Externalities and Taxation of Supplemental Insurance: A Study of Medicare and Medigap. AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL. APPLIED ECONOMICS 2019; 11:37-73. [PMID: 38415048 PMCID: PMC10898213 DOI: 10.1257/app.20160350] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/29/2024]
Abstract
Most health insurance uses cost-sharing to reduce excess utilization. Supplemental insurance can blunt the impact of this cost-sharing, increasing utilization and exerting a negative externality on the primary insurer. This paper estimates the effect of private Medigap supplemental insurance on public Medicare spending using Medigap premium discontinuities in local medical markets that span state boundaries. Using administrative data on the universe of Medicare beneficiaries, we estimate that Medigap increases an individual's Medicare spending by 22.2 percent. We calculate that a 15 percent tax on Medigap premiums generates savings of $12.9 billion annually with a standard error of $4.9 billion.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marika Cabral
- University of Texas Austin, 1 University Station BRB 1.116, C3100 Austin, TX 78712, and NBER
| | - Neale Mahoney
- Chicago Booth, 5807 S. Woodlawn Ave. Chicago, IL 60637, and NBER
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Martin LT, Plough A, Carman KG, Leviton L, Bogdan O, Miller CE. Strengthening Integration Of Health Services And Systems. Health Aff (Millwood) 2018; 35:1976-1981. [PMID: 27834236 DOI: 10.1377/hlthaff.2016.0605] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/17/2023]
Abstract
New care delivery models that hold providers more accountable for coordinated, high-quality care and the overall health of their patients have appeared in the US health care system, spurred by recent legislation such as the Affordable Care Act. These models support the integration of health care systems, but maximizing health and well-being for all individuals will require a broader conceptualization of health and more explicit connections between diverse partners. Integration of health services and systems constitutes the fourth Action Area in the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation's Culture of Health Action Framework, which is the subject of this article. This Action Area conceives of a strengthened health care system as one in which medical care, public health, and social services interact to produce a more effective, equitable, higher-value whole that maximizes the production of health and well-being for all individuals. Three critical drivers help define and advance this Action Area and identify gaps and needs that must be addressed to move forward. These drivers are access, balance and integration, and consumer experience and quality. This article discusses each driver and summarizes practice gaps that, if addressed, will help move the nation toward a stronger and more integrated health system.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laurie T Martin
- Laurie T. Martin is a senior policy researcher at the RAND Corporation in Arlington, Virginia
| | - Alonzo Plough
- Alonzo Plough is vice president, Research-Evaluation-Learning, and chief science officer at the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, in Princeton, New Jersey
| | - Katherine G Carman
- Katherine G. Carman is an economist at the RAND Corporation in Santa Monica, California
| | - Laura Leviton
- Laura Leviton is a senior adviser for evaluation at the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
| | - Olena Bogdan
- Olena Bogdan is an assistant policy analyst at the RAND Corporation in Santa Monica
| | - Carolyn E Miller
- Carolyn E. Miller is a senior program officer in the Research-Evaluation-Learning unit at the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
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Doyle J, Graves J, Gruber J, Kleiner S. Measuring Returns to Hospital Care: Evidence from Ambulance Referral Patterns. THE JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY 2015; 123:170-214. [PMID: 25750459 PMCID: PMC4351552 DOI: 10.1086/677756] [Citation(s) in RCA: 59] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/04/2023]
Abstract
Medicare spending exceeds 4% of GDP in the US each year, and there are concerns that moral hazard problems have led to overspending. This paper considers whether hospitals that treat patients more aggressively and receive higher payments from Medicare improve health outcomes for their patients. An innovation is a new lens to compare hospital performance for emergency patients: plausibly exogenous variation in ambulance-company assignment among patients who live near one another. Using Medicare data from 2002-2010, we show that ambulance company assignment importantly affects hospital choice for patients in the same ZIP code. Using data for New York State from 2000-2006 that matches exact patient addresses to hospital discharge records, we show that patients who live very near each other but on either side of ambulance service area boundaries go to different types of hospitals. Both identification strategies show that higher-cost hospitals achieve better patient outcomes for a variety of emergency conditions. Using our Medicare sample, the estimates imply that a one standard deviation increase in Medicare reimbursement leads to a 4 percentage point reduction in mortality (10% compared to the mean). Taking into account one-year spending after the health shock, the implied cost per at least one year of life saved is approximately $80,000. These results are found across different types of hospitals and patients, as well across both identification strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joseph Doyle
- MIT Sloan School of Management 77 Massachusetts Ave, E62-515 Cambridge MA 02139
| | - John Graves
- Vanderbilt University School of Medicine 2525 West End Ave. Suite 600 Nashville, TN 37203-1738
| | - Jonathan Gruber
- MIT Department of Economics 50 Memorial Drive Building E52, Room 355 Cambridge MA 02142-1347
| | - Samuel Kleiner
- Department of Policy Analysis and Management Cornell University 108 Martha Van Rensselaer Hall Ithaca, NY 14853
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Connolly MP, Kuyvenhoven JP, Postma MJ, Nielsen SK. Cost and quality-adjusted life year differences in the treatment of active ulcerative colitis using once-daily 4 g or twice-daily 2g mesalazine dosing. J Crohns Colitis 2014; 8:357-62. [PMID: 24094599 DOI: 10.1016/j.crohns.2013.09.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2013] [Revised: 09/16/2013] [Accepted: 09/17/2013] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Improved compliance in active ulcerative colitis (UC) is likely to improve healthcare efficiency by reducing time spent in active mild to moderate UC state. To establish whether once daily (OD) mesalazine offers economic advantages over twice daily (BD) dosing in active UC, we evaluated the outcomes and costs of a recently published randomized study. METHODS A cost-effectiveness model with four week Markov cycles was developed to reflect current treatment practices in the Netherlands with OD and BD mesalazine for active UC. The health service perspective of the Netherlands was reflected in the model and considered a 32week time horizon with 4 weekly Markov cycles. Outcomes evaluated in the model were time spent in active and remission UC and the corresponding health-related quality of life associated with different clinical states. This was then used to derive quality adjusted life-years (QALYs) at each treatment stage. RESULTS A greater proportion of subjects on 4 g OD achieved remission at weeks 4 and 8 compared with 2g BD. After 32 weeks the average costs per patient with active UC were €3097 and €3548 for those treated with OD and BD mesalazine respectively, with an average saving of €451 per patient treated with OD mesalazine. The average costs per QALY for OD and BD mesalazine were €5433 and €6324 for OD and BD, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Based on the results from a single randomized study, OD dosing resulted in a shorter time spent in active UC which resulted in lower healthcare costs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark P Connolly
- University of Groningen, Department of Pharmacy, Unit of PharmacoEpidemiology & PharmacoEconomics, Groningen, Netherlands; Global Market Access Solutions, Mooresville, NC, USA.
| | - Johan P Kuyvenhoven
- Department of Gastroenterology, Kennemer Gasthuis, Haarlem, The Netherlands.
| | - Maarten J Postma
- University of Groningen, Department of Pharmacy, Unit of PharmacoEpidemiology & PharmacoEconomics, Groningen, Netherlands.
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Chernew ME. Additional reductions in Medicare spending growth will likely require shifting costs to beneficiaries. Health Aff (Millwood) 2014; 32:859-63. [PMID: 23650318 DOI: 10.1377/hlthaff.2012.1239] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
Policy makers have considerable interest in reducing Medicare spending growth. Clarity in the debate on reducing Medicare spending growth requires recognition of three important distinctions: the difference between public and total spending on health, the difference between the level of health spending and rate of health spending growth, and the difference between growth per beneficiary and growth in the number of beneficiaries in Medicare. The primary policy issue facing the US health care system is the rate of spending growth in public programs, and solving that problem will probably require reforms to the entire health care sector. The Affordable Care Act created a projected trajectory for Medicare spending per beneficiary that is lower than historical growth rates. Although opportunities for one-time savings exist, any long-term savings from Medicare, beyond those already forecast, will probably require a shift in spending from taxpayers to beneficiaries via higher beneficiary premium contributions (overall or via means testing), changes in eligibility, or greater cost sharing at the point of service.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael E Chernew
- Department of Health Care Policy at Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
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Baicker K, Shepard M, Skinner J. Public financing of the Medicare program will make its uniform structure increasingly costly to sustain. Health Aff (Millwood) 2013; 32:882-90. [PMID: 23650321 PMCID: PMC3685143 DOI: 10.1377/hlthaff.2012.1260] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
The US Medicare program consumes an ever-rising share of the federal budget. Although this public spending can produce health and social benefits, raising taxes to finance it comes at the cost of slower economic growth. In this article we describe a model incorporating the benefits of public programs and the cost of tax financing. The model implies that the "one-size-fits-all" Medicare program, with everyone covered by the same insurance policy, will be increasingly difficult to sustain. We show that a Medicare program with guaranteed basic benefits and the option to purchase additional coverage could lead to more unequal health spending but slower growth in taxation, greater overall well-being, and more rapid growth of gross domestic product. Our framework highlights the key trade-offs between Medicare spending and economic prosperity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Katherine Baicker
- Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
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