Nomogram Prediction of Anastomotic Leakage and Determination of an Effective Surgical Strategy for Reducing Anastomotic Leakage after Laparoscopic Rectal Cancer Surgery

Risk Factors for Anastomotic Leak in Patients Undergoing Surgery for Rectal Cancer Resection: A Retrospective Analysis

Introduction Anastomotic leakage (AL) is one of the most severe complications following rectal cancer (RC) surgery, with significant implications for morbidity, mortality, and oncological outcomes. Identifying risk factors associated with AL may enhance surgical decision-making and improve patient prognosis. Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted, including 42 adult patients who underwent RC resection at a hospital in Mexico City between January 2015 and December 2022. Demographic, clinical, pathological, and surgical variables were analyzed to assess their association with AL. Univariate and multivariate statistical analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors. Results The overall incidence of AL was 11.9%, consistent with previous literature. Univariate analysis revealed no significant differences in patient-related factors such as age, BMI, ASA classification, diabetes mellitus, smoking, or biochemical markers (p>0.05). Treatment-related factors such as neoadjuvant therapy and diverting stoma (DS) placement did not show a significant association with AL. However, surgical factors played a crucial role: operative time was significantly longer in patients with AL (349.0 vs. 232.9 minutes, p=0.024), intraoperative blood loss was markedly higher (800.0 vs. 198.6 mL, p<0.001), and transfusion rates were elevated (60.0% vs. 13.5%, p=0.040). Tumor location in the middle rectum was more frequent among AL cases (60.0% vs. 18.9%, p=0.090). Postoperative complications were significantly more severe in patients with AL, with prolonged hospital stays (20.0 vs. 10.2 days, p=0.043) and increased reintervention rates (80.0% vs. 5.6%, p<0.001). In the logistic regression model, none of the analyzed variables reached statistical significance (p>0.99). However, operative time showed an odds ratio (OR) of 1.736 (p=0.997), suggesting that for each additional minute of surgery, the risk of AL could increase by 73.6%. Despite this trend, the wide confidence interval limits its precision and clinical applicability. Age showed an OR of 0.023 (p=0.998), potentially suggesting a 97.7% reduction in leakage risk for each additional year, although this result was not statistically significant and should be interpreted with caution. Conclusion Although no statistically significant risk factors were identified in the multivariate analysis, intraoperative variables such as prolonged surgical time, high blood loss, and transfusion requirement emerged as clinically relevant trends. These findings emphasize the need for optimizing surgical techniques and perioperative management to mitigate AL risk. Further studies with larger sample sizes are necessary to validate these associations and improve risk stratification models.

Oncological and Clinical Impacts of Routine Splenic Flexure Mobilization in Anterior Resection

Background Splenic flexure mobilization (SFM) is widely regarded as one of the most challenging steps in laparoscopic and robotic colorectal surgery, sparking ongoing debate. Some surgeons routinely advocate for SFM, citing its role in achieving greater left colonic reach, which facilitates a safe, tension-free, and well-vascularized anastomosis while adhering to oncological principles. Conversely, others argue that SFM does not consistently ensure these benefits and may increase the risk of complications, including splenic, bowel, or vascular injuries, as well as unnecessarily prolonging the procedure. While traditional surgical textbooks consider SFM a mandatory step in open colorectal resections, limited evidence supports its necessity in minimally invasive approaches. Aim This study aims to evaluate whether routinely mobilizing the splenic flexure offers advantages from both oncological and clinical perspectives. Materials and methods This retrospective cohort study evaluated the oncological and clinical outcomes of SFM versus splenic flexure preservation (SFP) in anterior resections for malignant pathologies. The study was conducted at New Cross Hospital in Wolverhampton, United Kingdom, over a 24-month period, from March 2022 to March 2024. Anterior resections for benign pathologies were excluded. Data analysis was performed using IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, Version 24.0 (Released 2016; IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) and Microsoft Excel (Microsoft Corporation, Redmond, WA, USA). Results This study included 94 patients, with 65 undergoing SFM and 29 having it preserved (SFP). No significant differences in baseline demographics (age and gender) were observed between the groups. Oncological outcomes revealed a significantly longer median length of resected specimens in the SFM group, although lymph node counts and high vascular ties were comparable between the groups. There were no differences in R0 resection rates. Clinical outcomes showed similar hospital stays and operation durations in both groups. The SFM group had a slightly higher rate of stoma formation but a lower incidence of anastomotic leaks compared to the SFP group. No significant differences in splenic injuries or other complications were noted. Conclusions Our study suggests that routine SFM offers certain oncological and clinical benefits. The specimens obtained were more complete for pathological staging. The additional length gained from the maneuver not only results in longer specimens but also provides sufficient mobility of the remaining colon, enabling anastomosis with minimal tension, which helps prevent anastomotic leaks. Surgeons may consider adjusting their practices based on the findings of this study.

Score prediction of anastomotic leak in colorectal surgery: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

Predicting the risk of anastomotic leak (AL) is of importance when defining the optimal surgical strategy in colorectal surgery. Our objective was to perform a systematic review of existing scores in the field.

METHODS

We followed the PRISMA checklist (S1 Checklist). Medline, Cochrane Central and Embase were searched for observational studies reporting on scores predicting AL after the creation of a colorectal anastomosis. Studies reporting only validation of existing scores and/or scores based on post-operative variables were excluded. PRISMA 2020 recommendations were followed. Qualitative analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Eight hundred articles were identified. Seven hundred and ninety-one articles were excluded after title/abstract and full-text screening, leaving nine studies for analysis. Scores notably included the Colon Leakage Score, the modified Colon Leakage Score, the REAL score, www.anastomoticleak.com and the PROCOLE score. Four studies (44.4%) included more than 1.000 patients and one extracted data from existing studies (meta-analysis of risk factors). Scores included the following pre-operative variables: age (44.4%), sex (77.8%), ASA score (66.6%), BMI (33.3%), diabetes (22.2%), respiratory comorbidity (22.2%), cardiovascular comorbidity (11.1%), liver comorbidity (11.1%), weight loss (11.1%), smoking (33.3%), alcohol consumption (33.3%), steroid consumption (33.3%), neo-adjuvant treatment (44.9%), anticoagulation (11.1%), hematocrit concentration (22.2%), total proteins concentration (11.1%), white blood cell count (11.1%), albumin concentration (11.1%), distance from the anal verge (77.8%), number of hospital beds (11.1%), pre-operative bowel preparation (11.1%) and indication for surgery (11.1%). Scores included the following peri-operative variables: emergency surgery (22.2%), surgical approach (22.2%), duration of surgery (66.6%), blood loss/transfusion (55.6%), additional procedure (33.3%), operative complication (22.2%), wound contamination class (1.11%), mechanical anastomosis (1.11%) and experience of the surgeon (11.1%). Five studies (55.6%) reported the area under the curve (AUC) of the scores, and four (44.4%) included a validation set.

CONCLUSION

Existing scores are heterogeneous in the identification of pre-operative variables allowing predicting AL. A majority of scores was established from small cohorts of patients which, considering the low incidence of AL, might lead to miss potential predictors of AL. AUC is seldom reported. We recommend that new scores to predict the risk of AL in colorectal surgery to be based on large cohorts of patients, to include a validation set and to report the AUC.

Systematic review of preoperative and intraoperative colorectal Anastomotic Leak Prediction Scores (ALPS)

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review preoperative and intraoperative Anastomotic Leak Prediction Scores (ALPS) and validation studies to evaluate performance and utility in surgical decision-making. Anastomotic leak (AL) is the most feared complication of colorectal surgery. Individualised leak risk could guide anastomosis and/or diverting stoma.

METHODS

Systematic search of Ovid MEDLINE and Embase databases, 30 October 2020, identified existing ALPS and validation studies. All records including >1 risk factor, used to develop new, or to validate existing models for preoperative or intraoperative use to predict colorectal AL, were selected. Data extraction followed CHecklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modelling Studies guidelines. Models were assessed for applicability for surgical decision-making and risk of bias using Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool.

RESULTS

34 studies were identified containing 31 individual ALPS (12 colonic/colorectal, 19 rectal) and 6 papers with validation studies only. Development dataset patient populations were heterogeneous in terms of numbers, indication for surgery, urgency and stoma inclusion. Heterogeneity precluded meta-analysis. Definitions and timeframe for AL were available in only 22 and 11 ALPS, respectively. 26/31 studies used some form of multivariable logistic regression in their modelling. Models included 3-33 individual predictors. 27/31 studies reported model discrimination performance but just 18/31 reported calibration. 15/31 ALPS were reported with external validation, 9/31 with internal validation alone and 4 published without any validation. 27/31 ALPS and every validation study were scored high risk of bias in model analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Poor reporting practices and methodological shortcomings limit wider adoption of published ALPS. Several models appear to perform well in discriminating patients at highest AL risk but all raise concerns over risk of bias, and nearly all over wider applicability. Large-scale, precisely reported external validation studies are required.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42020164804.

Prediction model of anastomotic leakage after anterior resection for rectal cancer-based on nomogram and multivariate analysis with 1995 patients

BACKGROUND

Postoperative anastomotic leakage for rectal cancer shows higher morbidity with grievous concomitant symptoms. Accurate assessment of the incidence of anastomotic leakage, multivariate analysis, and establishment of a scientific prediction model can be useful to dispose of its possible severe clinical consequences.

METHODS

This retrospective study collected 1995 consecutive patients who underwent anterior resection of rectal cancer with primary anastomosis at Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital between January 2016 and June 2022. Independent risk factors associated with anastomotic leakage were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression. The chosen independent risk factors were used to construct a nomogram risk prediction model whose availability was evaluated by using a bootstrapped-concordance index and calibration plots with R software.

RESULTS

A total of 1995 patients who underwent anterior resection for rectal cancer were included while 120 patients were diagnosed with anastomotic leakage, an incidence of 6.0%. Univariate analysis and its concomitant multivariate cox regression analysis indicated that independent risk factors associated with anastomotic leakage included male gender (odds ratio (OR) = 2.873), diabetes (OR = 2.480), neoadjuvant therapy (OR = 5.283), tumor's distance from the anus verge < 5 cm (OR = 5.824), tumor size ≥ 5 cm (OR = 4.888), and the blood lose > 50 mL (OR = 9.606).We established a nomogram prediction model with proper applicability (concordance index, 0.83) and the calibration curve to justify its predictive ability that the predicted occurrence probability keeps a high degree of consistency with the actual occurrence probability. Meanwhile, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.83.

CONCLUSIONS

The characteristics of patients and tumor surgery-related conditions can affect the incidence of anastomotic leakage. However, whether the surgical method will affect morbidity is still controversial. Our nomogram can be seen as an effective instrument to predict anastomotic leakage after anterior resection for rectal cancer precisely.

Multicenter Study of Drain Fluid Amylase as a Biomarker for the Detection of Anastomotic Leakage After Ileal Pouch Surgery Without a Diverting Ileostomy

BACKGROUND

Anastomotic leak is the anathema of colorectal surgery. Early diagnosis is an essential segue to early intervention. A temporary defunctioning ileostomy does not prevent an anastomotic leak and presents inherent complications of its own. Drain fluid biomarkers have been studied in colorectal surgery but not in ileal pouch surgery.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess drain fluid amylase as a biomarker of anastomotic leak after ileal pouch surgery and without a diverting ileostomy.

DESIGN

This was a multicenter prospective observational cohort study.

SETTINGS

The study was conducted at 4 tertiary hospitals in Queensland, Australia.

PATIENTS

This study included elective patients undergoing restorative proctectomy and ileal pouch surgery.

INTERVENTIONS

Measurement of rectal tube amylase and drain fluid amylase.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary measure was observation of increased drain fluid amylase on the day of anastomotic leak.

RESULTS

Fifty-three patients were studied. On the day of anastomotic leak, 4 patients in the anastomotic leak group who experienced an early anastomotic leak recorded a median drain fluid amylase of 21,897 U/L compared with a median drain fluid amylase of 25 U/L for those in the no anastomotic leak group ( p < 0.0001).

LIMITATIONS

This study relies on the anastomotic leak occurring while the pelvic drain is in situ.

CONCLUSIONS

The measurement of drain fluid amylase is a sensitive biomarker of early clinical anastomotic leak in patients undergoing restorative proctectomy with an ileal pouch and when a diverting ileostomy is not incorporated. This simple, inexpensive, and noninvasive test should be considered in all patients with ileal pouches as an adjunct to the clinical diagnosis and differentiation of anastomotic leak from other postoperative complications. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B958 .Estudio multicéntrico de la amilasa del líquido de drenaje como biomarcador para la detección de fugas anastomóticas después de una cirugía de reservorio ileal sin ileostomía de derivación.

ANTECEDENTES

La fuga anastomótica es el anatema de la cirugía colorrectal. El diagnóstico precoz es una transición esencial a la intervención temprana. Una ileostomía desfuncionalizante temporal no evita una fuga anastomótica y presenta sus propias complicaciones inherentes. Los biomarcadores del líquido de drenaje se han estudiado en la cirugía colorrectal, pero no en la cirugía del reservorio ileal.

OBJETIVO

El objetivo fue evaluar la amilasa del líquido de drenaje como biomarcador de fuga anastomótica después de cirugía de reservorio ileal y sin ileostomía de derivación.

DISEO

Este fue un estudio de cohorte observacional prospectivo multicéntrico.

AJUSTES

El estudio se realizó en 4 hospitales terciarios en Queensland, Australia.

PACIENTES

Se incluyeron pacientes electivos sometidos a proctectomía restauradora y cirugía de reservorio ileal.

INTERVENCIONES

Medición de la amilasa del tubo rectal y amilasa del líquido de drenaje.

PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO

La medida principal fue la observación del aumento de la amilasa en el líquido de drenaje el día de la fuga anastomótica.

RESULTADOS

Cincuenta y tres pacientes fueron estudiados. Los 4 pacientes que experimentaron una fuga anastomótica temprana registraron una mediana de amilasa en el líquido de drenaje de 21 897 U/L el día de la fuga anastomótica en comparación con una mediana de amilasa en el líquido de drenaje de 25 U/L para aquellos en el grupo sin fuga anastomótica (p < 0,0001).

LIMITACIONES

Este estudio se basa en que la anastomosis ocurre mientras el drenaje pélvico está in situ.

CONCLUSIONES

La medición de amilasa en el líquido de drenaje es un biomarcador sensible de fuga anastomótica clínica temprana en pacientes sometidos a proctectomía restauradora con reservorio ileal y cuando no se incorpora ileostomía derivativa. Esta prueba simple, económica y no invasiva se debe considerar en todos los pacientes con reservorio ileal como complemento del diagnóstico clínico y la diferenciación de la fuga anastomótica de otras complicaciones posoperatorias. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B958 . (Traducción-Dr Yolanda Colorado ).

Anastomotic leak after minimally invasive anterior resection for rectal cancer with high versus low ligation of the inferior mesenteric artery: a study protocol for a multicentre randomized clinical trial

BACKGROUND

Although many efforts have been made to decrease the incidence of anastomotic leak (AL), it remains one of the most serious complications of rectal cancer surgery. Many previous studies have reported an association between the ligation level of the inferior mesenteric artery (IMA) (high or low) and the incidence of AL after rectal cancer surgery. However, we cannot draw a solid conclusion because of the low quality and heterogeneity of those studies. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the impact of the IMA ligation level on the occurrence of AL after minimally invasive anterior resection of rectal cancer.

METHODS/DESIGN

Patients with primary rectal cancer without distant metastases will be included after screening. They will be randomly assigned (1:1) to receive high or low ligation of the IMA. The primary endpoint is AL incidence; secondary endpoints are quality of life; urinary, sexual, and defecatory functions; and 3-year disease-free survival. We hypothesized that the incidence rate of AL would be 15% and 5% in the high- and low-ligation groups, respectively. With a two-sided α of 0.05 and a power of 0.8, the sample size is calculated to be 314 patients (157 per group), considering a 10% dropout rate.

DISCUSSION

Although many studies have compared the short- and long-term outcomes of high and low ligation of the IMA in rectal cancer surgery, it is still debatable. This trial aims to help draw a more solid conclusion regarding the association between the IMA ligation level and AL incidence after rectal cancer surgery. We also hope to contribute to standardizing the method of rectal cancer surgery in this trial.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinical Research Information Service KCT0003523. Registered on February 18, 2019.

Analysis of Risk Factors for Anastomotic Leakage After Laparoscopic Anterior Resection of Rectal Cancer and Construction of a Nomogram Prediction Model

Objective

To explore the risk factors of anastomotic leakage (AL) after laparoscopic anterior resection (AR) of rectal cancer and establish a nomogram prediction model.

Methods

Clinical and surgical data of patients who underwent AR of rectal cancer at Sichuan Cancer Hospital from January 2017 to December 2020 were retrospectively collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to screen the independent risk factors of AL after AR. A nomogram risk prediction model was established based on the selected independent risk factors and the predictive performance of nomogram was evaluated.

Results

A 1013 patients undergoing laparoscopic AR were included, of which 67 had AL, with an incidence of 6.6%. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that male gender, tumors distance from the anus verge of ≤ 5cm, tumors distance from the anus verge of 5–10cm, circumferential tumor growth, operation time ≥ 240min, and no diverting stoma were independent risk factors for AL after AR. A nomogram prediction model was established based on these results. The calibration curve showed that the predicted occurrence probability of the nomogram model was in good agreement with the actual occurrence probability. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.749.

Conclusion

The nomogram prediction model based on the independent risk factors of patients undergoing AL after AR can effectively predict the probability of AL.

Risk Nomogram Does Not Predict Anastomotic Leakage After Colon Surgery Accurately: Results of the Multi-center LekCheck Study

PURPOSE

Anastomotic leakage (AL) is a dreaded complication after colorectal surgery. Preoperatively identifying high-risk patients can help to reduce the incidence of this complication. For this reason, AL risk nomograms have been developed. The objective of this study was to test the AL risk nomogram developed by Frasson, et al. for validity and to identify risk-factors for AL.

METHODS

From the international multi-center LekCheck study database, patients who underwent colonic surgery with the formation of an anastomosis were included. Data were prospectively collected between 2016 and 2019 at 14 hospitals. Univariate and multivariable regression analyses, and area under receiver operating characteristic curve analysis (AUROC) were performed.

RESULTS

A total of 643 patients were included. The median age was 70 years and 51% were male. The majority underwent surgery for malignancies (80.7%). The overall AL rate was 9.2%. The risk nomogram was not predictive for AL in the population tested (AUROC 0.572). Low preoperative haemoglobin (p = 0.006), intraoperative hypothermia (p = 0.02), contamination of the operative field (p = 0.004), and use of epidural analgesia (p = 0.02) were independent risk-factors for AL.

CONCLUSION

The AL risk nomogram could not be validated using the international LekCheck study database. In the future, intraoperative predictive factors for AL, as identified in this study, should also be included in AL risk predictors.

Drain fluid amylase as a biomarker for the detection of anastomotic leakage after rectal resection without a diverting ileostomy

BACKGROUND

Anastomotic leak (AL) is the anathema of colorectal surgery. Early diagnosis is an essential segue to early intervention. A temporary diverting ileostomy (TDI) does not prevent an AL and presents inherent complications of its own. Numerous drain fluid biomarkers (BM) have been studied in colorectal surgery and extravasated intraluminal substances (EILS) such as amylase have shown promise. The aim of this study was to assess drain fluid amylase (DFA) as a BM of AL after minimally invasive rectal resection without a TDI.

METHODS

A single centre prospective cohort study performed from 2018 to 2021. The primary outcome was DFA measured daily whilst the drain was in situ. Rectal tube amylase was also measured for the first two post-operative days to quantitate the intra-luminal levels of the enzyme. DFA was compared between patients who experienced AL and those who did not.

RESULTS

Of the 62 patients studied, six (9.7%) experienced AL. There was a statistically significant difference in DFA between patients who experienced AL (Median:1373.5 U/L; IQR: 306-7953) and patients who did not experience an AL (Median: 27.0 U/L; IQR: 16-38); p < 0.0001.

CONCLUSIONS

The measurement of drain fluid amylase is a highly sensitive BM of early clinical anastomotic leak in patients undergoing a rectal resection with an extraperitoneal anastomosis and when a TDI is not incorporated. This simple, inexpensive and non-invasive test should be considered in all patients as an adjunct to the clinical diagnosis and differentiation of AL from other postoperative complications.

Nomogram to predict postoperative infectious complications after surgery for colorectal cancer: a retrospective cohort study in China

Background

Postoperative infectious complications (ICs) after surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC) increase in-hospital deaths and decrease long-term survival. However, the methodology for IC preoperative and intraoperative risk assessment has not yet been established. We aimed to construct a risk model for IC after surgery for CRC.

Methods

Between January 2016 and June 2020, a total of 593 patients who underwent curative surgery for CRC in Chengdu Second People’s Hospital were enrolled. Preoperative and intraoperative factors were obtained retrospectively. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used to screen out risk factors for IC. Then, based on the results of LASSO regression analysis, multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to establish the prediction model. Bootstraps with 300 resamples were performed for internal validation. The performance of the model was evaluated with its calibration and discrimination. The clinical usefulness was assessed by decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

A total of 95 (16.0%) patients developed ICs after surgery for CRC. Chronic pulmonary diseases, diabetes mellitus, preoperative and/or intraoperative blood transfusion, and longer operation time were independent risk factors for IC. A prediction model was constructed based on these factors. The concordance index (C-index) of the model was 0.761. The calibration curve of the model suggested great agreement. DCA showed that the model was clinically useful.

Conclusion

Several risk factors for IC after surgery for CRC were identified. A prediction model generated by these risk factors may help in identifying patients who may benefit from perioperative optimization.

Risk Factors for Anastomotic Leakage after Colorectal Surgery with Double-staple Technique Anastomosis: Impact of the Agatston Score

Objectives

Anastomotic leakage is associated with severe morbidity, mortality, and functional defects. Its risk factors remain unclear. However, blood perfusion may be a potential major risk factor. It has been reported that the Agatston score is an index for blood flow perfusion evaluation. Therefore, we evaluated the clinical indicators associated with anastomotic leakage, including the Agatston score, in patients who underwent colorectal surgery.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 147 patients who underwent elective colorectal surgery with the double-staple technique anastomosis for colorectal cancer between April 2015 and March 2020. The primary outcome was the presence or absence of anastomotic leakage. Univariate and multivariate analyses were employed to identify pre- and intraoperative risk factors.

Results

Of the 147 patients analyzed, anastomotic leakage occurred in 12 (8.16%). Male gender, history of angina and myocardial infarction, preoperative white blood cell count, the Agatston score, extent of bleeding, operation time, and intraoperative fluid volume were significantly related to a higher incidence of anastomotic leakage in univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the incidence of anastomotic leakage was high in patients with a high Agatston score.

Conclusions

The Agatston score can predict the incidence of anastomotic leakage in patients following colorectal surgery. Thus, perioperative measures to prevent anastomotic leakage are recommended when a high Agatston score is observed. A prospective trial is required to demonstrate, with a high level of evidence, that the Agatston score can be useful as a risk score for anastomotic leakage following colorectal surgery.

Nomogram for Predicting Anastomotic Leakage after Rectal Cancer Surgery in Elderly Patients with Dysfunctional Stomata

Purpose

Anastomotic leakage after rectal cancer surgery in elderly patients is a critical challenge. Many risk factors have been found and many interventions tried, but anastomotic leakage in elderly patients remains difficult to deal with. This study aimed to create a nomogram for predicting anastomotic leakage after rectal surgery in elderly rectal cancer patients with dysfunctional stomata.

Methods

We collected data from 326 consecutive elderly patients with dysfunctional stomata after rectal cancer surgery at the Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University from January 2014 to December 2019. Risk factors of anastomotic leakage were identified with multivariate logistic regression and used to create a nomogram. Predictive performance was evaluated by the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

Results

American Society of Anesthesiologists score ≥3, male sex, and neoadjuvant radiotherapy were identified as significantly associated factors that could be combined for accurate prediction of anastomotic leakage on multivariate logistic regression and development of a nomogram.The area under the ROC curve for this model was 0.645. The C-index value for this model was 0.645, indicating moderate predictive ability of the risk of anastomotic leakage.

Conclusion

The nomogram showed good ability to predict anastomotic leakage in elderly patients with rectal cancer after surgery, and might be helpful in providing a reference point for selection of surgical procedures and perioperative treatment.

A nomogram to predict the incidence of permanent stoma in elderly patients with rectal cancer

Background

Creation of a temporary diverting stoma during rectal cancer surgery is used widely to prevent undesirable outcomes related to anastomotic leakage (AL). The transition from temporary stoma (TS) to permanent stoma (PS) is a frequent outcome. Elderly patients may have a greater probability of PS. We aimed to identify risk factors of PS and developed a nomogram to predict the rate of PS for elderly patients.

Methods

We enrolled elderly patients (≥70 years) who underwent rectal cancer surgery with a TS between January 2014 and December 2017 at our hospital. We divided patients into two groups: a TS group and a PS group. We then identified the risk factors for PS and developed a nomogram to predict the possibility of PS.

Results

Of the 278 elderly patients who received a diverting stoma, 220 (79.14%) eventually underwent stoma reversal, and 58 (20.86%) had PS. The proportion of males in the PS group was significantly higher than that of the TS group (P=0.048). Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score (P<0.001), laparotomy (P=0.004), AL (P<0.001), and tumor recurrence (P<0.001) were significantly correlated with PS. These four factors were included to construct the nomogram. The consistency index of the nomogram was 0.833 and the model yielded an area under the curve of 0.833.

Conclusions

ASA score (≥3), laparotomy, AL, and tumor recurrence were independent risk factors for PS in elderly patients. Our nomogram exhibited moderate predictive ability.

Prognostic significance of enlarged paraaortic lymph nodes detected during left-sided colorectal cancer surgery: a single-center retrospective cohort study

Background

Very few studies have been conducted on the treatment strategy for enlarged paraaortic lymph nodes (PALNs) incidentally detected during surgery. The purpose of this study was to investigate the benefit of lymph node dissection in patients with incidentally detected enlarged PALNs.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed patients with left colon and rectal cancer who underwent surgical resection with PALN dissection between January 2010 and December 2018. The predictive factors for pathologic PALN metastasis (PALNM) were analyzed, and survival analyses were conducted to identify prognostic factors.

Results

Among 263 patients included, 19 (7.2%) showed pathologic PALNM and 5 (26.33%) had enlarged PALNs incidentally detected during surgery. These 5 patients accounted for 2.2% of 227 patients who had no evidence of PALNM on preoperative radiologic examination. Radiologic PALNM (odds ratio [OR] 12.737, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.472–46.723) and radiologic distant metastasis other than PALNM (OR = 4.090, 95% CI 1.011–16.539) were independent predictive factors for pathologic PALNM. Pathologic T4 stage (hazard ratio [HR] 2.196, 95% CI 1.063–4.538) and R2 resection (HR 4.643, 95% CI 2.046–10.534) were independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). In patients undergoing R0 resection, pathologic PALNM was not associated with 5-year OS (90% vs. 82.2%, p = 0.896).

Conclusion

Dissection of enlarged PALNs incidentally detected during colorectal surgery may benefit patients with favorable survival outcomes.

Safety of anastomotic techniques and consequences of anastomotic leakage in patients with colorectal cancer: a single surgeon experience

Introduction

Colorectal cancer is a common type of malignant disease of the digestive tract. Anastomotic leakage (AL) still represents a serious complication in gastrointestinal surgery, associated with high morbidity and mortality.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective case-control study and analyzed a single surgeon’s data about 359 patients treated for colorectal cancer. Patients were divided as follows: Study Group (patients with AL - 37 patients) and Control Group (patients without AL - 322 patients). Surgical and anastomotic technique-related information was processed.

Results

Surgical procedures for right sided colon tumors resulted in a significantly lower rate of anastomotic leakage (P=0.0231). For left sided colectomies end to end handsewn double layer anastomosis presented decreased odds (OR=0.176). For sigmoid segmental resection end to end anastomotic techniques developed low rate of fistula formation (handsewn - OR=0.593, stapled - OR=0.685). Performing Dixon type surgical interventions, anastomotic techniques seemed without influence on anastomotic leak appearance (handsewn and stapled), although distal anastomoses were identified as significant risk factors for fistula formation (P=0.0017). In order to perform subtotal colectomy, side to side sutures (handsewn and stapled) seemed safe choices for anastomotic procedure (P=0.0073). Patient with anastomotic leakage suffered a significantly longer hospital stay (P=0.0079), presented higher rate of surgical reintervention (P=0.0001), increased mortality (P=0.0001) and elevated hospitalization costs (P=0.0079).

Conclusion

Postoperative complications like anastomosis leakage significantly increase hospitalization period, necessity of surgical reintervention, mortality and financial costs. In order to avoid these unpleasant events, bowel anastomoses require standardization during surgery.

Prediction model for anastomotic leakage after laparoscopic rectal cancer resection

Objective

This study was performed to identify risk factors for anastomotic leakage (AL) and combine these factors to create a prediction model for the risk of AL after laparoscopic rectal cancer resection.

Methods

This retrospective study involved 185 patients with rectal cancer who underwent laparoscopic resection from March 2012 to February 2017. Five risk factors were analyzed by multivariate analysis. A prediction model was established by combining the risk factors from the multivariate analysis, and the accuracy of the model was evaluated by a receiver operating characteristic curve.

Results

The overall AL rate was 17.84%. The multivariate analysis identified the following independent risk factors for AL: high body mass index (odds ratio [OR], 3.009; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.127–7.125), preoperative radiochemotherapy (OR, 3.778; 95% CI, 1.168–12.219), larger tumor size (OR, 2.710; 95% CI, 1.119–6.562), and longer surgical time (OR, 2.476; 95% CI, 1.033–5.932). We established a prediction model that can evaluate the risk of AL by determining the predictive probability. The area under the curve for the model’s predictive performance was 0.70 (95% CI, 0.598–0.795).

Conclusion

A prediction model was created to predict the risk of AL after laparoscopic rectal cancer resection.

Performance of a Nomogram Based on the Integration of Inflammation Markers with Tumor Staging in Prognosis Prediction of Stage III Colorectal Cancer

Introduction

The aim of the present study was to evaluate a nomogram model for predicting the 5-year overall survival (OS) in lymph node-metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC) patients by combining inflammation markers with some traditional prognostic factors.

Methods

A total of 399 patients with stage III (pT_XN_1-3M₀) CRC operated from January 2007 to December 2012 were enrolled in this retrospective study. All patients underwent D₂ lymphadenectomy in the hospital. A prognostic nomogram based on the integration of traditional prognostic factors and NLR (neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio) and PLR (platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio) was established and compared with the nomogram based on the traditional prognostic factors alone. ROC curves were further applied to verify the predictive accuracy of the established model.

Results

Both NLR (P=0.00) and PLR (P=0.01) predicted the 5-year OS. In multivariate analysis, age, T3 category, T4 category, N2 category, N3 category, Pgp (P-glycoprotein), NLR and PLR are proven to be independent (all P≤0.05). The established nomogram showed better predictive power than that of traditional profile (c-index: 0.66 versus 0.63) in both training and validation cohorts. External assessment by ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the established model had a good prediction accuracy of 5-year OS in stage III CRC patients, with area under curve values of 0.657 and 0.629 in training and validating sets, respectively.

Conclusion

A nomogram based on the integration of traditional prognostic factors and inflammatory markers (NLR and PLR) could provide more precise long-term prognosis information for lymph node-metastatic CRC patients than the model based on traditional profile alone. This model might be useful for clinical application in personalized evaluation.

A new aortoiliac calcification scoring system to predict grade C anastomotic leak following rectal cancer surgery

BACKGROUND

Aortoiliac calcification may be a surrogate marker of decreased visceral perfusion causing anastomotic leak (AL). The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive role of aortoiliac calcification for AL after rectal cancer surgery.

METHODS

We enrolled patients with primary rectal cancer who had restorative resection at our institution between January 2013 and December 2015. An aortoiliac calcification score was calculated as the sum of calcification scores at the infrarenal aorta (0: no, 1: ≤ 3 cm, 2: > 3 cm) and the common iliac arteries (0: no, 1: unilateral, 2: bilateral). AL was classified into three grades: grade A, requiring no intervention; grade B, requiring therapeutic intervention without re-laparotomy; and grade C, requiring re-laparotomy. Clinicopathological characteristics were analyzed to identify risk factors for AL.

RESULTS

There were 583 patients. Three-hundred forty-five (59.2%) had an aortoiliac calcification score ≥ 3, and 37 (6.3%) patients experienced AL, in 30 cases (5.1%) grade C AL. Patients with an aortoiliac calcification score ≥ 3 had a higher incidence of grade C AL (6.7% vs. 2.9%, p = 0.045). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that an aortoiliac calcification score ≥ 3 was an independent risk factor for grade C AL (odds ratio = 2.669, 95% confidence interval 1.066-6.686, p = 0.036).

CONCLUSIONS

Aortoiliac calcification may be considered a risk factor for grade C AL after rectal cancer surgery.

Upfront radical surgery with total mesorectal excision followed by adjuvant FOLFOX chemotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer (TME-FOLFOX): an open-label, multicenter, phase II randomized controlled trial

Background

Preoperative chemoradiotherapy (PCRT) followed by surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy is the current standard treatment for stage II/III rectal cancer. However, radiotherapy in the pelvic area is commonly associated with complications such as anastomotic leakage, sexual dysfunction, and fecal incontinence. Recently, the MERCURY study showed that preoperative high-resolution magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) helped to selectively avoid PCRT. It remains unclear whether PCRT is necessary in patients who can achieve a negative circumferential resection margin (CRM) with surgery alone and in patients with cT_1–2N₁ or cT₃N₀ without CRM involvement and lateral lymph node metastasis. This study aims to evaluate the efficacy of upfront radical surgery with total mesorectal excision (TME) followed by adjuvant chemotherapy with folinic acid (or leucovorin), fluorouracil, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) versus the current standard treatment in patients with surgically resectable, locally advanced rectal cancer.

Methods

This study, named TME-FOLFOX, is a prospective, open-label, multicenter, phase II randomized trial. Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer will be randomized to receive PCRT followed by TME and adjuvant chemotherapy (arm A) or upfront radical surgery with TME followed by adjuvant FOLFOX chemotherapy (arm B). Clinical stage II/III rectal cancer without CRM involvement and lateral lymph node metastasis will be defined using preoperative MRI. The primary endpoint is 3-year disease-free survival (DFS). Secondary endpoints include 5-year DFS, local recurrence rate, systemic recurrence rate, cost-effectiveness, and overall survival. We hypothesized that our experimental group (arm B) will have a 3-year DFS of 75% and a non-inferiority margin of 15%.

Discussion

Identifying whether patients require PCRT is one of the critical issues in locally advanced rectal cancer. This study aims to elucidate whether PCRT may not be required for all patients with stage II/III rectal cancer, especially for the MRI-based intermediate-risk group (with cT_1–2N₁ or cT₃N₀) without CRM involvement and lateral lymph node metastasis. If the findings indicate that our proposed treatment, which omits PCRT, is non-inferior to the standard treatment, then patients may avoid unnecessary radiation-related toxicity, have a shorter treatment duration, and save on medical costs.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02167321. Registered on 19 June 2014.

[Splenic flexure mobilization in surgery for rectal cancer]

Nowadays, the issue of splenic flexure mobilization (SFM) in anterior and low anterior rectal resection for rectal cancer is still debatable. This stage is important because dissection results tension-free anastomosis and excision of specimen of enough length with adequate number of harvested lymph nodes. However, literature review confirmed the absence of agreement regarding reduced incidence of colorectal anastomotic leakage and improved long-term oncologic outcomes after SFM. Opinion about selective approach to this procedure is becoming more common. Therefore, randomized trials are necessary to determine a need for routine SFM or indications for selective approach to SFM in anterior rectal resection for rectal cancer.

Effect of splenic flexure mobilization performed via medial-to-lateral and superior-to-inferior approach on early clinical outcomes in elective laparoscopic resection of rectal cancer

Introduction

Whether complete splenic flexure mobilization (SFM) is required remains a controversial issue and there are numerous approaches regarding the performance of this procedure.

Aim

To investigate the effect of SFM performed with a medial-to-lateral and superior-to-inferior approach on early clinical outcomes in laparoscopic resection of rectal cancer.

Material and methods

The SFM procedure was initiated by the ligation of the inferior mesenteric vein followed by dissection extending from the upper border of the pancreas to the splenic hilum through the gastrocolic space. The mesocolon was dissected in a superior-to-inferior and medial-to-lateral fashion and the presacral space was entered by dividing the inferior mesenteric artery. The procedure was completed by dividing all the splenocolic, phrenicocolic, gastrocolic, and pancreaticomesocolic ligaments.

Results

A total of 43 patients were included in the study, comprising 26 (60.5%) men and 17 (39.5%) women with a mean age of 58.2 ±13.9 (range: 30–87) years. Of the 43 patients, 21 (48.8%) underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy and a diversion stoma was performed in 37 (86%) patients. No adjacent organ injury occurred intraoperatively. Mean operative time was 271 ±50 min and mean blood loss was 144 ±83 ml. One (2.3%) patient might have developed anastomotic leakage secondary to bevacizumab therapy postoperatively and developed no anastomotic stenosis in the follow-up period. Mean length of hospital stay was 9.3 ±4.3 days and no mortality occurred in any patient.

Conclusions

Splenic flexure mobilization performed via the superior-to-inferior and medial-to-lateral approach appears to be a safe and feasible procedure.

Laparoscopic surgery may decrease the risk of clinical anastomotic leakage and a nomogram to predict anastomotic leakage after anterior resection for rectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

Anastomotic leakage is still one of the most dreaded complications after anterior resection for rectal cancer. This study aimed to identify risk factors for anastomotic leakage and to create a nomogram for precise prediction of anastomotic leakage after anterior resection for rectal cancer.

METHODS

Two thousand six hundred eighteen consecutive patients who underwent anterior resection for rectal cancer with primary anastomosis, with or without diverting stoma, were retrospectively analyzed as a training dataset. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to determine independent risk factors associated with anastomotic leakage. A nomogram was constructed to predict anastomotic leakage. Data containing 611 patients were prospectively collected as a test dataset. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by using a bootstrapped-concordance index and calibration plots.

RESULTS

The rate of clinical anastomotic leakage was 9.3% in the training dataset. Multivariate analysis identifies the following variables as independent risk factors for anastomotic leakage: gender (male) (odds ratio (OR) = 2.286), distance of tumor to anal verge (OR = 0.791), tumor size (OR = 1.175), operating time (OR = 1.009), diabetes mellitus (OR = 1.704), laparoscopic surgery (OR = 0.445), anastomotic bleeding (OR = 13.46), and diverting stoma (OR = 0.386). We created a nomogram with high discriminative ability (concordance index, 0.722). The area under the curve value, which evaluated the predictive performance of external validation, was 0.723.

CONCLUSIONS

A protective diverting stoma and laparoscopic surgery significantly decrease the risk of anastomotic leakage. Our nomogram was a useful tool for precise prediction of anastomotic leakage after anterior resection for rectal cancer.

A Nomogram to Predict Anastomotic Leakage in Open Rectal Surgery-Hope or Hype?

BACKGROUND

Anastomotic leakage is the most dreaded complication after rectal resection and total mesorectal excision, leading to increased morbidity and mortality. Formation of a diverting ileostomy is generally performed to protect anastomotic healing. Identification of variables predicting anastomotic leakage might help to select patients who are under increased risk for the development of anastomotic leakage prior to surgery. The objective of this study was to assess the applicability of a nomogram as prognostic model for the occurrence of anastomotic leakage after rectal resection in a cohort of rectal cancer patients.

METHODS

Nine hundred seventy-two consecutive patients who underwent surgery for rectal cancer were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to determine independent risk factors associated with anastomotic leakage. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis was performed to calculate the sensitivity, specificity, and overall model correctness of a recently published nomogram and an adopted risk score based on the variables identified in this study as a predictive model.

RESULTS

Male sex (p = 0.042), obesity (p = 0.017), smoking (p = 0.012), postoperative bleeding (p = 0.024), and total protein level ≤ 5.6 g/dl (p = 0.007) were identified as independent risk factors for anastomotic leakage. The investigated nomogram and the adopted risk score failed to reach relevant areas under the ROC curve greater than 0.700 for the prediction of anastomotic leakage.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed nomogram and the adopted risk score failed to reliably predict the occurrence of anastomotic leakage after rectal resection. Risk scores as prognostic models for the prediction of anastomotic leakage, independently of the study population, still need to be identified.

Predictive factors for anastomotic leakage after laparoscopic colorectal surgery

Every colorectal surgeon during his or her career is faced with anastomotic leakage (AL); one of the most dreaded complications following any type of gastrointestinal anastomosis due to increased risk of morbidity, mortality, overall impact on functional and oncologic outcome and drainage on hospital resources. In order to understand and give an overview of the AL risk factors in laparoscopic colorectal surgery, we carried out a careful review of the existing literature on this topic and found several different definitions of AL which leads us to believe that the lack of a consensual, standard definition can partly explain the considerable variations in reported rates of AL in clinical studies. Colorectal leak rates have been found to vary depending on the anatomic location of the anastomosis with reported incidence rates ranging from 0 to 20%, while the laparoscopic approach to colorectal resections has not yet been associated with a significant reduction in AL incidence. As well, numerous risk factors, though identified, lack unanimous recognition amongst researchers. For example, the majority of papers describe the risk factors for left-sided anastomosis, the principal risk being male sex and lower anastomosis, while little data exists defining AL risk factors in a right colectomy. Also, gut microbioma is gaining an emerging role as potential risk factor for leakage.