Analysis of Risk Factors of Gastric Low-Grade Intraepithelial Neoplasia in Asymptomatic Subjects Undergoing Physical Examination

Risk of progression to high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia and gastric cancer: A multi-center prospective study in Anhui Province, China

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer is one of the most common cancers worldwide, especially in East Asia.

AIM

To explore the clinical outcomes and progression-related factors of low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN) in the gastric mucosa and provide valuable guidance for improving treatment efficacy.

METHODS

A total of 357 patients diagnosed with LGIN based on initial pathological examination in Anhui Provincial Hospital or three other medical consortium units between January 2022 and June 2024 were included. Among them, 296 patients were followed up with endoscopic and biopsy pathology. Logistic regression was utilized to analyze the relevant risk factors for LGIN progression in the gastric mucosa.

RESULTS

The distribution sites of LGIN among the 357 patients were as follows: Gastric antrum (54.6%), gastric cardia (24.1%), gastric angulus (8.7%), gastric body (4.8%), gastric fundus (4.8%), and multiple sites (3.1%). Additionally, of the 357 patients with LGIN, 112 (31.4%) developed ulceration and 59 (16.5%) experienced gastric polyps. Furthermore, 231 of the 357 (64.71%) patients with LGIN tested positive for Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection. The H. pylori infection rates of the patients with LGIN with accompanying atrophy, intestinal metaplasia, and gastric ulcer were 51.95%, 59.31%, and 28.57%, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age ≥ 60 years [odds ratio (OR) = 3.063, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.351-6.945, P = 0.007], H. pylori infection (OR = 3.560, 95%CI: 1.158-10.949, P = 0.027), multiple locations (OR = 10.136, 95%CI: 2.045-50.237, P = 0.005), lesion size ≥ 2 cm (OR = 3.921, 95%CI: 1.664-9.237, P = 0.002), and gastric ulcer (OR = 2.730, 95%CI: 1.197-6.223, P = 0.017) were predictive factors for LGIN progression.

CONCLUSION

LGIN progression is closely related to age, H. pylori positivity, multiple locations, lesion size ≥ 2 cm, and gastric ulcer. Thus, actively identifying these risk factors in patients with LGIN may have certain clinical significance in preventing further tumor progression.

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting the risk of developing gastric cancer based on a questionnaire: a cross-sectional study

Background

Detection of gastric cancer (GC) at early stages is an effective strategy for decreasing mortality. This study aimed to construct a prediction nomogram based on a questionnaire to assess the risk of developing GC.

Methods

Our study comprised a total of 4379 participants (2326 participants from outpatient at Fengqing People's Hospital were considered for model development and internal validation, and 2053 participants from outpatients at the endoscopy center at the Seventh Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University were considered for independent external validation) and gastric mucosa status was determined by endoscopy and biopsies. The eligible participants in development cohort from Fengqing people's Hospital were randomly separated into a training cohort (n=1629, 70.0%) and an internal validation cohort (n=697, 30.0%). The relevant features were selected by a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), and the ensuing features were evaluated through multivariable logistic regression analysis. Subsequently, the variables were selected to construct a prediction nomogram. The discriminative ability and predictive accuracy of the nomogram were evaluated by the C-index and calibration plot, respectively. Decision curve analysis (DCA) curves were used for the assessment of clinical benefit of the model. This model was developed to estimate the risk of developing neoplastic lesions according to the "transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis" (TRIPOD) statement.

Results

Six variables, including age, sex, alcohol consumption, cigarette smoking, education level, and Hp infection status, were independent risk factors for the development of neoplastic lesions. Thus, these variables were incorporated into the final nomogram. The AUC of the nomogram were 0.701, 0.657 and 0.699 in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curve showed that the nomogram was in good agreement with the observed outcomes. Compared to treatment of all patients or none, our nomogram showed a notably higher clinical benefit.

Conclusion

This nomogram proved to be a convenient, cost-effective tool to effectively predict an individual's risk of developing neoplastic lesions, and it can act as a prescreening tool before gastroscopy.

A new, simplified endoscopic scoring system for predicting clinical outcome in gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia: the "e-cout system"

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The clinical outcomes of gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN) exhibit significant diversity, and the current reliance on endoscopic biopsy for diagnosis poses limitations in devising appropriate treatment strategies for this disease. This study aims to establish a prognostic prediction scoring system (e-Cout system) for gastric LGIN, offering a theoretical foundation for solving this clinical challenge.

METHODS

Retrospectively selecting 1013 cases meeting the inclusion and exclusion criteria from over 300,000 cases of upper gastrointestinal endoscopy performed at the Digestive Endoscopy Center of our hospital between 2000 and 2022, the cohort included 484 cases as development cohort and 529 cases for validation. Employing relevant statistical analysis, we used development cohort data to establish the e-Cout system for gastric LGIN, and further used validation cohort data to for internal validation.

RESULTS

In the developmental stage, based on accordant regression coefficients, we assigned point values to six risk factors for poor prognosis: 4 points for microvessel (MV) distortion, 3 points for MV thickening, 2 points for ulcer, and 1 point each for lesion size > 2cm, disease duration > 1 year, and hyperemia and redness on the lesion surface. Patients were then categorized into four risk levels: low risk (0-1 point), medium risk (2-3), high risk (4-6), and very high risk (≥7). During the validation stage, significant differences in the three different outcomes of gastric LGIN were observed across all risk levels. The probability of reversal and progression showed a significant decrease and increase, respectively, with escalating of risk levels, and these differences were statistically significant (P< 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed e-Cout system holds promise in aiding clinicians to predict the probability and risk levels of different clinical outcomes in patients with gastric LGIN. This system is expected to provide an improved foundation and guidance for the selection of clinical strategies for this disease.

Global Progression Rates of Precursor Lesions for Gastric Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Whether gastric cancer (GC) precursor lesions progress to invasive cancer at similar rates globally remains unknown. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the progression of precursor lesions to GC in countries with low versus medium/high incidence.

METHODS

We searched relevant databases for studies reporting the progression of endoscopically confirmed precursor lesions to GC. Studies were stratified by low (<6 per 100,000) or medium/high (≥6 per 100,000) GC incidence countries. Random-effects models were used to estimate the progression rates of atrophic gastritis (AG), intestinal metaplasia (IM), and dysplasia to GC per 1000 person-years.

RESULTS

Among the 5829 studies identified, 44 met our inclusion criteria. The global pooled estimates of the progression rate per 1000 person-years were 2.09 (95% confidence interval, 1.46-2.99), 2.89 (2.03-4.11), and 10.09 (5.23-19.49) for AG, IM, and dysplasia, respectively. The estimated progression rates per 1000 person-years for low versus medium/high GC incidence countries, respectively, were 0.97 (0.86-1.10) versus 2.47 (1.70-2.99) for AG (P < .01), 2.37 (1.43-3.92) versus 3.47 (2.13-5.65) for IM (P = .29), and 5.51 (2.92-10.39) versus 14.80 (5.87-37.28) for dysplasia (P = .08). There were no differences for progression of AG between groups when high-quality studies were compared.

CONCLUSIONS

Similar progression rates of IM and dysplasia were observed among low and medium/high GC incidence countries. This suggests that the potential benefits of surveillance for these lesions in low-risk regions may be comparable with those of population-wide interventions in high-risk regions. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings and inform global screening and surveillance guidelines.

Prevalence of Gastric Precursor Lesions in Countries With Differential Gastric Cancer Burden: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The prevalence of precursor lesions for gastric cancer (GC) and the differential burden between countries of varying GC risk is not well-understood. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the global prevalence of precursor lesions.

METHODS

We estimated the prevalence of atrophic gastritis (AG), gastric intestinal metaplasia (IM), and dysplasia in regions with low, medium, and high GC incidence. Because IM is an advanced manifestation of AG, we assessed the prevalence of less advanced precursors, regardless of the presence of more advanced lesions. Prevalence was sub-stratified by Helicobacter pylori infection, symptomatology, and period (<2000, 2000-2010, and >2010).

RESULTS

Among the 582 articles that underwent full-text review, 166 studies met inclusion criteria. The global prevalence estimates of AG, IM, and dysplasia were 25.4%, 16.2%, and 2.0%, respectively, on the basis of 126 studies that reported the prevalence of less advanced precursors, regardless of the presence of more advanced lesions. The prevalence of all precursor lesions was higher in high and medium compared with low GC incidence countries (P < .01). Prevalence of AG and IM was significantly higher among H pylori-infected individuals (P < .01) but not statistically different between symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals (P > .17). All precursors demonstrated a secular decrease in prevalence over time.

CONCLUSIONS

Gastric precursor lesions have differences in prevalence in regions with differential GC incidence and are associated with H pylori infection. Because of the substantial prevalence of precursor lesions in both symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals, symptomatic evaluation may not be sufficient to identify individuals at risk. These estimates provide important insights for tailoring GC prevention strategies.

Establishment and validation of a clinical diagnostic model for gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia

OBJECTIVE

A clinical diagnostic model of gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN) was developed and validated to improve the identification of precancerous lesions in gastric cancer.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 1211 patients with chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG) and 1089 patients with LGIN admitted to the Endoscopy Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College from January 2016 to December 2021 was performed to record basic clinical and pathological information.A total of 1756 patients were included after screening and were divided unequally and randomly into 2 groups, one for establishing an LGIN predictive nomogram (70% of patients) and the other for external validation of the model (30% of patients). R software was used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS

The nomogram was built with 10 predictors: age, sex, lesion location, intestinal metaplasia, multiple location, lesion size, erosion, edema, surface white fur, and form. The calibration curves showed good agreement between the predicted and actual diagnoses. The C-indexes were 0.841 (95% CI: 0.820-0.863) in the training dataset, 0.833 in the internal validation dataset, and 0.842 in the external validation dataset (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P = .612), showing satisfactory stableness.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides a visual mathematical model that can be used to diagnose high-risk LGIN, improve follow-up or endoscopic treatment and the detection rate of precancerous gastric cancer lesions, reduce the incidence of gastric cancer, and provide a reliable basis for the treatment of LGIN.

Endoscopic resection of gastric low-grade dysplasia with high risk factors is associated with decreased advanced neoplasia: a single-center retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The natural course of gastric low-grade dysplasia (LGD) remains unclear, and there are inconsistent management recommendations among guidelines and consensus.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the incidence of advanced neoplasia in patients with gastric LGD and identify the related risk factors.

METHODS

Cases of biopsy demonstrated LGD (BD-LGD) at our center from 2010 to 2021 were reviewed retrospectively. Risk factors related to histological progression were identified, and outcomes of patients based on risk stratification were evaluated.

RESULTS

Ninety-seven (23.0%) of 421 included BD-LGD lesions were diagnosed as advanced neoplasia. Among 409 superficial BD-LGD lesions, lesion in the upper third of the stomach, H. pylori infection, larger size, and narrow band imaging (NBI)-positive findings were independent risk factors of progression. NBI-positive lesions and NBI-negative lesions with or without other risk factors had 44.7%, 1.7%, and 0.0% risk of advanced neoplasia, respectively. Invisible lesions, visible lesions (VLs) without a clear margin, and VLs with a clear margin and size ≤ 10 mm, or > 10 mm had 4.8%, 7.9%, 16.7%, and 55.7% risk of advanced neoplasia, respectively. In addition, endoscopic resection decreased the risk of cancer (P < 0.001) and advanced neoplasia (P < 0.001) in patients with NBI-positive lesions, but not in NBI-negative patients. Similar results were found in patients with VLs with clear margin and size > 10 mm. Moreover, NBI-positive lesions had higher sensitivity and lower specificity for predicting advanced neoplasia than VLs with a clear margin and size > 10 mm determined by white-light endoscopy (97.6% vs. 62.7%, P < 0.001; and 63.0% vs. 85.6%, P < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Progression of superficial BD-LGD is associated with NBI-positive lesions, as well as with VLs with a clear margin (size > 10 mm) if NBI is unavailable, and selective resection of those lesions offers benefits for patients by decreasing the risk of advanced neoplasia.

Biomarker identification of chronic atrophic gastritis and its potential drug analysis

Background

Chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG) is the first step of gastric precancerous lesions, and the study of the pathogenesis of CAG is helpful for the prevention and treatment of gastric cancer(GC). The purpose of this study is to explore the potential biomarkers and therapeutic drugs of CAG through bioinformatics analysis.

Methods

The GSE11632 dataset was downloaded from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database and the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were obtained by using GEO2R online tool. We searched GeneCard and DisGeNET databases for genes related to CAG and used the overlapping genes as final DEGs for further functional enrichment analysis and Protein-protein Interaction (PPI) network analysis. Tissue-specific expressed genes were identified by BioGPS database. Cytoscape software was used to identify key hub genes and validated them in GSE27411 data sets. The upstream miRNAs of hub gene was predicted by TargetScan, miRDB and miRWalk. Finally, run the Connectivity Map (CMap) to identify new potential drugs for the treatment of CAG.

Results

A total of 430 differentially expressed mRNA were identified in this study, including 315 up-regulated genes and 115 down-regulated genes. After intersecting with CAG-related genes in GeneCard and DisGeNET databases, 42 DEGs were obtained. 24 DEGs were identified as tissue-specific expressed genes, most of which were expressed in stomach. GO and KEGG pathway analysis showed that DGEs was mainly enriched in digestion, IL-1 production, gastric acid secretion and so on. A total of 6 hub genes were generated by cytoHubba plug-in, among which ATP4A, CFTR and EPCAM had high diagnostic value. A total of 13 overlapping miRNA were predicted by 6 hub genes.

Conclusion

ATP4A, CFTR and EPCAM may be potential biomarkers of CAG. hsa-miR-185-5p-CFTR, hsa-miR-4644-CFTR and hsa-miR-4505-CFTR are potential RNA regulatory pathways to control the progression of CAG disease. Finally, amonafide, etoposide, mycophenolate-mofetil, cycloheximide and Emetine may be potential therapeutic drugs for CAG.

Comparison of Endoscopic Radiofrequency Ablation and Argon Plasma Coagulation in Patients with Gastric Low-Grade Intraepithelial Neoplasia: A Large-Scale Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN) is a precancerous lesion of gastric cancer. Endoscopic therapies represented by radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and argon plasma coagulation (APC) have been applied to treat gastric LGIN in recent years. However, no comparative study examining the effectiveness and safety profiles of RFA and APC has been reported.

METHODS

A single-center, large-scale, retrospective study, including 73 and 50 patients treated with RFA and APC, respectively, was conducted in the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from October 2015 to October 2020, with a two-year follow-up. Effectiveness, complications, operative factors, and other data were assessed.

RESULTS

At 2 years of follow-up, cure, relapse, recurrence, and progression rates were 90.4%, 9.6%, 9.6%, and 2.7% in the RFA group, respectively, versus 90%, 10%, 12%, and 4% in the APC group, respectively, with no statistically significant differences between the two groups (all p > 0.05). However, the mean lesion size was significantly larger in the RFA group (2.6 ± 1.0 cm) than in the APC group (1.5 ± 0.6 cm) (p < 0.001); there was also a significant difference in the composition ratio of large lesions between the two groups (p < 0.001). No serious postoperative complications showed in either group, and the abdominal pain was the most common symptom in the short term after surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

RFA and APC are both safe and effective destructive therapies for gastric LGIN. RFA is more suitable for flat and large lesions, while APC is more suitable for small lesions, especially those with slight local uplift or depression. An intraoperative submucosal injection is expected to be an effective method for relieving postoperative abdominal pain.

Clinical efficacy and prognostic risk factors of endoscopic radiofrequency ablation for gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia

BACKGROUND

The use of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) has been reported in the treatment of gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN). However, its efficacy and prognostic risk factors have not been well analyzed.

AIM

To explore the efficacy and prognostic risk factors of RFA for gastric LGIN in a large, long-term follow-up clinical study.

METHODS

The clinical data of 271 consecutive cases from 198 patients who received RFA for treatment of gastric LGIN at the Chinese PLA General Hospital from October 2014 to October 2020 were reviewed in this retrospective study. Data on operative parameters, complications, and follow-up outcomes including curative rates were recorded and analyzed.

RESULTS

The curative rates of endoscopic RFA for gastric LGIN at 3 mo, 6 mo, and 1-5 years after the operation were 93.3%, 92.8%, 91.5%, 90.3%, 88.5%, 85.7%, and 83.3%, respectively. Multivariate analyses revealed that Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection and disease duration > 1 year had a significant effect on the curative rate (P < 0.001 and P = 0.013, respectively). None of patients had bleeding, perforation, infection, or other serious complications after RFA, and the main discomfort was postoperative abdominal pain.

CONCLUSION

RFA was safe and effective for gastric LGIN during long-term follow-up. H. pylori infection and disease course > 1 year may be the main risk factors for relapse of LGIN after RFA.

Establishment and Validation of a Pathologic Upgrade Prediction Nomogram Model for Gastric Low-Grade Intraepithelial Neoplasia Patients After the Eradication of Helicobacter pylori

BACKGROUND

As yet, there is no unified method of treatment for the evaluation and management of gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN) worldwide.

METHODS

Patients with gastric LGIN who had been treated with Helicobacter pylori eradication were gathered retrospectively. Based on several relevant characteristics described and analyzed by LASSO regression analysis and multivariable logistic regression, a prediction nomogram model was established. C-index, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were adopted to evaluate the accuracy and reliability of the model.

RESULTS

A total of 309 patients with LGIN were randomly divided into the training groups and the validation groups. LASSO regression analysis and multivariable logistic regression identified that 6 variables including gender, size, location, borderline, number, and erosion were independent risk factors. The nomogram model displayed good discrimination with a C-index of .765 (95% confidence interval: .702-.828). The accuracy and reliability of the model were also verified by an AUC of .764 in the training group and .757 in the validation group. Meanwhile, the calibration curve and the DCA suggested that the predictive nomogram had promising accuracy and clinical utility.

CONCLUSIONS

A predictive nomogram model was constructed and proved to be clinically applicable to identify high-risk groups with possible pathologic upgrade in patients with gastric LGIN. Since it is regarded that strengthening follow-up or endoscopic treatment of high-risk patients may contribute to improving the detection rate or reducing the incidence of gastric cancer, the predictive nomogram model provides a reliable basis for the treatment of LGIN.