Bigger Is Not Always Better: Tumor Size and Prognosis in Advanced Melanoma

Cerebrospinal fluid protein biomarkers are associated with response to multiagent intraventricular chemotherapy in patients with CNS lymphoma

Background

Central nervous system lymphoma (CNSL), is a rare subtype of non-Hodgkin lymphoma, primarily affecting the brain and spinal cord. Most therapeutic systemic agents have limited penetration of the blood-brain and blood-cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) barrier, with the latter potentially promoting a treatment "sanctuary" for cancer cells. Evaluation of occult disease, particularly in the CSF, is challenging. In limited clinical experience, the addition of multiagent intraventricular chemotherapy (MAIVC), delivered through intracranially implanted CSF reservoirs, to systemic therapy has demonstrated encouraging outcomes, enhancing both progression-free survival and overall survival. However, given the potential morbidity associated with MAIVC, identification of minimally invasive biomarkers for guiding patient selection and management is necessary. Leveraging the longitudinal, large volume of CSF, the objective of this study was to identify CSF-based proteomic biomarkers that can serve as reliable indicators of CSF clearance in response to MAIVC and CNSL treatment outcome.

Methods

One hundred fifteen CSF samples from 59 CNSL patients receiving MAIVC were profiled using a high-throughput protocol coupled with mass-spectrometry that only requires 30 μL of CSF.

Results

More than 2000 unique proteins were detected using shotgun proteomics. Cerebrospinal fluid proteomics revealed key proteins (SGCE, LCP1, AGRN, OLFML3, and HRSP12) distinguishing early from never responders to MAIVC, with area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) 0.86 (95% CI: 0.696-1). By integrating tumor volume from brain MRI scans with proteomic data, we identified potential intraventricular tumor burden markers for CNSL management, in particular LCP1.

Conclusions

The study identified CSF-based proteomic biomarkers, particularly LCP1, that can classify MAIVC response and indicate tumor burden in CNSL patients.

Prognostic impact of radiological tumor burden in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma treated with pembrolizumab

PURPOSE

Radiological tumor burden has been reported to be prognostic in many malignancies in the immunotherapy era, yet whether it is prognostic in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) treated with pembrolizumab remains uninvestigated. We sought to assess the predictive and prognostic value of radiological tumor burden in patients with mUC.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of 308 patients with mUC treated with pembrolizumab. Radiological tumor burden was represented by baseline tumor size (BTS) and baseline tumor number (BTN). Optimal cut-off value of BTS was determined as 50 mm using the Youden index (small BTS: n = 194, large BTS: n = 114). Overall (OS), cancer-specific (CSS), progression-free survival (PFS), and objective response rate (ORR) were compared. Non-linear associations between BTS and OS and CSS were evaluated using restricted cubic splines.

RESULTS

Patients with large BTS were less likely to have undergone the surgical resection of the primary tumor (P = 0.01), and more likely to have liver metastasis (P < 0.001) and more metastatic lesions (P < 0.001). On multivariable analyses controlling for the effects of confounders (resection of primary tumor, metastatic site, number of metastases and lactate dehydrogenase level), large BTS and high BTN were independently associated with worse OS (HR 1.52; P = 0.015, and HR 1.69; P = 0.018, respectively) and CSS (HR 1.59; P = 0.01, and HR 1.66; P = 0.031, respectively), but not PFS. Restricted cubic splines revealed BTS was correlated with OS and CSS in linear relationships. Additionally, large BTS was significantly predictive of lower ORR and complete response rate on univariable analyses (P = 0.041 and P = 0.032, respectively), but its association disappeared on multivariable analyses.

CONCLUSION

Radiological tumor burden has independent prognostic value with a linear relationship in pembrolizumab-treated patients with mUC and might help drive the earlier introduction of second-line pembrolizumab and/or switching to subsequent therapies.

Efficacy and safety of anti-PD-1 inhibitor versus anti-PD-L1 inhibitor in first-line treatment of extensive-stage small cell lung cancer: a multicenter retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Immunotherapy targeting PD-1/PD-L1 has revolutionized the treatment of extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC). However, clinical trials suggest differential efficacy of anti-PD-1 agents and anti-PD-L1 agents in first-line treatment of ES-SCLC. This retrospective multicenter study aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of anti-PD-1 agents versus anti-PD-L1 agents in first-line treatment of ES-SCLC in real-world practice.

METHODS

Patients with pathologically or cytologically confirmed ES-SCLC treated with platinum plus etoposide combined with anti-PD-1 or PD-L1 agents as first-line treatment in different centers of PLA General Hospital between January 2017 and October 2021 were included for this study. Survival outcomes and safety were compared between patients receiving anti-PD-1 and PD-L1 agents.

RESULTS

Of the total 154 included patients, 68 received anti-PD-1 agents plus chemotherapy (PD-1 group), and 86 received anti-PD-L1 agents plus chemotherapy (PD-L1 group). Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in the entire cohort were 7.6 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.5-8.2 months) and 17.4 months (95% CI: 15.3-19.3 months), respectively. Median PFS and OS were comparable between the PD-1 group and PD-L1 group (PFS: 7.6 months vs. 8.3 months, HR = 1.13, 95% CI: 0.79-1.62, p = 0.415; OS: 26.9 months vs. 25.6 months, HR = 0.96, 95% CI: 0.63-1.47, p = 0.859. The objective response rate and disease control rate were comparable between the two groups: 79.4% vs. 79.1% and 92.6% vs. 94.2%, respectively. The 6-month, 12-month, and 18-month PFS and OS rates were slightly higher in the PD-L1 group than in the PD-1 group, while the 24-month PFS rate was slightly higher in the PD-1 group than in the PD-L1 group. Stratified analysis showed that locoregional thoracic radiotherapy and normal lactate dehydrogenase level were independent predictors of better OS in ES-SCLC patients treated with first-line chemotherapy plus ICI. Adverse events were not significantly different between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Anti-PD-1 agents and anti-PD-L1 agents combined with chemotherapy as first-line treatment for ES-SCLC are comparably effective and well tolerated.

Correlation of Baseline Tumor Burden with Clinical Outcome in Melanoma Patients Treated with Ipilimumab

INTRODUCTION

Tumor burden is a frequently mentioned parameter; however, a commonly accepted definition is still lacking.

METHODS

In this double-center prospective and retrospective study, 76 patients with unresectable stage III or stage IV melanoma treated with ipilimumab were included. We defined the baseline tumor burden (BTB) as the global sum of all metastases' longest diameters before treatment started and correlated the calculated BTB with disease control rate (DCR), progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and with the baseline levels of LDH, S100B, and sULPB2.

RESULTS

BTB correlated significantly with DCR (p = 0.009), PFS (p = 0.002), OS (p = 0.032), and the occurrence of NRAS mutation (p = 0.006). BTB was also correlated to baseline serum levels of LDH (p = 0.011), S100B (p = 0.027), and SULBP (p < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis revealed that BPB and LDH were independently correlated with PFS and OS. With increasing BTB, disease control was less likely; no patient with a BTB >200 mm achieved disease control. For patients with brain metastasis, no correlation of BTB with DCR (p = 0.251), PFS (p = 0.059), or OS (p = 0.981) was observed.

CONCLUSION

Calculated BTB is an independent prognostic factor for patients with metastatic melanoma treated with ipilimumab. Using calculated BTB as a definition of tumor burden may help increase comparability of outcome of therapies in future studies.

Optimizing treatment approaches for patients with cutaneous melanoma by integrating clinical and pathologic features with the 31-gene expression profile test

BACKGROUND

Many patients with low-stage cutaneous melanoma will experience tumor recurrence, metastasis, or death, and many higher staged patients will not.

OBJECTIVE

To develop an algorithm by integrating the 31-gene expression profile test with clinicopathologic data for an optimized, personalized risk of recurrence (integrated 31 risk of recurrence [i31-ROR]) or death and use i31-ROR in conjunction with a previously validated algorithm for precise sentinel lymph node positivity risk estimates (i31-SLNB) for optimized treatment plan decisions.

METHODS

Cox regression models for ROR were developed (n = 1581) and independently validated (n = 523) on a cohort with stage I-III melanoma. Using National Comprehensive Cancer Network cut points, i31-ROR performance was evaluated using the midpoint survival rates between patients with stage IIA and stage IIB disease as a risk threshold.

RESULTS

Patients with a low-risk i31-ROR result had significantly higher 5-year recurrence-free survival (91% vs 45%, P < .001), distant metastasis-free survival (95% vs 53%, P < .001), and melanoma-specific survival (98% vs 73%, P < .001) than patients with a high-risk i31-ROR result. A combined i31-SLNB/ROR analysis identified 44% of patients who could forego sentinel lymph node biopsy while maintaining high survival rates (>98%) or were restratified as being at a higher or lower risk of recurrence or death.

LIMITATIONS

Multicenter, retrospective study.

CONCLUSION

Integrating clinicopathologic features with the 31-GEP optimizes patient risk stratification compared to clinicopathologic features alone.

Opportunities and challenges of immune checkpoint inhibitors for extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer

Small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) accounts for 15%-20% of primary lung cancers, and it is characterized by low differentiation, rapid proliferation, and early metastasis. At least two-thirds of SCLC patients present with the extensive stage (ES) at the time of initial clinical diagnosis. Over the last 2 decades, platinum-based combination chemotherapy has remained the standard first-line treatment for SCLC. With the introduction of the immunotherapy era, immunotherapy plus chemotherapy has replaced conventional chemotherapy as the first-line treatment option for ES-SCLC and is recommended by National Comprehensive Cancer Network clinical guidelines. Therefore, in this review, we present the latest research advances in SCLC treatment, predictive biomarkers, and other topics of high interest to provide options for patients with SCLC.

Factors Determining Long-Term Antitumor Responses to Immune Checkpoint Blockade Therapy in Melanoma

With the increasing promise of long-term survival with immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) therapies, particularly for patients with advanced melanoma, clinicians and investigators are driven to identify prognostic and predictive factors that may help to identify individuals who are likely to experience durable benefit. Several ICB combinations are being actively developed to expand the armamentarium of treatments for patients who may not achieve long-term responses to ICB single therapies alone. Thus, negative predictive markers are also of great interest. This review seeks to deepen our understanding of the mechanisms underlying the durability of ICB treatments. We will discuss the currently available long-term data from the ICB clinical trials and real-world studies describing the survivorship of ICB-treated melanoma patients. Additionally, we explore the current treatment outcomes in patients rechallenged with ICB and the patterns of ICB resistance based on sites of disease, namely, liver or CNS metastases. Lastly, we discuss the landscape in melanoma in the context of prognostic or predictive factors as markers of long-term response to ICB.

Unconventional radiotherapy to enhance immunotherapy efficacy in bulky tumors: a case report

Determining the most appropriate management strategy for patients with large tumor masses is a very challenging issue. Unconventional radiotherapy modalities, such as spatially fractionated radiation therapy (SFRT), are associated with dramatic responses. Recent studies have suggested that systemic immune activation may be triggered by SFRT delivery to primary tumor lesion. This report describes the case of a patient treated with a novel form of immune-sparing partially ablative irradiation (ISPART) for a bulky peritoneal metastasis from renal cell cancer, refractory to anti-PD-1 therapy (nivolumab) as third-line therapy after sequential therapy with sunitinib and cabozantinib. The observed response suggests that there may be a synergistic effect between ISPART and immunotherapy. This case report supports the inclusion of ISPART in patients presenting with bulky lesions treated with checkpoint inhibitors .

Total tumor burden in lymphoma - an evolving strong prognostic parameter

Total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV), a new parameter extracted from baseline FDG-PET/CT, has been recently proposed by several groups as a prognosticator in lymphomas before first-line treatment. TMTV, the sum of the metabolic volume of each lesion, is an index of the metabolically most active part of the tumor and highly correlates with the total tumor burden. TMTV measurement is obtained from PET images processed with different software and techniques, many being now freely available. In the various lymphoma subtypes where it has been measured, such as diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, Hodgkin lymphoma, Follicular Lymphoma, and Peripheral T-cell lymphoma, TMTV has been reported as a strong predictor of outcome (progression-free survival and overall survival) often outperforming the clinical scores, molecular predictors, and results of interim PET. Combined with these scores, TMTV improves the stratification of the populations into risk groups with different outcomes. TMTV cut-off separating the high-risk from the low-risk population impacts the outcome whatever the technique used for its measurement and an international harmonization is ongoing. TMTV is a unique and easy tool that could replace the surrogate of tumor burden included in the prognostic indexes used in lymphoma and help tailor therapy. Other parameters extracted from the baseline PET may give an information on the dissemination of this total tumor volume such as the maximum distance between the lesions. Trials based on TMTV would probably demonstrate its predictive value.

Early discontinuation of PD-1 blockade upon achieving a complete or partial response in patients with advanced melanoma: the multicentre prospective Safe Stop trial

BACKGROUND

The introduction of programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) blockers (i.e. nivolumab and pembrolizumab) has significantly improved the prognosis of patients with advanced melanoma. However, the long treatment duration (i.e. two years or longer) has a high impact on patients and healthcare systems in terms of (severe) toxicity, health-related quality of life (HRQoL), resource use, and healthcare costs. While durable tumour responses have been observed and PD-1 blockade is discontinued on an individual basis, no consensus has been reached on the optimal treatment duration. The objective of the Safe Stop trial is to evaluate whether early discontinuation of first-line PD-1 blockade is safe in patients with advanced and metastatic melanoma who achieve a radiological response.

METHODS

The Safe Stop trial is a nationwide, multicentre, prospective, single-arm, interventional study in the Netherlands. A total of 200 patients with advanced and metastatic cutaneous melanoma and a confirmed complete response (CR) or partial response (PR) according to response evaluation criteria in solid tumours (RECIST) v1.1 will be included to early discontinue first-line monotherapy with nivolumab or pembrolizumab. The primary objective is the rate of ongoing responses at 24 months after discontinuation of PD-1 blockade. Secondary objectives include best overall and duration of response, need and outcome of rechallenge with PD-1 blockade, and changes in (serious) adverse events and HRQoL. The impact of treatment discontinuation on healthcare resource use, productivity losses, and hours of informal care will also be assessed. Results will be compared to those from patients with CR or PR who completed 24 months of treatment with PD-1 blockade and had an ongoing response at treatment discontinuation. It is hypothesised that it is safe to early stop first-line nivolumab or pembrolizumab at confirmed tumour response while improving HRQoL and reducing costs.

DISCUSSION

From a patient, healthcare, and economic perspective, shorter treatment duration is preferred and overtreatment should be prevented. If early discontinuation of first-line PD-1 blockade appears to be safe, early discontinuation of PD-1 blockade may be implemented as the standard of care in a selected group of patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The Safe Stop trial has been registered in the Netherlands Trial Register (NTR), Trial NL7293 (old NTR ID: 7502), https://www.trialregister.nl/trial/7293 . Date of registration September 30, 2018.

Second-line nivolumab in relapsed small-cell lung cancer: CheckMate 331☆

BACKGROUND

Patients with relapsed small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) have few treatment options and dismal survival. Phase I/II data show activity of nivolumab in previously treated SCLC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

CheckMate 331 is a randomized, open-label, phase III trial of nivolumab versus standard chemotherapy in relapsed SCLC. Patients with relapse after first-line, platinum-based chemotherapy were randomized 1 : 1 to nivolumab 240 mg every 2 weeks or chemotherapy (topotecan or amrubicin) until progression or unacceptable toxicity. Primary endpoint was overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Overall, 284 patients were randomized to nivolumab and 285 to chemotherapy. Minimum follow-up was 15.8 months. No significant improvement in OS was seen with nivolumab versus chemotherapy [median OS, 7.5 versus 8.4 months; hazard ratio (HR), 0.86; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.72-1.04; P = 0.11]. A survival benefit with nivolumab was suggested in patients with baseline lactate dehydrogenase ≤ upper limit of normal and in those without baseline liver metastases. OS (nivolumab versus chemotherapy) was similar in patients with programmed death-ligand 1 combined positive score ≥1% versus <1%. Median progression-free survival was 1.4 versus 3.8 months (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.18-1.69). Objective response rate was 13.7% versus 16.5% (odds ratio, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.50-1.27); median duration of response was 8.3 versus 4.5 months. Rates of grade 3 or 4 treatment-related adverse events were 13.8% versus 73.2%.

CONCLUSION

Nivolumab did not improve survival versus chemotherapy in relapsed SCLC. No new safety signals were seen. In exploratory analyses, select baseline characteristics were associated with improved OS for nivolumab.

Prognostic Clinical and Radiographic Biomarkers for BRAF-Targeted Therapy in Advanced Melanoma

Agents blocking BRAF and MEK produce robust responses in patients with BRAF^V600 -mutated melanoma; however, more accurate clinical biomarkers are needed to predict prognosis. To explore this question, we retrospectively studied 158 patients with BRAF-mutated melanoma treated with BRAF with or without MEK inhibitors. We found that the number of distinct tumor sites upon initiation of targeted therapy was associated with decreased progression-free survival but had no effect on overall survival. Serum values of lactate dehydrogenase and absolute lymphocyte count to absolute neutrophil count ratio independently had the strongest association with both progression-free survival and overall survival. Using both of these markers can help stratify prognosis of patients with metastatic melanoma receiving targeted therapy.

Efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitor monotherapy for patients with massive non-small-cell lung cancer

PURPOSE

Baseline tumor size (BTS) and the presence of massive lesions are important for predicting the clinical course of cancer. However, their impact on survival and clinical response in patients with advanced NSCLC undergoing immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treatment has been scarcely investigated.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 294 patients who underwent ICI therapy for advanced or recurrent non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) between January 2016 and July 2019.

RESULTS

Of these 294 patients, 284 (96.6%) had at least one measurable lesion. Of these, 263 patients treated with ICI monotherapy were included in the analysis. The median total and maximum target lesion diameters were 96.5 mm and 49.1 mm, respectively. Median progression-free survival (PFS) with massive lesions (max BTS > 50 mm, group A) and without massive lesions (max BTS ≤ 50 mm, group B) was 2.5 months (95% CI 1.8-3.7) and 6.7 months (95% CI 5.1-9.7), respectively. Median overall survival (OS) for groups A and B was 9.5 months (95% CI 5.5-12.3) and 20.0 months (95% CI 13.3-32.0), respectively. The multivariate analysis revealed marked associations between the presence of massive lesions and both PFS and OS.

CONCLUSION

The presence of massive lesions (max diameters > 50 mm) is an independent prognostic factor in advanced NSCLC treated with ICI monotherapy. Although overall response rates were similar between groups A and B, the disease control rate was significantly poorer for group A. Max BTS might be useful for predicting clinical outcomes for patients undergoing immunotherapy as a parameter reflecting their tumor burden.

The long-term impact of tumor burden in pT3N0M0 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A propensity score-matched analysis

The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of tumor burden on the survival of patients with pathologic T3N0M0 (pT3N0M0) esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).A total of 84 patients with pathologic T3N0M0 ESCC treated with radical esophagectomy and 3-field lymphadenectomy (3-FL) from January 2008 to December 2009 in our center were analyzed. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to calculate the optimal cutoff value. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used to assess the overall survival (OS) differences between groups. A regression model was applied to identify prognostic factors for OS. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to adjust for the imbalance and indication biases in the 2 groups.The median follow-up time was 62 months (range, 1-84 months), and the 5-year OS rate was 62% (95% confidence interval, 52.2-71.8%). According to the ROC curve analysis, the optimal cutoff values for the maximal esophageal wall thickness, tumor length, and tumor volume were 1.3 cm, 5.9 cm, and 18.6 cc, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that maximal esophageal wall thickness >1.3 cm (P = .014), tumor volume >18.6 cc (P < .001), and vascular invasion (P < .001) were significantly associated with OS. The multivariate Cox regression model identified tumor volume and vascular invasion as factors affecting OS. After propensity matching, patients with a tumor volume ≤18.6 cc had a better OS than those with a tumor volume >18.6 cc (5-year OS, 85% vs 50%, P = .008).Tumor volume may serve as a good prognostic factor for patients with pT3N0M0 ESCC treated with radical esophagectomy and 3-FL. Larger-scale studies are warranted to validate these findings.

Cisplatin Facilitates Radiation-Induced Abscopal Effects in Conjunction with PD-1 Checkpoint Blockade Through CXCR3/CXCL10-Mediated T-cell Recruitment

PURPOSE

Localized radiotherapy can cause T-cell-mediated abscopal effects on nonirradiated metastases, particularly in combination with immune checkpoint blockade (ICB). However, results of prospective clinical trials have not met the expectations. We therefore investigated whether additional chemotherapy can enhance radiotherapy-induced abscopal effects in conjunction with ICB.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

In three different two-tumor mouse models, triple therapy with radiotherapy, anti-PD-1, and cisplatin (one of the most widely used antineoplastic agents) was compared with double or single therapies.

RESULTS

In these mouse models, the response of the nonirradiated tumor and the survival of the mice were much better upon triple therapy than upon radiotherapy + anti-PD-1 or cisplatin + anti-PD-1 or the monotherapies; complete regression of the nonirradiated tumor was usually only observed in triple-treated mice. Mechanistically, the enhanced abscopal effect required CD8⁺T cells and relied on the CXCR3/CXCL10 axis. Moreover, CXCL10 was found to be directly induced by cisplatin in the tumor cells. Furthermore, cisplatin-induced CD8⁺T cells and direct cytoreductive effects of cisplatin also seem to contribute to the enhanced systemic effect. Finally, the results show that the abscopal effect is not precluded by the observed transient radiotherapy-induced lymphopenia.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first report showing that chemotherapy can enhance radiotherapy-induced abscopal effects in conjunction with ICB. This even applies to cisplatin, which is not classically immunogenic. Whereas previous studies have focused on how to effectively induce tumor-specific T cells, this study highlights that successful attraction of the induced T cells to nonirradiated tumors is also crucial for potent abscopal effects.

Biomarkers for Predicting Efficacies of Anti-PD1 Antibodies

Therapeutic options for treating advanced melanoma are progressing rapidly. Although anti-programmed cell death 1 (PD1) antibodies (e.g., nivolumab, pembrolizumab) have been approved as first-line and anchor drugs, respectively, for treating advanced melanoma, the efficacy appears limited as we expected, especially in Asian populations. Biomarkers to predict or evaluate the efficacy of anti-PD1 antibodies are needed to avoid subjecting patients to potentially severe adverse events associated with switching to other anti-melanoma drugs. This review focuses on the recent development of biomarkers for assessing the efficacy of anti-PD1 antibodies using routine blood tests such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, eosinophil ratio, serum markers such as lactate dehydrogenase, programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression on melanoma cells, microsatellite instability and mismatch repair deficiency assays, as well as soluble CD163, and tumor-associated macrophage-related chemokines (e.g., CXCL5, CXCL10).

Development of a Prognostic Nomogram for Liver Metastasis of Uveal Melanoma Patients Selected by Liver MRI

Patients with liver metastases of uveal melanoma (LMUM) die from their metastatic evolution within 2 years. We established a nomogram to choose a treatment adapted to life expectancy. From 2002 to 2013, we reviewed 224 patients with LMUM selected by liver MRI. A nomogram was developed based on a Cox model. The predictive performance of the model was assessed according to the C-statistic, Kaplan–Meier curve, and calibration plots. The median follow-up was 49.2 months (range, 0.6–70.9). The survival rates at 6, 12, and 24 months were 0.88 (0.95 CI [0.84–0.93]), 0.68 (0.95 CI [0.62–0.75]), and 0.26 (0.95 CI [0.21–0.33]), respectively. The four factors selected for the nomogram with a worse prognosis were: A disease-free interval between the UM and LMUM groups of less than 6 months (HR = 3.39; 0.95 CI [1.90–6.05]), more than 10 LMUM (HR = 3.95; 0.95 CI [1.97–4.43]), a maximum LMUM of more than 1200 mm2 (HR = 2.47; 0.95 CI [1.53–3.98]), and a lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) value greater than 1.5 (HR = 3.72; 0.95 CI [2.30–6.00]). The model achieved relatively good discrimination and calibration (C-statistic 0.71). This nomogram could be useful for decision-making and risk stratification for therapeutic options.