Machine Learning Algorithm Predicts Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Outcomes: Lessons From the COMPANION Trial

TDC-2: Multimodal Foundation for Therapeutic Science

Therapeutics Data Commons (tdcommons.ai) is an open science initiative with unified datasets, AI models, and benchmarks to support research across therapeutic modalities and drug discovery and development stages. The Commons 2.0 (TDC-2) is a comprehensive overhaul of Therapeutic Data Commons to catalyze research in multimodal models for drug discovery by unifying single-cell biology of diseases, biochemistry of molecules, and effects of drugs through multimodal datasets, AI-powered API endpoints, new multimodal tasks and model frameworks, and comprehensive benchmarks. TDC-2 introduces over 1,000 multimodal datasets spanning approximately 85 million cells, pre-calculated embeddings from 5 state-of-the-art single-cell models, and a biomedical knowledge graph. TDC-2 drastically expands the coverage of ML tasks across therapeutic pipelines and 10+ new modalities, spanning but not limited to single-cell gene expression data, clinical trial data, peptide sequence data, peptidomimetics protein-peptide interaction data regarding newly discovered ligands derived from AS-MS spectroscopy, novel 3D structural data for proteins, and cell-type-specific protein-protein interaction networks at single-cell resolution. TDC-2 introduces multimodal data access under an API-first design using the model-view-controller paradigm. TDC-2 introduces 7 novel ML tasks with fine-grained biological contexts: contextualized drug-target identification, single-cell chemical/genetic perturbation response prediction, protein-peptide binding affinity prediction task, and clinical trial outcome prediction task, which introduce antigen-processing-pathway-specific, cell-type-specific, peptide-specific, and patient-specific biological contexts. TDC-2 also releases benchmarks evaluating 15+ state-of-the-art models across 5+ new learning tasks evaluating models on diverse biological contexts and sampling approaches. Among these, TDC-2 provides the first benchmark for context-specific learning. TDC-2, to our knowledge, is also the first to introduce a protein-peptide binding interaction benchmark.

Role of Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence in Arrhythmias and Electrophysiology

Machine learning (ML), a subset of artificial intelligence (AI) centered on machines learning from extensive datasets, stands at the forefront of a technological revolution shaping various facets of society. Cardiovascular medicine has emerged as a key domain for ML applications, with considerable efforts to integrate these innovations into routine clinical practice. Within cardiac electrophysiology, ML applications, especially in the automated interpretation of electrocardiograms, have garnered substantial attention in existing literature. However, less recognized are the diverse applications of ML in cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias, spanning basic science research on arrhythmia mechanisms, both experimental and computational, as well as contributions to enhanced techniques for mapping cardiac electrical function and translational research related to arrhythmia management. This comprehensive review delves into various ML applications within the scope of this journal, organized into 3 parts. The first section provides a fundamental understanding of general ML principles and methodologies, serving as a foundational resource for readers interested in exploring ML applications in arrhythmia research. The second part offers an in-depth review of studies in arrhythmia and electrophysiology that leverage ML methodologies, showcasing the broad potential of ML approaches. Each subject is thoroughly outlined, accompanied by a review of notable ML research advancements. Finally, the review delves into the primary challenges and future perspectives surrounding ML-driven cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias research.

A new method of modeling the multi-stage decision-making process of CRT using machine learning with uncertainty quantification

AIMS

The purpose of this study is to create a multi-stage machine learning model to predict cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) response for heart failure (HF) patients. This model exploits uncertainty quantification to recommend additional collection of single-photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging (SPECT MPI) variables if baseline clinical variables and features from electrocardiogram (ECG) are not sufficient.

METHODS

218 patients who underwent rest-gated SPECT MPI were enrolled in this study. CRT response was defined as an increase in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) > 5% at a 6+-1 month follow-up. A multi-stage ML model was created by combining two ensemble models: Ensemble 1 was trained with clinical variables and ECG; Ensemble 2 included Ensemble 1 plus SPECT MPI features. Uncertainty quantification from Ensemble 1 allowed for multi-stage decision-making to determine if the acquisition of SPECT data for a patient is necessary. The performance of the multi-stage model was compared with that of Ensemble models 1 and 2.

RESULTS

The response rate for CRT was 55.5% (n = 121) with overall male gender 61.0% (n = 133), an average age of 62.0+-11.8, and LVEF of 27.7+-11.0. The multi-stage model performed similarly to Ensemble 2 (which utilized the additional SPECT data) with AUC of 0.75 vs. 0.77, accuracy of 0.71 vs. 0.69, sensitivity of 0.70 vs. 0.72, and specificity 0.72 vs. 0.65, respectively. However, the multi-stage model only required SPECT MPI data for 52.7% of the patients across all folds.

CONCLUSIONS

By using rule-based logic stemming from uncertainty quantification, the multi-stage model was able to reduce the need for additional SPECT MPI data acquisition without sacrificing performance.

Construction of a predictive model for blood transfusion in patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty and identification of clinical heterogeneity

A precise forecast of the need for blood transfusions (BT) in patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty (THA) is a crucial step toward the implementation of precision medicine. To achieve this goal, we utilized supervised machine learning (SML) techniques to establish a predictive model for BT requirements in THA patients. Additionally, we employed unsupervised machine learning (UML) approaches to identify clinical heterogeneity among these patients. In this study, we recruited 224 patients undergoing THA. To identify factors predictive of BT during the perioperative period of THA, we employed LASSO regression and the random forest (RF) algorithm as part of supervised machine learning (SML). Using logistic regression, we developed a predictive model for BT in THA patients. Furthermore, we utilized unsupervised machine learning (UML) techniques to cluster THA patients who required BT based on similar clinical features. The resulting clusters were subsequently visualized and validated. We constructed a predictive model for THA patients who required BT based on six predictive factors: Age, Body Mass Index (BMI), Hemoglobin (HGB), Platelet (PLT), Bleeding Volume, and Urine Volume. Before surgery, 1 h after surgery, 1 day after surgery, and 1 week after surgery, significant differences were observed in HGB and PLT levels between patients who received BT and those who did not. The predictive model achieved an AUC of 0.899. Employing UML, we identified two distinct clusters with significantly heterogeneous clinical characteristics. Age, BMI, PLT, HGB, bleeding volume, and urine volume were found to be independent predictors of BT requirement in THA patients. The predictive model incorporating these six predictors demonstrated excellent predictive performance. Furthermore, employing UML enabled us to classify a heterogeneous cohort of THA patients who received BT in a meaningful and interpretable manner.

Artificial intelligence models in prediction of response to cardiac resynchronization therapy: a systematic review

The aim of the presented review is to summarize the literature data on the accuracy and clinical applicability of artificial intelligence (AI) models as a valuable alternative to the current guidelines in predicting cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) response and phenotyping of patients eligible for CRT implantation. This systematic review was performed according to the PRISMA guidelines. After a search of Scopus, PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases, 675 records were identified. Twenty supervised (prediction of CRT response) and 9 unsupervised (clustering and phenotyping) AI models were analyzed qualitatively (22 studies, 14,258 patients). Fifty-five percent of AI models were based on retrospective studies. Unsupervised AI models were able to identify clusters of patients with significantly different rates of primary outcome events (death, heart failure event). In comparison to the guideline-based CRT response prediction accuracy of 70%, supervised AI models trained on cohorts with > 100 patients achieved up to 85% accuracy and an AUC of 0.86 in their prediction of response to CRT for echocardiographic and clinical outcomes, respectively. AI models seem to be an accurate and clinically applicable tool in phenotyping of patients eligible for CRT implantation and predicting potential responders. In the future, AI may help to increase CRT response rates to over 80% and improve clinical decision-making and prognosis of the patients, including reduction of mortality rates. However, these findings must be validated in randomized controlled trials.

Patient Selection and End Point Definitions for Decongestion Studies in Acute Decompensated Heart Failure: Part 1

Despite recent advances in the treatment of patients with chronic heart failure, acute decompensated heart failure remains associated with significant mortality and morbidity because many novel therapies have failed to demonstrate meaningful benefit. Persistent congestion in the setting of escalating diuretic therapy has been repeatedly shown to be a marker of poor prognosis and is currently being targeted by various emerging device-based therapies. Because these therapies inherently carry procedural risk, patient selection is key in the future trial design. However, it remains unclear which patients are at a higher risk of residual congestion or adverse outcomes despite maximally tolerated decongestive therapy. In the first part of this 2-part review, we aimed to outline patient risk factors and summarize current evidence for early recognition of high-risk profile for residual congestion and adverse outcomes. These factors are classified as relating to the following: (1) previous clinical course, (2) severity of congestion, (3) diuretic response, and (4) degree of renal impairment. We also aimed to provide an overview of key inclusion criteria in recent acute decompensated heart failure trials and investigational device studies and propose potential criteria for selection of high-risk patients in future trials.

Predictive value of machine learning algorithm of coronary artery calcium score and clinical factors for obstructive coronary artery disease in hypertensive patients

BACKGROUND

The addition of coronary artery calcium score (CACS) to prediction models has been verified to improve performance. Machine learning (ML) algorithms become important medical tools in an era of precision medicine, However, combined utility by CACS and ML algorithms in hypertensive patients to forecast obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) is rare.

METHODS

This retrospective study was composed of 1,273 individuals with hypertension and without a history of CAD, who underwent dual-source computed tomography evaluation. We applied five ML algorithms, coupled with clinical factors, imaging parameters, and CACS to construct predictive models. Moreover, 80% individuals were randomly taken as a training set on which 5-fold cross-validation was done and the remaining 20% were regarded as a validation set.

RESULTS

16.7% (212 out of 1,273) of hypertensive patients had obstructive CAD. Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) posted the biggest area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.83 in five ML algorithms. Continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) was 0.55 (95% CI (0.39-0.71), p < 0.001), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) was 0.04 (95% CI (0.01-0. 07), p = 0.0048) when the XGBoost model was compared with traditional Models. In the subgroup analysis stratified by hypertension levels, XGBoost still had excellent performance.

CONCLUSION

The ML model incorporating clinical features and CACS may accurately forecast the presence of obstructive CAD on CCTA among hypertensive patients. XGBoost is superior to other ML algorithms.

Combination of personalized computational modeling and machine learning for optimization of left ventricular pacing site in cardiac resynchronization therapy

Introduction: The 30-50% non-response rate to cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) calls for improved patient selection and optimized pacing lead placement. The study aimed to develop a novel technique using patient-specific cardiac models and machine learning (ML) to predict an optimal left ventricular (LV) pacing site (ML-PS) that maximizes the likelihood of LV ejection fraction (LVEF) improvement in a given CRT candidate. To validate the approach, we evaluated whether the distance D_PS between the clinical LV pacing site (ref-PS) and ML-PS is associated with improved response rate and magnitude. Materials and methods: We reviewed retrospective data for 57 CRT recipients. A positive response was defined as a more than 10% LVEF improvement. Personalized models of ventricular activation and ECG were created from MRI and CT images. The characteristics of ventricular activation during intrinsic rhythm and biventricular (BiV) pacing with ref-PS were derived from the models and used in combination with clinical data to train supervised ML classifiers. The best logistic regression model classified CRT responders with a high accuracy of 0.77 (ROC AUC = 0.84). The LR classifier, model simulations and Bayesian optimization with Gaussian process regression were combined to identify an optimal ML-PS that maximizes the ML-score of CRT response over the LV surface in each patient. Results: The optimal ML-PS improved the ML-score by 17 ± 14% over the ref-PS. Twenty percent of the non-responders were reclassified as positive at ML-PS. Selection of positive patients with a max ML-score >0.5 demonstrated an improved clinical response rate. The distance D_PS was shorter in the responders. The max ML-score and D_PS were found to be strong predictors of CRT response (ROC AUC = 0.85). In the group with max ML-score > 0.5 and D_PS< 30 mm, the response rate was 83% compared to 14% in the rest of the cohort. LVEF improvement in this group was higher than in the other patients (16 ± 8% vs. 7 ± 8%). Conclusion: A new technique combining clinical data, personalized heart modelling and supervised ML demonstrates the potential for use in clinical practice to assist in optimizing patient selection and predicting optimal LV pacing lead position in HF candidates for CRT.

Successes and challenges of artificial intelligence in cardiology

In the past decades there has been a substantial evolution in data management and data processing techniques. New data architectures made analysis of big data feasible, healthcare is orienting towards personalized medicine with digital health initiatives, and artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming of increasing importance. Despite being a trendy research topic, only very few applications reach the stage where they are implemented in clinical practice. This review provides an overview of current methodologies and identifies clinical and organizational challenges for AI in healthcare.

Electrocardiogram-based deep learning improves outcome prediction following cardiac resynchronization therapy

AIMS

This study aims to identify and visualize electrocardiogram (ECG) features using an explainable deep learning-based algorithm to predict cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) outcome. Its performance is compared with current guideline ECG criteria and QRSAREA.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A deep learning algorithm, trained on 1.1 million ECGs from 251 473 patients, was used to compress the median beat ECG, thereby summarizing most ECG features into only 21 explainable factors (FactorECG). Pre-implantation ECGs of 1306 CRT patients from three academic centres were converted into their respective FactorECG. FactorECG predicted the combined clinical endpoint of death, left ventricular assist device, or heart transplantation [c-statistic 0.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.66-0.72], significantly outperforming QRSAREA and guideline ECG criteria [c-statistic 0.61 (95% CI 0.58-0.64) and 0.57 (95% CI 0.54-0.60), P < 0.001 for both]. The addition of 13 clinical variables was of limited added value for the FactorECG model when compared with QRSAREA (Δ c-statistic 0.03 vs. 0.10). FactorECG identified inferolateral T-wave inversion, smaller right precordial S- and T-wave amplitude, ventricular rate, and increased PR interval and P-wave duration to be important predictors for poor outcome. An online visualization tool was created to provide interactive visualizations (https://crt.ecgx.ai).

CONCLUSION

Requiring only a standard 12-lead ECG, FactorECG held superior discriminative ability for the prediction of clinical outcome when compared with guideline criteria and QRSAREA, without requiring additional clinical variables. End-to-end automated visualization of ECG features allows for an explainable algorithm, which may facilitate rapid uptake of this personalized decision-making tool in CRT.

Identification of clinical heterogeneity and construction of a novel subtype predictive model in patients with ankylosing spondylitis: An unsupervised machine learning study

BACKGROUND

Accurate classification of patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is the premise of precision medicine so as to perform different medical interventions for different patient types. AS pathology is closely related to the changes in the immune microenvironment. In this study, we used unsupervised machine learning (UML) to classify patients with AS based on clinical characteristics. We then constructed a novel subtype predictive model for AS based on the clinical classification, after which we investigated the difference in the immune microenvironment to unravel the AS pathogenesis.

METHODS

Overall, 196 patients with AS were enrolled. UML was used to cluster AS patients by similar clinical characteristics. Functional ability, disease status, and grading of radiologic features were assessed to verify the accuracy and heterogeneity of UML clustering. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression and Random Forest algorithm were used to screen and identify predictive factors for the novel subtype of AS. Logistic regression was also performed to construct a predictive model of this novel subtype. Datasets were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus database to assess immune cell infiltration, and the results were validated using data of routine blood tests from 3671 AS patients and 5720 non-AS patients. The differential expression of Fat Mass and Obesity-Associated Protein (FTO), an m⁶A regulator, between AS patients and healthy control subjects was confirmed using immunohistochemistry.

RESULTS

UML clustering identified two clusters. The clinical characteristics of the two clusters were significantly heterogeneous. For the novel subtype of AS identified in UML clustering, a predictive model was built using three predictive factors, namely, C-reactive protein (CRP), absolute value of neutrophils (NEU), and absolute value of monocytes (MONO). The area under the curve of the predictive model was 0.983. Heterogeneity in the neutrophil and monocyte counts in AS was verified through immune cell infiltration analysis. Data from routine blood tests revealed that NEU and MONO were significantly higher in AS patients than in non-AS patients (p < 0.001). FTO expression was negatively correlated with both NEU and MONO. Immunohistochemistry analysis confirmed the downregulated expression of FTO.

CONCLUSIONS

UML provides an explicable and remarkable classification of a heterogeneous cohort of AS patients. A novel subtype of AS was identified in UML clustering. CRP, NEU, and MONO were the independent predictive factors for the novel subtype of AS. FTO expression was correlated with immune cell infiltration in AS patients.

Interpretable machine learning predicts cardiac resynchronization therapy responses from personalized biochemical and biomechanical features

BACKGROUND

Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy (CRT) is a widely used, device-based therapy for patients with left ventricle (LV) failure. Unfortunately, many patients do not benefit from CRT, so there is potential value in identifying this group of non-responders before CRT implementation. Past studies suggest that predicting CRT response will require diverse variables, including demographic, biomarker, and LV function data. Accordingly, the objective of this study was to integrate diverse variable types into a machine learning algorithm for predicting individual patient responses to CRT.

METHODS

We built an ensemble classification algorithm using previously acquired data from the SMART-AV CRT clinical trial (n = 794 patients). We used five-fold stratified cross-validation on 80% of the patients (n = 635) to train the model with variables collected at 0 months (before initiating CRT), and the remaining 20% of the patients (n = 159) were used as a hold-out test set for model validation. To improve model interpretability, we quantified feature importance values using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis and used Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) to explain patient-specific predictions.

RESULTS

Our classification algorithm incorporated 26 patient demographic and medical history variables, 12 biomarker variables, and 18 LV functional variables, which yielded correct prediction of CRT response in 71% of patients. Additional patient stratification to identify the subgroups with the highest or lowest likelihood of response showed 96% accuracy with 22 correct predictions out of 23 patients in the highest and lowest responder groups.

CONCLUSION

Computationally integrating general patient characteristics, comorbidities, therapy history, circulating biomarkers, and LV function data available before CRT intervention can improve the prediction of individual patient responses.

Artificial intelligence in cardiology: Hope for the future and power for the present

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the principal cause of mortality and morbidity globally. With the pressures for improved care and translation of the latest medical advances and knowledge to an actionable plan, clinical decision-making for cardiologists is challenging. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a field in computer science that studies the design of intelligent agents which take the best feasible action in a situation. It incorporates the use of computational algorithms which simulate and perform tasks that traditionally require human intelligence such as problem solving and learning. Whilst medicine is arguably the last to apply AI in its everyday routine, cardiology is at the forefront of AI revolution in the medical field. The development of AI methods for accurate prediction of CVD outcomes, non-invasive diagnosis of coronary artery disease (CAD), detection of malignant arrythmias through wearables, and diagnosis, treatment strategies and prediction of outcomes for heart failure (HF) patients, demonstrates the potential of AI in future cardiology. With the advancements of AI, Internet of Things (IoT) and the promotion of precision medicine, the future of cardiology will be heavily based on these innovative digital technologies. Despite this, ethical dilemmas regarding the implementation of AI technologies in real-world are still unaddressed.

Contemporary Applications of Machine Learning for Device Therapy in Heart Failure

Despite a better understanding of the underlying pathogenesis of heart failure (HF), pharmacotherapy, surgical, and percutaneous interventions do not prevent disease progression in all patients, and a significant proportion of patients end up requiring advanced therapies. Machine learning (ML) is gaining wider acceptance in cardiovascular medicine because of its ability to incorporate large, complex, and multidimensional data and to potentially facilitate the creation of predictive models not constrained by many of the limitations of traditional statistical approaches. With the coexistence of "big data" and novel advanced analytic techniques using ML, there is ever-increasing research into applying ML in the context of HF with the goal of improving patient outcomes. Through this review, the authors describe the basics of ML and summarize the existing published reports regarding contemporary applications of ML in device therapy for HF while highlighting the limitations to widespread implementation and its future promises.

Machine learning-based clustering in cervical spondylotic myelopathy patients to identify heterogeneous clinical characteristics

Background

Anterior cervical decompression and fusion can effectively treat cervical spondylotic myelopathy (CSM). Accurately classifying patients with CSM who have undergone anterior cervical decompression and fusion is the premise of precision medicine. In this study, we used machine learning algorithms to classify patients and compare the postoperative efficacy of each classification.

Methods

A total of 616 patients with cervical spondylotic myelopathy who underwent anterior cervical decompression and fusion were enrolled. Unsupervised machine learning algorithms (UMLAs) were used to cluster subjects according to similar clinical characteristics. Then, the results of clustering were visualized. The surgical outcomes were used to verify the accuracy of machine learning clustering.

Results

We identified two clusters in these patients who had significantly different baseline clinical characteristics, preoperative complications, the severity of neurological symptoms, and the range of decompression required for surgery. UMLA divided the CSM patients into two clusters according to the severity of their illness. The repose to surgical treatment between the clusters was significantly different.

Conclusions

Our results showed that UMLA could be used to rationally classify a heterogeneous cohort of CSM patients effectively, and thus, it might be used as the basis for a data-driven platform for identifying the cluster of patients who can respond to a particular treatment method.

Applications of Machine Learning in Cardiology

In this digital era, artificial intelligence (AI) is establishing a strong foothold in commercial industry and the field of technology. These effects are trickling into the healthcare industry, especially in the clinical arena of cardiology. Machine learning (ML) algorithms are making substantial progress in various subspecialties of cardiology. This will have a positive impact on patient care and move the field towards precision medicine. In this review article, we explore the progress of ML in cardiovascular imaging, electrophysiology, heart failure, and interventional cardiology.

Applications of artificial intelligence and machine learning in heart failure

Machine learning (ML) is a sub-field of artificial intelligence that uses computer algorithms to extract patterns from raw data, acquire knowledge without human input, and apply this knowledge for various tasks. Traditional statistical methods that classify or regress data have limited capacity to handle large datasets that have a low signal-to-noise ratio. In contrast to traditional models, ML relies on fewer assumptions, can handle larger and more complex datasets, and does not require predictors or interactions to be pre-specified, allowing for novel relationships to be detected. In this review, we discuss the rationale for the use and applications of ML in heart failure, including disease classification, early diagnosis, early detection of decompensation, risk stratification, optimal titration of medical therapy, effective patient selection for devices, and clinical trial recruitment. We discuss how ML can be used to expedite implementation and close healthcare gaps in learning healthcare systems. We review the limitations of ML, including opaque logic and unreliable model performance in the setting of data errors or data shift. Whilst ML has great potential to improve clinical care and research in HF, the applications must be externally validated in prospective studies for broad uptake to occur.

Current Advancement in Diagnosing Atrial Fibrillation by Utilizing Wearable Devices and Artificial Intelligence: A Review Study

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia affecting 8–10% of the population older than 80 years old. The importance of early diagnosis of atrial fibrillation has been broadly recognized since arrhythmias significantly increase the risk of stroke, heart failure and tachycardia-induced cardiomyopathy with reduced cardiac function. However, the prevalence of atrial fibrillation is often underestimated due to the high frequency of clinically silent atrial fibrillation as well as paroxysmal atrial fibrillation, both of which are hard to catch by routine physical examination or 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). The development of wearable devices has provided a reliable way for healthcare providers to uncover undiagnosed atrial fibrillation in the population, especially those most at risk. Furthermore, with the advancement of artificial intelligence and machine learning, the technology is now able to utilize the database in assisting detection of arrhythmias from the data collected by the devices. In this review study, we compare the different wearable devices available on the market and review the current advancement in artificial intelligence in diagnosing atrial fibrillation. We believe that with the aid of the progressive development of technologies, the diagnosis of atrial fibrillation shall be made more effectively and accurately in the near future.

Big Data in electrophysiology

The quantity of data produced and captured in medicine today is unprecedented. Technological improvements and automation have expanded the traditional statistical methods and enabled the analysis of Big Data. This has permitted the discovery of new associations with a granularity that was previously hidden to human eyes. In the first part of this review, the authors would like to provide an overview of basic Machine Learning (ML) principles and techniques in order to better understand their application in recent publications about cardiac arrhythmias. In the second part, ML-enabled advances in disease detection and diagnosis, outcome prediction, and novel disease characterization in topics like electrocardiography, atrial fibrillation, ventricular arrhythmias, and cardiac devices are presented. Finally, the limitations and challenges of applying ML in clinical practice, such as validation, replication, generalizability, and regulatory issues, are discussed. More carefully designed studies and collaborations are needed for ML to become feasible, trustworthy, accurate, and reproducible and to reach its full potential for patient-oriented precision medicine.

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Cardiac Electrophysiology

Cardiac electrophysiology requires the processing of several patient-specific data points in real time to provide an accurate diagnosis and determine an optimal therapy. Expanding beyond the traditional tools that have been used to extract information from patient-specific data, machine learning offers a new set of advanced tools capable of revealing previously unknown data patterns and features. This new tool set can substantially improve the speed and level of confidence with which electrophysiologists can determine patient-specific diagnoses and therapies. The ability to process substantial amounts of data in real time also paves the way to novel techniques for data collection and visualization. Extended realities such as virtual and augmented reality can now enable the real-time visualization of 3-dimensional images in space. This enables improved preprocedural planning and intraprocedural interventions. Machine learning supplemented with novel visualization technologies could substantially improve patient care and outcomes by helping physicians to make more informed patient-specific decisions. This article presents current applications of machine learning and their use in cardiac electrophysiology.

Predicting 1-Hour Thrombolysis Effect of r-tPA in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke Using Machine Learning Algorithm

Background: Thrombolysis with r-tPA is recommended for patients after acute ischemic stroke (AIS) within 4.5 h of symptom onset. However, only a few patients benefit from this therapeutic regimen. Thus, we aimed to develop an interpretable machine learning (ML)–based model to predict the thrombolysis effect of r-tPA at the super-early stage.

Methods: A total of 353 patients with AIS were divided into training and test data sets. We then used six ML algorithms and a recursive feature elimination (RFE) method to explore the relationship among the clinical variables along with the NIH stroke scale score 1 h after thrombolysis treatment. Shapley additive explanations and local interpretable model–agnostic explanation algorithms were applied to interpret the ML models and determine the importance of the selected features.

Results: Altogether, 353 patients with an average age of 63.0 (56.0–71.0) years were enrolled in the study. Of these patients, 156 showed a favorable thrombolysis effect and 197 showed an unfavorable effect. A total of 14 variables were enrolled in the modeling, and 6 ML algorithms were used to predict the thrombolysis effect. After RFE screening, seven variables under the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) model (area under the curve = 0.81, specificity = 0.61, sensitivity = 0.9, and F1 score = 0.79) demonstrated the best performance. Of the seven variables, activated partial thromboplastin clotting time (time), B-type natriuretic peptide, and fibrin degradation products were the three most important clinical characteristics that might influence r-tPA efficiency.

Conclusion: This study demonstrated that the GBDT model with the seven variables could better predict the early thrombolysis effect of r-tPA.

Artificial intelligence predicts clinically relevant atrial high-rate episodes in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices

To assess the utility of machine learning (ML) algorithms in predicting clinically relevant atrial high-rate episodes (AHREs), which can be recorded by a pacemaker. We aimed to develop ML-based models to predict clinically relevant AHREs based on the clinical parameters of patients with implanted pacemakers in comparison to logistic regression (LR). We included 721 patients without known atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter from a prospective multicenter (11 tertiary hospitals) registry comprising all geographical regions of Korea from September 2017 to July 2020. Predictive models of clinically relevant AHREs were developed using the random forest (RF) algorithm, support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) algorithm. Model prediction training was conducted by seven hospitals, and model performance was evaluated using data from four hospitals. During a median follow-up of 18 months, clinically relevant AHREs were noted in 104 patients (14.4%). The three ML-based models improved the discrimination of the AHREs (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: RF: 0.742, SVM: 0.675, and XGB: 0.745 vs. LR: 0.669). The XGB model had a greater resolution in the Brier score (RF: 0.008, SVM: 0.008, and XGB: 0.021 vs. LR: 0.013) than the other models. The use of the ML-based models in patient classification was associated with improved prediction of clinically relevant AHREs after pacemaker implantation.

Machine Learning for Clinical Decision-Making: Challenges and Opportunities in Cardiovascular Imaging

The use of machine learning (ML) approaches to target clinical problems is called to revolutionize clinical decision-making in cardiology. The success of these tools is dependent on the understanding of the intrinsic processes being used during the conventional pathway by which clinicians make decisions. In a parallelism with this pathway, ML can have an impact at four levels: for data acquisition, predominantly by extracting standardized, high-quality information with the smallest possible learning curve; for feature extraction, by discharging healthcare practitioners from performing tedious measurements on raw data; for interpretation, by digesting complex, heterogeneous data in order to augment the understanding of the patient status; and for decision support, by leveraging the previous steps to predict clinical outcomes, response to treatment or to recommend a specific intervention. This paper discusses the state-of-the-art, as well as the current clinical status and challenges associated with the two later tasks of interpretation and decision support, together with the challenges related to the learning process, the auditability/traceability, the system infrastructure and the integration within clinical processes in cardiovascular imaging.

Machine Learning Prediction of Cardiac Resynchronisation Therapy Response From Combination of Clinical and Model-Driven Data

Background: Up to 30–50% of chronic heart failure patients who underwent cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) do not respond to the treatment. Therefore, patient stratification for CRT and optimization of CRT device settings remain a challenge.

Objective: The main goal of our study is to develop a predictive model of CRT outcome using a combination of clinical data recorded in patients before CRT and simulations of the response to biventricular (BiV) pacing in personalized computational models of the cardiac electrophysiology.

Materials and Methods: Retrospective data from 57 patients who underwent CRT device implantation was utilized. Positive response to CRT was defined by a 10% increase in the left ventricular ejection fraction in a year after implantation. For each patient, an anatomical model of the heart and torso was reconstructed from MRI and CT images and tailored to ECG recorded in the participant. The models were used to compute ventricular activation time, ECG duration and electrical dyssynchrony indices during intrinsic rhythm and BiV pacing from the sites of implanted leads. For building a predictive model of CRT response, we used clinical data recorded before CRT device implantation together with model-derived biomarkers of ventricular excitation in the left bundle branch block mode of activation and under BiV stimulation. Several Machine Learning (ML) classifiers and feature selection algorithms were tested on the hybrid dataset, and the quality of predictors was assessed using the area under receiver operating curve (ROC AUC). The classifiers on the hybrid data were compared with ML models built on clinical data only.

Results: The best ML classifier utilizing a hybrid set of clinical and model-driven data demonstrated ROC AUC of 0.82, an accuracy of 0.82, sensitivity of 0.85, and specificity of 0.78, improving quality over that of ML predictors built on clinical data from much larger datasets by more than 0.1. Distance from the LV pacing site to the post-infarction zone and ventricular activation characteristics under BiV pacing were shown as the most relevant model-driven features for CRT response classification.

Conclusion: Our results suggest that combination of clinical and model-driven data increases the accuracy of classification models for CRT outcomes.

Clinical pharmacology: Current innovations and future challenges

Clinical pharmacology is the study of drugs in humans, from first-in-human studies to randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and benefit-risk ratio assessment in large populations. The objective of this review is to present the recent innovations that may revolutionize the development of drugs in the future. On behalf of the French Society of Pharmacology and Therapeutics, we provide recommendations to address those future challenges in clinical pharmacology. Whatever the future will be, robust preliminary data on drug mechanism of action and rigorous study design will remain crucial prior to the start of pharmacological studies in human. At the present time, RCTs remains the gold standard to evaluate the efficacy of human drugs, although alternative designs (pragmatic trials, platform trials, etc.) are emerging. Innovations in healthy volunteers' studies and the contribution of new technologies such as artificial intelligence, machine learning and internet-based trials have the potential to improve drug development. In the field of precision medicine, new disease phenotypes and endotypes will probably help to identify new pharmacological targets, responders to therapies and patients at risk for drug adverse events. In such a moving landscape, the development of translational research through academic and private partnership, transparent sharing of clinical trial data and enhanced interactions between drug experts, patients and the general public are priority areas for action.

Artificial intelligence and cardiology: Current status and perspective: Artificial Intelligence and Cardiology

The development of artificial intelligence (AI) began in the mid-20th century but has been rapidly accelerating in the past decade. Reflecting the development of digital health over the past few years, this trend is also seen in medicine. The field of cardiovascular medicine uses a wide variety and a large amount of biosignals, so there are many situations where AI can contribute. The development of AI is in progress for all aspects of the healthcare system, including the prevention, screening, and treatment of diseases and the prediction of the prognosis. AI is expected to be used to provide specialist-level medical care, even in a situation where medical resources are scarce. However, like other medical devices, the concept and mechanism of AI must be fully understood when used; otherwise, it may be used inappropriately, resulting in detriment to the patient. Therefore, it is important to understand what we need to know as a cardiologist handling AI. This review introduces the basics and principles of AI, then shows how far the current development of AI has come, and finally gives a brief introduction of how to start the AI development for those who want to develop their own AI.

Artificial Intelligence: A Shifting Paradigm in Cardio-Cerebrovascular Medicine

The future of healthcare is an organic blend of technology, innovation, and human connection. As artificial intelligence (AI) is gradually becoming a go-to technology in healthcare to improve efficiency and outcomes, we must understand our limitations. We should realize that our goal is not only to provide faster and more efficient care, but also to deliver an integrated solution to ensure that the care is fair and not biased to a group of sub-population. In this context, the field of cardio-cerebrovascular diseases, which encompasses a wide range of conditions-from heart failure to stroke-has made some advances to provide assistive tools to care providers. This article aimed to provide an overall thematic review of recent development focusing on various AI applications in cardio-cerebrovascular diseases to identify gaps and potential areas of improvement. If well designed, technological engines have the potential to improve healthcare access and equitability while reducing overall costs, diagnostic errors, and disparity in a system that affects patients and providers and strives for efficiency.

A Machine Learning-Based Prediction Model for Cardiovascular Risk in Women With Preeclampsia

Objective: Preeclampsia affects 2–8% of women and doubles the risk of cardiovascular disease in women after preeclampsia. This study aimed to develop a model based on machine learning to predict postpartum cardiovascular risk in preeclamptic women.

Methods: Collecting demographic characteristics and clinical serum markers associated with preeclampsia during pregnancy of 907 preeclamptic women retrospectively, we predicted the cardiovascular risk (ischemic heart disease, ischemic cerebrovascular disease, peripheral vascular disease, chronic kidney disease, metabolic system disease or arterial hypertension). The study samples were divided into training sets and test sets randomly in the ratio of 8:2. The prediction model was developed by 5 different machine learning algorithms, including Random Forest. 10-fold cross-validation was performed on the training set, and the performance of the model was evaluated on the test set.

Results: Cardiovascular disease risk occurred in 186 (20.5%) of these women. By weighing area under the curve (AUC), the Random Forest algorithm presented the best performance (AUC = 0.711[95%CI: 0.697–0.726]) and was adopted in the feature selection and the establishment of the prediction model. The most important variables in Random Forest algorithm included the systolic blood pressure, Urea nitrogen, neutrophil count, glucose, and D-Dimer. Random Forest algorithm was well calibrated (Brier score = 0.133) in the test group, and obtained the highest net benefit in the decision curve analysis.

Conclusion: Based on the general situation of patients and clinical variables, a new machine learning algorithm was developed and verified for the individualized prediction of cardiovascular risk in post-preeclamptic women.

Clinical Utility of Body Surface Potential Mapping in CRT Patients

This paper reviews the current status of the knowledge on body surface potential mapping (BSPM) and ECG imaging (ECGI) methods for patient selection, left ventricular (LV) lead positioning, and optimisation of CRT programming, to indicate the major trends and future perspectives for the application of these methods in CRT patients. A systematic literature review using PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science was conducted to evaluate the available clinical evidence regarding the usage of BSPM and ECGI methods in CRT patients. The preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) statement was used as a basis for this review. BSPM and ECGI methods applied in CRT patients were assessed, and quantitative parameters of ventricular depolarisation delivered from BSPM and ECGI were extracted and summarised. BSPM and ECGI methods can be used in CRT in several ways, namely in predicting CRT outcome, in individualised optimisation of CRT device programming, and the guiding of LV electrode placement, however, further prospective or randomised trials are necessary to verify the utility of BSPM for routine clinical practice.

Using Machine-Learning for Prediction of the Response to Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy: The SMART-AV Study

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to apply machine learning (ML) to develop a prediction model for short-term cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) response to identifying CRT candidates for early multidisciplinary CRT heart failure (HF) care.

BACKGROUND

Multidisciplinary optimization of cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) delivery can improve long-term CRT outcomes but requires substantial staff resources.

METHODS

Participants from the SMART-AV (SmartDelay-Determined AV Optimization: Comparison of AV Optimization Methods Used in Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy [CRT]) trial (n = 741; age: 66 ± 11 years; 33% female; 100% New York Heart Association HF class III-IV; 100% ejection fraction ≤35%) were randomly split into training/testing (80%; n = 593) and validation (20%; n = 148) samples. Baseline clinical, electrocardiographic, echocardiographic, and biomarker characteristics, and left ventricular (LV) lead position (43 variables) were included in 8 ML models (random forests, convolutional neural network, lasso, adaptive lasso, plugin lasso, elastic net, ridge, and logistic regression). A composite of freedom from death and HF hospitalization and a >15% reduction in LV end-systolic volume index at 6 months after CRT was the end point.

RESULTS

The primary end point was met by 337 patients (45.5%). The adaptive lasso model was the most more accurate (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.759; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.678-0.840), well calibrated, and parsimonious (19 predictors; nearly half potentially modifiable). Participants in the 5th quintile compared with those in the 1st quintile of the prediction model had 14-fold higher odds of composite CRT response (odds ratio: 14.0; 95% CI: 8.0-14.4). The model predicted CRT response with 70% accuracy, 70% sensitivity, and 70% specificity, and should be further validated in prospective studies.

CONCLUSIONS

ML predicts short-term CRT response and thus may help with CRT procedure and early post-CRT care planning. (SmartDelay-Determined AV Optimization: A Comparison of AV Optimization Methods Used in Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy [CRT] [SMART-AV]; NCT00677014).

The role of machine learning in clinical research: transforming the future of evidence generation

Background

Interest in the application of machine learning (ML) to the design, conduct, and analysis of clinical trials has grown, but the evidence base for such applications has not been surveyed. This manuscript reviews the proceedings of a multi-stakeholder conference to discuss the current and future state of ML for clinical research. Key areas of clinical trial methodology in which ML holds particular promise and priority areas for further investigation are presented alongside a narrative review of evidence supporting the use of ML across the clinical trial spectrum.

Results

Conference attendees included stakeholders, such as biomedical and ML researchers, representatives from the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), artificial intelligence technology and data analytics companies, non-profit organizations, patient advocacy groups, and pharmaceutical companies. ML contributions to clinical research were highlighted in the pre-trial phase, cohort selection and participant management, and data collection and analysis. A particular focus was paid to the operational and philosophical barriers to ML in clinical research. Peer-reviewed evidence was noted to be lacking in several areas.

Conclusions

ML holds great promise for improving the efficiency and quality of clinical research, but substantial barriers remain, the surmounting of which will require addressing significant gaps in evidence.

Artificial intelligence in the diagnosis and management of arrhythmias

The field of cardiac electrophysiology (EP) had adopted simple artificial intelligence (AI) methodologies for decades. Recent renewed interest in deep learning techniques has opened new frontiers in electrocardiography analysis including signature identification of diseased states. Artificial intelligence advances coupled with simultaneous rapid growth in computational power, sensor technology, and availability of web-based platforms have seen the rapid growth of AI-aided applications and big data research. Changing lifestyles with an expansion of the concept of internet of things and advancements in telecommunication technology have opened doors to population-based detection of atrial fibrillation in ways, which were previously unimaginable. Artificial intelligence-aided advances in 3D cardiac imaging heralded the concept of virtual hearts and the simulation of cardiac arrhythmias. Robotics, completely non-invasive ablation therapy, and the concept of extended realities show promise to revolutionize the future of EP. In this review, we discuss the impact of AI and recent technological advances in all aspects of arrhythmia care.

The Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Clinical Cardiac Electrophysiology

In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has found numerous applications in cardiology due in part to large digitized datasets and the evolution of high performance computing. In the discipline of cardiac electrophysiology (EP), a number of clinical, imaging, and electrical waveform data are considered in the diagnosis, prognostication and management of arrhythmias, which lend themselves well to automation through AI. But equally relevant, AI offers a unique opportunity to discover novel EP concepts and improve clinical care through its inherent, hierarchical tenets of self-learning. This review will focus on the application of AI in clinical EP and summarize state-of-the art, large, clinical studies in the following key domains: (1) ECG-based arrhythmia and disease classification, (2) atrial fibrillation source detection, (3) substrate and risk assessment for atrial fibrillation and ventricular tachyarrhythmias, and (4) predicting outcomes after cardiac resynchronization therapy. Many are small, single-center, proof-of-concept investigations, but they still demonstrate groundbreaking performance of deep learning, a subdomain of AI, which surpasses traditional statistical analysis. Larger studies, for instance classifying arrhythmias from ECG recordings, have further provided external validation of their high accuracy. Ultimately, the performance of AI is dependent on the quality of the input data and the rigor of algorithm development. The field is still nascent and several barriers will need to be overcome, including prospective validation in large, well-labelled datasets and more seamless information technology-based data collection/integration, before AI can be adopted into broader clinical EP practice. This review will conclude with a discussion of these challenges and future work.

Using ensemble of ensemble machine learning methods to predict outcomes of cardiac resynchronization

INTRODUCTION

The efficacy of cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) has been widely studied in the medical literature; however, about 30% of candidates fail to respond to this treatment strategy. Smart computational approaches based on clinical data can help expose hidden patterns useful for identifying CRT responders.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the electronic health records of 1664 patients who underwent CRT procedures from January 1, 2002 to December 31, 2017. An ensemble of ensemble (EoE) machine learning (ML) system composed of a supervised and an unsupervised ML layers was developed to generate a prediction model for CRT response.

RESULTS

We compared the performance of EoE against traditional ML methods and the state-of-the-art convolutional neural network (CNN) model trained on raw electrocardiographic (ECG) waveforms. We observed that the models exhibited improvement in performance as more features were incrementally used for training. Using the most comprehensive set of predictors, the performance of the EoE model in terms of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and F1-score were 0.76 and 0.73, respectively. Direct application of the CNN model on the raw ECG waveforms did not generate promising results.

CONCLUSION

The proposed CRT risk calculator effectively discriminates which heart failure (HF) patient is likely to respond to CRT significantly better than using clinical guidelines and traditional ML methods, thus suggesting that the tool can enhanced care management of HF patients by helping to identify high-risk patients.

Echocardiographic view and feature selection for the estimation of the response to CRT

Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) is an implant-based therapy applied to patients with a specific heart failure (HF) profile. The identification of patients that may benefit from CRT is a challenging task and the application of current guidelines still induce a non-responder rate of about 30%. Several studies have shown that the assessment of left ventricular (LV) mechanics by speckle tracking echocardiography can provide useful information for CRT patient selection. A comprehensive evaluation of LV mechanics is normally performed using three different echocardioraphic views: 4, 3 or 2-chamber views. The aim of this study is to estimate the relative importance of strain-based features extracted from these three views, for the estimation of CRT response. Several features were extracted from the longitudinal strain curves of 130 patients and different methods of feature selection (out-of-bag random forest, wrapping and filtering) have been applied. Results show that more than 50% of the 20 most important features are calculated from the 4-chamber view. Although features from the 2- and 3-chamber views are less represented in the most important features, some of the former have been identified to provide complementary information. A thorough analysis and interpretation of the most informative features is also provided, as a first step towards the construction of a machine-learning chain for an improved selection of CRT candidates.

Sex-Specific Patterns of Mortality Predictors Among Patients Undergoing Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy: A Machine Learning Approach

Background: The relative importance of variables explaining sex-related differences in outcomes is scarcely explored in patients undergoing cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT). We sought to implement and evaluate machine learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of 1- and 3-year all-cause mortality in CRT patients. We also aimed to assess the sex-specific differences in predictors of mortality utilizing ML. Methods: Using a retrospective registry of 2,191 CRT patients, ML models were implemented in 6 partially overlapping patient subsets (all patients, females, or males with 1- or 3-year follow-up). Each cohort was randomly split into training (80%) and test sets (20%). After hyperparameter tuning in the training sets, the best performing algorithm was evaluated in the test sets. Model discrimination was quantified using the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUC). The most important predictors were identified using the permutation feature importances method. Results: Conditional inference random forest exhibited the best performance with AUCs of 0.728 (0.645-0.802) and 0.732 (0.681-0.784) for the prediction of 1- and 3-year mortality, respectively. Etiology of heart failure, NYHA class, left ventricular ejection fraction, and QRS morphology had higher predictive power, whereas hemoglobin was less important in females compared to males. The importance of atrial fibrillation and age increased, while the importance of serum creatinine decreased from 1- to 3-year follow-up in both sexes. Conclusions: Using ML techniques in combination with easily obtainable clinical features, our models effectively predicted 1- and 3-year all-cause mortality in CRT patients. Sex-specific patterns of predictors were identified, showing a dynamic variation over time.

Machine Learning in Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology

Machine learning (ML), a branch of artificial intelligence, where machines learn from big data, is at the crest of a technological wave of change sweeping society. Cardiovascular medicine is at the forefront of many ML applications, and there is a significant effort to bring them into mainstream clinical practice. In the field of cardiac electrophysiology, ML applications have also seen a rapid growth and popularity, particularly the use of ML in the automatic interpretation of ECGs, which has been extensively covered in the literature. Much lesser known are the other aspects of ML application in cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias, such as those in basic science research on arrhythmia mechanisms, both experimental and computational; in the development of better techniques for mapping of cardiac electrical function; and in translational research related to arrhythmia management. In the current review, we examine comprehensively such ML applications as they match the scope of this journal. The current review is organized in 3 parts. The first provides an overview of general ML principles and methodologies that will afford readers of the necessary information on the subject, serving as the foundation for inviting further ML applications in arrhythmia research. The basic information we provide can serve as a guide on how one might design and conduct an ML study. The second part is a review of arrhythmia and electrophysiology studies in which ML has been utilized, highlighting the broad potential of ML approaches. For each subject, we outline comprehensively the general topics, while reviewing some of the research advances utilizing ML under the subject. Finally, we discuss the main challenges and the perspectives for ML-driven cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmia research.

Importance of Systematic Right Ventricular Assessment in Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Candidates: A Machine Learning Approach

BACKGROUND

Despite all having systolic heart failure and broad QRS intervals, patients screened for cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) are highly heterogeneous, and it remains extremely challenging to predict the impact of CRT devices on left ventricular function and outcomes. The aim of this study was to evaluate the relative impact of clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic data on the left ventricular remodeling and prognosis of CRT candidates by the application of machine learning approaches.

METHODS

One hundred ninety-three patients with systolic heart failure receiving CRT according to current recommendations were prospectively included in this multicenter study. A combination of the Boruta algorithm and random forest methods was used to identify features predicting both CRT volumetric response and prognosis. Model performance was tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The k-medoid method was also applied to identify clusters of phenotypically similar patients.

RESULTS

From 28 clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic variables, 16 features were predictive of CRT response, and 11 features were predictive of prognosis. Among the predictors of CRT response, eight variables (50%) pertained to right ventricular size or function. Tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion was the main feature associated with prognosis. The selected features were associated with particularly good prediction of both CRT response (area under the curve, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.74-0.87) and outcomes (area under the curve, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.75-0.93). An unsupervised machine learning approach allowed the identification of two phenogroups of patients who differed significantly in clinical variables and parameters of biventricular size and right ventricular function. The two phenogroups had significantly different prognosis (hazard ratio, 4.70; 95% CI, 2.1-10.0; P < .0001; log-rank P < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning can reliably identify clinical and echocardiographic features associated with CRT response and prognosis. The evaluation of both right ventricular size and functional parameters has pivotal importance for the risk stratification of CRT candidates and should be systematically performed in patients undergoing CRT.

Clinical applications of machine learning in the diagnosis, classification, and prediction of heart failure

Machine learning and artificial intelligence are generating significant attention in the scientific community and media. Such algorithms have great potential in medicine for personalizing and improving patient care, including in the diagnosis and management of heart failure. Many physicians are familiar with these terms and the excitement surrounding them, but many are unfamiliar with the basics of these algorithms and how they are applied to medicine. Within heart failure research, current applications of machine learning include creating new approaches to diagnosis, classifying patients into novel phenotypic groups, and improving prediction capabilities. In this paper, we provide an overview of machine learning targeted for the practicing clinician and evaluate current applications of machine learning in the diagnosis, classification, and prediction of heart failure.

Heart Failure Diagnosis, Readmission, and Mortality Prediction Using Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence Models

Purpose of Review

One in five people will develop heart failure (HF), and 50% of HF patients die in 5 years. The HF diagnosis, readmission, and mortality prediction are essential to develop personalized prevention and treatment plans. This review summarizes recent findings and approaches of machine learning models for HF diagnostic and outcome prediction using electronic health record (EHR) data.

Recent Findings

A set of machine learning models have been developed for HF diagnostic and outcome prediction using diverse variables derived from EHR data, including demographic, medical note, laboratory, and image data, and achieved expert-comparable prediction results.

Summary

Machine learning models can facilitate the identification of HF patients, as well as accurate patient-specific assessment of their risk for readmission and mortality. Additionally, novel machine learning techniques for integration of diverse data and improvement of model predictive accuracy in imbalanced data sets are critical for further development of these promising modeling methodologies.

Applications of Machine Learning in Cardiac Electrophysiology

Artificial intelligence through machine learning (ML) methods is becoming prevalent throughout the world, with increasing adoption in healthcare. Improvements in technology have allowed early applications of machine learning to assist physician efficiency and diagnostic accuracy. In electrophysiology, ML has applications for use in every stage of patient care. However, its use is still in infancy. This article will introduce the potential of ML, before discussing the concept of big data and its pitfalls. The authors review some common ML methods including supervised and unsupervised learning, then examine applications in cardiac electrophysiology. This will focus on surface electrocardiography, intracardiac mapping and cardiac implantable electronic devices. Finally, the article concludes with an overview of how ML may impact on electrophysiology in the future.

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Arrhythmias and Cardiac Electrophysiology

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in medicine are currently areas of intense exploration, showing potential to automate human tasks and even perform tasks beyond human capabilities. Literacy and understanding of AI/ML methods are becoming increasingly important to researchers and clinicians. The first objective of this review is to provide the novice reader with literacy of AI/ML methods and provide a foundation for how one might conduct an ML study. We provide a technical overview of some of the most commonly used terms, techniques, and challenges in AI/ML studies, with reference to recent studies in cardiac electrophysiology to illustrate key points. The second objective of this review is to use examples from recent literature to discuss how AI and ML are changing clinical practice and research in cardiac electrophysiology, with emphasis on disease detection and diagnosis, prediction of patient outcomes, and novel characterization of disease. The final objective is to highlight important considerations and challenges for appropriate validation, adoption, and deployment of AI technologies into clinical practice.

Clinical applications of artificial intelligence in cardiology on the verge of the decade

Artificial intelligence (AI) has been hailed as the fourth industrial revolution and its influence on people's lives is increasing. The research on AI applications in medicine is progressing rapidly. This revolution shows promise for more precise diagnoses, streamlined workflows, increased accessibility to healthcare services and new insights into ever-growing population-wide datasets. While some applications have already found their way into contemporary patient care, we are still in the early days of the AI-era in medicine. Despite the popularity of these new technologies, many practitioners lack an understanding of AI methods, their benefits, and pitfalls. This review aims to provide information about the general concepts of machine learning (ML) with special focus on the applications of such techniques in cardiovascular medicine. It also sets out the current trends in research related to medical applications of AI. Along with new possibilities, new threats arise - acknowledging and understanding them is as important as understanding the ML methodology itself. Therefore, attention is also paid to the current opinions and guidelines regarding the validation and safety of AI-powered tools.

Machine Learning of 12-Lead QRS Waveforms to Identify Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Patients With Differential Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) improves heart failure outcomes but has significant nonresponse rates, highlighting limitations in ECG selection criteria: QRS duration (QRSd) ≥150 ms and subjective labeling of left bundle branch block (LBBB). We explored unsupervised machine learning of ECG waveforms to identify CRT subgroups that may differentiate outcomes beyond QRSd and LBBB.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 946 CRT patients with conduction delay. Principal component analysis (PCA) dimensionality reduction obtained a 2-dimensional representation of preCRT 12-lead QRS waveforms. k-means clustering of the 2-dimensional PCA representation of 12-lead QRS waveforms identified 2 patient subgroups (QRS PCA groups). Vectorcardiographic QRS area was also calculated. We examined following 2 primary outcomes: (1) composite end point of death, left ventricular assist device, or heart transplant, and (2) degree of echocardiographic left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) change after CRT.

RESULTS

Compared with QRS PCA Group 2 (n=425), Group 1 (n=521) had lower risk for reaching the composite end point (HR, 0.44 [95% CI, 0.38-0.53]; P<0.001) and experienced greater mean LVEF improvement (11.1±11.7% versus 4.8±9.7%; P<0.001), even among patients with LBBB with QRSd ≥150 ms (HR, 0.42 [95% CI, 0.30-0.57]; P<0.001; mean LVEF change 12.5±11.8% versus 7.3±8.1%; P=0.001). QRS area also stratified outcomes but had significant differences from QRS PCA groups. A stratification scheme combining QRS area and QRS PCA group identified patients with LBBB with similar outcomes to non-LBBB patients (HR, 1.32 [95% CI, 0.93-1.62]; difference in mean LVEF change: 0.8% [95% CI, -2.1% to 3.7%]). The stratification scheme also identified patients with LBBB with QRSd <150 ms with comparable outcomes to patients with LBBB with QRSd ≥150 ms (HR, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.67-1.29]; difference in mean LVEF change: -0.2% [95% CI, -2.7% to 3.0%]).

CONCLUSIONS

Unsupervised machine learning of ECG waveforms identified CRT subgroups with relevance beyond LBBB and QRSd. This method may assist in objective classification of bundle branch block morphology in CRT.

A prognostic nomogram for event-free survival in patients with atrial fibrillation before cardiac resynchronization therapy

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF), one of the most common comorbidities of heart failure (HF), is associated with worse long-term prognosis in HF patients receiving cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT). However, there is still no convenient tool to identify CRT candidates with AF who are at high risk of mortality and hospitalization due to HF.

Methods

We included 152 consecutive patients with AF for CRT in our hospital from January 2009 to July 2019. Multiple imputation was used for missing values. With imputed datasets, a multivariate Cox regression model was performed for variable selection using the backward stepwise method to predict all-cause mortality and HF readmissions. A nomogram and nomogram-based scoring system were constructed from the selected predictors. Then, internal validation and calibration were achieved by the bootstrap method, deriving the corrected concordance index and calibration curves. Sensitivity analysis was also performed to validate our selected predictors.

Results

Five predictors were incorporated in the nomogram, including N-terminal pro brain natriuretic protein (NT-proBNP) > 1745 pg/mL, history of syncope, previous pulmonary hypertension, moderate or severe tricuspid regurgitation, thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) > 4 mIU/L. The concordance index (0.70, 95% CI 0.62–0.77), corrected concordance index (0.67, 95% CI 0.59–0.74) and calibration curve showed optimal discrimination and calibration of the established nomogram. A significant difference in overall event-free survival was recognized by the nomogram-derived scores for patients with high risk (> 50 points), intermediate risk (21–50 points) and low risk (0–20 points) before CRT.

Conclusion

Our internally validated nomogram may be an applicable tool for the early risk stratification of CRT candidates with AF.