Characteristics and Prognosis of Patients With Moderate Aortic Stenosis and Preserved Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction

Impact of Renal Function on Myocardial Remodeling and Outcomes in Patients With Moderate Aortic Stenosis

BACKGROUND

Patients with moderate aortic stenosis (AS) and cardiac damage have poor prognosis, and whether early aortic valve replacement benefits these patients is under investigation. However, besides valvular hemodynamics, comorbidities such as chronic kidney disease (CKD) can contribute to myocardial damage and affect prognosis. The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of renal function on myocardial remodeling and outcomes in patients with moderate AS.

METHODS

The study cohort included 865 consecutive patients diagnosed with moderate AS (aortic valve area > 1.0 and ≤1.5 cm2, mean gradient > 20 mmHg) between 2008 and 2020. Patients were categorized into five stages of CKD according to estimated glomerular filtration rate. Echocardiographic measures of myocardial remodeling and the composite outcome of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization were assessed.

RESULTS

Higher CKD stage was associated with greater valvuloarterial impedance, as well as greater left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy, worse LV diastolic function, and lower LV and left atrial strain, despite similar AS severity. These associations were independent of age, sex, comorbidities, and LV pressure overload. During a median follow-up period of 4.0 years, 310 composite outcome events (39.3%) occurred, including 258 deaths (32.7%). Severe CKD (stage 4 or 5) and myocardial dysfunction were independent predictors of the composite outcome, after adjustment for key clinical variables including aortic valve replacement. Mediation analysis showed that myocardial dysfunction partially mediated the impact of renal function on outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with moderate AS, renal dysfunction was independently associated with adverse myocardial remodeling and dysfunction, irrespective of valvular hemodynamics. The role of earlier intervention in patients with moderate AS whose cardiac damage is driven by comorbidities, rather than AS itself, warrants further investigation.

Impact of valvulo-vascular haemodynamics on left ventricular remodelling and the prevalence of discordant moderate aortic stenosis

AIMS

This study aims to describe the prevalence of discordant mild/moderate aortic stenosis (AS) in a population-based study and to identify the mechanisms that lead to reduced stroke volume (SV) and discordant moderate AS.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Discordant high-gradient (HG)-mild AS, defined as AVA > 1.5 cm2 and mean pressure gradient (MG) of 20-40 mmHg, and discordant low-gradient (LG) moderate AS, defined as AVA 1.0-1.5 cm2 and MG < 20 mmHg, were assessed in 883 individuals from the DANCAVAS screening study with aortic valve calcification and 257 individuals form the PROGRESSA study excluding those with left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction < 50%. In the DANCAVAS cohort, 150 men had mild/moderate AS of which 34% had discordance between MG and AVA, representing 66% with moderate AS. Among 262 patients in the combined cohort, 39% had discordant LG-moderate AS and 6% discordant HG-mild AS. Compared with concordant mild and moderate AS, individuals with discordant LG-moderate AS were more likely to present with LV concentric remodelling geometry (26 vs. 33 vs. 45%, P < 0.001), increased valvulo-arterial impedance (3.3 ± 0.7 vs. 3.6 ± 0.5 vs. 4.1 ± 0.7 mmHg/mL/m2, P < 0.001), and reduced systemic arterial compliance (SAC) (0.74 ± 0.22 vs. 0.81 ± 0.22 vs. 0.64 ± 0.18 mL/m2/mmHg, P < 0.001). Factors associated with SV index were relative wall thickness, LV end-diastolic diameter index, SAC, and LV remodelling pattern.

CONCLUSION

Discordant moderate AS is common, accounting for two-thirds of patients with moderate AS in the general male population. Patients with discordant LG-moderate AS have predominantly a concentric remodelling pattern with reduced SV. Reduced SV index was associated with signs of reduced vascular compliance, suggesting that altered vascular properties drive differences in remodelling patterns and discordant moderate AS.

[Construction of a mixed valvular heart disease-related age-adjusted comorbidity index and its predictive value for patient prognosis]

OBJECTIVES

To create a mixed valvular heart disease (MVHD)-related age-adjusted comorbidity index (MVACI) model for predicting mortality risk of patients with MVHD.

METHODS

A total of 4080 patients with moderate or severe MVHD in the China-VHD study were included. The primary endpoint was 2-year all-cause mortality. A MVACI model prediction model was constructed based on the mortality risk factors identified by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Restricted cubic splines were used to assess the relationship between MVACI scores and 2-year all-cause mortality. The optimal threshold, determined by the maximum Youden index from receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, was used to stratify patients. Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate 2-year all-cause mortality and compared using the Log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were employed to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI), evaluating the association between MVACI scores and mortality. Paired ROC curves were used to compare the discriminative ability of MVACI scores with the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation Ⅱ(EuroSCORE Ⅱ) or the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) in predicting 2-year clinical outcomes, while calibration curves assessed the calibration of these models. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on etiology, treatment strategies, and disease severity.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis identified the following variables independently associated with 2-year all-cause mortality in patients: pulmonary hypertension, myocardiopathy, heart failure, low body weight (body mass index <18.5 kg/m2), anaemia, hypoalbuminemia, renal insufficiency, cancer, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class and age. The score was independently associated with the risk of all-cause mortality, and exhibited good discrimination (AUC=0.777, 95%CI: 0.755-0.799) and calibration (Brier score 0.062), with significantly better predictive performance than EuroSCORE Ⅱ or ACCI (both adjusted P<0.01). The internal validation showed that the MVACI model's predicted probability of 2-year all-cause mortality was generally consistent with the actual probability. The AUCs for predicting all-cause mortality risk were all above 0.750, and those for predicting adverse events were all above 0.630. The prognostic value of the score remained consistent in patients regardless of their etiology, therapeutic option, and disease severity.

CONCLUSIONS

The MVACI was constructed in this study based on age and comorbidities, and can be used for mortality risk prediction and risk stratification of MVHD patients. It is a simple algorithmic index and easy to use.

Predictors and Outcomes of Inappropriate Dosing of Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Patients Receiving Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation

INTRODUCTION

Direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) dose adjustment is based on age, renal function, and body weight. There is a paucity of data describing the factors associated with the prescription of inappropriate dosage and their impact on clinical outcomes among patients receiving transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI).

METHODS

In a single-center study, 432 patients who were on long-term DOAC therapy and underwent TAVI between 2015 and 2022 were included. We analyzed the predictors and outcomes of inappropriate dosing of DOACs; namely apixaban, dabigatran, edoxaban, and rivaroxaban. A composite endpoint, including all-cause mortality, life-threatening/major bleeding, stroke, peripheral thromboembolic complications, or myocardial infarction, was assessed after 1 year.

RESULTS

In this TAVI cohort, inappropriate DOAC dosing was observed in 20.6% of patients. Inappropriate DOAC dosage was related to female gender (adj. odds ratio [OR] 2.72, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.64-4.51, p < 0.001) as well as lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (adj. OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.98-1.00, p = 0.019), and to the administration of non-rivaroxaban DOACs (adj. OR 0.28, 95% CI 0.16-0.50, p < 0.001). After 1 year, patients on both appropriate and inappropriate DOAC dosage exhibited comparable rates of the composite endpoint (OR 0.88, 95% CI 0.53-1.46, p = 0.622). Old age (adj. OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.10, p = 0.018) as well as anemia (adj. OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.75-0.99, p = 0.031) emerged as independent predictors of the composite endpoint.

CONCLUSIONS

In this TAVI cohort, female gender and renal insufficiency were associated with inappropriate DOAC dosage, whereas rivaroxaban was linked to appropriate dosing. Inadequate DOAC dosage did not translate into a worse outcome in our TAVI population.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Prospective Segeberg TAVI Registry (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03192774).

Does Atrial Fibrillation at Diagnosis Change Prognosis in Patients with Aortic Stenosis?

Background: Aortic stenosis (AS) is a common valve disease and atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, frequently associated with AS. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of AF on mortality in patients with moderate and severe AS. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1070 consecutive moderate and severe AS patients (57% were male, age was 69 ± 10, severe AS 22.5%), who underwent transthoracic echocardiography from March 2018 to November 2021. AS severity was defined by specific threshold values with severe AS being defined by a peak velocity > 4 m/s, an MPG > 40 mmHg, and an AVA < 1 cm2 and moderated by a peak velocity of 3-4 m/s, an MPG 20-40 mmHg and an AVA 1-1.5 cm. Patients with AF were defined as those having a history of AF when AS was found on the index echocardiography. The follow-up assessment in December 2023 ascertained vital status and data on aortic valve replacement (AVR). Results: 790 (73.8%) patients were with sinus rhythm (SR) and 280 (26.2%) patients with AF. Mortality was higher in patients with AF than in those with SR (46% vs. 36.2% HR 1.424, 95% CI 1.121-1.809, p = 0.004). After adjusting for clinical confounders, mortality risk in AF relative to SR remained significant (HR 1.284, 95% CI 1.03-1.643, p = 0.047). Patients with AF demonstrated high mortality risk in the moderate aortic stenosis stratum (HR 1.376, 95% CI 1.059-1.788, p = 0.017), with even greater risk in the severe AS stratum (HR 1.644, 95% CI 1.038-2.603, p = 0.034) with significant interaction (p = 0.007). In patients with AF AVR demonstrated a protective effect on survival (HR 0.365, 95% CI 0.202-0.627, p < 0.001), but to a lesser degree than in patients with sinus rhythm (HR 0.376, 95% CI 0.250-0.561, p < 0.001) without significant interaction (p = 0.278). In patients with AF mortality risk was high in the conservative treatment stratum (HR 1.361, 95% CI 1.066-1.739, p = 0.014), in the AVR stratum mortality risk was higher but did not reach statistical significance (HR 1.823, 95% CI 0.973-3.414, p = 0.061). However, when corrected for echocardiographic variables strongly correlated with AF, AF was no longer independently associated with all-cause mortality. (HR 0.97 95% CI 0.709-1.323, p = 0.84). Conclusions: Patients with moderate and severe AS and AF have worse prognosis than patients with SR which can be explained by cardiac damage. AVR improves survival in patients with AF and with SR.

Integrating Echocardiographic Findings to Improve Diagnostic and Prognostic Assessments in Moderate Aortic Valve Stenosis: A Comprehensive Review

Aortic valve stenosis (AS) is the most common valvular heart disease in developed countries, with its prevalence on the rise due to aging populations. While severe AS has long been recognized as high-risk, recent studies have shed light on the significant association between moderate AS and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Yet, the data are still inconclusive. With noninvasive multi-modality imaging techniques advancing rapidly, we now have more insight into the underlying biology of AS. Echocardiography continues to serve as the primary noninvasive imaging modality for diagnosing and grading AS. This comprehensive review delves into the role of echocardiography in diagnosing moderate AS and how the findings can support clinicians in making well-informed decisions that impact patients' prognoses.

Effectiveness of Gabapentin as a Benzodiazepine-Sparing Agent in Alcohol Withdrawal Syndrome

Background and Objectives: Gabapentin has shown promise as a potential agent for the treatment of alcohol withdrawal syndrome. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of gabapentin as a benzodiazepine-sparing agent in patients undergoing alcohol withdrawal treatment in all the hospitals of a large tertiary healthcare system. Materials and Methods: Medical records of patients admitted to the hospital for alcohol withdrawal management between 1 January 2020 and 31 August 2022 were reviewed. Patients were divided into two cohorts: benzodiazepine-only treatment who received benzodiazepines as the primary pharmacotherapy and gabapentin adjunctive treatment who received gabapentin in addition to benzodiazepines. The outcomes assessed included the total benzodiazepine dosage administered during the treatment and the length of hospital stay. The statistical models were calibrated to account for various factors. Results: A total of 4364 patients were included in the final analysis. Among these, 79 patients (1.8%) received gabapentin in addition to benzodiazepines, and 4285 patients (98.2%) received benzodiazepines only. Patients administered gabapentin required significantly lower average cumulative benzodiazepine dosages, approximately 17.9% less, compared to those not receiving gabapentin (median 2 mg vs. 4 mg of lorazepam equivalent dose (p < 0.01)). However, there were no significant differences in outcomes between the two groups. Conclusions: Our findings demonstrate that using gabapentin with benzodiazepine was associated with a reduction in the cumulative benzodiazepine dosage for alcohol withdrawal. Considering gabapentin as an adjunctive therapy holds promise for patients with comorbidities who could benefit from reducing benzodiazepine dose. This strategy warrants further investigation.

Role of aortic valve replacement in moderate aortic stenosis: a 10-year outcomes study

OBJECTIVE

Patients with moderate aortic stenosis (AS) exhibit high morbidity and mortality. Limited evidence exists on the role of aortic valve replacement (AVR) in this patient population. To investigate the benefit of AVR in moderate AS on survival and left ventricular function.

METHODS

In a retrospective cohort study, patients with moderate AS between 2008 and 2016 were selected from the Cleveland Clinic echocardiography database and followed until 2018. Patients were classified as receiving AVR or managed medically (clinical surveillance). All-cause and cardiovascular mortality were assessed by survival analyses. Temporal haemodynamic and structural changes were assessed with longitudinal analyses using linear mixed effects models.

RESULTS

We included 1421 patients (mean age, 75.3±5.4 years and 39.9% women) followed over a median duration of 6 years. Patients in the AVR group had lower risk of all-cause (adjusted HR (aHR)=0.51, 95% CI: 0.34 to 0.77; p=0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (aHR=0.50, 95% CI: 0.31 to 0.80; p=0.004) compared with those in the clinical surveillance group irrespective of sex, receipt of other open-heart surgeries and underlying malignancy. These findings were seen only in those with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥50%. Further, patients in the AVR group had a significant trend towards an increase in LVEF and a decrease in right ventricular systolic pressure compared with those in the clinical surveillance group.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with moderate AS, AVR was associated with favourable clinical outcomes and left ventricular remodelling.

Moderate Aortic Valve Stenosis Is Associated With Increased Mortality Rate and Lifetime Loss: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Reconstructed Time-to-Event Data of 409 680 Patients

BACKGROUND

The mortality risk attributable to moderate aortic stenosis (AS) remains incompletely characterized and has historically been underestimated. We aim to evaluate the association between moderate AS and all-cause death, comparing it with no/mild AS (in a general referral population and in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction).

METHODS AND RESULTS

A systematic review and pooled meta-analysis of Kaplan-Meier-derived reconstructed time-to-event data of studies published by June 2023 was conducted to evaluate survival outcomes among patients with moderate AS in comparison with individuals with no/mild AS. Ten studies were included, encompassing a total of 409 680 patients (11 527 with moderate AS and 398 153 with no/mild AS). In the overall population, the 15-year overall survival rate was 23.3% (95% CI, 19.1%-28.3%) in patients with moderate AS and 58.9% (95% CI, 58.1%-59.7%) in patients with no/mild aortic stenosis (hazard ratio [HR], 2.55 [95% CI, 2.46-2.64]; P<0.001). In patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, the 10-year overall survival rate was 15.5% (95% CI, 10.0%-24.0%) in patients with moderate AS and 37.3% (95% CI, 36.2%-38.5%) in patients with no/mild AS (HR, 1.83 [95% CI, 1.69-2.0]; P<0.001). In both populations (overall and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction), these differences correspond to significant lifetime loss associated with moderate AS during follow-up (4.4 years, P<0.001; and 1.9 years, P<0.001, respectively). A consistent pattern of elevated mortality rate associated with moderate AS in sensitivity analyses of matched studies was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Moderate AS was associated with higher risk of death and lifetime loss compared with patients with no/mild AS.

Peak Aortic Valve Jet Velocity is an Independent Predictor of Mortality of Dialysis Patients Undergoing Open Surgery for Chronic Limb Threatening Ischemia

BACKGROUND

To investigate the impact of peak aortic jet velocity (Vmax) on the prognosis of patients undergoing open surgery for chronic limb threatening ischemia (CLTI).

METHODS

Between April 2015 and March 2022, 352 patients underwent infrainguinal open surgery for CLTI. Patients who met the following exclusion criteria were excluded: subsequent infrainguinal surgeries in the registered period, no record of Vmax, history of aortic valve intervention, and Vmax ≥3.0 m/s (moderate or severe aortic valve stenosis). The remaining patients were dichotomized into 2 groups based on their Vmax values. The Youden index calculated from the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was set as the cutoff value. The 2-year overall survival (OS), calculated using the Kaplan-Meier's method, was compared between the 2 groups. A Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed using perioperative factors including Vmax to identify independent predictors separately for dialysis and nondialysis patients and the quantitative relationship between Vmax and OS.

RESULTS

One hundred and ninety-one patients, including 100 dialysis and 91 nondialysis patients, were included in the analysis. The Youden index was 1.7 m/s. The 2-year OS rates of the group with Vmax >1.7 m/s and with Vmax ≤1.7 m/s were 49% and 76% (P = 0.007), respectively, in the dialysis cohort, while they were 71% and 78% (P = 0.680) in the nondialysis cohort, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified Vmax and ejection fraction as independent predictors in the dialysis cohort and the Barthel Index at admission in the nondialysis cohort. There was a stepwise increase in the risk of death in patients with Vmax of ≥1.5 m/s and a significantly higher risk of death in dialysis patients with Vmax >2.5 m/s.

CONCLUSIONS

Vmax was a significant independent predictor of all-cause death within 2 years after open surgery for CLTI in dialysis patients but not in patients managed without dialysis.

The impact of atrial fibrillation on prognosis in aortic stenosis

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and aortic stenosis (AS) are both highly prevalent and often coexist. Various studies have focused on the prognostic value of AF in patients with AS, but rarely considered left ventricular (LV) diastolic function as a prognostic factor.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic impact of AF in patients with AS while correcting for LV diastolic function.

METHODS

Patients with first diagnosis of significant AS were selected and stratified according to history of AF. The endpoint was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

In total, 2849 patients with significant AS (mean age 72 ± 12 years, 54.8% men) were evaluated, and 686 (24.1%) had a history of AF. During a median follow-up of 60 (30-97) months, 1182 (41.5%) patients died. Ten-year mortality rate in patients with AF was 46.8% compared to 36.8% in patients with sinus rhythm (SR) (log-rank P < 0.001). On univariable (HR: 1.42; 95% CI: 1.25-1.62; P < 0.001) and multivariable Cox regression analysis (HR: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.02-1.38; P = 0.026), AF was independently associated with mortality. However, when correcting for indexed left atrial volume, E/e' or both, AF was no longer independently associated with all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSION

Patients with significant AS and AF have a reduced survival as compared to patients with SR. Nonetheless, when correcting for markers of LV diastolic function, AF was not independently associated with outcomes in patients with significant AS.

Prognostic Relevance of Global Myocardial Work Index in Patients with Moderate Aortic Valve Stenosis

BACKGROUND

A reduced global myocardial work index (GWI) ≤ 1951 mmHg% is associated with increased mortality in patients with severe aortic valve stenosis (AS). However, parameters predicting the outcome in patients with moderate AS are limited. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of the GWI in patients with moderate AS.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this prospective study, 103 patients with moderate AS (mean age 72 ± 10 years; male: 69%) underwent standardized transthoracic echocardiography. The primary endpoint was survival without an aortic valve replacement (AVR). After a median follow-up of 30 ± 5 months, 37 patients (36%) were referred for an AVR. Survival without an AVR was 96% at 12 months and 80% at 30 months (>1951 mmHg%) versus 96% and 68% (≤1951 mmHg%). A GWI ≤ 1951 mmHg% did not predict the need for an AVR (hazard ratio 1.31 (95% CI, 0.63-2.72), p = 0.49). Furthermore, there was no significant correlation between the mean GWI (1644 ± 448 mmHg%) and mean aortic valve pressure gradient (24.2 mmHg ± 6.2, p = 0.615) or effective aortic orifice area (1.24 cm2 ± 0.11, p = 0.678). There was no difference between the AVR and non-AVR groups in the occurrence of clinical symptoms.

CONCLUSION

In contrast to patients with severe AS, a GWI ≤ 1951 mmHg% did not predict the need for an AVR. Further research is needed to improve the risk stratification in patients with moderate AS.

The year 2022 in the European Heart Journal-Cardiovascular Imaging: Part I

The European Heart Journal-Cardiovascular Imaging with its over 10 years existence is an established leading multi-modality cardiovascular imaging journal. Pertinent publications including original research, how-to papers, reviews, consensus documents, and in our journal from 2022 have been highlighted in two reports. Part I focuses on cardiomyopathies, heart failure, valvular heart disease, and congenital heart disease and related emerging techniques and technologies.

Prognostic Signals From Moderate Valve Disease in Big Data: An Artefact of Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine Structured Reporting?

BACKGROUND

Recent studies have identified an association between moderate aortic stenosis (AS) and outcome. We assessed whether Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine (DICOM) structured reporting (SR), which captures and inserts echocardiographic measurements and text data directly into radiological reports, may lead to misclassifying patients with severe AS as moderate.

METHODS

Moderate or severe AS cases were filtered from an echocardiography data set based on aortic valve area (AVA) < 1.5 cm2, indexed AVA (AVAi) ≤ 0.85 cm2/m2, mean pressure gradient ≥ 25 mm Hg, dimensionless severity index (DSI) ≤ 0.5, or peak velocity > 3 m/sec. Data validation was conducted by verification of each parameter. All echocardiographic parameters and definitions of AS were compared pre- and postvalidation by taking differences in measurements. Misclassification rates were assessed by determining the percentage of cases that changed AS severity classification and impact on outcomes. Patients were followed over 4.3 ± 1.5 years.

RESULTS

Of 2,595 validated echocardiograms with AS, up to 36% of the echocardiographic parameters for AS criteria had a >10% difference between DICOM-SR and manual validation, the highest with mean pressure gradient (36%) and the lowest with DSI (6.5%). The validation process changed the reported degree of AS in up to 20.6% of echocardiograms with resultant changes in AS severity and its association with mortality or heart failure-related hospitalizations. In contrast to multiple quantitative metrics in DICOM-SR after manual validation, clinicians' evaluation of AS severity was unable to distinguish composite outcomes over 3 years between moderate and severe AS. The risk of composite outcomes was significantly increased when severe AS was evidenced by at least 1 echocardiographic parameter of severe AS (hazard ratio = 1.24; 95% CI, 1.12-1.37; P < .001). The greatest hazard was based on DSI only (hazard ratio = 1.26; 95% CI, 1.10-1.44; P < .001), which was higher after manual validation compared to DICOM-SR. Averaging of repeated echo measures including invalid values contributed the most to erroneous data.

CONCLUSIONS

Nonpeak data in DICOM-SR led to incorrect categorization of a high proportion of patients based on AS severity definitions. Standardization of data fields and curation to ensure that only peak values are imported from DICOM-SR data are essential.

Improving accuracy in diagnosing aortic stenosis severity: An in-depth analysis of echocardiographic measurement error through literature review and simulation study

AIMS

The present guidelines advise replacing the aortic valve for individuals with severe aortic stenosis (AS) based on various echocardiographic parameters. Accurate measurements are essential to avoid misclassification and unnecessary interventions. The objective of this study was to evaluate the influence of measurement error on the echocardiographic evaluation of the severity of AS.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A systematic review was performed to examine whether measurement errors are reported in studies focusing on the prognostic value of peak aortic jet velocity (Vmax ), mean pressure gradient (MPG), and effective orifice area (EOA) in asymptomatic patients with AS. Out of the 37 studies reviewed, 17 (46%) acknowledged the existence of measurement errors, but none of them utilized methods to address them. Secondly, the magnitude of potential errors was collected from available literature for use in clinical simulations. Interobserver variability ranged between 0.9% and 8.3% for Vmax and MPG but was higher for EOA (range 7.7%-12.7%), indicating lower reliability. Assuming a circular left ventricular outflow tract area led to a median underestimation of EOA by 23% compared to planimetry by other modalities. A clinical simulation resulted in the reclassification of 42% of patients, shifting them from a diagnosis of severe AS to moderate AS.

CONCLUSIONS

Measurement errors are underreported in studies on echocardiographic assessment of AS severity. These errors can lead to misclassification and misdiagnosis. Clinicians and scientists should be aware of the implications for accurate clinical decision-making and assuring research validity.

Natural history and clinical burden of moderate aortic stenosis: a systematic review and explorative meta-analysis

AIMS

The mortality risk of patients with moderate aortic stenosis is not well known, but recent studies suggested that it might negatively affect prognosis. We aimed to assess the natural history and clinical burden of moderate aortic stenosis and to investigate the interaction of patients' baseline characteristics with prognosis.

METHODS

Systematic research was conducted on PubMed. The inclusion criteria were inclusion of patients with moderate aortic stenosis; and report of the survival at 1-year follow-up (minimum). Incidence ratios related to all-cause mortality in patients and controls of each study were estimated and then pooled using a fixed effects model. All patients with mild aortic stenosis or without aortic stenosis were considered controls. Meta-regression analysis was performed to assess the impact of left ventricular ejection fraction and age on the prognosis of patients with moderate aortic stenosis.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies and 11 596 patients with moderate aortic stenosis were included. All-cause mortality was significantly higher among patients with moderate aortic stenosis than in controls in all timeframes analysed (all P  < 0.0001). Left ventricular ejection fraction and sex did not significantly impact on the prognosis of patients with moderate aortic stenosis ( P  = 0.4584 and P  = 0.5792), while increasing age showed a significant interaction with mortality (estimate = 0.0067; 95% confidence interval: 0.0007-0.0127; P  = 0.0323).

CONCLUSION

Moderate aortic stenosis is associated with reduced survival. Further studies are necessary to confirm the prognostic impact of this valvulopathy and the possible benefit of aortic valve replacement.

Clinical impact of aortic valve replacement in patients with moderate mixed aortic valve disease

Background

Information is scarce regarding the clinical implications of aortic valve replacement (AVR) for patients suffering from moderate mixed aortic valve disease (MAVD), characterized by a combination of moderate aortic stenosis (AS) and regurgitation (AR). The objective of this retrospective study was to explore the clinical effects of AVR in individuals with moderate MAVD.

Methods

We examined the clinical data from patients with moderate MAVD and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction, who had undergone echocardiography in the period spanning from 2010 to 2018. Moderate AS was defined as aortic valve area index of 0.60-0.85 cm2/m2 and peak velocity of 3.0-4.0 m/s. Moderate AR was defined as a vena contracta width of 3.0-6.0 mm. The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause death and heart failure hospitalization.

Results

Among 88 patients (mean age, 74.4 ± 6.8 years; 48.9%, men), 44 (50.0%) required AVR during a median follow-up period of 3.3 years (interquartile range, 0.5-4.9). Mean values of specific aortic valve variables are as follows: aortic valve area index, 0.64 ± 0.04 cm2/m2; peak velocity, 3.40 ± 0.30 m/s; and vena contracta width, 4.1 ± 0.7 mm. The primary endpoint occurred in 32 (36.4%) patients during a median follow-up duration of 5.3 years (interquartile range, 3.2-8.0). Multivariable analysis revealed that AVR was significantly associated with the endpoint (hazard ratio, 0.248; 95% confidence interval, 0.107-0.579; p = 0.001) after adjusting for age, B-type natriuretic peptide, and the Charlson comorbidity index. Patients who underwent AVR during follow-up had significantly lower incidence rates of the endpoint than those managed with medical treatment (10.2% vs. 44.1% at 5 years; p < 0.001).

Conclusions

Approximately half of the patients diagnosed with moderate MAVD eventually necessitated AVR throughout the period of observation, leading to positive clinical results. Vigilant tracking of these patients and watchful monitoring for signs requiring AVR during this time frame are essential.

Is "moderate" aortic stenosis still the right name? A review of the literature

Current guidelines recommend aortic valve replacement for symptomatic or selected asymptomatic high-risk patients with severe aortic stenosis. Conversely, a watchful waiting attitude applies to patients with moderate aortic stenosis, regardless of their risk profile and symptoms, until the echocardiographic thresholds of severe aortic stenosis are reached. This strategy is based on data reporting high mortality in untreated severe symptomatic aortic stenosis, whereas moderate aortic stenosis has always been perceived as a non-threatening condition, with a benefit-risk balance against surgery. Meanwhile, numerous studies have reported a worrying event rate in these patients, surgical techniques and outcomes have improved significantly and the use of transcatheter aortic valve replacement has become more widespread and extended to lower-risk patients, leaving this strategy open to question, especially for patients with moderate aortic stenosis and left ventricular dysfunction. In this review, we summarize the current state of knowledge about moderate aortic stenosis progression and prognosis. We also discuss the particular case of moderate aortic stenosis associated with left ventricular dysfunction, and the ongoing trials that that might change our paradigm for the management of this "moderate" valvular heart disease.

Atrial Cardiomyopathy in Valvular Heart Disease: From Molecular Biology to Clinical Perspectives

This review discusses the evolving topic of atrial cardiomyopathy concerning valvular heart disease. The pathogenesis of atrial cardiomyopathy involves multiple factors, such as valvular disease leading to atrial structural and functional remodeling due to pressure and volume overload. Atrial enlargement and dysfunction can trigger atrial tachyarrhythmia. The complex interaction between valvular disease and atrial cardiomyopathy creates a vicious cycle of aggravating atrial enlargement, dysfunction, and valvular disease severity. Furthermore, atrial remodeling and arrhythmia can predispose to atrial thrombus formation and stroke. The underlying pathomechanism of atrial myopathy involves molecular, cellular, and subcellular alterations resulting in chronic inflammation, atrial fibrosis, and electrophysiological changes. Atrial dysfunction has emerged as an essential determinant of outcomes in valvular disease and heart failure. Despite its predictive value, the detection of atrial fibrosis and dysfunction is challenging and is not included in the clinical routine. Transthoracic echocardiography and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging are the main diagnostic tools for atrial cardiomyopathy. Recently published data have revealed that both left atrial volumes and functional parameters are independent predictors of cardiovascular events in valvular disease. The integration of atrial function assessment in clinical practice might help in early cardiovascular risk estimation, promoting early therapeutic intervention in valvular disease.

Machine learning prediction of progressive subclinical myocardial dysfunction in moderate aortic stenosis

Background

Moderate severity aortic stenosis (AS) is poorly understood, is associated with subclinical myocardial dysfunction, and can lead to adverse outcome rates that are comparable to severe AS. Factors associated with progressive myocardial dysfunction in moderate AS are not well described. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) can identify patterns, inform clinical risk, and identify features of importance in clinical datasets.

Methods

We conducted ANN analyses on longitudinal echocardiographic data collected from 66 individuals with moderate AS who underwent serial echocardiography at our institution. Image phenotyping involved left ventricular global longitudinal strain (GLS) and valve stenosis severity (including energetics) analysis. ANNs were constructed using two multilayer perceptron models. The first model was developed to predict change in GLS from baseline echocardiography alone and the second to predict change in GLS using data from baseline and serial echocardiography. ANNs used a single hidden layer architecture and a 70%:30% training/testing split.

Results

Over a median follow-up interval of 1.3 years, change in GLS (≤ or >median change) could be predicted with accuracy rates of 95% in training and 93% in testing using ANN with inputs from baseline echocardiogram data alone (AUC: 0.997). The four most important predictive baseline features (reported as normalized % importance relative to most important feature) were peak gradient (100%), energy loss (93%), GLS (80%), and DI < 0.25 (50%). When a further model was run including inputs from both baseline and serial echocardiography (AUC 0.844), the top four features of importance were change in dimensionless index between index and follow-up studies (100%), baseline peak gradient (79%), baseline energy loss (72%), and baseline GLS (63%).

Conclusions

Artificial neural networks can predict progressive subclinical myocardial dysfunction with high accuracy in moderate AS and identify features of importance. Key features associated with classifying progression in subclinical myocardial dysfunction included peak gradient, dimensionless index, GLS, and hydraulic load (energy loss), suggesting that these features should be closely evaluated and monitored in AS.

Correlation between artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram and echocardiographic features in aortic stenosis

Aims

An artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) is a promising tool to detect patients with aortic stenosis (AS) before developing symptoms. However, functional, structural, or haemodynamic components reflected in AI-ECG responsible for its detection are unknown.

Methods and results

The AI-ECG model that was developed at Mayo Clinic using a convolutional neural network to identify patients with moderate-severe AS was applied. In patients used as the testing group, the correlation between the AI-ECG probability of AS and echocardiographic parameters was investigated. This study included 102 926 patients (63.0 ± 16.3 years, 52% male), and 28 464 (27.7%) were identified as AS positive by AI-ECG. Older age, atrial fibrillation, hypertension, diabetes, coronary artery disease, and heart failure were more common in the positive AI-ECG group than in the negative group (P < 0.001). The AI-ECG was correlated with aortic valve area (ρ = -0.48, R² = 0.20), peak velocity (ρ = 0.22, R² = 0.08), and mean pressure gradient (ρ = 0.35, R² = 0.08). The AI-ECG also correlated with left ventricular (LV) mass index (ρ = 0.36, R² = 0.13), E/e' (ρ = 0.36, R² = 0.12), and left atrium volume index (ρ = 0.42, R² = 0.12). Neither LV ejection fraction nor stroke volume index had a significant correlation with the AI-ECG. Age correlated with the AI-ECG (ρ = 0.46, R² = 0.22) and its correlation with echocardiography parameters was similar to that of the AI-ECG.

Conclusion

A combination of AS severity, diastolic dysfunction, and LV hypertrophy is reflected in the AI-ECG to detect AS. There seems to be a gradation of the cardiac anatomical/functional features in the model and its identification process of AS is multifactorial.

Impact of aortic valve replacement in symptomatic low-risk patients with less than severe aortic stenosis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether transcatheter or surgical aortic valve replacement (TAVR or SAVR) affects clinical and haemodynamic outcomes in symptomatic patients with moderately-severe aortic stenosis (AS).

METHODS

Echocardiographic evidence of severe AS for enrolment in the Evolut Low Risk trial was based on site-reported measurements. For this post hoc analysis, core laboratory measurements identified patients with symptomatic moderately-severe AS (1.0

RESULTS

Moderately-severe AS was identified in 113 out of 1414 patients (8%). Baseline AVA was 1.1±0.1 cm2, peak velocity 3.7±0.2 m/s, MG 32.7±4.8 mm Hg and aortic valve calcium volume 588 (364, 815) mm3. Valve haemodynamics improved following TAVR (AVA 2.5±0.7 cm2, peak velocity 1.9±0.5 m/s and MG 8.4±4.8 mm Hg; p<0.001 for all) and SAVR (AVA 2.0±0.6 cm2, peak velocity 2.1±0.4 m/s and MG 10.0±3.4 mm Hg; p<0.001 for all). At 24 months, the rates of death or disabling stroke were similar (TAVR 7.7% vs SAVR 6.5%; p=0.82). Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire overall summary score assessing quality of life improved from baseline to 30 days after TAVR (67.0±20.6 to 89.3±13.4; p<0.001) and SAVR (67.5±19.6 to 78.3±22.3; p=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In symptomatic patients with moderately-severe AS, AVR appears to be beneficial. Determination of the clinical and haemodynamic profile of patients who can benefit from earlier isolated AVR needs further investigation in randomised clinical trials.

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Key Words

• Aortic Valve Stenosis
• Heart Valve Diseases
• Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

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MESH Headings

• Humans
• Aortic Valve/diagnostic imaging
• Aortic Valve/surgery
• Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation/adverse effects
• Quality of Life
• Aortic Valve Stenosis/diagnostic imaging
• Aortic Valve Stenosis/surgery
• Aortic Valve Stenosis/etiology
• Treatment Outcome

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Grants

• UL1 TR001863 NCATS NIH HHS
• Medtronic

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Affiliation(s)

Saki Ito Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
Roger Laham Department of Cardiology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Vuyisile T Nkomo Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
John K Forrest Department of Internal Medicine (Cardiology), Yale-New Haven Hospital, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
Michael J Reardon Departments of Cardiology and Cardiothoracic Surgery, Houston Methodist Debakey Heart and Vascular Center, Houston, Texas, USA
Stephen H Little Departments of Cardiology and Cardiothoracic Surgery, Houston Methodist Debakey Heart and Vascular Center, Houston, Texas, USA
Mubashir Mumtaz Departments of Cardiothoracic Surgery and Interventional Cardiology, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center Pinnacle Health, Wormsleyburg, Pennsylvania, USA
Hemal Gada Departments of Cardiothoracic Surgery and Interventional Cardiology, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center Pinnacle Health, Wormsleyburg, Pennsylvania, USA
Tanvir Bajwa Aurora Cardiovascular and Thoracic Services, Aurora Saint Luke's Medical Center, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA
David Langholz Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Spectrum Health, Grand Rapids, Michigan, USA
John Heiser Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Spectrum Health, Grand Rapids, Michigan, USA
Atul Chawla Department of Cardiology, Mercy Medical Center, IA, Mercy Medical Center, Des Moines, Iowa, USA
Bart Jenson Department of Cardiology, Mercy Medical Center, IA, Mercy Medical Center, Des Moines, Iowa, USA
Guilherme Attizanni Harrington Heart & Vascular Institute, University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
Alan H Markowitz Harrington Heart & Vascular Institute, University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
Jian Huang Structural Heart and Aortic, Medtronic Inc, Mounds View, Minnesota, USA
Jae K Oh Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA

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Collaborators Collapse

Natural history of moderate aortic stenosis and predictors for mortality: Systematic review and Meta-analysis

Although the current guidelines advocate imaging surveillance for moderate aortic stenosis (AS), recent studies suggest a worse prognosis associated with moderate AS than previously reported. Considering the recent paradigm shift in AS management, the risk/benefit profile of aortic valve replacement (AVR) for moderate AS needs to be re-evaluated. Herein, we conducted meta-analyses of natural history and risk predictors in patients with moderate AS. PubMed and EMBASE were searched through May 2022 to identify studies that investigated the natural history of patients with moderate AS. Meta-analyses with random effects model were conducted. Our analysis included 20 observational studies which enrolled a total of 11,114 patients with moderate AS. The rate of all-cause death was 11.0 [95 % confidence interval (CI), 7.6-14.4] per 100 patients per year. Surgical or transcatheter AVR occurred at a rate of 8.5 (95 % CI, 6.2-10.8; I², 98.9 %) per 100 patients per year. Occurrence of AVR during follow-up [hazard ratio (HR) (95 % CI) =0.56 (0.42-0.75), p < 0.001] and early AVR for moderate AS [HR (95 % CI) = 0.47 (0.25-0.90), p = 0.02] were associated with significantly lower all-cause mortality, while left ventricular ejection fraction <50 % [HR (95 % CI) =1.84 (1.33-2.57), p = 0.0003] and symptomatic status [HR (95 % CI) = 1.52 (1.32-1.75), p < 0.0001] were associated with increased all-cause mortality. Sex difference was not related to all-cause mortality. Our meta-analysis suggested that moderate AS was associated with high mortality, especially in low left ventricular systolic function or symptomatic patients. In addition, significant portion of the patients underwent AVR during follow-up.

The Global Burden of Valvular Heart Disease: From Clinical Epidemiology to Management

Valvular heart disease is a leading cause of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality and a major contributor of symptoms and functional disability. Knowledge of valvular heart disease epidemiology and a deep comprehension of the geographical and temporal trends are crucial for clinical advances and the formulation of effective health policy for primary and secondary prevention. This review mainly focuses on the epidemiology of primary (organic, related to the valve itself) valvular disease and its management, especially emphasizing the importance of heart valve centers in ensuring the best care of patients through a multidisciplinary team.

Incremental value of left ventricular global longitudinal strain in moderate aortic stenosis and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction

BACKGROUND

Moderate aortic stenosis (AS) often coexists with left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction and may affect survival through afterload mismatch. Because outcomes are ultimately driven by the condition of the LV, accurate assessment of LV performance is crucial to improve risk stratification. This study investigated the prognostic value of LV global longitudinal strain (GLS) in patients with moderate AS and reduced LV systolic dysfunction.

METHODS

Patients with moderate AS (aortic valve area 1.0-1.5 cm²) and reduced LV ejection fraction (EF) (<50%) were identified. LVGLS was evaluated with speckle-tracking echocardiography. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to an LVGLS value of 11%, based on spline curve analysis. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 166 patients (mean age 73 ± 11 years, 71% male) were included. The cumulative 1- and 5-year mortality rates were higher in patients with LVGLS <11% (25% and 60%) versus LVGLS ≥11% (10% and 27%) (p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, LVGLS as a continuous variable (HR 0.753; 95% CI 0.673-0.843; p < 0.001) and as a categorical variable (<11%) (HR 3.028; 95% CI 1.623-5.648; p < 0.001) were independently associated with outcomes, whereas LVEF was not. LVGLS provided additional prognostic information in patients with/without coronary artery disease and with mildly versus severely reduced LVEF. In addition, LVGLS had incremental prognostic value over established risk factors, including LVEF.

CONCLUSION

The combination of moderate AS and reduced LV systolic dysfunction is associated with a high mortality risk. LVGLS, but not LVEF, is independently associated with mortality and provides incremental prognostic value over established risk factors in patients with moderate AS and reduced LVEF.

Comparison of American and European Guidelines for the Management of Patients With Valvular Heart Disease

This review compares the recommendations of the recent 2020 American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA) and 2021 European Society of Cardiology (ESC)/European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery (EACTS) guidelines on the management of patients with valvular heart disease (VHD). ACC/AHA and ESC/EACTS guidelines are both the updated versions of previous 2017 documents. Both guidelines fundamentally agree on the extended indications of percutaneous valve interventions, the optimal use of imaging modalities other than 2D echocardiography, the importance of a multidisciplinary Heart Team as well as active patient participation in clinical decision making, more widespread use of NOACs and earlier intervention with lower left ventricular dilatation thresholds to decrease long-term mortality. The differences between the guidelines are mainly related to the classification of the severity of valve pathologies and frequency of follow-up, level of recommendations of valve intervention indications in special patient groups such as frail patients and the left ventricular diameter and ejection fraction thresholds for intervention.

Aortic valve replacement reduces mortality in moderate aortic stenosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

With the introduction of transcatheter aortic valve replacement and an evolving understanding of the natural progression and history of aortic stenosis, the potential for earlier intervention in appropriate patients is promising; however, the benefit of aortic valve replacement in moderate aortic stenosis remains unclear.

METHODS

Pubmed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library databases were searched up until 30^th of December 2021 using keywords including moderate aortic stenosis and aortic valve replacement. Studies reporting all-cause mortality and outcomes in early aortic valve replacement (AVR) compared to conservative management in patients with moderate aortic stenosis were included. Hazard ratios were generated using random-effects meta-analysis to determine effect estimates.

RESULTS

3470 publications were screened with title and abstract review, which left 169 articles for full-text review. Of these studies, 7 met inclusion criteria and were included, totalling 4,827 patients. All studies treated AVR as a time-dependent co-variable in cox-regression multivariate analysis of all-cause mortality. Intervention with surgical or transcatheter AVR was associated with a 45% decreased risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 0.55 [0.42-0.68], I ² = 51.5%, P < 0.001). All studies were representative of the overall cohort with appropriate sample sizes, with no evidence of publication, detection, or information biases in any of the studies.

CONCLUSION

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we report a 45% reduction in all-cause mortality in patients with moderate aortic stenosis who were treated with early aortic valve replacement compared to a strategy of conservative management. Randomised control trials are awaited to determine the utility of AVR in moderate aortic stenosis.

Valvular Heart Disease: New Concepts in Pathophysiology and Therapeutic Approaches

This review discusses recent advancements in the field of valvular heart disease. Topics covered include recognition of the impact of atrial fibrillation on development and assessment of valvular disease, strategies for global prevention of rheumatic heart disease, understanding and management of secondary mitral regurgitation, the updated classification of bicuspid aortic valve disease, recognition of heightened cardiovascular risk associated with moderate aortic stenosis, and a growing armamentarium of transcatheter therapies.

Managing Patients With Moderate Aortic Stenosis

Current guidelines recommend that clinical surveillance for patients with moderate aortic stenosis (AS) and aortic valve replacement (AVR) may be considered if there is an indication for coronary revascularization. Recent observational studies, however, have shown that moderate AS is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events and mortality. Whether the increased risk of adverse events is caused by associated comorbidities, or to the underlying moderate AS itself, is incompletely understood. Similarly, which patients with moderate AS need close follow-up or could potentially benefit from early AVR is also unknown. In this review, the authors provide a comprehensive overview of the current literature on moderate AS. They first provide an algorithm that helps to diagnose moderate AS correctly, especially when discordant grading is observed. Although the traditional focus of AS assessment has been on the valve, it is increasingly acknowledged that AS is not only a disease of the aortic valve but also of the ventricle. The authors therefore discuss how multimodality imaging can help to evaluate the left ventricular remodeling response and improve risk stratification in patients with moderate AS. Finally, they summarize current evidence on the management of moderate AS and highlight ongoing trials on AVR in moderate AS.

Left ventricular hypertrophy, diastolic dysfunction and right ventricular load predict outcome in moderate aortic stenosis

Aims

Predictors of progression of moderate aortic valve stenosis (AS) are incompletely understood. The objective of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), diastolic dysfunction, and right ventricular (RV) load in moderate AS.

Methods and results

Moderate AS was defined by aortic valve area (AVA), peak transvalvular velocity (V_max) or mean pressure gradient (PG_mean). A total of 131 Patients were divided into two groups according to the number of pathophysiological changes (LVH, diastolic dysfunction with increased LV filling pressures and/or RV load): <2 (group 1); ≥2 (group 2). The primary outcome was survival without aortic valve replacement (AVR). After follow-up of 30 months, the reduction of AVA (-0.06 ± 0.16 vs. -0.24 ± 0.19 cm², P < 0.001), the increase of PG_mean (2.89 ± 6.35 vs 6.29 ± 7.13 mmHg, P < 0.001) and the decrease of the global longitudinal strain (0.8 ± 2.56 vs. 1.57 ± 3.42%, P < 0.001) from baseline to follow-up were significantly more pronounced in group 2. Survival without AVR was 82% (group 1) and 56% (group 2) [HR 3.94 (1.74-8.94), P < 0.001]. Survival without AVR or progression of AS was 77% (group 1) and 46% (group 2) [HR 3.80 (1.84-7.86), P < 0.001]. The presence of ≥2 pathophysiological changes predicted outcome whereas age, comorbidities, LDL-cholesterol did not.

Conclusion

The presence of ≥2 pathophysiological changes is a strong predictor of outcome in moderate AS and may be useful for risk stratification, particularly for scheduling follow-up time intervals and deciding the timing of AVR.

Risk for Mortality with Increasingly Severe Aortic Stenosis: An International Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Aortic stenosis (AS) is the most common valvular heart disease in high-income countries. Adjusted for clinical confounders, the risk associated with increasing AS severity across the spectrum of AS severity remains uncertain.

METHODS

The authors conducted an international, multicenter, parallel-cohort study of 217,599 Australian (mean age, 76.0 ± 7.3 years; 49.3% women) and 30,865 US (mean age, 77.4 ± 7.3 years; 52.2% women) patients aged ≥65 years who underwent echocardiography. Patients with previous aortic valve replacement were excluded. The risk of increasing AS severity, quantified by peak aortic velocity (Vmax), was assessed through linkage to 97,576 and 14,481 all-cause deaths in Australia and the United States, respectively.

RESULTS

The distribution of AS severity (mean Vmax, 1.7 ± 0.7 m/sec) was similar in both cohorts. Compared with those with Vmax of 1.0 to 1.49 m/sec, those with Vmax of 2.50 to 2.99 m/sec (US cohort) or Vmax of 3.0 to 3.49 m/sec (Australian cohort) had a 1.5-fold increase in mortality risk within 10 years, adjusting for age, sex, presence of left heart disease, and left ventricular ejection fraction. Overall, the adjusted risk for mortality plateaued (1.75- to 2.25-fold increased risk) above a Vmax of 3.5 m/sec. This pattern of mortality persisted despite adjustment for a comprehensive list of comorbidities and treatments within the US cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Within large, parallel patient cohorts managed in different health systems, similar patterns of mortality linked to increasingly severe AS were observed. These findings support ongoing clinical trials of aortic valve replacement in patients with nonsevere AS and suggest the need to develop and apply more proactive surveillance strategies in this high-risk population.

Direct relationship between transvalvular velocity and cardiac dysfunction, morbidity, and mortality in patients with aortic stenosis

OBJECTIVE

Current guidelines recommend intervention in subjects with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis (AS), even though any degree of AS is associated with a higher risk of mortality. We investigated the association between the degree of AS, delineated by transvalvular flow velocity, and patient morbidity and mortality.

METHODS

Medically managed patients aged 40-95 years with maximum flow velocity (V_max ) by echocardiography between 2013 and 2018 were stratified into five groups (A-E) based on the 75th, 90th, 97.5th, and the 99th percentiles of V_max distribution. Patient characteristics, cardiac structural changes, and end-organ disease were compared using Kruskal-Wallis and Cochran-Armitage tests. Mortality over a median of 2.8 (1.52-4.8) years was compared using Kaplan-Meier curves and risk estimates were derived from the Cox model.

RESULTS

The V_max was reported in 37,131 patients. There was a steady increase (from Group A towards E) in age, Caucasian race, structural cardiac changes, end-organ morbidities, and all-cause mortality. In reference to Group A, there as an increased risk of mortality in Groups B (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.3; confidence interval [CI]: 1.2-1.35; p < .0001), C (HR = 1.5; CI: 1.4-1.6; p < .0001), and D (HR = 1.8; CI: 1.6-2; p < .0001), with an exponential increase in Group E (HR = 2.5; CI: 2.2-2.8; p < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

A direct, strong correlation exists between the degree of AS and cardiac structural changes and mortality. Patients with V_max  ≥ 97.5th percentile (≥3.2 m/s) might benefit from early intervention.

Moderate Aortic Stenosis in Patients With Heart Failure

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Moderate aortic stenosis (AS) confers a surprisingly adverse prognosis, approaching that of severe AS. The objective of this study was to describe the clinical course of patients with moderate AS with evidence of concomitant heart failure manifesting as elevated brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels.

METHODS

This is a single-center, retrospective cohort study of 332 patients with elevated BNP. 165 patients with moderate AS were compared with 167 controls with none-mild AS. The Median follow-up duration was 3.85 years. The primary outcome was a composite endpoint of all-cause hospitalizations and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

BNP levels were 530 and 515 pg/mL in the study and the control groups, respectively. Moderate AS had significantly higher rates of primary composite endpoint in both univariate analysis (hazard ratio [HR], 1.50; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14-1.97; p=0.004) and adjusted analysis (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.05-2.01; p=0.02). Moderate AS had 1.41 (95% CI, 1.18-1.69; p<0.001) times more all-cause hospitalization per patient-year of follow-up compared to controls in the univariate model. After adjustment for significant covariates, moderate AS remained an independent predictor of all-cause hospitalizations (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.45; 95% CI, 1.18-1.79; p=0.005). Furthermore, moderate AS was significantly associated with higher all-cause hospitalization rates in both heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (IRR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.02-1.75; p=0.038) and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction [IRR], 1.31; 95% CI, 1.03-1.67; p=0.026).

CONCLUSIONS

Moderate AS in conjunction with elevated BNP portends a significantly worse prognosis than those without moderate AS and should be followed closely.

Prognostic Impact of Peak Aortic Jet Velocity on Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction

BACKGROUND

Aortic valve stenosis (AS) leads to increased cardiovascular mortality and morbidity, and recent studies reported that even mild-to-moderate AS was associated with poor prognosis in the general population. This study investigated the prognostic impact of mild or moderate AS, defined as 2.0 m/s ≤ peak aortic jet velocity (Vmax) ≤3.9 m/s using echocardiography in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study enrolled 3,049 AMI patients using data from the Mie ACS registry. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to Vmax: Group 1: Vmax <2.0 m/s and/or visually intact aortic valve in which all 3 leaflets are fully and evenly open; Group 2: 2.0 m/s ≤ Vmax ≤ 3.9 m/s. There were 2,976 patients in Group 1and 73 patients in Group 2. The Group 2 patients were older, had a higher percentage of males and had lower body mass index and Killip ≥2 than the Group 1 patients. Angiographic data, door-to-balloon time, and mechanical support were not different between the 2 groups. The Group 2 patients demonstrated a significantly higher all-cause mortality rate (P<0.01) and composite of cardiovascular death and heart failure hospitalization (P<0.01), and Kaplan-Meier analysis showed the same tendency in propensity score-matched patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study revealed that mild or moderate AS based on Vmax is associated with poor prognosis following AMI.

Left Ventricular Global Longitudinal Strain in Patients with Moderate Aortic Stenosis

Moderate aortic stenosis (AS) is associated with an increased risk for adverse events. Although reduced left ventricular (LV) global longitudinal strain (GLS) is associated with worse outcomes in patients with severe AS, its prognostic value in patients with moderate AS is unknown. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic implications of LV GLS in patients with moderate AS.

METHODS

LV GLS was evaluated using speckle-tracking echocardiography in patients with moderate AS (aortic valve area 1.0-1.5 cm²) and reported as absolute (i.e., positive) values. Patients were divided into three groups: LV ejection fraction (LVEF) < 50% (group 1), LVEF ≥ 50% but LV GLS < 16% (group 2), and LVEF ≥ 50% and LV GLS ≥ 16% (group 3). The LV GLS value of 16% was based on spline curve analysis. The primary end point was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 760 patients (mean age, 71 ± 12 years; 61% men) were analyzed. During a median follow-up period of 50 months (interquartile range, 26-94 months), 257 patients (34%) died. Patients with LVEF < 50% and LVEF ≥ 50% but LV GLS < 16% showed significantly higher mortality rates at 1-, 3-, and 5-year follow-up (82%, 71%, and 58%; and 92%, 77%, and 58%, respectively) compared with those with LVEF ≥ 50% and LV GLS ≥ 16% (96%, 91%, and 85%, respectively; P < .001). Long-term outcomes were not different between patients with LVEF < 50% and those with LVEF ≥ 50% but LV GLS < 16% (P = .592). LV GLS discriminated higher risk patients even among those with LVEF ≥ 60% (P < .001) or those who were asymptomatic (P < .001). On multivariable analysis, LVEF < 50% (hazard ratio, 2.384; 95% CI, 1.614-3.522; P < .001) and LVEF ≥ 50% but LV GLS < 16% (hazard ratio, 2.467; 95% CI, 1.802-3.378; P < .001) were independently associated with all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with moderate AS, reduced LV GLS is associated with an increased risk for all-cause mortality, even if LVEF is still preserved.

Increasing risk of mortality across the spectrum of aortic stenosis is independent of comorbidity & treatment: An international, parallel cohort study of 248,464 patients

BACKGROUND

While large scientific and medical evidence has demonstrated the increased risk of death and cardiovascular mortality in patients with severe AS, the independent contribution of moderate AS to an increased risk of death remains uncertain.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We conducted a multicenter study including a cohort of 30,865 US patients and another cohort of 217,599 Australian patients with equivalent echocardiographic and aortic valve profiling over the same period (2003-2017). During a median 5.2 years (US) and 4.4 years (Australian) follow-up, the risk of death (hazard ratio) of patients with moderate AS as compared to those without AS was 1.66 (95%CI 1.52-1.80) and 1.37 (95%CI 1.34-1.41) in the US and Australian cohorts, even after adjusting this analysis for age and sex. This increased risk of death and cardiovascular mortality (odds ratio) in patients with moderate AS was consistent also across subgroups of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (subgroups of LVEF < 40%, 40-49%, 50-59%, and ≥ 60%: OR of moderate AS for CV mortality 2.0 [95%CI 1.4-2.7], 1.7 [95%CI 1.2-2.4], 1.5 [95%CI 1.1-1.9], and 1.4 [95%CI 1.2-1.6], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study suggest that patients with moderate AS have a potential increased risk of death and cardiovascular mortality, regardless of age, sex, and LVEF. Hence, these data suggest the need to develop specific strategies to detect and treat individuals with moderate AS.

Prognostic implications of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction in moderate aortic stenosis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the prognostic impact of left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction in patients with moderate aortic stenosis (AS) and preserved LV systolic function.

METHODS

Patients with a first diagnosis of moderate AS (aortic valve area >1.0 and ≤1.5 cm²) and preserved LV systolic function (LV ejection fraction ≥50%) were identified. LV diastolic function was evaluated using echocardiographic criteria according to the 2016 American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging guidelines. Clinical outcomes were defined as all-cause mortality and a composite of all-cause mortality and aortic valve replacement (AVR).

RESULTS

Of 1247 patients (age 74±10 years, 47% men), 535 (43%) had LV diastolic dysfunction at baseline. Patients with LV diastolic dysfunction showed significantly higher mortality rates at 1-year, 3-year and 5-year follow-up (13%, 30% and 41%, respectively) when compared with patients with normal LV diastolic function (6%, 17% and 29%, respectively) (p<0.001). On multivariable analysis, LV diastolic dysfunction was independently associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.368; 95% CI 1.085 to 1.725; p=0.008) and the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and AVR (HR 1.241; 95% CI 1.035 to 1.488; p=0.020).

CONCLUSIONS

LV diastolic dysfunction is independently associated with all-cause mortality and the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and AVR in patients with moderate AS and preserved LV systolic function. Assessment of LV diastolic function therefore contributes significantly to the risk stratification of patients with moderate AS. Future clinical trials are needed to investigate whether patients with moderate AS and LV diastolic dysfunction may benefit from earlier valve intervention.

The Added Value of Atrial Strain Assessment in Clinical Practice

Speckle tracking echocardiography has emerged as a sensitive tool to analyze myocardial function with improved diagnostic accuracy and prognostic value. Left atrial strain assessment has become a novel imaging method in cardiology with superior prognostic value compared to conventional left atrial volume indices. Left atrial function is divided into three phases, reservoir function being the most important. This review summarizes the added value of speckle tracking echocardiography derived left atrial strain assessment in clinical practice. Recently published data suggest the prognostic value of left atrial reservoir function in heart failure, atrial fibrillation, stroke and valvular heart disease. Furthermore, left atrial reservoir strain proved to be a predictor of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in the general population. Thus, routine assessment of left atrial function can be an optimal strategy to improve cardiovascular risk prediction and supplement the current risk prediction models.

Novel predictive role for mid-regional proadrenomedullin in moderate to severe aortic stenosis

OBJECTIVE

We investigated the prognostic significance of selected known and novel circulating biomarkers in aortic stenosis (AS).

METHODS

N-terminal pro-BNP (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin-T (hsTnT), growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), suppression of tumorigenicity-2 (ST2), mid-regional proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) and mid-regional proatrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP) were measured in patients with moderate to severe AS, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class I-II and left ventricular ejection fraction ≥50%, recruited consecutively across five centres from 2011 to 2018. Their ability to predict both primary (all-cause mortality, heart failure hospitalisation or progression to NYHA class III-IV) and secondary (additionally incorporating syncope and acute coronary syndrome) outcomes was determined by competing risk analyses.

RESULTS

Among 173 patients with AS (age 69±11 years, 55% male, peak transaortic velocity (Vmax) 4.0±0.8 m/s), the primary and secondary outcomes occurred in 59 (34%) and 66 (38%), respectively. With aortic valve replacement as a competing risk, the primary outcome was determined consistently by the comorbidity index and each selected biomarker except ST2 (p<0.05), independent of NYHA class, Vmax, LV-global longitudinal strain and serum creatinine. MR-proADM had the highest discriminative value for both primary (subdistribution HR (SHR) 11.3, 95% CI 3.9 to 32.7) and secondary outcomes (SHR 12.6, 95% CI 4.7 to 33.5). Prognostic assessment of dual-biomarker combinations identified MR-proADM plus either hsTnT or NT-proBNP as the best predictive model for both clinical outcomes. Paired biomarker models were not superior to those including MR-proADM as the sole circulating biomarker.

CONCLUSION

MR-proADM most powerfully portended worse prognosis and should be further assessed as possibly the biomarker of choice for risk stratification in AS.

The Technological Basis of a Balloon-Expandable TAVR System: Non-occlusive Deployment, Anchorage in the Absence of Calcification and Polymer Leaflets

Leaflet durability and costs restrict contemporary trans-catheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) largely to elderly patients in affluent countries. TAVR that are easily deployable, avoid secondary procedures and are also suitable for younger patients and non-calcific aortic regurgitation (AR) would significantly expand their global reach. Recognizing the reduced need for post-implantation pacemakers in balloon-expandable (BE) TAVR and the recent advances with potentially superior leaflet materials, a trans-catheter BE-system was developed that allows tactile, non-occlusive deployment without rapid pacing, direct attachment of both bioprosthetic and polymer leaflets onto a shape-stabilized scallop and anchorage achieved by plastic deformation even in the absence of calcification. Three sizes were developed from nickel-cobalt-chromium MP35N alloy tubes: Small/23 mm, Medium/26 mm and Large/29 mm. Crimp-diameters of valves with both bioprosthetic (sandwich-crosslinked decellularized pericardium) and polymer leaflets (triblock polyurethane combining siloxane and carbonate segments) match those of modern clinically used BE TAVR. Balloon expansion favors the wing-structures of the stent thereby creating supra-annular anchors whose diameter exceeds the outer diameter at the waist level by a quarter. In the pulse duplicator, polymer and bioprosthetic TAVR showed equivalent fluid dynamics with excellent EOA, pressure gradients and regurgitation volumes. Post-deployment fatigue resistance surpassed ISO requirements. The radial force of the helical deployment balloon at different filling pressures resulted in a fully developed anchorage profile of the valves from two thirds of their maximum deployment diameter onwards. By combining a unique balloon-expandable TAVR system that also caters for non-calcific AR with polymer leaflets, a powerful, potentially disruptive technology for heart valve disease has been incorporated into a TAVR that addresses global needs. While fulfilling key prerequisites for expanding the scope of TAVR to the vast number of patients of low- to middle income countries living with rheumatic heart disease the system may eventually also bring hope to patients of high-income countries presently excluded from TAVR for being too young.

Moderate aortic stenosis: culprit or bystander?

Non-rheumatic aortic stenosis (AS) is among the most common valvular diseases in the developed world. Current guidelines support aortic valve replacement (AVR) for severe symptomatic AS, which carries high morbidity and mortality when left untreated. In contrast, moderate AS has historically been thought to be a benign diagnosis for which the potential benefits of AVR are outweighed by the procedural risks. However, emerging data demonstrating the substantial mortality risk in untreated moderate AS and substantial improvements in periprocedural and perioperative mortality with AVR have challenged the traditional risk/benefit paradigm. As such, an appraisal of the contemporary data on morbidity and mortality associated with moderate AS and appropriate timing of valvular intervention in AS is warranted. In this review, we discuss the current understanding of moderate AS, including the epidemiology, current surveillance and management guidelines, clinical outcomes, and future studies.

Uncovering the treatable burden of severe aortic stenosis in the UK

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the population prevalence and treatable burden of severe aortic stenosis (AS) in the UK.

METHODS

We adapted a contemporary model of the population profile of symptomatic and asymptomatic severe AS in Europe and North America to estimate the number of people aged ≥55 years in the UK who might benefit from surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) or transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI).

RESULTS

With a point prevalence of 1.48%, we estimate that 291 448 men and women aged ≥55 years in the UK had severe AS in 2019. Of these, 68.3% (199 059, 95% CI 1 77 201 to 221 355 people) would have been symptomatic and, therefore, more readily treated according to their surgical risk profile; the remaining 31.7% of cases (92 389, 95% CI 70 093 to 144 247) being asymptomatic. Based on historical patterns of intervention, 58.4% (116 251, 95% CI 106 895 to 1 25 606) of the 199 059 symptomatic cases would qualify for SAVR, with 7208 (95% CI 7091 to 7234) being assessed as being in a high, preoperative surgical risk category. Among the remaining 41.6% (82 809, 95% CI 73 453 to 92 164) of cases potentially unsuitable for SAVR, an estimated 61.7% (51 093, 95% CI 34 780 to 67 655) might be suitable for TAVI. We estimate that 172 859 out of 291 448 prevalent cases of severe AS (59.3%) will subsequently die within 5 years without proactive management.

CONCLUSIONS

These data suggest a high burden of severe AS in the UK requiring surgical or transcatheter intervention that challenges the ongoing capacity of the National Health Service to meet the needs of those affected.

The Association of Moderate Aortic Stenosis with Poor Survival is Modified by Age and Left Ventricular Function

BACKGROUND

Data on the independent association of moderate aortic stenosis (AS) with excess mortality, even when it does not progress to severe AS, is limited.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association of moderate AS with poor survival and to identify clinically important modifiers of that association.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent echocardiographic evaluation between 2007 and 2019. All-cause mortality and cancer data were available for all patients from national registries. Cox regression survival models were applied with censoring of patients who developed metastatic cancer, developed > moderate AS, or underwent aortic valve intervention during follow-up.

RESULTS

The study population included 92,622 patients. There were 2,202 (2%) patients with moderate AS, with a median age of 79 (IQR 70-85), of whom 1,254(57%) were men. During follow-up of 5 (IQR 3-8) years, 19,712 (21%) patients died. The cumulative probability of death at 5 years was higher for moderate AS patients (46% vs. 18% respectively, p Log-rank < .001). Propensity score matching analysis (N=2,896) that included clinical, laboratory, and echocardiographic predictors of poor survival demonstrated that compared with ≤ mild AS, patients with moderate AS were 17% more likely to die (95% CI 1.04-1.30, p = 0.007). Moreover, the model showed that the moderate AS associated risk was ejection fraction (EF) and age-dependent with a more pronounced association among non-octogenarian patients and patients with reduced EF (p for interaction .001 and .016 respectively).

CONCLUSION

Moderate AS is independently associated with excess mortality, even when it does not progress to severe AS. The associated risk is more pronounced among patients with reduced EF and patients younger than 80 years.

Moderate aortic stenosis: importance of symptoms and left ventricular ejection fraction

AIMS

The aim of this study is to investigate the independent determinants of survival in patients with moderate aortic stenosis (AS), stratified by severity of symptoms and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Patients with a first diagnosis of moderate AS (aortic valve area >1.0 and ≤1.5 cm2) were identified. Patients were stratified by New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class (NYHA I, NYHA II, or NYHA III-IV) and LVEF (LVEF ≥60%, LVEF 50-59%, or LVEF <50%) at the time of moderate AS diagnosis. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality, while the secondary endpoint included all-cause mortality and aortic valve replacement. Of 1961 patients with moderate AS (mean age 73 ± 10 years, 51% men), 1108 (57%) patients were in NYHA class I, while 527 (27%) and 326 (17%) patients had symptoms of NYHA class II and III-IV, respectively. Regarding LVEF, 1032 (53%) had LVEF ≥60%, 544 (28%) LVEF 50-59%, and 385 (20%) LVEF <50%. During a median follow-up of 50 (23-82) months, 868 (44%) patients died. On multivariable analysis, NYHA class II [hazard ratio (HR): 1.633; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.431-1.864; P < 0.001], NYHA class III-IV (HR: 2.084; 95% CI: 1.797-2.417; P < 0.001), LVEF 50-59% (HR: 1.194; 95% CI: 1.013-1.406; P = 0.034), and LVEF <50% (HR: 1.694; 95% CI: 1.417-2.026; P < 0.001) were independently associated with increased mortality.

CONCLUSION

Moderate AS is associated with poor long-term survival. Baseline symptom severity and LVEF are associated with worse outcomes in these patients. Patients with low-normal LVEF (<60%) and mild symptoms (NYHA II) already have an increased risk of adverse events.

Global epidemiology of valvular heart disease

Valvular heart disease (VHD) is a major contributor to loss of physical function, quality of life and longevity. The epidemiology of VHD varies substantially around the world, with a predominance of functional and degenerative disease in high-income countries, and a predominance of rheumatic heart disease in low-income and middle-income countries. Reflecting this distribution, rheumatic heart disease remains by far the most common manifestation of VHD worldwide and affects approximately 41 million people. By contrast, the prevalence of calcific aortic stenosis and degenerative mitral valve disease is 9 and 24 million people, respectively. Despite a reduction in global mortality related to rheumatic heart disease since 1900, the death rate has remained fairly static since 2000. Meanwhile, deaths from calcific aortic stenosis have continued to rise in the past 20 years. Epidemiological data on other important acquired and congenital forms of VHD are limited. An ageing population and advances in therapies make an examination of the changing global epidemiology of VHD crucial for advances in clinical practice and formulation of health policy. In this Review, we discuss the global burden of VHD, geographical variation in the presentation and clinical management, and temporal trends in disease burden.