Determinants of Symptomatic Intracranial Hemorrhage After Endovascular Stroke Treatment: A Retrospective Cohort Study

In search of real-world cerebroprotection: An institutional perspective and review of the literature

PurposeIntravenous (IV) thrombolysis and mechanical thrombectomy remain the only interventions shown to improve outcomes in acute ischemic stroke. This study evaluated the impact of commonly administered intraprocedural medications, each with putative neuroprotective mechanisms backed up by basic science literature, on outcomes in mechanical thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke.Methods and ResultsA retrospective review of 284 patients utilizing univariate and multivariate analysis evaluated associations between administration of IV/intra-arterial (IA) tissue plasminogen activator (tPA), IV/IA heparin and IA verapamil as well as key outcomes: recanalization success, postoperative hemorrhage, and 90-day functional status. None of these medications were associated with favorable recanalization (TICI 2b/3) or functional outcomes (90-day modified Rankin score 0-2). IV tPA was associated with decreased rates of periprocedural hemorrhage (OR = 0.506, 95% CI [0.255-0.980], p = 0.046). Successful recanalization (OR = 2.22, 95% CI [1.03-.4.98], p = 0.046), presence of any hemorrhage (OR = 0.27, 95% CI [0.14-0.51], p = <0.001), lower age and lower NIHSS, were predictive of good outcome. Heparin was associated with an increased risk of hemorrhage (OR = 1.90, 95% CI [1.11-3.21], p = 0.02) and poorer outcomes (OR = 0.56, 95% CI [0.35-0.91], p = 0.018) in univariate analysis, with a similar trend in multivariate analysis (OR 0.57, 95% CI [0.30-1.06] p = 0.079).ConclusionAlthough several medications with basic science support for cerebroprotective effects are frequently administered during thrombectomy, the most effective strategies for improving functional outcomes remain prompt, successful recanalization and minimizing hemorrhage. With recanalization rates exceeding 80% and primarily determined by mechanical factors, targeting hemorrhage reduction appears critical for further outcome improvements. Evidence linking post-ischemic hemorrhage to blood-brain barrier disruption offers future avenues for research into interventions for this potentially reversible process.

Outcomes After Thrombectomy for Primary and Secondary Medium Vessel MCA Occlusions: a Nationwide Registry Study

BACKGROUND

Medium vessel occlusions (MeVO) can be either isolated events (primary), or secondary to thrombus migration from a large vessel occlusion to a medium-sized vessel. Outcomes following endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) in the middle cerebral artery (MCA) may differ between primary and secondary MeVOs. This study aimed to assess the association between primary/secondary MeVOs and clinical outcomes following EVT in a nationwide patient cohort.

METHOD

Patients undergoing EVT were included in two Swedish quality registries. Secondary MeVO was defined as distal migration of a solitary thrombus between baseline CT-angiography and EVT, or basal ganglia infarction on postoperative CT in a patient that presented with a single MeVO on baseline CT-angiography. The primary outcome was good 90-day functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale 0-2). Postoperative change in the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale-score (NIHSS), was a secondary outcome. Successfully revascularized patients (mTICI 2b-3) were compared with non-revascularized patients in exploratory analyzes.

RESULTS

Of the 5662 EVTs performed in Sweden (2018-2022), 1118 (20%) targeted solitary MCA territory MeVOs, with 819 (73%) being primary and 299 (27%) secondary. Functional outcomes did not differ between the primary and secondary MeVO groups (OR 0.86, CI 95% 0.65-1.14). Likewise, there was no significant difference in postoperative NIHSS scores (0.26, CI 95% -0.71 to 1.24), between groups (p = 0.597). Successful revascularization was associated with increased chance of good functional outcome for both primary (OR 3.77, CI95% 2.28-6.24, p < 0.001) and secondary MeVOs (OR 2.49, CI95% 1.21-5.14, p = 0.013).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with a single primary or secondary MCA MeVOs have similar EVT outcomes and both groups seem to benefit from recanalization in exploratory analyses. This indicates that that EVT should not be withheld based on primary/secondary MeVO status.

Cerebral blood volume index in the era of thrombectomy-treated large and medium vessel ischemic strokes

The cerebral blood volume index (CBV index) is a perfusion-based marker of collateral status. Several real-world data analyses from observational stroke cohorts have established relationships between this parameter and a range of favorable and unfavorable stroke outcomes. In this review, an overview is provided of the CBV index, within the context of thrombectomy-treated large vessel and medium vessel occlusion ischemic strokes. The current literature is summarized describing the CBV index and its association with a variety of efficacy, safety, and clinical outcome measures during the thrombectomy course and post-treatment recovery in both large vessel occlusion and medium vessel occlusion strokes. The range of CBV index value thresholds that have been identified and are able to differentiate between favorable and unfavorable outcomes across different clinical scenarios are summarized. This review underscores the need for additional analyses to further explore the CBV index in other clinical outcome contexts and for future prospective studies to validate the CBV index in thrombectomy-treated large vessel and medium vessel occlusion strokes, especially with increasing use of thrombectomy for treating medium vessel occlusions.

Predictive Modeling of Symptomatic Intracranial Hemorrhage Following Endovascular Thrombectomy: Insights From the Nationwide TREAT-AIS Registry

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) following endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) is a severe complication associated with adverse functional outcomes and increased mortality rates. Currently, a reliable predictive model for sICH risk after EVT is lacking.

METHODS

This study used data from patients aged ≥20 years who underwent EVT for anterior circulation stroke from the nationwide Taiwan Registry of Endovascular Thrombectomy for Acute Ischemic Stroke (TREAT-AIS). A predictive model including factors associated with an increased risk of sICH after EVT was developed to differentiate between patients with and without sICH. This model was compared existing predictive models using nationwide registry data to evaluate its relative performance.

RESULTS

Of the 2,507 identified patients, 158 developed sICH after EVT. Factors such as diastolic blood pressure, Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score, platelet count, glucose level, collateral score, and successful reperfusion were associated with the risk of sICH after EVT. The TREAT-AIS score demonstrated acceptable predictive accuracy (area under the curve [AUC]=0.694), with higher scores being associated with an increased risk of sICH (odds ratio=2.01 per score increase, 95% confidence interval=1.64-2.45, P<0.001). The discriminatory capacity of the score was similar in patients with symptom onset beyond 6 hours (AUC=0.705). Compared to existing models, the TREAT-AIS score consistently exhibited superior predictive accuracy, although this difference was marginal.

CONCLUSION

s The TREAT-AIS score outperformed existing models, and demonstrated an acceptable discriminatory capacity for distinguishing patients according to sICH risk levels. However, the differences between models were only marginal. Further research incorporating periprocedural and postprocedural factors is required to improve the predictive accuracy.

Contemporary Statistics of Acute Ischemic Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack in 2021: Insights From the CRCS-K-NIH Registry

This report presents the latest statistics on the stroke population in South Korea, sourced from the Clinical Research Collaborations for Stroke in Korea-National Institute for Health (CRCS-K-NIH), a comprehensive, nationwide, multicenter stroke registry. The Korean cohort, unlike western populations, shows a male-to-female ratio of 1.5, attributed to lower risk factors in Korean women. The average ages for men and women are 67 and 73 years, respectively. Hypertension is the most common risk factor (67%), consistent with global trends, but there is a higher prevalence of diabetes (35%) and smoking (21%). The prevalence of atrial fibrillation (19%) is lower than in western populations, suggesting effective prevention strategies in the general population. A high incidence of large artery atherosclerosis (38%) is observed, likely due to prevalent intracranial arterial disease in East Asians and advanced imaging techniques. There has been a decrease in intravenous thrombolysis rates, from 12% in 2017-2019 to 10% in 2021, with no improvements in door-to-needle and door-to-puncture times, worsened by the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. While the use of aspirin plus clopidogrel for non-cardioembolic stroke and direct oral anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation is well-established, the application of direct oral anticoagulants for non-atrial fibrillation cardioembolic strokes in the acute phase requires further research. The incidence of early neurological deterioration (13%) and the cumulative incidence of recurrent stroke at 3 months (3%) align with global figures. Favorable outcomes at 3 months (63%) are comparable internationally, yet the lack of improvement in dependency at 3 months highlights the need for advancements in acute stroke care.

Bibliometric insights into the inflammation and mitochondrial stress in ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Research in the areas of inflammation and mitochondrial stress in ischemic stroke is rapidly expanding, but a comprehensive overview that integrates bibliometric trends with an in-depth review of molecular mechanisms is lacking.

OBJECTIVE

To map the evolving landscape of research using bibliometric analysis and to detail the molecular mechanisms that underpin these trends, emphasizing their implications in ischemic stroke.

METHODS

We conducted a bibliometric analysis to identify key trends, top contributors, and focal research themes. In addition, we review recent research advances in mitochondrial stress and inflammation in ischemic stroke to gain a detailed understanding of the pathophysiological processes involved.

CONCLUSION

Our integrative approach not only highlights the growing research interest and collaborations but also provides a detailed exploration of the molecular mechanisms that are central to the pathology of ischemic stroke. This synthesis offers valuable insights for researchers and paves the way for targeted therapeutic interventions.

Association of blood pressure and outcomes differs upon cerebral perfusion post-thrombectomy in patients with acute ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

The relationship between post-endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) blood pressure (BP) and outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) remains contentious. We aimed to explore whether this association differs with different cerebral perfusion statuses post-EVT.

METHODS

In a multicenter observational study of patients with AIS with large vessel occlusion who underwent EVT, we enrolled those who accepted CT perfusion (CTP) imaging within 24 hours post-EVT. We recorded post-EVT systolic (SBP) and diastolic BP. Patients were stratified into favorable perfusion and unfavorable perfusion groups based on the hypoperfusion intensity ratio (HIR) on CTP. The primary outcome was good functional outcome (90-day modified Rankin Scale score of ≤3). Secondary outcomes included early neurological deterioration, infarct size growth, and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage.

RESULTS

Of the 415 patients studied (mean age 62 years, 75% male), 233 (56%) achieved good functional outcomes. Logistic regression showed that post-EVT HIR and 24-hour mean SBP were significantly associated with functional outcomes. Among the 326 (79%) patients with favorable perfusion, SBP <140 mmHg was associated with a higher percentage of good functional outcomes compared with SBP ≥140 mmHg (68% vs 52%; aOR 1.70 (95% CI 1.00 to 2.89), P=0.04). However, no significant difference was observed between SBP and functional outcomes in the unfavorable perfusion group. There was also no discernible difference between SBP and secondary outcomes across the different perfusion groups.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with favorable perfusion post-EVT, SBP <140 mmHg was associated with good functional outcomes, which underscores the need for further investigations with larger sample sizes or a more individualized BP management strategy.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ChiCTR1900022154.

Predictors of acute post-thrombectomy intracranial hemorrhage expansion in anterior circulation infarcts

BACKGROUND

Post-mechanical thrombectomy (MT) intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) is a major source of morbidity in treated acute ischemic stroke patients with large vessel occlusion. ICH expansion may further contribute to morbidity. We sought to identify factors associated with ICH expansion on imaging evaluation post-MT.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing MT at a single comprehensive stroke center. Per protocol, patients underwent dual-energy head CT (DEHCT) post-MT followed by a 24-h interval non-contrast enhanced MRI. ICH expansion was defined as any increase in blood volume between the two studies if identified on the DEHCT. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed to identify risk factors for ICH expansion.

RESULTS

ICH was identified on DEHCT in 13% of patients (n = 35/262), with 20% (7/35) demonstrating expansion on interval MRI. The average increase in blood volume was 11.4 ml (SD 6.9). Univariate analysis identified anticoagulant usage (57% vs 14%, p = 0.03), petechial hemorrhage inside the infarct margins or intraparenchymal hematoma on DEHCT (ECASS-II HI2/PH1/PH2) (71% vs 14%, p < 0.01), basal ganglia hemorrhage (71% vs 21%, p = 0.02), and basal ganglia infarction (86% vs 32%, p = 0.03) as factors associated with ICH expansion. Multivariate regression demonstrated that anticoagulant usage (OR 20.3, 95% C.I. 2.43-446, p < 0.05) and ECASS II scores of HI2/PH1/PH2 (OR 11.7, 95% C.I. 1.24-264, p < 0.05) were significantly predictive of ICH expansion.

CONCLUSION

Expansion of post-MT ICH on 24-h interval MRI relative to immediate post-thrombectomy DEHCT is significantly associated with baseline anticoagulant usage and petechial hemorrhage inside the infarct margins or presence of intraparenchymal hematoma (ECASS-II HI2/PH1/PH2).

Alterations of Hemostatic Molecular Markers During Acute Large Vessel Occlusion Stroke

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate regional levels of TAT (thrombin-antithrombin complex), PIC (plasmin-α2 plasmin inhibitor complex), t-PAIC (tissue plasminogen activator-plasminogen activator inhibitor complex), sTM (soluble thrombomodulin), and D-dimer, along with their associations with clinical and procedural characteristics in patients with acute ischemic stroke undergoing endovascular thrombectomy.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We retrospectively analyzed 166 consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke (62±11.54 years of age, 34.3% women) using prospectively maintained clinical databases and blood samples from local ischemic (proximal to thrombus) and systemic (femoral artery, self-control) arterial compartments. Levels of TAT, PIC, t-PAIC, and D-dimer were significantly elevated, whereas sTM was significantly reduced, in local ischemic regions compared with their systemic levels. Each 1-unit increase in ischemic TAT (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.086 [95% CI, 1.03-1.145]; P=0.002; area under the curve [AUC], 0.833) and PIC (aOR, 1.337 [95% CI, 1.087-1.644]; P=0.006; AUC, 0.771) correlated significantly with higher symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage risk. Additionally, each 1-unit increase in ischemic TAT (aOR, 1.076 [95% CI, 1.016-1.139]; P=0.013; AUC, 0.797), PIC (aOR, 1.554 [95% CI, 1.194-2.022]; P=0.001; AUC, 0.798), and sTM (aOR, 0.769 [95% CI, 0.615-0.961]; P=0.021; AUC, 0.756) was significantly associated with an increased risk of an unfavorable 90-day outcome (modified Rankin scale of 3-6). These hemostatic molecules, individually or combined, significantly improved the predictive power of conventional risk factors, as evidenced by significant increases in net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement (all P<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

We observed a hyperactive state of the coagulation-fibrinolysis system within the local ischemic region during hyperacute stroke. Rapid automated measurement of hemostatic molecular markers, particularly TAT, PIC, and sTM, during intra-arterial procedures may provide additional information for stroke risk stratification and therapeutic decision-making, and warrants further investigation.

Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein as a Potential Indicator for Symptomatic Intracranial Hemorrhage in Acute Ischemic Patients Undergoing Endovascular Thrombectomy

Background

The correlation between glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients undergoing endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) treatment remains uncertain. We aimed to assess the association between levels of GFAP in the bloodstream and the occurrence of sICH.

Methods

Between June 2019 and May 2023, 142 consecutive AIS patients undergoing EVT at Stroke Center and 35 controls from the Physical Examination Center were retrospectively included. The levels of GFAP in the bloodstream were quantified using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay prior to endovascular treatment (T1) and 24 h after the procedure (T2). The identification of sICH was based on the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification.

Results

Serum GFAP levels at T1 in AIS patients were significantly higher than those in the controls (0.249 [0.150-0.576] versus 0.065 [0.041-0.110] ng/mL, p = 0.001), and there was a notably elevation in GFAP levels at T2 compared to T1 (3.813 [1.474, 5.876] versus 0.249 [0.150-0.576] ng/mL, p = 0.001). Of the 142 AIS patients, 18 (14.5%) had sICH after EVT. Serum GFAP levels at T2 showed significant associations with sICH in both the unadjusted model (OR 1.513, 95% CI 1.269-1.805, p = 0.001) and multivariable adjusted model (OR 1.518, 95% CI 1.153-2.000, p = 0.003). Furthermore, the addition of GFAP at T2 to conventional model resulted in a significant enhancement of risk reclassification for sICH (integrated discrimination improvement [IDI] 0.183, 95% CI 0.070-0.295, p = 0.001).

Conclusion

Serum GFAP levels were notably increased in AIS patients 24 h after EVT. Elevated GFAP levels were correlated to an elevated risk of sICH. GFAP could potentially serve as a dependable indicator for sICH in AIS individuals who treated with EVT.

Relationship Between Liver Fibrosis and Increased Risk of Symptomatic Intracranial Hemorrhage in Ischemic Stroke Patients Undergoing Mechanical Thrombectomy

Background

Liver fibrosis has been reported to be associated with hematoma expansion and mortality in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage. This study aimed to detect the association between liver fibrosis and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) in ischemic stroke after mechanical thrombectomy (MT).

Methods

We retrospectively included patients with large artery occlusion in the anterior circulation and treated with MT at a single stroke center. The fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) was used to assess the severity of liver fibrosis. sICH was diagnosed according to the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification criteria. Multivariate logistic regression and restricted cubic spline analysis were conducted to examine the relationship between liver fibrosis and sICH.

Results

Among the 578 patients (mean age, 70.1 years; 58.5% male) included in the study, 65 (11.2%) individuals were diagnosed with sICH. After adjusting for demographic characteristics and other potential confounders, a higher FIB-4 index was found to be independently associated with an increased risk of sICH (odds ratio: 1.306, 95% confidence interval: 1.127-1.512, P=0.001). Similar results were obtained when analyzing FIB-4 as a categorical variable.

Conclusion

This study demonstrated that there is a significant association between FIB-4 and the risk of sICH in patients with acute ischemic stroke who underwent MT. Therefore, liver fibrosis could serve as a valuable parameter in monitoring the risk of sICH following MT.

Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage mediates the association between eosinophils and 90-day outcomes after mechanical thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Decreased eosinophil level is associated with poor outcomes after mechanical thrombectomy in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), but the underlying mechanism of this association is elusive. We aimed to assess the mediation effect of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) on the aforementioned association.

METHODS

A total of 328 consecutive AIS patients undergoing mechanical thrombectomy between May 2017 and March 2021 were analyzed. SICH was defined as any evidence of brain hemorrhage on CT scan with neurological deterioration. Regression analysis was used to assess the effect of eosinophils on sICH, and its effect on poor outcome. Mediation analysis was performed to assess the proportion of total effect by sICH on the association between eosinophils and poor outcome.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis revealed an independent association between eosinophil count and sICH after adjusting for potential confounders (odds ratio, 0.00; 95% CI, 0.00-0.01; P = 0.0141), which is consistent with the result of eosinophil count (dichotomous) as a categorical variable (odds ratio, 0.22; 95% CI, 0.11-0.46; P < 0.0001). Eosinophil count was negatively associated with poor outcome (odds ratio, 0.00; 95% CI, 0.00-0.02; P = 0.0021). Mediation analysis revealed that sICH partially mediated the negative relationship between eosinophil count and poor outcome (indirect effect=-0.1896; 95%CI: -0.3654 - -0.03, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

This study showed an important effect of sICH on the association between eosinophils and poor outcome.

Type of intracranial hemorrhage after endovascular stroke treatment: association with functional outcome

BACKGROUND

Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) is a frequent complication after endovascular stroke treatment.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association of the occurrence and type of ICH after endovascular treatment (EVT) with functional outcome.

METHODS

We analyzed data from the MR CLEAN-NO IV and MR CLEAN-MED trials. Both trials included adult patients with ischemic stroke with a large vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation, who were eligible for EVT. ICH was classified (1) as asymptomatic or symptomatic (concomitant neurological deterioration of ≥4 points on the NIHSS, or ≥2 points on 1 NIHSS item), and (2) according to the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification. We used multivariable ordinal logistic regression analyses to assess the association of the occurrence and type of ICH with the modified Rankin Scale score at 90 days.

RESULTS

Of 1017 included patients, 331 (33%) had an asymptomatic ICH, and 90 (9%) had a symptomatic ICH. Compared with no ICH, both asymptomatic (adjusted common OR (acOR)=0.76; 95% CI 0.58 to 0.98) and symptomatic (acOR=0.07; 95% CI 0.04 to 0.14) ICH were associated with worse functional outcome. In particular, isolated parenchymal hematoma type 2 (acOR=0.37; 95% CI 0.14 to 0.95), combined parenchymal hematoma with hemorrhage outside infarcted brain tissue (acOR=0.17; 95% CI 0.10 to 0.30), and combined hemorrhages outside infarcted brain tissue (acOR=0.14; 95% CI 0.03 to 0.74) were associated with worse functional outcome than no ICH.Strength of the association of ICH with functional outcome depends on the type of ICH. Although the association is stronger for symptomatic ICH, asymptomatic ICH after EVT is also associated with worse functional outcome.

Safety and efficacy of eptifibatide in acute ischemic stroke requiring extracranial carotid artery stenting

BACKGROUND

The antiplatelet management in acute ischemic stroke requiring carotid artery stenting is heterogenous, with no clear guidelines to direct management.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the safety and efficacy of an intravenous eptifibatide protocol in the management of acute ischemic stroke requiring emergent carotid artery stenting.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of consecutive patients who underwent carotid artery stenting for acute ischemic stroke at a high-volume tertiary neuroscience center, who were managed with an intravenous eptifibatide protocol. The protocol consists of an intravenous loading eptifibatide bolus (180 mcg/kg) at the time of stenting, followed by a maintenance infusion of 1 mcg/kg/min, then oral or nasogastric loading of dual antiplatelet agents.

RESULTS

80 patients were included for analysis. Median presenting NIHSS was 17. Sixty-six patients (83%) had a tandem intracranial occlusion. Six (7.5%) patients developed symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH). Those who received intravenous thrombolysis were not more likely to develop sICH (10% vs 5%, p = 0.40). Those patients with a presenting ASPECTS <8 were significantly more likely to develop sICH than those with ASPECTS 8-10 (25% vs 3%, p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Eptifibatide may have a role in the management of acute stroke requiring carotid stenting. Caution may be required in those with established infarct on presentation imaging.

Pivotal role of multiphase computed tomography angiography for collateral assessment in patients with acute ischemic stroke

The cerebral collateral circulation is the main compensatory mechanism that maintains the ischemic penumbra viable, the tissue at risk for infarction that can be saved if blood flow is restored by reperfusion therapies. In clinical practice, the extent of collateral vessels recruited after vessel occlusion can be easily assessed with computed tomography angiography (CTA) using two different techniques: single-phase CTA (sCTA) and multi-phase CTA (mCTA). Both these methodologies have demonstrated a high prognostic predictive value for prognosis due to the strong association between the presence of good collaterals and favorable radiological and clinical outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). However, mCTA seems to be superior to sCTA in the evaluation of collaterals and a promising tool for identifying AIS patients who can benefit from reperfusion therapies. In particular, it has recently been proposed the use of mCTA eligibility criteria has been recently proposed for the selection of AIS patients suitable for endovascular treatment instead of the current accepted criteria based on CT perfusion. In this review, we analyzed the characteristics, advantages and disadvantages of sCTA and mCTA to better understand their fields of application and the potential of mCTA in becoming the method of choice to assess collateral extent in AIS patients.

Construction of a Nomogram Prediction Model for Prognosis in Patients with Large Artery Occlusion-Acute Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

Patients with large artery occlusion-acute ischemic stroke (LAO-AIS) can experience adverse outcomes, such as brain herniation due to complications. This study aimed to construct a nomogram prediction model for prognosis in patients with LAO-AIS in order to maximize the benefits for clinical patients.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of 243 patients with LAO-AIS from January 2019 to January 2022 with medical history data and blood examination at admission. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted through binary logistic regression equation analysis, and a nomogram prediction model was constructed.

RESULTS

Results of this study showed that hyperlipidemia (odds ratio [OR] = 2.849, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.100-7.375, P = 0.031), right cerebral infarction (OR = 2.144, 95% CI = 1.106-4.156, P = 0.024), D-Dimer>500 ng/mL (OR = 2.891, 95% CI = 1.398-5.980, P = 0.004), and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio >7.8 (OR = 2.149, 95% CI = 1.093-4.225, P = 0.027) were independent risk factors for poor early prognosis in patients with LAO-AIS. In addition, hypertension (OR = 1.947, 95% CI = 1.114-3.405, P = 0.019), hyperlipidemia (OR = 2.594, 95% CI = 1.281-5.252, P = 0.008), smoking (OR = 2.414, 95% CI = 1.368-4.261, P = 0.002), D-dimer>500 ng/mL (OR = 3.170, 95% CI = 1.533-6.553, P = 0.002), and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio >7.8 (OR = 2.144, 95% CI = 1.231-3.735, P = 0.007) were independent risk factors for poor long-term prognosis. The early prognosis nomogram receiver operating characteristic curve area under the curve value was 0.688 for the training set and 0.805 for the validation set, which was highly differentiated. The mean error was 0.025 for the training set calibration curve and 0.016 for the validation set calibration curve. Both the training and validation set decision curve analyses indicated that the clinical benefit of the nomogram was significant. The long-term prognosis nomogram receiver operating characteristic curve area under the curve values was 0.697 for the training set and 0.735 for the validation set, showing high differentiation. The mean error was 0.041 for the training set calibration curve and 0.021 for the validation set calibration curve. Both of the training and validation set decision curve analyses demonstrated a substantial clinical benefit of the nomogram.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram prediction model based on admission history data and blood examination are easy-to-use tools that provide an accurate individualized prediction for patients with LAO-AIS and can assist in early clinical decisions and in obtaining an early prognosis.

Symptomatic Intracranial Hemorrhage After Endovascular Stroke Treatment: External Validation of Prediction Models

BACKGROUND

Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) is a severe complication of reperfusion therapy for ischemic stroke. Multiple models have been developed to predict sICH or intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) after reperfusion therapy. We provide an overview of published models and validate their ability to predict sICH in patients treated with endovascular treatment in daily clinical practice.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search to identify models either developed or validated to predict sICH or ICH after reperfusion therapy (intravenous thrombolysis and/or endovascular treatment) for ischemic stroke. Models were externally validated in the MR CLEAN Registry (n=3180; Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands). The primary outcome was sICH according to the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification. Model performance was evaluated with discrimination (c-statistic, ideally 1; a c-statistic below 0.7 is considered poor in discrimination) and calibration (slope, ideally 1, and intercept, ideally 0).

RESULTS

We included 39 studies describing 40 models. The most frequently used predictors were baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS; n=35), age (n=22), and glucose level (n=22). In the MR CLEAN Registry, sICH occurred in 188/3180 (5.9%) patients. Discrimination ranged from 0.51 (SPAN-100 [Stroke Prognostication Using Age and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale]) to 0.61 (SITS-SICH [Safe Implementation of Treatments in Stroke Symptomatic Intracerebral Hemorrhage] and STARTING-SICH [STARTING Symptomatic Intracerebral Hemorrhage]). Best calibrated models were IST-3 (intercept, -0.15 [95% CI, -0.01 to -0.31]; slope, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.50-1.09]), SITS-SICH (intercept, 0.15 [95% CI, -0.01 to 0.30]; slope, 0.62 [95% CI, 0.38-0.87]), and STARTING-SICH (intercept, -0.03 [95% CI, -0.19 to 0.12]; slope, 0.56 [95% CI, 0.35-0.76]).

CONCLUSIONS

The investigated models to predict sICH or ICH discriminate poorly between patients with a low and high risk of sICH after endovascular treatment in daily clinical practice and are, therefore, not clinically useful for this patient population.

A Novel Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance and Symptomatic Intracranial Hemorrhage in Ischemic Stroke Patients After Endovascular Thrombectomy

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Insulin resistance plays a pivotal role in the pathophysiology of ischemic stroke. This study aimed to determine the relationship between the novel metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) after endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) in stroke patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively included patients with large artery occlusion in the anterior circulation and treated by EVT from 2 stroke centers (Nanjing First Hospital from September 2019 to April 2022, and Jinling Hospital from September 2019 to July 2021). The METS-IR was used as an alternative marker of insulin resistance and calculated using laboratory data after admission. sICH was diagnosed according to the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification.

RESULTS

Of the 410 enrolled patients (mean age, 69.8 ± 11.7 years; 60.7% men), 50 (12.2%) were diagnosed as sICH. After adjusting for demographic characteristics, poor collateral status, and other potential confounders, higher METS-IR was revealed to be independently associated with sICH (odds ratio, 1.076; 95% confidence interval, 1.034-1.120; P = 0.001). Similar significant results were obtained when defining METS-IR as a categorical variable. The restricted cubic spline uncovered a linear relationship between METS-IR and sICH (P < 0.001 for linearity). Furthermore, adding METS-IR to the conventional model significantly improved the risk prediction for sICH (net reclassification improvement = 15.8%, P = 0.035; integrated discrimination index = 2.6%; P = 0.017).

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated a significant association between METS-IR score and sICH in ischemic stroke patients treated with EVT. It could help monitor and manage sICH in patients after EVT.