Pulmonary function in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and referral for lung transplantation

Assessment of lung deformation in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis with elastic registration technique on pulmonary three-dimensional ultrashort echo time MRI

OBJECTIVE

To assess lung deformation in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) using with elastic registration algorithm applied to three-dimensional ultrashort echo time (3D-UTE) MRI and analyze relationship of lung deformation with the severity of IPF.

METHODS

Seventy-six patients with IPF (mean age: 62 ± 6 years) and 62 age- and gender-matched healthy controls (mean age: 58 ± 4 years) were prospectively enrolled. End-inspiration and end-expiration images acquired with a single breath-hold 3D-UTE sequence were registered using elastic registration algorithm. Jacobian determinants were calculated from deformation fields and represented on color maps. Jac-mean (absolute value of the log means of Jacobian determinants) and the Dice similarity coefficient (Dice) were compared between different groups.

RESULTS

Compared with healthy controls, the Jac-mean of IPF patients significantly decreased (0.21 ± 0.08 vs. 0.27 ± 0. 07, p < 0.001). Furthermore, the Jac-mean and Dice correlated with the metrics of pulmonary function tests and the composite physiological index. The lung deformation in IPF patients with dyspnea Medical Research Council (MRC) ≥ 3 (Jac-mean: 0.16 ± 0.03; Dice: 0.06 ± 0.02) was significantly lower than MRC1 (Jac-mean: 0. 25 ± 0.03, p < 0.001; Dice: 0.10 ± 0.01, p < 0.001) and MRC 2 (Jac-mean: 0.22 ± 0.11, p = 0.001; Dice: 0.08 ± 0.03, p = 0.006). Meanwhile, Jac-mean and Dice correlated with health-related quality of life, 6 min-walk distance, and the extent of pulmonary fibrosis. Jac-mean correlated with pulmonary vascular-related indexes on high-resolution CT.

CONCLUSION

The decreased lung deformation in IPF patients correlated with the clinical severity of IPF patients. Elastic registration of inspiratory-to-expiratory 3D UTE MRI may be a new morphological and functional marker for non-radiation and noninvasive evaluation of IPF.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

This prospective study demonstrated that lung deformation decreased in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients and correlated with the severity of IPF. Elastic registration of inspiratory-to-expiratory three-dimensional ultrashort echo time (3D UTE) MRI may be a new morphological and functional marker for non-radiation and noninvasive evaluation of IPF.

KEY POINTS

• Elastic registration of inspiratory-to-expiratory three-dimensional ultrashort echo time (3D UTE) MRI could evaluate lung deformation. • Lung deformation significantly decreased in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients, compared with the healthy controls. • Reduced lung deformation of IPF patients correlated with worsened pulmonary function and the composite physiological index (CPI).

Referral rates and barriers to lung transplantation based on pulmonary function criteria in interstitial lung diseases: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Interstitial lung diseases (ILD) unresponsive to medical therapy often require lung transplantation (LTx), which prolongs quality of life and survival. Ideal timing for referral for LTx remains challenging, with late referral associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Among other criteria, patients with ILD should be considered for LTx if forced vital capacity (FVC) is less than 80% or diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) is less than 40%. However, data on referral rates are lacking.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate referral rates for LTx based on pulmonary function tests (PFTs) and identify barriers associated with non-referral.

DESIGN

A single-center retrospective cohort study.

METHODS

The study consisted of ILD patients who performed PFT between 2014 and 2020. Patients with FVC < 80% or a DLCO < 40% were included in the study. Patients with absolute contraindications to LTx were excluded. Referral rates were computed, and a comparison was made between referred and non-referred subjects.

RESULTS

Out of 114 ILD patients meeting criteria for referral to LTx, 35 were referred (30.7%), and 7 proceeded to undergo LTx. Median time from PFT to referral for assessment was 255 days [interquartile range (IQR) 35-1077]. Median time from referral to LTx was 89 days (IQR 59-143). Referred patients were younger (p = 0.003), had lower FVC (p < 0.001), DLCO (p < 0.001), and a higher rate of pulmonary hypertension (p = 0.04). Relatively better PFT, and older age, were significantly associated with non-referral of patients.

CONCLUSION

There is under-referral of ILD patients who are eligible for LTx, which is associated with severe disease and missed opportunities for LTx. Further research is required to validate these findings.

A prospective cohort study of periostin as a serum biomarker in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis treated with nintedanib

This study investigated the utility of periostin, a matricellular protein, as a prognostic biomarker in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) who received nintedanib. Monomeric and total periostin levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in 87 eligible patients who participated in a multicenter prospective study. Forty-three antifibrotic drug-naive patients with IPF described in previous studies were set as historical controls. Monomeric and total periostin levels were not significantly associated with the change in forced vital capacity (FVC) or diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide (DLCO) during any follow-up period. Higher monomeric and total periostin levels were independent risk factors for overall survival in the Cox proportional hazard model. In the analysis of nintedanib effectiveness, higher binarized monomeric periostin levels were associated with more favorable suppressive effects on decreased vital capacity (VC) and DLCO in the treatment group compared with historical controls. Higher binarized levels of total periostin were associated with more favorable suppressive effects on decreased DLCO but not VC. In conclusion, higher periostin levels were independently associated with survival and better therapeutic effectiveness in patients with IPF treated with nintedanib. Periostin assessments may contribute to determining therapeutic strategies for patients with IPF.

Efficacy and Safety of Hydrogen Therapy in Patients with Early-Stage Interstitial Lung Disease: A Single-Center, Randomized, Parallel-Group Controlled Trial

Purpose

Several in vivo experiments have shown that molecular hydrogen is a promising therapeutic agent for interstitial lung diseases (ILD). In this study, hydrogen therapy was investigated to determine whether it is superior to N-Acetylcysteine (NAC) for the treatment of patients with early-stage ILD.

Patients and Methods

A prospective, single-center, randomized, controlled clinical trial was conducted in 87 patients with early-stage ILD. Hydrogen or NAC therapy was randomly assigned (1:1 ratio) to the eligible patients. The primary endpoint was the change in the high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) and composite physiologic index (CPI) scores from baseline to week 48. Pulmonary function was evaluated as a secondary endpoint, and adverse events were recorded for safety analysis.

Results

The rate of HRCT image improvement from the baseline in the HW group (63.6%) was higher than that in the NAC group (39.5%). A significant decrease in CPI and improvement in DLCO-sb were observed in the hydrogen group compared with those in the control group. Changes in other pulmonary function parameters, including FVC, FEV1, FEV1/FVC%, and TLC, were not significantly different between the two groups. Adverse events were reported in 7 (15.9%) patients in the HW group and 10 (23.3%) patients in the NAC group, but the difference was not significant (P=0.706).

Conclusion

Hydrogen therapy exhibits superior efficacy and acceptable safety compared with NAC therapy in patients with early-stage ILD.

The effect of CALIPER-derived parameters for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in predicting prognosis, progression, and mortality: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

High-resolution computed tomography (HRCT), as the main tool for monitoring idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), is characterized by subjective variability among radiologists and insensitivity to subtle changes. Recently, a few studies have aimed to decrease subjective bias by assessing the severity of IPF using computer software, i.e., Computer-Aided Lung Informatics for Pathology Evaluation and Rating (CALIPER). However, these studies had diverse research directions. In this review, we systematically assess the effect of CALIPER in the management of IPF.

METHODS

A systematic review was conducted through a search of published studies in PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane, Embase, Scopus, and CNKI databases from database inception through February 28, 2022. The methodological quality would be evaluated by using Methodological Index for Non-Randomized Studies (MINORS). Narrative synthesis summarized findings by participant characteristics, study design, and associations with outcomes.

RESULTS

Ten studies were included. They evaluated the relationship between CALIPER-derived parameters and pulmonary function test (PFT) and mortality. CALIPER-derived parameters showed a significant correlation with PFT and mortality. Two studies reported that CALIPER could be used to stratify outcomes.

CONCLUSION

CALIPER-derived parameters can be used to evaluate prognosis and mortality. CALIPER-derived parameters combined with composite physiologic index (CPI) or Gender-Age-Physiology (GAP) could help clinicians implement targeted management by refining prognostic stratification. However, research has been constrained by small number of retrospective investigations and sample sizes. Therefore, it is essential to design prospective controlled studies and establish the staging system by CALIPER-derived parameters and combining them with CPI, FVC, or GAP.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

It is beneficial for clinic to provide objective, sensitive, and accurate indicators of disease progression. It also helps the clinic to develop individualized treatment plans based on the stage of disease progression and provides evaluation of efficacy in drug trials.

KEY POINTS

• Computer-Aided Lung Informatics for Pathology Evaluation and Rating (CALIPER) is a quantitative CT analysis software that can be used to evaluate the progression of disease on CT. • The CALIPER-derived vessel-related structure shows great performance in the management of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. • CALIPER-derived parameters combined with composite physiologic index or Gender-Age-Physiology can be used to refine prognostic stratification.

Elastic Registration Algorithm Based on Three-dimensional Pulmonary MRI in Quantitative Assessment of Severity of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

PURPOSE

To quantitatively analyze lung elasticity in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) using elastic registration based on 3-dimensional pulmonary magnetic resonance imaging (3D-PMRI) and to assess its' correlations with the severity of IPF patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Thirty male patients with IPF (mean age: 62±6 y) and 30 age-matched male healthy controls (mean age: 62±6 y) were prospectively enrolled. 3D-PMRI was acquired with a 3-dimensional ultrashort echo time sequence in end-inspiration and end-expiration. MR images were registered from end-inspiration to end-expiration with the elastic registration algorithm. Jacobian determinants were calculated from deformation fields on color maps. The log means of the Jacobian determinants (Jac-mean) and Dice similarity coefficient were used to describe lung elasticity between 2 groups. Then, the correlation of lung elasticity with dyspnea Medical Research Council (MRC) score, exercise tolerance, health-related quality of life, lung function, and the extent of pulmonary fibrosis on chest computed tomography were analyzed.

RESULTS

The Jac-mean of IPF patients (-0.19, [IQR: -0.22, -0.15]) decreased (absolute value), compared with healthy controls (-0.28, [IQR: -0.31, -0.24], P<0.001). The lung elasticity in IPF patients with dyspnea MRC≥3 (Jac-mean: -0.15; Dice: 0.06) was significantly lower than MRC 1 (Jac-mean: -0.22, P=0.001; Dice: 0.10, P=0.001) and MRC 2 (Jac-mean: -0.21, P=0.007; Dice: 0.09, P<0.001). In addition, the Jac-mean negatively correlated with forced vital capacity % (r=-0.487, P<0.001), forced expiratory volume 1% (r=-0.413, P=0.004), TLC% (r=-0.488, P<0.001), diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide % predicted (r=-0.555, P<0.001), 6-minute walk distance (r=-0.441, P=0.030) and positively correlated with respiratory symptoms (r=0.430, P=0.042). Meanwhile, the Dice similarity coefficient positively correlated with forced vital capacity % (r=0.577, P=0.004), forced expiratory volume 1% (r=0.526, P=0.012), diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide % predicted (r=0.435, P=0.048), 6-minute walk distance (r=0.473, P=0.016), final peripheral oxygen saturation (r=0.534, P=0.004), the extent of fibrosis on chest computed tomography (r=-0.421, P=0.021) and negatively correlated with activity (r=-0.431, P=0.048).

CONCLUSION

Lung elasticity decreased in IPF patients and correlated with dyspnea, exercise tolerance, health-related quality of life, lung function, and the extent of pulmonary fibrosis. The lung elasticity based on elastic registration of 3D-PMRI may be a new nonradiation imaging biomarker for quantitative evaluation of the severity of IPF.

Exploring computer-based imaging analysis in interstitial lung disease: opportunities and challenges

The advent of quantitative computed tomography (QCT) and artificial intelligence (AI) using high-resolution computed tomography data has revolutionised the way interstitial diseases are studied. These quantitative methods provide more accurate and precise results compared to prior semiquantitative methods, which were limited by human error such as interobserver disagreement or low reproducibility. The integration of QCT and AI and the development of digital biomarkers has facilitated not only diagnosis but also prognostication and prediction of disease behaviour, not just in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in which they were initially studied, but also in other fibrotic lung diseases. These tools provide reproducible, objective prognostic information which may facilitate clinical decision-making. However, despite the benefits of QCT and AI, there are still obstacles that need to be addressed. Important issues include optimal data management, data sharing and maintenance of data privacy. In addition, the development of explainable AI will be essential to develop trust within the medical community and facilitate implementation in routine clinical practice.

Assessment of listing criteria for lung transplant candidates with interstitial lung disease

OBJECTIVES

Lung transplantation (LT) is an effective treatment for patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) refractory to medical treatment. Although the cases of cadaveric LT (CLT) have increased, the donor shortage in Japan has remained severe. This study aimed to evaluate the International Society of Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) listing criteria for LT in patients with ILD by predicting outcomes during the waiting time for CLT.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified 166 patients with fibrotic ILDs who were evaluated and registered for CLT at Kyoto Universal Hospital from April 1, 2008, to December 31, 2017. We examined the correlation between individual parameters of the ISHLT listing criteria and patient outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 166 patients, 57 (34.3%) underwent CLT, whereas 83 (50.0%) died before CLT. The median survival time from the date of registration was 22.5 months. The 2-year survival rate was 47.8%. On multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis, relative decline of percent predicted forced vital capacity (%FVC) in 6 months ≥ 10% (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.72; 95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 1.03-2.87, p = 0.04) and 6-min walking distance (6MWD) < 250 m (HR: 2.77; 95%CI: 1.64-4.69, p < 0.001) were independently associated with worse outcome (i.e., death or living-donor lobar LT).

CONCLUSIONS

The 2014 ISHLT criteria could appropriately identify patients with ILD who have a potentially poor prognosis. In particular, 6-month decline in %FVC and shorter 6 min walk distance may be useful for selecting patients with higher risks of mortality.

Characteristics and mortality in primary Sjögren syndrome-related interstitial lung disease

ABSTRACT

Aim of the study was to determine the characteristics and prognosis, and to identify the risk factors for mortality in patients with primary Sjögren syndrome (pSS) with interstitial lung disease (pSS-ILD).A total of 1422 patients with SS were screened and 178 patients with pSS-ILD were recruited. The medical records and outcomes were retrospectively reviewed. Overall survival and case control study were performed to explore the predictors of death.Among 178 pSS-ILD patients, 87.1% were women. Mean age was 61.59 ± 11.69-year-old. Median disease duration was 72.0 (24.0, 156.0) months. Nonspecific interstitial pneumonia was the predominant high-resolution computed tomography pattern (44.9%). Impairment in diffusion capacity was the most common abnormality of pulmonary function test (75.8%) and the most severe consequence. Type 1 respiratory failure and hypoxia were observed in 15.0% and 30.0% patients, respectively. Mean survival time after confirmation of pSS-ILD diagnosis was 9.0 (6.8, 13.0) years. The 10-year survival rate for all patients with pSS-ILD was 81.7%. Forty-four (24.7%) of 178 patients died during the follow-up period. The most predominant cause of death was respiratory failure (n = 27). Twenty-seven patients died of ILD and formed study group. The 78 patients who survived formed control group. Age and smoking were risk factors for mortality in patients with pSS-ILD. In addition, severity of ILD, as reflected by high-resolution computed tomography, pulmonary function test, and arterial blood gas, was an independent risk factor. However, inflammation status (erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C-reactive protein) and anti-Sjögren syndrome-related antigen A and anti-Sjögren syndrome-related antigen B were not.ILD is a severe complication of pSS. Age, smoking, and severity of lung involvement are more critical for prognosis rather than inflammation status and autoantibodies.

Elucidation of prognostic factors and the effect of anti-fibrotic therapy on waitlist mortality in lung transplant candidates with idiopathic interstitial pneumonias

BACKGROUND

Lung transplantation (LTx) is the last resort for patients who fail to respond to drug therapy and progress to advanced idiopathic interstitial pneumonias (IIPs). However, more than one-third of patients registered for LTx face despair because of rapid disease progression and donor shortage. This study aimed to identify the risk factors of waitlist mortality in LTx candidates with IIPs and investigate the association of anti-fibrotic therapy with waitlist mortality.

METHODS

We retrospectively investigated 56 patients with IIPs, including 29 patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (51.7%) and 11 patients with idiopathic pleuroparenchymal fibroelastosis (19.6%), registered for LTx at Fukuoka University Hospital between January 2006 and June 2020. The risk factors affecting transplantation-censored survival were evaluated.

RESULTS

The waitlist mortality rate of patients with nonspecific interstitial pneumonia was significantly lower than that of others. Multivariate survival analysis using Cox's model identified a history of pneumothorax (P = 0.029) and short 6-min walk distance (6MWD) (P = 0.012) to be significant variables affecting waitlist mortality. Patients receiving anti-fibrotic therapy (n = 27, 48.2%) had a lower risk of pneumothorax (P = 0.017) and their 6MWD was longer than that of non-therapy patients (P < 0.001). The waitlist mortality rate of patients on anti-fibrotic therapy was significantly lower (P = 0.012).

CONCLUSIONS

History of pneumothorax and short 6MWD were independent predictors of waitlist mortality in LTx candidates with IIPs. The anti-fibrotic therapy may potentially reduce mortality in patients with IIPs on the waiting list for LTx.

Real-world retrospective observational study exploring the effectiveness and safety of antifibrotics in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Background

Pirfenidone and nintedanib are the only disease-modifying treatments available for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Our aim was to test their effectiveness and safety in clinical practice.

Methods

This is a single-centre retrospective observational study undertaken at a specialised interstitial lung disease centre in England. Data including progression-free survival (PFS), mortality and drug tolerability were compared between patients with IPF on antifibrotic therapies and an untreated control group who had a forced vital capacity percentage (FVC %) predicted within the licensed antifibrotic treatment range.

Results

104 patients received antifibrotic therapies and 64 control patients were identified. PFS at 6 months was significantly greater in the antifibrotic group (75.0%) compared with the control group (56.3%) (p=0.012). PFS was not significant at 12 or 18 months when comparing the antifibrotic group with the control group. The 12-month post-treatment mean decline in FVC % predicted (−4.6±6.2%) was significantly less than the 12-month pretreatment decline (−10.4±11.8%) (p=0.039). The 12-month mortality rate was not significantly different between the antifibrotic group (25.3%) and the control group (35.5%) (p=0.132). Baseline Body Mass Index of≤25, baseline diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide percentage predicted of ≤35 and antifibrotic discontinuation within 3 months were independent predictors of 12-month mortality. Antifibrotic discontinuation was significantly higher by 3 and 6 months for patients on pirfenidone than those on nintedanib (p=0.006 and p=0.044, respectively). Discontinuation at 12 months was not significantly different (p=0.381).

Conclusions

This real-world study revealed that antifibrotics are having promising effects on PFS, lung function and mortality. These findings may favour commencement of nintedanib as first-line antifibrotic therapy, given the lower rates of early treatment discontinuation, although further studies are required to investigate this.

Baseline characteristics and survival of patients of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a longitudinal analysis of the Swedish IPF Registry

Background

Observational data under real-life conditions in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is scarce. We explored anti-fibrotic treatment, disease severity and phenotypes in patients with IPF from the Swedish IPF Registry (SIPFR).

Methods

Patients enrolled between September 2014 and April 2020 and followed ≥ 6 months were investigated. Demographics, comorbidities, lung function, composite variables, six-minute walking test (6MWT), quality of life, and anti-fibrotic therapy were evaluated. Agreements between classification of mild physiological impairment (defined as gender-age-physiology (GAP) stage 1) with physiological and composite measures of severity was assessed using kappa values and their impact on mortality with hazard ratios. The factor analysis and the two-step cluster analysis were used to identify phenotypes. Univariate and multivariable survival analyses were performed between variables or groups.

Results

Among 662 patients with baseline data (median age 72.7 years, 74.0% males), 480 had a follow up ≥ 6 months with a 5 year survival rate of 48%. Lung function, 6MWT, age, and BMI were predictors of survival. Patients who received anti-fibrotic treatment ≥ 6 months had better survival compared to untreated patients [p = 0.007, HR (95% CI): 1.797 (1.173–2.753)] after adjustment of age, gender, BMI, smoking status, forced vital capacity (FVC) and diffusion capacity of carbon monoxide (DLCO). Patients with mild physiological impairment (GAP stage 1, composite physiological index (CPI) ≤ 45, DLCO ≥ 55%, FVC ≥ 75%, and total lung capacity (TLC) ≥ 65%, respectively) had better survival, after adjustment for age, gender, BMI and smoking status and treatment. Patients in cluster 1 had the worst survival and consisted mainly of male patients with moderate-severe disease and an increased prevalence of heart diseases at baseline; Cluster 2 was characterized by mild disease with more than 50% females and few comorbidities, and had the best survival; Cluster 3 were younger, with moderate-severe disease and had few comorbidities.

Conclusion

Disease severity, phenotypes, and anti-fibrotic treatment are closely associated with the outcome in IPF, with treated patients surviving longer. Phenotypes may contribute to predicting outcomes of patients with IPF and suggest the patients’ need for special management, whereas single or composite variables have some limitations as disease predictors.

Survival predictors of interstitial lung disease in India: Follow-up of Interstitial Lung Disease India registry

Background:

Predictors of survival for interstitial lung disease (ILD) in the Indian population have not been studied. The primary objective of the study was to assess the Modified-Gender Age and Physiology (M-GAP) score to predict survival in patients with ILD seen in clinical practice. We also analyzed the role of demographic and radiological characteristics in predicting the survival of patients with ILD.

Materials and Methods:

In the ILD India registry, data were collected from 27 centers across 19 cities in India between March 2012 and June 2015. A single follow-up was conducted at 18 centers who agreed to participate in the follow-up in 2017. M-GAP score (range 0–5) was calculated with the following variables: age (≤60 years 0, 61–65 years 1, and >65 years 2), gender (female 0, male 1), and forced vital capacity% (>75% 0, 50%–75% 1, and >75% 2). A score of 0–3 and score of 4 and 5 were classified into Stage 1 and 2, respectively. Other predictors of survival, such as the history of tuberculosis, smoking, and the presence of honeycombing on computed tomography scan, were also evaluated.

Results:

Nine hundred and seven patients were contacted in 2017. Among them, 309 patients were lost to follow-up; 399 were alive and 199 had died. M-GAP was significantly associated with survival. Similarly, other predictors of survival were ability to perform spirometry (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.49, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.34–0.72), past history of tuberculosis (HR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.07–2.29), current or past history of smoking (HR: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.06–2.16), honeycombing (HR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.29–2.55), a diagnosis of connective tissue disease -ILD (HR: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.22–0.76), and sarcoidosis (HR: 0.24, 95% CI: 0.08–0.77).

Conclusion:

In a subgroup of patients with newly diagnosed ILD enrolled in ILD India registry and who were available for follow-up, M-GAP score predicted survival. Honeycombing at the time of diagnosis, along with accurate history of smoking, and previous history of tuberculosis were useful indices for predicting survival.

Prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis without anti-fibrotic therapy: a systematic review

In addition to facilitating healthcare delivery planning, reliable information about prognosis is essential for treatment decisions in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). This review aimed to evaluate the prognosis of patients with IPF without anti-fibrotic therapy. We included all cohort studies and the placebo arms of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) in IPF and follow-up of ≥12 months. Two reviewers independently evaluated studies for inclusion, assessed risk of bias and extracted data. A total of 154 cohort studies and 16 RCTs were included. The pooled proportions of mortality were 0.12 (95% CI 0.09–0.14) at 1–2 years, 0.38 (95% CI 0.34–0.42) between 2–5 years, and 0.69 (95% CI 0.59–0.78) at ≥5 years. The pooled mean overall survival was 4 years (95% CI 3.7–4.6) for studies with a follow-up duration of 10 years. At <2 years, forced vital capacity and diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide declined by a mean of 6.76% predicted (95% CI −8.92 −4.61) and 3% predicted (95% CI −5.14 −1.52), respectively. Although heterogeneity was high, subgroup analyses revealed lower pooled proportions of mortality at 1 year in the RCT participants (0.07 (95% CI 0.05–0.09)) versus cohort study participants (0.14 (95% CI 0.12–0.17)). This review provides comprehensive information on the prognosis of IPF, which can inform treatment discussions with patients and comparisons for future studies with new therapies.

Without anti-fibrotic therapy, patients with IPF have a mortality rate of 31% at ≥5 years, and a mean overall survival of 4 years over 10 years of follow-uphttp://bit.ly/2SDiZSb

A score without diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide for estimating survival in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Prediction models for survival at baseline evaluation have been proposed in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) but include diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide, a test not available in many places. The aim of the present study was to develop a simple new mortality risk scoring system for patients with IPF at initial evaluation without diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide measurement.A total of 173 patients, 72% males, mean age 70 years, 64% smokers/ex-smokers, were included in a retrospective study. The diagnosis was made by surgical lung biopsy in 40 (23%); in the remaining patients, a usual interstitial pneumonia pattern was present in high-resolution computed tomography. Patients with forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity ratio (FEV1/FVC) <0.70 were excluded. Dyspnea was evaluated by magnitude of task on the Mahler scale (Chest 1984). Peripheral oxygen saturation was measured by oximetry at rest and at the end of a 4 minutes step test or a 6-minute walk test.At the end of the follow-up period, 154 (89%) of the patients had died. Based on the univariate Cox proportional-hazards model, survival (P ≤ .10) was related directly to the dyspnea score, presence of cough, lower values of FVC% and FEV1%, lower rest and oxygen desaturation during exercise, and greater FEV1/FVC. By Cox multivariate analysis, the results remained correlated to the survival dyspnea score, FVC%, and exercise peripheral oxygen saturation. A score, using these variables, was developed and was able to discriminate among 3 groups, with high, low, and intermediate survival curves.A prognostic score, taking into account dyspnea, FVC%, and oxygen desaturation during exercise, can estimate survival in IPF.

Lung transplantation for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is characterized by relentlessly progressive lung function impairment that is consistently fatal in the absence of lung transplantation, as no curative pharmacological treatment exists. The pace of progression varies across patients, and acute life-threatening exacerbations occur unpredictably, causing further sharp drops in lung function. Recently introduced antifibrotic agents slow the pace of disease progression and may improve survival but fail to stop the fibrotic process. Moreover, the magnitude and kinetics of the response to these drugs cannot be predicted in the individual patient. These characteristics require that lung transplantation be considered early in the course of the disease. However, given the shortage of donor lungs, lung transplantation must be carefully targeted to those patients most likely to benefit. Current guidelines for lung transplantation listing may need reappraisal in the light of recent treatment advances. Patients with IPF often have multiple comorbidities such as coronary heart disease, frailty, and gastro-oesophageal reflux disease (GERD). Consequently, extensive screening for and effective treatment of concomitant conditions is crucial to appropriate candidate selection and outcome optimisation. A multidisciplinary approach is mandatory. Pulmonologists with expertise in IPF must work closely with lung transplant teams. Careful consideration must be given to preoperative optimisation, surgical technique, and pulmonary rehabilitation to produce the best post-transplantation outcomes.

Probable usual interstitial pneumonia pattern on chest CT: is it sufficient for a diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis?

Recent studies have suggested that in patients with an idiopathic interstitial pneumonia (IIP), a probable usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern on chest computed tomography (CT) is sufficient to diagnose idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) without histopathology.We retrospectively compared the prognosis and time to first acute exacerbation (AE) in IIP patients with a UIP and a probable UIP pattern on initial chest CT.One hundred and sixty IIP patients with a UIP pattern and 242 with a probable UIP pattern were identified. Probable UIP pattern was independently associated with longer survival time (adjusted hazard ratio 0.713, 95% CI 0.536-0.950; p=0.021) and time to first AE (adjusted hazard ratio 0.580, 95% CI 0.389-0.866; p=0.008). In subjects with a probable UIP pattern who underwent surgical lung biopsy, the probability of a histopathological UIP pattern was 83%. After multidisciplinary discussion and the inclusion of longitudinal behaviour, a diagnosis of IPF was made in 66% of cases. In IPF patients, survival time and time to first AE were not associated with CT pattern. Among subjects with a probable UIP pattern, compared to non-IPF patients, survival time and time to first AE were shorter in IPF patients.In conclusion, IIP patients with a probable UIP pattern on initial chest CT had a better prognosis and longer time to first AE than those with a UIP pattern. However, when baseline data and longitudinal behaviour provided a final diagnosis of IPF, CT pattern was not associated with these outcomes. This suggests diagnostic heterogeneity among patients with a probable UIP pattern.

Development of an ex vivo preclinical respiratory model of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis for aerosol regional studies

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis is a progressive disease with unsatisfactory systemic treatments. Aerosol drug delivery to the lungs is expected to be an interesting route of administration. However, due to the alterations of lung compliance caused by fibrosis, local delivery remains challenging. This work aimed to develop a practical, relevant and ethically less restricted ex vivo respiratory model of fibrotic lung for regional aerosol deposition studies. This model is composed of an Ear-Nose-Throat replica connected to a sealed enclosure containing an ex vivo porcine respiratory tract, which was modified to mimic the mechanical properties of fibrotic lung parenchyma - i.e. reduced compliance. Passive respiratory mechanics were measured. ^81mKr scintigraphies were used to assess the homogeneity of gas-ventilation, while regional aerosol deposition was assessed with ^99mTc-DTPA scintigraphies. We validated the procedure to induce modifications of lung parenchyma to obtain aimed variation of compliance. Compared to the healthy model, lung respiratory mechanics were modified to the same extent as IPF-suffering patients. ^81mKr gas-ventilation and ^99mTc-DTPA regional aerosol deposition showed results comparable to clinical studies, qualitatively. This ex vivo respiratory model could simulate lung fibrosis for aerosol regional deposition studies giving an interesting alternative to animal experiments, accelerating and facilitating preclinical studies before clinical trials.

Serum prealbumin is a prognostic indicator in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

INTRODUCTION

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a fatal interstitial lung disease characterized by variable progression. The prealbumin (PA) is a parameter in a routine blood biochemistry examination. We sought to investigate the prognostic value in IPF patients.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the prognosis value in patients with IPF.

METHODS

Blood biochemistry examination, demographics, pulmonary function data from patients with IPF consulted in Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital and China-Japan Friendship Hospital between July 2012 and December 2016 were collected. Infection, liver and kidney dysfunction and lung transplantation are excluded from the cohort.

RESULTS

The result of multivariate Cox analysis showed that PA was significant prognostic indicator of survival along with BMI, FVC, serum albumin protein and serum global protein. The patients with PA concentration <0.2 mg/L had shorter survival compared with those whose PA were normal. Although the survival had no significant difference between the patients with PA concentration < 0.2 mg/L and albumin < 35 g/L and those with PA concentration < 0.2 mg/L, the average survival time of patients with PA concentration < 0.2 mg/L and albumin < 35 g/L were shorter.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study indicated that IPF patients with PA concentration < 0.2 mg/L have poorer outcome. Further studies are warranted to indentify PA as a predictor for IPF patients outcomes and explore the role of PA in the pathogenesis of IPF.

A retrospective study of the tolerability of nintedanib for severe idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in the real world

Background

Nintedanib is a tyrosine kinase inhibitor that has been shown to suppress progression of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). The efficacy and tolerability of nintedanib for IPF has been previously proven in the INPULSIS^® and INPULSIS-On^® trials. The aim of our study was to clarify the tolerability of nintedanib in the real world for severe IPF patients who were unable to enter the INPULSIS^® and INPULSIS-On^® trials.

Methods

We retrospectively investigated medical records of 8 patients with severe IPF and 14 patients with non-severe IPF who had been treated with nintedanib. The criteria to define severe IPF were forced vital capacity (FVC) of <50% predicted and/or diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide/alveolar volume (D_LCO/VA) of <30% predicted or unmeasurable. Severity of adverse event was evaluated using the Common terminology criteria for each adverse event version 4.0. We compared changes in FVC and serum KL-6 level, incidence and severity of adverse events, and incidence of permanent or temporary discontinuation of nintedanib in between severe and non-severe IPF groups.

Results

The median treatment period was 578.5 days. The most frequent adverse event was diarrhea (73%). Only 2 patients required permanent discontinuation of nintedanib due to adverse events. There was no difference in incidence or severity of adverse events or incidence of permanent or temporary discontinuation of nintedanib in between severe and non-severe IPF groups. Among subjects, decline in FVC during 6 months post-nintedanib treatment were significantly lower than prior to treatment, but change in serum KL-6 level showed no significant difference between these 2 timepoints.

Conclusions

Our study showed that nintedanib was tolerable for IPF patients who would not have been eligible for entry into previous clinical trials due to low pulmonary function. Although therapeutic strategy for severe IPF should be planned carefully, initiation of nintedanib treatment should not be dismissed solely for reasons of low pulmonary function.

Imaging biomarkers and staging in IPF

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The application of computer-based imaging analysis in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis is a rapidly developing field. The purpose of this review is to provide insights into the problems associated with visual interpretation of HRCT patterns and describe some of the current technologies used to provide objective quantification of disease on HRCT. Future directions are also discussed.

RECENT FINDINGS

Although there is strong evidence that visual quantification of disease on HRCT in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis provides prognostic information, this approach is hampered by its subjective nature and interobserver variability. In contrast, computer-based quantification of disease on HRCT provides objective and reproducible data, which may help to predict mortality and time to decline in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. The use of these technologies may also help to stratify clinical risk in patients enrolled in drug trials.

SUMMARY

The future of imaging-based biomarker research in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis is undoubtedly computer-based HRCT evaluation. However, if this field is to continue to innovate, large, well annotated imaging datasets for developing and testing. new computer-based tools are needed as well as prospective trials for biomarker validation.

Implementing an interstitial lung disease clinic improves survival without increasing health care resource utilization

BACKGROUND

Multidisciplinary collaboration is the cornerstone of interstitial lung disease (ILD) care. Delayed access to specialized care is associated with worse outcome. At the same time, the economic burden of ILD is high. We hypothesized that the establishment of a regional, dedicated ILD clinic would improve survival, but without necessarily causing an increase of health care resource utilization (HRU).

METHODS

A historic cohort (January 2000-June 2013, n = 127) and a specialized care cohort followed by a dedicated ILD clinic (July 2013-June 2016, n = 144) were compared. Patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis were excluded, due to the impact of new anti-fibrotic agents. Patients' data were linked to multiple provincial health administrative datasets. HRU included hospitalizations, doctor and emergency visits, pulmonary (including chest x-ray, chest CT scans, pulmonary function tests, bronchoscopies), cardio-vascular investigations, and specific ILD therapies. HRU was calculated as annual rate by domain. Three-year survival from initial assessment was the secondary outcome.

RESULTS

The 2 cohorts were closely comparable in terms of specific ILD diagnosis, baseline lung function, comorbidities, neighbourhood income. There were overall no significant differences in terms of HRU. In the specialized care cohort, the use of non-steroid immunosuppressive therapies increased and survival significantly improved, despite significantly older age of patients at the time of initial assessment. Specialized ILD care was independently protective towards survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Specialized, multi-disciplinary ILD care in a dedicated regional clinic is associated with improved survival and does not cause an increase of HRU, supporting the institution of potentially more cost-effective care with specialized ILD clinics.

Six-minute walk distance and survival time in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in Brazil

OBJECTIVE

To determine the cut-off point for the six-minute walk distance (6MWD) that indicates lower survival time in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) in Brazil.

METHODS

This was retrospective study carried out in two referral centers for IPF. The 6MWT was performed twice, considering the highest value of the 6MWD. Various cut-off points were estimated, in absolute values and in percentage of predicted values, using ROC curves, the Kaplan-Meier method, and data from other studies.

RESULTS

The sample comprised 70 patients with IPF. The mean age was 71.9 ± 6.4 years, and 50 patients (71.4%) were male. The mean FVC was 76.6 ± 18.2% of predicted value. The mean SpO2 at rest before and after 6MWT were 93.8 ± 2.5% and 85.3 ± 6.5%, respectively. The median survival time was 44 months (95% CI: 37-51 months). The mean 6MWD was 381 ± 115 m (79.2 ± 24.0% of predicted). After the analyses, the best cut-off points for estimating survival were 6MWD < 330 m and < 70% of predicted. The median survival time of patients with a 6MWD < 330 m was 24 months (95% CI: 3-45 months), whereas that of those with a 6MWD ≥ 330 m was 59 months (95% CI: 41-77 months; p = 0.009). Similarly, the median survival times of those with a 6MWD < 70% and ≥ 70% of predicted, respectively, were 24 months (95% CI: 13-35 months) and 59 months (95% CI: 38-80 months; p = 0.013). Cox multivariate regression models including age, sex, smoking status, SpO2 at the end of the 6MWT, and FVC% showed that 6MWD remained significantly associated with survival (p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Values of 6MWD < 330 m and < 70% of predicted value were associated with lower survival time in IPF patients in Brazil.

Lung transplantation for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive lung disease with a poor prognosis. Lung transplantation is the only intervention shown to increase life expectancy for patients with IPF, but it is associated with disease-specific challenges. In this Review, we discuss the importance of a proactive approach to the management of IPF comorbidities, including gastro-oesophageal reflux, pulmonary hypertension, coronary artery disease, and malignancy. With a donor pool too small to meet demand and unacceptably high mortality on transplant waiting lists, we discuss different systems used internationally to facilitate organ allocation. We explore the rapidly evolving landscape of transplantation for patients with IPF with regards to antifibrotic therapy, technological advances in extracorporeal life support, advances in understanding of the genetics of the disease, and the importance of a holistic multidisciplinary approach to care. Finally, we consider potential advances over the next decade that are envisaged to improve transplantation outcomes in patients with advanced IPF.

Lung Transplantation in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

Despite the advances in recent years in the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), it continues to be a progressive disease with poor prognosis. In selected patients, lung transplantation may be a treatment option, with optimal results in survival and quality of life. Currently, pulmonary fibrosis is the main cause of lung transplantation. However, mortality on the waiting list of these patients is high, since many patients are referred to the transplant units with advanced disease. There is not a parameter that can predict the survival of a specific patient. Different variables are to be considered in order to decide the right time to send them to a transplant unit. It is also very difficult to decide when to include these patients on the waiting list. Every patient diagnosed with IPF, without contraindications for surgery, should be referred early to a transplant unit for assessment. A uni or bilateral transplantation will be decided based on the characteristics of the patient and the experience of each center. The post-transplant survival of recipients with IPF is lower than that observed in other diseases, such as cystic fibrosis or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease as a consequence of their older age and the frequent presence of associated comorbidity. Post-transplant follow-up must be tight in order to assure optimal level of immunosuppressive treatment, detect complications associated with it, and avoid graft rejection. The main cause of long-term mortality is late graft dysfunction as a consequence of chronic rejection. Other complications, such as infections and tumors, must be considered.

Acute Exacerbation and Decline in Forced Vital Capacity Are Associated with Increased Mortality in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

RATIONALE

Exploration of FVC as it relates to mortality in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), a chronic, progressive, and ultimately fatal parenchymal lung disease, is important both clinically and to the current drug development paradigm. We evaluated the association between FVC decline and mortality in what is to our knowledge the largest well-characterized placebo cohort to date. Additionally, we sought to explore the risk of death caused by acute exacerbations and to further validate previously identified baseline predictors of mortality.

OBJECTIVES

To validate and further characterize FVC decline, acute exacerbations, and previously identified baseline predictors as they relate to risk of death.

METHODS

A total of 1,132 placebo subjects from six studies used for the clinical development of nintedanib and pirfenidone for the treatment of IPF were included in the present analysis. Deaths were captured as all-cause mortality. A stratified Cox proportional hazards model was used to test the association between baseline predictors, decline in FVC % predicted from baseline, acute exacerbations, and death. Decline in FVC % predicted and exacerbations were treated as time-varying covariates.

RESULTS

Subjects were followed for a mean of 60 weeks. At baseline, age, smoking status, lower FVC % predicted, and lower diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide % predicted were associated with an increased risk of death. The risk of death was also increased for subjects having one or more exacerbations with a hazard ratio (HR) of 10.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.7-18.7). Compared with an FVC % predicted absolute decline from baseline at any time during the study of less than 5%, a decline greater than or equal to 10% to less than 15% was associated with an increased risk of death, with an HR of 2.2 (95% CI, 1.1-4.4), as was a decline greater than or equal to 15%, which was estimated with an HR of 6.1 (95% CI, 3.1-11.8). A decline ranging from greater than or equal to 5% to less than 10% was not associated with increased mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analyses validate the importance of baseline FVC, diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide, age, and smoking status as predictors of mortality and strengthen the association between decline in FVC and exacerbations with death, verifying a decline in FVC as an appropriate endpoint in IPF drug development. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT00514683, NCT01335464, NCT01335477, NCT00287729, NCT00287716, and NCT01366209).

Comparison of CPI and GAP models in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a nationwide cohort study

The clinical course of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is difficult to predict, partly owing to its heterogeneity. Composite physiologic index (CPI) and gender-age-physiology (GAP) models are easy-to-use predictors of IPF progression. This study aimed to compare the predictive values of these two models. From 2003 to 2007, the Korean Interstitial Lung Disease (ILD) Study Group surveyed ILD patients using the 2002 ATS/ERS criteria. A total of 832 patients with IPF were enrolled in this study. CPI was calculated as follows: 91.0 − (0.65 × %DL_CO) − [0.53 × %FVC + [0.34 × %FEV₁. GAP stage was calculated based on gender (0–1 points), age (0–2 points), and two physiologic lung function parameters (0–5 points). The two models had similar significant predictive values for patients with IPF (p < 0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) was higher for CPI than GAP for prediction of 1-, 2-, and 3-year mortality in this study. The AUC was higher for surgically diagnosed IPF patients than for clinically diagnosed patients. However, neither CPI nor GAP yielded good predictions of outcomes; the AUC was approximately 0.61~0.65. Although both CPI and GAP stage are significantly useful predictors for IPF, they have limited capability to accurately predict outcomes.

Disease progression in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis with mild physiological impairment: analysis from the Australian IPF registry

Background

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive and fatal fibrosing lung disease of unknown cause. The advent of anti-fibrotic medications known to slow disease progression has revolutionised IPF management in recent years. However, little is known about the natural history of IPF patients with mild physiological impairment. We aimed to assess the natural history of these patients using data from the Australian IPF Registry (AIPFR).

Methods

Using our cohort of real-world IPF patients, we compared FVC criteria for mild physiological impairment (FVC ≥ 80%) against other proposed criteria: DLco ≥ 55%; CPI ≤40 and GAP stage 1 with regards agreement in classification and relationship with disease outcomes. Within the mild cohort (FVC ≥ 80%), we also explored markers associated with poorer prognosis at 12 months.

Results

Of the 416 AIPFR patients (mean age 70.4 years, 70% male), 216 (52%) were classified as ‘mild’ using FVC ≥ 80%. There was only modest agreement between FVC and DLco (k = 0.30), with better agreement with GAP (k = 0.50) and CPI (k = 0.48). Patients who were mild had longer survival, regardless of how mild physiologic impairment was defined. There was, however, no difference in the annual decline in FVC% predicted between mild and moderate-severe groups (for all proposed criteria). For patients with mild impairment (n = 216, FVC ≥ 80%), the strongest predictor of outcomes at 12 months was oxygen desaturation on a 6 min walk test.

Conclusion

IPF patients with mild physiological impairment have better survival than patients with moderate-severe disease. Their overall rate of disease progression however, is comparable, suggesting that they are simply at different points in the natural history of IPF disease.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12890-018-0575-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Pulmonary 18F-FDG uptake helps refine current risk stratification in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF)

Purpose

There is a lack of prognostic biomarkers in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients. The objective of this study is to investigate the potential of ¹⁸F-FDG-PET/ CT to predict mortality in IPF.

Methods

A total of 113 IPF patients (93 males, 20 females, mean age ± SD: 70 ± 9 years) were prospectively recruited for ¹⁸F-FDG-PET/CT. The overall maximum pulmonary uptake of ¹⁸F-FDG (SUV_max), the minimum pulmonary uptake or background lung activity (SUV_min), and target-to-background (SUV_max/ SUV_min) ratio (TBR) were quantified using routine region-of-interest analysis. Kaplan–Meier analysis was used to identify associations of PET measurements with mortality. We also compared PET associations with IPF mortality with the established GAP (gender age and physiology) scoring system. Cox analysis assessed the independence of the significant PET measurement(s) from GAP score. We investigated synergisms between pulmonary ¹⁸F-FDG-PET measurements and GAP score for risk stratification in IPF patients.

Results

During a mean follow-up of 29 months, there were 54 deaths. The mean TBR ± SD was 5.6 ± 2.7. Mortality was associated with high pulmonary TBR (p = 0.009), low forced vital capacity (FVC; p = 0.001), low transfer factor (TLCO; p < 0.001), high GAP index (p = 0.003), and high GAP stage (p = 0.003). Stepwise forward-Wald–Cox analysis revealed that the pulmonary TBR was independent of GAP classification (p = 0.010). The median survival in IPF patients with a TBR < 4.9 was 71 months, whilst in those with TBR > 4.9 was 24 months. Combining PET data with GAP data (“PET modified GAP score”) refined the ability to predict mortality.

Conclusions

A high pulmonary TBR is independently associated with increased risk of mortality in IPF patients.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00259-017-3917-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Recipient selection process and listing for lung transplantation

Lung transplantation remains the ultimate treatment option for selected patients with end-stage (cardio) pulmonary disease. Given the current organ shortage, it is without any doubt that careful selection of potential transplant candidates is essential as this may greatly influence survival after the procedure. In this paper, we will review the current guidelines for referral and listing of lung transplant candidates in general, and in more depth for the specific underlying diseases. Needless to state that these are not absolute guidelines, and that decisions depend upon center's activity, waiting list, etc. Therefore, every patient should be discussed with the transplant center before any definite decision is made to accept or decline a patient for lung transplantation.

Densitometric and local histogram based analysis of computed tomography images in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Prior studies of clinical prognostication in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) using computed tomography (CT) have often used subjective analyses or have evaluated quantitative measures in isolation. This study examined associations between both densitometric and local histogram based quantitative CT measurements with pulmonary function test (PFT) parameters and mortality. In addition, this study sought to compare risk prediction scores that incorporate quantitative CT measures with previously described systems.

METHODS

Forty six patients with biopsy proven IPF were identified from a registry of patients with interstitial lung disease at Brigham and Women's Hospital in Boston, MA. CT scans for each subject were visually scored using a previously published method. After a semi-automated method was used to segment the lungs from the surrounding tissue, densitometric measurements including the percent high attenuating area, mean lung density, skewness and kurtosis were made for the entirety of each patient's lungs. A separate, automated tool was used to detect and quantify the percent of lung occupied by interstitial lung features. These analyses were used to create clinical and quantitative CT based risk prediction scores, and the performance of these was compared to the performance of clinical and visual analysis based methods.

RESULTS

All of the densitometric measures were correlated with forced vital capacity and diffusing capacity, as were the total amount of interstitial change and the percentage of interstitial change that was honeycombing measured using the local histogram method. Higher percent high attenuating area, higher mean lung density, lower skewness, lower kurtosis and a higher percentage of honeycombing were associated with worse transplant free survival. The quantitative CT based risk prediction scores performed similarly to the clinical and visual analysis based methods.

CONCLUSIONS

Both densitometric and feature based quantitative CT measures correlate with pulmonary function test measures and are associated with transplant free survival. These objective measures may be useful for identifying high risk patients and monitoring disease progression. Further work will be needed to validate these measures and the quantitative imaging based risk prediction scores in other cohorts.

Baseline characteristics of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: analysis from the Australian Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Registry

7The prevalence of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), a fatal and progressive lung disease, is estimated at 1.25-63 out of 100 000, making large population studies difficult. Recently, the need for large longitudinal registries to study IPF has been recognised.The Australian IPF Registry (AIPFR) is a national registry collating comprehensive longitudinal data of IPF patients across Australia. We explored the characteristics of this IPF cohort and the effect of demographic and physiological parameters and specific management on mortality.Participants in the AIPFR (n=647, mean age 70.9±8.5 years, 67.7% male, median follow up 2 years, range 6 months-4.5 years) displayed a wide range of age, disease severity and co-morbidities that is not present in clinical trial cohorts. The cumulative mortality rate in year one, two, three and four was 5%, 24%, 37% and 44% respectively. Baseline lung function (forced vital capacity, diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide, composite physiological index) and GAP (gender, age, physiology) stage (hazard ratio 4.64, 95% CI 3.33-6.47, p<0.001) were strong predictors of mortality. Patients receiving anti-fibrotic medications had better survival (hazard ratio 0.56, 95% CI 0.34-0.92, p=0.022) than those not on anti-fibrotic medications, independent of underlying disease severity.The AIPFR provides important insights into the understanding of the natural history and clinical management of IPF.

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and the Elderly: Diagnosis and Management Considerations

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a severe and progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease, which ultimately results in respiratory failure and death. The median age at diagnosis is 66 years, and the incidence increases with age, making this a disease that predominantly affects the elderly population. IPF can often be difficult to diagnose, as its symptoms--cough, dyspnoea and fatigue--are non-specific and can often be attributed to co-morbidities such as heart failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Making an accurate diagnosis of IPF is imperative, as new treatments that appear to slow the progression of IPF have recently become available. Pirfenidone and nintedanib are two such treatments, which have shown efficacy in randomised controlled trials. As with all new treatments, caution must be advocated in the elderly, as these patients often lie outside the narrow clinical trial cohorts that are studied, and the benefits of therapy must be weighed against potential toxicities. Both medications, while relatively safe, have been associated with adverse effects, particularly gastrointestinal symptoms such as nausea, diarrhoea and anorexia. In this review, we highlight measures to improve recognition and accurate diagnosis of IPF, as well as co-morbidities that often affect the diagnosis and disease course. The gold standard for IPF diagnosis is a multidisciplinary meeting whereby clinicians, radiologists and histopathologists reach a consensus after interactive discussion. In many cases, a lung biopsy may not be available because of high risk or patient choice, particularly in the elderly. In these cases, there is debate as to whether a biopsy is required, given the high rates of IPF in patients over the age of 70 years with interstitial changes on computed tomography. We also discuss the management of IPF, drawing particular attention to specific issues affecting the elderly population, especially with regard to polypharmacy and end-of-life care. Through this article, we endeavour to improve awareness of this devastating disease and thus improve recognition of the disease and its outcomes in elderly patients.

Predicting survival of patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis using GAP score: a nationwide cohort study

Background

The clinical course of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) varies widely. Although the GAP model is useful for predicting mortality, survivals have not yet been validated for each GAP score. We aimed to elucidate how prognosis is related to GAP score and GAP stage in IPF patients.

Methods

The Korean Interstitial Lung Disease Study Group conducted a national survey to evaluate various characteristics in IPF patients from 2003 to 2007. Patients were diagnosed according to the 2002 criteria of the ATS/ERS. We enrolled 1,685 patients with IPF; 1,262 had undergone DL_CO measurement. Patients were stratified based on GAP score (0–7): GAP score Group 0 (n = 26), Group 1 (n = 150), Group 2 (n = 208), Group 3 (n = 376), Group 4 (n = 317), Group 5 (n = 138), Group 6 (n = 39), and Group 7 (n = 8).

Results

Higher GAP score and GAP stage were associated with a poorer prognosis (p < 0.001, respectively). Survival time in Group 3 was lower than those in Groups 1 and 2 (p = 0.043 and p = 0.039, respectively), and higher than those in groups 4, 5, and 6 (p = 0.043, p = 0.032, and p = 0.003, respectively). Gender, age, and DL_CO (%) differed significantly between Groups 2 and 3. All four variables in the GAP model differed significantly between Groups 3 and 4.

Conclusion

The GAP system showed significant predictive ability for mortality in IPF patients. However, prognosis in IPF patients with a GAP score of 3 were significantly different from those in the other stage I groups and stage II groups of Asian patients.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12931-016-0454-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Functional improvement in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis undergoing single lung transplantation

Objective:

To evaluate the changes in lung function in the first year after single lung transplantation in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF).

Methods:

We retrospectively evaluated patients with IPF who underwent single lung transplantation between January of 2006 and December of 2012, reviewing the changes in the lung function occurring during the first year after the procedure.

Results:

Of the 218 patients undergoing lung transplantation during the study period, 79 (36.2%) had IPF. Of those 79 patients, 24 (30%) died, and 11 (14%) did not undergo spirometry at the end of the first year. Of the 44 patients included in the study, 29 (66%) were men. The mean age of the patients was 57 years. Before transplantation, mean FVC, FEV₁, and FEV₁/FVC ratio were 1.78 L (50% of predicted), 1.48 L (52% of predicted), and 83%, respectively. In the first month after transplantation, there was a mean increase of 12% in FVC (400 mL) and FEV₁ (350 mL). In the third month after transplantation, there were additional increases, of 5% (170 mL) in FVC and 1% (50 mL) in FEV₁. At the end of the first year, the functional improvement persisted, with a mean gain of 19% (620 mL) in FVC and 16% (430 mL) in FEV₁.

Conclusions:

Single lung transplantation in IPF patients who survive for at least one year provides significant and progressive benefits in lung function during the first year. This procedure is an important therapeutic alternative in the management of IPF.

Prognostic scoring systems for clinical course and survival in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is the most common and rapidly fatal among idiopathic interstitial pneumonias. Its clinical course is variable. A significant fraction of the population of patients display a slow disease course and can remain stable for years, while other patients show a rapid progressive course and may die within few months from diagnosis. For these reasons estimating prognosis of IPF patients is extremely difficult and has important clinical repercussions on optimal patients management including patients referral for lung transplantation. Several studies have tried to address this key point in the course of the two last decades analyzing different clinical, functional, radiological and biological variables. The purpose of this review is to assess relevant studies published on this subject and to examine the variety of prognostic predictors proposed along with staging systems.

Efficacy of pirfenidone and disease severity of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: Extended analysis of phase III trial in Japan

BACKGROUND

A phase III clinical trial of pirfenidone in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) in Japan has revealed that pirfenidone attenuated the decline in vital capacity (VC) and improved progression-free survival (PFS). We conducted an extended analysis of the pirfenidone trial to investigate its efficacy with respect to IPF severity in the trial population.

METHODS

Patients in the phase III trial were stratified by baseline pulmonary functions including %VC predicted, %diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide predicted, and oxygen saturation by pulse oximetry on exertion and were categorized into mild, moderate, and severe groups of functional impairment. The efficacy of pirfenidone for VC and PFS over 52 weeks was compared among the three sub-populations.

RESULTS

Of 264 patients, 102 (39%), 90 (34%), and 72 patients (27%) were classified as having mild, moderate, and severe grades of functional impairment, respectively. This classification was associated with arterial oxygen partial pressure at rest and degree of dyspnea at baseline. While pirfenidone attenuated VC decline at all grades of severity, covariance analysis revealed pirfenidone to have better efficacy in the sub-population with mild-grade IPF. Mixed model repeated measures analysis confirmed that pirfenidone markedly attenuated VC decline in patients with mild-grade IPF compared to its effects in patients with moderate or severe IPF. Pirfenidone also improved PFS markedly in patients with mild-grade IPF.

CONCLUSION

This extended analysis suggested that pirfenidone exerted better therapeutic effects in patients with milder IPF. Further analysis with a larger population is needed to confirm these results.

Relationship between fibroblastic foci profusion and high resolution CT morphology in fibrotic lung disease

BACKGROUND

Fibroblastic foci profusion on histopathology and severity of traction bronchiectasis on highresolution computed tomography (HRCT) have been shown to be predictors of mortality in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between fibroblastic foci (FF) profusion and HRCT patterns in patients with a histopathologic diagnosis of usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP), fibrotic non-specific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP) and chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis (CHP).

METHODS

The HRCT scans of 162 patients with a histopathologic diagnosis of UIP or fibrotic NSIP (n = 162) were scored on extent of groundglass opacification, reticulation, honeycombing, emphysema and severity of traction bronchiectasis. For each patient, a fibroblastic foci profusion score based on histopathologic appearances was assigned. Relationships between extent of fibroblastic foci and individual HRCT patterns were investigated using univariate correlation analysis and multivariate linear regression.

RESULTS

Increasing extent of reticulation (P < 0.0001) and increasing severity of traction bronchiectasis (P < 0.0001) were independently associated with increasing FF score within the entire cohort. Within individual multidisciplinary team diagnosis subgroups, the only significant independent association with FF score was severity of traction bronchiectasis in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF)/UIP (n = 66, r(2) = 0.19, P < 0.0001) and patients with chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis (CHP) (n = 49, r(2) = 0.45, P < 0.0001). Furthermore, FF score had the strongest association with severity of traction bronchiectasis in patients with IPF (r(2) = 0.34, P < 0.0001) and CHP (r(2) = 0.35, P < 0.0001). There was no correlation between FF score and severity of traction bronchiectasis in patients with fibrotic NSIP. Global disease extent had the strongest association with severity of traction bronchiectasis in patients with fibrotic NSIP (r(2) = 0.58, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

In patients with fibrotic lung disease, profusion of fibroblastic foci is strikingly related to the severity of traction bronchiectasis, particularly in IPF and CHP. This may explain the growing evidence that traction bronchiectasis is a predictor of mortality in several fibrotic lung diseases.

Prognostic Value of Dual-Time-Point 18F-FDG PET for Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

The aim of this prospective study was to clarify whether dual-time-point (18)F-FDG PET imaging results are useful to predict long-term survival of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients.

METHODS

Fifty IPF patients underwent (18)F-FDG PET examinations at 2 time points: 60 min (early imaging) and 180 min (delayed imaging) after (18)F-FDG injection. The standardized uptake value (SUV) at each point and retention index value (RI-SUV) calculated from those were evaluated, and then the results were compared with overall and progression-free survival.

RESULTS

A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model showed higher RI-SUV and higher extent of fibrosis score as independent predictors of shorter progression-free survival. The median progression-free survival for patients with negative RI-SUV was better than that for those with positive RI-SUV (27.9 vs. 13.3 mo, P = 0.0002). On the other hand, multivariate Cox analysis showed higher RI-SUV and lower forced vital capacity to be independent predictors of shorter overall survival. The 5-y survival rate for patients with negative RI-SUV was better than that for those with positive RI-SUV (76.8% vs. 14.3%, P = 0.00001). In addition, a univariate Cox model showed that positive RI-SUV as a binary variable was a significant indicator of mortality (hazard ratio, 7.31; 95% confidence interval, 2.64-20.3; P = 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrate that positive RI-SUV is strongly predictive of earlier deterioration of pulmonary function and higher mortality in patients with IPF.

Management of Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients with Interstitial Lung Disease: Safety of Biological Antirheumatic Drugs and Assessment of Pulmonary Fibrosis

Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is one of the major causes of morbidity and mortality of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Accompanying the increased number of reports on the development or exacerbation of ILD in RA patients following therapy with biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs), RA-associated ILD (RA-ILD) has aroused renewed interest. Although such cases have been reported mainly in association with the use of tumor necrosis factor inhibitors, the use of other biological DMARDs has also become a matter of concern. Nevertheless, it is difficult to establish a causative relationship between the use of biological DMARDs and either the development or exacerbation of ILD. Such pulmonary complications may occur in the natural course of RA regardless of the use of biological DMARDs. Since rheumatologists currently aim to achieve remission in RA patients, the administration of biological DMARDs is increasing, even for those with RA-ILD. However, there are no reliable, evidence-based guidelines for deciding whether biological DMARDs can be safely introduced and continued in RA-ILD patients. A standardized staging system for pulmonary conditions of RA-ILD patients is needed when making therapeutic decisions at baseline and monitoring during biological DMARD therapy. Based on the available information regarding the safety of biological DMARDs and the predictive factors for a worse prognosis, this review discusses candidate parameters for risk evaluation of ILD in RA patients who are scheduled to receive biological antirheumatic therapy.

Agreement and mortality prediction in high-resolution CT of diffuse fibrotic lung disease

INTRODUCTION

The prognosis of diffuse fibrotic lung disease (DFLD) is known to be variable, but there is a paucity of literature on prognostic markers independent of precise clinical diagnosis. This study aimed to assess the mortality prediction of three high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) scores in a heterogeneous population of patients with DFLD. A large radiologist and physician reader group was used to determine agreement among readers of varying background in applying these scores.

METHODS

Institutional review board approval was obtained. Informed consent was waived for this retrospective study. Eighty HRCTs in 68 patients with DFLD (35 men, mean age 72.9 years) were evaluated retrospectively by 18 readers. Readers included thoracic and general radiologists, respiratory physicians and radiology trainees. Features scored were honeycombing, extent of disease and traction bronchiectasis. Demographics, diagnosis and pulmonary function data were collected. Patients were categorised as having either idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, fibrosis relating to connective tissue disease, 'miscellaneous' DFLD or 'undefined', where no single entity was felt entirely or confidently to explain the pulmonary disease. Agreement was assessed using the kappa statistic. Associations with mortality were analysed using the Cox marginal model.

RESULTS

Agreement was better for honeycombing (kappa = 0.44) and disease extent (kappa = 0.47) than traction bronchiectasis (kappa = 0.24). Honeycombing presence (P < 0.0005) and disease extent >30% (P = 0.002) predicted increased mortality independent of clinical diagnosis. Traction bronchiectasis was non-predictive. Clinical diagnosis was not an independent predictor, but age was independently associated with mortality (P = 0.004). Pulmonary function data were only available for 43 patients, but in a limited subanalysis, the diffusion capacity of carbon monoxide was independently predictive of increased mortality (P = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of honeycombing and a greater extent of fibrotic lung disease predict increased mortality independent of clinical diagnosis. Our large, mixed-expertise reader group shows moderate interobserver agreement, comparable with agreement values for these scores in the literature.

Clinical findings and outcomes in patients with possible usual interstitial pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Patients with possible usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) constitute a substantial group, and their clinical characteristics and outcomes are not well defined. We compared the clinical characteristics and survival between patients with possible UIP and the UIP pattern.

METHODS

We evaluated 62 patients with possible UIP and 544 patients with the UIP pattern. Both groups were diagnosed by clinical characteristics and high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) findings. Two radiologists performed radiological evaluation based on the new idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) guidelines. Two risk-stratification methods were used to compare UIP pattern and possible UIP patients.

RESULTS

The groups had similar demographic and clinical characteristics. Pulmonary function tests revealed no significant differences in lung volumes between the 2 groups. However, DLCO was significantly lower with the UIP pattern than with possible UIP (p = 0.004). Multivariate analysis showed age, sex, and carbon monoxide diffusing capacity (DLCO) as important independent variables for survival. The UIP HRCT pattern did not affect survival (hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% confidence interval, 0.51-1.24; p = 0.32). Possible UIP was not associated with prognosis when independent predictors for survival rate and propensity score were considered. In the case-control study, the 3-year survival rate was 44.6% in the UIP pattern group and 56.8% in the possible UIP group (p = 0.16).

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical characteristics and outcomes were similar in possible UIP and UIP patients, except for differences in DLCO. The UIP pattern itself did not affect survival.

Outcome Measures for Clinical Trials in Interstitial Lung Diseases

The chronic fibrosing idiopathic interstitial pneumonias (IIPs) are a group of heterogeneous pulmonary parenchymal disorders described by radiologic and histological patterns termed usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) and non-specific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP). These include idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and those related to connective tissue disease (CTD) and are associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Beyond the importance of establishing an appropriate diagnosis, designing optimal clinical trials for IIPs has been fraught with difficulties in consistency of clinical endpoints making power analyses, and the establishment of efficacy and interpretation of results across trials challenging. Preliminary recommendations, developed by rigorous consensus methods, proposed a minimum set of outcome measures, a 'core set', to be incorporated into future clinical trials (Saketkoo et al, THORAX. 2014.). This paper sets out to examine the candidate instruments for each domain (Dyspnea, Cough, Health Related Quality of Life, Imaging, Lung Physiology and Function, Mortality). Candidate measures that were not selected as well as measures that were not available for examination at the time of the consensus process will also be discussed.