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Craciun OM, Torres MDR, Llanes AB, Romay-Barja M. Tuberculosis Knowledge, Attitudes, and Practice in Middle- and Low-Income Countries: A Systematic Review. J Trop Med 2023; 2023:1014666. [PMID: 37398546 PMCID: PMC10314818 DOI: 10.1155/2023/1014666] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2022] [Revised: 03/22/2023] [Accepted: 06/16/2023] [Indexed: 07/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Tuberculosis (TB) is the leading cause of death from an infectious agent in the world. Most tuberculosis cases are concentrated in low- and middle-income countries. The aim of this study is to better understand tuberculosis-related knowledge about TB disease, prevention, treatment and sources of information, attitudes towards TB patients and their stigmatization and prevention, diagnosis and treatment practices in the general population of middle- and low-income countries, with a high tuberculosis burden, and provide evidence for policy development and decision-making. A systematic review of 30 studies was performed. Studies reporting on knowledge, attitudes, and practices surveys were selected for systematic review through database searching. Population knowledge about TB signs and symptoms, prevention practices, and treatment means was found inadequate. Stigmatization is frequent, and the reactions to possible diagnoses are negative. Access to health services is limited due to difficulties in transportation, distance, and economic cost. Deficiencies in knowledge and TB health-seeking practices were present regardless of the living area, gender, or country; however, it seems that there is a frequent association between less knowledge about TB and a lower socioeconomic and educational level. This study revealed gaps in knowledge, attitude, and practices in focused in middle- and low-income countries. Policymakers could take into account the evidence provided by the KAP surveys and adapt their strategies based on the identified gaps, promoting innovative approaches and empowering the communities as key stakeholders. It is necessary to develop education programs on symptoms, preventive practices, and treatment for TB, to reduce transmission and stigmatization. It becomes also necessary to provide communities with innovative healthcare solutions to reduce their barriers to access to diagnosis and treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Malen del Rosario Torres
- National Centre of Tropical Medicine, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
- Andrés Isola Hospital, Puerto Madryn, Chubut, Argentina
| | - Agustín Benito Llanes
- National Centre of Tropical Medicine, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Infecciosas (CIBERINFEC), Madrid, Spain
| | - María Romay-Barja
- National Centre of Tropical Medicine, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Infecciosas (CIBERINFEC), Madrid, Spain
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Accuracy and Incremental Yield of the Chest X-Ray in Screening for Tuberculosis in Uganda: A Cross-Sectional Study. Tuberc Res Treat 2021; 2021:6622809. [PMID: 33828862 PMCID: PMC8004368 DOI: 10.1155/2021/6622809] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/27/2020] [Revised: 03/02/2021] [Accepted: 03/08/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
The WHO END TB strategy requires ≥90% case detection to combat tuberculosis (TB). Increased TB case detection requires a more sensitive and specific screening tool. Currently, the symptoms recommended for screening TB have been found to be suboptimal since up to 44% of individuals with TB are asymptomatic. The chest X-ray (CXR) as a screening tool for pulmonary TB was evaluated in this study, as well as its incremental yield in TB diagnosis using a cross-sectional study involving secondary analysis of data of 4512 consented/assented participants ≥15 years who participated in the Uganda National TB prevalence survey between 2014 and 2015. Participants with a cough ≥2 weeks, fever, weight loss, and night sweats screened positive for TB using the symptoms screening method, while participants with a TB defining abnormality on CXR screened positive for TB by the CXR screening method. The Löwenstein-Jensen (LJ) culture was used as a gold standard for TB diagnosis. The CXR had 93% sensitivity and 65% specificity compared to LJ culture results, while symptoms had 76% sensitivity and 31% specificity. The screening algorithm involving the CXR in addition to symptoms led to a 38% increment in the yield of diagnosed tuberculosis. The number needed to screen using the CXR and symptoms screening algorithm was 32 compared to 45 when the symptoms are used alone. Therefore, the CXR in combination with symptoms is a good TB screening tool and increases the yield of diagnosed TB.
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Ohene SA, Bonsu F, Hanson-Nortey NN, Toonstra A, Sackey A, Lonnroth K, Uplekar M, Danso S, Mensah G, Afutu F, Klatser P, Bakker M. Provider initiated tuberculosis case finding in outpatient departments of health care facilities in Ghana: yield by screening strategy and target group. BMC Infect Dis 2017; 17:739. [PMID: 29191155 PMCID: PMC5709967 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-017-2843-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2016] [Accepted: 11/21/2017] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Meticulous identification and investigation of patients presenting with tuberculosis (TB) suggestive symptoms rarely happen in crowded outpatient departments (OPDs). Making health providers in OPDs diligently follow screening procedures may help increase TB case detection. From July 2010 to December 2013, two symptom based TB screening approaches of varying cough duration were used to screen and test for TB among general outpatients, PLHIV, diabetics and contacts in Accra, Ghana. Methods This study was a retrospective analysis comparing the yield of TB cases using two different screening approaches, allocated to selected public health facilities. In the first approach, the conventional 2 weeks cough duration with or without other TB suggestive symptoms was the criterion to test for TB in attendants of 7 general OPDs. In the second approach the screening criteria cough of >24 hours, as well as a history of at least one of the following symptoms: fever, weight loss and drenching night sweats were used to screen and test for TB among attendants of 3 general OPDs, 7 HIV clinics and 2 diabetes clinics. Contact investigation was initiated for index TB patients. The facilities documented the number of patients verbally screened, with presumptive TB, tested using smear microscopy and those diagnosed with TB in order to calculate the yield and number needed to screen (NNS) to find one TB case. Case notification trends in Accra were compared to those of a control area. Results In the approach using >24-hour cough, significantly more presumptive TB cases were identified among outpatients (0.82% versus 0.63%), more were tested (90.1% versus 86.7%), but less smear positive patients were identified among those tested (8.0% versus 9.4%). Overall, all forms of TB cases identified per 100,000 screened were significantly higher in the >24-hour cough approach at OPD (92.7 for cough >24 hour versus 82.7 for cough >2 weeks ), and even higher in diabetics (364), among contacts (693) and PLHIV (995). NNS (95% Confidence Interval) varied from 100 (93-109) for PLHIV, 144 (112-202) for contacts, 275 (197-451) for diabetics and 1144 (1101-1190) for OPD attendants. About 80% of the TB cases were detected in general OPDs. Despite the intervention, notifications trends were similar in the intervention and control areas. Conclusion The >24-hour cough approach yielded more TB cases though required TB testing for a larger number of patients. The yield of TB cases per 100,000 population screened was highest among PLHIV, contacts, and diabetics, but the majority of cases were detected in general OPDs. The intervention had no discernible impact on general case notification.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sally-Ann Ohene
- World Health Organization Country Office, 29 Volta Street Airport, Airport Residential Area, P.O. Box MB 142, Accra, Ghana.
| | - Frank Bonsu
- National Tuberculosis Control Program, Accra, Ghana
| | | | - Ardon Toonstra
- KIT Health, Royal Tropical Institute (KIT), Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | | | | | | | - Samuel Danso
- National Tuberculosis Control Program, Accra, Ghana
| | | | - Felix Afutu
- National Tuberculosis Control Program, Accra, Ghana
| | - Paul Klatser
- Department of Global Health, Academic Medical Centre, Amsterdam Institute of Global Health and Development, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Mirjam Bakker
- KIT Health, Royal Tropical Institute (KIT), Amsterdam, The Netherlands
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Kantar A, Chang AB, Shields MD, Marchant JM, Grimwood K, Grigg J, Priftis KN, Cutrera R, Midulla F, Brand PLP, Everard ML. ERS statement on protracted bacterial bronchitis in children. Eur Respir J 2017; 50:50/2/1602139. [PMID: 28838975 DOI: 10.1183/13993003.02139-2016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 104] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2016] [Accepted: 03/01/2017] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
This European Respiratory Society statement provides a comprehensive overview on protracted bacterial bronchitis (PBB) in children. A task force of experts, consisting of clinicians from Europe and Australia who manage children with PBB determined the overall scope of this statement through consensus. Systematic reviews addressing key questions were undertaken, diagrams in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement constructed and findings of relevant studies summarised. The final content of this statement was agreed upon by all members.The current knowledge regarding PBB is presented, including the definition, microbiology data, known pathobiology, bronchoalveolar lavage findings and treatment strategies to manage these children. Evidence for the definition of PBB was sought specifically and presented. In addition, the task force identified several major clinical areas in PBB requiring further research, including collecting more prospective data to better identify the disease burden within the community, determining its natural history, a better understanding of the underlying disease mechanisms and how to optimise its treatment, with a particular requirement for randomised controlled trials to be conducted in primary care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ahmad Kantar
- Pediatric Asthma and Cough Centre, Istituti Ospedalieri Bergamaschi, University and Research Hospitals, Bergamo, Italy .,Both authors contributed equally
| | - Anne B Chang
- Dept of Respiratory and Sleep Medicine, Lady Cilento Children's Hospital, Brisbane, Australia.,Centre for Children's Health Research, Institute of Health & Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia.,Child Health Division, Menzies School of Health Research, Charles Darwin University, Casuarina, Australia.,Both authors contributed equally
| | - Mike D Shields
- Dept of Child Health, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Julie M Marchant
- Dept of Respiratory and Sleep Medicine, Lady Cilento Children's Hospital, Brisbane, Australia.,Centre for Children's Health Research, Institute of Health & Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia
| | - Keith Grimwood
- Menzies Health Institute Queensland, Griffith University and Gold Coast Health, Gold Coast, Australia
| | - Jonathan Grigg
- Blizard Institute, Queen Mary University London, London, UK
| | - Kostas N Priftis
- Third Dept of Paediatrics, University General Hospital Attikon, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Renato Cutrera
- Respiratory Unit, University Dept of Pediatrics, Bambino Gesu' Children's Research Hospital, Rome, Italy
| | - Fabio Midulla
- Dept of Pediatrics and Infantile Neuropsychiatry, "Sapienza" University of Rome, Rome, Italy
| | - Paul L P Brand
- Isala Women and Children's Hospital, Zwolle, the Netherlands
| | - Mark L Everard
- School of Pediatrics and Child Health, University of Western Australia, Princess Margaret Hospital, Subiaco, Australia
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Yuen CM, Amanullah F, Dharmadhikari A, Nardell EA, Seddon JA, Vasilyeva I, Zhao Y, Keshavjee S, Becerra MC. Turning off the tap: stopping tuberculosis transmission through active case-finding and prompt effective treatment. Lancet 2015; 386:2334-43. [PMID: 26515675 PMCID: PMC7138065 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(15)00322-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 121] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/24/2023]
Abstract
To halt the global tuberculosis epidemic, transmission must be stopped to prevent new infections and new cases. Identification of individuals with tuberculosis and prompt initiation of effective treatment to rapidly render them non-infectious is crucial to this task. However, in settings of high tuberculosis burden, active case-finding is often not implemented, resulting in long delays in diagnosis and treatment. A range of strategies to find cases and ensure prompt and correct treatment have been shown to be effective in high tuberculosis-burden settings. The population-level effect of targeted active case-finding on reducing tuberculosis incidence has been shown by studies and projected by mathematical modelling. The inclusion of targeted active case-finding in a comprehensive epidemic-control strategy for tuberculosis should contribute substantially to a decrease in tuberculosis incidence.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Yanlin Zhao
- Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
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Factors associated with patient's delay in tuberculosis treatment in Bahir Dar City administration, Northwest Ethiopia. BIOMED RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2014; 2014:701429. [PMID: 24982901 PMCID: PMC4055020 DOI: 10.1155/2014/701429] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2014] [Revised: 05/03/2014] [Accepted: 05/03/2014] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Unknown proportions of tuberculosis cases remain undiagnosed and untreated as result of several factors which further increases the number of tuberculosis cases per index case. OBJECTIVE To identify factors associated with patient's delay in initiating treatment of tuberculosis. Methods. Cross-sectional study was employed from January to April, 2013, in Bahir Dar Ethiopia. A total of 360 patients were included. Data were collected from tuberculosis patients using a semistructured questionnaire. Data were entered and analyzed using SPSS version 16 windows. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with patient delay. RESULTS Of all patients, 211 (62%) sought medical care after the WHO recommended period (21 days). The median patient delays of smear positive, smear negative, and extrapulmonary patients were 27 (IQR: 10-59), 30 (IQR: 9-65), and 31 (IQR: 10-150) days, respectively, with statistically significant variations among them (ANOVA: F = 5.96; P < 0.003). Place of residence and educational status were the predictors of patient delay. CONCLUSION Around two-thirds of all patients and more than half of smear positive tuberculosis patients were delayed in seeking medical care within the recommended period. Provision of DOTS service in the vicinity and health education on TB may reduce patient delay and its consequences.
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Corbett EL, Zezai A, Cheung YB, Bandason T, Dauya E, Munyati SS, Butterworth AE, Rusikaniko S, Churchyard GJ, Mungofa S, Hayes RJ, Mason PR. Provider-initiated symptom screening for tuberculosis in Zimbabwe: diagnostic value and the effect of HIV status. Bull World Health Organ 2010; 88:13-21. [PMID: 20428349 DOI: 10.2471/blt.08.055467] [Citation(s) in RCA: 59] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/07/2008] [Revised: 02/18/2009] [Accepted: 03/05/2009] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To assess the diagnostic value of provider-initiated symptom screening for tuberculosis (TB) and how HIV status affects it. METHODS We performed a secondary analysis of randomly selected participants in a community-based TB-HIV prevalence survey in Harare, Zimbabwe. All completed a five-symptom questionnaire and underwent sputum TB culture and HIV testing. We calculated the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of various symptoms and used regression analysis to investigate the relationship between symptoms and TB disease. FINDINGS We found one or more symptoms of TB in 21.2% of 1858 HIV-positive (HIV+) and 9.9% of 7121 HIV-negative (HIV-) participants (P < 0.001). TB was subsequently diagnosed in 48 HIV+ and 31 HIV- participants. TB was asymptomatic in 18 culture-positive individuals, 8 of whom (4 in each HIV status group) had positive sputum smears. Cough of any duration, weight loss and, for HIV+ participants only, drenching night sweats were independent predictors of TB. In HIV+ participants, cough of > or = 2 weeks' duration, any symptom and a positive sputum culture had sensitivities of 48%, 81% and 65%, respectively; in HIV- participants, the sensitivities were 45%, 71% and 74%, respectively. Symptoms had a similar sensitivity and specificity in HIV+ and HIV- participants, but in HIV+ participants they had a higher positive and a lower negative predictive value. CONCLUSION Even smear-positive TB may be missed by provider-initiated symptom screening, especially in HIV+ individuals. Symptom screening is useful for ruling out TB, but better TB diagnostics are urgently needed for resource-poor settings.
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Ayles H, Schaap A, Nota A, Sismanidis C, Tembwe R, De Haas P, Muyoyeta M, Beyers N. Prevalence of tuberculosis, HIV and respiratory symptoms in two Zambian communities: implications for tuberculosis control in the era of HIV. PLoS One 2009; 4:e5602. [PMID: 19440346 PMCID: PMC2680044 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0005602] [Citation(s) in RCA: 93] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/10/2009] [Accepted: 04/14/2009] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Stop TB Partnership target for tuberculosis is to have reduced the prevalence of tuberculosis by 50% comparing 2015 to 1990. This target is challenging as few prevalence surveys have been conducted, especially in high burden tuberculosis and HIV countries. Current tuberculosis control strategies in high HIV prevalent settings are therefore based on limited epidemiological evidence and more evidence is needed from community-based surveys to inform improved policy formulation. METHODS AND FINDINGS 8044 adults were sampled from 2 sub-districts (wards) in Lusaka province, Zambia. Questionnaires were used to screen for symptoms, respiratory samples were obtained for culture and oral secretions collected for HIV testing. 79 individuals were found to have Mycobacterium tuberculosis in their sputum, giving an adjusted overall prevalence of tuberculosis of 870/100,000 (95% CI 570-1160/100,000). The adjusted overall prevalence of HIV was 28.61% (95% CI 26.04-31.19). HIV- infection was significantly associated with prevalent tuberculosis (Adj OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.42-3.74) and the population attributable fraction of HIV for prevalent tuberculosis was 36%. Symptoms such as prolonged cough (adj OR 12.72, 95% CI 7.05-22.94) and fever (Adj OR 2.04, 95%CI 1.23-3.39), were associated with prevalent tuberculosis, but 8 (10%) individuals with prevalent tuberculosis denied having any symptoms at all and only 34 (43%) would have been classified as a TB suspect by current guidelines. CONCLUSIONS Undiagnosed tuberculosis is a challenge for tuberculosis control and new approaches are needed if we are to reach international targets. Epidemiological studies can inform screening algorithms for both detection and prevention of active tuberculosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Helen Ayles
- Department of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
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English RG, Bachmann MO, Bateman ED, Zwarenstein MF, Fairall LR, Bheekie A, Majara BP, Lombard C, Scherpbier R, Ottomani SE. Diagnostic accuracy of an integrated respiratory guideline in identifying patients with respiratory symptoms requiring screening for pulmonary tuberculosis: a cross-sectional study. BMC Pulm Med 2006; 6:22. [PMID: 16934140 PMCID: PMC1569870 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2466-6-22] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/12/2006] [Accepted: 08/25/2006] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the integrated Practical Approach to Lung Health in South Africa (PALSA) guideline in identifying patients requiring bacteriological screening for tuberculosis (TB), and to determine which clinical features best predict suspected and bacteriologically-confirmed tuberculosis among patients with respiratory symptoms. Methods A prospective, cross-sectional study in which 1392 adult patients with cough and/or difficult breathing, attending a primary care facility in Cape Town, South Africa, were evaluated by a nurse using the guideline. The accuracy of a nurse using the guideline to identify TB suspects was compared to that of primary care physicians' diagnoses of (1) suspected TB, and (2) proven TB supported by clinical information and chest radiographs. Results The nurse using the guideline identified 516 patients as TB suspects compared with 365 by the primary care physicians, representing a sensitivity of 76% (95% confidence interval (CI) 71%–79%), specificity of 77% (95% CI 74%–79%), positive predictive value of 53% (95% CI 49%–58%), negative predictive value of 90% (95% CI 88%–92%), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ARUC) of 0.76 (95% CI 0.74–0.79). Sputum results were obtained in 320 of the 365 primary care physicians TB suspects (88%); 40 (13%) of these were positive for TB. Only 4 cases were not identified by the nurse using the guideline. The primary care physicians diagnostic accuracy in diagnosing bacteriologically-confirmed TB (n = 320) was as follows: sensitivity 90% (95% CI 76%–97%), specificity 65% (95% CI 63%–68%), negative predictive value 7% (95% CI 5%–10%), positive predictive value 99.5% (95% CI 98.8%–99.8%), and ARUC 0.78 (95% CI 0.73–0.82). Weight loss, pleuritic pain, and night sweats were independently associated with the diagnosis of bacteriologically-confirmed tuberculosis (positive likelihood ratio if all three present = 16.7, 95% CI 5.9–29.4). Conclusion The PALSA guideline is an effective screening tool for identifying patients requiring bacteriological screening for pulmonary tuberculosis in this primary care setting. This supports the randomized trial finding that use of the guideline increased TB case detection.
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Affiliation(s)
- René G English
- Knowledge Translation Unit, University of Cape Town Lung Institute, George Street, Mowbray, 7700, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Max O Bachmann
- Department of Health Policy and Practice, School of Medicine, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR47TJ, UK
| | - Eric D Bateman
- Knowledge Translation Unit, University of Cape Town Lung Institute, George Street, Mowbray, 7700, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Merrick F Zwarenstein
- Knowledge Translation Programme and Department of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Ontaria, M56IV7, Canada
| | - Lara R Fairall
- Knowledge Translation Unit, University of Cape Town Lung Institute, George Street, Mowbray, 7700, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Angeni Bheekie
- School of Pharmacy, University of the Western Cape, Bellville, 7535, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Bosielo P Majara
- Department of Community Health, University of the Free State, Bloemfontein, South Africa
| | - Carl Lombard
- Biostatistics Unit, Medical Research Council, Tygerberg, Cape Town, South Africa
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Murray CJ, Salomon JA. Modeling the impact of global tuberculosis control strategies. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 1998; 95:13881-6. [PMID: 9811895 PMCID: PMC24946 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.95.23.13881] [Citation(s) in RCA: 148] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
An epidemiological model of tuberculosis has been developed and applied to five regions of the world. Globally, 6.7 million new cases of tuberculosis and 2.4 million deaths from tuberculosis are estimated for 1998. Based on current trends in uptake of the World Health Organization's strategy of directly observed treatment, short-course, we expect a total of 225 million new cases and 79 million deaths from tuberculosis between 1998 and 2030. Active case-finding by using mass miniature radiography could save 23 million lives over this period. A single contact treatment for tuberculosis could avert 24 million cases and 11 million deaths; combined with active screening, it could reduce mortality by nearly 40%. A new vaccine with 50% efficacy could lower incidence by 36 million cases and mortality by 9 million deaths. Support for major extensions to global tuberculosis control strategies will occur only if the size of the problem and the potential for action are recognized more widely.
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Affiliation(s)
- C J Murray
- Center for Population and Development Studies, Harvard School of Public Health, 9 Bow Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
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