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Li Y, Zhang Y, Long Y, Bhalla K, Ezzati M. Assessing bicycle safety risks using emerging mobile sensing data. TRAVEL BEHAVIOUR & SOCIETY 2025; 38:100906. [PMID: 39411520 PMCID: PMC7616697 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100906] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2024]
Abstract
The surge in global electric bicycle ownership has exerted immense pressure on bicycle infrastructure. Theoretically, there's a need to reassess the risk factors associated with multiple bike lane users. Based on this, there's a practical need to re-evaluate the safety and quality of outdated infrastructure. This paper aims to reconsider risk factors related to bicycle infrastructure safety in the context of electric bicycles sharing lanes with traditional bicycles. Moreover, many countries lack precise spatial data concerning bicycle infrastructure. This study introduces a mobile sensing method based on bicycles, aiming to acquire daytime and nighttime bike lane datasets in a cost-effective, efficient, and large-scale manner. A computer vision-based bicycle risk factor assessment model was established, and the distribution of bicycle safety risk factors was visually analyzed. Research data was collected from a representative 59.5-kilometer bicycle lane area in Beijing. The results confirm the significant impact of the surge in electric bicycles, with electric bike users accounting for 72.1% of cyclists, 32.3% wearing helmets, and 8.4% riding against traffic. During the day, the highest-ranking risk factors include the type of bicycle lanes (half lacking dedicated lanes or being shared), roadside parking, and subpar road conditions. At night, insufficient street lighting are notable concerns. The research methodology is easily replicable and can be extended to new multi-user coexistence cycling environments or countries without bicycle spatial data, offering insights for bicycle safety policies and road design.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yan Li
- School of Architecture, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
- School of Land Science and Technology, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing, China
| | - Yuyang Zhang
- Department of Urban Planning and Landscape, North China University of Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Ying Long
- School of Architecture and Hang Lung Center for Real Estate, Key Laboratory of Ecological Planning & Green Building, Ministry of Education, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Kavi Bhalla
- Department of Public Health Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, USA
| | - Majid Ezzati
- MRC Centre for Environment and Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
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Prediction of Severe Injury in Bicycle Rider Accidents: A Multicenter Observational Study. Emerg Med Int 2022; 2022:7994866. [PMID: 35669167 PMCID: PMC9167018 DOI: 10.1155/2022/7994866] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2022] [Accepted: 05/09/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction This study aimed to establish a predictive model that includes physiological parameters and identify independent risk factors for severe injuries in bicycle rider accidents. Methods This was a multicenter observational study. For four years, we included patients with bicycle rider injuries in the Emergency Department-Based Injury In-depth Surveillance database. In this study, we regarded ICD admission or in-hospital mortality as parameters of severe trauma. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to assess risk factors for severe trauma. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated to evaluate the performance of the regression model. Results This study included 19,842 patients, of whom 1,202 (6.05%) had severe trauma. In multivariate regression analysis, male sex, older age, alcohol use, motor vehicle opponent, load state (general and crosswalk), blood pressure, heart rate, respiratory rate, and Glasgow Coma Scale were the independent factors for predicting severe trauma. In the ROC analysis, the area under the ROC curve for predicting severe trauma was 0.848 (95% confidence interval: 0.830–0.867). Conclusion We identified independent risk factors for severe trauma in bicycle rider accidents and believe that physiologic parameters contribute to enhancing prediction ability.
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Døving M, Galteland P, Eken T, Sehic A, Utheim TP, Skaga NO, Helseth E, Ramm-Pettersen J. Dentoalveolar injuries, bicycling accidents and helmet use in patients referred to a Norwegian Trauma Centre: A 12-year prospective study. Dent Traumatol 2020; 37:240-246. [PMID: 33220164 DOI: 10.1111/edt.12627] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2020] [Revised: 11/15/2020] [Accepted: 11/17/2020] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND/AIM Despite its many benefits, bicycling carries the risk of accidents. Although numerous studies have reported the effect of helmet use on traumatic brain injury, it remains unclear if, and to what extent, helmet use reduces the risk of facial injuries. This is particularly true in regard to injuries of the lower face. In addition, there is limited evidence of the effect of helmet use on dentoalveolar injuries. Thus, the aim of this study was to determine the frequency and distribution of dentoalveolar injuries in bicycling accidents and to explore the influence of helmet use. MATERIAL AND METHODS A total of 1543 bicyclists were included from the trauma registry of a Norwegian tertiary trauma center over a 12-year period. Data were collected prospectively, including patient characteristics, type of injury, and helmet use. The prevalence of dentoalveolar injuries was assessed in conjunction with helmet use and facial fractures. RESULTS Twenty-five percent of the patients had maxillofacial injuries, and 18% of those with facial fractures exhibited concomitant dentoalveolar injuries. The most common type of dentoalveolar injury was tooth fracture (39%). The most frequent location of facial fractures with combined dentoalveolar injuries was the maxilla, which had fractured in 32 patients. Women had a higher risk of sustaining dentoalveolar injuries compared to men (odds ratio 1.50, 95% confidence interval 1.02-2.22). There were 1257 patients (81%) who had reliable registration of helmet use; 54% of these wore a helmet, while 46% did not. Helmet users had an increased risk of dentoalveolar injuries compared to non-helmeted bicyclists (adjusted odds ratio 1.54, 95% confidence interval 1.02-2.31). CONCLUSIONS Dentoalveolar injuries are fairly common in trauma patients admitted to a trauma center following bicycling accidents. Bicycling helmets are associated with an increased risk of dentoalveolar injuries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mats Døving
- Department of Maxillofacial Surgery, Oslo University Hospital Ullevål, Oslo, Norway
| | - Pål Galteland
- Department of Maxillofacial Surgery, Oslo University Hospital Ullevål, Oslo, Norway
| | - Torsten Eken
- Department of Anaesthesiology, Division of Emergencies and Critical Care, Oslo University Hospital Ullevål, Oslo, Norway.,Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Amer Sehic
- Department of Maxillofacial Surgery, Oslo University Hospital Ullevål, Oslo, Norway.,Department of Oral Biology, Faculty of Dentistry, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Tor Paaske Utheim
- Department of Maxillofacial Surgery, Oslo University Hospital Ullevål, Oslo, Norway.,Department of Oral Biology, Faculty of Dentistry, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Nils Oddvar Skaga
- Department of Anaesthesiology, Division of Emergencies and Critical Care, Oslo University Hospital Ullevål, Oslo, Norway
| | - Eirik Helseth
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.,Department of Neurosurgery, Oslo University Hospital Ullevål, Oslo, Norway
| | - Jon Ramm-Pettersen
- Department of Neurosurgery, Oslo University Hospital Ullevål, Oslo, Norway
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Sivasankaran SK, Balasubramanian V. Applying fast and frugal tree heuristic algorithm to identify factors influencing crash severity of bicycle-vehicle crashes in Tamilnadu. Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot 2020; 27:482-492. [PMID: 32867572 DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2020.1812669] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
Abstract
Though bicycle as a mode of transport has many environmental and societal benefits as well as health benefits, bicyclists are one of the most vulnerable road users. According to the report by the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways (MoRTH, 2017), there is a sharp increase in the number of fatal victims in respect of bicyclists in 2017 over 2016. The number of cyclists killed jumped from 2585 in 2016 to 3559 in 2017, a 37.7% increase. In the present study, we present the analysis of the effect of the crash, geometric, environmental and cyclist characteristics on the bicycle-vehicle involved collisions by using the crash dataset of nine years (2009-2017) from Tamilnadu RADMS (Road Accident Data Management System) database with the application of fast and frugal tree (FFT) heuristic algorithm. The complete dataset (9978 crashes) was divided into two separate datasets: training data (6984 crashes) for the development of model and testing data (2984 crashes) for the performance evaluation. FFT algorithm identifies five major hues or variable attributes that influence the severity of bicycle crashes. The five major hues include the number of lanes, road separation, intersection, colliding vehicle type and road category. From the results of the present study, FFT acts as a complementary tool to other complex machine learning algorithms such as support vector machines, random forest, logistic regression and CART. The findings of the present study provide important insights for reducing the severity of bicycle-involved crashes at the planning and operations levels.
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Ding H, Sze NN, Li H, Guo Y. Roles of infrastructure and land use in bicycle crash exposure and frequency: A case study using Greater London bike sharing data. ACCIDENT; ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION 2020; 144:105652. [PMID: 32559657 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2020.105652] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2019] [Revised: 05/06/2020] [Accepted: 06/11/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Cycling is increasingly promoted as a sustainable transport mode. However, bicyclists are more vulnerable to fatality and severe injury in road crashes, compared to vehicle occupants. It is necessary to identify the contributory factors to crashes and injuries involving bicyclists. For the prediction of motor vehicle crashes, comprehensive traffic count data, i.e. AADT and vehicle kilometer traveled (VKT), are commonly available to proxy the exposure. However, extensive bicycle count data are usually not available. In this study, revealed bicycle trip data of a public bicycle rental system in the Greater London is used to proxy the bicycle crash exposure. Random parameter negative binomial models are developed to measure the relationship between possible risk factors and bicycle crash frequency at the zonal level, based on the crash data in the Greater London in 2012-2013. Results indicate that model taking the bicycle use time as the exposure measure is superior to the other counterparts with the lowest AIC (Akaike information criterion) and BIC (Bayesian information criterion). Bicycle crash frequency is positively correlated to road density, commercial area, proportion of elderly, male and white race, and median household income. Additionally, separate bicycle crash prediction models are developed for different seasons. Effects of the presence of Cycle Superhighway and proportion of green area on bicycle crash frequency can vary across seasons. Findings of this study are indicative to the development of bicycle infrastructures, traffic management and control, and education and enforcement strategies that can enhance the safety awareness of bicyclists and reduce their crash risk in the long run.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hongliang Ding
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong.
| | - N N Sze
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong.
| | - Haojie Li
- School of Transportation, Southeast University, China; Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS, China; Jiangsu Province Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Urban Traffic Technologies, China.
| | - Yanyong Guo
- School of Transportation, Southeast University, China; Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS, China; Jiangsu Province Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Urban Traffic Technologies, China.
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Sivasankaran SK, Balasubramanian V. Exploring the severity of bicycle-vehicle crashes using latent class clustering approach in India. JOURNAL OF SAFETY RESEARCH 2020; 72:127-138. [PMID: 32199555 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2019.12.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2019] [Revised: 10/23/2019] [Accepted: 12/14/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Bicyclists are vulnerable users in the shared asset like roadways. However, people still prefer to use bicycles for environmental, societal, and health benefits. In India, the bicycle plays a role in supporting the mobility to more people at lower cost and are often associated with the urban poor. Bicyclists represents one of the road user categories with highest risk of injuries and fatalities. According to the report by the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways (Accidents, 2017) in India, there is a sharp increase in the number of fatal victims for bicyclists in 2017 over 2016. The number of cyclists killed jumped from 2,585 in 2016 to 3,559 in 2017, a 37.7% increase. METHOD Few studies have only investigated the crash risk perceived by the bicyclists while interacting with other road users. The present paper investigates the injury severity of bicyclists in bicycle-vehicle crashes that occurred in the state of Tamilnadu, India during the nine year period (2009-2017). The analyses demonstrate that dividing bicycle-vehicle collision data into five clusters helps in reducing the systematic heterogeneity present in the data and identify the hidden relationship between the injury severity levels of bicyclists and cyclists demographics, vehicle, environmental, temporal cause for the crashes. RESULTS Latent Class Clustering (LCC) approach was used in the present study as a preliminary tool for the segmentation of 9,978 crashes. Later, logistic regression analysis was used to identify the factors that influence bicycle crash severity for the whole dataset as well as for the clusters that were obtained from the LCC model. Results of this study show that combined use of both techniques reveals further information that wouldn't be obtained without prior segmentation of the data. Few variables such as season, weather conditions, and light conditions were significant for certain clusters that were hidden in the whole dataset. This study can help domain experts or traffic safety researchers to segment traffic crashes and develop targeted countermeasures to mitigate injury severity.
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Høye A. Bicycle helmets - To wear or not to wear? A meta-analyses of the effects of bicycle helmets on injuries. ACCIDENT; ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION 2018; 117:85-97. [PMID: 29677686 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2018.03.026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 108] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2017] [Revised: 03/08/2018] [Accepted: 03/25/2018] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
Abstract
A meta-analysis has been conducted of the effects of bicycle helmets on serious head injury and other injuries among crash involved cyclists. 179 effect estimates from 55 studies from 1989-2017 are included in the meta-analysis. The use of bicycle helmets was found to reduce head injury by 48%, serious head injury by 60%, traumatic brain injury by 53%, face injury by 23%, and the total number of killed or seriously injured cyclists by 34%. Bicycle helmets were not found to have any statistically significant effect on cervical spine injury. There is no indication that the results from bicycle helmet studies are affected by a lack of control for confounding variables, time trend bias or publication bias. The results do not indicate that bicycle helmet effects are different between adult cyclists and children. Bicycle helmet effects may be somewhat larger when bicycle helmet wearing is mandatory than otherwise; however, helmet wearing rates were not found to be related to bicycle helmet effectiveness. It is also likely that bicycle helmets have larger effects among drunk cyclists than among sober cyclists, and larger effects in single bicycle crashes than in collisions with motor vehicles. In summary, the results suggest that wearing a helmet while cycling is highly recommendable, especially in situations with an increased risk of single bicycle crashes, such as on slippery or icy roads.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alena Høye
- Institute of Transport Economics, Gaustadalleen 21, 0349, Oslo, Norway.
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Yang H, Cherry CR, Su F, Ling Z, Pannell Z, Li Y, Fu Z. Underreporting, crash severity and fault assignment of minor crashes in China – a study based on self-reported surveys. Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot 2018; 26:30-36. [DOI: 10.1080/17457300.2018.1476382] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/16/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Hongtai Yang
- National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation, School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, Sichuan, P. R. China
| | - Christopher R. Cherry
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Tennessee-Knoxville, Knoxville, TN, USA
| | - Fan Su
- National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation, School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, Sichuan, P. R. China
| | - Ziwen Ling
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Tennessee-Knoxville, Knoxville, TN, USA
| | - Zane Pannell
- Tennessee Department of Transportation, Knoxville, TN, USA
| | - Yanlai Li
- National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation, School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, Sichuan, P. R. China
| | - Zhijian Fu
- National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation, School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, Sichuan, P. R. China
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Prati G, Pietrantoni L, Fraboni F. Using data mining techniques to predict the severity of bicycle crashes. ACCIDENT; ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION 2017; 101:44-54. [PMID: 28189058 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2017.01.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2016] [Revised: 10/14/2016] [Accepted: 01/16/2017] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
To investigate the factors predicting severity of bicycle crashes in Italy, we used an observational study of official statistics. We applied two of the most widely used data mining techniques, CHAID decision tree technique and Bayesian network analysis. We used data provided by the Italian National Institute of Statistics on road crashes that occurred on the Italian road network during the period ranging from 2011 to 2013. In the present study, the dataset contains information about road crashes occurred on the Italian road network during the period ranging from 2011 to 2013. We extracted 49,621 road accidents where at least one cyclist was injured or killed from the original database that comprised a total of 575,093 road accidents. CHAID decision tree technique was employed to establish the relationship between severity of bicycle crashes and factors related to crash characteristics (type of collision and opponent vehicle), infrastructure characteristics (type of carriageway, road type, road signage, pavement type, and type of road segment), cyclists (gender and age), and environmental factors (time of the day, day of the week, month, pavement condition, and weather). CHAID analysis revealed that the most important predictors were, in decreasing order of importance, road type (0.30), crash type (0.24), age of cyclist (0.19), road signage (0.08), gender of cyclist (0.07), type of opponent vehicle (0.05), month (0.04), and type of road segment (0.02). These eight most important predictors of the severity of bicycle crashes were included as predictors of the target (i.e., severity of bicycle crashes) in Bayesian network analysis. Bayesian network analysis identified crash type (0.31), road type (0.19), and type of opponent vehicle (0.18) as the most important predictors of severity of bicycle crashes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gabriele Prati
- Dipartimento di Psicologia, Università di Bologna, Viale Europa 115, 47521 Cesena, FC, Italy.
| | - Luca Pietrantoni
- Dipartimento di Psicologia, Università di Bologna, Viale Europa 115, 47521 Cesena, FC, Italy
| | - Federico Fraboni
- Dipartimento di Psicologia, Università di Bologna, Viale Europa 115, 47521 Cesena, FC, Italy
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Olivier J, Creighton P. Bicycle injuries and helmet use: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Epidemiol 2016; 46:278-292. [DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyw153] [Citation(s) in RCA: 48] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/20/2016] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
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Kröyer HRG. The relation between speed environment, age and injury outcome for bicyclists struck by a motorized vehicle - a comparison with pedestrians. ACCIDENT; ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION 2015; 76:57-63. [PMID: 25616032 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2014.12.023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/21/2014] [Revised: 12/06/2014] [Accepted: 12/24/2014] [Indexed: 06/04/2023]
Abstract
This study analyzes (a) the relation between injury severities, the age of the bicyclist and the speed environment at accident locations (mean travel speed of the traffic flow involved in the accident) where a bicyclist was struck by a motorized vehicle and (b) how these relations differ from those for struck pedestrians. Accident data from Sweden for the years 2004-2008 was used to identify accident locations to analyze the relations between speed environment, age and injury outcome. Seventy-seven accident sites were used for field measurements and further analysis. The results show that both speed environment and age have considerable correlation with injury severity. There was a statistically significant relation between injury severity and the speed environment, and large proportion of the serious bicycle accidents occur at locations with speeds below 30km/h. Also, the risk of serious injuries or fatalities seems to increase after the age of 45. To our knowledge this is the first study that uses the mean travel speed in this manner for analyzing injury severity of struck bicyclists.
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