The prognostic value of serum bilirubin in colorectal cancer patients with surgical resection

Albumin-bilirubin score: a promising predictor of postoperative distant metastasis in patients with colorectal cancer

AIM

The objective of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance of the preoperative serum albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

Preoperative ALBI data from 1506 CRC patients were categorized into high-value and low-value groups, and the clinicopathological characteristics of these groups were compared. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was employed to investigate the risk factors associated with distant metastasis. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were utilized to analyze the relationship between ALBI scores and 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS).

RESULTS

The incidence of distant metastasis in group B (ALBI ≥ -2.4) was significantly higher at 28.81% compared to group A (ALBI < -2.4), which had an incidence of 23.36% (p = 0.018). ALBI score ≥ -2.4 was identified as an independent risk factor for postoperative distant metastasis of CRC (HR = 1.251, 95%CI: 1.021-1.533, p = 0.031). The incidence of 5-year DMFS was significantly lower in the ALBI ≥ -2.4 group compared to that observed in the ALBI < -2.4 group (χ2 = 5.97, p = 0.015, log-rank test).

CONCLUSION

The ALBI score of ≥ -2.4 emerges as an independent risk factor for the occurrence of distant metastases following CRC surgery.

Preoperative albumin-bilirubin score predicts short-term outcomes and long-term prognosis in colorectal cancer patients undergoing radical surgery

BACKGROUND

The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score is a serum biochemical indicator of liver function and has been proven to have prognostic value in a variety of cancers. In colorectal cancer (CRC), a high ALBI score tends to be associated with poorer survival.

AIM

To investigate the correlation between the preoperative ALBI score and outcomes in CRC patients who underwent radical surgery.

METHODS

Patients who underwent radical CRC surgery between January 2011 and January 2020 at a single clinical center were included. The ALBI score was calculated by the formula (log10 bilirubin × 0.66) + (albumin × -0.085), and the cutoff value for grouping patients was -2.8. The short-term outcomes, overall survival (OS), and disease-free survival (DFS) were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 4025 CRC patients who underwent radical surgery were enrolled in this study, and there were 1908 patients in the low ALBI group and 2117 patients in the high ALBI group. Cox regression analysis revealed that age, tumor size, tumor stage, ALBI score, and overall complications were independent risk factors for OS; age, tumor stage, ALBI score, and overall complications were identified as independent risk factors for DFS.

CONCLUSION

A high preoperative ALBI score is correlated with adverse short-term outcomes, and the ALBI score is an independent risk factor for OS and DFS in patients with CRC undergoing radical surgery.

Correlation between pre-treatment serum total blood bilirubin and unconjugated bilirubin and prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological studies have found that unconjugated bilirubin (UCB) levels are positively correlated with the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC). Therefore, bilirubin may also play an important role in the prognosis of CRC.

AIM

To investigate the predictive value of total bilirubin (TBIL) and UCB in the prognosis of patients with CRC.

METHODS

A total of 142 CRC patients were selected as the research subjects in Jingxian Hospital, from October 2014 to May 2021. General and tumour-related clinical data at admission and the overall survival at 3 years after surgery were collected. The optimal cut-off values of TBIL and UCB were determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were used to analyse the effect of bilirubin level on the survival of CRC patients. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to assess the survival time.

RESULTS

The 3-year overall survival rate of CRC patients was significantly higher in the high TBIL (> 13.45 μmol/L) group than in the low TBIL (≤ 13.45 μmol/L) group (76.4% vs 37.1%; P < 0.05). The 3-year overall survival rate of CRC patients in the high UCB (> 10.75 μmol/L) group was significantly higher than that in the low UCB (≤ 10.75 μmol/L) group (83.3% vs 34.2%; P < 0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that higher TBIL levels were an independent predictor of better prognosis in CRC patients (hazard ratio = 0.360, 95% confidence interval: 0.159-0.812, P = 0.014).

CONCLUSION

TBIL levels can be used as a prognostic indicator for CRC patients.

Development and Validation of Pretreatment Serum Total Bilirubin as a Biomarker to Predict the Clinical Outcomes in Primary Central Nervous System Lymphoma: A Multicenter Cohort Study

Primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL) is a predominantly aggressive neoplasm isolated to the central nervous system or vitreoretinal space. Bilirubin is an important biomarker reflecting hepatic function and oxidative stress status that is associated with the occurrence and development of various tumors. However, its prognostic role in PCNSL has yet to be evaluated. Therefore, we conducted a prospective-retrospective study to analyze the predictive value of serum total bilirubin (STB) in PCNSL patients. The association between the pretreatment STB and clinical outcomes in PCNSL was developed in the discovery cohort (retrospective [n = 44] and prospective [n = 45]) and validated in an independent retrospective cohort (n = 69). A generalized additive model, Kaplan-Meier curve, and Cox analysis were applied. In the discovery cohort, the STB showed a linear relationship with overall survival (OS, p = 0.011) and progression-free survival (PFS, p = 0.0476). The median STB level of 12.0 µmol/L was determined as the cutoff value to predict the clinical outcomes with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) values of 0.9205 and 0.8464 for OS and PFS, respectively. The median STB level resulted in similar accuracy for predicting the clinical outcomes in the validation cohort with AUROC values of 0.8857 and 0.8589 for OS and PFS, respectively. In both the discovery and validation cohorts, the Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Cox regression analysis showed that the upper median STB groups showed significantly worse OS than the lower median STB groups. In conclusion, the pretreatment STB could be considered a novel biomarker to predict the clinical outcomes in patients with PCNSL receiving high-dose methotrexate-based combination immunochemotherapy.

Integrated oxidative stress score for predicting prognosis in stage III gastric cancer undergoing surgery

Objective: This study aimed to develop a novel scoring system, named the integrated oxidative stress score (IOSS), based on oxidative stress indices to predict the prognosis in stage III gastric cancer. Methods: Retrospective analysis of stage III gastric cancer patients who were operated on between January 2014 and December 2016 were enrolled into this research. IOSS is a comprehensive index based on an achievable oxidative stress index, comprising albumin, blood urea nitrogen, and direct bilirubin. The patients were divided according to receiver operating characteristic curve into two groups of low IOSS (IOSS ≤ 2.00) and high IOSS (IOSS > 2.00). The grouping variable was performed by Chi-square test or Fisher's precision probability test. The continuous variables were evaluated by t-test. The disease free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were performed by Kaplan-Meier and Log-Rank tests. Univariate Cox proportional hazards regression models and stepwise multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were determined to appraise the potential prognostic factors for DFS and OS. A nomogram of the potential prognostic factors by the multivariate analysis for DFS and OS was established with R software. In order to assess the accuracy of the nomogram in forecasting prognosis, the calibration curve and decision curve analysis were produced, contrasting the observed outcomes with the predicted outcomes. Results: The IOSS was significantly correlated with the DFS and OS, and was a potential prognostic factor in patients with stage III gastric cancer. Patients with low IOSS had longer survival (DFS: χ² = 6.632, p = 0.010; OS: χ² = 6.519, p = 0.011), and higher survival rates. According to the univariate and multivariate analyses, the IOSS was a potential prognostic factor. The nomograms were conducted on the potential prognostic factors to improve the correctness of survival prediction and evaluate the prognosis in stage III gastric cancer patients. The calibration curve indicated a good agreement in 1-, 3-, 5-year lifetime rates. The decision curve analysis indicated that the nomogram's predictive clinical utility for clinical decision was better than IOSS. Conclusion: IOSS is a nonspecific tumor predictor based on available oxidative stress index, and low IOSS is found to be a vigorous factor of better prognosis in stage III gastric cancer.

The Effect of Bilirubin on Clinical Outcomes of Patients With Colorectal Cancer Surgery: A Ten-Year Volume Single-Center Retrospective Study

The current study aimed to evaluate the effect of bilirubin on the outcomes of colorectal cancer (CRC) in patients who underwent radical CRC surgery. The levels of serum bilirubin, including total bilirubin (TBil), direct bilirubin (DBil) and indirect bilirubin (IBil), were divided into higher groups and lower groups according to the median. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to analyze the independent predictors for overall complications and major complications. For TBil, the hospitalization time of the higher TBil group was longer than that of the lower TBil group (p = 0.014 < 0.05). For DBil, the higher DBil group had longer operation times (p < 0.01), more intraoperative bleeding (p < 0.01), longer hospital stays (p < 0.01), and higher rates of overall complications (p < 0.01) and major complications (p = 0.021 < 0.05) than the lower DBil group. For the IBil group, blood loss during operation (p < 0.01) and hospital stays (p = 0.041 < 0.05) in the higher IBil group were lower than those in the lower IBil group. In terms of complications, we found that DBil was an independent predictor for overall complications (p < 0.01, OR = 1.036, 95% CI = 1.014-1.058) and major complications (p = 0.043, HR= 1.355, 95% CI= 1.009-1.820). Higher preoperative DBil increase the risk of complications after primary CRC surgery.

Survival prediction for patients with malignant biliary obstruction caused by pancreatic cancer undergoing biliary drainage: the COMBO-PaS model

BACKGROUND

Patients with pancreatic cancer-caused biliary obstruction (PC-BO) have poor prognosis, but we lack of tools to predict survival for clinical decision-making. This study aims to establish a model for survival prediction among patients with PC-BO.

METHODS

A total of 172 patients with PC-BO treated with percutaneous biliary drainage were randomly divided into a training group (n = 120) and a validation group (n = 52). The independent risk factors for overall survival were selected to develop a Cox model. The predictive performance of M stage, hepatic metastases, cancer antigen 199, and the Cox model was determined. Naples prognostic score (NPS), the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) for 1-month mortality risk were compared with the Cox model.

RESULTS

The Cox model was developed based on total cholesterol, direct bilirubin, hepatic metastases, cancer antigen 199, stenosis type, and preprocedural infection (all P < 0.05), which named "COMBO-PaS." The COMBO-PaS model had the highest area under the curves (AUC) (0.801-0.933) comparing with other predictors (0.506-0.740) for 1-, 3-, and 6-month survival prediction. For 1-month mortality risk prediction, the COMBO-PaS model had the highest AUC of 0.829 comparing with NPS, PNI, and CONUT.

CONCLUSION

The COMBO-PaS model was useful for survival prediction among patients with PC-BO.

The Impact of Serum Parameters Associated with Kidney Function on the Short-Term Outcomes and Prognosis of Colorectal Cancer Patients Undergoing Radical Surgery

Purpose

The current study was designed to investigate the impact of blood urea nitrogen (BUN), serum uric acid (UA), and cystatin (CysC) on the short-term outcomes and prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients undergoing radical surgery.

Methods

CRC patients who underwent radical resection were included from Jan 2011 to Jan 2020 in a single clinical centre. The short-term outcomes, overall survival (OS), and disease-free survival (DFS) were compared in different groups. A Cox regression analysis was conducted to identify independent risk factors for OS and DFS.

Results

A total of 2047 CRC patients who underwent radical resection were included in the current study. Patients in the abnormal BUN group had a longer hospital stay (p=0.002) and more overall complications (p=0.001) than that of the normal BUN group. The abnormal CysC group had longer hospital stay (p < 0.01), more overall complications (p=p < 0.01), and more major complications (p=0.001) than the normal CysC group. Abnormal CysC was associated with worse OS and DFS for CRC patients in tumor stage I (p < 0.01). In Cox regression analysis, age (p < 0.01, HR = 1.041, 95% CI = 1.029-1.053), tumor stage (p < 0.01, HR = 2.134, 95% CI = 1.828-2.491), and overall complications (p=0.002, HR = 1.499, 95% CI = 1.166-1.928) were independent risk factors for OS. Similarly, age (p < 0.01, HR = 1.026, 95% CI = 1.016-1.037), tumor stage (p < 0.01, HR = 2.053, 95% CI = 1.788-2.357), and overall complications (p=0.002, HR = 1.440, 95% CI = 1.144-1.814) were independent risk factors for DFS.

Conclusion

In conclusion, abnormal CysC was significantly associated with worse OS and DFS at TNM stage I, and abnormal CysC and BUN were related to more postoperative complications. However, preoperative BUN and UA in the serum might not affect OS and DFS for CRC patients who underwent radical resection.