Risk factors for poor outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage in patients with initial favorable neurological status

BACKGROUND

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) remains a devastating diagnosis. A poor outcome is known to be highly dependent on the initial neurological status. Our goal was to identify other parameters that favor the risk of complications and poor outcome in patients with aSAH and initially favorable neurologic status.

METHODS

Consecutive aSAH cases treated at our hospital between 01/2003 and 06/2016 with the initial World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grades I-III were included. Data on demographic characteristics, previous medical history, initial aSAH severity, and functional outcome after aSAH were collected. The study endpoints were the occurrence of cerebral infarcts, in-hospital mortality, and unfavorable outcome at 6 months after aSAH (modified Rankin scale > 3).

RESULTS

In the final cohort (n= 582), the rate of cerebral infarction, in-hospital mortality, and unfavorable outcome was 35.1%, 8.1%, and 17.6% respectively. The risk of cerebral infarction was independently related to the presence of acute hydrocephalus (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=2.33, p<0.0001), aneurysm clipping (aOR=1.78, p=0.003), and use of calcium channel blockers concomitant to nimodipine (aOR=2.63, p=0.002). Patients' age (>55 years, aOR=4.24, p<0.0001), acute hydrocephalus (aOR=2.43, p=0.036), and clipping (aOR=2.86, p=0.001) predicted in-hospital mortality. Baseline characteristics associated with unfavorable outcome at 6 months were age (aOR=2.77, p=<0.0001), Fisher grades III-IV (aOR=2.81, p=0.016), acute hydrocephalus (aOR=2.22, p=0.012), clipping (aOR=3.98, p<0.0001), admission C-reactive protein>1mg/dL (aOR=1.76, p=0.035), and treatment intervals (aOR=0.64 per-5-year-intervals, p=0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Although cerebral infarction is a common complication in aSAH individuals with favorable initial clinical condition, >80% of these patients show favorable long-term outcome. The knowledge of outcome-relevant baseline characteristics might help to reduce the burden of further complications and poor outcome in aSAH patients who tolerated the initial bleeding event well.

Accurately predicting the risk of unfavorable outcomes after endovascular coil therapy in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: an interpretable machine learning model

BACKGROUND

Despite endovascular coiling as a valid modality in treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), there is a risk of poor prognosis. However, the clinical utility of previously proposed early prediction tools remains limited. We aimed to develop a clinically generalizable machine learning (ML) models for accurately predicting unfavorable outcomes in aSAH patients after endovascular coiling.

METHODS

Functional outcomes at 6 months after endovascular coiling were assessed via the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) and unfavorable outcomes were defined as mRS 3-6. Five ML algorithms (logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, deep neural network, and extreme gradient boosting) were used for model development. The area under precision-recall curve (AUPRC) and receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was used as main indices of model evaluation. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was applied to interpret the best-performing ML model.

RESULTS

A total of 371 patients were eventually included into this study, and 85.4% of them had favorable outcomes. Among the five models, the DNN model had a better performance with AUPRC of 0.645 (AUROC of 0.905). Postoperative GCS score, size of aneurysm, and age were the top three powerful predictors. The further analysis of five random cases presented the good interpretability of the DNN model.

CONCLUSION

Interpretable clinical prediction models based on different ML algorithms have been successfully constructed and validated, which would serve as reliable tools in optimizing the treatment decision-making of aSAH. Our DNN model had better performance to predict the unfavorable outcomes at 6 months in aSAH patients compared with Yan's nomogram model.

Proposed imaging assessment score for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage correlated with prognosis: Shinshu Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage score

BACKGROUND

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) imaging has been shown to correlate with prognosis. However, no numerical index of bleeding severity has been established. This study aimed to propose a new simple scoring system for computed tomography imaging of aSAH and to confirm its effectiveness in retrospective and prospective studies.

METHODS

We devised an image evaluation system as an objective index. This system was established by scoring six items, with a maximum total of 19 points. Using this score, named the Shinshu Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Score (S-score), we performed a retrospective study of 210 patients with aSAH at a single institution to confirm its efficacy. Age and World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grades were adopted as other verification items, and the modified Rankin Scale was used for prognostic evaluation. A multicenter prospective study was then conducted to examine the function of the score by examining 214 patients with aSAH.

RESULTS

In the retrospective study, the threshold of the S-score between good and poor prognoses was 9/19 points. The area under the curve by receiver operating characteristic analysis of the S-score was 0.819, suggesting efficacy, with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.291 (1.077-1.547). In the prospective study, the judgment capability of the S-score was evaluated with a sensitivity of 0.674, specificity of 0.881, positive predictive value of 0.789, negative predictive value of 0.804, false-positive ratio of 0.119, false-negative ratio of 0.325, positive likelihood ratio of 6.072, and negative likelihood ratio of 1.369. S-score showed a significant difference in prognosis. The OR was 1.183 (1.009-1.388).

CONCLUSIONS

The scoring system could contribute to patient prognosis assessment. S-score and its prognostic formulas may serve as an objective source of information in the development of clinical medicine.

Predicting the formation of mixed pattern hemorrhages in ruptured middle cerebral artery aneurysms based on a decision tree model: A multicenter study

OBJECTIVE

Mixed-pattern hemorrhages (MPH) commonly occur in ruptured middle cerebral artery (MCA) aneurysms and are associated with poor clinical outcomes. This study aimed to predict the formation of MPH in a multicenter database of MCA aneurysms using a decision tree model.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed patients with ruptured MCA aneurysms between January 2009 and June 2020. The MPH was defined as subarachnoid hemorrhages with intracranial hematomas and/or intraventricular hemorrhages and/or subdural hematomas. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to explore the prediction factors of the formation of MPH. Based on these prediction factors, a decision tree model was developed to predict the formation of MPH. Additional independent datasets were used for external validation.

RESULTS

We enrolled 436 patients with ruptured MCA aneurysms detected by computed tomography angiography; 285 patients had MPH (65.4%). A multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, aneurysm size, multiple aneurysms, and the presence of a daughter dome were the independent prediction factors of the formation of MPH. The areas under receiver operating characteristic curves of the decision tree model in the training, internal, and external validation cohorts were 0.951, 0.927, and 0.901, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Age, aneurysm size, the presence of a daughter dome, and multiple aneurysms were the independent prediction factors of the formation of MPH. The decision tree model is a useful visual triage tool to predict the formation of MPH that could facilitate the management of unruptured aneurysms in routine clinical work.

A visualized MAC nomogram online predicts the risk of three-month mortality in Chinese elderly aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage patients undergoing endovascular coiling

OBJECTIVE

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is an aggressive disease with higher mortality rate in the elderly population. Unfortunately, the previous models for predicting clinical prognosis are still not accurate enough. Therefore, we aimed to construct and validate a visualized nomogram model to predict online the 3-month mortality in elderly aSAH patients undergoing endovascular coiling.

METHOD

We conducted a retrospective analysis of 209 elderly aSAH patients at People's Hospital of Hunan Province, China. A nomogram was developed based on multivariate logistic regression and forward stepwise regression analysis, then validated using the bootstrap validation method (n = 1000). In addition, the performance of the nomogram was evaluated by various indicators to prove its clinical value.

RESULT

Morbid pupillary reflex, age, and using a breathing machine were independent predictors of 3-month mortality. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.901 (95% CI: 0.853-0.950), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed good calibration of the nomogram (p = 0.4328). Besides, the bootstrap validation method internally validated the nomogram with an area under the curve of the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) of 0.896 (95% CI: 0.846-0.945). Decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC) indicated the nomogram's excellent clinical utility and applicability.

CONCLUSION

An easily applied visualized nomogram model named MAC (morbid pupillary reflex-age-breathing machine) based on three accessible factors has been successfully developed. The MAC nomogram is an accurate and complementary tool to support individualized decision-making and emphasizes that patients with higher risk of mortality may require closer monitoring. Furthermore, a web-based online version of the risk calculator would greatly contribute to the spread of the model in this field.

A 90-Day Prognostic Model Based on the Early Brain Injury Indicators after Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: the TAPS Score

This study aimed to establish a new scoring model based on the early brain injury (EBI) indicators to predict the 90-day functional outcomes in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). We retrospectively enrolled 825 patients and prospectively enrolled 108 patients with aSAH who underwent surgical clipping or endovascular coiling (derivation cohort = 640; validation cohort = 185; prospective cohort = 108) in our institute. We established a logistic regression model based on independent risk factors associated with 90-day unfavorable outcomes. The discrimination of the prognostic model was assessed by the area under the curve in a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test and a calibration plot were used to evaluate the calibration of the prediction model. The developed scoring model named "TAPS" (total score, 0-7 points) included the following admission variables: age > 55 years old, WFNS grade of 4-5, mFS grade of 3-4, Graeb score of 5-12, white blood cell count > 11.28 × 10⁹/L, and surgical clipping. The model showed good discrimination with the area under the curve in the derivation, validation, and prospective cohorts which were 0.816 (p < 0.001, 95%CI = 0.77-0.86), 0.810 (p < 0.001, 95%CI = 0.73-0.90), and 0.803 (p < 0.001, 95%CI = 0.70-0.91), respectively. The model also demonstrated good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test: X² = 1.75, df = 8, p = 0.988). Compared with other predictive models, TAPS is an easy handle tool for predicting the 90-day unfavorable outcomes of aSAH patients, which can help clinicians better understand the concept of EBI and quickly identify those patients at risk of poor prognosis, providing more positive treatment strategies. Trial registration: NCT04785976. Registered 5 March 2021-retrospectively registered, http://www.clinicaltrials.gov .

Space-constrained optimized Tikhonov regularization method for 3D hemorrhage reconstruction by open magnetic induction tomography

Objective. Open magnetic induction tomography (MIT) is a promising technique for detecting the intracranial hemorrhage due to the non-radioactive, non-invasive and portable features. However, severe inhomogeneity of the sensitivity distribution under the open MIT sensor array and the ill-conditioned nature of MIT inverse problem limit the imaging quality in hemorrhage reconstruction. More accurate and robust imaging algorithms are urgently needed in clinical diagnosis.Approach.In this study, the space-constrained optimized Tikhonov regularization (SOTR) method is proposed for 3D hemorrhage reconstruction by open MIT. The sensitivity matrix is optimized according to the characteristics of sensitivity distribution under the open MIT sensor array. To test the performance of the SOTR method, 3D anatomical head models with hemorrhages in different volumes and locations were established. The images of the hemorrhages were reconstructed by the Tikhonov regularization (TR), total variation (TV) regularization, isotropic SOTR, and anisotropic SOTR method. Correlation coefficientCC,localization errorLE,and volume errorVEwere calculated to evaluate the hemorrhage imaging quality. Mainresults. Compared with the traditional sensitivity matrix, the optimized sensitivity matrix has smaller column number and better uniformity, which alleviates the under-determined and ill-conditioned problem of MIT. The imaging results indicate that both the isotropic and anisotropic SOTR methods can effectively improve the reconstruction accuracy for the location and volume of the hemorrhages. Moreover, compared with the TR and TV methods, the two SOTR methods are more robust against the measurement noise.Significance. The proposed method improves the imaging quality of the intracranial hemorrhage, which promotes the clinical applications of open MIT.

Clinical Outcome and Prognostic Factors of Patients with Perimesencephalic and Nonperimesencephalic Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

To demonstrate the clinical outcome of patients with nonperimesencephalic subarachnoid hemorrhage (npSAH) compared with patients with aneurysmal SAH (aSAH) and perimesencephalic SAH (pSAH) and to evaluate predictive value of various clinical and radiological findings in patients with npSAH.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified patients with SAH who presented at our institution between 2009 and 2018. We analyzed demographic and clinical data and outcomes. Multivariable analysis was performed for outcome parameters.

RESULTS

Of 608 patients with confirmed SAH, 78% had aSAH, and 22% had nonaneurysmal SAH. Nonaneurysmal SAH was perimesencephalic in 30% of cases and nonperimesencephalic in 70%. Initial clinical status (Hunt and Hess score) was significantly worse in patients with aSAH compared with patients with nonaneurysmal SAH. Complications such as delayed cerebral ischemia occurred significantly more often in patients with aSAH. Patients with pSAH had a more favorable clinical course than patients with aSAH or npSAH. There was no significant difference in 30-day mortality between aSAH (29%) and npSAH (28%) patients (P = 0.835). Hunt and Hess score emerged as a strong predictor of unfavorable outcome in both aSAH and npSAH in multivariable regression.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with npSAH had a similar clinical outcome as patients with aSAH, although there were significantly fewer clinical complications in patients with npSAH. Patients with pSAH demonstrated an overall good clinical course. Our multivariable analysis showed that initial Hunt and Hess score was an important predictor for clinical outcome in aSAH as well as npSAH.

Metformin Preserves VE–Cadherin in Choroid Plexus and Attenuates Hydrocephalus via VEGF/VEGFR2/p-Src in an Intraventricular Hemorrhage Rat Model

Hydrocephalus induced by intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) is associated with unfavorable prognosis. The increased permeability of choroid plexus and breakdown of the blood–brain barrier (BBB) was reported as a prominent mechanism of IVH-induced hydrocephalus, and vascular endothelial–cadherin (VE–cadherin) was demonstrated to be relevant. Metformin was reported to protect endothelial junction and preserve permeability widely; however, its role in hydrocephalus remains unclear. In this study, the decreased expression of VE–cadherin in the choroid plexus, accompanied with ventricle dilation, was investigated in an IVH rat model induced by intraventricular injection of autologous blood. Metformin treatment ameliorated hydrocephalus and upregulated VE–cadherin expression in choroid plexus meanwhile. We then observed that the internalization of VE–cadherin caused by the activation of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) signaling after IVH was related to the occurrence of hydrocephalus, whereas it can be reversed by metformin treatment. Restraining VEGF signaling by antagonizing VEGFR2 or inhibiting Src phosphorylation increased the expression of VE–cadherin and decreased the severity of hydrocephalus after IVH. Our study demonstrated that the internalization of VE–cadherin via the activation of VEGF signaling may contribute to IVH-induced hydrocephalus, and metformin may be a potential protector via suppressing this pathway.

Exploration of Risk Factors for Poor Prognosis of Non-Traumatic Non-Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Background: Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a devastating neurological disease associated with high rates of mortality and disability. Aneurysms are the main cause of non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhages. However, non-traumatic non-aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (naSAH), another clinical type of SAH, has been poorly studied for its prognosis and risk factors. Method and result: We collected demographic and clinical variables for 126 naSAH and 89 aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) patients, including age and gender; hospitalization days; hematological indicators; clinical score scales; past medical history; and personal history. We found that the monocytes in naSAH (0.50 ± 0.26) patients were lower than in aSAH patients (0.60 ± 0.27). The prevalence of diabetes in naSAH (30.2%) patients was higher than in aSAH (14.5%) patients. The naSAH patients were divided into good and poor outcome groups based on the modified Rankin Scale at the 90th day (90-day mRS) after discharge. A univariate analysis showed that there were significant differences in age, white blood cell count (WBC), monocyte count, D-dipolymer, neuron-specific enolase (NSE), random blood glucose (RBG), aspartate transaminase (AST), urea and free triiodothyronine (FT3) between the two groups. A logistic regression showed that aging and high level NSE were independent risk factors for a poor outcome. The predictive ability of age (area under curve (AUC) = 0.71) and NSE (AUC = 0.68) were analyzed by a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The results of the logistic regression suggested that age, D-dipolymer, NSE, RBG, urea and FT3 distinguished and predicted the prognosis of naSAH. The discriminant analysis of the above variables revealed that the discriminant accuracy was 80.20%. Conclusions: Compared with aSAHs, naSAHs are more likely to occur in patients with diabetes, and the level of monocytes is lower. Moreover, the prognosis of elderly patients with an naSAH is relatively poor, and the level of NSE in the course of the disease also reflects the prognosis. Multivariate comprehensive analysis is helpful to judge the prognosis of patients at a small cost.

Effect of stress-induced hyperglycemia after non-traumatic non-aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage on clinical complications and functional outcomes

Background

Despite having an overall benign course, non‐traumatic non‐aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (naSAH) is still accompanied by a risk of clinical complications and poor outcomes. Risk factors and mechanisms of complications and poor outcomes after naSAH remain unknown. Our aim was to explore the effect of stress‐induced hyperglycemia (SIH) on complication rates and functional outcomes in naSAH patients.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed patients with naSAH admitted to our institution between 2013 and 2018. SIH was identified according to previous criterion. Symptomatic vasospasm, delayed cerebral infarction, and hydrocephalus were identified as main complications. Outcomes were reviewed using a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at discharge, 3 months, and 12 months. A statistical analysis was conducted to reveal the associations of SIH with complications and outcomes.

Results

A total of 244 naSAH patients were included in the cohort with 74 (30.3%) SIH. After adjusting for age, gender, hypertension, Hunt and Hess (HH) grade, modified Fisher Scale (mFS), intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), and subarachnoid blood distribution, SIH was significantly associated with symptomatic vasospasm (p < 0.001, 12.176 [4.904–30.231]), delayed cerebral infarction (p < 0.001, 12.434 [3.850–40.161]), hydrocephalus (p = 0.008, 5.771 [1.570–21.222]), and poor outcome at 12 months (p = 0.006, 5.506 [1.632–18.581]), whereas the correlation between SIH and poor outcome at discharge (p = 0.064, 2.409 [0.951–6.100]) or 3 months (p = 0.110, 2.029 [0.852–4.833]) was not significant. Incorporation of SIH increased the area under curve (AUC) of ROC in the combined model for predicting symptomatic vasospasm (p = 0.002), delayed cerebral infarction (p = 0.024), hydrocephalus (p = 0.037), and 12‐month poor outcome (p = 0.087).

Conclusions

SIH is a significant and independent risk factor for symptomatic vasospasm, delayed cerebral infarction, hydrocephalus, and long‐term poor outcome in naSAH patients. Identifying SIH early after naSAH is important for decision‐making and treatment planning.

A new perspective on cerebrospinal fluid dynamics after subarachnoid hemorrhage: From normal physiology to pathophysiological changes

Knowledge about the dynamic metabolism and function of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) physiology has rapidly progressed in recent decades. It has traditionally been suggested that CSF is produced by the choroid plexus and drains to the arachnoid villi. However, recent findings have revealed that the brain parenchyma produces a large portion of CSF and drains through the perivascular glymphatic system and meningeal lymphatic vessels into the blood. The primary function of CSF is not limited to maintaining physiological CNS homeostasis but also participates in clearing waste products resulting from neurodegenerative diseases and acute brain injury. Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), a disastrous subtype of acute brain injury, is associated with high mortality and morbidity. Post-SAH complications contribute to the poor outcomes associated with SAH. Recently, abnormal CSF flow was suggested to play an essential role in the post-SAH pathophysiological changes, such as increased intracerebral pressure, brain edema formation, hydrocephalus, and delayed blood clearance. An in-depth understanding of CSF dynamics in post-SAH events would shed light on potential development of SAH treatment options. This review summarizes and updates the latest physiological characteristics of CSF dynamics and discusses potential pathophysiological changes and therapeutic targets after SAH.

Use of emerging technologies to enhance the treatment paradigm for spontaneous intraventricular hemorrhage

The presence of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) portends a worse prognosis in patients presenting with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Intraventricular hemorrhage increases the rates of hydrocephalus, ventriculitis, and long-term shunt dependence. Over the past decade, novel medical devices and protocols have emerged to directly treat IVH. Presently, we review new technological adaptations to treating intraventricular hemorrhage in an effort to focus further innovation in treating this morbid neurosurgical pathology. We summarize current and historical treatments as well as innovations in IVH including novel procedural techniques, use of the Integra Surgiscope, use of the Artemis evacuator, use of BrainPath, novel catheter technology, large bore external ventricular drains, the IRRAflow, the CerebroFlo, and the future directions of the field. Technology and medical devices for both surgical and nonsurgical methods are advancing the treatment of IVH. With many promising new technologies on the horizon, prospects for improved clinical care for IVH and its etiologies remain hopeful.

Intracranial hematoma following ruptured anterior communicating artery aneurysms: risk factors, outcome, and prognostic factors after management of coiling first

BACKGROUND

To determine the risk factors for intracranial hematoma (ICH) development following ruptured anterior communicating artery (AcomA) aneurysms and to determine prognostic factors associated with unfavorable outcomes after coiling first.

METHODS

From March 2014 to February 2020, 235 patients with ruptured AcomA aneurysms underwent endovascular treatment in our department. The clinical and radiographic conditions were collected retrospectively. Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores of ≤ 2 were accepted as favorable outcomes. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were performed to identify significant factors contributing to the incidence of ICHs and to unfavorable outcomes.

RESULTS

Of these 235 patients, 68 had additional ICHs. A posterior orientation of ruptured AcomA aneurysms was the independent variable associated with the incidence of ICHs (OR 3.675; p<0.001). Furthermore, having preoperative Hunt-Hess grades Ⅳ-Ⅴ was an independent variable associated with unfavorable outcomes for ICH patients (OR 80.000; p<0.001). Among the 68 patients with ICHs, 40% (27/68) had Hunt-Hess grades IV-V. Four percent of patients (3/68) underwent surgical hematoma evacuation after the coiling procedure and 15% of the patients (10/68) underwent external ventricular drainage. A favorable outcome was achieved in 72% (49/68) of patients with ruptured AcomA aneurysms. The mortality rate was 21% (14/68) at 6 months.

CONCLUSION

A posterior orientation of ruptured AcomA aneurysms was associated with the incidence of ICHs. Coiling first with surgical management if necessary seems to be an acceptable treatment for ruptured AcomA aneurysms with ICHs. The clinical outcome was associated with the clinical neurological status on admission.

Prediction of Outcome Using Quantified Blood Volume in Aneurysmal SAH

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

In patients with SAH, the amount of blood is strongly associated with clinical outcome. However, it is commonly estimated with a coarse grading scale, potentially limiting its predictive value. Therefore, we aimed to develop and externally validate prediction models for clinical outcome, including quantified blood volumes, as candidate predictors.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Clinical and radiologic candidate predictors were included in a logistic regression model. Unfavorable outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of 4-6. An automatic hemorrhage-quantification algorithm calculated the total blood volume. Blood was manually classified as cisternal, intraventricular, or intraparenchymal. The model was selected with bootstrapped backward selection and validated with the R ², C-statistic, and calibration plots. If total blood volume remained in the final model, its performance was compared with models including location-specific blood volumes or the modified Fisher scale.

RESULTS

The total blood volume, neurologic condition, age, aneurysm size, and history of cardiovascular disease remained in the final models after selection. The externally validated predictive accuracy and discriminative power were high (R ² = 56% ± 1.8%; mean C-statistic = 0.89 ± 0.01). The location-specific volume models showed a similar performance (R ² = 56% ± 1%, P = .8; mean C-statistic = 0.89 ± 0.00, P = .4). The modified Fisher models were significantly less accurate (R ² = 45% ± 3%, P < .001; mean C-statistic = 0.85 ± 0.01, P = .03).

CONCLUSIONS

The total blood volume-based prediction model for clinical outcome in patients with SAH showed a high predictive accuracy, higher than a prediction model including the commonly used modified Fisher scale.

Thick and diffuse cisternal clot independently predicts vasospasm-related morbidity and poor outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The presence of thick, diffuse subarachnoid blood may portend a worse clinical course and outcome, independently of other known prognostic factors such as age, aneurysm size, and initial clinical grade.

METHODS

In this post hoc analysis, patients with aSAH undergoing surgical clipping (n = 383) or endovascular coiling (n = 189) were pooled from the placebo arms of the Clazosentan to Overcome Neurological Ischemia and Infarction Occurring After Subarachnoid Hemorrhage (CONSCIOUS)-2 and CONSCIOUS-3 randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 studies, respectively. Patients without and with thick, diffuse SAH (≥ 4 mm thick and involving ≥ 3 basal cisterns) on admission CT scans were compared. Clot size was centrally adjudicated. All-cause mortality and vasospasm-related morbidity at 6 weeks and Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOSE) scores at 12 weeks after aSAH were assessed. The effect of the thick and diffuse cisternal aSAH on vasospasm-related morbidity and mortality, and on poor clinical outcome at 12 weeks, was evaluated using logistic regression models.

RESULTS

Overall, 294 patients (51.4%) had thick and diffuse aSAH. Compared to patients with less hemorrhage burden, these patients were older (median age 55 vs 50 years) and more often had World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grade III-V SAH at admission (24.1% vs 16.5%). At 6 weeks, all-cause mortality and vasospasm-related morbidity occurred in 36.1% (95% CI 30.6%-41.8%) of patients with thick, diffuse SAH and in 14.7% (95% CI 10.8%-19.5%) of those without thick, diffuse SAH. Individual event rates were 7.5% versus 2.5% for all-cause death, 19.4% versus 6.8% for new cerebral infarct, 28.2% versus 9.4% for delayed ischemic neurological deficit, and 24.8% versus 10.8% for rescue therapy due to cerebral vasospasm, respectively. Poor clinical outcome (GOSE score ≥ 4) was observed in 32.7% (95% CI 27.3%-38.3%) and 16.2% (95% CI 12.1%-21.1%) of patients with and without thick, diffuse SAH, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large, centrally adjudicated population of patients with aSAH, WFNS grade at admission and thick, diffuse SAH independently predicted vasospasm-related morbidity and poor 12-week clinical outcome. Patients with thick, diffuse cisternal SAH may be an important cohort to target in future clinical trials of treatment for vasospasm.

Treatment Strategy for Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm in Elderly Patients: Coiling, Clipping, or Conservative?

An increasing number of unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) has been discovered in elderly patients in recent years, but the optimal treatment strategy for these patients remains controversial. We report our six-year experience treating UIAs in elderly patients (≥ 70 years old). A retrospective review was conducted of elderly patients who harbored UIAs treated by conservative observation, microsurgical clipping, or endovascular coiling between January 2009 and December 2014. The patients’ clinical and imaging information was recorded. Treating methods, procedure-related complications, imaging results, and clinical outcomes were analyzed. A total of 141 consecutive elderly patients with 166 UIAs were enrolled in our study. In all, 64 patients with 79 aneurysms were treated with coiling, and 14 patients with 14 aneurysms were treated with clipping. The remaining 63 patients with 73 aneurysms were placed under conservative observation. The average modified Rankin scale was 0.99 (range 0–6) in the full cohort after a mean follow-up of 50.4 months (range 0–70 months). There was no significant difference of modified Rankin scale in patients with UIAs treated by different methods. Multivariate analysis showed that age (p=0.030) and aneurysm size (p=0.011) were independent risk factors for unfavorable outcome of UIAs in the elderly. Patient age (p=0.010) and aneurysm size (p=0.020) were also significantly associated with unfavorable outcome of UIAs managed with observation initially. Our results indicated that endovascular coil embolization and clipping were both safe and effective treatment methods for UIAs in the elderly. Aggressive treatment for UIAs in elderly patients with risk factors of aneurysm rupture should be considered positively.

A novel score to predict shunt dependency after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Feasible clinical scores for predicting shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) are scarce. The chronic hydrocephalus ensuing from SAH score (CHESS) was introduced in 2015 and has a high predictive value for SDHC. Although this score is easy to calculate, several early clinical and radiological factors are required. The authors designed the retrospective analysis described here for external CHESS validation and determination of predictive values for the radiographic Barrow Neurological Institute (BNI) scoring system and a new simplified combined scoring system.

METHODS

Consecutive data of 314 patients with aSAH were retrospectively analyzed with respect to CHESS parameters and BNI score. A new score, the shunt dependency in aSAH (SDASH) score, was calculated from independent risk factors identified with multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Two hundred twenty-five patients survived the initial phase after the hemorrhage, and 27.1% of these patients developed SDHC. The SDASH score was developed from results of multivariate analysis, which revealed acute hydrocephalus (aHP), a BNI score of ≥ 3, and a Hunt and Hess (HH) grade of ≥ 4 to be independent risk factors for SDHC (ORs 5.709 [aHP], 6.804 [BNI], and 4.122 [HH]; p < 0.001). All 3 SDHC scores tested (CHESS, BNI, and SDASH) reliably predicted chronic hydrocephalus (ORs 1.533 [CHESS], 2.021 [BNI], and 2.496 [SDASH]; p ≤ 0.001). Areas under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) for CHESS and SDASH were comparable (0.769 vs 0.785, respectively; p = 0.447), but the CHESS and SDASH scores were superior to the BNI grading system for predicting SDHC (BNI AUROC 0.649; p = 0.014 and 0.001, respectively). In contrast to CHESS and BNI scores, an increase in the SDASH score coincided with a monotonous increase in the risk of developing SDHC.

CONCLUSIONS

The newly developed SDASH score is a reliable tool for predicting SDHC. It contains fewer factors and is more intuitive than existing scores that were shown to predict SDHC. A prospective score evaluation is needed.

Intraventricular Hemorrhage Caused by Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Does the Severity Matter?

OBJECTIVE

Aneurysm rupture might be accompanied by intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), which is associated with poor outcome of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). The aim of this study was to analyze risk factors and clinical impact of IVH severity.

METHODS

A total of 995 consecutive patients with SAH treated at our institution between January 2003 and June 2016 were eligible for this study. Clinical and radiologic findings were correlated with the presence and severity of IVH assessed with the original Graeb score.

RESULTS

A total of 487 patients with SAH (48.9%) presented with IVH (mean IVH severity, 5.48 points [±3.5]). IVH severity correlated with poorer initial clinical condition (World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grade >3; P < 0.001), acute hydrocephalus (P = 0.001), and poor outcome at 6 months (modified Rankin Scale score >2; P < 0.001). The location of the ruptured aneurysm in the anterior cerebral artery independently predicted the occurrence (P = 0.007) and severity of IVH (P < 0.001). In turn, aneurysm size affected only the severity of IVH (P = 0.001) but not its occurrence (P = 0.153). Early complications of SAH occurring within 72 hours after the bleeding event (cerebral infarction [P = 0.043], early mortality [P = 0.001], and primary craniectomy [P = 0.043]) were independently associated with the severity of IVH.

CONCLUSIONS

Severity of aneurysmal IVH is a strong contributor to initial severity and early complications of SAH. Patients with larger aneurysms, especially located in the anterior cerebral artery, are at particular risk of severe IVH in cases of aneurysm rupture.

Effect of simvastatin in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Simvastatin might be beneficial to the patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. However, the results remained controversial. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to explore the efficacy of simvastatin for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

METHODS

PubMed, EMbase, Web of science, EBSCO, and Cochrane library databases were systematically searched. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) assessing the effect of simvastatin versus placebo on aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage were included. Two investigators independently searched articles, extracted data, and assessed the quality of included studies. The primary outcomes were delayed ischaemic deficit and delayed cerebral infarction. Meta-analysis was performed using the random-effect model.

RESULTS

Six RCTs involving 1053 patients were included in the meta-analysis. Overall, compared with control intervention, simvastatin intervention had no influence on delayed ischaemic deficit (RR=0.99; 95% CI=0.78 to 1.27; P=0.96), delayed cerebral infarction (RR=1.17; 95% CI=0.60 to 2.29; P=0.65), mRS≤2 (RR=0.97; 95% CI=0.87 to 1.09; P=0.61), vasospasm (RR=0.79; 95% CI=0.49 to 1.29; P=0.35), ICU stay (Std. mean difference=0.04; 95% CI=-0.54 to 0.63; P=0.88), hospital stay (Std. mean difference=0.01; 95% CI=-0.13 to 0.14; P=0.90) and mortality (RR=0.71; 95% CI=0.25 to 2.05; P=0.53) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to control intervention, simvastatin intervention was found to have no influence on delayed ischaemic deficit, delayed cerebral infarction, mRS≤2, vasospasm, ICU stay, hospital stay, and mortality in patients with acute aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Adult posthaemorrhagic hydrocephalus animal models

Posthaemorrhagic hydrocephalus (PHH) is often associated with high morbidity and mortality and serves as an important clinical predictor of poor outcomes after intracranial haemorrhage (ICH). We are lack of effective medical intervention methods to improve functional outcomes in patients with PHH because little is still known about the mechanisms of PHH pathogenesis. Animal models play a key role in the study of PHH. Developed a suitable animal model that will help us to be better to find preventative strategies and improve the prognosis of patients with PHH. The purpose of this review is to summarize the body of knowledge gained from animal studies.

The choroid plexus as a site of damage in hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke and its role in responding to injury

While the impact of hemorrhagic and ischemic strokes on the blood–brain barrier has been extensively studied, the impact of these types of stroke on the choroid plexus, site of the blood-CSF barrier, has received much less attention. The purpose of this review is to examine evidence of choroid plexus injury in clinical and preclinical studies of intraventricular hemorrhage, subarachnoid hemorrhage, intracerebral hemorrhage and ischemic stroke. It then discusses evidence that the choroid plexuses are important in the response to brain injury, with potential roles in limiting damage. The overall aim of the review is to highlight deficiencies in our knowledge on the impact of hemorrhagic and ischemic strokes on the choroid plexus, particularly with reference to intraventricular hemorrhage, and to suggest that a greater understanding of the response of the choroid plexus to stroke may open new avenues for brain protection.