Epidemiology and outcomes of intracerebral hemorrhage associated with oral anticoagulation over 10 years in a population-based stroke registry

BACKGROUND

Recent years have seen a change in the use of anticoagulants in the general population due to the availability of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) as an alternative to vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) and increased detection of atrial fibrillation. It is important to have updated epidemiological data to understand how this change is impacting on the occurrence and outcome of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Our prospective population-based registry included patients with first-ever ICH occurring from January 2011 to December 2020. Oral anticoagulants (OAC)-related ICH was defined as an ICH occurring within 48 h from the intake of DOAC or VKAs, regardless of the measured international normalized ratio on hospital admission.

RESULTS

We included 748 first-ever ICH, of whom 108 (14.4%) were OAC-related. Specifically, 75 (69.4%) ICHs occurred on VKA and 33 (30.6%) on DOAC. The incidence of oral anticoagulation-associated intracerebral hemorrhage (OAC-ICH) was stable over time (p = 0.226). Among OAC-ICHs, we observed an increase in the overall incidence of DOAC-ICH (p for trend < 0.001) which overcome that of VKA-ICH in 2020 (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 4.71, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.22-33.54; p = 0.022). Patients with OAC-ICH showed higher 30-day case fatality rates than those with non-OAC-ICH (48.1% vs 34.1%; p = 0.007).

CONCLUSION

No changes over time were detected in the incidence of OAC-ICH, but throughout the study period, there was a change in OAC-ICH from mostly VKA-related to mostly DOAC-related. Mortality in patients with OAC-ICH was higher than in patients with non-OAC-ICH.

Decrease in incidence of oral anticoagulant-related intracerebral hemorrhage over the past decade in the Netherlands

Background

Data on oral anticoagulant-related (OAC) intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) incidence are scarce. Most studies on incidence time trends were performed before the introduction of Direct Oral Anticoagulants (DOACs). Between 2008 and 2018, the number of OAC-users in the Netherlands increased by 63%, with the number of DOAC-users almost equaling that of Vitamin K Antagonists (VKA)-users. We aimed to determine the recent total and OAC-related ICH incidence and assess changes over the last decade, including the effect of DOAC introduction.

Methods

All adult non-traumatic ICH patients presenting in any of three hospitals in the enclosed region of South-Limburg, the Netherlands, were retrospectively included, during two 3-year time periods: 2007–2009 and 2017–2019. OAC-related ICH was defined as ICH in patients using VKAs or DOACs. We calculated the incidence rate ratio (IRR) between the two study periods.

Results

In the 2007–2009 period, we registered 652 ICHs of whom 168 (25.8%) were OAC-related (all VKA). In the 2017–2019 period, we registered 522 ICHs, 121 (23.2%) were OAC-related (70 VKA and 51 DOAC). In 2007–2009, the annual incidence of total ICH and OAC-related ICH was 40.9 and 10.5 per 100,000 person-years, respectively, which decreased to 32.4 and 7.5 per 100,000 person-years in 2017–2019. The IRR for total ICH and OAC-related ICH was 0.67 (95%-CI: 0.60–0.75) and 0.58 (0.46–0.73), respectively.

Conclusion

Both total ICH and OAC-related ICH incidence decreased over the past decade in South-Limburg, the Netherlands, despite the aging population and increasing number of OAC-users. The introduction of DOACs, and possibly an improved cardiovascular risk management and change in OAC prescription pattern, could explain these findings.

Long-Term Survival, Causes of Death, and Trends in 5-Year Mortality After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The Tromsø Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Data on long-term survival after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) are scarce. In a population-based nested case-control study, we compared long-term survival and causes of death within 5 years in 30-day survivors of first-ever ICH and controls, assessed the impact of cardiovascular risk factors on 5-year mortality, and analyzed time trend in 5-year mortality in ICH patients over 2 decades.

METHODS

We included 219 participants from the population-based Tromsø Study, who after the baseline participation had a first-ever ICH between 1994 to 2013 and 1095 age- and sex-matched participants without ICH. Cumulative survival was presented using the Kaplan-Meier method. Hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality and for the association between cardiovascular risk factors and 5-year mortality in 30-day survivors were estimated by stratified Cox proportional hazards models. Trend in 5-year mortality was assessed by logistic regression.

RESULTS

Risk of death during follow-up (median time, 4.8 years) was increased in the ICH group compared with controls (HR, 1.62 [95% CI, 1.27-2.06]). Cardiovascular disease was the leading cause of death, with a higher proportion in ICH patients (22.9% versus 9.0%; P<0.001). Smoking increased the risk of 5-year mortality in cases and controls (HR, 1.59 [95% CI, 1.15-2.19]), whereas serum cholesterol was associated with 5-year mortality in cases only (HR, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.04-1.86]). Use of anticoagulants at ICH onset increased the risk of death (HR, 2.09 [95% CI, 1.09-4.00]). There was no difference according to ICH location (HR, 1.15 [95% CI, 0.56-2.37]). Five-year mortality did not change during the study period (odds ratio per calendar year, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.93-1.09]).

CONCLUSIONS

Survival rates were significantly lower in cases than in controls, driven by a 2-fold increased risk of cardiovascular death. Smoking, serum cholesterol, and use of anticoagulant drugs were associated with increased risk of death in ICH patients. Five-year mortality rates in ICH patients remained stable over time.

Time Trends in Intracerebral Hemorrhage Associated with Oral Anticoagulation and Its Risks Factors in Spain from 2008 to 2015

BACKGROUND

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is 7- to 10-fold higher in anticoagulated patients. Given the more extended use of oral anticoagulants, an increase in the prevalence of ICH associated with oral anticoagulation (ICH-OAC) could be expected. However, there is no previous study that assesses the time trends of ICH-OAC in Spain.

METHODS

We conducted a combined data analysis after creating a joint database of the 3 most important epidemiological studies on ICH-OAC of our country: the EPICES study (2008-2009), the TAC Registry (TR) study (2012-2013) and the TAC Registry 2 (TR2) study (2015). We finally included 65, 235, and 366 patients from the EPICES, TR, and TR2 studies, respectively.

RESULTS

We have observed a 3.73-fold increase in the crude annual incidence of ICH-OAC throughout the period of study, with proportion of ICH-OAC out of total ICH increasing from 8.4% in 2008 to 18.2% in 2015. Age, dyslipidemia, and prior antiplatelet treatment increased during the study, but we found no statistically significant differences in other risk factors for ICH-OAC.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of ICH-OAC is increasing in our country. It might at least be partly explained by aging of the population, with mean age at presentation being higher in the last years.

Incremental Accuracy of Blood Biomarkers for Predicting Clinical Outcomes After Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is associated with high mortality, morbidity, and recurrence. Studies have reported the accuracy of several blood biomarkers in predicting clinical outcomes; however, their independent contribution in prediction remains to be established.

AIM

To investigate the incremental accuracy in predicting clinical outcomes in patients with ICH in a north Indian population using blood-based biomarkers.

METHODS

In this study, a total of 250 ICH cases were recruited within 72 hours of onset. Baseline clinical and CT scan measurement were recorded. Homocysteine (HCY), C-reactive protein (CRP), matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP9), E-selectin (SELE), and P-selectin (SELP) levels were measured through ELISA. Telephonic follow-up was done by using mRS scale at three months.

RESULTS

The mean age of cohort was 54.9 (SD±12.8) years with 64.8% patients being male. A total of 109 (43.6%) deaths were observed over three months follow-up. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve-(AUROC) for 90-day mortality were 0.55 (HCY), 0.62 (CRP), 0.57 (MMP9), 0.60 (SELE) and 0.53 (SELP) and for poor outcome at 90-day (mRS: 3-6) were 0.60 (HCY), 0.62 (CRP), 0.54 (MMP9), 0.67 (SELE) and 0.54 (SELP). In multivariable model including age, ICH volume, IVH and GCS at admission, serum SELE (p=0.004) significant for poor outcome with improved AUROC (0.86) and HCY (p=0.04), CRP (p=0.003) & MMP9 (p=0.02) for mortality with least Akaike's Information Criterion-(AIC) (1060.5).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that the serum SELE is a significant predictor of poor outcome and HCY, CRP & MMP9 for Mortality in patients with ICH in the north Indian population.

The Validity of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Diagnoses in the Danish Patient Registry and the Danish Stroke Registry

Purpose

To establish the validity of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) diagnoses in the Danish Stroke Registry (DSR) and the Danish National Patient Registry (DNPR).

Patients and Methods

Based on discharge summaries and brain imaging reports, we estimated the positive predictive value (PPV) of a first-ever diagnosis code for ICH (ICD-10, code I61) for all patients in the Region of Southern Denmark (1.2 million) during 2009-2017 according to either DNPR or DSR. We estimated PPVs for any non-traumatic ICH (a-ICH) and spontaneous ICH (s-ICH) alone (ie, without underlying structural cause). We also calculated the sensitivity of these diagnoses in each of the registers. Finally, we classified the location of verified s-ICH.

Results

A total of 3,956 patients with ICH diagnosis codes were studied (DSR only: 87; DNPR only: 1,513; both registries: 2,356). In the DSR, the PPVs were 86.5% (95% CI=85.1-87.8) for a-ICH and 81.8% (95% CI=80.2-83.3) for s-ICH. The PPVs in DNPR (discharge code, primary diagnostic position) were 76.2% (95% CI=74.7-77.6) for a-ICH and 70.2% (95% CI=68.6-71.8) for s-ICH. Sensitivity for a-ICH and s-ICH was 76.4% (95% CI=74.8-78.0) and 78.7% (95% CI=77.1-80.2) in DSR, and 87.3% (95% CI=86.0-88.5) and 87.7% (95% CI=86.3-88.9) in DNPR. The location of verified s-ICH was lobar (39%), deep (33.6%), infratentorial (13.2%), large unclassifiable (11%), isolated intraventricular (1.9%), or unclassifiable due to insufficient information (1.3%).

Conclusion

The validity of a-ICH diagnoses is high in both registries. For s-ICH, PPV was higher in DSR, while sensitivity was higher in DNPR. The location of s-ICH was similar to distributions seen in other populations.