Estimating the prevalence of latent tuberculosis in a low-incidence setting: Australia

Risk factors for non-isolation of patients admitted for pulmonary tuberculosis in a high-incidence department: a single-centre retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) is an airborne disease, warranting the identification of suspected cases on admission, and their hospitalization in individual rooms with the implementation of airborne supplementary precautions (ASPs).

AIM

To identify the frequency of non-isolated PTB and the factors associated with the delay in implementing ASPs in a high-prevalence hospital.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study included patients with at least one Mycobacterium tuberculosis-positive specimen. Patient demographic and clinical data, as well as data related to the mode of admission, were collected. Univariate and multi-variate statistical analyses were performed.

FINDINGS

During the study period, 256 patients were included. Among them, 134 (52.3%) had PTB (75% males, median age 39 years, 70% foreign-born). Among these patients, 46 (34%) were isolated beyond 24 h of admission. The average time to implement ASPs was 4.3 days, and seven patients (5.2%) were not isolated throughout their hospital stay. Multi-variate analysis indicated that three factors were associated with isolation. Previous consultation with a general practitioner was associated with greater likelihood of isolation, whereas admission through the emergency department was not. The presence of so-called 'cardinal clinical signs' and a suggestive chest x-ray were also associated with greater likelihood of isolation. Finally, European patients were isolated less frequently than foreign-born patients.

CONCLUSION

In this study, 34% of patients admitted with PTB were not isolated on admission. The likelihood of non-isolation was three times higher in cases admitted via the emergency department, and European patients were isolated less frequently than foreign-born patients. The presence of cardinal signs and prior consultation with a general practitioner were associated with greater likelihood of isolation.

Prevalence estimates of tuberculosis infection in adults in Denmark: a retrospective nationwide register-based cross-sectional study, 2010 to 2018

BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) elimination requires identifying and treating persons with TB infection (TBI).AimWe estimate the prevalence of positive interferon gamma release assay (IGRA) tests (including TB) and TBI (excluding TB) in Denmark based on TBI screening data from patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) or inflammatory rheumatic disease (IRD).MethodsUsing nationwide Danish registries, we included all patients with IBD or IRD with an IGRA test performed between 2010 and 2018. We estimated the prevalence of TBI and positive IGRA with 95% confidence intervals (CI) in adolescents and adults aged 15-64 years after sample weighting adjusting for distortions in the sample from the background population of Denmark for sex, age group and TB incidence rates (IR) in country of birth.ResultsIn 13,574 patients with IBD or IRD, 12,892 IGRA tests (95.0%) were negative, 461 (3.4%) were positive and 221 (1.6%) were indeterminate, resulting in a weighted TBI prevalence of 3.2% (95% CI: 2.9-3.5) and weighted positive IGRA prevalence of 3.8% (95% CI: 3.5-4.2) among adults aged 15-64 years in the background population of Denmark. Unweighted TBI prevalence increased with age and birthplace in countries with a TB IR higher than 10/100,000 population.ConclusionEstimated TBI prevalence is low in Denmark. We estimate that 200,000 persons have TBI and thus are at risk of developing TB. Screening for TBI and preventive treatment, especially in persons born in high TB incidence countries or immunosuppressed, are crucial to reduce the risk of and eliminate TB.

Whole genome sequencing for tuberculosis in Victoria, Australia: A genomic implementation study from 2017 to 2020

Background

Whole genome sequencing (WGS) is increasingly used by tuberculosis (TB) programs to monitor Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) transmission. We aimed to characterise the molecular epidemiology of TB and Mtb transmission in the low-incidence setting of Victoria, Australia, and assess the utility of WGS.

Methods

WGS was performed on all first Mtb isolates from TB cases from 2017 to 2020. Potential clusters (≤12 single nucleotide polymorphisms [SNPs]) were investigated for epidemiological links. Transmission events in highly-related (≤5 SNPs) clusters were classified as likely or possible, based on the presence or absence of an epidemiological link, respectively. Case characteristics and transmission settings (as defined by case relationship) were summarised. Poisson regression was used to examine associations with secondary case number.

Findings

Of 1844 TB cases, 1276 (69.2%) had sequenced isolates, with 182 (14.2%) in 54 highly-related clusters, 2-40 cases in size. Following investigation, 140 cases (11.0% of sequenced) were classified as resulting from likely/possible local-transmission, including 82 (6.4%) for which transmission was likely. Common identified transmission settings were social/religious (26.4%), household (22.9%) and family living in different households (7.1%), but many were uncertain (41.4%). While household transmission featured in many clusters (n = 24), clusters were generally smaller (median = 3 cases) than the fewer that included transmission in social/religious settings (n = 12, median = 7.5 cases). Sputum-smear-positivity was associated with higher secondary case numbers.

Interpretation

WGS results suggest Mtb transmission commonly occurs outside the household in our low-incidence setting. Further work is required to optimise the use of WGS in public health management of TB.

Funding

The Victorian Tuberculosis Program receives block funding for activities including case management and contact tracing from the Victorian Department of Health. No specific funding for this report was received by manuscript authors or the Victorian Tuberculosis Program, and the funders had no role in the study design, data collection, data analysis, interpretation or report writing.

Detecting Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection in Children Migrating to Australia

In 2015, Australia updated premigration screening for tuberculosis (TB) disease in children 2-10 years of age to include testing for infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis and enable detection of latent TB infection (LTBI). We analyzed TB screening results in children <15 years of age during November 2015-June 2017. We found 45,060 child applicants were tested with interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA) (57.7% of tests) or tuberculin skin test (TST) (42.3% of tests). A total of 21 cases of TB were diagnosed: 4 without IGRA or TST, 10 with positive IGRA or TST, and 7 with negative results. LTBI was detected in 3.3% (1,473/44,709) of children, for 30 applicants screened per LTBI case detected. LTBI-associated factors included increasing age, TB contact, origin from a higher TB prevalence region, and testing by TST. Detection of TB and LTBI benefit children, but the updated screening program's effect on TB in Australia is likely to be limited.

Prevalence trends of latent tuberculosis infection at the global, regional, and country levels from 1990-2019

OBJECTIVES

To track the prevalence trends of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) at the global, regional, and national levels.

METHODS

Data on the prevalence of LTBI were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease database. The average annual percent change (AAPC) was estimated by joinpoint regression and was used to evaluate the epidemic of the disease.

RESULTS

Globally, the prevalence rate of LTBI decreased from 30.66% in 1990 to 23.67% in 2019, with an AAPC of -0.9%. The prevalence rate of LTBI varied from 5.02% (Jordan) to 48.35% (Uganda) in 1990 and from 2.51% (Jordan) to 43.75% (Vietnam) in 2019 at the country level. The prevalence decreased in all the six World Health Organization (WHO) regions and in most countries, with the AAPC ranging from -0.5% in the Western Pacific Region to -2.1% in the European Region and from -4.3% (Bhutan) to -0.1% (Malaysia, Myanmar, South Africa, Tokelau, and Vietnam), respectively. Disparities were also observed among different sex and age groups.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of LTBI decreased slightly worldwide in the last three decades, but the decrease is slow and not sufficient to meet the targets of WHO tuberculosis elimination. Much more effort and progress should be made in order to decrease the prevalence of LTBI.

Modeling the Cost-Effectiveness of Latent Tuberculosis Screening and Treatment Strategies in Recent Migrants to a Low-Incidence Setting

Many tuberculosis (TB) cases in low-incidence settings are attributed to reactivation of latent TB infection (LTBI) acquired overseas. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of community-based LTBI screening and treatment strategies in recent migrants to a low-incidence setting (Australia). A decision-analytical Markov model was developed that cycled 1 migrant cohort (≥11-year-olds) annually over a lifetime from 2020. Postmigration/onshore and offshore (screening during visa application) strategies were compared with existing policy (chest x-ray during visa application). Outcomes included TB cases averted and discounted cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained from a health-sector perspective. Most recent migrants are young adults and cost-effectiveness is limited by their relatively low LTBI prevalence, low TB mortality risks, and high emigration probability. Onshore strategies cost at least $203,188 (Australian) per QALY gained, preventing approximately 2.3%-7.0% of TB cases in the cohort. Offshore strategies (screening costs incurred by migrants) cost at least $13,907 per QALY gained, preventing 5.5%-16.9% of cases. Findings were most sensitive to the LTBI treatment quality-of-life decrement (further to severe adverse events); with a minimal decrement, all strategies caused more ill health than they prevented. Additional LTBI strategies in recent migrants could only marginally contribute to TB elimination and are unlikely to be cost-effective unless screening costs are borne by migrants and potential LTBI treatment quality-of-life decrements are ignored.

Antimicrobial resistance surveillance of Clostridioides difficile in Australia, 2015-18

BACKGROUND

Clostridioides difficile was listed as an urgent antimicrobial resistance (AMR) threat in a report by the CDC in 2019. AMR drives the evolution of C. difficile and facilitates its emergence and spread. The C. difficile Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance (CDARS) study is nationwide longitudinal surveillance of C. difficile infection (CDI) in Australia.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the antimicrobial susceptibility of C. difficile isolated in Australia between 2015 and 2018.

METHODS

A total of 1091 strains of C. difficile were collected over a 3 year period by a network of 10 diagnostic microbiology laboratories in five Australian states. These strains were tested for their susceptibility to nine antimicrobials using the CLSI agar incorporation method.

RESULTS

All strains were susceptible to metronidazole, fidaxomicin, rifaximin and amoxicillin/clavulanate and low numbers of resistant strains were observed for meropenem (0.1%; 1/1091), moxifloxacin (3.5%; 38/1091) and vancomycin (5.7%; 62/1091). Resistance to clindamycin was common (85.2%; 929/1091), followed by resistance to ceftriaxone (18.8%; 205/1091). The in vitro activity of fidaxomicin [geometric mean MIC (GM) = 0.101 mg/L] was superior to that of vancomycin (1.700 mg/L) and metronidazole (0.229 mg/L). The prevalence of MDR C. difficile, as defined by resistance to ≥3 antimicrobial classes, was low (1.7%; 19/1091).

CONCLUSIONS

The majority of C. difficile isolated in Australia did not show reduced susceptibility to antimicrobials recommended for treatment of CDI (vancomycin, metronidazole and fidaxomicin). Resistance to carbapenems and fluoroquinolones was low and MDR was uncommon; however, clindamycin resistance was frequent. One fluoroquinolone-resistant ribotype 027 strain was detected.

TB contact tracing for young children: an Australian cascade of care review

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate care cascades for programmatic active case finding and latent TB infection (LTBI) management in young child TB contacts (aged <5 years) in Victoria, Australia.

DESIGN

This was a retrospective review of public health surveillance data to identify contacts of all pulmonary TB cases notified from 2016 to 2019.

RESULTS

Contact tracing identified 574 young child contacts of 251 pulmonary TB cases. Active TB was found in 28 (4.9%) contacts, none of whom had previously received bacille Calmette-Guérin vaccination, and 529 were tested for TB infection using the tuberculin skin test (TST). The overall TST positivity was 15.3% (95% CI 0.1-0.2). Among the 574 children, 150 (26.1%) were close contacts of sputum smear-positive cases and 25 (16.7%) of these were not referred to TB clinics. Of the 125 referred, 81 were considered to have LTBI, 79 agreed to commence TB preventive treatment (TPT) and 71 (89.9%) completed TPT. Following completion of TPT, no child was subsequently diagnosed with active TB.

CONCLUSION

There was a high yield from active case finding and uptake of TPT. Notable losses in the cascade of care occurred around referral to tertiary clinics, but high treatment completion rates and good outcomes were found in those prescribed treatment.

Latent infection screening and prevalence in cancer patients born outside of Australia: a universal versus risk-based approach?

PURPOSE

Contention surrounds how best to screen patients for latent and undiagnosed infection prior to cancer treatment. Early treatment and prophylaxis against reactivation may improve infection-associated morbidity. This study sought to examine rates of screening and prevalence of latent infection in overseas-born patients receiving cancer therapies.

METHODS

A single-centre retrospective audit of 952 overseas-born patients receiving chemotherapy, targeted agents and immunotherapy between January 1 and December 31 2019 was undertaken at Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre. Pre-treatment screening for hepatitis B (HBV), hepatitis C (HCV), human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), latent tuberculosis (LTBI), toxoplasmosis and strongyloidiasis was audited.

RESULTS

Approximately half of our overseas-born patients were screened for HBV (58.9%) and HCV (50.7%). Fewer patients were screened for HIV (30.5%), LTBI (18.3%), strongyloidiasis (8.6%) or toxoplasmosis (8.1%). Although 59.7% of our patients were born in countries with high epidemiological risk for latent infection, according to World Health Organization data, 35% were not screened for any infection prior to commencement of therapy.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of latent infections amongst overseas-born patients with cancer, and complexities associated with risk-based screening, likely supports universal latent infection screening amongst this higher-risk cohort.

Estimating Long-term Tuberculosis Reactivation Rates in Australian Migrants

BACKGROUND

The risk of progression to tuberculosis (TB) disease is greatest soon after infection, yet disease may occur many years or decades later. However, rates of TB reactivation long after infection remain poorly quantified. Australia has a low incidence of TB and most cases occur among migrants. We explored how TB rates in Australian migrants varied with time from migration, age, and gender.

METHODS

We combined TB notifications in census years 2006, 2011, and 2016 with time- and country-specific estimates of latent TB prevalences in migrant cohorts to quantify postmigration reactivation rates.

RESULTS

During the census years, 3246 TB cases occurred among an estimated 2 084 000 migrants with latent TB. There were consistent trends in postmigration reactivation rates, which appeared to be dependent on both time from migration and age. Rates were lower in cohorts with increasing time, until at least 20 years from migration, and on this background there also appeared to be increasing rates during youth (15-24 years of age) and in those aged 70 years and above. Within 5 years of migration, annual reactivation rates were approximately 400 per 100 000 (uncertainty interval [UI] 320-480), dropping to 170 (UI 130-220) from 5 to 10 years and 110 (UI 70-160) from 10 to 20 years, then sustaining at 60-70 per 100 000 up to 60 years from migration. Rates varied depending on age at migration.

CONCLUSIONS

Postmigration reactivation rates appeared to show dependency on both time from migration and age. This approach to quantifying reactivation risks will enable evaluations of the potential impacts of TB control and elimination strategies.

The global prevalence of latent tuberculosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

In 1999, the World Health Organization (WHO) estimated that one-third of the world's population had latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI), which was recently updated to one-fourth. However, this is still based on controversial assumptions in combination with tuberculin skin test (TST) surveys. Interferon-γ release assays (IGRAs) with a higher specificity than TST have since been widely implemented, but never used to estimate the global LTBI prevalence.We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of LTBI estimates based on both IGRA and TST results published between 2005 and 2018. Regional and global estimates of LTBI prevalence were calculated. Stratification was performed for low, intermediate and high TB incidence countries and a pooled estimate for each area was calculated using a random effects model.Among 3280 studies screened, we included 88 studies from 36 countries with 41 IGRA (n=67 167) and 67 TST estimates (n=284 644). The global prevalence of LTBI was 24.8% (95% CI 19.7-30.0%) and 21.2% (95% CI 17.9-24.4%), based on IGRA and a 10-mm TST cut-off, respectively. The prevalence estimates correlated well to WHO incidence rates (Rs=0.70, p<0.001).In the first study of the global prevalence of LTBI derived from both IGRA and TST surveys, we found that one-fourth of the world's population is infected. This is of relevance, as both tests, although imperfect, are used to identify individuals eligible for preventive therapy. Enhanced efforts are needed targeting the large pool of latently infected individuals, as this constitutes an enormous source of potential active tuberculosis.