Factors associated with disease evolution in Greek patients with inflammatory bowel disease

The assessment of segmental healing by the Modified Mayo Endoscopic Score (MMES) complements the prediction of long-term clinical outcomes in patients with ulcerative colitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Current endoscopic scoring systems for ulcerative colitis (UC) do not consider the extent of mucosal inflammation. The modified Mayo endoscopic score (MMES) was developed to detect segmental endoscopic improvement. We evaluated the ability of the MMES to predict long-term clinical outcomes and compared it to the widely used Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES).

METHODS

Consecutive patients with moderate to severe UC starting biological therapy were enrolled between January 2014 and September 2017 in this prospective observational study. A clinical and endoscopic evaluation was performed at baseline and at week 8/14. A modified Mayo score was used to grade clinical activity, MES and MMES were used to evaluate endoscopic activity. Patients were divided into 3 groups according to the evolution of endoscopic activity, namely endoscopic improvement (MES ≤ 1), segmental endoscopic response only (MES > 1, but decrease in MMES ≥ 30%) or no endoscopic response (all others). Over the follow-up period clinical relapse-, discontinuation- and colectomy-free survival were assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 150 patients were included (48% female, median age 42 years, median disease duration 7 years) with a median follow-up of 61 months. We identified 69 patients with endoscopic improvement, 27 with segmental endoscopic response and 54 without endoscopic response. Patients with segmental endoscopic response showed intermediate long-term clinical outcomes as compared to the other two groups (log rank p = 0.003 for clinical relapse-, and p < 0.001 for both discontinuation- and colectomy-free survival).

CONCLUSIONS

The MMES exhibited a benefit in predicting long-term outcome in UC even though endoscopic improvement remains the strongest predictor.

Prognostic biomarkers to identify patients likely to develop severe Crohn's disease: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Identification of biomarkers that predict severe Crohn's disease is an urgent unmet research need, but existing research is piecemeal and haphazard.

OBJECTIVE

To identify biomarkers that are potentially able to predict the development of subsequent severe Crohn's disease.

DESIGN

This was a prognostic systematic review with meta-analysis reserved for those potential predictors with sufficient existing research (defined as five or more primary studies).

DATA SOURCES

PubMed and EMBASE searched from inception to 1 January 2016, updated to 1 January 2018.

REVIEW METHODS

Eligible studies were studies that compared biomarkers in patients who did or did not subsequently develop severe Crohn's disease. We excluded biomarkers that had insufficient research evidence. A clinician and two statisticians independently extracted data relating to predictors, severe disease definitions, event numbers and outcomes, including odds/hazard ratios. We assessed risk of bias. We searched for associations with subsequent severe disease rather than precise estimates of strength. A random-effects meta-analysis was performed separately for odds ratios.

RESULTS

In total, 29,950 abstracts yielded just 71 individual studies, reporting 56 non-overlapping cohorts. Five clinical biomarkers (Montreal behaviour, age, disease duration, disease location and smoking), two serological biomarkers (anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibodies and anti-flagellin antibodies) and one genetic biomarker (nucleotide-binding oligomerisation domain-containing protein 2) displayed statistically significant prognostic potential. Overall, the strongest association with subsequent severe disease was identified for Montreal B2 and B3 categories (odds ratio 4.09 and 6.25, respectively).

LIMITATIONS

Definitions of severe disease varied widely, and some studies confounded diagnosis and prognosis. Risk of bias was rated as 'high' in 92% of studies overall. Some biomarkers that are used regularly in daily practice, for example C-reactive protein, were studied too infrequently for meta-analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Research for individual biomarkers to predict severe Crohn's disease is scant, heterogeneous and at a high risk of bias. Despite a large amount of potential research, we encountered relatively few biomarkers with data sufficient for meta-analysis, identifying only eight biomarkers with potential predictive capability.

FUTURE WORK

We will use existing data sets to develop and then validate a predictive model based on the potential predictors identified by this systematic review. Contingent on the outcome of that research, a prospective external validation may prove clinically desirable.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42016029363.

FUNDING

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 25, No. 45. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

The Degree of Ulcerative Colitis Burden of Luminal Inflammation score is superior to predicting medium- to long-term prognosis in patients with active ulcerative colitis

AIMS

The endoscopic evaluation is crucial for the management and treatment of ulcerative colitis (UC). Currently, the Mayo Endoscopic Score (MES) and the Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity (UCEIS) are two major endoscopic score systems to evaluate the status of mucosal inflammation and disease activity. However, in both MES and UCEIS systems, the disease extent is not included. The Degree of Ulcerative Colitis Burden of Luminal Inflammation (DUBLIN) score is a simple clinical score which is calculated as a product of the MES (0-3) and the extent of disease (E1-E3). The objective of this study was to compare the correlation among DUBLIN, UCEIS and MES, and also investigate the clinical characteristics for predicting treatment failure in patients with active UC.

METHODS

Between March 2015 and April 2019, 172 patients who were previously diagnosed with UC and had undergone colonoscopy were recruited in this study. We retrospectively reviewed the endoscopic scores and clinical characteristics at the time of the colonoscopy and assessed the prognosis of the patients. Endoscopic response was defined as the decrease in MES ⩾1 grade.

RESULTS

DUBLIN showed significant correlation with MES (r = 0.748) and partial Mayo score (pMayo) (r = 0.707), and moderately correlated with CRP (r = 0.590). UCEIS also showed strong correlation with MES (r = 0.712) but moderate correlation with pMayo (r = 0.609) and CRP (r = 0.588). Compared with the UCEIS (cut-off value: 4; sensitivity: 75.73%), DUBLIN score (cut-off value: 4; sensitivity: 86.41%) showed higher diagnostic sensitivity than UCEIS score (McNemar test, p < 0.05). Furthermore, a multivariate analysis also revealed that DUBLIN ⩾4 was the independent factor for predicting treatment failure for UC (p < 0.001, odds ratio: 1.547; 95% confidence interval: 1.32-1.88).

CONCLUSION

The DUBLIN score shows superior diagnostic performances in terms of sensitivity value compared with the UCEIS. Moreover, multivariate analysis indicates that DUBLIN ⩾4 is an independent factor for predicting medium- to long-term treatment failure in active UC patients.

Risk factors and long-term outcome of disease extent progression in Asian patients with ulcerative colitis: a retrospective cohort study

Background

The incidence of Ulcerative colitis (UC) in Asia is increasing but reports on its long-term course are few. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors predictive of extent progression in Asian patients with UC and to evaluate the clinical outcome by longitudinal follow-up.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 518 UC patients without ascending colon involvement at diagnosis who were regularly followed and underwent colonoscopy between 2003 and 2016 in an Asian tertiary referral center. Proximal disease extension and associated risk factors were analyzed.

Results

A total of 91 (17.6%) patients experienced proximal disease extension followed for a median period of 7.5 years. The median time for extent extension was 16.1 months (interquartile range (IQR) 8.3–42.2). The cumulative rate of disease extension was 9.9, 14.9, 19.6, 24.6 and 30.5% at 1,2,3,4 and 5 years after diagnosis. 43 (12.0%) patients with E1/E2 progressed to E3, and 40 (21.9%) with E1 progressed to E2. Of patients diagnosed with E3 involvement limited to the hepatic flexure distally, 8 (13.3%) progressed to pancolitis. Cox regression analysis found that disease extent at diagnosis was the sole predictor of disease extension (odds ratio (OR),1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.18–2.57, p = 0.01). Proximal disease extension was associated with disease relapse (p = 0.03) and increased use of steroids and immunosuppressive agents (p <  0.01).

Conclusion

UC is a dynamic disease and that the disease extension in Asians was comparable to that in Caucasians. Proximal disease extension increased the risk of disease flare and treatment intensification.

Optimized Management of Ulcerative Proctitis: When and How to Use Mesalazine Suppository

BACKGROUND

Ulcerative proctitis, one of the disease types of ulcerative colitis, is considered one of the initial manifestations of ulcerative colitis. Prevention of aggravation of ulcerative proctitis is important for improving the prognosis of ulcerative colitis. Here we reviewed the epidemiology, diagnosis, and management of ulcerative proctitis.

SUMMARY

The number of patients with ulcerative proctitis is increasing. Disease extension occurs in many patients with ulcerative proctitis. Differential diagnosis from other chronic proctitis is important and should be performed based on the clinical history and endoscopical and histological features. Mesalazine suppository has been the first-line therapy for patients with ulcerative proctitis because of its high effectiveness and safety. Topical treatment of ulcerative proctitis, particularly using mesalazine suppository has been underused in clinical practice. Key Messages: Mesalazine suppositories are more effective than dose intensification of oral mesalazine for relapsed patients with maintenance dose of oral mesalazine. However, low adherence to rectal mesalazine has hindered remission in patients with ulcerative proctitis.

Ulcerative proctitis is a frequent location of paediatric-onset UC and not a minor disease: a population-based study

OBJECTIVE

Natural history of paediatric-onset ulcerative proctitis (UP) is poorly described. Our aim was to describe the phenotype and disease course of incident UP in a population-based study of paediatric-onset UC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

All patients with UC diagnosed <17 years from 1988 to 2004, and followed during >2 years have been extracted from a population-based registry. UC location was defined according to the Paris classification. Cumulative risks for use of immunosuppressants (IS), anti-tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α) therapy, colonic extension and colectomy were described using Kaplan-Meier method. Risk factors for colonic extension were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

158 patients with paediatric-onset UC (91 females) with a median age at diagnosis of 14.5 years (Q1: 11.4-Q3: 16.1) have been identified and followed during a median of 11.4 years (8.2-15.8). Among them, 25% had UP (E1) at diagnosis and 49% of them presented a colonic extension at maximal follow-up. In these children, the cumulative risk for colonic extension was 10% at 1 year, 45% at 5 years and 52% at 10 years. No parameter at diagnosis was associated with colonic extension in the UP (E1 group). IS use was significantly lower in patients with UP than in those with E2, E3 or E4 location (p=0.049). For the UP cohort, the cumulative risk for colectomy was 3% at 1 year, 10% at 5 years, 13% at 10 years and 13% at 15 years. Risks for colonic extension, treatment with anti-TNF-α and colectomy did not differ between the E1 group and the E2-E3-E4 group.

CONCLUSIONS

UP is frequent in paediatric-onset UC and should not be considered as a minor disease. Compared with more extensive UC locations, risks for colonic extension, anti-TNF-α therapy and colectomy were similar in UP, whereas the risk for use of IM was lower.

Proximal Disease Extension in Patients With Limited Ulcerative Colitis: A Danish Population-based Inception Cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Disease extent in ulcerative colitis [UC] is dynamic and can progress over time. Little is known about risk factors for UC extension in the era of biologics. We investigated the risk of UC extension and subsequent risk of surgery in a Danish population-based cohort.

METHODS

All incident UC cases in a strictly defined Copenhagen area between 2003 and 2004 were followed prospectively through 2011. Disease extension was defined as patients with limited UC [E1 or E2] at diagnosis having progressed from the initial extent by colonoscopy or surgery to E2 or extensive colitis [E3]. Associations between progression or colectomy and multiple covariates were analysed by Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Of 300 UC patients, 220 [73%] had E1 or E2 at diagnosis. During follow-up, 50 [23%] patients with E1/E2 progressed to E3, and 22 [10%] with E1 progressed to E2. Disease extent at diagnosis was the sole predictor of extension to E3. A total of 18 [8%] patients with E1/E2 at diagnosis had a colectomy. Progression from E1/E2 to E3, female gender and a history of smoking were risk factors for colectomy.

CONCLUSION

After 7 years of follow-up, 33% of patients with limited UC experienced disease extension. Only extent at diagnosis was a clinical predictor for disease extension. The risk of colectomy was increased in former smokers and patients who progressed to extensive colitis. This highlights the need to prevent disease progression in patients with limited UC, and to identify new histological or molecular markers that might help stratify risks for disease progression.

Systematic review with meta-analysis: proximal disease extension in limited ulcerative colitis

BACKGROUND

Disease extent in ulcerative colitis is one of the major factors determining prognosis over the long-term. Disease extent is dynamic and a proportion of patients presenting with limited disease progress to more extensive forms of disease over time.

AIM

To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological studies reporting on extension of ulcerative colitis to determine frequency of disease extension in patients with limited ulcerative colitis at diagnosis.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature search to identify studies on disease extension of ulcerative colitis (UC) and predictors of disease progression.

RESULTS

Overall, 41 studies were eligible for systematic review but only 30 for meta-analysis. The overall pooled frequency of UC extension was 22.8% with colonic extension being 17.8% at 5 years and 31% at 10 years. Extension was 17.8% (95% CI 11.2-27.3) from E1 to E3, 27.5% (95% CI 7.6-45.6) from E2 to E3 and 20.8% (95% CI 11.4-26.8) from E1 to E2. Rate of extension was significantly higher in patients younger than 18 years (29.2% (CI 6.4-71.3) compared to older patients (20.2% (CI 13.0-30.1) (P<.0001). Risk of extension was significantly higher in patients from North America (37.8%) than from Europe (19.6%) (P<.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In this meta-analysis, approximately one quarter of patients with limited UC extend over time with most extension occurring during the first 10 years. Rate of extension depends on age at diagnosis and geographic origin. Predicting those at high risk of disease extension from diagnosis could lead to personalised therapeutic strategies.

Systematic review with meta-analysis: the effect of tobacco smoking on the natural history of ulcerative colitis

BACKGROUND

Tobacco smoking is associated with a reduced risk of developing ulcerative colitis (UC). A high proportion of UC patients perceive a benefit in disease outcomes secondary to smoking. However, the effects of smoking on the natural history of UC are uncertain.

AIM

To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of the effects of tobacco smoking on the natural history of UC.

METHODS

A search of MEDLINE, EMBASE and EMBASE classic was carried out (up to December 2015) to identify observational studies reporting data on smoking and rates of colectomy, flare of disease activity, proximal disease extension, and development of pouchitis following panproctocolectomy and ileal pouch-anal anastomosis in patients with UC. Dichotomous data were pooled to obtain odds ratios (ORs), with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

The search identified 16 eligible studies: five (2615 patients) studying colectomy; four (620 patients) reporting on flare of disease activity; four (687 patients) examining proximal disease extension and three (355 patients) assessing development of pouchitis. Compared with nonsmokers, the odds of colectomy (OR = 0.89; 95% CI 0.62-1.26), flare of disease activity (OR = 1.26; 95% CI 0.65-2.44), proximal extension of disease (OR = 0.57; 95% CI 0.20-1.66) or the development of pouchitis (OR = 0.57; 95% CI 0.21-1.53) were not significantly lower in smokers.

CONCLUSIONS

Smoking may not improve the natural history of ulcerative colitis. Given the health benefits of smoking cessation and the lack of clear benefit in ulcerative colitis, smoking cessation advice should be incorporated into guidance on the management of ulcerative colitis.

The Modified Mayo Endoscopic Score (MMES): A New Index for the Assessment of Extension and Severity of Endoscopic Activity in Ulcerative Colitis Patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Current endoscopic activity scores for ulcerative colitis (UC) do not take into account the extent of mucosal inflammation. We have developed a simple endoscopic index for UC that takes into account the severity and distribution of mucosal inflammation.

METHODS

In this multicentre trial, UC patients undergoing colonoscopy were prospectively enrolled. For the Modified Score (MS), the sum of Mayo Endoscopic Subscores (MESs) for five colon segments (ascending, transverse, descending, sigmoid and rectum) was calculated. The Extended Modified Score (EMS) was obtained by multiplying the MS by the maximal extent of inflammation. The Modified Mayo Endoscopic Score (MMES) was obtained by dividing the EMS by the number of segments with active inflammation. Colon biopsies were obtained from the rectum and sigmoid, as well as from all inflamed segments, by standard methods. Clinical activity was scored according to the Partial Mayo Score (PMS). Biological activity was scored according to C-reactive protein (CRP) and faecal calprotectin (FC) levels. Histological activity was scored according to the Geboes Score (GS).

RESULTS

One hundred and seventy-one UC patients (38% female, median age 47 years, median disease duration 13 years) were included. The MMES correlated significantly with the PMS (r = 0.535), CRP (r = 0.238), FC (r = 0.730) and GS (r = 0.615) (all p < 0.001). Median MMES scores were significantly higher in patients with clinical, biological or histological activity (all p ≤ 0.001) CONCLUSIONS: The MMES is an easy to use endoscopic index for UC that combines the severity analysis of the MES with disease extent, and correlates very well with clinical, biological and histological disease activity.

The Influence of Second-Hand Cigarette Smoke Exposure during Childhood and Active Cigarette Smoking on Crohn's Disease Phenotype Defined by the Montreal Classification Scheme in a Western Cape Population, South Africa

Background

Smoking may worsen the disease outcomes in patients with Crohn’s disease (CD), however the effect of exposure to second-hand cigarette smoke during childhood is unclear. In South Africa, no such literature exists. The aim of this study was to investigate whether disease phenotype, at time of diagnosis of CD, was associated with exposure to second-hand cigarette during childhood and active cigarette smoking habits.

Methods

A cross sectional examination of all consecutive CD patients seen during the period September 2011-January 2013 at 2 large inflammatory bowel disease centers in the Western Cape, South Africa was performed. Data were collected via review of patient case notes, interviewer-administered questionnaire and clinical examination by the attending gastroenterologist. Disease phenotype (behavior and location) was evaluated at time of diagnosis, according to the Montreal Classification scheme. In addition, disease behavior was stratified as ‘complicated’ or ‘uncomplicated’, using predefined definitions. Passive cigarette smoke exposure was evaluated during 3 age intervals: 0–5, 6–10, and 11–18 years.

Results

One hundred and ninety four CD patients were identified. Cigarette smoking during the 6 months prior to, or at time of diagnosis was significantly associated with ileo-colonic (L3) disease (RRR = 3.63; 95%CI, 1.32–9.98, p = 0.012) and ileal (L1) disease (RRR = 3.54; 95%CI, 1.06–11.83, p = 0.040) compared with colonic disease. In smokers, childhood passive cigarette smoke exposure during the 0–5 years age interval was significantly associated with ileo-colonic CD location (RRR = 21.3; 95%CI, 1.16–391.55, p = 0.040). No significant association between smoking habits and disease behavior at diagnosis, whether defined by the Montreal scheme, or stratified as ‘complicated’ vs ‘uncomplicated’, was observed.

Conclusion

Smoking habits were associated with ileo-colonic (L3) and ileal (L1) disease at time of diagnosis in a South African cohort.

Ulcerative colitis as a progressive disease: the forgotten evidence

In the management of Crohn's disease, earlier aggressive treatment is becoming accepted as a strategy to prevent or retard progression to irreversible bowel damage. It is not yet clear, however, if this same concept should be applied to ulcerative colitis. Hence, we review herein the long-term structural and functional consequences of this latter disease. Disease progression in ulcerative colitis takes six principal forms: proximal extension, stricturing, pseudopolyposis, dysmotility, anorectal dysfunction, and impaired permeability. The precise incidence of these complications and the ability of earlier, more aggressive treatment to prevent them have yet to be determined.

The impact of smoking in Crohn's disease: no smoke without fire

Smoking habit is the most widely accepted environmental factor affecting the incidence and disease progression in the inflammatory bowel diseases. The contrasting effects in Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis are unexplained. The purpose of this review is to summarise the existing data on the effects of smoking in CD on disease history, recurrence after surgery, effects on drug responses and to review available evidence that carriage of some of the known susceptibility genes may be disproportionate in smokers with CD. The review also highlights potential mechanisms involved and factors that might affect patients' smoking habits. The clinical and scientific implications of the data are discussed.

Risk factors and characteristics of extent progression in ulcerative colitis

BACKGROUND

The main objective was to identify risk factors for extent progression in distal ulcerative colitis. The secondary objective was to determine clinical characteristics of disease at the time of progression.

METHODS

Data were obtained from a prospective database. Distal colitis was defined as disease limited to rectum and sigmoid colon (n = 178), extensive colitis as involvement of at least the descending colon (n = 179), and colitis with progression when there was a change of category from distal to extensive (n = 63). To study clinical characteristics at the time of progression, a nested case-control study was performed.

RESULTS

Compared to distal colitis, colitis with progression was associated to significantly higher prevalence of extraintestinal manifestations (42.9% versus 15.5%) steroid-refractory course (28.0% versus 2.2%), requirement of thiopurines (44.3% versus 17.3%), cyclosporine (25.4% versus 1.9%), infliximab (9.5% versus 1.2%), surgery (20.6% versus 0.6%), and incidence of neoplasia (6.3% versus 0%). However, these differences appeared after disease progression. Regression analysis demonstrated that preexisting independent predictive factors for progression were younger age at diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR] 0.979 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.959-0.999) and presence of sclerosing cholangitis (HR 12.83, 95% CI 1.36-121.10). The nested case-control study showed that at the time of progression the flare was more severe in cases than in matched controls, with significant differences in markers of disease severity, therapeutic requirements, hospitalizations, and surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with distal ulcerative colitis diagnosed at a younger age or with associated sclerosing cholangitis are at higher risk for progression. Disease flare associated with progression follows a severe course with high therapeutic requirements.