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Diakite I, Martins B, Owusu-Edusei K, Palmer C, Patterson-Lomba O, Gomez-Lievano A, Zion A, Simpson R, Daniels V, Elbasha E. Structured Literature Review to Identify Human Papillomavirus's Natural History Parameters for Dynamic Population Models of Vaccine Impacts. Infect Dis Ther 2024; 13:965-990. [PMID: 38589763 PMCID: PMC11098984 DOI: 10.1007/s40121-024-00952-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2023] [Accepted: 02/23/2024] [Indexed: 04/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a common sexually transmitted virus that can cause cervical cancer and other diseases. Dynamic transmission models (DTMs) have been developed to evaluate the health and economic impacts of HPV vaccination. These models typically include many parameters, such as natural history of the disease, transmission, demographic, behavioral, and screening. To ensure the accuracy of DTM projections, it is important to parameterize them with the best available evidence. This study aimed to identify and synthesize data needed to parametrize DTMs on the natural history of HPV infection and related diseases. Parameters describing data of interest were grouped by their anatomical location (genital warts, recurrent respiratory papillomatosis, and cervical, anal, vaginal, vulvar, head and neck, and penile cancers), and natural history (progression, regression, death, cure, recurrence, detection), and were identified through a systematic literature review (SLR) and complementary targeted literature reviews (TLRs). The extracted data were then synthesized by pooling parameter values across publications, and summarized using the range of values across studies reporting each parameter and the median value from the most relevant study. Data were extracted and synthesized from 223 studies identified in the SLR and TLRs. Parameters frequently reported pertained to cervical cancer outcomes, while data for other anatomical locations were less available. The synthesis of the data provides a large volume of parameter values to inform HPV DTMs, such as annual progression rates from cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 1 to CIN 2+ (median of highest quality estimate 0.0836), CIN 2 to CIN 3+ (0.0418), carcinoma in situ (CIS) 2 to local cancer+ (0.0396), and regional to distant cancer (0.0474). Our findings suggest that while there is a large body of evidence on cervical cancer, parameter values featured substantial heterogeneity across studies, and further studies are needed to better parametrize the non-cervical components of HPV DTMs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ibrahim Diakite
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, 07065, USA.
- Merck & Co., Inc. Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences (BARDS), Health Economic and Decision Sciences (HEDS), Vaccines, WP 37A-150 770 Sumneytown Pike, 1st Floor, West Point, PA, 19486, USA.
| | - Bruno Martins
- Analysis Group, Inc, 111 Huntington Avenue, 14th Floor, Boston, MA, 02199, USA
| | - Kwame Owusu-Edusei
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, 07065, USA
| | - Cody Palmer
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, 07065, USA
| | | | | | - Abigail Zion
- Analysis Group, Inc, 111 Huntington Avenue, 14th Floor, Boston, MA, 02199, USA
| | - Ryan Simpson
- Analysis Group, Inc, 111 Huntington Avenue, 14th Floor, Boston, MA, 02199, USA
| | - Vincent Daniels
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, 07065, USA
| | - Elamin Elbasha
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, 07065, USA
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Petráš M, Dvořák V, Lomozová D, Máčalík R, Neradová S, Dlouhý P, Malinová J, Rosina J, Lesná IK. Timing of HPV vaccination as adjuvant treatment of CIN2+ recurrence in women undergoing surgical excision: a meta-analysis and meta-regression. Sex Transm Infect 2023; 99:561-570. [PMID: 37553234 PMCID: PMC10715477 DOI: 10.1136/sextrans-2023-055793] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2023] [Accepted: 07/24/2023] [Indexed: 08/10/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The main aim was to determine the overall vaccine effectiveness (VE) against recurrent cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) including specific VE associated with timing of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination using data from published studies. DESIGN Meta-analysis and meta-regression. DATA SOURCES A computerised literature search was undertaken using the MEDLINE, EMBASE, International Pharmaceutical Abstracts, Derwent Drug File, ProQuest Science and Technology, Cochrane and MedRxiv databases. To be eligible, the studies, with no language restrictions, had to be published between 1 January 2001 and 25 May 2023. REVIEW METHODS Included were studies with an unvaccinated reference group that assessed CIN2+ recurrence irrespective of the HPV genotype in women undergoing conisation provided. The present study was carried out in compliance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses and Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology guidelines. The risk of study bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale. The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation guidelines were used to assess the strength of evidence for the primary outcome. Data synthesis was conducted using meta-analysis and meta-regression. RESULTS Out of a total of 14 322 publications, 20 studies with a total of 21 estimates were included. The overall VE against recurrent CIN2+ irrespective of the HPV genotype achieved 69.5% (95% CI: 54.7% to 79.5%). While the HPV vaccine valency, follow-up duration, type of study including its risk of bias had no effect on VE, the highest VE of 78.1% (95% CI: 68.7% to 84.7%) was reported for women receiving their first dose not earlier than the day of excision. This outcome was supported by additional analyses and a VE prediction interval ranging from 67.1% to 85.4%. CONCLUSIONS The outcome of this meta-analysis and meta-regression convincingly showed the beneficial effect of post-excisional HPV vaccination against CIN2+ recurrence. Studies published to date have been unable to determine whether or not vaccination, completed or initiated before conisation, would be associated with more favourable results. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER CRD42022353530.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marek Petráš
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Vladimír Dvořák
- Center of Ambulatory Gynecology and Primary Care, Brno, Czech Republic
| | - Danuše Lomozová
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Roman Máčalík
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Sylva Neradová
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Pavel Dlouhý
- Department of Hygiene, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Jana Malinová
- Královské Vinohrady University Hospital, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Jozef Rosina
- Department of Medical Biophysics and Medical Informatics, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
- Department of Health Care and Population Protection, Ceské vysoké ucení technické v Praze Fakulta biomedicinského inzenyrstvi, Kladno, Czech Republic
| | - Ivana Králová Lesná
- Institute for Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Prague, Czech Republic
- Department of Anesthesia, Charles University First Faculty of Medicine, Prague, Czech Republic
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Chen M, Li C, Cui Q, Zhou C, Chen P, Yao S. The efficacy of human papillomavirus prophylactic vaccination after conization in preventing cervical intraepithelial neoplasia recurrence: A prospective observational study in China. Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol 2023; 286:10-15. [PMID: 37159990 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejogrb.2023.04.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2022] [Revised: 03/26/2023] [Accepted: 04/16/2023] [Indexed: 05/11/2023]
Abstract
High-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) infection is the cause of most cervical cancers. Since therapeutic vaccines are not yet available for clinical practice, the administration of HPV prophylactic vaccines in patients with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) arouses great interest and its value after excisional treatment of CIN remains unclear. We conducted this prospective cohort study to evaluate the impact of HPV prophylactic vaccination on preventing women from subsequent infection and cervical lesions after excision treatment. 148 patients after loop electrosurgical excision procedure (LEEP) for CIN2+ disease received HPV prophylactic vaccination (6/11/16/18 vaccine, Gardasil®, Merck) after surgery (V-group) and 273 didn't get vaccination (NV-group). The HPV infection rates at the first and second year after LEEP were significantly lower in the V-group than that in NV-group (P = 0.049 and P = 0.026). CIN2+ recurrence was observed in 29 cases (10.62 %) in the NV-group and 2 cases (2.03 %) in the V-group. Logistic regression analysis showed that the HPV16/18 infection, the CIN3 pathology after LEEP and no vaccination after LEEP were significant risk factors of recurrence. Patients without HPV vaccination had a higher CIN2+ recurrence rate (OR = 12.35, 95 % CI 1.919-79.492, P = 0.008). Our study showed the quadrivalent prophylactic HPV vaccination after LEEP had a significantly protective role in the prevention of high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion recurrence. Further randomized, controlled trials are required in elucidating the efficacy of the prophylactic HPV vaccines using shortly after LEEP in patients with CIN disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ming Chen
- Department of Gynecology, the First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China; Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Obstetrical and Gynecological Diseases, China
| | - Cheng Li
- Department of Gynecology, the First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China; Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Obstetrical and Gynecological Diseases, China
| | - Qiulin Cui
- Department of Gynecology, the First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China; Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Obstetrical and Gynecological Diseases, China
| | - Chengli Zhou
- Department of Gynecology, the First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China; Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Obstetrical and Gynecological Diseases, China
| | - Peisong Chen
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, Department of Laboratory Medicine, the First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Shuzhong Yao
- Department of Gynecology, the First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China; Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Obstetrical and Gynecological Diseases, China.
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Li M, Zhao C, Zhao Y, Li J, Wei L. Immunogenicity, efficacy, and safety of human papillomavirus vaccine: Data from China. Front Immunol 2023; 14:1112750. [PMID: 36993948 PMCID: PMC10040563 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2023.1112750] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2022] [Accepted: 02/27/2023] [Indexed: 03/15/2023] Open
Abstract
The incidence rate and mortality rate of cervical cancer have steadily increased in young women in China. Therefore, it is critical to improve HPV vaccination rates, particularly for the younger population. There are currently five types of prophylactic vaccines in China: bivalent HPV vaccine (AS04-HPV-16/18), quadrivalent HPV vaccine, 9-valent HPV vaccine, homemade Escherichia coli-produced HPV bivalent vaccine, and Pichia pastoris produced HPV bivalent vaccine. All these five HPV vaccines have completed relevant clinical trials in China, and have been proven to be generally well-tolerated and immunogenic, efficacious against persistent HPV-related infections and genital precancerous lesions (data for 9-valent HPV vaccine is absent), and have demonstrated acceptable safety profiles, as previously shown in global studies. Given that the HPV vaccination rate in China is still very low, additional HPV vaccine coverage is needed to reduce the incidence and mortality rates of cervical cancer.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mingzhu Li
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Chao Zhao
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Yun Zhao
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Jingran Li
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Lihui Wei
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China
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Kechagias KS, Kalliala I, Bowden SJ, Athanasiou A, Paraskevaidi M, Paraskevaidis E, Dillner J, Nieminen P, Strander B, Sasieni P, Veroniki AA, Kyrgiou M. Role of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination on HPV infection and recurrence of HPV related disease after local surgical treatment: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ 2022; 378:e070135. [PMID: 35922074 PMCID: PMC9347010 DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2022-070135] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/14/2022] [Indexed: 02/02/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To explore the efficacy of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination on the risk of HPV infection and recurrent diseases related to HPV infection in individuals undergoing local surgical treatment. DESIGN Systematic review and meta-analysis DATA SOURCES: PubMed (Medline), Scopus, Cochrane, Web of Science, and ClinicalTrials.gov were screened from inception to 31 March 2021. REVIEW METHODS Studies reporting on the risk of HPV infection and recurrence of disease related to HPV infection after local surgical treatment of preinvasive genital disease in individuals who were vaccinated were included. The primary outcome measure was risk of recurrence of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or higher (CIN2+) after local surgical treatment, with follow-up as reported by individual studies. Secondary outcome measures were risk of HPV infection or other lesions related to HPV infection. Independent and in duplicate data extraction and quality assessment were performed with ROBINS-I and RoB-2 tools for observational studies and randomised controlled trials, respectively. Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) was implemented for the primary outcome. Observational studies and randomised controlled trials were analysed separately from post hoc analyses of randomised controlled trials. Pooled risk ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated with a random effects meta-analysis model. The restricted maximum likelihood was used as an estimator for heterogeneity, and the Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman method was used to derive confidence intervals. RESULTS 22 articles met the inclusion criteria of the review; 18 of these studies also reported data from a non-vaccinated group and were included in the meta-analyses (12 observational studies, two randomised controlled trials, and four post hoc analyses of randomised controlled trials). The risk of recurrence of CIN2+ was reduced in individuals who were vaccinated compared with those who were not vaccinated (11 studies, 19 909 participants; risk ratio 0.43, 95% confidence interval 0.30 to 0.60; I2=58%, τ2=0.14, median follow-up 36 months, interquartile range 24-43.5). The effect estimate was even stronger when the risk of recurrence of CIN2+ was assessed for disease related to HPV subtypes HPV16 or HPV18 (six studies, 1879 participants; risk ratio 0.26, 95% confidence interval 0.16 to 0.43; I2=0%, τ2=0). Confidence in the meta-analysis for CIN2+ overall and CIN2+ related to HPV16 or HPV18, assessed by GRADE, ranged from very low to moderate, probably because of publication bias and inconsistency in the studies included in the meta-analysis. The risk of recurrence of CIN3 was also reduced in patients who were vaccinated but uncertainty was large (three studies, 17 757 participants; 0.28, 0.01 to 6.37; I2=71%, τ2=1.23). Evidence of benefit was lacking for recurrence of vulvar, vaginal, and anal intraepithelial neoplasia, genital warts, and persistent and incident HPV infections, although the number of studies and participants in each outcome was low. CONCLUSION HPV vaccination might reduce the risk of recurrence of CIN, in particular when related to HPV16 or HPV18, in women treated with local excision. GRADE assessment for the quality of evidence indicated that the data were inconclusive. Large scale, high quality randomised controlled trials are required to establish the level of effectiveness and cost of HPV vaccination in women undergoing treatment for diseases related to HPV infection. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION PROSPERO CRD42021237350.
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Affiliation(s)
- Konstantinos S Kechagias
- Department of Metabolism, Digestion, and Reproduction and Department of Surgery and Cancer, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Ilkka Kalliala
- Department of Metabolism, Digestion, and Reproduction and Department of Surgery and Cancer, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Helsinki and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Sarah J Bowden
- Department of Metabolism, Digestion, and Reproduction and Department of Surgery and Cancer, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Antonios Athanasiou
- Department of Metabolism, Digestion, and Reproduction and Department of Surgery and Cancer, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Maria Paraskevaidi
- Department of Metabolism, Digestion, and Reproduction and Department of Surgery and Cancer, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | | | - Joakim Dillner
- Centre for Cervical Cancer Prevention, Medical Diagnostics Karolinska, Karolinska University Hospital and Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Pekka Nieminen
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Helsinki and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Bjorn Strander
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Peter Sasieni
- King's Clinical Trials Unit, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Areti Angeliki Veroniki
- Department of Metabolism, Digestion, and Reproduction and Department of Surgery and Cancer, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St Michael's Hospital, Unity Health Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Maria Kyrgiou
- Department of Metabolism, Digestion, and Reproduction and Department of Surgery and Cancer, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
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Davies-Oliveira JC, Smith MA, Grover S, Canfell K, Crosbie EJ. Eliminating Cervical Cancer: Progress and Challenges for High-income Countries. Clin Oncol (R Coll Radiol) 2021; 33:550-559. [PMID: 34315640 DOI: 10.1016/j.clon.2021.06.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2021] [Revised: 06/21/2021] [Accepted: 06/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
In 2020, the World Health Organization launched a major initiative to eliminate cervical cancer globally. The initiative is built around the three key pillars of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination, cervical screening and treatment, with associated intervention targets for the year 2030. The '90-70-90' targets specify that 90% of adolescent girls receive prophylactic HPV vaccination, 70% of adult women receive a minimum twice-in-a-lifetime cervical HPV test and 90% receive appropriate treatment for preinvasive or invasive disease. Modelling has shown that if these targets are met, the elimination of cervical cancer, defined as fewer than four cases per 100 000 women per annum, will be achieved within a century. Many high-income countries are well positioned to eliminate cervical cancer within the coming decades, but few have achieved '90-70-90' and many challenges must still be addressed to deliver these critical interventions effectively. This review considers the current status of cervical cancer control in relation to each of the three elimination pillars in high-income countries and discusses some of the developments that will assist countries in reaching these ambitious targets by 2030.
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Affiliation(s)
- J C Davies-Oliveira
- Gynaecological Oncology Research Group, Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, Manchester, UK; Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, St Mary's Hospital, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
| | - M A Smith
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - S Grover
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia; Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - K Canfell
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
| | - E J Crosbie
- Gynaecological Oncology Research Group, Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, Manchester, UK; Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, St Mary's Hospital, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
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Surgical Treatment of Vulvar HSIL: Adjuvant HPV Vaccine Reduces Recurrent Disease. Vaccines (Basel) 2021; 9:vaccines9020083. [PMID: 33503866 PMCID: PMC7911252 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines9020083] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/24/2020] [Revised: 01/18/2021] [Accepted: 01/20/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Data suggest that adjuvant human papillomavirus (HPV)-vaccination in women treated for cervical HPV diseases reduces recurrent disease. This study investigates adjuvant HPV-vaccination and the rate of recurrence in women undergoing surgery for vulvar high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL). From January 2013 to April 2020, we enrolled 149 women in a prospective case-control study. The control group (NV-group) was treated by standard surgery alone, while the study group received adjuvant vaccination soon after surgery (V-group). A follow-up was performed by vulvoscopy and HPV test. Statistical analysis was performed by Fisher's exact test. HSIL recurrence was observed in 24/76 (32%) patients in NV-group and in 8/42 patients (19%) of the vaccinated group. By analysing the recurrence rate related to the incident and reactivated latent HPV infection, we found a significant difference between (17/76) 22.3% in NV-group and (2/42) 4.8% in V-group (p = 0.01). A reduction of 78.5% in incident/reactivated HPV infections was demonstrated. Data results add to the current knowledge about the mechanism of post-surgical adjuvant HPV vaccination. Our prospective study is the first to document the vaccine clinical effectiveness in preventing "reactivation" of latent HPV infections. Quadrivalent HPV vaccine administered after the surgical treatment for vulvar HSIL appears to be useful in preventing recurrent disease.
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