Trends in measles cases in Bayelsa state, Nigeria: a five-year review of case-based surveillance data (2014-2018)

Ghana’s progress towards measles elimination: Surveillance data analysis, Greater Accra Region, 2015 – 2019

Introduction

Although measles is targeted for global elimination by 2020, an estimated 869,770 measles cases and 207,500 deaths occurred in 2019. Ghana adopted the World Health Organization measles elimination strategies, however, evidence of a systematic, comprehensive analysis of data tracking progress towards elimination is sparse. We analyzed measles data to describe its epidemiology, surveillance, and vaccination coverage performances in the Greater Accra Region.

Methods

We reviewed and conducted a descriptive analysis of measles surveillance, laboratory, and vaccination data for 2015 to 2019 obtained from the regional health directorate and National public health reference laboratory. Case patients’ demographic and clinical variables were analyzed into frequencies, proportions, and rates. We used WHO measles elimination performance targets; at least one suspected measles case reported per 100,000 population, 80% of suspected measles cases investigated with adequate blood samples, measles incidence <1/1,000,000 population, 95% routine vaccination coverage and during SIAs as benchmarks.

Results

Of 930 suspected measles cases reported, 605(65.1%) were tested. Males accounted for 356(58.8%); 141(23.3%), 342(56.5%), and 122(20.2%), were children <1, 1–4, and ≥5 years old respectively. Of those tested, 10(1.65%) were measles IgM confirmed, of which 7(70.0%) had received at least one dose of measles vaccine. Annualized measles reporting rate ranged from 1.8 to 6.4 per 100,000 population from 2015 to 2019. District specimen collection rate was 100%, and measles incidence was between 0 – 0.6 per million population in the period 2015–2019. Measles vaccination coverage increased from 73.5% in 2016 to 102% in 2019 with 75% of districts achieving 95% coverage in 2019.

Conclusion

The measles case-based surveillance system and vaccination program in the Greater Accra region showed an increasing level of performance towards Ghana’s elimination status. However, performance in laboratory testing of blood specimens was suboptimal. Authorities of Ghana’s health system should strengthen laboratory capacity for prompt diagnosis of measles.

Acceptability of mobile-phone reminders for routine childhood vaccination appointments in Nigeria - a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Mobile-phone reminders have gained traction among policymakers as a way to improve childhood vaccination coverage and timeliness. However, there is limited evidence on the acceptability of mobile-phone reminders among patients and caregivers. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the ownership of mobile-phone device and the willingness to receive mobile-phone reminders among mothers/caregivers utilizing routine childhood immunization services in Nigeria.

METHOD

MEDLINE, Scopus, CINAHL, CNKI, AJOL (African Journal Online), and Web of Science were systematically searched for studies on the acceptability of mobile-phone reminders for routine immunization appointments among mothers/caregivers in Nigeria. Studies were assessed for methodological quality using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale and JBI critical appraisal checklists. Meta-analysis was conducted using random-effects model to generate pooled estimates (proportion) of mothers who owned at least one mobile phone and proportion of mothers willing to receive mobile-phone reminders.

RESULTS

Sixteen studies (13 cross-sectional and three interventional) involving a total of 9923 mothers across 15 states and the Federal Capital Territory Abuja met inclusion criteria. Pooled estimates showed that the proportion of mothers who owned at least one mobile phone was 96.4% (95% CI = 94.1-98.2%; I2 = 96.3%) while the proportion of mothers willing to receive mobile-phone reminders was 86.0% (95% CI = 79.8-91.3%, I2 = 98.4%). Most mothers preferred to receive text message reminders at least 24 h before the routine immunization appointment day, and in the morning hours. Approximately 52.8% of the mothers preferred to receive reminders in English, the country's official language.

CONCLUSION

Current evidence suggests a high acceptability for mobile-phone reminder interventions to improve routine childhood immunization coverage and timeliness. Further studies, however, are needed to better understand unique regional preferences and assess the operational costs, long-term effects, and risks of this intervention.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW PROTOCOL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42021234183.

Epidemiology of measles cases, vaccine effectiveness, and performance towards measles elimination in The Gambia

Introduction

In 2011, member states of the World Health Organization (WHO) Africa Regional Office (AFRO) resolved to eliminate Measles by 2020. Our study aims to assess The Gambia’s progress towards the set AFRO measles elimination target and highlight surveillance and immunisation gaps to better inform future measles prevention strategies.

Material and methods

A retrospective review of measles surveillance data for the period 2011–2019, was extracted from The Gambia case-based measles surveillance database. WHO—UNICEF national coverage estimates were used for estimating national level MCV coverage. Measles post campaign coverage survey coverage estimates were used to estimate national measles campaign coverage.

Results

One hundred and twenty-five of the 863 reported suspected cases were laboratory confirmed as measles cases. More than half (53.6%) of the confirmed cases have unknown vaccination status, 24% of cases were vaccinated, 52.8% of cases occurred among males, and 72.8% cases were among urban residents. The incidence of measles cases per million population was lowest (0) in 2011–2012 and highest in 2015 and 2016 (31 and 23 respectively). The indicator for surveillance sensitivity was met in all years except in 2016 and 2019. Children aged 5–9 years (Incidence Rate Ratio—IRR = 0.6) and residents of Central River region (IRR = 0.21) had lower measles risk whilst unvaccinated (Adjusted IRR = 5.95) and those with unknown vaccination status (IRR 2.21) had higher measles risk. Vaccine effectiveness was 89.5%.

Conclusion

The Gambia’s quest to attain measles elimination status by 2020 has registered significant success but it is unlikely that all target indicators will be met. Vaccination has been very effective in preventing cases. There is variation in measles risk by health region, and it will be important to take it into account when designing prevention and control strategies. The quality of case investigations should be improved to enhance the quality of surveillance for decision making.

Descriptive epidemiology of measles cases in Bauchi State, 2013-2018

BACKGROUND

Measles accounts for high morbidity and mortality in children, especially in developing countries. In 2017, about 11,190 measles cases were recorded in Nigeria, including Bauchi State. The aim of this study was to describe the trend and burden of measles in Bauchi State, Nigeria.

METHOD

We analyzed secondary data of measles cases extracted from the Measles Surveillance data system in Bauchi State from January 2013 to June 2018. The variables extracted included age, sex, doses of vaccination, case location and outcome. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, logistic regression, and multiplicative time series model (α = 0.05).

RESULTS

A total of 4935 suspected measles cases with an average annual incidence rate of 15.3 per 100,000 population and 57 deaths (Case Fatality Rate, CFR: 1.15%) were reported. Among the reported cases, 294 (6%;) were laboratory-confirmed, while clinically compatible and epi-linked cases were 402 (8%) and 3879 (70%), respectively. Of the 4935 measles cases, 2576 (52%) were males, 440 (9%) were under 1 year of age, and 3289 (67%) were between 1 and 4 years. The average annual incidence rate among the 1-4 year age-group was 70.3 per 100,000 population. The incidence rate was lowest in 2018 with 2.1 per 100,000 and highest in 2015 with 26.2 per 100,000 population. The measles cases variation index per quarter was highest in quarter 1 (198.86), followed by quarter 2 (62.21) and least in quarter 4 (10.37) of every year. Only 889 (18%) of the measles cases received at least one dose of measles vaccine, 2701 (54.7%) had no history of measles vaccination while 1346 (27.3%) had unknown vaccination status. The fatality of measles in Bauchi State were significantly associated with being under 5 years (AOR = 5.58; 95%CI: 2.19-14.22) and not having at least a dose of MCV (OR = 7.14; 95%CI: 3.70-14.29).

CONCLUSION

Measles burden remains high in Bauchi State despite a decrease in its incidence over the study years. Most of the cases occurred in the first quarter of every year. Improved routine measles surveillance for prompt case management could reduce the burden of the disease in Bauchi State.