Long-term incidence of cardiovascular outcomes in the middle-aged and elderly with different patterns of physical activity: Tehran lipid and glucose study

Combined associations of physical activity, diet quality and their trajectories with incidence of diabetes and cardiovascular diseases in the EPIC-Norfolk Study

The combined impact of physical activity (PA), diet quality, and their change over time on cardiometabolic disease risk remains uncertain. We aimed to examine the associations between the combined trajectories of these health behaviours and the incidence of diabetes mellitus (DM) and cardiovascular diseases (CVD) among 9,276 middle-aged adults. In the EPIC-Norfolk study, longitudinal changes in PA energy expenditure (∆PAEE) and Mediterranean diet score (∆MDS) were derived from repeated measurements between 1993 and 2004. Over a median follow-up of 18 years, 968 participants developed DM and 2,540 developed CVD by 2022. In mutually adjusted Cox regression models, HR (95%CI) per 1-SD higher ∆PAEE and ∆MDS were 0.87 (0.81-0.94) and 0.92 (0.86-0.99) for incident DM, and 0.94 (0.89-0.99) and 0.93 (0.88-0.97) for incident CVD, respectively. Compared to participants with sustained low PAEE and MDS, those with sustained higher levels of both traits had a 40% (21-55%) lower incidence of DM and a 25% (11-37%) lower CVD incidence. At the population level, consistent favourable levels of activity and diet quality could reduce cumulative incidence of DM by 22% and CVD by 16%. The greatest benefit arises when an active lifestyle is combined with a high-quality diet, initiated earlier in adulthood, and maintained over time.

The association of obesity phenotypes and risk of cardiovascular disease using time-varying and time-invariant approaches: An 18-year follow-up cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Our aim was risk estimation for cardiovascular disease (CVD) across obesity phenotypes over 18 years of follow-up using both time-invariant and time-varying approaches.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This prospective cohort study included 9752 participants aged ≥30 years examined in the first and second phases of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (1999-2001 and 2002-2005). Six phenotypes [i.e., metabolically healthy normal weight (MHNW), overweight (MHOW), and obese (MHO), as well as metabolically unhealthy normal weight (MUNW), overweight (MUOW), and obese (MUO)] were defined based on the body mass index (BMI) and metabolic status. Incident CVD was documented until March 2018. Time-invariant and time-varying Cox regression models were used to estimate CVD hazard ratio (HRs) for obesity phenotypes. Mean age of the participants was 46.6 ± 12.0 years, and 53.9 % of them were women. During 18 years of follow-up, 1083 new CVD events occurred. In metabolically unhealthy individuals, but not metabolically healthy people, multivariable-adjusted HRs for CVD events increased by BMI according to time-varying (HR = 1.6, 95 % CI = 1.13-2.26 for MUNW; HR = 1.92, 95 % CI = 1.43-2.58 for MUOW; HR = 1.94, 95 % CI = 1.4-2.68 for MUO) and time-invariant (HR = 1.85, 95 % CI = 1.01-3.39 for MUNW; HR = 2.75, 95 % CI = 1.63-4.63 for MUOW, and HR = 3.26, 95 % CI = 1.95-5.47 for MUO) models.

CONCLUSION

Metabolically unhealthy overweight and obese individuals are at increased risk of CVD and should be regularly screened to prevent possible cardiovascular events.

Severity of adipose tissue dysfunction is associated with progression of pre-diabetes to type 2 diabetes: the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

BACKGROUND

The association of prediabetes (Pre-DM) regression and progression with visceral adiposity index (VAI) and adipose tissue dysfunction (ATD) remains to be investigated.

METHODS

The present cohort study was conducted within the framework of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) on 1458 Pre-DM cases (aged ≥ 21 years) who were followed for nine years. VAI was estimated based on waist circumference, body mass index, triglycerides, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. ATD status (i.e., absent, mild-moderate, and severe) was defined based on the age-stratified cutoff values of VAI. Multinomial logistic regression models with adjustment of potential confounders were used to estimate the chance of Pre-DM regression to normoglycemia or progression to T2D across ATD status.

RESULTS

During the study follow-up, 39.0% of the participants developed T2D, and 37.7% returned to normoglycemia. Compared to mild-moderate ATD, Pre-DM subjects with severe ATD had a higher risk of developing T2D by 45% (OR = 1.45, 95% CI = 11.08-1.93). Severe ATD was also associated with a decreased chance of returning to normoglycemia by 26% (OR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.55-0.99). Participants with severe ATD had significantly higher fasting (overall mean = 111, 95% CI = 109-112 vs. 106, 95% CI = 105-108 mg/dL) and 2h-serum glucose (overall mean = 165, 95% CI = 161-168 vs. 153, 95% CI = 149-156 mg/dL) concentrations over time.

CONCLUSION

Severe ATD was associated with an elevated risk of developing T2D and longitudinal poor-glycemic controls in Pre-DM subjects. ATD may be a simple and useful index for detecting subjects at a higher risk of Pre-DM progression to T2D, allowing for timely intervention strategies.

Higher daily physical activity levels may facilitate pre-diabetes regression to normoglycemia: A longitudinal study among an Iranian population

The possible association of habitual physical activity (PA) and the risk of pre-diabetes (Pre-DM) progression to type 2 diabetes (T2D) or the chance of returning to normoglycemia was investigated. This cohort study included 1167 Pre-DM individuals (mean age of 53.5 years, and 45.3% men) who participated in the third phase of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (2006-2008) and followed up to a median of 9 years. PA, including leisure time and job activities, was measured using a reliable and validated Iranian version of the Modifiable Activity Questionnaire and reported as metabolic equivalent (MET)-minutes per week. The odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of incident T2D and returning to normoglycemia were estimated in relation to PA levels (i.e., per every 500 MET-minutes/week, or across categories of PA levels < 600 as a reference, 600-1500 and > 1500 MET-minutes/week). During the study follow-up, 39.0 % progressed to T2D, and 37.8% returned to normoglycemia. Compared to subjects with a PA < 600 MET-minutes/week, the chance of regression to normoglycemia increased by 58% [OR = 1.58, 95% CI = 1.03-2.40 ∼ relative risk (RR) = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.02-1.63] among the participants who had a PA > 1500 MET-minutes/week. We further noted that each 500 MET-min/week activity corresponded to an elevated chance of returning to normoglycemia by 5% (OR = 1.05, 95% CI = 1.01-1.11). The study's findings provided evidence that higher daily PA levels may facilitate Pre-DM regression to normoglycemia. The beneficial effect of PA in Pre-DM subjects needs to exceed the recommended levels (i.e., 600 MET-minutes/week).

Pain and physical activity changes during the COVID-19 state of emergency among Japanese adults aged 40 years or older: A cross-sectional study

Understanding the relationship between pain and physical activity (PA) levels is beneficial for maintaining good health status. However, the impact of pain on changes in PA during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is unknown. The purpose of this study was to examine whether PA levels pre-, during, and post-COVID-19 state of emergency differ between Japanese adults who had pain after the COVID-19 state of emergency and those who did not.Data were collected from a cross-sectional online survey conducted between October 19 and 28, 2020. The analytic sample consisted of 1967 Japanese adults aged ≥40 years who completed the online survey. Participants completed questionnaires on the presence of pain and duration of PA, defined as the total PA time per week based on activity frequency and time. Participants were asked to report their PA at 3 time points: October 2019 (before the COVID-19 pandemic), April 2020 (during the COVID-19 state of emergency), and October 2020 (after the COVID-19 state of emergency).Among participants aged ≥60 years who reported pain in October 2020, the total PA time was significantly lower than participants who did not report having pain. Furthermore, the total PA time in April 2020 was significantly lower than that in October 2019; however, no significant difference in total PA time was observed between April and October 2020. Among participants aged 40 to 59 years, no significant differences were observed in total PA times at the 3 time points between those with and without pain. In addition, the total PA time in October 2020 significantly increased compared to that in April 2020, although it significantly decreased in April 2020 compared to October 2019.This study suggests that older adults with pain have lower PA levels after the COVID-19 state of emergency.

Physical Activity and Perceived Physical Fitness during the COVID-19 Epidemic: A Population of 40- to 69-Year-Olds in Japan

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused an abrupt change in lifestyle for many people with restrictions, often leading to a decrease in physical activity (PA), and thus contributing to a negative perception of health status. The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of the COVID-19 epidemic on physical activity and perceived physical fitness in Japanese adults aged 40 to 69 years. Data were collected from an online survey conducted between October 19 and 28, 2020. The analytic sample consisted of 1989 Japanese adults (mean age, 50.1 ± 6.9 years; women, 38.9%) who were aged between 40 and 69 years and completed the online survey. Overall, the PA time per week decreased by 32.4% between October 2019 and April 2020. A decrease in PA time was recorded in October 2020; however, a decline of 15.5% was observed. Compared to individuals who did not perceive a decline in physical fitness, individuals who perceived declining physical fitness during the COVID-19 state of emergency demonstrated a greater decrease in PA time in April 2020 (-50.5%), and this trend continued into October 2020 (-25.0%). These findings may indicate that Japanese adults aged 40 to 69 years who perceived declining physical fitness experienced a greater decrease in physical activity.