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Kiadaliri A. Contributions of injury deaths to the changes in sex gaps in life expectancy and life disparity in the Nordic countries in the 21st century. Public Health 2024; 236:315-321. [PMID: 39293152 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2024.08.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2024] [Revised: 06/03/2024] [Accepted: 08/15/2024] [Indexed: 09/20/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The objective of this study was to provide novel comparative insights on the contributions of injury deaths to the changes in sex gaps in life expectancy (SGLE) and sex gaps in life disparity (SGLD) across Nordic countries. STUDY DESIGN Retrospective demographic analysis of aggregated mortality data. METHODS To compute life expectancy (LE)/life disparity (LD), annual data on age- and sex-specific causes of death from the World Health Organization mortality database were used to construct abridged life tables for two periods: 2000-2002 and 2016-2018 (2014-2016 for Norway). The contributions of injury deaths to the changes in the SGLE and SGLD between these two periods were decomposed by age and cause using a continuous-change model. RESULTS Females' LE and LD advantages due to injury deaths narrowed by 0.16-0.44 (0.06-0.35) years for LE (LD) over time. While self-inflicted injuries consistently played a predominant role in contributing to the SGLE/SGLD in all countries in both periods, in all countries but Finland, transport accidents had the greatest contributions to the narrowing SGLE/SGLD. Widening SGLE due to self-inflicted injuries in Iceland and due to falls in Sweden were unique to these countries. Accounting for >20% of total contributions of injury deaths, the age group of 20-24 years had the greatest contributions to the narrowing SGLE/SGLD. Deaths due to falls in older ages and assault in younger ages generally contributed to the widening SGLE/SGLD. CONCLUSIONS Injury deaths, particularly transport accidents, contributed significantly to the narrowing SGLE and SGLD across Nordic countries, with cross-country variations in age- and cause-specific patterns. The results suggest the need for injury prevention policies targeting self-inflicted injuries in younger and falls in older males.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Kiadaliri
- Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Orthopaedics, Skåne University Hospital, Lund University, Lund, Sweden; Centre for Economic Demography, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
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Pandey S, Hajizadeh M, Kiadaliri A. The contributions of avoidable causes of death to gender gap in life expectancy and life disparity in the US and Canada: 2001-2019. Soc Sci Med 2024; 347:116751. [PMID: 38484458 DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2024.116751] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/09/2023] [Revised: 01/05/2024] [Accepted: 03/01/2024] [Indexed: 04/20/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study measures public health policies' and healthcare system's influence, by assessing the contributions of avoidable deaths, on the gender gaps in life expectancy and disparity (GGLD and GGLD, respectively) in the United States (US) and Canada from 2001 to 2019. METHODS To estimate the GGLE and GGLD, we retrieved age- and sex-specific causes of death from the World Health Organization's mortality database. By employing the continuous-change model, we decomposed the GGLE and GGLD by age and cause of death for each year and over time using females as the reference group. RESULTS In Canada and the US, the GGLE (GGLD) narrowed (increased) by 0.9 (0.2) and 0.2 (0.3) years, respectively. Largest contributor to the GGLE was non-avoidable deaths in Canada and preventable deaths in the US. Preventable deaths had the largest contributions to the GGLD in both countries. Ischemic heart disease contributed to the narrowing GGLE/GGLD in both countries. Conversely, treatable causes of death increased the GGLE/GGLD in both countries. In Canada, "treatable & preventable" as well as preventable causes of death narrowed the GGLE while opposite was seen in the US. While lung cancer contributed to the narrowing GGLE/GGLD, drug-related death contributed to the widening GGLE/GGLD in both countries. Injury-related deaths contributed to the narrowing GGLE/GGLD in Canada but not in the US. The contributions of avoidable causes of death to the GGLE declined in the age groups 55-74 in Canada and 70-74 in the US, whereas the GGLE widened for ages 25-34 in the US. CONCLUSION Canada experienced larger reduction in the GGLE compared to the US attributed mainly to preventable causes of death. To narrow the GGLE and GGLD, the US needs to address injury deaths. Urgent interventions are required for drug-related death in both countries, particularly among males aged 15-44 years.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sujita Pandey
- School of Health Administration, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Canada
| | | | - Ali Kiadaliri
- Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Orthopaedics, Lund University, Sweden; Centre for Economic Demography, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
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Golinelli D, Guarducci G, Sanna A, Lenzi J, Sanmarchi F, Fantini MP, Montomoli E, Nante N. Regional and sex inequalities of avoidable mortality in Italy: A time trend analysis. PUBLIC HEALTH IN PRACTICE 2023; 6:100449. [PMID: 38028252 PMCID: PMC10643453 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhip.2023.100449] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2023] [Revised: 09/18/2023] [Accepted: 10/25/2023] [Indexed: 12/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives This study provides a comprehensive analysis of avoidable mortality (AM), treatable mortality (TM), and preventable mortality (PM) across Italy, focusing on region- and gender-specific inequalities over a 14-year period. Study design Time-trend analysis (2006-2019). Methods The study was conducted using mortality data from the Italian Institute of Statistics to evaluate the extent and patterns of AM, TM, and PM in Italy. Biennial age-standardized mortality rates were calculated by gender and region using the joint OECD/Eurostat list. Results The overall AM rates showed a large reduction from 2006/7 (221.0 per 100,000) to 2018/9 (166.4 per 100,000). Notably, females consistently displayed lower AM rates than males. Furthermore, both gender differences and the North-South gap of AM decreased during the period studied. The regions with the highest AM rates fluctuated throughout the study period. The highest percentage decrease in AM from 2006/7 to 2018/9, for both males (-41.3 %) and females (-34.2 %), was registered in the autonomous province of Trento, while the lowest reduction was observed in Molise for males (-17.4 %) and in Marche for females (-10.0 %). Conclusions Remarkable gender and regional differences in AM between 2006 and 2019 have been recorded in Italy, although they have decreased over years. Continuous monitoring of AM and the implementation of region- and gender-specific interventions is essential to provide valuable insights for both policy and public health practice. This study contributes to the efforts to improve health equity between Italian regions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Davide Golinelli
- Post Graduate School of Public Health, University of Siena, Italy
- Department of Molecular and Developmental Medicine, University of Siena, Italy
| | | | - Andrea Sanna
- Post Graduate School of Public Health, University of Siena, Italy
| | - Jacopo Lenzi
- Department of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, University of Bologna, Italy
| | - Francesco Sanmarchi
- Department of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, University of Bologna, Italy
| | - Maria Pia Fantini
- Department of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, University of Bologna, Italy
| | - Emanuele Montomoli
- Department of Molecular and Developmental Medicine, University of Siena, Italy
- VisMederi S.r.l., Siena, Italy
| | - Nicola Nante
- Post Graduate School of Public Health, University of Siena, Italy
- Department of Molecular and Developmental Medicine, University of Siena, Italy
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Currie J, Schilling HT, Evans L, Boyce T, Lester N, Greene G, Little K, Humphreys C, Huws D, Yeoman A, Lewis S, Paranjothy S. Contribution of avoidable mortality to life expectancy inequalities in Wales: a decomposition by age and by cause between 2002 and 2020. J Public Health (Oxf) 2023; 45:762-770. [PMID: 36423922 DOI: 10.1093/pubmed/fdac133] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/22/2021] [Revised: 08/17/2022] [Indexed: 09/01/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To explore the contribution of avoidable mortality to life expectancy inequalities in Wales during 2002-2020. DESIGN Observational study. SETTING Wales, 2002-20, including early data from the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS We used routine statistics for 2002-2020 on population and deaths in Wales stratified by age, sex, deprivation quintile and cause of death. We estimated the contribution of avoidable causes of death and specific age-categories using the Arriaga decomposition method to highlight priorities for action. RESULTS Life expectancy inequalities rose 2002-20 amongst both sexes, driven by serial decreases in life expectancy amongst the most deprived quintiles. The contributions of amenable and preventable mortality to life expectancy inequalities changed relatively little between 2002 and 2020, with larger rises in non-avoidable causes. Key avoidable mortality conditions driving the life expectancy gap in the most recent period of 2018-2020 for females were circulatory disease, cancers, respiratory disease and alcohol- and drug-related deaths, and also injuries for males. CONCLUSIONS Life expectancy inequalities widened during 2002-20, driven by deteriorating life expectancy in the most deprived quintiles. Sustained investment in prevention post-COVID-19 is needed to address growing health inequity in Wales; there remains a role for the National Health Service in ensuring equitable healthcare access to alongside wider policies that promote equity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jonny Currie
- Division of Population Medicine, School of Medicine, Cardiff University, Cardiff CF10 3QN, UK
| | - Hayden T Schilling
- Centre for Marine Science & Innovation, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia
- Sydney Institute of Marine Science, Mosman, NSW 2088, Australia
| | - Lloyd Evans
- NHS Wales Health Collaborative, Cardiff CF10 4BZ, UK
| | - Tammy Boyce
- Institute of Health Equity, Department for Epidemiology & Public Health, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK
| | - Nathan Lester
- Public Health Data, Knowledge and Research Directorate, Public Health Wales, Cardiff CF10 4BZ, UK
| | - Giles Greene
- Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit, Public Health Wales, Cardiff, UK & Swansea University Medical School, Swansea SA2 8PP, UK
| | - Kirsty Little
- Public Health Data, Knowledge and Research Directorate, Public Health Wales, Cardiff CF10 4BZ, UK
| | - Ciarán Humphreys
- Wider Determinants of Health Unit, Public Health Wales, Cardiff CF10 4BZ, UK
| | - Dyfed Huws
- Public Health Data, Knowledge and Research Directorate, Public Health Wales, Cardiff CF10 4BZ, UK
- Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit, Public Health Wales, Cardiff, UK & Swansea University Medical School, Swansea SA2 8PP, UK
| | - Andrew Yeoman
- Gwent Liver Unit, Royal Gwent Hospital, Newport NP20 2UB, UK
| | - Sally Lewis
- Value in Health, NHS Wales, Pencoed, Wales CF10 3NQ, UK
| | - Shantini Paranjothy
- Aberdeen Health Data Science Centre, Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB24 3FX, UK
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Bayati M, Kiadaliri A. Contributions of avoidable mortality to the sex gap in life expectancy and life disparity in Iran. Arch Public Health 2023; 81:126. [PMID: 37420294 DOI: 10.1186/s13690-023-01141-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2023] [Accepted: 06/23/2023] [Indexed: 07/09/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Public health policies and healthcare quality play a pivotal role on the health outcome level and disparities across sociodemographic groups. However, there is little evidence on their role on disparities in life expectancy (LE) and life disparity (LD) in low and middle income countries. The present study aimed to assess the contributions of avoidable mortality, as a measure of inter-sectoral public health policies and healthcare quality, into the sex gap in LE (SGLE) and LD (SGLD) in Iran. METHODS Latest available data of death causes, according to the ICD codes, for Iran was obtained from the WHO mortality database for the period 2015-2016. An upper age limit of 75 years was applied to define avoidable causes of death. LD was measured as the average years of life lost at birth. The SGLE and SGLD (both females minus males) were decomposed by age and cause of death using a continuous-change model. RESULTS Females, on average, outlived males for 3.8 years (80.0 vs. 76.2 years) with 1.9 lower life years lost (12.6 vs. 14.4 years). Avoidable causes accounted for 2.5 (67%) and 1.5 (79%) years of the SGLE and SGLD, respectively. Among avoidable causes, injury-related deaths followed by ischaemic heart disease had the greatest contributions to both SGLE and SGLD. Across age groups, the age groups 55-59 and 60-64 accounted for the greatest contributions of avoidable causes to SGLE (0.3 years each), while age groups 20-24 and 55-59 had the greatest contributions to SGLD (0.15 years each). Lower mortality rates for females than males in age groups 50-74 years accounted for about half of the SGLE, while age groups 20-29 and 50-64 years accounted for around half of SGLD. CONCLUSION More than two third of the SGLE and SGLD in Iran were attributed to the avoidable mortality, particularly preventable causes. Our results suggest the need for public health policies targeting injuries in young males as well as lifestyle risk factors including smoking in middle aged males in Iran.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohsen Bayati
- Health Human Resources Research Center, School of Management and Information Sciences, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - Ali Kiadaliri
- Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Orthopaedics, Skåne University Hospital, Lund University, Remissgatan 4, Lund, SE-221 85, Sweden.
- Centre for Economic Demography, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
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Ren Z, Wang S, Liu X, Yin Q, Fan J. Associations Between Gender Gaps in Life Expectancy, Air Pollution, and Urbanization: A Global Assessment With Bayesian Spatiotemporal Modeling. Int J Public Health 2023; 68:1605345. [PMID: 37234944 PMCID: PMC10207345 DOI: 10.3389/ijph.2023.1605345] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2022] [Accepted: 04/19/2023] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives: It's evident that women have a longer life expectancy than men. This study investigates the spatiotemporal trends of gender gaps in life expectancy (GGLE). It demonstrates the spatiotemporal difference of the influence factors of population-weighted air pollution (pwPM2.5) and urbanization on GGLE. Methods: Panel data on GGLE and influencing factors from 134 countries from 1960 to 2018 are collected. The Bayesian spatiotemporal model is performed. Results: The results show an obvious spatial heterogeneity worldwide with a continuously increasing trend of GGLE. Bayesian spatiotemporal regression reveals a significant positive relationship between pwPM2.5, urbanization, and GGLE with the spatial random effects. Further, the regression coefficients present obvious geographic disparities across space worldwide. Conclusion: In sum, social-economic development and air quality improvement should be considered comprehensively in global policy to make a fair chance for both genders to maximize their health gains.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhoupeng Ren
- Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
- State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Shaobin Wang
- Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Xianglong Liu
- Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
- State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Qian Yin
- Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
- State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Junfu Fan
- School of Civil and Architectural Engineering, Shandong University of Technology, Zibo, Shandong, China
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Bairami F, Hajizadeh M, Kiadaliri A. The contributions of injury deaths to the gender gap in life expectancy and life disparity in Eastern Mediterranean Region. Inj Epidemiol 2023; 10:6. [PMID: 36694234 PMCID: PMC9873219 DOI: 10.1186/s40621-023-00417-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2022] [Accepted: 01/18/2023] [Indexed: 01/25/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Injury deaths constitute a major avoidable cause of death affecting life expectancy to a different degree in men and women. This study quantified the contributions of injury deaths to the gender gap in life expectancy (GGLE) and life disparity (GGLD) in nine Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) countries. METHODS We retrieved annual data on age-sex specific causes of death from the World Health Organization mortality database for EMR countries with at least 2-year consecutive data during 2010-2019. The injury-related deaths were categorized into five groups: transport accidents, other accidental injuries, intentional self-harm, assault and events of undetermined intent. Considering women as the reference, the GGLE and GGLD were decomposed by age and causes of death, using a continuous-change model. RESULTS The largest and smallest GGLE were observed in Kuwait (5.2 years) and Qatar (- 1.2 years), respectively. Qatar (- 2.2 years) and Oman (0.2 years) had the highest and lowest GGLD. The highest contributions of injury deaths to the GGLE/GGLD were seen in Libya (1.8/- 1.2 years), followed by Iran (1.2/- 0.8 years). Among injury causes, transport accidents were the leading cause of GGLE in all countries but Libya and Morocco, with Iran having the greatest contributions (0.6 years). Injury deaths in men aged 15-29 years accounted for 33% [41%] (Kuwait) to 55% [65%] (Oman) of total GGLE [GGLD] attributable to injury deaths. CONCLUSIONS High injury deaths, particularly transport accidents, among young men contributed substantially to the GGLE and GGLD across nine EMR countries in this study. This highlights the need for implementing preventing policies to reduce the burden of injury deaths specifically in young men.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Mohammad Hajizadeh
- grid.55602.340000 0004 1936 8200School of Health Administration, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Canada
| | - Ali Kiadaliri
- grid.411843.b0000 0004 0623 9987Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Orthopaedics, Skåne University Hospital, Lund University, Remissgatan 4, 221 85 Lund, Sweden ,grid.4514.40000 0001 0930 2361Centre for Economic Demography, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
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Ivankova V, Gavurova B, Khouri S. Understanding the relationships between health spending, treatable mortality and economic productivity in OECD countries. Front Public Health 2022; 10:1036058. [PMID: 36620274 PMCID: PMC9810629 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.1036058] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/03/2022] [Accepted: 12/08/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Population health is one of the highest priorities for countries, which can translate into increased economic prosperity. This encourages research on health in an economic context. Methods The objective was to assess the relationships between health spending, treatable respiratory mortality, and gross domestic product (GDP) in countries of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). The research was conducted with respect to health systems (tax-based, insurance-based) and gender differentiation of the productive population (aged 25-64 years). Descriptive analysis, regression analysis, and cluster analysis were used to achieve the main objective. The data covered the period from 1994 to 2016. Results The results of the regression analysis revealed negative relationships between health spending and treatable respiratory mortality in countries with a tax-based health system for male and female working-age populations, as well as in countries with an insurance-based health system for male population. This means that higher health spending was associated with lower treatable respiratory mortality. Also, lower treatable mortality was associated with higher GDP, especially in the male productive population from countries with an insurance-based health system. In this study, countries with a tax-based health system were characterized by higher health spending, lower rates of treatable mortality from respiratory system diseases, and higher GDP compared to countries with an insurance-based health system. Males reported a higher mortality rate than females. Among the countries with a tax-based health system, the United Kingdom and Latvia showed less positive outcomes, while Italy and Iceland were the countries with the most positive outcomes. Among the countries with an insurance-based health system, Hungary and Slovakia reported poor outcomes, while France, Switzerland and Luxembourg were characterized by very positive outcomes. The United States showed a high mortality rate despite its high economic outcomes, i.e., health spending and GDP. Discussion Health care financing in particular is one of the instruments of health policy. It seems that the leaders of countries should ensure a sufficient level of health financing, as higher health spending can contribute to lower mortality rates in a country. This may translate into higher productivity. Especially countries with underfunded health systems should increase their health spending.
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Affiliation(s)
- Viera Ivankova
- Institute of Earth Resources, Faculty of Mining, Ecology, Process Control and Geotechnologies, Technical University of Košice, Košice, Slovakia
| | - Beata Gavurova
- Center for Applied Economic Research, Faculty of Management and Economics, Tomas Bata University in Zlín, Zlín, Czechia,*Correspondence: Beata Gavurova ✉
| | - Samer Khouri
- Institute of Earth Resources, Faculty of Mining, Ecology, Process Control and Geotechnologies, Technical University of Košice, Košice, Slovakia
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Allel K, Hajizadeh M, Kiadaliri A. The gap in life expectancy and lifespan inequality between Iran and neighbour countries: the contributions of avoidable causes of death. Int J Equity Health 2022; 21:81. [PMID: 35676694 PMCID: PMC9175322 DOI: 10.1186/s12939-022-01683-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2022] [Accepted: 06/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Healthcare system and intersectoral public health policies play a crucial role in improving population health and reducing health inequalities. This study aimed to quantify their impact, operationalized as avoidable deaths, on the gap in life expectancy (LE) and lifespan inequality (LI) between Iran and three neighbour countries viz., Turkey, Qatar, and Kuwait in 2015–2016. Methods Annual data on population and causes of deaths by age and sex for Iran and three neighbour countries were obtained from the World Health Organization mortality database for the period 2015–2016. A recently developed list by the OECD/Eurostat was used to identify avoidable causes of death (with an upper age limit of 75). The cross-country gaps in LE and LI (measured by standard deviation) were decomposed by age and cause of death using a continuous-change model. Results Iranian males and females had the second lowest and lowest LE, respectively, compared with their counterparts in the neighbour countries. On the other hand, the highest LIs in both sexes (by 2.3 to 4.5 years in males and 1.1 to 3.3 years in females) were observed in Iran. Avoidable causes contributed substantially to the LE and LI gap in both sexes with injuries and maternal/infant mortality represented the greatest contributions to the disadvantages in Iranian males and females, respectively. Conclusions Higher mortality rates in young Iranians led to a double burden of inequality –shorter LE and greater uncertainty at timing of death. Strengthening intersectoral public health policies and healthcare quality targeted at averting premature deaths, especially from injuries among younger people, can mitigate this double burden. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12939-022-01683-8.
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Blagosklonny MV. No limit to maximal lifespan in humans: how to beat a 122-year-old record. Oncoscience 2021; 8:110-119. [PMID: 34869788 PMCID: PMC8636159 DOI: 10.18632/oncoscience.547] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/05/2021] [Accepted: 11/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Although average human life expectancy is rising, the maximum lifespan is not increasing. Leading demographers claim that human lifespan is fixed at a natural limit around 122 years. However, there is no fixed limit in animals. In animals, anti-aging interventions (dietary restrictions, rapamycin, genetic manipulations) postpone age-related diseases and thus automatically extend maximum lifespan. In humans, anti-aging interventions have not been yet implemented. Instead, by treating individual diseases, medical interventions allow a patient to live longer (despite morbidity), expanding morbidity span. In contrast, slowly aging individuals (centenarians) enter very old age in good health, but, when diseases finally develop, they do not receive thorough medical care and die fast. Although the oldest old die from age-related diseases, death certificates often list "old age", meaning that diseases were not even diagnosed and even less treated. The concept of absolute compression of morbidity is misleading in humans (in truth, there is no other way to compress morbidity as by denying thorough medical care) and false in animals (in truth, anti-aging interventions do not condense morbidity, they postpone it). Anti-aging interventions such as rapamycin may potentially extend both healthspan and maximal lifespan in humans. Combining anti-aging medicine with cutting-edge medical care, regardless of chronological age, will extend maximal lifespan further.
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Allel K, Salustri F, Haghparast-Bidgoli H, Kiadaliri A. The contributions of public health policies and healthcare quality to gender gap and country differences in life expectancy in the UK. Popul Health Metr 2021; 19:40. [PMID: 34670563 PMCID: PMC8527782 DOI: 10.1186/s12963-021-00271-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/26/2021] [Accepted: 10/10/2021] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Background In many high-income countries, life expectancy (LE) has increased, with women outliving men. This gender gap in LE (GGLE) has been explained with biological factors, healthy behaviours, health status, and sociodemographic characteristics, but little attention has been paid to the role of public health policies that include/affect these factors. This study aimed to assess the contributions of avoidable causes of death, as a measure of public health policies and healthcare quality impacts, to the GGLE and its temporal changes in the UK. We also estimated the contributions of avoidable causes of death into the gap in LE between countries in the UK. Methods We obtained annual data on underlying causes of death by age and sex from the World Health Organization mortality database for the periods 2001–2003 and 2014–2016. We calculated LE at birth using abridged life tables. We applied Arriaga’s decomposition method to compute the age- and cause-specific contributions into the GGLE in each period and its changes between two periods as well as the cross-country gap in LE in the 2014–2016 period. Results Avoidable causes had greater contributions than non-avoidable causes to the GGLE in both periods (62% in 2001–2003 and 54% in 2014–2016) in the UK. Among avoidable causes, ischaemic heart disease (IHD) followed by injuries had the greatest contributions to the GGLE in both periods. On average, the GGLE across the UK narrowed by about 1.0 year between 2001–2003 and 2014–2016 and three avoidable causes of IHD, lung cancer, and injuries accounted for about 0.8 years of this reduction. England & Wales had the greatest LE for both sexes in 2014–2016. Among avoidable causes, injuries in men and lung cancer in women had the largest contributions to the LE advantage in England & Wales compared to Northern Ireland, while drug-related deaths compared to Scotland in both sexes. Conclusion With avoidable causes, particularly preventable deaths, substantially contributing to the gender and cross-country gaps in LE, our results suggest the need for behavioural changes by implementing targeted public health programmes, particularly targeting younger men from Scotland and Northern Ireland. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12963-021-00271-2.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kasim Allel
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, 30 Guilford Street, London, WC1N 1EH, UK
| | - Franceso Salustri
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, 30 Guilford Street, London, WC1N 1EH, UK
| | | | - Ali Kiadaliri
- Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Orthopaedics, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. .,Centre for Economic Demography, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. .,Skåne University Hospital, Remissgatan 4, 221 85, Lund, Sweden.
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