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Luckscheiter A, Thiel M, Zink W, Eisenberger J, Viergutz T, Schneider-Lindner V. Utilization of non-invasive ventilation before prehospital emergency anesthesia in trauma - a cohort analysis with machine learning. Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med 2025; 33:35. [PMID: 40033329 PMCID: PMC11877787 DOI: 10.1186/s13049-025-01350-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2024] [Accepted: 02/22/2025] [Indexed: 03/05/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND For preoxygenation, German guidelines consider non-invasive ventilation (NIV) as a possible method in prehospital trauma care in the absence of aspiration, severe head or face injuries, unconsciousness, or patient non-compliance. As data on the utilization and characteristics of patients receiving NIV are lacking, this study aims to identify predictors of NIV usage in trauma patients using machine learning and compare these findings with the current national guideline. METHODS A cross-regional registry of prehospital emergency services in southwestern Germany was searched for cases of emergency anesthesia in multiply injured patients in the period from 2018 to 2020. Initial vital signs, oxygen saturation, respiratory rate, heart rate, systolic blood pressure, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), injury pattern, shock index and age were examined using logistic regression. A decision tree algorithm was then applied in parallel to reduce the number of attributes, which were subsequently tested in several machine learning algorithms to predict the usage of NIV before the induction of anesthesia. RESULTS Of 992 patients with emergency anesthesia, 333 received NIV (34%). Attributes with a statistically significant influence (p < 0.05) in favour of NIV were bronchial spasm (odds ratio (OR) 119.75), dyspnea/cyanosis (OR 2.28), moderate and severe head injury (both OR 3.37) and the respiratory rate (OR 1.07). Main splitting points in the initial decision tree included auscultation (rhonchus and bronchial spasm), respiratory rate, heart rate, age, oxygen saturation and head injury with moderate head injury being more frequent in the NIV group (23% vs. 12%, p < 0.01). The rates of aspiration and the level of consciousness were equal in both groups (0.01% and median GCS 15, both p > 0.05). The prediction accuracy for NIV usage was high for all algorithms, except for multilayer perceptron and logistic regression. For instance, a Bayes Network yielded an AUC-ROC of 0.96 (95% CI, 0.95-0.96) and PRC-areas of 0.96 [0.96-0.96] for predicting and 0.95 [0.95-0.96] for excluding NIV usage. CONCLUSIONS Machine learning demonstrated an excellent categorizability of the cohort using only a few selected attributes. Injured patients without severe head injury who presented with dyspnea, cyanosis, or bronchial spasm were regularly preoxygenated with NIV, indicating a common prehospital practice. This usage appears to be in accordance with current German clinical guidelines. Further research should focus on other aspects of the decision making like airway anatomy and investigate the impact of preoxygenation with NIV in prehospital trauma care on relevant outcome parameters, as the current evidence level is limited.
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Affiliation(s)
- André Luckscheiter
- Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Mannheim, Germany.
- Department of Anesthesiology, Operative Intensive Care Medicine and Emergency Medicine, Ludwigshafen City Hospital, Bremserstrasse 79, 67063, Ludwigshafen, Germany.
| | - Manfred Thiel
- Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Mannheim, Germany
- Department of Anesthesiology and Surgical Intensive Care Medicine, University Medical Centre Mannheim, Mannheim, Germany
| | - Wolfgang Zink
- Department of Anesthesiology, Operative Intensive Care Medicine and Emergency Medicine, Ludwigshafen City Hospital, Bremserstrasse 79, 67063, Ludwigshafen, Germany
| | - Johanna Eisenberger
- Centre for Quality Management in Emergency Medical Service Baden-Wuerttemberg (SQR-BW), Stuttgart, Germany
| | - Tim Viergutz
- Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Mannheim, Germany
- Department of Anesthesiology, Intensive Care and Pain Therapy, BG Trauma Centre Tuebingen, Tuebingen, Germany
| | - Verena Schneider-Lindner
- Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Mannheim, Germany
- Department of Anesthesiology and Surgical Intensive Care Medicine, University Medical Centre Mannheim, Mannheim, Germany
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Campi R, De Santis A, Colombo P, Scarpazza P, Masseroli M. Machine learning-based forecast of Helmet-CPAP therapy failure in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome patients. COMPUTER METHODS AND PROGRAMS IN BIOMEDICINE 2025; 260:108574. [PMID: 39787918 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmpb.2024.108574] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2024] [Revised: 12/16/2024] [Accepted: 12/23/2024] [Indexed: 01/12/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE Helmet-Continuous Positive Airway Pressure (H-CPAP) is a non-invasive respiratory support that is used for the treatment of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS), a severe medical condition diagnosed when symptoms like profound hypoxemia, pulmonary opacities on radiography, or unexplained respiratory failure are present. It can be classified as mild, moderate or severe. H-CPAP therapy is recommended as the initial treatment approach for mild ARDS. Even though the efficacy of H-CPAP in managing patients with moderate-to-severe hypoxemia remains unclear, its use has increased for these cases in response to the emergence of the COVID-19 Pandemic. Using the electronic medical records (EMR) from the Pulmonology Department of Vimercate Hospital, in this study we develop and evaluate a Machine Learning (ML) system able to predict the failure of H-CPAP therapy on ARDS patients. METHODS The Vimercate Hospital EMR provides demographic information, blood tests, and vital parameters of all hospitalizations of patients who are treated with H-CPAP and diagnosed with ARDS. This data is used to create a dataset of 622 records and 38 features, with 70%-30% split between training and test sets. Different ML models such as SVM, XGBoost, Neural Network, Random Forest, and Logistic Regression are iteratively trained in a cross-validation fashion. We also apply a feature selection algorithm to improve predictions quality and reduce the number of features. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS The SVM and Neural Network models proved to be the most effective, achieving final accuracies of 95.19% and 94.65%, respectively. In terms of F1-score, the models scored 88.61% and 87.18%, respectively. Additionally, the SVM and XGBoost models performed well with a reduced number of features (23 and 13, respectively). The PaO2/FiO2 Ratio, C-Reactive Protein, and O2 Saturation resulted as the most important features, followed by Heartbeats, White Blood Cells, and D-Dimer, in accordance with the clinical scientific literature.
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Affiliation(s)
- Riccardo Campi
- Politecnico di Milano, Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Piazza Leonardo Da Vinci 32, Milano, MI, 20133, Italy.
| | - Antonio De Santis
- Politecnico di Milano, Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Piazza Leonardo Da Vinci 32, Milano, MI, 20133, Italy.
| | - Paolo Colombo
- Azienda Socio Sanitaria Territoriale della Brianza, Via Santi Cosma e Damiano 10, Vimercate, MB, 20871, Italy.
| | - Paolo Scarpazza
- Azienda Socio Sanitaria Territoriale della Brianza, Via Santi Cosma e Damiano 10, Vimercate, MB, 20871, Italy.
| | - Marco Masseroli
- Politecnico di Milano, Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Piazza Leonardo Da Vinci 32, Milano, MI, 20133, Italy.
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Hariharan S, Karnan H, Maheswari DU. Automated mechanical ventilator design and analysis using neural network. Sci Rep 2025; 15:3212. [PMID: 39863712 PMCID: PMC11763260 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-87946-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/04/2024] [Accepted: 01/23/2025] [Indexed: 01/27/2025] Open
Abstract
Mechanical ventilation is the process through which breathing support is provided to patients who face inconvenience during respiration. During the pandemic, many people were suffering from lung disorders, which elevated the demand for mechanical ventilators. The handling of mechanical ventilators is to be done under the assistance of trained professionals and demands the selection of ideal parameters. In this work, a computer-aided simulation of ventilator design is performed for clinical complications like pneumonia and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) and is validated against normal ventilatory parameters. The parameters such as tidal volume, respiratory rate, and inspiration to expiration ratio (I: E) are considered as control values to check the stability of the mechanical ventilator for stern performance. The check valves 1 and 2 governed by the control parameters provide optimal volume that must be sent inside the tracheal region. The hyperparameters are tuned using a low intricate feed-forward neural network (FFNN). The trained features serve as input to the sensors present in the mimicked lung model. The performance metrics of FFNN during the training and testing phases substantiate the optimal performance of the ventilator. The simulation and validation results indicate that the designed ventilator system is stable and effective for clinical use, providing optimal respiratory support for patients with pneumonia and COPD.
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Affiliation(s)
- S Hariharan
- School of Chemical and Biotechnology, SASTRA Deemed University, Thanjavur, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Hemalatha Karnan
- School of Chemical and Biotechnology, SASTRA Deemed University, Thanjavur, Tamil Nadu, India.
| | - D Uma Maheswari
- School of Computing, SASTRA Deemed University, Thanjavur, Tamil Nadu, India
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Raza A, Rustam F, Siddiqui HUR, Flores ES, Mazón JLV, de la Torre Díez I, Ripoll MAV, Ashraf I. Ventilator pressure prediction employing voting regressor with time series data of patient breaths. Health Informatics J 2025; 31:14604582241295912. [PMID: 39988551 DOI: 10.1177/14604582241295912] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/25/2025]
Abstract
Objectives: Mechanical ventilator plays a vital role in saving millions of lives. Patients with COVID-19 symptoms need a ventilator to survive during the pandemic. Studies have reported that the mortality rates rise from 50% to 97% in those requiring mechanical ventilation during COVID-19. The pumping of air into the patient's lungs using a ventilator requires a particular air pressure. High or low ventilator pressure can result in a patient's life loss as high air pressure in the ventilator causes the patient lung damage while lower pressure provides insufficient oxygen. Consequently, precise prediction of ventilator pressure is a task of great significance in this regard. The primary aim of this study is to predict the airway pressure in the ventilator respiratory circuit during the breath. Methods: A novel hybrid ventilator pressure predictor (H-VPP) approach is proposed. The ventilator exploratory data analysis reveals that the high values of lung attributes R and C during initial time step values are the prominent causes of high ventilator pressure. Results: Experiments using the proposed approach indicate H-VPP achieves a 0.78 R2, mean absolute error of 0.028, and mean squared error of 0.003. These results are better than other machine learning and deep learning models employed in this study. Conclusion: Extensive experimentation indicates the superior performance of the proposed approach for ventilator pressure prediction with high accuracy. Furthermore, performance comparison with state-of-the-art studies corroborates the superior performance of the proposed approach.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ali Raza
- Khwaja Fareed University of Engineering and Information Technology, Rahim Yar Khan, Pakistan
| | - Furqan Rustam
- School of Systems and Technology, Department of Software Engineering, University of Management and Technology, Lahore, Pakistan
| | | | - Emmanuel Soriano Flores
- Higher Polytechnic School, Universidad Europea Del Atlantico, Santander, Spain
- Department of Project Management, Universidad Internacional Iberoamericana, Campeche, Mexico
| | - Juan Luis Vidal Mazón
- Higher Polytechnic School, Universidad Europea Del Atlantico, Santander, Spain
- Project Department, Universidade Internacional Do Cuanza, Municipio do Kuito, Angola
| | - Isabel de la Torre Díez
- Department of Signal Theory and Communications and Telematic Engineering, University of Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
| | | | - Imran Ashraf
- Department of Information and Communication Engineering, Yeungnam University, Gyeongsan, South Korea
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Viderman D, Ayazbay A, Kalzhan B, Bayakhmetova S, Tungushpayev M, Abdildin Y. Artificial Intelligence in the Management of Patients with Respiratory Failure Requiring Mechanical Ventilation: A Scoping Review. J Clin Med 2024; 13:7535. [PMID: 39768462 PMCID: PMC11728182 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13247535] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/26/2024] [Revised: 11/25/2024] [Accepted: 12/06/2024] [Indexed: 01/04/2025] Open
Abstract
Background: Mechanical ventilation (MV) is one of the most frequently used organ replacement modalities in the intensive care unit (ICU). Artificial intelligence (AI) presents substantial potential in optimizing mechanical ventilation management. The utility of AI in MV lies in its ability to harness extensive data from electronic monitoring systems, facilitating personalized care tailored to individual patient needs. This scoping review aimed to consolidate and evaluate the existing evidence for the application of AI in managing respiratory failure among patients necessitating MV. Methods: The literature search was conducted in PubMed, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library. Studies investigating the utilization of AI in patients undergoing MV, including observational and randomized controlled trials, were selected. Results: Overall, 152 articles were screened, and 37 were included in the analysis. We categorized the goals of AI in the included studies into the following groups: (1) prediction of requirement in MV; (2) prediction of outcomes in MV; (3) prediction of weaning from MV; (4) prediction of hypoxemia after extubation; (5) prediction models for MV-associated severe acute kidney injury; (6) identification of long-term outcomes after prolonged MV; (7) prediction of survival. Conclusions: AI has been studied in a wide variety of patients with respiratory failure requiring MV. Common applications of AI in MV included the assessment of the performance of ML for mortality prediction in patients with respiratory failure, prediction and identification of the most appropriate time for extubation, detection of patient-ventilator asynchrony, ineffective expiration, and the prediction of the severity of the respiratory failure.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dmitriy Viderman
- Department of Surgery, School of Medicine, Nazarbayev University, 010000 Astana, Kazakhstan
- Department of Anesthesiology, Intensive Care, and Pain Medicine, National Research Oncology Center, 010000 Astana, Kazakhstan
| | - Ainur Ayazbay
- Department of Computer Science, School of Engineering and Digital Sciences, Nazarbayev University, 010000 Astana, Kazakhstan
| | - Bakhtiyar Kalzhan
- Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, School of Engineering and Digital Sciences, Nazarbayev University, 010000 Astana, Kazakhstan (Y.A.)
| | - Symbat Bayakhmetova
- Department of Surgery, School of Medicine, Nazarbayev University, 010000 Astana, Kazakhstan
| | - Meiram Tungushpayev
- Department of Surgery, School of Medicine, Nazarbayev University, 010000 Astana, Kazakhstan
| | - Yerkin Abdildin
- Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, School of Engineering and Digital Sciences, Nazarbayev University, 010000 Astana, Kazakhstan (Y.A.)
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Li H, Ashrafi N, Kang C, Zhao G, Chen Y, Pishgar M. A machine learning-based prediction of hospital mortality in mechanically ventilated ICU patients. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0309383. [PMID: 39231126 PMCID: PMC11373795 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0309383] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2024] [Accepted: 08/10/2024] [Indexed: 09/06/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Mechanical ventilation (MV) is vital for critically ill ICU patients but carries significant mortality risks. This study aims to develop a predictive model to estimate hospital mortality among MV patients, utilizing comprehensive health data to assist ICU physicians with early-stage alerts. METHODS We developed a Machine Learning (ML) framework to predict hospital mortality in ICU patients receiving MV. Using the MIMIC-III database, we identified 25,202 eligible patients through ICD-9 codes. We employed backward elimination and the Lasso method, selecting 32 features based on clinical insights and literature. Data preprocessing included eliminating columns with over 90% missing data and using mean imputation for the remaining missing values. To address class imbalance, we used the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE). We evaluated several ML models, including CatBoost, XGBoost, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and Logistic Regression, using a 70/30 train-test split. The CatBoost model was chosen for its superior performance in terms of accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, AUROC metrics, and calibration plots. RESULTS The study involved a cohort of 25,202 patients on MV. The CatBoost model attained an AUROC of 0.862, an increase from an initial AUROC of 0.821, which was the best reported in the literature. It also demonstrated an accuracy of 0.789, an F1-score of 0.747, and better calibration, outperforming other models. These improvements are due to systematic feature selection and the robust gradient boosting architecture of CatBoost. CONCLUSION The preprocessing methodology significantly reduced the number of relevant features, simplifying computational processes, and identified critical features previously overlooked. Integrating these features and tuning the parameters, our model demonstrated strong generalization to unseen data. This highlights the potential of ML as a crucial tool in ICUs, enhancing resource allocation and providing more personalized interventions for MV patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hexin Li
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Southern California (USC), Los Angeles, CA, United States of America
| | - Negin Ashrafi
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Southern California (USC), Los Angeles, CA, United States of America
| | - Chris Kang
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Southern California (USC), Los Angeles, CA, United States of America
| | - Guanlan Zhao
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Southern California (USC), Los Angeles, CA, United States of America
| | - Yubing Chen
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Southern California (USC), Los Angeles, CA, United States of America
| | - Maryam Pishgar
- Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Southern California (USC), Los Angeles, CA, United States of America
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Ruiz-Botella M, Manrique S, Gomez J, Bodí M. Advancing ICU patient care with a Real-Time predictive model for mechanical Power to mitigate VILI. Int J Med Inform 2024; 189:105511. [PMID: 38851133 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2024.105511] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2024] [Revised: 05/24/2024] [Accepted: 05/29/2024] [Indexed: 06/10/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Invasive Mechanical Ventilation (IMV) in Intensive Care Units (ICU) significantly increases the risk of Ventilator-Induced Lung Injury (VILI), necessitating careful management of mechanical power (MP). This study aims to develop a real-time predictive model of MP utilizing Artificial Intelligence to mitigate VILI. METHODOLOGY A retrospective observational study was conducted, extracting patient data from Clinical Information Systems from 2018 to 2022. Patients over 18 years old with more than 6 h of IMV were selected. Continuous data on IMV variables, laboratory data, monitoring, procedures, demographic data, type of admission, reason for admission, and APACHE II at admission were extracted. The variables with the highest correlation to MP were used for prediction and IMV data was grouped in 15-minute intervals using the mean. A mixed neural network model was developed to forecast MP 15 min in advance, using IMV data from 6 h before the prediction and current patient status. The model's ability to predict future MP was analyzed and compared to a baseline model predicting the future value of MP as equal to the current value. RESULTS The cohort consisted of 1967 patients after applying inclusion criteria, with a median age of 63 years and 66.9 % male. The deep learning model achieved a mean squared error of 2.79 in the test set, indicating a 20 % improvement over the baseline model. It demonstrated high accuracy (94 %) in predicting whether MP would exceed a critical threshold of 18 J/min, which correlates with increased mortality. The integration of this model into a web platform allows clinicians real-time access to MP predictions, facilitating timely adjustments to ventilation settings. CONCLUSIONS The study successfully developed and integrated in clinical practice a predictive model for MP. This model will assist clinicians allowing for the adjustment of ventilatory parameters before lung damage occurs.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Ruiz-Botella
- Departament of Chemical Engineering, Universitat Rovira I Virgili, Tarragona, Spain; Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Pere i Virgili, Universidad Rovira i Virgili, Tarragona, Spain.
| | - S Manrique
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Pere i Virgili, Universidad Rovira i Virgili, Tarragona, Spain; Critical Care department, Hospital Universitario Joan XXIII, Tarragona, Spain
| | - J Gomez
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Pere i Virgili, Universidad Rovira i Virgili, Tarragona, Spain; Critical Care department, Hospital Universitario Joan XXIII, Tarragona, Spain
| | - M Bodí
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Pere i Virgili, Universidad Rovira i Virgili, Tarragona, Spain; Critical Care department, Hospital Universitario Joan XXIII, Tarragona, Spain; Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES). Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Spain
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Tran TK, Tran MC, Joseph A, Phan PA, Grau V, Farmery AD. A systematic review of machine learning models for management, prediction and classification of ARDS. Respir Res 2024; 25:232. [PMID: 38834976 DOI: 10.1186/s12931-024-02834-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/13/2024] [Accepted: 05/04/2024] [Indexed: 06/06/2024] Open
Abstract
AIM Acute respiratory distress syndrome or ARDS is an acute, severe form of respiratory failure characterised by poor oxygenation and bilateral pulmonary infiltrates. Advancements in signal processing and machine learning have led to promising solutions for classification, event detection and predictive models in the management of ARDS. METHOD In this review, we provide systematic description of different studies in the application of Machine Learning (ML) and artificial intelligence for management, prediction, and classification of ARDS. We searched the following databases: Google Scholar, PubMed, and EBSCO from 2009 to 2023. A total of 243 studies was screened, in which, 52 studies were included for review and analysis. We integrated knowledge of previous work providing the state of art and overview of explainable decision models in machine learning and have identified areas for future research. RESULTS Gradient boosting is the most common and successful method utilised in 12 (23.1%) of the studies. Due to limitation of data size available, neural network and its variation is used by only 8 (15.4%) studies. Whilst all studies used cross validating technique or separated database for validation, only 1 study validated the model with clinician input. Explainability methods were presented in 15 (28.8%) of studies with the most common method is feature importance which used 14 times. CONCLUSION For databases of 5000 or fewer samples, extreme gradient boosting has the highest probability of success. A large, multi-region, multi centre database is required to reduce bias and take advantage of neural network method. A framework for validating with and explaining ML model to clinicians involved in the management of ARDS would be very helpful for development and deployment of the ML model.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tu K Tran
- Department of Engineering and Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
- Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Oxford Institute of Biomedical Engineering, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
| | - Minh C Tran
- Nuffield Division of Anaesthetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Arun Joseph
- Nuffield Division of Anaesthetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Phi A Phan
- Nuffield Division of Anaesthetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Vicente Grau
- Department of Engineering and Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Andrew D Farmery
- Nuffield Division of Anaesthetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Oxford Institute of Biomedical Engineering, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Yen SC, Wu CC, Tseng YJ, Li CH, Chen KF. Using time-course as an essential factor to accurately predict sepsis-associated mortality among patients with suspected sepsis. Biomed J 2024; 47:100632. [PMID: 37467969 PMCID: PMC11332986 DOI: 10.1016/j.bj.2023.100632] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/28/2022] [Revised: 06/20/2023] [Accepted: 07/13/2023] [Indexed: 07/21/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Biomarker dynamics in different time-courses might be the primary reason why a static measurement of a single biomarker cannot accurately predict sepsis outcomes. Therefore, we conducted this prospective hospital-based cohort study to simultaneously evaluate the performance of several conventional and novel biomarkers of sepsis in predicting sepsis-associated mortality on different days of illness among patients with suspected sepsis. METHODS We evaluated the performance of 15 novel biomarkers including angiopoietin-2, pentraxin 3, sTREM-1, ICAM-1, VCAM-1, sCD14 and 163, E-selectin, P-selectin, TNF-alpha, interferon-gamma, CD64, IL-6, 8, and 10, along with few conventional markers for predicting sepsis-associated mortality. Patients were grouped into quartiles according to the number of days since symptom onset. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was used to evaluate the biomarker performance. RESULTS From 2014 to 2017, 1483 patients were enrolled, of which 78% fulfilled the systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria, 62% fulfilled the sepsis-3 criteria, 32% had septic shock, and 3.3% developed sepsis-associated mortality. IL-6, pentraxin 3, sCD163, and the blood gas profile demonstrated better performance in the early days of illness, both before and after adjusting for potential confounders (adjusted area under ROC curve [AUROC]:0.81-0.88). Notably, the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score was relatively consistent throughout the course of illness (adjusted AUROC:0.70-0.91). CONCLUSION IL-6, pentraxin 3, sCD163, and the blood gas profile showed excellent predictive accuracy in the early days of illness. The SOFA score was consistently predictive of sepsis-associated mortality throughout the course of illness, with an acceptable performance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shih-Chieh Yen
- Clinical Informatics and Medical Statistics Research Center, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan
| | - Chin-Chieh Wu
- Clinical Informatics and Medical Statistics Research Center, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan
| | - Yi-Ju Tseng
- Department of Computer Science, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu, Taiwan
| | - Chih-Huang Li
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Kuan-Fu Chen
- Clinical Informatics and Medical Statistics Research Center, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan; Department of Emergency Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital at Keelung, Keelung, Taiwan.
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Han T, Xiong F, Sun B, Zhong L, Han Z, Lei M. Development and validation of an artificial intelligence mobile application for predicting 30-day mortality in critically ill patients with orthopaedic trauma. Int J Med Inform 2024; 184:105383. [PMID: 38387198 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2024.105383] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2023] [Revised: 01/25/2024] [Accepted: 02/16/2024] [Indexed: 02/24/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Given the intricate and grave nature of trauma-related injuries in ICU settings, it is imperative to develop and deploy reliable predictive tools that can aid in the early identification of high-risk patients who are at risk of early death. The objective of this study is to create and validate an artificial intelligence (AI) model that can accurately predict early mortality among critical fracture patients. METHODS A total of 2662 critically ill patients with orthopaedic trauma were included from the MIMIC III database. Early mortality was defined as death within 30 days in this study. The patients were randomly divided into a model training cohort and a model validation cohort. Various algorithms, including logistic regression (LR), extreme gradient boosting machine (eXGBM), decision tree (DT), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and neural network (NN), were employed. Evaluation metrics, including discrimination and calibration, were used to develop a comprehensive scoring system ranging from 0 to 60, with higher scores indicating better prediction performance. Furthermore, external validation was carried out using 131 patients. The optimal model was deployed as an internet-based AI tool. RESULTS Among all models, the eXGBM demonstrated the highest area under the curve (AUC) value (0.974, 95%CI: 0.959-0.983), followed by the RF model (0.951, 95%CI: 0.935-0.967) and the NN model (0.922, 95%CI: 0.905-0.941). Additionally, the eXGBM model outperformed other models in terms of accuracy (0.915), precision (0.906), recall (0.926), F1 score (0.916), Brier score (0.062), log loss (0.210), and discrimination slope (0.767). Based on the scoring system, the eXGBM model achieved the highest score (53), followed by RF (42) and NN (39). The LR, DT, and SVM models obtained scores of 28, 18, and 32, respectively. Decision curve analysis further confirmed the superior clinical net benefits of the eXGBM model. External validation of the model achieved an AUC value of 0.913 (95%CI: 0.878-0.948). Consequently, the model was deployed on the Internet at https://30-daymortalityincriticallyillpatients-fnfsynbpbp6rgineaspuim.streamlit.app/, allowing users to input patient features and obtain predicted risks of early mortality among critical fracture patients. Furthermore, the AI model successfully stratified patients into low or high risk of early mortality based on a predefined threshold and provided recommendations for appropriate therapeutic interventions. CONCLUSION This study successfully develops and validates an AI model, with the eXGBM algorithm demonstrating the highest predictive performance for early mortality in critical fracture patients. By deploying the model as a web-based AI application, healthcare professionals can easily access the tool, enabling them to predict 30-day mortality and aiding in the identification and management of high-risk patients among those critically ill with orthopedic trauma.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tao Han
- Department of Orthopedics, Hainan Hospital of PLA General Hospital, Hainan, China
| | - Fan Xiong
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, People's Hospital of Macheng City, Huanggang, China
| | - Baisheng Sun
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The First Medical Centre, PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China; Chinese PLA Medical School, Beijing, China
| | - Lixia Zhong
- Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
| | - Zhencan Han
- Xiangya School of Medicine, Center South University, Changsha, China.
| | - Mingxing Lei
- Department of Orthopedics, Hainan Hospital of PLA General Hospital, Hainan, China; Chinese PLA Medical School, Beijing, China; Department of Orthopedics, National Clinical Research Center for Orthopedics, Sports Medicine & Rehabilitation, PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
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Pennati F, Aliverti A, Pozzi T, Gattarello S, Lombardo F, Coppola S, Chiumello D. Machine learning predicts lung recruitment in acute respiratory distress syndrome using single lung CT scan. Ann Intensive Care 2023; 13:60. [PMID: 37405546 PMCID: PMC10322807 DOI: 10.1186/s13613-023-01154-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2023] [Accepted: 06/11/2023] [Indexed: 07/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND To develop and validate classifier models that could be used to identify patients with a high percentage of potentially recruitable lung from readily available clinical data and from single CT scan quantitative analysis at intensive care unit admission. 221 retrospectively enrolled mechanically ventilated, sedated and paralyzed patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) underwent a PEEP trial at 5 and 15 cmH2O of PEEP and two lung CT scans performed at 5 and 45 cmH2O of airway pressure. Lung recruitability was defined at first as percent change in not aerated tissue between 5 and 45 cmH2O (radiologically defined; recruiters: Δ45-5non-aerated tissue > 15%) and secondly as change in PaO2 between 5 and 15 cmH2O (gas exchange-defined; recruiters: Δ15-5PaO2 > 24 mmHg). Four machine learning (ML) algorithms were evaluated as classifiers of radiologically defined and gas exchange-defined lung recruiters using different models including different variables, separately or combined, of lung mechanics, gas exchange and CT data. RESULTS ML algorithms based on CT scan data at 5 cmH2O classified radiologically defined lung recruiters with similar AUC as ML based on the combination of lung mechanics, gas exchange and CT data. ML algorithm based on CT scan data classified gas exchange-defined lung recruiters with the highest AUC. CONCLUSIONS ML based on a single CT data at 5 cmH2O represented an easy-to-apply tool to classify ARDS patients in recruiters and non-recruiters according to both radiologically defined and gas exchange-defined lung recruitment within the first 48 h from the start of mechanical ventilation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Francesca Pennati
- Ipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy
| | - Andrea Aliverti
- Ipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy
| | - Tommaso Pozzi
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
| | - Simone Gattarello
- Department of Anesthesiology, University Medical Center Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
| | - Fabio Lombardo
- Department of Anesthesiology, University Medical Center Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
| | - Silvia Coppola
- Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, ASST Santi Paolo e Carlo, San Paolo University Hospital, Via Di Rudini 9, Milan, Italy
| | - Davide Chiumello
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.
- Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, ASST Santi Paolo e Carlo, San Paolo University Hospital, Via Di Rudini 9, Milan, Italy.
- Coordinated Research Center on Respiratory Failure, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.
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12
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Sheu RK, Pardeshi MS. A Survey on Medical Explainable AI (XAI): Recent Progress, Explainability Approach, Human Interaction and Scoring System. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2022; 22:8068. [PMID: 36298417 PMCID: PMC9609212 DOI: 10.3390/s22208068] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2022] [Revised: 10/18/2022] [Accepted: 10/18/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
The emerging field of eXplainable AI (XAI) in the medical domain is considered to be of utmost importance. Meanwhile, incorporating explanations in the medical domain with respect to legal and ethical AI is necessary to understand detailed decisions, results, and current status of the patient's conditions. Successively, we will be presenting a detailed survey for the medical XAI with the model enhancements, evaluation methods, significant overview of case studies with open box architecture, medical open datasets, and future improvements. Potential differences in AI and XAI methods are provided with the recent XAI methods stated as (i) local and global methods for preprocessing, (ii) knowledge base and distillation algorithms, and (iii) interpretable machine learning. XAI characteristics details with future healthcare explainability is included prominently, whereas the pre-requisite provides insights for the brainstorming sessions before beginning a medical XAI project. Practical case study determines the recent XAI progress leading to the advance developments within the medical field. Ultimately, this survey proposes critical ideas surrounding a user-in-the-loop approach, with an emphasis on human-machine collaboration, to better produce explainable solutions. The surrounding details of the XAI feedback system for human rating-based evaluation provides intelligible insights into a constructive method to produce human enforced explanation feedback. For a long time, XAI limitations of the ratings, scores and grading are present. Therefore, a novel XAI recommendation system and XAI scoring system are designed and approached from this work. Additionally, this paper encourages the importance of implementing explainable solutions into the high impact medical field.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ruey-Kai Sheu
- Department of Computer Science, Tunghai University, No. 1727, Section 4, Taiwan Blvd, Xitun District, Taichung 407224, Taiwan
| | - Mayuresh Sunil Pardeshi
- AI Center, Tunghai University, No. 1727, Section 4, Taiwan Blvd, Xitun District, Taichung 407224, Taiwan
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Rezar R, Jung C, Mamandipoor B, Seelmaier C, Felder TK, Lichtenauer M, Wernly S, Zwaag SM, De Lange DW, Wernly B, Osmani V. Management of intoxicated patients – a descriptive outcome analysis of 4,267 ICU patients. BMC Emerg Med 2022; 22:38. [PMID: 35279068 PMCID: PMC8917674 DOI: 10.1186/s12873-022-00602-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2021] [Accepted: 03/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Introduction
Intoxications are common in intensive care units (ICUs). The number of causative substances is large, mortality usually low. This retrospective cohort study aims to characterize differences of intoxicated compared to general ICU patients, point out variations according to causative agents, as well as to highlight differences between survivors and non-survivors among intoxicated individuals in a large-scale multi-center analysis.
Methods
A total of 105,998 general ICU patients and 4,267 individuals with the admission diagnoses “overdose” and “drug toxicity” from the years 2014 and 2015 where included from the eICU Collaborative Research Database. In addition to comparing these groups with respect to baseline characteristics, intensive care measures and outcome parameters, differences between survivors and non-survivors from the intoxication group, as well as the individual groups of causative substances were investigated.
Results
Intoxicated patients were younger (median 41 vs. 66 years; p<0.001), more often female (55 vs. 45%; p<0.001), and normal weighted (36% vs. 30%; p<0.001), whereas more obese individuals where observed in the other group (37 vs. 31%; p<0.001). Intoxicated individuals had a significantly lower mortality compared to general ICU patients (1% vs. 10%; aOR 0.07 95%CI 0.05-0.11; p<0.001), a finding which persisted after multivariable adjustment (aOR 0.17 95%CI 0.12-0.24; p<0.001) and persisted in all subgroups. Markers of disease severity (SOFA-score: 3 (1-5) vs. 4 (2-6) pts.; p<0.001) and frequency of vasopressor use (5 vs. 15%; p<0.001) where lower, whereas rates of mechanical ventilation where higher (24 vs. 26%; p<0.001) in intoxicated individuals. There were no differences with regard to renal replacement therapy in the first three days (3 vs. 4%; p=0.26). In sensitivity analysis (interactions for age, sex, ethnicity, hospital category, maximum initial lactate, mechanical ventilation, and vasopressor use), a trend towards lower mortality in intoxicated patients persisted in all subgroups.
Conclusion
This large-scale retrospective analysis indicates a significantly lower mortality of intoxicated individuals compared to general ICU patients.
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Radhakrishnan S, Nair SG, Isaac J. Multilayer perceptron neural network model development for mechanical ventilator parameters prediction by real time system learning. Biomed Signal Process Control 2021; 71:103170. [PMID: 34567236 PMCID: PMC8450520 DOI: 10.1016/j.bspc.2021.103170] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2021] [Revised: 08/17/2021] [Accepted: 09/07/2021] [Indexed: 02/02/2023]
Abstract
Background and objective In pandemic situations like COVID 19, real time monitoring of patient condition and continuous delivery of inspired oxygen can be made possible only through artificial intelligence-based system modeling. Even now manual control of mechanical ventilator parameters is continuing despite the ever-increasing number of patients in critical epidemic conditions. Here a suggestive multi-layer perceptron neural network model is developed to predict the level of inspired oxygen delivered by the mechanical ventilator along with mode and positive end expiratory pressure (PEEP) changes for reducing the effort of health care professionals. Methods The artificial neural network model is developed by Python programming using real time data. Parameter identification for model inputs and outputs is done by in corporating consistent real time patient data including periodical arterial blood gas analysis, continuous pulse oximetry readings and mechanical ventilator settings using statistical pairwise analysis using R programming. Results Mean square error values and R values of the model are calculated and found to be an average of 0.093 and 0.81 respectively for various data sets. Accuracy loss will be in good fit with validation loss for a comparable number of epochs. Conclusions Comparison of the model output is undertaken with physician’s prediction using statistical analysis and shows an accuracy error of 4.11 percentages which is permissible for a good predictive system.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sita Radhakrishnan
- Department of Instrumentation, Cochin University of Science and Technology, Kochi, Kerala 682022, India
| | - Suresh G Nair
- Anesthesia and Critical Care, Aster Medcity, Kochi, Kerala 682034, India
| | - Johney Isaac
- Department of Instrumentation, Cochin University of Science and Technology, Kochi, Kerala 682022, India
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Pelosi P, Ball L, Barbas CSV, Bellomo R, Burns KEA, Einav S, Gattinoni L, Laffey JG, Marini JJ, Myatra SN, Schultz MJ, Teboul JL, Rocco PRM. Personalized mechanical ventilation in acute respiratory distress syndrome. Crit Care 2021; 25:250. [PMID: 34271958 PMCID: PMC8284184 DOI: 10.1186/s13054-021-03686-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 105] [Impact Index Per Article: 26.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/02/2021] [Accepted: 07/08/2021] [Indexed: 01/22/2023] Open
Abstract
A personalized mechanical ventilation approach for patients with adult respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) based on lung physiology and morphology, ARDS etiology, lung imaging, and biological phenotypes may improve ventilation practice and outcome. However, additional research is warranted before personalized mechanical ventilation strategies can be applied at the bedside. Ventilatory parameters should be titrated based on close monitoring of targeted physiologic variables and individualized goals. Although low tidal volume (VT) is a standard of care, further individualization of VT may necessitate the evaluation of lung volume reserve (e.g., inspiratory capacity). Low driving pressures provide a target for clinicians to adjust VT and possibly to optimize positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP), while maintaining plateau pressures below safety thresholds. Esophageal pressure monitoring allows estimation of transpulmonary pressure, but its use requires technical skill and correct physiologic interpretation for clinical application at the bedside. Mechanical power considers ventilatory parameters as a whole in the optimization of ventilation setting, but further studies are necessary to assess its clinical relevance. The identification of recruitability in patients with ARDS is essential to titrate and individualize PEEP. To define gas-exchange targets for individual patients, clinicians should consider issues related to oxygen transport and dead space. In this review, we discuss the rationale for personalized approaches to mechanical ventilation for patients with ARDS, the role of lung imaging, phenotype identification, physiologically based individualized approaches to ventilation, and a future research agenda.
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Affiliation(s)
- Paolo Pelosi
- Anesthesia and Intensive Care, San Martino Policlinico Hospital, IRCCS for Oncology and Neuroscience, Genoa, Italy.
- Department of Surgical Sciences and Integrated Diagnostic (DISC), University of Genoa, Viale Benedetto XV 16, Genoa, Italy.
| | - Lorenzo Ball
- Anesthesia and Intensive Care, San Martino Policlinico Hospital, IRCCS for Oncology and Neuroscience, Genoa, Italy
- Department of Surgical Sciences and Integrated Diagnostic (DISC), University of Genoa, Viale Benedetto XV 16, Genoa, Italy
| | - Carmen S V Barbas
- Pneumology and Intensive Care Medicine, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
- Adult Intensive Care Unit, Albert Einstein Hospital, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Rinaldo Bellomo
- Department of Intensive Care, Austin Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Research Centre, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Data Analytics Research and Evaluation Centre, The University of Melbourne and Austin Hospital, Melbourne, Australia
- Department of Intensive Care, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Department of Critical Care, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Karen E A Burns
- Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Unity Health Toronto-St. Michael's Hospital, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Sharon Einav
- Intensive Care Unit of the Shaare Zedek Medical Medical Centre, Hebrew University Faculty of Medicine, Jerusalem, Israel
| | - Luciano Gattinoni
- Department of Anaesthesiology, Emergency, and Intensive Care Medicine, University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
| | - John G Laffey
- Anaesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine, University Hospital Galway, and School of Medicine, National University of Ireland, Galway, Ireland
| | - John J Marini
- University of Minnesota and Regions Hospital, St. Paul, MN, USA
| | - Sheila N Myatra
- Department of Anaesthesiology, Critical Care and Pain, Tata Memorial Hospital, Homi Bhabha National Institute, Mumbai, India
| | - Marcus J Schultz
- Mahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit (MORU), Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
- Department of Intensive Care, Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
- Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jean Louis Teboul
- Service de Médecine Intensive-Réanimation, Hôpital Bicêtre, Inserm UMR S_999, AP-HP Université Paris-Saclay, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
| | - Patricia R M Rocco
- Laboratory of Pulmonary Investigation, Carlos Chagas Filho Institute of Biophysics, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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