1
|
Laursen CB, Gehrt TB, Huibers L, Bossen C, Vaeggemose U. "I surely don't call for fun": experiences of being a "frequent caller" to the Danish emergency helpline. BMC Public Health 2025; 25:365. [PMID: 39881305 PMCID: PMC11776193 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-025-21390-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2024] [Accepted: 01/09/2025] [Indexed: 01/31/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND While most Danish citizens never or very rarely call the national emergency helpline, 1-1-2, a few citizens call very often. In this article, we attend to the often-unheard voices of frequent callers, exploring why these citizens call 1-1-2 and why they often do not feel helped. METHODS The article is based on a mixed-methods study on citizens in the Central Denmark Region who had called 1-1-2 five or more times during a period of six months in 2023. The study drew on call data, questionnaires, and telephone interviews. In this article, we focus on the 12 citizens who participated in a semi-structured telephone interview. The interviews were transcribed verbatim and coded twice. Through abductive analysis of the data, we found Desjarlais' concept of "struggling along" to be a useful theoretical lens. RESULTS We found that our study participants "struggled along" in life and that they called 1-1-2 when they could not cope with their health conditions and difficult life circumstances themselves, and when neither their social networks nor the welfare society could help them out. Furthermore, we found that the sense of disorientation and the fragmentation of experience that is characteristic of "struggling along" made it difficult for our study participants to communicate with the Emergency Medical Coordination Center (EMCC) that manages all health-related calls to 1-1-2. Finally, our analysis pointed to differences in how the goal of providing "the right help at the right time" was understood by citizens and by health professionals working within the EMCC of the Prehospital Emergency Medical Services. CONCLUSIONS Overall, our study adds to the very limited literature on the experiences of frequent callers to emergency medical helplines. It emphasizes that frequent callers are people who call for help because they continue to need help, and it points towards the necessity of developing alternative interventions to help this diverse group of people.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Camilla Braendstrup Laursen
- Department of Research and Development, Central Denmark Region, The Prehospital Emergency Medical Services, Brendstrupgaardsvej 7, Aarhus N, 8200, Denmark.
| | - Tine Bennedsen Gehrt
- Department of Research and Development, Central Denmark Region, The Prehospital Emergency Medical Services, Brendstrupgaardsvej 7, Aarhus N, 8200, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Linda Huibers
- Research Unit for General Practice, Bartholins Allé 2, Aarhus, Aarhus C, 8000, Denmark
- Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, Bartholins Allé 2, Aarhus C, 8000, Denmark
| | - Claus Bossen
- Department of Digital Design and Information Studies, Aarhus University, Helsingforsgade 14, Aarhus N, 8200, Denmark
| | - Ulla Vaeggemose
- Department of Research and Development, Central Denmark Region, The Prehospital Emergency Medical Services, Brendstrupgaardsvej 7, Aarhus N, 8200, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Gamboa D, Kabashi S, Jørgenrud B, Lerdal A, Nordby G, Bogstrand ST. Is alcohol and psychoactive medication use associated with excess hospital length-of-stay and admission frequency? A cross-sectional, observational study. BMC Emerg Med 2024; 24:63. [PMID: 38627626 PMCID: PMC11020419 DOI: 10.1186/s12873-024-00979-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2023] [Accepted: 03/28/2024] [Indexed: 04/19/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hospital length-of-stay and admission frequency are commonly used indicators of disease burden and health resource expenditures. However, the impact of psychoactive prescription medication use and harmful alcohol consumption on both the duration and frequency of hospital admissions is under-explored. METHODS We conducted an analysis of data gathered from 2872 patients admitted to the Emergency Department at Lovisenberg Diaconal Hospital in Oslo, Norway. Psychoactive medicines (benzodiazepines, opioids, and z-hypnotics) were detected via liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry analysis of whole blood, while alcohol consumption was self-reported through the Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test-4 (AUDIT-4). Using logistic regression, we examined associations with our primary outcomes, which were excess length-of-stay and admission frequency, defined as exceeding the sample median of 3.0 days and 0.2 admissions per year, respectively. RESULTS Compared to the absence of psychoactive medication, and after adjusting for age, gender, malignant disease, pre-existing substance use disorder and admission due to intoxication, the detection of two or more psychoactive medicines was associated with both excess length-of-stay (odds ratio [OR], 1.60; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.20 to 2.14) and yearly hospitalization rate (OR, 3.72; 95% CI, 2.64 to 5.23). This association persisted when increasing the definition for excess length-of-stay to 4 and 5 days and to 1.0 and 1.5 admissions per year for admission frequency. Harmful alcohol consumption (AUDIT-4 scores of 9 to 16) was not associated with excess length-of-stay, but with excess admission frequency when defined as more than 1.0 admission per year when compared to scores of 4 to 6 (OR, 2.68; 95% CI, 1.58 to 4.57). CONCLUSIONS Psychoactive medication use is associated with both excess length-of-stay and increased antecedent admission frequency, while harmful alcohol consumption may be associated with the latter. The utility of our findings as a causal factor should be explored through intervention-based study designs.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Danil Gamboa
- Department of Medicine, Lovisenberg Diaconal Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
- Department of Forensic Sciences, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
- Institute of Health and Society, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
| | - Saranda Kabashi
- Department of Forensic Sciences, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
- Institute of Health and Society, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Benedicte Jørgenrud
- Department of Forensic Sciences, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
- Institute of Health and Society, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Anners Lerdal
- Institute of Health and Society, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
- Research Department, Lovisenberg Diaconal Hospital, Oslo, Norway
| | - Gudmund Nordby
- Department of Medicine, Lovisenberg Diaconal Hospital, Oslo, Norway
| | - Stig Tore Bogstrand
- Department of Forensic Sciences, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
- Institute of Health and Society, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Svedahl ER, Pape K, Austad B, Vie GÅ, Sarheim Anthun K, Carlsen F, Davies NM, Bjørngaard JH. Impact of altering referral threshold from out-of-hours primary care to hospital on patient safety and further health service use: a cohort study. BMJ Qual Saf 2023; 32:330-340. [PMID: 36522178 DOI: 10.1136/bmjqs-2022-014944] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/18/2022] [Accepted: 09/12/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To estimate the impact of altering referral thresholds from out-of-hours services on older patients' further use of health services and risk of death. DESIGN Cohort study using patient data from primary and specialised health services and demographic data from Statistics Norway and the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry. SETTING Norway PARTICIPANTS: 491 653 patients aged 65 years and older contacting Norwegian out-of-hours services between 2008 and 2016. ANALYSIS Multivariable adjusted and instrumental variable associations between referrals to hospital from out-of-hours services and further health services use and death for up to 6 months.Physicians' proportions of acute referrals of older, unknown patients from out-of-hours work were used as an instrumental variable ('physician referral preference') for their threshold of referral for such patients whose clinical presentations were less clear cut. RESULTS For older patients, whose referrals could be attributed to their physicians' threshold for referral, mean length of stay in hospital increased 3.30 days (95% CI 3.13 to 3.27) within the first 10 days, compared with non-referred patients. Such referrals also increased 6 months use of outpatient specialist clinics and primary care physicians. Importantly, patients with referrals attributable to their physicians' threshold had a substantially reduced risk of death the first 10 days (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.31 to 0.91), an effect sustaining through the 6-month follow-up period (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.97). CONCLUSIONS Out-of-hours patients whose referrals are affected by physician referral threshold contribute substantially to the use of health services. However, the referral seems protective by reducing the risk of death in the first 6 months after the referral. Thus, raising the threshold for referral to lower pressure on overcrowded emergency departments and hospitals should not be encouraged without ensuring the accuracy of the referral decisions, ideally through high-quality randomised controlled trial evidence.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ellen Rabben Svedahl
- Department of Public Health and Nursing, NTNU Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
| | - Kristine Pape
- Department of Public Health and Nursing, NTNU Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
| | - Bjarne Austad
- Department of Public Health and Nursing, NTNU Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
| | - Gunnhild Åberge Vie
- Department of Public Health and Nursing, NTNU Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
| | | | - Fredrik Carlsen
- Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
| | - Neil M Davies
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit (IEU), University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
- Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Johan Håkon Bjørngaard
- Department of Public Health and Nursing, NTNU Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
- Faculty of Nursing and Health Sciences, Nord University, Levanger, Norway
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Sun Y, Iwagami M, Sakata N, Ito T, Inokuchi R, Komiyama J, Kuroda N, Tamiya N. Evaluation of enhanced home care support clinics regarding emergency home visits, hospitalization, and end-of-life care: a retrospective cohort study in a city of Japan. BMC Health Serv Res 2023; 23:115. [PMID: 36737771 PMCID: PMC9898920 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-023-09088-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2022] [Accepted: 01/20/2023] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND To meet the increasing demand for home healthcare in Japan as the population ages, home care support clinics/hospitals (HCSCs) and enhanced HCSCs were introduced in 2006 and 2012, respectively. This study aimed to evaluate whether enhanced HCSCs fulfilled the expected role in home healthcare. METHODS We conducted a retrospective cohort study using linked medical and long-term care claims data from a municipality in Japan. Participants were ≥ 65 years of age, had newly started regular home visits between July 2014 and March 2018, and used either conventional or enhanced HCSCs. Patients were followed up for one year after they started regular home visits or until the month following the end of the regular home visits if they ended within one year. The outcome measures were (i) emergency home visits at all hours and on nights and holidays at least once, respectively, (ii) hospitalization at least once, and (iii) end-of-life care, which was evaluated based on the place of death and whether a physician was present at the time of in-home death. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were conducted for the outcomes of emergency home visits and hospitalizations. RESULTS The analysis included 802 patients, including 405 patients in enhanced HCSCs and 397 patients in conventional HCSCs. Enhanced HCSCs had more emergency home visits at all hours than conventional HCSCs (65.7% vs. 49.1%; adjusted odds ratio 1.70, 95% CI [1.26-2.28]), more emergency home visits on nights and holidays (33.6% vs. 16.7%; 2.20 [1.55-3.13]), and fewer hospitalizations (21.5% vs. 32.2%; 0.55 [0.39-0.76]). During the follow-up period, 229 patients (152 patients in enhanced HCSCs and 77 patients in HCSCs) died. Deaths at home were significantly more common in enhanced HCSCs than in conventional HCSCs (80.9% vs. 64.9%; p < .001), and physician-attended deaths among those who died at home were also significantly more common in enhanced HCSCs (99.2% vs. 78.0%; p < .001). CONCLUSIONS This study confirms that enhanced HCSCs are more likely to be able to handle emergency home visits and end-of-life care at home, which are important medical functions in home healthcare. Further promotion of enhanced HCSCs would be advantageous.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yu Sun
- grid.20515.330000 0001 2369 4728Graduate School of Comprehensive Human Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan ,grid.20515.330000 0001 2369 4728Health Services Research and Development Center, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
| | - Masao Iwagami
- Health Services Research and Development Center, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan. .,Department of Health Services Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan.
| | - Nobuo Sakata
- grid.20515.330000 0001 2369 4728Health Services Research and Development Center, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan ,grid.20515.330000 0001 2369 4728Department of Health Services Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
| | - Tomoko Ito
- grid.20515.330000 0001 2369 4728Health Services Research and Development Center, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
| | - Ryota Inokuchi
- grid.20515.330000 0001 2369 4728Health Services Research and Development Center, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan ,grid.20515.330000 0001 2369 4728Department of Health Services Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
| | - Jun Komiyama
- grid.20515.330000 0001 2369 4728Graduate School of Comprehensive Human Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan ,grid.20515.330000 0001 2369 4728Department of Health Services Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
| | - Naoaki Kuroda
- grid.20515.330000 0001 2369 4728Health Services Research and Development Center, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan ,Health Department, Tsukuba City, Ibaraki, Japan ,grid.416859.70000 0000 9832 2227Department of Community Mental Health & Law, National Institute of Mental Health, National Center of Neurology and Psychiatry, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Nanako Tamiya
- grid.20515.330000 0001 2369 4728Health Services Research and Development Center, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan ,grid.20515.330000 0001 2369 4728Department of Health Services Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Sun Y, Iwagami M, Sakata N, Ito T, Inokuchi R, Uda K, Hamada S, Ishimaru M, Komiyama J, Kuroda N, Yoshie S, Ishizaki T, Iijima K, Tamiya N. Development and validation of a risk score to predict the frequent emergency house calls among older people who receive regular home visits. BMC PRIMARY CARE 2022; 23:132. [PMID: 35619095 PMCID: PMC9137049 DOI: 10.1186/s12875-022-01742-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2021] [Accepted: 05/17/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
Background The demand for home healthcare is increasing in Japan, and a 24-hour on-call system could be a burden for primary care physicians. Identifying high-risk patients who need frequent emergency house calls could help physicians prepare and allocate medical resources. The aim of the present study was to develop a risk score to predict the frequent emergency house calls in patients who receive regular home visits. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study with linked medical and long-term care claims data from two Japanese cities. Participants were ≥ 65 years of age and had newly started regular home visits between July 2014 and March 2018 in Tsukuba city and between July 2012 and March 2017 in Kashiwa city. We followed up with patients a year after they began the regular home visits or until the month following the end of the regular home visits if this was completed within 1 year. We calculated the average number of emergency house calls per month by dividing the total number of emergency house calls by the number of months that each person received regular home visits (1–13 months). The primary outcome was the “frequent” emergency house calls, defined as its use once per month or more, on average, during the observation period. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression with 10-fold cross-validation to build the model from 19 candidate variables. The predictive performance was assessed with the area under the curve (AUC). Results Among 4888 eligible patients, frequent emergency house calls were observed in 13.0% of participants (634/4888). The risk score included three variables with the following point assignments: home oxygen therapy (3 points); long-term care need level 4–5 (1 point); cancer (4 points). While the AUC of a model that included all candidate variables was 0.734, the AUC of the 3-risk score model was 0.707, suggesting good discrimination. Conclusions This easy-to-use risk score would be useful for assessing high-risk patients and would allow the burden on primary care physicians to be reduced through measures such as clustering high-risk patients in well-equipped medical facilities. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12875-022-01742-7.
Collapse
|
6
|
Adewusi L, Mark I, Wells P, O'Brien A. A retrospective cohort study describing characteristics of those repeatedly detained under Section 136 of the Mental Health Act over a 5-year period and the association with past abuse. MEDICINE, SCIENCE, AND THE LAW 2022; 62:124-133. [PMID: 34609908 DOI: 10.1177/00258024211045456] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Individuals repeatedly detained under Section 136 (S136) of the Mental Health Act account for a significant proportion of all detentions. This study provides a detailed analysis of those repeatedly detained ('repeat attenders') to a London Mental Health Trust, identifying key demographic profiles when compared to non-repeat attenders, describing core clinical characteristics and determining to what degree a past history of abuse might be associated with these.All detentions to the S136 suite at South West London and St George's Mental Health NHS Trust over a 5-year period (2015-2020) were examined. Data were collected retrospectively from electronic records. A total of 1767 patients had been detained, with 81 patients identified as being a 'repeat attenders' (having had > = 3 detentions to the S136 suite during the study period). Repeat attenders accounted for 400 detentions, 17.7% of all detentions.Repeat attenders included a higher proportion of females (49.4%, p = 0.0001), compared to non-repeat attenders, and a higher proportion of them were of white ethnicity (85.2%, p = 0.001). 52 (64%) patients reported being a victim of past abuse or trauma. Of repeat attenders who reported past abuse or trauma, a high proportion had diagnoses of personality disorders, with deliberate self-harm as the most common reason for detention. They were more commonly discharged home with community support, rather than considered for hospital admission. In light of these findings, this paper discusses support potential strategies for those most vulnerable to repeated S136 detention, thereby minimising the ever-growing number of S136 detentions in the UK.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Laureen Adewusi
- 4915St George's University of London, Cranmer Terrace, London, SW17 0RE, UK
| | - Isabel Mark
- 4915St George's University of London, Cranmer Terrace, London, SW17 0RE, UK
- 4967South West London and St George's Mental Health NHS Trust, Springfield Hospital, 61 Glenburnie Road, London, SW17 7DJ, UK
| | - Paige Wells
- 4915St George's University of London, Cranmer Terrace, London, SW17 0RE, UK
| | - Aileen O'Brien
- 4915St George's University of London, Cranmer Terrace, London, SW17 0RE, UK
- 4967South West London and St George's Mental Health NHS Trust, Springfield Hospital, 61 Glenburnie Road, London, SW17 7DJ, UK
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
Nakandi K, Mora D, Stub T, Kristoffersen AE. Conventional health care service utilization among cancer survivors that visit traditional and complementary providers in the Tromsø study: a cross-sectional study. BMC Health Serv Res 2022; 22:53. [PMID: 35016666 PMCID: PMC8751219 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-021-07445-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2021] [Accepted: 12/21/2021] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Traditional and complementary medicine (T&CM) is commonly used among cancer patients worldwide. Cancer patients in Norway mainly visit T&CM providers in addition to conventional health care services. It is not known how their utilization of T&CM providers influences their use of conventional health care services. The aim of this study was to investigate the difference between the utilization of conventional health care services among cancer survivors that visit T&CM providers and those that do not, and their associated factors. Method Health care service utilization data were obtained from cancer survivors 40 years and above participating in the Tromsø Study: Tromsø 7 conducted in 2015–2016. Data were collected from self-administered questionnaires. Pearson chi-square tests, Fisher exact tests, t-test, and logistic regression were used, with the significance level considered at p < 0.05. Results Of 1553 individuals, 10% (n = 155) reported visiting T&CM providers in the past 12 months. As both cancer survivors visiting and not visiting T&CM providers were frequent users of conventional health care, no significant differences were found in the overall use of conventional health care (98.1vs.94.5%, p = .056). Users of T&CM providers were however more likely to visit physiotherapists (40.1% vs 25%, p < .001), emergency rooms (29.2% vs 16.5%, p < .001), chiropractors (17% vs 6%, p < .001), and psychologist/psychiatrist (8.9% vs 3.4%, p < .001). They also had more frequent visits to conventional health care (11.45 vs 8.31 yearly visits, p = 0.014), particularly to general practitioners (5.21 visits vs. 3.94 visits, p = .002). Conclusion Results from this study show that visits to T&CM providers are associated with more visits to conventional health care services among cancer survivors. Further studies are needed to investigate the reasons for this high use behavior.
Collapse
|
8
|
Kaehne A, Keating P. Measuring the impact of an acute visiting scheme on emergency department attendances - a pre-post cohort design. BMC Health Serv Res 2021; 21:521. [PMID: 34049540 PMCID: PMC8164303 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-021-06557-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2020] [Accepted: 05/17/2021] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Emergency department (ED) attendances are contributing to rising costs of the National Health Service (NHS) in England. Critically assessing the impact of new services to reduce emergency department use can be difficult as new services may create additional access points, unlocking latent demand. The study evaluated an Acute Visiting Scheme (AVS) in a primary care context. We asked if AVS reduces overall ED demand and whether or not it changed utilisation patterns for frequent attenders. METHOD The study used a pre post single cohort design. The impact of AVS on all-cause ED attendances was hypothesised as a substitution effect, where AVS duty doctor visits would replace emergency department visits. Primary outcome was frequency of ED attendances. End points were reduction of frequency of service use and increase of intervals between attendances by frequent attenders. RESULTS ED attendances for AVS users rose by 47.6%. If AVS use was included, there was a more than fourfold increase of total service utilisation, amounting to 438.3%. It shows that AVS unlocked significant latent demand. However, there was some reduction in the frequency of ED attendances for some patients and an increase in time intervals between ED attendances for others. CONCLUSION The study demonstrates that careful analysis of patient utilisation can detect a differential impact of AVS on the use of ED. As the new service created additional access points for patients and hence introduces an element of choice, the new service is likely to unlock latent demand. This study illustrates that AVS may be most useful if targeted at specific patient groups who are most likely to benefit from the new service.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Axel Kaehne
- Reader Health Services Research, Medical School, Edge Hill University, Ormskirk, L39 4QP, UK.
| | - Paula Keating
- Head of Women's and Children's Health Care, Faculty of Health, Social Care and Medicine, Edge Hill University, Ormskirk, UK
| |
Collapse
|
9
|
Boman E, Duvaland E, Gaarde K, Leary A, Rauhala A, Fagerström L. Implementation of advanced practice nursing for minor orthopedic injuries in the emergency care context: A non-inferiority study. Int J Nurs Stud 2021; 118:103910. [PMID: 33773309 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2021.103910] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2020] [Revised: 02/03/2021] [Accepted: 02/18/2021] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
Abstract
AIMS To evaluate the implementation of advanced practice nursing for patients with minor orthopedic injuries, including comparison of outcomes in relation to advanced practice nurse versus standard (physician-led) care models. DESIGN A non-inferiority study was performed in an emergency department in Norway, where advanced practice nursing is in an initial stage of implementation. The non-inferiority design was chosen to test whether the new advanced practice nursing model does not compromise quality of care compared to the standard care model already in use. METHODS Patients with minor orthopedic injuries were assessed and treated by either advanced practice nursing or standard (physician-led) care models. Participating patients were assigned to the professional available at presentation. In the nursing model, registered nurses worked at an advanced level/applied advanced practice nursing following in-house-training. Senior orthopedic specialists evaluated the diagnostic and treatment accuracy in both models. Data were collected in a tool developed for this study, from May to October 2019. RESULTS In total, 335 cases were included, of which 167 (49.9%) were assessed and treated in the nursing model. Overall, correct diagnosis was found in 97.3% (n = 326) of the cases, and correct treatment was found in 91.3% (n = 306) of the cases. In comparison of missed diagnosis between advanced practice nurse and the standard (physician-led) care model showed inconclusive results (risk ratio: 0.29, 95% CI: 0.06-1.36). In comparison of treatment outcomes, the results showed that the advanced practice nursing model was non-inferior (risk ratio: 0.45, 95% CI: 0.21-0.97). CONCLUSION Advanced practice nursing care models can be used to diagnose and treat minor orthopedic injuries without compromising quality of care. Further implementation of the advanced practice nurse care model is encouraged.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Erika Boman
- Department of Nursing and Health Sciences, University of South-Eastern, Norway, Drammen, Norway; Department of Nursing, Åland University of Applied Sciences, Mariehamn, Finland.
| | | | - Kim Gaarde
- Drammen Hospital, Vestre Viken HF, Drammen, Norway
| | - Alison Leary
- Department of Nursing and Health Sciences, University of South-Eastern, Norway, Drammen, Norway; School of Health and Social Care, London South Bank University, London, United Kingdom
| | - Auvo Rauhala
- Faculty of Education and Welfare Studies, Åbo Akademi University, Vaasa, Finland; Vaasa Central Hospital, Vaasa, Finland
| | - Lisbeth Fagerström
- Department of Nursing and Health Sciences, University of South-Eastern, Norway, Drammen, Norway; Faculty of Education and Welfare Studies, Åbo Akademi University, Vaasa, Finland
| |
Collapse
|
10
|
Children as frequent attenders in primary care: a systematic review. BJGP Open 2020; 4:bjgpopen20X101076. [PMID: 32873539 PMCID: PMC7606143 DOI: 10.3399/bjgpopen20x101076] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2019] [Accepted: 11/08/2019] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Frequent paediatric attendances make up a large proportion of a GP's workload. Currently, there is no systematic review on frequent paediatric attendances in primary care. Aim To identify the sociodemographic and clinical characteristics of children who attend primary care frequently. Design & setting A systematic review. Method The electronic databases MEDLINE, Embase, and PsycINFO were searched up to January 2020, using terms relating to frequent attendance in primary care settings. Studies were eligible if they considered children frequently attending in primary care (aged 0–19 years). Relevant data were extracted and analysed by narrative synthesis. Results Six studies, of fair quality overall, were included in the review. Frequent attendance was associated with presence of psychosocial and mental health problems, younger age, school absence, presence of chronic conditions, and high level of anxiety in their parents. Conclusion Various sociodemographic and medical characteristics of children were associated with frequent attendance in primary care. Research on interventions needs to account for the social context and community characteristics. Integrating GP services with mental health and social care could potentially provide a response to medical and psychosocial needs of frequently attending children and their families.
Collapse
|
11
|
Characteristics of Frequent Attenders Compared with Non-Frequent Attenders in Primary Care: Study of Remote Communities in Taiwan. Healthcare (Basel) 2020; 8:healthcare8020096. [PMID: 32295021 PMCID: PMC7349067 DOI: 10.3390/healthcare8020096] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/28/2020] [Revised: 04/01/2020] [Accepted: 04/11/2020] [Indexed: 12/31/2022] Open
Abstract
Frequent attenders (FAs) have an impact on the medical resources and the quality of care. In Taiwan, the characteristics of FAs remain unclear in primary care. Outpatient data were screened from a central clinic within six surrounding fishing villages in northeastern Taiwan in 2017. FAs were defined as those who made >18 visits in one year, and those who made ≤18 visits were defined as non-frequent attenders (NFAs). Data of FAs and NFAs were collected and compared. The major diagnoses were reported using International Classifications of Diseases, Tenth Edition (ICD-10) codes. A total of 1586 subjects and 9077 visits were enrolled, including 119 FAs and 1467 NFAs. FAs had a more advanced age compared to NFAs. Both FAs and NFAs had more visits in summer. FAs had consumed high prescriptions and related costs. FAs also had higher therapeutic and first visit costs than NFAs. Comparing with age- sex-matched NFAs, FAs were positively associated with musculoskeletal diseases (M00-M99), hematological diseases (D50-D89), endocrine diseases (E00-E90), and mental disorders (F00-F99). Large-scale local datasets and suitable definitions of FAs for Taiwanese subjects are needed.
Collapse
|
12
|
Foster H, Moffat KR, Burns N, Gannon M, Macdonald S, O'Donnell CA. What do we know about demand, use and outcomes in primary care out-of-hours services? A systematic scoping review of international literature. BMJ Open 2020; 10:e033481. [PMID: 31959608 PMCID: PMC7045150 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2019-033481] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2019] [Revised: 12/03/2019] [Accepted: 12/05/2019] [Indexed: 01/10/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To synthesise international evidence for demand, use and outcomes of primary care out-of-hours health services (OOHS). DESIGN Systematic scoping review. DATA SOURCES CINAHL; Medline; PsyARTICLES; PsycINFO; SocINDEX; and Embase from 1995 to 2019. STUDY SELECTION English language studies in UK or similar international settings, focused on services in or directly impacting primary care. RESULTS 105 studies included: 54% from mainland Europe/Republic of Ireland; 37% from UK. Most focused on general practitioner-led out-of-hours cooperatives. Evidence for increasing patient demand over time was weak due to data heterogeneity, infrequent reporting of population denominators and little adjustment for population sociodemographics. There was consistent evidence of higher OOHS use in the evening compared with overnight, at weekends and by certain groups (children aged <5, adults aged >65, women, those from socioeconomically deprived areas, with chronic diseases or mental health problems). Contact with OOHS was driven by problems perceived as urgent by patients. Respiratory, musculoskeletal, skin and abdominal symptoms were the most common reasons for contact in adults; fever and gastrointestinal symptoms were the most common in the under-5s. Frequent users of daytime services were also frequent OOHS users; difficulty accessing daytime services was also associated with OOHS use. There is some evidence to suggest that OOHS colocated in emergency departments (ED) can reduce demand in EDs. CONCLUSIONS Policy changes have impacted on OOHS over the past two decades. While there are generalisable lessons, a lack of comparable data makes it difficult to judge how demand has changed over time. Agreement on collection of OOHS data would allow robust comparisons within and across countries and across new models of care. Future developments in OOHS should also pay more attention to the relationship with daytime primary care and other services. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER CRD42015029741.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Hamish Foster
- General Practice and Primary Care, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Keith R Moffat
- General Practice and Primary Care, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Nicola Burns
- General Practice and Primary Care, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Maria Gannon
- General Practice and Primary Care, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Sara Macdonald
- General Practice and Primary Care, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | | |
Collapse
|
13
|
Skarshaug LJ, Svedahl ER, Bjørngaard JH, Steinsbekk A, Pape K. Contact with primary health care physicians before an acute hospitalisation. Scand J Prim Health Care 2019; 37:283-293. [PMID: 31286825 PMCID: PMC6713167 DOI: 10.1080/02813432.2019.1639900] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives: To assess contacts with general practitioners (GPs), both regular GPs and out-of-hours GP services (OOH) during the year before an emergency hospital admission. Design: Longitudinal design with register-based information on somatic health care contacts and use of municipality health care services. Setting: Four municipalities in central Norway, 2012-2013. Subjects: Inhabitants aged 50 and older admitted to hospital for acute myocardial infarction, hip fracture, stroke, heart failure, or pneumonia. Main outcome measures: GP contact during the year and month before an emergency hospital admission. Results: Among 66,952 identified participants, 720 were admitted to hospital for acute myocardial infarction, 645 for hip fracture, 740 for stroke, 399 for heart failure, and 853 for pneumonia in the two-year study period. The majority of these acutely admitted patients had contact with general practitioners each month before the emergency hospital admission, especially contacts with a regular GP. A general increase in GP contact was observed towards the time of hospital admission, but development differed between the patient groups. Patients admitted with heart failure had the steepest increase of monthly GP contact. A sizable percentage did not contact the regular GP or OOH services the last month before admission, in particular men aged 50-64 admitted with myocardial infarction or stroke. Conclusion: The majority of patients acutely admitted to hospital for different common severe emergency diagnoses have been in contact with GPs during the month and year before the admission. This points towards general practitioners having an important role in these patients' health care. KEY MESSAGES There is scarce knowledge about primary health care contact before an emergency hospital admission. The percentage of patients with contacts differed between patient groups, and increased towards hospital admission for most diagnoses, particularly heart failure. More than 50% having monthly general practitioner contact before admission underscores the general practitioners' role in these patients' health care. Our results underscore the need to consider medical diagnosis when talking about the role of general practitioners in preventing emergency hospital admissions.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Lena J. Skarshaug
- Department of Public Health and Nursing, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway;
- CONACT Lena J. Skarshaug Department of Public Health and Nursing, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Post box 8905, 7491 Trondheim, Norway
| | - Ellen R. Svedahl
- Department of Public Health and Nursing, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway;
| | - Johan H. Bjørngaard
- Department of Public Health and Nursing, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway;
- Research Centre Brøset, St. Olavs University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway
| | - Aslak Steinsbekk
- Department of Public Health and Nursing, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway;
| | - Kristine Pape
- Department of Public Health and Nursing, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway;
| |
Collapse
|
14
|
Blakoe M, Gamst-Jensen H, von Euler-Chelpin M, Collatz Christensen H, Møller T. Sociodemographic and health-related determinants for making repeated calls to a medical helpline: a prospective cohort study. BMJ Open 2019; 9:e030173. [PMID: 31482858 PMCID: PMC6720138 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2019-030173] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To identify sociodemographic and health-related characteristics of callers' making repeated calls within 48 hours to a medical helpline, compared with those who only call once. SETTING In the Capital Region of Denmark people with acute, non-life-threatening illnesses or injuries are triaged through a single-tier medical helpline for acute, healthcare services. PARTICIPANTS People who called the medical helpline between 18 January and 9 February 2017 were invited to participate in the survey. During the period, 38 787 calls were handled and 12 902 agreed to participate. Calls were excluded because of the temporary civil registration number (n=78), the call was not made by the patient or a close relative (n=699), or survey responses were incomplete (n=19). Hence, the analysis included 12 106 calls, representing 11.131 callers' making single calls and 464 callers' making two or more calls within 48 hours. Callers' data (age, sex and caller identification) were collected from the medical helpline's electronic records. Data were enriched using the callers' self-rated health, self-evaluated degree of worry, and registry data on income, ethnicity and comorbidities. The OR for making repeated calls was calculated in a crude, sex-adjusted and age-adjusted analysis and in a mutually adjusted analysis. RESULTS The crude logistic regression analysis showed that age, self-rated health, self-evaluated degree of worry, income, ethnicity and comorbidities were significantly associated with making repeated calls. In the mutually adjusted analysis associations decreased, however, odds ratios remained significantly decreased for callers with a household income in the middle (OR=0.71;95% CI 0.54 to 0.92) or highest (OR=0.68;95% CI 0.48 to 0.96) quartiles, whereas immigrants had borderline significantly increased OR (OR=1.34;95% CI 0.96 to 1.86) for making repeated calls. CONCLUSIONS Findings suggest that income and ethnicity are potential determinants of callers' need to make additional calls within 48 hours to a medical helpline with triage function.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Mitti Blakoe
- Emergency Medical Services Copenhagen, Emergency Medical Services Copenhagen, Ballerup, Denmark
- University of Copenhagen Faculty of Health Sciences, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Hejdi Gamst-Jensen
- Emergency Medical Services Copenhagen, Emergency Medical Services Copenhagen, Ballerup, Denmark
| | - My von Euler-Chelpin
- Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen Faculty of Health Sciences, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | | | - Tom Møller
- University of Copenhagen Faculty of Health Sciences, Copenhagen, Denmark
- The University Hospitals Centre for Health Research, Copenhagen, Denmark
| |
Collapse
|
15
|
Blinkenberg J, Pahlavanyali S, Hetlevik Ø, Sandvik H, Hunskaar S. General practitioners' and out-of-hours doctors' role as gatekeeper in emergency admissions to somatic hospitals in Norway: registry-based observational study. BMC Health Serv Res 2019; 19:568. [PMID: 31412931 PMCID: PMC6693245 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-019-4419-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2019] [Accepted: 08/09/2019] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Primary care doctors have a gatekeeper function in many healthcare systems, and strategies to reduce emergency hospital admissions often focus on general practitioners' (GPs') and out-of-hours (OOH) doctors' role. The aim of the present study was to investigate these doctors' role in emergency admissions to somatic hospitals in the Norwegian public healthcare system, where GPs and OOH doctors have a distinct gatekeeper function. METHODS A cross-sectional analysis was performed by linking data from the Norwegian Patient Registry (NPR) and the physicians' claims database. The referring doctor was defined as the physician who had sent a claim for a consultation with the patient within 24 h prior to an emergency admission. If there was no claim registered prior to hospital arrival, the admission was defined as direct, representing admissions from ambulance services, referrals from nursing home doctors, and admissions initiated by in-hospital doctors. RESULTS In 2014 there were 497,845 emergency admissions to somatic hospitals in Norway after excluding birth related conditions. Referrals by OOH doctors were most frequent (36%), 35% were direct admissions, 28% were referred by GPs, whereas only 2% were referred from outpatient clinics or private specialists with public contract. Direct admissions were more common in central areas (45%), here GPs’ referrals constituted only 18%. The prehospital paths varied with the hospital discharge diagnosis. For anaemias, 52–56% were referred by GPs, for acute appendicitis and mental/alcohol related disorders 57% and 56% were referred by OOH doctors, respectively. For malignant neoplasms 56% and cardiac arrest 57% were direct admissions. CONCLUSIONS GPs or OOH doctors referred many emergencies to somatic hospitals, and for some clinical conditions GPs' and OOH doctors' gatekeeping role was substantial. However, a significant proportion of the emergency admissions was direct, and this reduces the impact of the GPs' and OOH doctors' gatekeeper roles, even in a strict gatekeeping system.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jesper Blinkenberg
- National Centre for Emergency Primary Health Care, NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Kalfarveien 31, 5018 Bergen, Norway
- Department of Global Public Health and Primary Care, University of Bergen, Kalfarveien 31, 5018 Bergen, Norway
| | - Sahar Pahlavanyali
- National Centre for Emergency Primary Health Care, NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Kalfarveien 31, 5018 Bergen, Norway
- Department of Global Public Health and Primary Care, University of Bergen, Kalfarveien 31, 5018 Bergen, Norway
| | - Øystein Hetlevik
- Department of Global Public Health and Primary Care, University of Bergen, Kalfarveien 31, 5018 Bergen, Norway
| | - Hogne Sandvik
- National Centre for Emergency Primary Health Care, NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Kalfarveien 31, 5018 Bergen, Norway
| | - Steinar Hunskaar
- National Centre for Emergency Primary Health Care, NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Kalfarveien 31, 5018 Bergen, Norway
- Department of Global Public Health and Primary Care, University of Bergen, Kalfarveien 31, 5018 Bergen, Norway
| |
Collapse
|
16
|
Hansen AH, Claudi T, Årsand E. Associations Between the Use of eHealth and Out-of-Hours Services in People With Type 1 Diabetes: Cross-Sectional Study. J Med Internet Res 2019; 21:e13465. [PMID: 30896437 PMCID: PMC6447992 DOI: 10.2196/13465] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2019] [Revised: 02/20/2019] [Accepted: 03/07/2019] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite the increasing prevalence of diabetes and the increasing use of eHealth, little is known about the association between provider-based health services and eHealth among people with diabetes. This is the second study in a project exploring the associations between the use of eHealth and the use of provider-based health services. OBJECTIVE The objective of this study was to investigate which eHealth services are used among out-of-hours (OOH) visitors with type 1 diabetes (T1D), and whether the use of eHealth (eg, apps, search engines, video services, and social media) was associated with the use of OOH services. We also wanted to investigate associations between anxiety, reassurance, and change in doctor-seeking behavior because of health information acquired from the Internet, and the use of OOH services. METHODS We used data from a 2018 email survey of members of the Norwegian Diabetes Association (18-89 years old). Respondents with T1D were eligible for analyses. Using descriptive statistics, we estimated the use of OOH services and eHealth. Using logistic regressions, we studied the associations between the use of OOH services and the use of eHealth, as well as associations between the use of OOH services and reported consequences of using Internet-based health information. RESULTS In the sample of 523 people with T1D (mean age 47 years), 26.7% (129/484) visited OOH services once or more during the previous year. Among the OOH visitors, search engines were used for health purposes by 86.7% (111/128), apps (health apps in general) by 63.6% (82/129), social media by 45.3% (58/128), and video services by 28.4% (36/127). The use of OOH services was positively associated with self-reported anxiety/depression (odds ratio [OR] 4.53, 95% CI 1.43-14.32) and with the use of apps (OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.05-2.85), but not with other types of eHealth. Those who had felt anxious based on information from the Internet were more likely to visit OOH services compared with those who had not felt anxious (OR 2.38, 95% CI 1.50-3.78). People who had decided to consult a doctor based on information from the Internet were more likely to visit OOH services (OR 2.76, 95% CI 1.64-4.66), compared to those who had not made such an Internet-based decision. CONCLUSIONS People with T1D were frequent users of OOH services, and the OOH visitors were frequent users of eHealth. The use of OOH services was positively associated with the use of health apps, with self-reported anxiety/depression, and with feeling anxious based on information from the Internet. Likewise, deciding to consult a doctor based on information from the Internet was positively associated with OOH visits. The use of eHealth seems to have a significant impact on people with T1D.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Anne Helen Hansen
- Centre for Quality Improvement and Development, University Hospital of North Norway, Tromsø, Norway.,Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway
| | - Tor Claudi
- Department of Medicine, Nordland Hospital, Bodø, Norway
| | - Eirik Årsand
- Norwegian Centre for E-health Research, University Hospital of North Norway, Tromsø, Norway.,Department of Clinical Medicine, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway
| |
Collapse
|
17
|
Stegink S, Elliott AM, Burton C. Statistical complexity of reasons for encounter in high users of out of hours primary care: analysis of a national service. BMC Health Serv Res 2019; 19:108. [PMID: 30736776 PMCID: PMC6368808 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-019-3938-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2018] [Accepted: 01/30/2019] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Managing demand for urgent and unscheduled care is a major problem for health services globally. A particular issue is that some patients appear to make heavy use of services, including primary care out of hours. We hypothesised that greater variation (statistical complexity) in reasons for attending primary care out of hours services may be a useful marker of patients at high risk of ongoing heavy service use. Methods We analysed an anonymised dataset of contacts with the primary care out of hours care for Scotland in 2011. This contained 120,395 contacts from 13,981 high-using patients who made 5 or more contacts during a calendar year. We allocated the stated reason for each encounter into one of 14 categories. For each patient we calculated measures of statistical complexity of reasons for encounter including the count of different categories, Herfindahl index and statistical entropy of either the categories themselves, or the category transitions. We examined the association of these measures of statistical complexity with patient and healthcare use characteristics. Results The high users comprised 2.4% of adults using the service and accounted for 15% of all contacts. Statistical complexity (as entropy of categories) increased with number of contacts but was not substantially influenced by either patient age or sex. This lack of association with age was unexpected as with increasing multi-morbidity one would expect greater variability in reason for encounter. Between 5 and 10 consultations, higher entropy was associated with a reduced likelihood of further consultations. In contrast, the occurrence of one or more contacts for a mental health problem was associated with increased likelihood of further consultations. Conclusion Complexity of reason for encounter can be estimated in an out of hours primary care setting. Similar levels of statistical complexity are seen in younger and older adults (suggesting that it is more to do with consultation behaviour than morbidity) but it is not a predictor of ongoing high use of urgent care. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1186/s12913-019-3938-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sarah Stegink
- Medical School, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK
| | - Alison M Elliott
- Abertay University, Dundee, UK.,Institute for Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK
| | - Christopher Burton
- Institute for Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK. .,Academic Unit of Primary Medical Care, University of Sheffield, Samuel Fox House, Northern General Hospital, Sheffield, S5 7AU, UK.
| |
Collapse
|