Fatty liver index as a predictor for incident type 2 diabetes in community-dwelling adults: longitudinal findings over 12 years

Association Between High Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin and All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality in Adults at Risk of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Cohort Study

Objective

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death among patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This study investigates the association between high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) levels and mortality in adults at risk of NAFLD in a representative U.S. population sample.

Methods

Among participants aged 18 years and older in the 1999-2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, we measured high-sensitivity troponin T using a single assay (Roche) and high-sensitivity troponin I using three assays (Abbott, Siemens, and Ortho). Myocardial injury was identified by elevated levels of hs-cTn. Mortality outcomes were determined through linkage with the National Death Index database, with follow-up until December 31, 2019. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the associations between myocardial injury and mortality in the NAFLD population. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the main findings.

Results

A total of 2581 at risk of NAFLD were included in this observational study, with myocardial injury identified in 7.01%. Over a median follow-up of 16.7 years, 937 all-cause deaths occurred, including 319 cardiovascular disease-related deaths. NAFLD individuals with myocardial injury had worse survival rates at 5, 10, and 15 years compared to those without myocardial injury. After adjusting for baseline characteristics, myocardial injury was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted Hazard Ratio [aHR] 1.785, 95% CI 1.494-2.134, P < 0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (aHR 2.155, 95% CI 1.606-2.893, P < 0.001).

Conclusion

This large, nationally representative study demonstrates that myocardial injury, defined by elevated hs-cTn levels, is independently associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality risks in the adult population at risk of NAFLD in the United States. This association persisted after adjusting for various factors and in patients without pre-existing cardiovascular disease. The Siemens hs-cTn I assay demonstrated the strongest association with all-cause mortality. These findings highlight the potential of hs-cTn as a valuable prognostic marker in NAFLD patients, even in those without clinically apparent cardiovascular disease. Routine hs-cTn assessment may aid in risk stratification and guide targeted interventions to reduce mortality risk in this population.

GDF-15 improves the predictive capacity of steatotic liver disease non-invasive tests for incident morbidity and mortality risk for cardio-renal-metabolic diseases and malignancies

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Noninvasive tools (NITs) are currently used to stratify the risk of having or developing hepatic steatosis or fibrosis. Their performance and a proteomic-enabled improvement in forecasting long-term cardio-renal-metabolic morbidity, malignancies, as well as cause-specific and all-cause mortality, are lacking. Therefore, the performance of established NITs needs to be investigated in identifying cardio-renal-metabolic morbidity, malignancies, cause-specific and overall mortality and improve their performance with novel, proteomic-enabled NITs, including growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), allowing multipurpose utilization.

METHODS

502,359 UK Biobank participants free of the study outcomes at baseline with a 14-year median follow-up were grouped into three categories: a) general population, b) potentially metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) population, c) individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus. The investigated NITs include Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI), Fibrosis 4 Index (FIB-4), Fatty Liver Index (FLI), Hepatic Steatosis Index (HSI), Lipid Accumulation Product (LAP), and metabolic dysfunction-associated fibrosis (MAF-5) score.

RESULTS

Adding GDF-15 to the existing NITs led to significantly increased prognostic performance compared to the traditional NITs in almost all instances, reaching substantially high C-indices, ranging between 0.601 and 0.808, with an overall >0.2 improvement in C-index. Overall, with the GDF-15 enhanced NITs, up to more than seven times fewer individuals need to be screened to identify more incident cases of adverse outcomes compared to the traditional NITs. The cumulative incidence of all outcomes, based on the continuous value percentiles of NITs, is increasing exponentially in the upper quintile of the GDF-15 enhanced NITs.

CONCLUSIONS

The herein-developed GDF-15 enhanced indices demonstrate higher screening effectiveness and significantly improved prognostic abilities, which are reduced to practice through an easy-to-use web-based calculator tool (https://clinicalpredictor.shinyapps.io/multimorbidity-mortality-risk/).

Comparative associations of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease with risk of incident chronic kidney disease: a cohort study

Background

We examined the comparative associations between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) definitions with risk of developing chronic kidney disease (CKD) and abnormal albuminuria.

Methods

We conducted a cohort study of 214,145 Korean adults with normal kidney function at baseline who underwent liver ultrasonography. Participants were further subdivided into no steatotic liver disease (no-SLD), NAFLD-only, MASLD-only, both NAFLD and MASLD, and SLD not categorized as NAFLD or MASLD groups. Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze the risk of incident CKD and albuminuria.

Results

Compared with either the no-NAFLD or no-MASLD groups, the NAFLD and MASLD groups were associated with a higher risk of incident CKD (NAFLD: adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 1.18 [95% CI, 1.01-1.38]; MASLD: adjusted HR, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.04-1.39]). Among the five subgroups, both NAFLD and MASLD group had the strongest association with risk of incident CKD (adjusted HR, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.04-1.42]). The MASLD-only group had the strongest association with incident abnormal albuminuria, with an adjusted HR comparable to that of the both NAFLD and MASLD group (adjusted HR 1.96 [95% CI, 1.44-2.67] for the MASLD-only, and adjusted HR 1.98 [95% CI, 1.58-2.49] for the both NAFLD and MASLD group versus the no-SLD group). The NAFLD-only group was not independently associated with risk of CKD or abnormal albuminuria.

Conclusions

These findings suggest that MASLD definition identifies individuals at high risk of developing incident CKD or abnormal albuminuria better than NAFLD definition.

Validation of Nutritional Approaches to Modulate Cardiovascular and Diabetic Risk Factors in Patients with Hypertriglyceridemia or Prediabetes-The MoKaRi II Randomized Controlled Study

Hypertriglyceridemia and diabetes mellitus type 2 are among the most important metabolic diseases globally. Diet plays a vital role in the development and progression of both clinical pictures. For the 10-week randomized, controlled, intervention study, 67 subjects with elevated plasma triglyceride (TG) concentrations (≥1.7 mmol/L) and 69 subjects with elevated fasting glucose concentrations (≥5.6 < 7.0 mmol/L) were recruited. The intervention groups received specially developed, individualized menu plans and regular counseling sessions to lower (A) TG or (B) fasting glucose and glycated hemoglobin A1c as well as other cardiovascular and diabetic risk factors. The hypertriglyceridemia intervention group was further supplemented with fish oil (3.5 g/d eicosapentaenoic acid + docosahexaenoic acid). The two control groups maintained a typical Western diet. Blood samples were taken every 2 weeks, and anthropometric data were collected. A follow-up examination was conducted after another 10 weeks. In both intervention groups, there were comparable significant reductions in blood lipids, glucose metabolism, and anthropometric parameters. These results were, with a few exceptions, significantly more pronounced in the intervention groups than in the corresponding control groups (comparison of percentage change from baseline). In particular, body weight was reduced by 7.4% (6.4 kg) and 7.5% (5.9 kg), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations by 19.8% (0.8 mmol/L) and 13.0% (0.5 mmol/L), TG concentrations by 18.2% (0.3 mmol/L) and 13.0% (0.2 mmol/L), and homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance by 31.8% (1.1) and 26.4% (0.9) (p < 0.05) in the hypertriglyceridemia and prediabetes intervention groups, respectively. Some of these changes were maintained until follow-up. In patients with elevated TG or fasting glucose, implementing individualized menu plans in combination with regular counseling sessions over 10 weeks led to a significant improvement in cardiovascular and diabetic risk factors.

Prediction and Validation of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease Using Fatty Liver-Related Indices in a Japanese Population

Background: Recently, metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has been proposed. It is uncertain how indices that predict fatty liver are associated with MAFLD in Japanese. Methods: Among subjects who underwent a health examination at our hospital, 1257 (men: 787, women: 474) subjects participated in fatty liver evaluation of the fatty liver index (FLI) and fatty liver predicting index (FLPI) were included in this cross-sectional study. The discriminatory ability of each index for MAFLD was tested using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The association between FLI, FLPI, and MAFLD was investigated using multiple logistic regression analysis. Results: FLI and FLPI had good discriminatory ability for identifying MAFLD in both men and women, with specific cutoff values. Both FLI and FLPI were significantly higher in subjects with MAFLD, and the odds of MAFLD were higher among those in the highest tertile relative to the lowest tertile in both men and women. FLI and FLPI were higher in subjects who met the criteria for both MAFLD and metabolic syndrome (MetS) compared to those who had MAFLD or MetS alone, and most of the examined parameters in subjects with both conditions indicated a high metabolic risk profile. Conclusions: The study suggests that FLI and FLPI are valuable tools for predicting MAFLD and are similarly correlated with the disease. Furthermore, the highest values of these indices were observed in subjects who met the criteria for both MAFLD and MetS, emphasizing the importance of considering both conditions when assessing metabolic risk.

Non-invasive tools for liver steatosis and steatohepatitis predict incidence of diabetes, cardiovascular disease and mortality 20 years later: The ATTICA cohort study (2002-2022)

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or, as recently renamed, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), has common metabolic pathways with diabetes and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Non-invasive tools (NITs) for liver steatosis and steatohepatitis (MASH) were studied as potential predictors of diabetes, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality over a 20-year period.

METHODS

In 2001-02, 3042 individuals from the Attica region of Greece were recruited randomly, and were stratified by subgroups of sex, age and region to reflect the general urban population in Athens, Greece. Validated NITs for hepatic steatosis (Hepatic Steatosis Index (HIS), Fatty Liver Index (FLI), Lipid Accumulation Product (LAP), NAFLD liver fat score (NAFLD-LFS)) and steatohepatitis (Index of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (ION), aminotransferase-creatinine-clearance non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (acNASH)) were calculated. Incidence of diabetes, CVD and mortality were recorded 5, 10 and 20 years later.

RESULTS

Within a 20-year observation period, the diabetes and CVD incidence was 26.3% and 36.1%, respectively. All hepatic steatosis and steatohepatitis NITs were independently associated with diabetes incidence. ION and acNASH presented independent association with CVD incidence [(Hazard Ratio (HR)per 1 standard deviation (SD) = 1.33, 95% Confidence Interval (95% CI) (1.07, 1.99)) and (HRper 1 SD = 1.77, 95% CI (1.05, 2.59)), respectively]. NAFLD-LFS which is a steatosis NIT indicating features of steatohepatitis, was linked with increased CVD mortality (HRper 1 SD = 1.35, 95% CI (1.00, 2.30)) and all-cause mortality (HRper 1 SD = 1.43, 95% CI (1.08, 2.01)). Overall, steatohepatitis NITs (i.e., ION and acNASH) presented stronger associations with the outcomes of interest compared with steatosis NITs. Clinically important trends were observed in relation to diabetes and CVD incidence progressively over time, i.e. 5, 10 and 20 years after baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

Easily applicable and low-cost NITs representing steatohepatitis may be early predictors of diabetes and CVD onset. More importantly, these NITs increased the attributable risk conveyed by conventional CVD risk factors by 10%. Thus, their potential inclusion in clinical practice and guidelines should be studied further.

ZJU Index as a Predictive Tool for Diabetes Incidence: Insights from a Population-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

In previous studies, the ZJU index was reported to be a superior predictor of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in the Chinese population compared to the Fatty Liver Index. However, whether the ZJU Index is significantly associated with diabetes among Asian populations has not been determined.

METHODS

The NAGALA study was carried out at Murakami Memorial Hospital (Gifu, Japan) beginning in 1994. This study included the data of the subjects who underwent health check-ups from 2004 to 2015. The ZJU Index comprises body mass index (BMI), fasting plasma glucose, triglyceride, and alanine aminotransferase-to-aspartate aminotransferase (ALT) levels and an adjustment point for females. We conducted Cox proportional hazard regression to evaluate the association between quartiles of the ZJU Index and the risk of incident diabetes.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 15,464 individuals who underwent health check-ups were included in this study.

RESULTS

A total of 373 cases of incident diabetes were documented during 93,350 person-years of follow-up. As the ZJU index increased, the incidence of diabetes gradually increased (P <0.001). According to the multivariable model adjusted for metabolic covariates, the fourth quartile of the ZJU Index was positively associated with the risk of diabetes compared to the first quartile (HR=2.519, 95% CI=1.297-4.891). Subgroup analysis revealed that the association between the ZJU index and diabetes risk was significant in subjects aged younger than 40 years (HR=3.327, 95% CI=1.544-7.171), in females (HR=4.480, 95% CI=1.302-15.419), in individuals with a BMI<25 kg/m2 (HR=3.812, 95% CI=1.992-7.293) and in individuals with a nonregular exercise (HR=2.479, 95% CI=1.193-5.152).

CONCLUSION

We observed a positive association between the ZJU Index and incident diabetes in the general population.

Which Comes First, Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease or Arterial Hypertension?

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and arterial hypertension (AH) are widespread noncommunicable diseases in the global population. Since hypertension and NAFLD are diseases associated with metabolic syndrome, they are often comorbid. In fact, many contemporary published studies confirm the association of these diseases with each other, regardless of whether other metabolic factors, such as obesity, dyslipidemia, and type 2 diabetes mellites, are present. This narrative review considers the features of the association between NAFLD and AH, as well as possible pathophysiological mechanisms.

High omega-6/omega-3 fatty acid and oxylipin ratio in plasma is linked to an adverse cardiometabolic profile in middle-aged adults

Omega-6 and omega-3 oxylipins may be surrogate markers of systemic inflammation, which is one of the triggers for the development of cardiometabolic disorders. In the current study, we investigated the relationship between plasma levels of omega-6 and omega-3 oxylipins with body composition and cardiometabolic risk factors in middle-aged adults. Seventy-two 72 middle-aged adults (39 women; 53.6±5.1 years old; 26.7±3.8 kg/m²) were included in this cross-sectional study. Plasma levels of omega-6 and omega-3 fatty acids and oxylipins were determined using targeted lipidomic. Body composition, dietary intake, and cardiometabolic risk factors were assessed with standard methods. The plasma levels of the omega-6 fatty acids and derived oxylipins, the hydroxyeicosatetraenoic acids (HETEs; arachidonic acid (AA)-derived oxylipins) and dihydroxy-eicosatrienoic acids (DiHETrEs; AA-derived oxylipins), were positively associated with glucose metabolism parameters (i.e., insulin levels and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance index (HOMA); all r≥0.21, P<.05). In contrast, plasma levels of omega-3 fatty acids and derived oxylipins, specifically hydroxyeicosapentaenoic acids (HEPEs; eicosapentaenoic acid-derived oxylipins), as well as series-3 prostaglandins, were negatively associated with plasma glucose metabolism parameters (i.e., insulin levels, HOMA; all r≤0.20, P<.05). The plasma levels of omega-6 fatty acids and derived oxylipins, HETEs and DiHETrEs were also positively correlated with liver function parameters (i.e., glutamic pyruvic transaminase, gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), and fatty liver index; all r≥0.22 and P<.05). In addition, individuals with higher omega-6/omega-3 fatty acid and oxylipin ratio showed higher levels of HOMA, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, triglycerides, and GGT (on average +36%), as well as lower levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (-13%) (all P<.05). In conclusion, the omega-6/omega-3 fatty acid and oxylipin ratio, as well as specific omega-6 and omega-3 oxylipins plasma levels, reflect an adverse cardiometabolic profile in terms of higher insulin resistance and impaired liver function in middle-aged adults.