Sex differences in the influence of type 2 diabetes (T2D)-related genes, parental history of T2D, and obesity on T2D development: a case-control study

Type 1 and type 2 diabetes mortality burden: Predictions for 2030 based on Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis of China and global mortality burden from 1990 to 2019

AIMS

This study assessed diabetes (type 1 and type 2) mortality in China and globally from 1990 to 2019, predicting the next decade's trends.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data came from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database. The annual percentage change (AAPC) in age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) for diabetes (type 1 and type 2) during 1990-2019 was calculated. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model predicted diabetes (type 1 and type 2) mortality from 2020 to 2030.

RESULTS

In China, type 1 diabetes deaths declined from 6,005 to 4,504 cases (AAPC -2.827), while type 2 diabetes deaths rose from 64,084 to 168,388 cases (AAPC -0.763) from 1990 to 2019. Globally, type 1 diabetes deaths increased from 55,417 to 78,236 cases (AAPC 0.223), and type 2 diabetes deaths increased from 606,407 to 1,472,934 cases (AAPC 0.365). Both China and global trends showed declining type 1 diabetes ASMR. However, female type 2 diabetes ASMR in China initially increased and then decreased, while males had a rebound trend. Peak type 1 diabetes deaths were in the 40-44 age group, and type 2 diabetes peaked in those over 70. BAPC predicted declining diabetes (type 1 and type 2) mortality burden in China and globally over the next 10 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Type 2 diabetes mortality remained high in China and globally despite decreasing type 1 diabetes mortality over 30 years. Predictions suggest a gradual decrease in diabetes mortality over the next decade, highlighting the need for continued focus on type 2 diabetes prevention and treatment.

Impact of the trans-ancestry polygenic risk score on type 2 diabetes risk, onset age and progression among population in Taiwan

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) prevalence in adults at a younger age has increased but the disease status may go unnoticed. This study aimed to determine whether the onset age and subsequent diabetic complications can be attributed to the polygenic architecture of T2D in the Taiwan Han population. A total of 9,627 cases with T2D and 85,606 controls from the Taiwan Biobank were enrolled. Three diabetic polygenic risk scores (PRSs), PRS_EAS and PRS_EUR, and a trans-ancestry PRS (PRS_META), calculated using summary statistic from East Asian and European populations. The onset age was identified by linking to the National Taiwan Insurance Research Database, and the incidence of different diabetic complications during follow-up was recorded. PRS_META (7.4%) explained a higher variation for T2D status. And the higher percentile of PRS is also correlated with higher percentage of T2D family history and prediabetes status. More, the PRS was negatively associated with onset age (β = -0.91 yr), and this was more evident among males (β = -1.11 vs. -0.76 for males and females, respectively). The hazard ratio of diabetic retinopathy (DR) and diabetic foot were significantly associated with PRS_EAS and PRS_META, respectively. However, the PRS was not associated with other diabetic complications, including diabetic nephropathy, cardiovascular disease, and hypertension. Our findings indicated that diabetic PRS which combined susceptibility variants from cross-population could be used as a tool for early screening of T2D, especially for high-risk populations, such as individuals with high genetic risk, and may be associated with the risk of complications in subjects with T2D. NEW & NOTEWORTHY Our findings indicated that diabetic polygenic risk score (PRS) which combined susceptibility variants from Asian and European population affect the onset age of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and could be used as a tool for early screening of T2D, especially for individuals with high genetic risk, and may be associated with the risk of diabetic complications among people in Taiwan.