Application of contrast-enhanced CT radiomics in prediction of early recurrence of locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma after trimodal therapy

CT-radiomics combined with inflammatory indicators for prediction of progression free survival of resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

To develop a nomogram model which combined clinical inflammatory indicators and CT radiomics features to predict progression free survival (PFS) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after radical operation. 258 ESCC patients receiving surgical operation treatment were retrospectively collected from July 2017 to March 2019. Clinical data, laboratory results, pathology results, pre-operative CT data, and survival outcomes were analyzed. Using cox proportional hazards regression model to assess the relationship between relevant clinicopathological factors and PFS. C-index and calibration curve were used to evaluate the nomogram model. Survival curves were obtained using the Kaplan-Meier and comparisons were made by using the log-rank test. The inflammatory model, radiomics model and nomogram model all have good predictive efficacy for predicting PFS of ESCC patients in both training and test set. Significant differences were found between the nomogram model and inflammatory model and the radiomics model (DeLong test, Z = 3.869 and 3.195, P < 0.001, P = 0.001). Decision curve analysis (DCA) results revealed the net benefit of nomogram model was better than that of inflammatory model and radiomics model. Kaplan-Meier results showed significant difference in PFS between high-risk and low-risk group in Radscore and nomogram model (P < 0.001), and the high-risk group was prone to postoperative recurrence and poor PFS. The nomogram model developed by combining inflammatory indicators and radiomics features, which is helpful for risk stratification and follow-up work, and improving ESCC patients' prognosis.

Radiomics from dual-energy CT-derived iodine maps for predicting lymph node metastases in patients with resectable rectal cancer

BackgroundLymph node metastasis (LNM) is a poor prognostic predictor and is highly correlated with local recurrence in rectal cancer patients.ObjectiveTo investigate the value of radiomics from dual-energy CT-derived iodine maps for the preoperative prediction of LNM in rectal cancer patients.MethodsA total of 176 patients were enrolled in this study (training group, n = 123; validation group, n = 53). A radiomic signature was constructed via support vector machine (SVM) modeling. Seven models, including a clinical feature model (Model 1), an arterial model (Model 2), a venous model (Model 3), an arterial-venous model (Model 4), an arterial-clinical model (Model 5), a venous-clinical model (Model 6) and an arterial-venous-clinical model (Model 7), were established via logistic regression modeling. Diagnostic performance was assessed via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.ResultsTumor location and carcinoembryonic antigen levels were used to construct Model 1 (training group, AUC [area under the ROC curve] = 0.721, 95% CI [confidence intervals], 0.630-0.813; validation group, AUC = 0.729, 95% CI, 0.593-0.865). Model 6 and Model 7 further improved the discriminatory performance in the training (AUC = 0.850 and 0.869, 95% CI, 0.782-0.919 and 0.807-0.932, respectively; p = 0.250) and validation groups (AUC = 0.780 and 0.716, 95% CI, 0.653-0.906 and 0.576-0.856, respectively; p = 0.115). Moreover, decision curve analysis revealed a greater net benefit with Model 6.ConclusionsThe combination of radiomic features based on dual-energy CT-derived iodine maps and clinical features provides better diagnostic performance for predicting LNM in rectal cancer patients.

Application of peritumoral radiomics based on simulated positioning CT images in the prognosis of intermediate-advanced esophageal cancer

This study aimed to develop a prognostic model utilizing intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics from simulated localization CT images to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced esophageal cancer, while evaluating its clinical applicability. We conducted a retrospective cohort study involving 151 patients with esophageal cancer who underwent radical radiotherapy between January 2017 and January 2023 (144 men, 7 women). Participants were randomly assigned to a training cohort (n = 105) and a validation cohort (n = 46) at a 7:3 ratio. The primary outcome measured was OS. We extracted 851 radiomic features from the radiotherapy target area of localized CT images. Univariate Cox and LASSO-Cox models were employed to identify features associated with OS. We developed four Cox proportional hazards regression models: a clinical model, a GTV radiomics model combined with the clinical model, a peritumoral radiomics model combined with the clinical model, and a comprehensive radiomics-clinical model. Model performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and nomograms. The median follow-up period was 22 months (range: 6-101). The clinical model exhibited C-index values of 0.540 and 0.590 for predicting OS in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The GTV radiomics combined with the clinical model demonstrated improved performance with C-index values of 0.753 and 0.677. The peritumoral radiomics combined with the clinical model yielded C-index values of 0.662 and 0.587. The total radiomics-clinical model showed the best predictive capability, with C-index values of 0.762 and 0.704 in the training and validation cohorts. Calibration curves validated the accuracy and clinical relevance of the total radiomics-clinical model, which effectively stratified patient risk categories (p < 0.001). The total radiomics-clinical model, developed from simulated localization CT images, demonstrates a robust ability to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced esophageal cancer. By accurately identifying high- and low-risk patients, this model empowers clinicians to tailor treatment strategies to individual patient profiles. This personalized approach enhances clinical decision-making, enabling more effective allocation of resources and interventions based on the unique prognostic factors of each patient.

Multi-modal radiomics features to predict overall survival of locally advanced esophageal cancer after definitive chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

To establish prediction models to predict 2-year overall survival (OS) and stratify patients with different risks based on radiomics features extracted from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and computed tomography (CT) before definite chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

Patients with locally advanced ESCC were recruited. We extracted 547 radiomics features from MRI and CT images. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) for COX algorithm was used to obtain features highly correlated with survival outcomes in the training cohort. Based on MRI, CT, and the hybrid image data, three prediction models were built. The predictive performance of the radiomics models was evaluated in the training cohort and verified in the validation cohort using AUC values.

RESULTS

A total of 192 patients were included and randomized into the training and validation cohorts. In predicting 2-year OS, the AUCs of the CT-based model were 0.733 and 0.654 for the training and validation sets. The MRI radiomics-based model was observed with similar AUCs of 0.750 and 0.686 in the training and validation sets. The AUC values of hybrid model combining MRI and CT radiomics features in predicting 2-year OS were 0.792 and 0.715 in the training and validation cohorts. It showed significant differences in 2-year OS in the high-risk and low-risk groups divided by the best cutoff value in the hybrid radiomics-based model.

CONCLUSIONS

The hybrid radiomics-based model demontrated the best performance of predicting 2-year OS and can differentiate the high-risk and low-risk patients.

Preoperative identification of small metastatic lymph nodes in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma using CT radiomics of lymph nodes

PURPOSE

To propose and validate a CT radiomics model utilizing radiomic features from lymph nodes (LNs) with maximum short axis diameter (MSAD) < 1 cm for predicting small metastatic LN (sMLN) in patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

A total of 196 resectable patients with ESCC undergoing surgery were retrospectively enrolled, among whom 25% had sMLN. 146 out of 196 patients (from hospital 1) were randomly divided into the training (n = 116) and testing cohorts (n = 30) at an 8:2 ratio, while the remaining 50 patients from hospital 2 constituted the external validation cohort. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator binary logistic regression was employed for radiomics feature dimensionality reduction and selection, and multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to construct the radiomics prediction model. The clinical features were statistically selected to develop the clinical model. And both the selected radiomics and clinical features were used to develop the combined model. The predictive value of models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC).

RESULTS

The LN radiomics model was constructed with 9 radiomics features, the clinical model was developed with 3 clinical features, and the combined model was developed using both the LN radiomics and clinical features. However, no statistical radiomics features from ESCC were extracted in dimensionality reduction. Compared to the clinical model, the combined model exhibited superior predictive ability (AUC: 0.893 vs. 0.766, P = 0.003), and the LN radiomics model showed slightly better predictive ability (AUC: 0.860 vs. 0.766, P = 0.153). It was validated in the test and external validation cohorts.

CONCLUSION

The combined model could assist in preoperatively identifying sMLN in resectable ESCC. It is beneficial for more accurate N staging and clinical comprehensive staging of ESCC, thereby facilitating the clinical physician to make more personalized and standardized treatment strategies.

Multi-Centered Pre-Treatment CT-Based Radiomics Features to Predict Locoregional Recurrence of Locally Advanced Esophageal Cancer After Definitive Chemoradiotherapy

Purpose: We constructed a prediction model to predict a 2-year locoregional recurrence based on the clinical features and radiomic features extracted from the machine learning method using computed tomography (CT) before definite chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) in locally advanced esophageal cancer. Patients and methods: A total of 264 patients (156 in Beijing, 87 in Tianjin, and 21 in Jiangsu) were included in this study. All those locally advanced esophageal cancer patients received definite radiotherapy and were randomly divided into five subgroups with a similar number and divided into training groups and validation groups by five cross-validations. The esophageal tumor and extratumoral esophagus were segmented to extract radiomic features from the gross tumor volume (GTV) drawn by radiation therapists before radiotherapy, and six clinical features associated with prognosis were added. T stage, N stage, M stage, total TNM stage, GTV, and GTVnd volume were included to construct a prediction model to predict the 2-year locoregional recurrence of patients after definitive radiotherapy. Results: A total of 264 patients were enrolled from August 2012 to April 2018, with a median age of 62 years and 81% were males. The 2-year locoregional recurrence rate was 52.6%, and the 2-year overall survival rate was 45.6%. About 66% of patients received concurrent chemotherapy. In total, we extracted 786 radiomic features from CT images and the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) method was used to screen out the maximum 30 features. Finally, the Support Vector Machine (SVM) method was used to construct the integrated prediction model combining radiomics and clinical features. In the five training groups for predicting locoregional recurrence, the mean value of C-index was 0.9841 (95%CI, 0.9809-0.9873), and in the five validation groups, the mean value was 0.744 (95%CI, 0.7437-0.7443). Conclusions: The integrated radiomics model could predict the 2-year locoregional recurrence after dCRT. The model showed promising results and could help guide treatment decisions by identifying high-risk patients and enabling strategies to prevent early recurrence.

Development of a prognostic nomogram for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients received radiotherapy based on clinical risk factors

Purpose

The goal of the study was to create a nomogram based on clinical risk factors to forecast the rate of locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS) in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who underwent radiotherapy (RT).

Methods

In this study, 574 ESCC patients were selected as participants. Following radiotherapy, subjects were divided into training and validation groups at a 7:3 ratio. The nomogram was established in the training group using Cox regression. Performance validation was conducted in the validation group, assessing predictability through the C-index and AUC curve, calibration via the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test, and evaluating clinical applicability using decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

T stage, N stage, gross tumor volume (GTV) dose, location, maximal wall thickness (MWT) after RT, node size (NS) after RT, Δ computer tomography (CT) value, and chemotherapy were found to be independent risk factors that impacted LRFS by multivariate cox analysis, and the findings could be utilized to create a nomogram and forecast LRFS. the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve and C-index show that for training and validation groups, the prediction result of LRFS using nomogram was more accurate than that of TNM. The LRFS in both groups was consistent with the nomogram according to the H-L test. The DCA curve demonstrated that the nomogram had a good prediction effect both in the groups for training and validation. The nomogram was used to assign ESCC patients to three risk levels: low, medium, or high. There were substantial variations in LRFS between risk categories in both the training and validation groups (p<0.001, p=0.003).

Conclusions

For ESCC patients who received radiotherapy, the nomogram based on clinical risk factors could reliably predict the LRFS.

Potential value of CT-based comprehensive nomogram in predicting occult lymph node metastasis of esophageal squamous cell paralaryngeal nerves: a two-center study

PURPOSE

The aim of this study is to construct a combined model that integrates radiomics, clinical risk factors and machine learning algorithms to predict para-laryngeal lymph node metastasis in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

METHODS

A retrospective study included 361 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma from 2 centers. Radiomics features were extracted from the computed tomography scans. Logistic regression, k nearest neighbor, multilayer perceptron, light Gradient Boosting Machine, support vector machine, random forest algorithms were used to construct radiomics models. The receiver operating characteristic curve and The Hosmer-Lemeshow test were employed to select the better-performing model. Clinical risk factors were identified through univariate logistic regression analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis and utilized to develop a clinical model. A combined model was then created by merging radiomics and clinical risk factors. The performance of the models was evaluated using ROC curve analysis, and the clinical value of the models was assessed using decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 1024 radiomics features were extracted. Among the radiomics models, the KNN model demonstrated the optimal diagnostic capabilities and accuracy, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.84 in the training cohort and 0.62 in the internal test cohort. Furthermore, the combined model exhibited an AUC of 0.97 in the training cohort and 0.86 in the internal test cohort.

CONCLUSION

A clinical-radiomics integrated nomogram can predict occult para-laryngeal lymph node metastasis in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and provide guidance for personalized treatment.

CT-based radiomics combined with hematologic parameters for survival prediction in locally advanced esophageal cancer patients receiving definitive chemoradiotherapy

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance of radiomics in conjunction with hematological parameters in relation to the overall survival (OS) of individuals diagnosed with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) following definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT).

METHODS

In this retrospective analysis, a total of 122 patients with locally advanced ESCC were included. These patients were randomly assigned to either the training cohort (n = 85) or the validation cohort (n = 37). In the training group, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was utilized to choose the best radiomic features for calculating the Rad-score. To develop a nomogram model, both univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify the clinical factors and hematologic parameters that could predict the OS. The performance of the predictive model was evaluated using the C-index, while the accuracy was assessed through the calibration curve.

RESULTS

The Rad-score was calculated by selecting 10 radiomic features through LASSO regression. OS was predicted independently by neutrophil-to-monocyte ratio (NMR) and Rad-score according to the results of multivariate analysis. Patients who had a Rad-score > 0.47 and an NMR > 9.76 were at a significant risk of mortality. A nomogram was constructed using the findings from the multivariate analysis. In the training cohort, the nomogram had a C-index of 0.619, while in the validation cohort, it was 0.573. The model's accuracy was demonstrated by the calibration curve, which was excellent.

CONCLUSION

A prognostic model utilizing radiomics and hematologic parameters was developed, enabling the prediction of OS in patients with ESCC following dCRT.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Patients with esophageal cancer who underwent definitive chemoradiotherapy may benefit from including CT radiomics in the nomogram model.

KEY POINTS

• Predicting the prognosis of ESCC patients before treatment is particularly important. • Patients with a Rad-score > 0.47 and neutrophil-to-monocyte ratio > 9.76 had a high risk of mortality. • CT-based radiomics nomogram model could be used to predict the survival of patients.

Contrast-enhanced CT radiomics features to preoperatively identify differences between tumor and proximal tumor-adjacent and tumor-distant tissues of resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Esophagectomy is the main treatment for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), and patients with histopathologically negative margins still have a relatively higher recurrence rate. Contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) radiomics might noninvasively obtain potential information about the internal heterogeneity of ESCC and its adjacent tissues. This study aimed to develop CECT radiomics models to preoperatively identify the differences between tumor and proximal tumor-adjacent and tumor-distant tissues in ESCC to potentially reduce tumor recurrence.

METHODS

A total of 529 consecutive patients with ESCC from Centers A (n = 447) and B (n = 82) undergoing preoperative CECT were retrospectively enrolled in this study. Radiomics features of the tumor, proximal tumor-adjacent (PTA) and proximal tumor-distant (PTD) tissues were individually extracted by delineating the corresponding region of interest (ROI) on CECT and applying the 3D-Slicer radiomics module. Patients with pairwise tissues (ESCC vs. PTA, ESCC vs. PTD, and PTA vs. PTD) from Center A were randomly assigned to the training cohort (TC, n = 313) and internal validation cohort (IVC, n = 134). Univariate analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator were used to select the core radiomics features, and logistic regression was performed to develop radiomics models to differentiate individual pairwise tissues in TC, validated in IVC and the external validation cohort (EVC) from Center B. Diagnostic performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) and accuracy.

RESULTS

With the chosen 20, 19 and 5 core radiomics features in TC, 3 individual radiomics models were developed, which exhibited excellent ability to differentiate the tumor from PTA tissue (AUC: 0.965; accuracy: 0.965), the tumor from PTD tissue (AUC: 0.991; accuracy: 0.958), and PTA from PTD tissue (AUC: 0.870; accuracy: 0.848), respectively. In IVC and EVC, the models also showed good performance in differentiating the tumor from PTA tissue (AUCs: 0.956 and 0.962; accuracy: 0.956 and 0.937), the tumor from PTD tissue (AUCs: 0.990 and 0.974; accuracy: 0.952 and 0.970), and PTA from PTD tissue (AUCs: 0.806 and 0.786; accuracy: 0.760 and 0.786), respectively.

CONCLUSION

CECT radiomics models could differentiate the tumor from PTA tissue, the tumor from PTD tissue, and PTA from PTD tissue in ESCC.

Preoperative CT radiomics of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and lymph node to predict nodal disease with a high diagnostic capability

PURPOSE

To develop CT radiomics models of resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and lymph node (LN) to preoperatively identify LN+.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

299 consecutive patients with ESCC were enrolled in the study, 140 of whom were LN+ and 159 were LN-. Of the 299 patients, 249 (from the same hospital) were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 174) and a test cohort (n = 75). The remaining 50 patients, from a second hospital, were assigned to an external validation cohort. In the training cohort, preoperative contrast-enhanced CT radiomics features of ESCC and LN were extracted, then integrated with clinical features to develop three models: ESCC, LN and combined. The performance of these models was assessed using area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and F-1 score, which were validated in both the test cohort and external validation cohort.

RESULTS

An ESCC model was developed for the training cohort utilizing the 8 tumor radiomics features, and an LN model was constructed using 9 nodal radiomics features. A combined model was constructed using both ESCC and LN extracted features, in addition to cT stage and LN+ distribution. This combined model had the highest predictive ability among the three models in the training cohort (AUC = 0.948, F1-score = 0.878). The predictive ability was validated in both the test and external validation cohorts (AUC = 0.885 and 0.867, F1-score = 0.816 and 0.773, respectively).

CONCLUSION

To preoperatively determine LN+, the combined model is superior to models of ESCC and LN alone.

A practical nomogram included hyperlipidemia for predicting lymph node metastasis in patients with superficial esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

To select an optimal treatment, it is crucial to evaluate the risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with superficial esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SESCC). The research aimed to explore more risk factors than before and construct a practical nomogram to predict LNM in patients with SESCC. We retrospectively reviewed 1080 patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer who underwent esophagectomy with lymphadenectomy between January 2013 and October 2021 at the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University. The clinical parameters, endoscopic features, and pathological characteristics of the 123 patients that were finally enrolled in this study were collected. The independent risk factors for LNM were determined using univariate and multivariate analyses. Using these factors, a nomogram was constructed to predict LNM. LNM was observed in 21 patients. Univariate analysis showed that the absence or presence of hypertriglyceridemia, tumor location, lesion size, macroscopic type, invasion depth, differentiation, absence or presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVI), and perineural invasion were significantly associated with LNM. According to the multivariate analysis, hypertriglyceridemia, tumors located in the lower thoracic esophagus, lesion size > 20 mm, submucosal invasion, and LVI were independent risk factors for LNM. A nomogram was established using these 5 factors. It showed good calibration and discrimination. Hypertriglyceridemia, tumors located in the lower thoracic esophagus, lesion size > 20 mm, submucosal invasion, and LVI were independent risk factors for LNM. A nomogram was constructed using these 5 factors. This model can help clinicians assess the risk of LNM in patients with SESCC for optimal treatment selection.

The gap before real clinical application of imaging-based machine-learning and radiomic models for chemoradiation outcome prediction in esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Due to tumoral heterogeneity and the lack of robust biomarkers, the prediction of chemoradiotherapy response and prognosis in patients with esophageal cancer (EC) is challenging. The goal of this study was to assess the study quality and clinical value of machine learning and radiomic-based quantitative imaging studies for predicting the outcomes of EC patients after chemoradiotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane were searched for eligible articles. The methodological quality and risk of bias were evaluated using the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS), Image Biomarkers Standardization Initiative (IBSI) Guideline, and Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement, as well as the modified Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. A meta-analysis of the evidence focusing on predicting chemoradiotherapy response and outcome in EC patients was implemented.

RESULTS

Forty-six studies were eligible for qualitative synthesis. The mean RQS score was 9.07, with an adherence rate of 42.52%. The adherence rates of the TRIPOD and IBSI were 61.70 and 43.17%, respectively. Ultimately, 24 studies were included in the meta-analysis, of which 16 studies had a pooled sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) of 0.83 (0.76-0.89), 0.83 (0.79-0.86), and 0.84 (0.81-0.87) in neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy datasets, as well as 0.84 (0.75-0.93), 0.89 (0.83-0.93), and 0.93 (0.90-0.95) in definitive chemoradiotherapy datasets, respectively. Moreover, radiomics could distinguish patients from the low-risk and high-risk groups with different disease-free survival (DFS) (pooled hazard ratio: 3.43, 95% CI 2.39-4.92) and overall survival (pooled hazard ratio: 2.49, 95% CI 1.91-3.25). The results of subgroup and regression analyses showed that some of the heterogeneity was explained by the combination with clinical factors, sample size, and usage of the deep learning (DL) signature.

CONCLUSIONS

Noninvasive radiomics offers promising potential for optimizing treatment decision-making in EC patients. However, it is necessary to make scientific advancements in EC radiomics regarding reproducibility, clinical usefulness analysis, and open science categories. Improved model reporting of study objectives, blind assessment, and image processing steps are required to help promote real clinical applications of radiomics in EC research.

Radiomic applications in upper gastrointestinal cancer surgery

INTRODUCTION

Cross-sectional imaging plays an integral role in the management of upper gastrointestinal (UGI) cancer, from initial diagnosis and staging to determining appropriate treatment strategies. Subjective imaging interpretation has known limitations. The field of radiomics has evolved to extract quantitative data from medical imaging and relate these to biological processes. The key concept behind radiomics is that the high-throughput analysis of quantitative imaging features can provide predictive or prognostic information, with the goal of providing individualised care.

OBJECTIVE

Radiomic studies have shown promising utility in upper gastrointestinal oncology, highlighting a potential role in determining stage of disease and degree of tumour differentiation and predicting recurrence-free survival. This narrative review aims to provide an insight into the concepts underpinning radiomics, as well as its potential applications for guiding treatment and surgical decision-making in upper gastrointestinal malignancy.

CONCLUSION

Outcomes from studies to date have been promising; however, further standardisation and collaboration are required. Large prospective studies with external validation and evaluation of radiomic integration into clinical pathways are needed. Future research should now focus on translating the promising utility of radiomics into meaningful patient outcomes.

CT radiomics features of meso-esophageal fat in predicting overall survival of patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated by definitive chemoradiotherapy

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the value of CT radiomics features of meso-esophageal fat in the overall survival (OS) prediction of patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

A total of 166 patients with locally advanced ESCC in two medical centers were retrospectively analyzed. The volume of interest (VOI) of meso-esophageal fat and tumor were manually delineated on enhanced chest CT using ITK-SNAP. Radiomics features were extracted from the VOIs by Pyradiomics and then selected using the t-test, the Cox regression analysis, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. The radiomics scores of meso-esophageal fat and tumors for OS were constructed by a linear combination of the selected radiomic features. The performance of both models was evaluated and compared by the C-index. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was employed to analyze the prognostic value of the meso-esophageal fat-based model. A combined model for risk evaluation was constructed based on multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

The CT radiomic model of meso-esophageal fat showed valuable performance for survival analysis, with C-indexes of 0.688, 0.708, and 0.660 in the training, internal, and external validation cohorts, respectively. The 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year ROC curves showed AUCs of 0.640-0.793 in the cohorts. The model performed equivalently compared to the tumor-based radiomic model and performed better compared to the CT features-based model. Multivariate analysis showed that meso-rad-score was the only factor associated with OS.

CONCLUSIONS

A baseline CT radiomic model based on the meso-esophagus provide valuable prognostic information for ESCC patients treated with dCRT.

Machine learning models predict overall survival and progression free survival of non-surgical esophageal cancer patients with chemoradiotherapy based on CT image radiomics signatures

PURPOSE

To construct machine learning models for predicting progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients.

METHODS

204 ESCC patients were randomly divided into training cohort (n = 143) and test cohort (n = 61) according to the ratio of 7:3. Two radiomics models were constructed by radiomics features, which were selected by LASSO Cox model to predict PFS and OS, respectively. Clinical features were selected by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards model (p < 0.05). Combined radiomics and clinical model was developed by selected clinical and radiomics features. The receiver operating characteristic curve, Kaplan Meier curve and nomogram were used to display the capability of constructed models.

RESULTS

There were 944 radiomics features extracted based on volume of interest in CT images. There were six radiomics features and seven clinical features for PFS prediction and three radiomics features and three clinical features for OS prediction; The radiomics models showed general performance in training cohort and test cohort for prediction for prediction PFS (AUC, 0.664, 0.676. C-index, 0.65, 0.64) and OS (AUC, 0.634, 0.646.C-index, 0.64, 0.65). The combined models displayed high performance in training cohort and test cohort for prediction PFS (AUC, 0.856, 0.833. C-index, 0.81, 0.79) and OS (AUC, 0.742, 0.768. C-index, 0.72, 0.71).

CONCLUSION

We developed combined radiomics and clinical machine learning models with better performance than radiomics or clinical alone, which were used to accurate predict 3 years PFS and OS of non-surgical ESCC patients. The prediction results could provide a reference for clinical decision.

Role of radiomics in the diagnosis and treatment of gastrointestinal cancer

Gastrointestinal cancer (GIC) has high morbidity and mortality as one of the main causes of cancer death. Preoperative risk stratification is critical to guide patient management, but traditional imaging studies have difficulty predicting its biological behavior. The emerging field of radiomics allows the conversion of potential pathophysiological information in existing medical images that cannot be visually recognized into high-dimensional quantitative image features. Tumor lesion characterization, therapeutic response evaluation, and survival prediction can be achieved by analyzing the relationships between these features and clinical and genetic data. In recent years, the clinical application of radiomics to GIC has increased dramatically. In this editorial, we describe the latest progress in the application of radiomics to GIC and discuss the value of its potential clinical applications, as well as its limitations and future directions.

Computed Tomography-Based Radiomics Nomogram for Predicting the Postoperative Prognosis of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Multicenter Study

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to evaluate and identify the predictive value of combining CT radiomics features and clinical features to determine recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) after surgery in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 372 patients with surgically and pathologically confirmed ESCC from 2 institutions were retrospectively included. All patients from institution 1 were randomized at a 7:3 ratio into a training cohort (n=206) and an internal validation cohort (n=88), and patients from institution 2 were used as an external validation cohort (n=78). The association between the radiomics features and RFS and OS was assessed in the training cohort and verified in the validation cohort. Furthermore, the performance of the radiomics nomogram was evaluated by combining the radiomics score (rad-score) and clinical risk factors.

RESULTS

The radiomics nomogram that combined radiomics features and clinical risk factors was better than the clinical nomogram and radiomics model alone at predicting RFS and OS in ESCC patients. All calibration curves showed significant consistency between predicted survival and actual survival.

CONCLUSION

Radiomics features could be used to stratify patients with ESCC following radical resection into high- and low-risk groups. Furthermore, the radiomics nomograms provided better predictive accuracy than other predictive models and might serve as a therapeutic decision-making reference for clinicians and be used to monitor the risks of recurrence and death.

Prediction of recurrence-free survival and adjuvant therapy benefit in patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors based on radiomics features

OBJECTIVE

Development and validation of a radiomics nomogram for predicting recurrence and adjuvant therapy benefit populations in high/intermediate-risk gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) based on computed tomography (CT) radiomic features.

METHODS

Retrospectively collected from 2009.07 to 2015.09, 220 patients with pathological diagnosis of intermediate- and high-risk stratified gastrointestinal stromal tumors and received imatinib treatment were randomly divided into (6:4) training cohort and validation cohort. The 2D-tumor region of interest (ROI) was delineated from the portal-phase images on contrast-enhanced (CE) CT, and radiological features were extracted. The most valuable radiological features were obtained using a Lasso-Cox regression model. Integrated construction was conducted of nomograms of radiomics characteristics to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients receiving adjuvant therapy.

RESULTS

Eight radiomic signatures were finally selected. The area under the curve (AUC) of the radiomics signature model for predicting 3-, 5-, and 7-year RFS in the training and validation cohorts (training cohort AUC = 0.80, 0.84, 0.76; validation cohort AUC = 0.78, 0.80, 0.76). The constructed radiomics nomogram was more accurate than the clinicopathological nomogram for predicting RFS in GIST (C-index: 0.864 95%CI, 0.817-0.911 vs. 0.733 95%CI, 0.675-0.791). Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed a greater benefit from adjuvant therapy in patients with high radiomics scores (training cohort: p < 0.0001; validation cohort: p = 0.017), while there was no significant difference in the low-score group (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

In this study, a nomogram constructed based on preoperative CT radiomics features could be used for RFS prediction in high/intermediate-risk GISTs and assist the clinical decision-making for GIST patients.

CT-based radiomics nomogram may predict local recurrence-free survival in esophageal cancer patients receiving definitive chemoradiation or radiotherapy: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

To establish and validate a contrast-enhanced computed tomography-based hybrid radiomics nomogram for prediction of local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) in esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) patients receiving definitive (chemo)radiotherapy in a multicenter setting.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 302 ESCC patients from Xijing Hospital receiving definitive (chemo)radiotherapy, which were randomly assigned to the training (n=201) and internal validation set (n=101). And 74 and 21 ESCC patients from the other two centers were used as the external validation set (n=95). A hybrid radiomics nomogram was established by integrating clinical factors, radiomic signature and deep-learning signature in training set and was tested in two validation sets.

RESULTS

The deep-learning signature showed better prognostic performance than radiomic signature for predicting LRFS in training (C-index:0.73 vs 0.70), internal (Cindex: 0.72 vs 0.64) and external validation set (C-index:0.72 vs 0.63), which could stratify patients into high and low-risk group with different prognosis (cut-off value: -0.06). Low-risk groups had better LRFS than high-risk groups in training (p<0.0001; 2-y LRFS 71.1% vs 33.0%), internal (p<0.01; 2-y LRFS 58.8% vs 34.8%) and external validation sets (p<0.0001; 2-y LRFS 61.9% vs 22.4%), respectively. The hybrid radiomics nomogram established by integrating radiomic signature, deep-learning signature with clinical factors including T stage and concurrent chemotherapy outperformed any one or two combinations in training (C-index:0.82), internal (Cindex: 0.78), and external validation set (C-index:0.76). Calibration curves showed good agreement.

CONCLUSIONS

The hybrid radiomics based on pretreatment contrast-enhanced computed tomography provided a promising way to predict local recurrence of ESCC patients receiving definitive (chemo)radiotherapy.

5-year recurrence prediction after hepatocellular carcinoma resection: deep learning vs. Cox regression models

Deep learning algorithms have yet to be used for predicting clinical prognosis after cancer surgery. Therefore, this study compared performance indices and permutation importance of potential confounders in three models for predicting 5-year recurrence after hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) resection: a deep-learning deep neural network (DNN) model, a recurrent neural network (RNN) model, and a Cox proportional hazard (CPH) regression model. Data for 725 patients who had received HCC resection at three medical centers in southern Taiwan between April, 2011, and December, 2015, were randomly divided into three datasets: a training dataset containing data for 507 subjects was used for model development, a testing dataset containing data for 109 subjects was used for internal validation, and a validating dataset containing data for 109 subjects was used for external validation. Feature importance analysis was also performed to identify potential predictors of recurrence after HCC resection. Univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to identify potential significant predictors of 5-year recurrence after HCC resection, which were included in the forecasting models (P < 0.05). All performance indices for the DNN model were significantly higher than those for the RNN model and the conventional CPH model (P < 0.001). The most important potential predictor of 5-year recurrence after HCC resection was surgeon volume followed by, in order of importance, hospital volume, preoperative Beck Depression Scale score, preoperative Beck Anxiety Scale score, co-residence with family, tumor stage, and tumor size. The feature importance analysis performed to investigate interpretability in this study elucidated the potential use of deep learning models for predicting recurrence after HCC resection and for identifying predictors of recurrence. Further experiments using the proposed DNN model would clarify its potential uses for developing, promoting, and improving health policies for treating HCC patients after surgery.

GTF2E2 is a novel biomarker for recurrence after surgery and promotes progression of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma via miR-139-5p/GTF2E2/FUS axis

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is one of the most lethal gastrointestinal malignancies with high mortality. Recurrence develops within only a few years after curative resection and perioperative adjuvant therapy in 30-50% of these patients. Therefore, it is essential to identify postoperative recurrence biomarkers to facilitate selecting the following surveillance and therapeutic strategies. The general transcription factor IIE subunit beta (GTF2E2) is crucial for physiological and pathological functions, but its roles in the aggression and recurrence of ESCC remain ambiguous. In this study, we found that GTF2E2 was highly expressed in ESCC samples, and elevated GTF2E2 expression predicted early recurrence after surgery for ESCC patients. High expression of GTF2E2 associated with more aggressive clinic features and poor prognosis. GTF2E2 promoted the proliferation and mobility of ESCC cells in vitro and in vivo. We further revealed that miR-139-5p repressed GTF2E2 expression by downregulating its mRNA through binding with Argonaute 2 (Ago2). Rescue assays suggested that miR-139-5p affected GTF2E2-mediated ESCC progression. Moreover, GTF2E2 positively interacted with FUS promoter and regulated FUS expression, and the phenotype changes caused by GTF2E2 manipulation were recovered by rescuing FUS expression in ESCC cells. Additionally, we demonstrated that GTF2E2 promotes ESCC cells progression via activation of the AKT/ERK/mTOR pathway. In conclusion, GTF2E2 may serve as a novel biomarker for recurrence after surgery and a potential therapeutic target for ESCC patients, and it promotes ESCC progression via miR-139-5p/GTF2E2/FUS axis.

A Prospectively Validated Prognostic Model for Patients with Locally Advanced Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck Based on Radiomics of Computed Tomography Images

BACKGROUND

Locoregionally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients have high relapse and mortality rates. Imaging-based decision support may improve outcomes by optimising personalised treatment, and support patient risk stratification. We propose a multifactorial prognostic model including radiomics features to improve risk stratification for advanced HNSCC, compared to TNM eighth edition, the gold standard.

PATIENT AND METHODS

Data of 666 retrospective- and 143 prospective-stage III-IVA/B HNSCC patients were collected. A multivariable Cox proportional-hazards model was trained to predict overall survival (OS) using diagnostic CT-based radiomics features extracted from the primary tumour. Separate analyses were performed using TNM8, tumour volume, clinical and biological variables, and combinations thereof with radiomics features. Patient risk stratification in three groups was assessed through Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves. A log-rank test was performed for significance (p-value < 0.05). The prognostic accuracy was reported through the concordance index (CI).

RESULTS

A model combining an 11-feature radiomics signature, clinical and biological variables, TNM8, and volume could significantly stratify the validation cohort into three risk groups (p < 0∙01, CI of 0.79 as validation).

CONCLUSION

A combination of radiomics features with other predictors can predict OS very accurately for advanced HNSCC patients and improves on the current gold standard of TNM8.