Spatial cluster analysis of population amyotrophic lateral sclerosis risk in Ireland

Spatio-temporal clustering of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis in France: A population-based study

OBJECTIVE

To assess spatial aggregates of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) incident cases, using a solid geo-epidemiological statistical method, in France.

METHODS

This population-based study (2003-2011) investigated 47.1 million person-years of follow-up (PYFU). Case ascertainment of incident ALS cases was based on multiple sources (ALS referral centers, hospital centres and health insurance data). Neurologists confirmed all ALS diagnoses. Exhaustiveness was estimated through capture-recapture. Aggregates were investigated in four steps: (a) geographical modelling (standardized incidence ratio (SIR) calculation), (b) analysis of the spatial distribution of incidence (Phothoff-Winttinghill's test, Global Moran's Index, Kulldorf's spatial scan statistic, Local Moran's Index), (c) classification of the level of certainty of spatial aggregates (i.e. definite cluster; probable over-incidence area; possible over-incidence area) and (d) evaluation of the robustness of the results.

RESULTS

The standardized incidence of ALS was 2.46/100,000 PYFU (95% CI 2.31-2.63, European population as reference) based on 1199 incident cases. We identified 13 areas of spatial aggregates: one cluster (stable in robustness analysis), five probable over-incidence areas (2 stable in robustness analysis) and seven possible over-incidence areas (including 4 stable areas in robustness analysis). A cluster was identified in the Rhône-Alpes region: 100 observed vs 54.07 expected cases for 2,411,514 PYFU, SIR: 1.85 (95% CI 1.50-2.25).

CONCLUSION

We report here one of the largest investigations of incidence and spatial aggregation of ALS ever performed in a western country. Using a solid methodology framework for case ascertainment and cluster analysis, we identified 13 areas that warrant further investigation.

The Incidence of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis in Ohio 2016-2018: The Ohio Population-Based ALS Registry

INTRODUCTION

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a fatal, neuromuscular disease with no cure. ALS incidence rates have not been assessed specifically in Ohio, yet the state contains both metropolitan and rural areas with a variety of environmental factors that could contribute to disease etiology. We report the incidence of ALS in Ohio residents diagnosed from October 2016 through September 2018.

METHODS

We engaged practitioners from 9 Ohio sites to identify newly diagnosed ALS patients and to complete case report forms with demographic and clinical information. ALS was diagnosed according to the Awaji criteria and classified as either definite, probable, or possible. We developed a method to estimate missing cases using a Poisson regression model to impute cases in counties with evidence of undercounting.

RESULTS

We identified 333 newly diagnosed ALS patients residing in Ohio during the 2-year index period and found incidence rates varied in the 88 state counties. After incorporating the estimated 27% of missing cases, the corrected crude annual incidence was 1.96/100,000 person-years, and the age- and gender-standardized incidence was 1.71/100,000 person-years (standardized to the 2010 US census).

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION

The estimated Ohio incidence of ALS is overall similar to that reported in other states in the USA. This study reveals a geospatial variation in incidence within the state, and areas with higher rates warrant future investigation.

Fungal Neurotoxins and Sporadic Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis

We review several lines of evidence that point to a potential fungal origin of sporadic amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). ALS is the most common form of motor neuron disease (MND) in adults. It is a progressive and fatal disease. Approximately 90% cases of ALS are sporadic, and 5-10% are due to genetic mutations (familial). About 25 genes implicated in familial ALS have been identified so far, including SOD1 and TARDBP, the gene encoding 43 kDa transactive response (TAR) DNA-binding protein (TDP-43). Despite intensive research over many decades, the aetiology of sporadic ALS is still unknown. An environmental cause, including grass or soil-associated fungal infections, is suggested from a range of widely diverse lines of evidence. Clusters of ALS have been reported in soccer players, natives of Guam and farmers. Grass-associated fungi are known to produce a range of neurotoxins and, in symbiotic associations, high levels of fungal SOD1. Exposure of neurons to fungal neurotoxins elicits a significant increase in glutamate production. High levels of glutamate stimulate TDP-43 translocation and modification, providing a link between fungal infection and one of the molecular and histologic hallmarks of sporadic ALS. A recent study provided evidence of a variety of fungi in the cerebrospinal fluid and brain tissue of ALS patients. This review provides a rational explanation for this observation. If a fungal infection could be confirmed as a potential cause of ALS, this could provide a straightforward treatment strategy for this fatal and incurable disease.