Usefulness of the SYNTAX and Clinical SYNTAX Scores in Predicting Clinical Outcome After Unrestricted Use of Sirolimus- and Everolimus-Eluting Stents

Scoring model to predict low image quality of drug-eluting stent evaluated by computed tomography coronary angiography

Evaluation of in-stent restenosis (ISR) by computed tomography coronary angiography (CTCA) is less invasive but often impossible. We aimed to create a scoring model for predicting which drug-eluting stents (DES) cannot be evaluated with CTCA. We enrolled 757 consecutive implanted DES assessed with CTCA. Non-diagnostic evaluation was defined as poor/not evaluative by two different observers. These stents were randomly divided into a derivation (n = 379) and validation (n = 378) group. In the derivation group, we assessed predictors using logistic regression analysis and created a scoring model that would stratify non-diagnostic evaluation of DES-ISR. The validity of this scoring model was evaluated in the validation group using receiver-operating characteristic analysis. The percentage of non-diagnostic stents was 19/21% in the derivation/validation group (p = 0.71). Non-diagnostic evaluation was independently associated with implanted stent diameter (2.25-2.5. vs. 2.5-3 vs. > 3.0 mm), severe calcification, stent-in-stent lesion, and type of DES (stainless vs. CoCr vs. PtCr) in the derivation group. The predicting system of implanted DES non-diagnostic by CTCA (PIDENT) for non-diagnostic evaluation, including these four baseline factors, was derived (C-statistic = 0.86 in derivation group, cutoff: 8 points). The PIDENT score had a high predictive value for non-diagnostic DES in the validation model (C-statistic = 0.87, sensitivity 86%, specificity 74%, cutoff 8 points, p < 0.001). The PIDENT score, consisting of baseline characteristics including implanted stent diameter, severe calcification, stent-in-stent lesion, and type of DES, could identify non-diagnostic evaluation of DES-ISR with CTCA. The PIDENT score was valuable in reducing nonevaluable and meaningless CTCA for DES-ISR.

Prognostic Effect of the SYNTAX Score on 10-Year Outcomes After Left Main Coronary Artery Revascularization in a Randomized Population: Insights From the Extended PRECOMBAT Trial

Background

The long‐term prognostic effect of the SYNTAX (Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) score (SS) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) for left main coronary artery disease is controversial.

Methods and Results

In the PRECOMBAT (Premier of Randomized Comparison of Bypass Surgery Versus Angioplasty Using Sirolimus‐Eluting Stent in Patients With Left Main Coronary Artery Disease) trial, 600 patients with left main coronary artery disease were randomized to undergo PCI with drug‐eluting stents (n=300) or CABG (n=300). We compared 10‐year outcomes after PCI and CABG according to SS categories and evaluated the predictive value of SS in each revascularization arm. The primary outcome was a major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular event (composite of death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or ischemia‐driven target‐vessel revascularization) at 10 years. Among 566 patients with valid SS measurement at baseline, 240 (42.4%) had low SS, 200 (35.3%) had intermediate SS, and 126 (22.3%) had high SS. The 10‐year rates of major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events were not significantly different between PCI and CABG in low (21.6% versus 22.2%, P=0.97), intermediate (31.8% versus 22.2%; P=0.13), and high SS (46.2% versus 35.7%; P=0.31) (P‐for‐interaction=0.46). There were no significant interactions between SS categories and revascularization modalities for death (P=0.92); composite of death, myocardial infarction, or stroke (P=0.87); and target‐vessel revascularization (P=0.06). Higher SS categories were associated with higher risks for major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events in the PCI arm but not in the CABG arm.

Conclusions

Ten‐year clinical outcomes between PCI and CABG were not significantly different according to the SS. The SS was predictive of major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events after PCI but not after CABG.

Registration

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03871127.

Prognostic value of SYNTAX score and SYNTAX score II in an 'all-comers' population treated with angoplasty

OBJECTIVES

The SYNTAX score and SYNTAX score II have a high predictive capacity for adverse cardiovascular events. We aimed to demonstrate that both scores were good predictors of long-term adverse outcomes in an 'all-comers' population treated with a percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS

In the study, we included 785 patients who received an angioplasty at our center between January 2011 and December 2012. The patients were distributed in tertiles according to the SYNTAX score and SYNTAX score II values; for the SYNTAX score - low ≤6.5 (n = 225); mid >6.5, <11.5 (n = 229); high  ≥11.5 (n = 221); and for the SYNTAX score II PCI: low ≤20.5 (n = 226); mid >20.5, < 29.6 (n = 221); and high ≥29.6 (n = 218).

RESULTS

The rates of major adverse cardiovascular events, death, cardiac death and new revascularizations at 3 years were significantly higher in the highest tertile of both the scores. For SYNTAX score: major adverse cardiovascular events, 12-15.3-21.7%, P < 0.001; death, 7.6-8.3-14%, P = 0.04; cardiac death, 3.2-2.7-7.5%, P = 0.03; new revascularizations, 4.5-8.6-10.4%, P = 0.001. For SYNTAX score II PCI: major adverse cardiovascular events, 8-10.9-28.9%, P < 0.001; death, 3.1-3.6-21.5%, P < 0.001; cardiac death, 0.9-0.5-11.4%, P < 0.001; new revascularizations, 4.5-8.2-11.3%, P = 0.03.

CONCLUSION

The SYNTAX score II showed better predictive capacity than the SYNTAX score for major adverse cardiovascular events, death and cardiac death, with no difference noted for new revascularizations, and it was an independent predictor for these events in an 'all-comers' population.

SYNTAX Score and SYNTAX Score II Can Predict the Clinical Outcomes of Patients with Left Main and/or 3-Vessel Disease Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in the Contemporary Cobalt-Chromium Everolimus-Eluting Stent Era

Background and Objectives

The impact of SYNergy between percutaneous coronary intervention with TAXus and cardiac surgery score (SS) and SS II in patients who receive percutaneous coronary intervention with second-generation everolimus-eluting stents (EES) has not been fully validated.

Methods

The SS, SS II were calculated in 1,248 patients with left main and/or 3-vessel disease treated with EES. Patient-oriented composite endpoint (POCE; all-cause death, any myocardial infarction (MI), any revascularization) and target lesion failure (TLF: cardiac death, target-vessel MI, target lesion revascularization) were analyzed.

Results

The mean SS was 21.1±9.6. Three-year POCE increased according to the SS group (15.2% vs. 19.9% vs. 27.4% for low (≤22), intermediate (≥23, ≤32), high (≥33) SS groups, p<0.001). By multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, SS group was an independent predictor of 3-year POCE (hazard ratio, 1.324; 95% confidence interval, 1.095–1.601; p=0.004). The receiver operating characteristic curves revealed that the SS II was superior to the SS for 3-year POCE prediction (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.611 vs. 0.669 for SS vs. SS II, p=0.019), but not for 3-year TLF (AUC: 0.631 vs. 0.660 for SS vs. SS II, p=0.996). In subgroup analysis, SS II was superior to SS in patients with cardiovascular clinical risk factors, and in those presenting as stable angina.

Conclusions

The usefulness of SS and SS II was still valid in patients with left main and/or 3-vessel disease. SS II was superior to SS for the prediction of patient-oriented outcomes, but not for lesion-oriented outcomes.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00698607

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01605721

Validating the Performance of 5 Risk Scores for Major Adverse Cardiac Events in Patients Who Achieved Complete Revascularization After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

BACKGROUND

Risk scores, like the Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery (SYNTAX) score (SS), clinical SS, logistic SS (core model and extended model [LSSextended]), Age, Creatinine, and Ejection Fraction (ACEF) score, and modified ACEF score, are predictive for major adverse cardiac events (MACE; including all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction [MI], and revascularization) in patients who have undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, few studies have validated the performance of these scores in complete revascularization (CR) patients. We aimed to compare the performance of previous risk scores in patients who achieved CR after PCI.

METHODS

All patients (N = 10,724) who underwent PCI at Fuwai Hospital in 2013 were screened, and those who achieved CR after PCI were enrolled. Risk scores were calculated by experienced cardiologists blinded to the clinical outcomes. Discrimination of risk scores was assessed according to the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Fifty-one percent (5375/10,724) of patients who underwent PCI achieved CR. At a mean follow-up of 2.4 years, the mortality, MI, revascularization, and MACE rates were 1.2%, 1.0%, 6.3%, and 7.7%, respectively. SS was not predictive for mortality (AUC, 0.51; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.44-0.59). All scores involving clinical variables, especially modified ACEF score (AUC, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.66-0.79), could predict mortality. LSSextended was the most accurate for MI (AUC, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.61-0.75). SS and LSSextended were predictive for revascularization, with marginally significant AUCs (SS, 0.54; LSSextended, 0.55). No score was particularly accurate for predicting MACE, with AUCs ranging from 0.51 (ACEF score) to 0.58 (LSSextended).

CONCLUSIONS

In CR patients, risk scores involving clinical variables might help to predict mortality; however, no risk scores showed helpful discrimination for MACE.

Impact of Chronic Total Coronary Occlusion Location on Long-term Survival After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Limited data are available on the clinical outcomes of optimal medical therapy (OMT) compared with revascularization by percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with chronic total coronary occlusion (CTO) of the proximal or middle left anterior descending artery (pmLAD). Therefore, the objective of this study was to compare the long-term outcomes of patients with pmLAD CTO who were treated with a PCI strategy with those of patients treated with an OMT strategy.

METHODS

Between March 2003 and February 2012, 2024 patients with CTO were enrolled in a single-center registry. Among this patient group, we excluded CTO patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting. After the exclusion, a total of 1547 patients remained. They were stratified according to classification of coronary segments (pmLAD or non-pmLAD CTO) and the initial treatment strategy (OMT or PCI). Propensity score matching was performed. The primary outcome was cardiac death.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 45.9 (interquartile range, 22.9-71.1) months. After propensity score matching, the incidence of cardiac death (HR, 0.54; 95%C, 0.31-0.94, P=.029) was significantly lower in the PCI with pmLAD CTO group than in the OMT group. In contrast, no significant difference was found in the rate of cardiac death between the PCI and OMT groups with non-pmLAD CTO (HR, 0.62; 95%CI, 0.27-1.42, P=.26).

CONCLUSIONS

As an initial treatment strategy, PCI of pmLAD CTO, but not PCI of non-pmLAD, is associated with improved long-term survival.

Additive Prognostic Value of Carotid Plaque Score to Enhance the Age, Creatinine, and Ejection Fraction Score in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome

Aim: To assess whether combining measurements obtained from carotid ultrasonography in addition to the age, creatinine, and ejection fraction (ACEF) score would improve the predictive ability of outcome in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

Methods: We examined 264 patients with ACS (194 men; mean age: 68 ± 11 years) who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention. The carotid plaque score (cPS) and intima–media thickness (cIMT) were determined by carotid ultrasonography. The modified ACEF score was calculated using the following formula: (age/left ventricular ejection fraction) +1 point for every 10 mL/min reduction in creatinine clearance below 60 mL/min per 1.73 m². The endpoint of this study was major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACEs), defined as all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stoke, and target vessel revascularization.

Results: During the median 4-year follow-up, there were 121 incidents of MACEs. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis revealed that cPS ≥ 9.8 (hazard ratio [HR], 1.52; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01–2.31) and ACEF score ≥ 1.20 (HR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.11–2.39) were significantly associated with MACEs, whereas cIMT was not. When the new combined risk score was calculated by multiplying the cPS by the modified ACEF score, the freedom from MACEs at 5 years was 71% and 31% for the lower and higher scores, respectively (p < 0.001). The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for MACEs for the ACEF score, cPS, and combined risk score were 0.65, 0.66, and 0.71, respectively (p < 0.05).

Conclusion: The cPS offers an incremental predictive value when combined to the simple ACEF score in ACS.

The natural course of nonculprit coronary artery lesions; analysis by serial quantitative coronary angiography

BACKGROUND

Nonculprit lesions are the major cause of future cardiovascular events. However, the natural course of nonculprit lesions and angiographic predictors of plaque progression are not well-studied. The purpose of our study was to observe the natural course of nonculprit lesions, and to identify predictors of unanticipated future events and angiographic progression in nonculprit lesions.

METHODS

We analyzed 640 nonculprit lesions with a length of ≥2 mm and luminal narrowing ≥30% from 320 patients who had two serial angiographic follow-ups; 9 to 13 months post-PCI and 24 months post-PCI. The study endpoints were nonculprit-ischemia driven revascularization (IDR) and the rate of diameter stenosis (DS) progression. Those with progression of DS > 12%/year were defined as 'rapid progressors'.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up period of 737 days, 20 lesions in 20 patients (6.3%) required nonculprit-IDR. Independent predictors of nonculprit-IDR were diabetes (hazard ratio [HR] 2.93, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.072-8.007, p = 0.036) and lesion type B2/C (HR 4.017, 95% CI 1.614-9.997, p = 0.003). The presence of one or both of the two major risk factors was associated with significant DS progression (3.0 ± 6.8% vs. 3.5 ± 6.1% vs. 6.8 ± 9.9% for lesions with 0, 1 and both risk factors, p < 0.001). Among the 640 lesions, 38 lesions (5.9%) in 33 patients were rapid progressors, while risk factors of rapid progressors included lesion type B2/C as a lesion-related risk factor (HR 1.998, 95% CI 1.006-3.791, p = 0.048) and diabetes mellitus as a patient-related risk factor (HR 3.725, 95% CI 1.937-7.538, p < 0.001). Lesions with both risk factors (type B2/C lesions in diabetic patients) were at the highest risk of rapid progression (odds ratio 3.250, 95% CI 1.451-7.282), compared to type A/B1 lesions in non-diabetic patients.

CONCLUSION

Nonculprit-IDR was not uncommon during the 2-year follow up period in our population. The major risk factors of nonculprit lesion progression were diabetes and lesion type B2/C.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Retrospectively registered and approved by the institutional review board of Seoul National University Hospital (No.: 1801-138-918) on February 2nd, 2018.

Application of the SYNTAX score in interventional cardiology: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Should the SYNTAX score be integrated in Interventional Cardiology? Should it really be considered as a vital decision-making tool in percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI)? To confirm the importance of this score, we aimed to systematically compare the postinterventional adverse cardiovascular outcomes which were observed in patients who were allotted a low versus a high SYNTAX score.

METHODS

Randomized controlled trials and observational studies which were published from January 2007 to January 2017 were identified from MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane databases using the searched terms 'SYNTAX score and percutaneous coronary intervention.' Adverse cardiovascular outcomes were considered as the major endpoints. Risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used as the statistical parameters, and the main analysis was carried out by the RevMan 5.3 software.

RESULTS

Sixteen studies with a total number of 19,751 participants (8589 participants with a low versus 11,162 participants with a high SYNTAX score) were included. Current results showed mortality to be significantly higher with a higher SYNTAX score (RR 2.09, 95% CI 1.78-2.46, P = .00001). Cardiac death also significantly favored a low SYNTAX score (RR 2.08, 95% CI 1.66-2.61, P = .00001. Similarly, myocardial infarction, major adverse cardiac events, repeated revascularization, and stent thrombosis were significantly higher following a high SYNTAX score (RR 1.71, 95% CI 1.45-2.03, P = .00001; RR 2.03, 95% CI 1.81-2.26, P = .00001; RR 1.96, 95% CI 1.69-2.28, P = .00001; and RR 3.16, 95% CI 2.17-4.59, P = .00001, respectively). Even when patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction were separately analyzed, a low SYNTAX score was still significantly associated with lower adverse outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis is a confirmatory piece of evidence to show that the application of the SYNTAX score in Interventional Cardiology is apparently relevant. The use of this scoring system to grade patients with coronary artery disease and to further guide for revascularization should be encouraged.

Usefulness of the Baseline Syntax Score to Predict 3-Year Outcome After Complete Revascularization by Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Although we strive to achieve complete revascularization (CR) in those receiving percutaneous coronary intervention, it is uncertain which of these patients are at increased risk of clinical events. In this study, we aimed to investigate whether the baseline SYNTAX score (bSS) can predict adverse clinical events in patients receiving CR. From the Efficacy of Xience/Promus Versus Cypher in Reducing Late Loss After Stenting registry, the 3-year patient-oriented composite end point (POCE; all cause death, any myocardial infarction, and any revascularization) was compared according to bSS tertiles (1 ≤ low bSS < 6, 6 ≤ mid-bSS < 10, high bSS ≥ 10). Of the 5,088 patients, CR was achieved in 2,173 by percutaneous coronary intervention. The 3-year POCE increased significantly along with bSS tertile (7.3% vs 8.4% vs 14.8%, p <0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that, despite having the same residual SS of 0, the bSS was an independent predictor of 3-year POCE (hazard ratio 1.038, 95% confidence interval 1.018 to 1.058, p <0.001 per bSS point). In subgroup analysis, bSS was a predictor for 3-year POCE in multivessel diseases (hazard ratio 1.029, 95% confidence interval 1.004 to 1.054, p = 0.025 per bSS point), whereas in single-vessel diseases, the discriminative value of bSS was less significant. Also the clinical SYNTAX score, which added age, creatinine level, and ejection fraction to the bSS, was superior to the bSS in predicting 3-year POCE (area under the curve 0.595 vs 0.649, p = 0.008). In conclusion, the bSS was an independent predictor of long-term clinical outcomes in patients receiving CR, especially in those with multivessel coronary artery disease. Adding clinical factors to the bSS could increase the predictive power of clinical outcomes.

A multidirectional approach to risk assessment in patients with three-vessel coronary artery disease undergoing percutaneous intervention

BACKGROUND

The SYNTAX score (SS) and Clinical SYNTAX score (CSS) have demonstrated utility as risk-stratifying tools following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, useful determinants for predicting hard clinical events (HCE: death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and stroke) in the setting of routinely-performed-angiographic follow-up have yet to be elucidated.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We retrospectively examined the clinical outcomes of 252 three-vessel disease (TVD) patients following PCI. The incidence of HCE at 3 years significantly differed according to CSS (High, 20.2%; Intermediate, 1.2%; and Low, 6.0%; log-rank p<0.001), but not according to SS (High, 14.0%; Intermediate, 5.8%; and Low, 7.3%; log-rank p=0.13). The incidence of repetitive revascularization at 3 years did not differ significantly both among SS (High, 45.2%; Intermediate, 36.5%; and Low, 38.2%; log-rank p=0.22) and CSS (High, 36.9%; Intermediate, 41.7%; and Low, 41.7%; log-rank p=0.88,).

CONCLUSION

Prediction of HCE in patients with TVD following PCI was more accurate with CSS than with SS.

Validation of the Ability of SYNTAX and Clinical SYNTAX Scores to Predict Adverse Cardiovascular Events After Stent Implantation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

To compare the predicative ability of SYNTAX (Synergy between PCI with Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) and clinical SYNTAX scores for major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) after stent implantation in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). Studies were identified by electronic and manual searches. Twenty-six studies were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled C-statistics of SYNTAX score for 1- and 5-year all-cause mortality (ACM) were 0.65 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.61-0.68) and 0.62 (95% CI: 0.59-0.65), respectively, with weak heterogeneity. The 1- and 5-year ACM pooled C-statistics for clinical SYNTAX scores were significantly higher at 0.77 and 0.71, respectively (Ps < .05). Both scoring systems predicted 1- and 5-year MACE equally well. The pooled risk ratio of the SYNTAX score for predicting 1-year ACM per unit was 1.04 (95% CI: 1.03-1.05). Calibration analysis indicated SYNTAX scores overestimated the risk of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events in each risk stratum. The SYNTAX score demonstrated minimal discrimination in predicting 1- or 5-year adverse cardiovascular events after percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with CAD. The clinical SYNTAX score could further improve the predictive capability for ACM but not MACE.

The Reliability of Computed Tomography-Derived SYNTAX Score Measurement

The Synergy between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention with Taxus and Cardiac Surgery (SYNTAX) score (SS) was developed for evaluation of coronary artery disease complexity. We aimed to compare the SS calculated by conventional coronary angiography (CAG) and computed tomography angiography (CTA). Retrospectively, 107 patients were recruited (mean age 55.9 ± 12.4 years). The SS measured by conventional CAG was divided into 3 groups (group 1 SS ≤ 22, group 2 SS > 22 to <32, and group 3 SS ≥ 32). The SS calculated by both methods has a high correlation ( r = .972 and P < .001). The κ analysis showed a substantial agreement between both imaging modalities. Computed tomography angiography highly predicted conventional CAG lesions (area under curve 0.96, 95% confidence interval 0.92-0.99, and P < .001). The SS measured by CTA is highly correlated with conventional CAG. Therefore, we propose that prior to coronary revascularization, CTA-derived SS could be used for risk stratification.