Clinical impact of atrial fibrillation progression in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: A report from the CHART-2 Study

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexists with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), and clinical outcomes of patients with AF vary depending on its subtype. While AF progression characterized by the transition from paroxysmal AF to persistent AF is sometimes observed, the incidence and clinical impact of AF progression in patients with HFpEF remain to be explored.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We enrolled patients with HFpEF and paroxysmal AF from the Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) Study. AF progression was defined as the transition from paroxysmal AF to persistent AF. A total of 718 patients (median age: 72 years, 36% were female) were enrolled. For a median follow-up of 6.0 years (interquartile range: 3.0-10.2 years), AF progression occurred in 105 patients (14.6%), with a cumulative incidence of 16.7% at 10 years. In the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, previous hospitalization for heart failure [hazard ratio (HR) 1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.16-2.60; P = 0.007] and left atrial diameter (per 5-mm increase) (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.20-1.55; P < 0.001) were significantly associated with AF progression. Furthermore, AF progression was significantly linked to worsening heart failure (adjusted HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.18-2.40; P = 0.004). Notably, 27 cases (26%) of worsening heart failure occurred within 1 year following AF progression.

CONCLUSION

In patients with HFpEF, AF progression is significantly associated with adverse outcomes, particularly worsening heart failure. An increased risk is observed in the early phases following progression to persistent AF.

REGISTRATION

Clinical Trials.gov Identifier: NCT00418041.

Fine Fibrillatory Wave as a Risk Factor for Heart Failure Events in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: The Fushimi Atrial Fibrillation (AF) Registry

Background

The clinical significance of fibrillatory wave on electrocardiography during atrial fibrillation (AF) is poorly understood. The aim of the current study was to explore the association of fine fibrillatory wave with heart failure (HF) in AF.

Methods and Results

The current study enrolled 2442 patients with AF whose baseline ECG during AF rhythm was available from a community‐based prospective survey, the Fushimi AF Registry. The impact of fine fibrillatory wave, defined as the amplitude of fibrillatory waves <0.1 mV, on the primary composite HF end point (a composite of hospitalization attributable to HF or cardiac death) was examined. Fine fibrillatory wave was observed in 589 patients (24.1%). Patients with fine fibrillatory wave were older, and had a higher prevalence of sustained AF, preexisting HF, and larger left atrial diameter than those with coarse fibrillatory wave. During the median follow‐up duration of 5.9 years, the cumulative incidence of the primary composite HF end point was significantly higher in patients with fine fibrillatory wave than in those with coarse fibrillatory wave (5.3% versus 3.6% per patient‐year, log‐rank P<0.001). The higher risk associated with fine fibrillatory wave was consistent even for individual components of the primary composite HF end point. On multivariable analysis, fine fibrillatory wave became an independent predictor for the primary composite HF end point (hazard ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.07–1.61; P=0.01).

Conclusions

Compared with coarse fibrillatory wave, fine fibrillatory wave was more prevalent in patients with a larger left atrial diameter or those with sustained AF and was independently associated with a higher risk of HF events.

Registration

URL: https://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/; Unique identifier: UMIN000005834.

Not Baseline Atrial Fibrillation but New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation and the Loss of Left Atrial Function Are Essential for Predicting Poor Outcomes in Non-ischemic Cardiomyopathy

Aims: The clinical impact of the type of atrial fibrillation (AF) has not been completely elucidated in non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM). Although the structure and function of the left atrium (LA) provide prognostic information in patients with heart failure, the relationship of the AF type with LA structure and function in NICM is unclear. Methods: Consecutive patients with NICM who underwent cardiac magnetic resonance were evaluated and followed. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) related to the AF type, such as paroxysmal AF, chronic AF, and new-onset AF (NOAF). Results: Among 625 patients with NICM (mean age, 64.4 ± 14.2 years; women, 39.7%), 133 had a history of AF at baseline; of these, 60 had paroxysmal AF. Each baseline AF type was associated with higher LA volume and lower LA emptying fraction but not with an increased incidence of MACE (p = 0.245). New-onset AF developed in 5.9% of patients with sinus rhythm over a median follow-up period of 609 days, and maximum LA volume was a strong and independent predictor [p < 0.001, area under the ROC curve (AUC): 0.795]. Maximum LA volume was superior to LA emptying fraction and B-type natriuretic peptide (AUC: 0.683 and 0.680, respectively). The use of β-blocker and the age of the patient were associated with the incidence of NOAF (HR: 0.37, 95% CI: 0.16-0.84 and HR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.01-1.09, respectively). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with NOAF had a higher incidence of MACE than those with sinus rhythm or baseline AF (p = 0.002). NOAF and LA emptying fraction were independent predictors of MACE (HR: 2.28, 95% CI: 1.20-3.97 and HR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.96-0.99, respectively) after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, and diagnosis. Conclusions: Paroxysmal and chronic AF in patients with NICM were not associated with an increased incidence of MACE despite their association with LA volume and function. NOAF was independently associated with poor prognosis. Higher maximum LA volume predicted the onset and lower LA emptying fraction was independently associated with poor prognosis.

Clinical significance of new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Aims

There is limited information about the clinical significance of atrial fibrillation (AF), particularly new‐onset AF, in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) in a community‐based patient cohort. This study was carried out to clarify the prevalence and prognostic impact of AF in Japanese HCM patients.

Methods and results

In 2004, we established a cardiomyopathy registration network in Kochi Prefecture as a prospective study, and finally, 293 patients with HCM were followed. In the patients' cohort, we recently reported the clinical outcomes including mortality and HCM‐related morbid events. HCM‐related adverse cardiovascular events were defined in the following: (i) sudden cardiac death (SCD)‐relevant events including SCD, spontaneous sustained ventricular tachycardia, and appropriate implantable cardioverter defibrillator discharge; (ii) heart failure (HF) events with the composite of HF death and hospitalization for HF; and (iii) embolic events included embolic stroke‐related death and admission for embolic events. In the present study, we focused on AF and conducted a detailed investigation. At registration, the mean age of the patients was 63 ± 14 years, and 86 patients (29%) had documented AF including paroxysmal AF. Patients with AF at registration were characterized by worse clinical profiles including more advanced age, more symptomatic, more advanced left ventricular, and left atrial remodelling at registration. During a mean follow‐up period of 6.1 ± 3.2 years, a total of 77 HCM‐related adverse events occurred, and the presence of AF at registration was associated with an increased risk of HCM‐related adverse events, particularly heart failure events. During the follow‐up period, an additional 31 patients (11%) had documentation of AF for the first time, defined as new‐onset AF, with an annual incidence of approximately 1.8%, and finally, a total of 117 patients (40%) showed AF. The presence of palpitation and enlarged left atrial diameter, particularly left atrial diameter ≥50 mm, at registration were significant predictors of new‐onset AF. Importantly, the incidence of overall HCM‐related adverse events was further higher in patients with new‐onset AF observed from AF onset than in patients with AF at registration.

Conclusions

In our HCM registry in an aged Japanese community, a significant proportion developed AF. The presence of AF, particularly new‐onset AF, was associated with increased incidence of HCM‐related events. AF may not be just a marker of disease stage but an important trigger of adverse events.

Mid-Term Prognosis After Landiolol Treatment in Atrial Fibrillation/Atrial Flutter Patients With Chronic Heart Failure - A Prospective Observational Survey (AF-CHF Landiolol Survey)

Background: The aim of the prospective post-marketing AF-CHF Landiolol Survey was to evaluate the safety and effectiveness of landiolol for the treatment of atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter in patients with cardiac dysfunction in clinical practice in Japan. This analysis reports mid-term prognoses with a focus on switching from landiolol to oral β-blockers.

Methods and Results: The AF-CHF Landiolol Survey took place between June 2014 and May 2016 and involved 1,121 patients with cardiac dysfunction and atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter. Data collected about switching from landiolol to oral β-blockers were analyzed in relation to all-cause mortality within 180 days after landiolol initiation. Among 1,002 patients with available follow-up data, the 6-month all-cause mortality rate was 14. 6% (n=146 patients), of whom 39.7% had died from heart failure (HF). Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed significantly longer survival in patients who had switched to oral β-blockers vs. those who had not, with hazard ratios of 0.39 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.28–0.55) for all-cause mortality and 0.40 (95% CI: 0.23–0.70) for death from HF. Only male sex and advanced age were independently associated with all-cause mortality and death from HF.

Conclusions: This large-scale routine practice survey of landiolol in HF patients with atrial fibrillation/flutter showed high mid-term all-cause mortality. Switching from landiolol to oral β-blockers was apparently, although not independently, associated with lower all-cause mortality and death from HF.

The clinical implication of new-onset in-hospital atrial fibrillation in patients with acute decompensated heart failure

BACKGROUND

To investigate the clinical implication of the temporal difference in atrial fibrillation (AF)-onset in acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) and its impact on post-discharge prognosis.

METHODS

336 new-onset ADHF patients without any history of AF before admission were enrolled (201 males, 63 ± 16 year-old) and classified into two groups based on their history of AF: the Control group (No AF was detected during hospitalization, n = 278), and the In-hos-AF group (AF occurred during hospitalization, n = 58). Post discharge prognosis including rehospitalization due to worsening HF, cardiac death, all-cause death and cerebrovascular event were compared.

RESULTS

Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that the incidence of rehospitalization due to HF, cardiac death, all-cause death and cerebrovascular event in the In-hos-AF group was not significantly different from that in the Control group (P > 0.05 respectively). However, when AF recurred in the In-hos-AF group patients (n = 24, 41%) after discharge, the incidence of rehospitalization due to HF and cardiac deaths were higher than those without AF recurrence (P = 0.018 and P = 0.027 respectively). Cox proportional analysis revealed that AF developing after discharge was proven to be an independent risk factor for rehospitalization due to HF (HR 1.845, P = 0.043), cardiac death (HR 3.562, P = 0.013) and all-cause deaths (HR 2.138, P = 0.020).

CONCLUSION

Clinical outcomes of new-onset in-hospital AF patients were as good as those without AF history until AF recurrence. However, AF recurrence led to worse prognosis. Therefore, treatment for new-onset in-hospital AF in ADHF patients might be postponed until AF recurrence.

Differential Response to Heart Rate Reduction by Carvedilol in Heart Failure and Reduced Ejection Fraction Between Sinus Rhythm and Atrial Fibrillation - Insight From J-CHF Study

Background: Heart rate (HR) reduction by β-blocker might not benefit patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods and Results: The J-CHF study was a prospective randomized multicenter trial that assigned 360 HFrEF patients to a 2.5 mg/5 mg/20 mg target dose of carvedilol. Carvedilol was uptitrated over 8 weeks and then the dose was fixed. Of 321 patients available for analysis, AF was identified in 65 (20%). Using the median absolute change in HR at 32 weeks (∆HR), the subjects were further divided into group A (∆HR >−6 beats/min) and B (∆HR ≤−6 beats/min). Both in sinus rhythm (SR) and AF, baseline characteristics and achieved carvedilol dose were similar between groups A and B. In SR, the time-dependent change in left ventricular EF (LVEF) and LV end-diastolic dimension (LVEDD) over 56 weeks was more favorable in B compared with A (∆LVEF, P=0.036; ∆LVEDD, P=0.047), and ∆HR was independently associated with ∆LVEF (P=0.040). Group B had a lower rate of the primary endpoint, defined as a composite of death and hospitalization due to cardiovascular causes including acute decompensated HF at 3 years (P=0.002). ∆HR was an independent predictor of the primary endpoint (P=0.01), but this was not observed in AF.

Conclusions: Response to the carvedilol HR reduction might differ in HFrEF between SR and AF.

Usefulness of Preprocedural Left Ventricular End-Systolic Volume Index and Early Diastolic Mitral Annular Velocity in Predicting Improvement in Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction Following Atrial Fibrillation Ablation in Patients With Impaired Left Ventricular Systolic Function

Catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) is known to facilitate reverse remodeling of the left ventricle. However, factors that can improve the left ventricular (LV) systolic function remain elusive. In this study, we investigated factors related to LV ejection fraction (LVEF) improvement following AF ablation in patients with systolic dysfunction. A total of 140 patients with impaired LVEF (<50%) who underwent AF ablation were retrospectively evaluated. The primary outcome was LVEF improvement. A total of 68, 9, and 15 patients achieved LVEF improvement at 3, 6, and 12 months after AF ablation, respectively. Five patients achieved late LVEF improvement. The overall LVEF improvement rate was 69%. In the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the LV end-systolic volume (LVESVI) and early diastolic mitral annular velocity (e') had larger areas under the curve (0.79 and 0.75, respectively) than other echocardiographic parameters, and the most optimal cutoff values of LVESVI and e' were 49.8 ml/m² and 5.4 cm/s, respectively. Moreover, preprocedural LVESVI ≤49.8 ml/m² and e' ≥5.4 independently predicted the outcome after adjusting for confounders (hazard ratio 1.74; 95% confidence interval 1.06 to 2.95; p = 0.03; hazard ratio, 1.99; 95% confidence interval 1.13 to 3.64; p = 0.01). LVEF improvement was achieved in 69% of patients who underwent AF ablation, including 4% with late improvement. Lower LVESVI and higher e' could independently predict LVEF improvement.

Incidence, Risk Factors and Subsequent Prognostic Impact of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Infective Endocarditis

BACKGROUND

Few studies with a large sample size have been performed to evaluate the incidence, risk factors and prognostic value of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with infective endocarditis (IE).

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 1,063 IE patients were included and 83 developed new AF. Compared with no-AF, the incidence of in-hospital death (6.0% vs. 22.9%, P<0.001) was higher in patients with new-onset AF. New-onset AF was independently associated with increased risk of in-hospital (adjusted odds ratio [OR]=3.92, P=0.001) and 1-year death (adjusted hazard ratio=2.91, P=0.001), while prior AF was not an independent factor. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis demonstrated new-onset AF mainly affected short-term death (180 days). Age (OR=1.04, P<0.001), rheumatic heart disease (OR=1.88, P=0.022), NYHA Class III or IV (OR=2.09, P=0.003), and left atrial diameter (LAD; OR=1.05, P=0.006) were independent risk factors for development of new AF.

CONCLUSIONS

New-onset AF, not prior AF, was a prognostic factor in IE patients, which was mainly associated with increased risk of short-term death. Patients with concomitant rheumatic heart disease, poor cardiac function, and larger LAD had higher risk of developing new AF.

Clinical benefits and risks of antithrombotic therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation with comorbidities - A report from the CHART-2 Study

BACKGROUND

The benefits of antithrombotic therapy (ATT) for atrial fibrillation (AF) are occasionally offset by major bleeding complications. However, the clinical benefits and risks of ATT in AF patients, with special references to comorbidities, such as heart failure (HF), coronary artery disease (CAD), and the patterns of AF, remain to be fully elucidated.

METHODS

A total of 3221 consecutive AF patients from our Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) Study (N = 10,219) were divided into 4 groups based on ATT at enrollment; no-ATT, anticoagulant alone, antiplatelet alone, and both of them (AC&AP). Then, efficacy and safety outcomes including thromboembolic events, major bleeding, and mortality were evaluated among the 4 groups.

RESULTS

Anticoagulant monotherapy was associated with reduced risk of ischemic stroke in patients with but not in those without HF, CAD, or non-paroxysmal AF. Although there was no significant difference in major bleeding among the 4 groups, a composite of thromboembolism and major bleeding occurred more frequently in the AC&AP group, even in combination with anticoagulants and single antiplatelet therapy, indicating that the combination therapy is more harmful than anticoagulant monotherapy for AF patients, especially for those with HF or CAD. Lastly, no-ATT group was associated with worse prognosis compared with other 3 groups.

CONCLUSIONS

These results indicate that ATT is beneficial for AF patients particularly for those with HF, CAD, or non-paroxysmal AF and that among ATT, anticoagulant monotherapy may be most profitable for both clinical benefits and risks for AF patients.

Sex differences in post-traumatic stress disorder in cardiovascular patients after the Great East Japan Earthquake: a report from the CHART-2 Study

Aims

The temporal changes and sex differences in post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) after natural disasters remain unclear. Therefore, we examined the prevalence, prognostic impacts, and determinant factors of PTSD after the Great East Japan Earthquake (GEJE) of 11 March 2011 in cardiovascular (CV) patients registered in the Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District (CHART)-2 Study (n = 10 219), with a special reference to sex.

Methods and results

By self-completion questionnaires of the Japanese-language version of the Impact of Event Scale-Revised (IES-R-J), the prevalence of PTSD, defined as IES-R-J score ≥25, was 14.8, 15.7, 7.4, and 7.5% in 2011, 2012, 2013, and 2014, respectively. The PTSD rate was higher in women than in men in all years (all P < 0.01). During a median 3.5-year follow-up period, the patients with PTSD in 2011 more frequently experienced a composite of all-cause death and hospitalization for acute myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure than those without PTSD [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.27, P < 0.01]. Importantly, the prognostic impacts of PTSD on all-cause death (aHR 2.10 vs. 0.87, P for interaction = 0.03) and CV death (aHR 3.43 vs. 0.90, P for interaction = 0.02) were significant in women but not in men. While insomnia medication was a prominent determinant factor of PTSD in both sexes during 2011-14, economic poverty was significantly associated with PTSD only in men.

Conclusion

After the GEJE, marked sex differences existed in the prevalence, prognostic impacts, and determinant factors of PTSD, suggesting the importance of sex-sepcific mental stress care in disaster medicine.

Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Heart Failure: Current State and Future Directions

Heart failure affects nearly 26 million people worldwide. Patients with heart failure are frequently affected with atrial fibrillation, and the interrelation between these pathologies is complex. Atrial fibrillation shares the same risk factors as heart failure. Moreover, it is associated with a higher-risk baseline clinical status and higher mortality rates in patients with heart failure. The mechanisms by which atrial fibrillation occurs in a failing heart are incompletely understood, but animal studies suggest they differ from those that occur in a healthy heart. Data suggest that heart failure-induced atrial fibrosis and atrial ionic remodeling are the underlying abnormalities that facilitate atrial fibrillation. Therapeutic considerations for atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure include risk factor modification and guideline-directed medical therapy, anticoagulation, rate control, and rhythm control. As recommended for atrial fibrillation in the non-failing heart, anticoagulation in patients with heart failure should be guided by a careful estimation of the risk of embolic events versus the risk of hemorrhagic episodes. The decision whether to target a rate-control or rhythm-control strategy is an evolving aspect of management. Currently, both approaches are good medical practice, but recent data suggest that rhythm control, particularly when achieved through catheter ablation, is associated with improved outcomes. A promising field of research is the application of neurohormonal modulation to prevent the creation of the "structural substrate" for atrial fibrillation in the failing heart.

Is extensive atrial fibrosis in the setting of heart failure associated with a reduced atrial fibrillation burden?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) affects 10-50% of patients with chronic heart failure (HF) and is associated with poor long-term prognosis. AF is commonly associated with atrial structural remodeling (ASR), principally characterized by atrial dilatation and fibrosis. However, the occurrence of AF in the full spectrum of ASR encountered in patients with HF is poorly defined. Experimental studies have presented evidence that extensive ASR can be accompanied with a reduced burden of AF, secondary to a prominent depression of atrial excitability. This reduction in AF burden is associated with severe atrial fibrosis rather than with dilatation. Clinical studies of patients with HF point to the possibility that advanced ASR is associated with a less frequent AF occurrence than moderate ASR. Our goal in this review is to introduce the hypothesis that AF is less likely to occur in severe versus moderate atrial ASR in the setting of HF and that it is severe atrial fibrosis-associated depression of atrial excitability that reduces AF burden.

Characteristics and Prognosis of Pacemaker-Identified New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Japanese People

BACKGROUND

The characteristics and prognosis of implanted pacemaker-identified new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in Japanese people has not been well evaluated.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 395 consecutive patients with newly implanted pacemakers were retrospectively analyzed between January 2010 and December 2015 at Yokohama City University Hospital. Patients with a prior history of AF, VVI mode pacemaker, congenital heart disease, severe valvular heart disease, and cardiovascular surgery before pacemaker implantation were excluded. Among the remaining patients, 44 (21.3%) developed new AF during follow-up (mean follow-up, 1,115±651 days; range, 9-2,176 days). Patients with new-onset AF had a significantly higher CHADS2score (2.09±1.27 vs. 1.31±1.08, P<0.001) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (3.00±1.39 vs. 2.26±1.19, P<0.001) compared with those without new-onset AF. On Cox regression analysis only age at implantation was significantly correlated with new-onset AF. Interestingly, the incidence of hospitalization due to heart failure was significantly higher in the new-onset AF than in the without new-onset AF group.

CONCLUSIONS

A total of 21.3% of pacemaker-implanted patients with high CHADS2and CHA2DS2-VASc scores developed new-onset AF during a mean follow-up of 3.1 years; and pacemaker-identified AF was associated with an increased risk of worsening heart failure.

Prognostic Impact of Diastolic Wall Strain in Patients at Risk for Heart Failure

Diastolic wall strain (DWS) is based on the linear elastic theory, according to which decreased wall thinning during diastole reflects reduced left ventricular compliance and thus increased diastolic stiffness. Increased diastolic stiffness as assessed by DWS is associated with a worse prognosis in patients who have heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction. However, there are no data about the prognostic value of DWS derived by M-mode echocardiography in patients at risk for HF. We retrospectively enrolled 1829 consecutive patients without prior HF who were hospitalized for cardiovascular (CV) diseases in our hospital between 2005 and 2012. Patients were divided into two groups stratified by DWS (median value 0.34). The study endpoint was the composite of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and hospitalization for HF. Over a 4.2-year median follow-up, adverse events were observed in 322 patients (17.6%). In Kaplan-Meier analysis, patients with low DWS (≤ 0.34, n = 915) showed worse prognoses than those with high DWS (> 0.34, n = 914) (MACE incidence 39.4% versus 31.9%, P = 0.011). In multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis after the adjustment for age, sex, and echocardiographic parameters, low DWS (≤ 0.34) was significantly associated with the incidence of MACE (hazard ratio: 1.26, 95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.59; P = 0 .045). In patients without prior HF, DWS is an independent predictor of MACE. Simple assessment of DWS might improve risk stratification for CV events in those patients.

Long-term prognostic impact of the Great East Japan Earthquake in patients with cardiovascular disease - Report from the CHART-2 Study

BACKGROUND

We and others have previously reported that the Great East Japan Earthquake (GEJE) caused a significant but transient increase in cardiovascular diseases and deaths in the disaster area. However, it remains to be examined whether the GEJE had a long-term prognostic influence in large-scale cohort studies. This point is important when analyzing the data before and after the GEJE in the cohort studies in the disaster area.

METHODS

We examined 8676 patients registered in our Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) Study (N=10,219) between 2006 and 2010 and were alive after March 10, 2011.

RESULTS

There were 48 GEJE-related deaths, causing a sharp and transient increase in all-cause death within a month after the GEJE. However, after excluding the GEJE-related deaths, the cubic polynomial spline smoothing showed no significant increase in all-cause death, heart failure admission, non-fetal acute myocardial infarction, or non-fetal stroke during the median 3-year follow-up after the GEJE. The extrapolation curves beyond the GEJE, which were obtained by the parametric survival models based on the survival data censored on the GEJE, were not significantly different from the Kaplan-Meier curves estimating the survival functions of deaths and cardiac events during the total follow-up period without considering the impacts of the GEJE. Furthermore, the multivariate Cox proportional hazard model applied to the matched cohort of the baseline data and the data after the GEJE showed no significant differences in the impacts of prognostic factors on all-cause mortality before and after the GEJE.

CONCLUSIONS

These results indicate that the GEJE had no significant long-term prognostic impact after the earthquake in cardiovascular patients in the disaster area.

Prognostic Impact of Atrial Fibrillation and New Risk Score of Its Onset in Patients at High Risk of Heart Failure - A Report From the CHART-2 Study

BACKGROUND

The prognostic impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) among patients at high risk for heart failure (HF) remains unclear. In addition, there is no risk estimation model for AF development in these patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The present study included 5,382 consecutive patients at high risk of HF enrolled in the CHART-2 Study (n=10,219). At enrollment, 1,217 (22.6%) had AF, and were characterized, as compared with non-AF patients, by higher age, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, higher B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level and lower left ventricular ejection fraction. A total of 116 non-AF patients (2.8%) newly developed AF (new AF) during the median 3.1-year follow-up. AF at enrollment was associated with worse prognosis for both all-cause death and HF hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.31, P=0.027 and aHR 1.74, P=0.001, for all-cause death and HF hospitalization, respectively) and new AF was associated with HF hospitalization (aHR 4.54, P<0.001). We developed a risk score with higher age, smoking, pulse pressure, lower eGFR, higher BNP, aortic valvular regurgitation, LV hypertrophy, and left atrial and ventricular dilatation on echocardiography, which effectively stratified the risk of AF development with excellent accuracy (AUC 0.76).

CONCLUSIONS

These results indicated that AF is associated with worse prognosis in patients at high risk of HF, and our new risk score may be useful to identify patients at high risk for AF onset.

Relationship between Vitamin D and the development of atrial fibrillation after on-pump coronary artery bypass graft surgery

Background:

Vitamin D deficiency is associated with many diverse cardiovascular disorders, such as hypertension, heart failure, stroke, coronary artery disease and atrial fibrillation. The relationship between Vitamin D and the development of atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG) has not been studied. Therefore, we assessed the relationship between Vitamin D and the development of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after CABG.

Methods:

Medical records of consecutive patients who underwent CABG surgery were retrospectively reviewed for the development of atrial fibrillation in the postoperative period. Vitamin D, other biochemical parameters, and clinical and echocardiographic parameters were evaluated in all patients. The independent variables for the development of postoperative atrial fibrillation were defined and their predictive values were measured.

Results:

The study group consisted of 128 patients, of whom 41 (32%) developed POAF. Age, diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, history of transient ischaemic attack/stroke, heart failure, left atrial diameter, platelet:largecell ratio, and creatinine, urea, uric acid, calcium and potassium levels were identified as important variables for the development of POAF. However, with logistic regression analysis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR: 28.737, 95% CI: 0.836–16.118, p < 0.001), heart failure (OR: 15.430, 95% CI: 0.989–7.649, p = 0.006), diabetes mellitus (OR: 11.486, 95% CI: 0.734–11.060, p = 0.001) and left atrial diameter (OR: 1.245, 95% CI: 0.086–6.431, p = 0.011) appeared as independent variables predicting the development of POAF.

Conclusion:

In our study, although there was a significant negative correlation between Vitamin D and left atrial diameter, Vitamin D level was not an independent predictor for POAF.

Prognostic Impact of Loop Diuretics in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure - Effects of Addition of Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System Inhibitors and β-Blockers

BACKGROUND

It remains to be elucidated whether addition of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors and/or β-blockers to loop diuretics has a beneficial prognostic impact on chronic heart failure (CHF) patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

From the Chronic Heart failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku district 2 (CHART-2) Study (n=10,219), we enrolled 4,134 consecutive patients with symptomatic stage C/D CHF (mean age, 69.3 years, 67.7% male). We constructed Cox models for composite of death, myocardial infarction, stroke and HF admission. On multivariate inverse probability of treatment weighted (IPTW) Cox modeling, loop diuretics use was associated with worse prognosis with hazard ratio (HR) 1.28 (P<0001). Furthermore, on IPTW multivariate Cox modeling for multiple treatments, both low-dose (<40 mg/day) and high-dose (≥40 mg/day) loop diuretics were associated with worse prognosis with HR 1.32 and 1.56, respectively (both P<0.001). Triple blockade with RAS inhibitor(s), mineral corticoid (aldosterone) receptor antagonist(s) (MRA), and β-blocker(s) was significantly associated with better prognosis in those on low-dose but not on high-dose loop diuretics.

CONCLUSIONS

Chronic use of loop diuretics is significantly associated with worse prognosis in CHF patients in a dose-dependent manner, whereas the triple combination of RAAS inhibitor(s), MRA, and β-blocker(s) is associated with better prognosis when combined with low-dose loop diuretics. (Circ J 2016; 80: 1396-1403).