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Briner JP, Cuzzone JK, Badgeley JA, Young NE, Steig EJ, Morlighem M, Schlegel NJ, Hakim GJ, Schaefer JM, Johnson JV, Lesnek AJ, Thomas EK, Allan E, Bennike O, Cluett AA, Csatho B, de Vernal A, Downs J, Larour E, Nowicki S. Rate of mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet will exceed Holocene values this century. Nature 2020; 586:70-74. [PMID: 32999481 DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2742-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/30/2019] [Accepted: 07/27/2020] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
The Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS) is losing mass at a high rate1. Given the short-term nature of the observational record, it is difficult to assess the historical importance of this mass-loss trend. Unlike records of greenhouse gas concentrations and global temperature, in which observations have been merged with palaeoclimate datasets, there are no comparably long records for rates of GIS mass change. Here we reveal unprecedented mass loss from the GIS this century, by placing contemporary and future rates of GIS mass loss within the context of the natural variability over the past 12,000 years. We force a high-resolution ice-sheet model with an ensemble of climate histories constrained by ice-core data2. Our simulation domain covers southwestern Greenland, the mass change of which is dominated by surface mass balance. The results agree favourably with an independent chronology of the history of the GIS margin3,4. The largest pre-industrial rates of mass loss (up to 6,000 billion tonnes per century) occurred in the early Holocene, and were similar to the contemporary (AD 2000-2018) rate of around 6,100 billion tonnes per century5. Simulations of future mass loss from southwestern GIS, based on Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios corresponding to low (RCP2.6) and high (RCP8.5) greenhouse gas concentration trajectories6, predict mass loss of between 8,800 and 35,900 billion tonnes over the twenty-first century. These rates of GIS mass loss exceed the maximum rates over the past 12,000 years. Because rates of mass loss from the southwestern GIS scale linearly5 with the GIS as a whole, our results indicate, with high confidence, that the rate of mass loss from the GIS will exceed Holocene rates this century.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jason P Briner
- Department of Geology, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA.
| | - Joshua K Cuzzone
- Department of Earth System Science, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA.,Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
| | - Jessica A Badgeley
- Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Nicolás E Young
- Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Geochemistry, Palisades, NY, USA
| | - Eric J Steig
- Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.,Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Mathieu Morlighem
- Department of Earth System Science, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA
| | | | - Gregory J Hakim
- Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Joerg M Schaefer
- Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Geochemistry, Palisades, NY, USA.,Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
| | - Jesse V Johnson
- Department of Computer Science, University of Montana, Missoula, MT, USA
| | - Alia J Lesnek
- Department of Geology, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA
| | | | - Estelle Allan
- Geotop, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montréal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Ole Bennike
- Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | | | - Beata Csatho
- Department of Geology, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA
| | - Anne de Vernal
- Geotop, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montréal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Jacob Downs
- Department of Computer Science, University of Montana, Missoula, MT, USA
| | - Eric Larour
- Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
| | - Sophie Nowicki
- Cryospheric Sciences Laboratory, Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA, Greenbelt, MD, USA
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Jensen TW. A clinical opinion survey of new fine detail panoramic radiographs. ORAL SURGERY, ORAL MEDICINE, AND ORAL PATHOLOGY 1988; 66:378-85. [PMID: 3174074 DOI: 10.1016/0030-4220(88)90249-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/04/2023]
Abstract
An opinion survey was conducted to judge the diagnostic potential of panoramic surveys with image detail similar to periapical radiographs exposed by free-focus radiography. Fifty dentists evaluated four free-focus radiographic surveys of the maxillofacial complex made on nonscreen film, which were selected to illustrate most categories of common dental disease. Conventional rotational panoramic radiographs were available for comparison. Fifty-four percent to 70% selected positive responses to questions on film size, image detail, anatomic area of coverage, and potential value in dental practice. Relatively high percentages of reviewers preferred smaller anatomic coverage and film size. About one third thought that the level of image detail ought to be even better. The overall interest in a nonpanoramic free-focus radiography exposure mode was guarded. Seventy-six percent of all respondents believed that the free-focus radiography films were "experimental."
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Affiliation(s)
- T W Jensen
- Department of Oral Radiology, School of Dentistry, University of Utrecht, The Netherlands
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