Close proximity interactions support transmission of ESBL-K. pneumoniae but not ESBL-E. coli in healthcare settings

Development of a prediction model for the acquisition of extended spectrum beta-lactam-resistant organisms in U.S. international travellers

BACKGROUND

Extended spectrum beta-lactamase producing Enterobacterales (ESBL-PE) present a risk to public health by limiting the efficacy of multiple classes of beta-lactam antibiotics against infection. International travellers may acquire these organisms and identifying individuals at high risk of acquisition could help inform clinical treatment or prevention strategies.

METHODS

We used data collected from a cohort of 528 international travellers enrolled in a multicentre US-based study to derive a clinical prediction rule (CPR) to identify travellers who developed ESBL-PE colonization, defined as those with new ESBL positivity in stool upon return to the United States. To select candidate features, we used data collected from pre-travel and post-travel questionnaires, alongside destination-specific data from external sources. We utilized LASSO regression for feature selection, followed by random forest or logistic regression modelling, to derive a CPR for ESBL acquisition.

RESULTS

A CPR using machine learning and logistic regression on 10 features has an internally cross-validated area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (cvAUC) of 0.70 (95% confidence interval 0.69-0.71). We also demonstrate that a four-feature model performs similarly to the 10-feature model, with a cvAUC of 0.68 (95% confidence interval 0.67-0.69). This model uses traveller's diarrhoea, and antibiotics as treatment, destination country waste management rankings and destination regional probabilities as predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrate that by integrating traveller characteristics with destination-specific data, we could derive a CPR to identify those at highest risk of acquiring ESBL-PE during international travel.

Use of the quantitative antibiogram method for assessing nosocomial transmission of ESBL-producing Enterobacteriaceae in a French hospital

BACKGROUND

ESBL-producing Enterobacteriaceae (eESBL) have a high prevalence in hospitals but real-time monitoring of nosocomial acquisition through conventional typing methods is challenging. Moreover, patient-to-patient transmission varies between the main species, namely Escherichia coli, and Klebsiella pneumoniae, then questioning the relevance of applying identical preventive measures.

AIM

To detect eESBL cross-transmission events (CTE) using combination of quantitative antibiogram with epidemiological data (combined-QA), and to rule on the effectiveness of standard or contact precautions for eESBL species.

METHODS

First, a validation set was used to confirm the relevance of the combined-QA by comparison to a combination of pulsed-field gel electrophoresis and epidemiological data (combined-PFGE). Secondly, a four-year retrospective analysis was conducted to detect eESBL-CTE in hospitalized patients. Two species were screened i.e. ESBL-E. coli (ESBL-Ec), and ESBL-K. pneumoniae (ESBL-Kp). During the study, only standard precautions were applied to ESBL-Ec patients whereas contact precautions were retained for ESBL-Kp.

FINDINGS

As a proof of concept, results between the two combined methods for the detection of CTE were identical for E. coli, and similar to at least 75% for K. pneumoniae. During the retrospective analysis, 722 patients with ESBL-Ec isolates and 280 with ESBL-Kp isolates were included. Nine CTE were identified for E. coli and 23 for K. pneumoniae, implying 20 (2.7%) and 36 (12.8%) patients, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The QA-combined method constitutes a rapid tool for epidemiological surveillance to detect CTE. In our hospital, standard precautions are sufficient to prevent acquisition of ESBL-Ec whereas contact precautions must be implemented to prevent acquisition of ESBL-Kp.

Intestinal colonization with multidrug-resistant Enterobacterales: screening, epidemiology, clinical impact, and strategies to decolonize carriers

The clinical impact of infections due to extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL)- and/or carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales (Ent) has reached dramatic levels worldwide. Infections due to these multidrug-resistant (MDR) pathogens-especially Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae-may originate from a prior asymptomatic intestinal colonization that could also favor transmission to other subjects. It is therefore desirable that gut carriers are rapidly identified to try preventing both the occurrence of serious endogenous infections and potential transmission. Together with the infection prevention and control countermeasures, any strategy capable of effectively eradicating the MDR-Ent from the intestinal tract would be desirable. In this narrative review, we present a summary of the different aspects linked to the intestinal colonization due to MDR-Ent. In particular, culture- and molecular-based screening techniques to identify carriers, data on prevalence and risk factors in different populations, clinical impact, length of colonization, and contribution to transmission in various settings will be overviewed. We will also discuss the standard strategies (selective digestive decontamination, fecal microbiota transplant) and those still in development (bacteriophages, probiotics, microcins, and CRISPR-Cas-based) that might be used to decolonize MDR-Ent carriers.

A one-year genomic investigation of Escherichia coli epidemiology and nosocomial spread at a large US healthcare network

BACKGROUND

Extra-intestinal pathogenic Escherichia coli (ExPEC) are a leading cause of bloodstream and urinary tract infections worldwide. Over the last two decades, increased rates of antibiotic resistance in E. coli have been reported, further complicating treatment. Worryingly, specific lineages expressing extended-spectrum β-lactamases (ESBLs) and fluoroquinolone resistance have proliferated and are now considered a serious threat. Obtaining contemporary information on the epidemiology and prevalence of these circulating lineages is critical for containing their spread globally and within the clinic.

METHODS

Whole-genome sequencing (WGS), phylogenetic analysis, and antibiotic susceptibility testing were performed for a complete set of 2075 E. coli clinical isolates collected from 1776 patients at a large tertiary healthcare network in the USA between October 2019 and September 2020.

RESULTS

The isolates represented two main phylogenetic groups, B2 and D, with six lineages accounting for 53% of strains: ST-69, ST-73, ST-95, ST-131, ST-127, and ST-1193. Twenty-seven percent of the primary isolates were multidrug resistant (MDR) and 5% carried an ESBL gene. Importantly, 74% of the ESBL-E.coli were co-resistant to fluoroquinolones and mostly belonged to pandemic ST-131 and emerging ST-1193. SNP-based detection of possible outbreaks identified 95 potential transmission clusters totaling 258 isolates (12% of the whole population) from ≥ 2 patients. While the proportion of MDR isolates was enriched in the set of putative transmission isolates compared to sporadic infections (35 vs 27%, p = 0.007), a large fraction (61%) of the predicted outbreaks (including the largest cluster grouping isolates from 12 patients) were caused by the transmission of non-MDR clones.

CONCLUSION

By coupling in-depth genomic characterization with a complete sampling of clinical isolates for a full year, this study provides a rare and contemporary survey on the epidemiology and spread of E. coli in a large US healthcare network. While surveillance and infection control efforts often focus on ESBL and MDR lineages, our findings reveal that non-MDR isolates represent a large burden of infections, including those of predicted nosocomial origins. This increased awareness is key for implementing effective WGS-based surveillance as a routine technology for infection control.

Cost-effectiveness of strategies to control the spread of carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales in hospitals: a modelling study

Background

Spread of resistant bacteria causes severe morbidity and mortality. Stringent control measures can be expensive and disrupt hospital organization. In the present study, we assessed the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of control strategies to prevent the spread of Carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales (CPE) in a general hospital ward (GW).

Methods

A dynamic, stochastic model simulated the transmission of CPE by the hands of healthcare workers (HCWs) and the environment in a hypothetical 25-bed GW. Input parameters were based on published data; we assumed the prevalence at admission of 0.1%. 12 strategies were compared to the baseline (no control) and combined different prevention and control interventions: targeted or universal screening at admission (TS or US), contact precautions (CP), isolation in a single room, dedicated nursing staff (DNS) for carriers and weekly screening of contact patients (WSC). Time horizon was one year. Outcomes were the number of CPE acquisitions, costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER). A hospital perspective was adopted to estimate costs, which included laboratory costs, single room, contact precautions, staff time, i.e. infection control nurse and/or dedicated nursing staff, and lost bed-days due to prolonged hospital stay of identified carriers. The model was calibrated on actual datasets. Sensitivity analyses were performed.

Results

The baseline scenario resulted in 0.93 CPE acquisitions/1000 admissions and costs 32,050 €/1000 admissions. All control strategies increased costs and improved the outcome. The efficiency frontier was represented by: (1) TS with DNS at a 17,407 €/avoided CPE case, (2) TS + DNS + WSC at a 30,700 €/avoided CPE case and (3) US + DNS + WSC at 181,472 €/avoided CPE case. Other strategies were dominated. Sensitivity analyses showed that TS + CP might be cost-effective if CPE carriers are identified upon admission or if the cases have a short hospital stay. However, CP were effective only when high level of compliance with hand hygiene was obtained.

Conclusions

Targeted screening at admission combined with DNS for identified CPE carriers with or without weekly screening were the most cost-effective options to limit the spread of CPE. These results support current recommendations from several high-income countries.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13756-022-01149-0.

Risk factors for antibiotic resistance and mortality in patients with bloodstream infection of Escherichia coli

This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for bloodstream infection (BSI) caused by extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL)-producing Escherichia coli (E. coli) and related mortality. The clinical data of 388 patients with E. coli BSI were analyzed. Blood cultures were performed and the antimicrobial susceptibility profiles of the resulting isolates were determined. Four single-nucleotide polymorphisms (rs231775, rs12343816, rs16944, and rs2233406) were genotyped using real-time PCR. ESBL were detected by disk diffusion confirmatory testing. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were applied to identify the risk factors for ESBL-producing isolates and the BSI-induced mortality. The prevalence of ESBL-producing E. coli in BSI patients was 40.98%. E. coli isolates were commonly susceptible to carbapenem and β-lactam/β-lactamase inhibitor combinations. The major ESBL genes were CTX-M-14, CTX-M-55, CTX-M-15, and CTX-M-27. The proportion of CTX-M-15 was significantly higher in patients over 70 years and those receiving stomach tube catheterization. Nosocomial infection, biliary tract infection, stomach tube catheterization, and previous cephalosporin administration were independent risk factors for ESBL-producing isolates. ESBL positivity, nosocomial infection, and cancer were independent risk factors of mortality. Two genetic polymorphisms associated with inflammation activation, rs231775 A allele and rs2233406 T allele, significantly increased the mortality risk of E. coli BSI with a risk ratio (95% CI) of 1.93 (1.05-3.55) and 4.38 (2.07-9.29), respectively. For patients with nosocomial infection, biliary tract infection, and cancer, the monitor of BSI and antibiotic susceptibility should be enhanced. The invasive procedures should be minimized. rs231775 and rs2233406 are promising prognostic markers for E. coli BSI patients.

Measuring close proximity interactions in summer camps during the COVID-19 pandemic

Policy makers have implemented multiple non-pharmaceutical strategies to mitigate the COVID-19 worldwide crisis. Interventions had the aim of reducing close proximity interactions, which drive the spread of the disease. A deeper knowledge of human physical interactions has revealed necessary, especially in all settings involving children, whose education and gathering activities should be preserved. Despite their relevance, almost no data are available on close proximity contacts among children in schools or other educational settings during the pandemic. Contact data are usually gathered via Bluetooth, which nonetheless offers a low temporal and spatial resolution. Recently, ultra-wideband (UWB) radios emerged as a more accurate alternative that nonetheless exhibits a significantly higher energy consumption, limiting in-field studies. In this paper, we leverage a novel approach, embodied by the Janus system that combines these radios by exploiting their complementary benefits. The very accurate proximity data gathered in-field by Janus, once augmented with several metadata, unlocks unprecedented levels of information, enabling the development of novel multi-level risk analyses. By means of this technology, we have collected real contact data of children and educators in three summer camps during summer 2020 in the province of Trento, Italy. The wide variety of performed daily activities induced multiple individual behaviors, allowing a rich investigation of social environments from the contagion risk perspective. We consider risk based on duration and proximity of contacts and classify interactions according to different risk levels. We can then evaluate the summer camps' organization, observe the effect of partition in small groups, or social bubbles, and identify the organized activities that mitigate the riskier behaviors. Overall, we offer an insight into the educator-child and child-child social interactions during the pandemic, thus providing a valuable tool for schools, summer camps, and policy makers to (re)structure educational activities safely.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the surveillance of antimicrobial resistance

Background

The impact of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic on antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a major concern.

Aim

To compare the number of patients and isolation rate of antimicrobial-resistant bacteria before and after the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic using the comprehensive national surveillance data.

Methods

We utilized comprehensive surveillance data, collected in the Japan Nosocomial Infections Surveillance programme, which included a total of 16.7 million samples of 5.9 million tested patients from >1300 hospitals. We compared the number of patients and isolation rate of five bacteria between 2019 and 2020, including antimicrobial-susceptible and -resistant bacteria of Staphylococcus aureus, Streptococcus pneumoniae, Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae and Pseudomonas aeruginosa.

Findings

The number of patients and isolation rate of S. aureus and meticillin-resistant S. aureus decreased slightly; those of S. pneumoniae and penicillin-resistant S. pneumoniae decreased by 60%; and those of third-generation cephalosporin-resistant K. pneumoniae increased. The isolation rate of the remaining bacteria apparently increased, although the number of patients decreased. This was due to a substantial decrease in the total number of tested patients (the denominator of the isolation rate), which was larger than that of the number of patients (the numerator of the isolation rate). Consistent results were obtained when the same data were re-aggregated using the procedure of the World Health Organization Global Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance System, demonstrating the general importance of this problem.

Conclusion

Surveillance data during the COVID-19 pandemic must be carefully interpreted based on examination of the numerator, denominator and background factors that affect the denominator.

Microbiome-pathogen interactions drive epidemiological dynamics of antibiotic resistance: A modeling study applied to nosocomial pathogen control

The human microbiome can protect against colonization with pathogenic antibiotic-resistant bacteria (ARB), but its impacts on the spread of antibiotic resistance are poorly understood. We propose a mathematical modeling framework for ARB epidemiology formalizing within-host ARB-microbiome competition, and impacts of antibiotic consumption on microbiome function. Applied to the healthcare setting, we demonstrate a trade-off whereby antibiotics simultaneously clear bacterial pathogens and increase host susceptibility to their colonization, and compare this framework with a traditional strain-based approach. At the population level, microbiome interactions drive ARB incidence, but not resistance rates, reflecting distinct epidemiological relevance of different forces of competition. Simulating a range of public health interventions (contact precautions, antibiotic stewardship, microbiome recovery therapy) and pathogens (Clostridioides difficile, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, multidrug-resistant Enterobacteriaceae) highlights how species-specific within-host ecological interactions drive intervention efficacy. We find limited impact of contact precautions for Enterobacteriaceae prevention, and a promising role for microbiome-targeted interventions to limit ARB spread.

Reorganization of nurse scheduling reduces the risk of healthcare associated infections

Efficient prevention and control of healthcare associated infections (HAIs) is still an open problem. Using contact data from wearable sensors at a short-stay geriatric ward, we propose a proof-of-concept modeling study that reorganizes nurse schedules for efficient infection control. This strategy switches and reassigns nurses’ tasks through the optimization of shift timelines, while respecting feasibility constraints and satisfying patient-care requirements. Through a Susceptible-Colonized-Susceptible transmission model, we found that schedules reorganization reduced HAI risk by 27% (95% confidence interval [24, 29]%) while preserving timeliness, number, and duration of contacts. More than 30% nurse-nurse contacts should be avoided to achieve an equivalent reduction through simple contact removal. Nurse scheduling can be reorganized to break potential chains of transmission and substantially limit HAI risk, while ensuring the timeliness and quality of healthcare services. This calls for including optimization of nurse scheduling practices in programs for infection control in hospitals.

Relevance of intra-hospital patient movements for the spread of healthcare-associated infections within hospitals - a mathematical modeling study

The aim of this study is to analyze patient movement patterns between hospital departments to derive the underlying intra-hospital movement network, and to assess if movement patterns differ between patients at high or low risk of colonization. For that purpose, we analyzed patient electronic medical record data from five hospitals to extract information on risk stratification and patient intra-hospital movements. Movement patterns were visualized as networks, and network centrality measures were calculated. Next, using an agent-based model where agents represent patients and intra-hospital patient movements were explicitly modeled, we simulated the spread of multidrug resistant enterobacteriacae (MDR-E) inside a hospital. Risk stratification of patients according to certain ICD-10 codes revealed that length of stay, patient age, and mean number of movements per admission were higher in the high-risk groups. Movement networks in all hospitals displayed a high variability among departments concerning their network centrality and connectedness with a few highly connected departments and many weakly connected peripheral departments. Simulating the spread of a pathogen in one hospital network showed positive correlation between department prevalence and network centrality measures. This study highlights the importance of intra-hospital patient movements and their possible impact on pathogen spread. Targeting interventions to departments of higher (weighted) degree may help to control the spread of MDR-E. Moreover, when the colonization status of patients coming from different departments is unknown, a ranking system based on department centralities may be used to design more effective interventions that mitigate pathogen spread.

Pathogens including multidrug resistant enterobacteriacae (MDR-E) inside hospital settings are associated with higher morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs. Better understanding of the transmission routes of these pathogens is required to develop targeted and efficient measures to contain the spread of MDR-E in a hospital. We analyzed datasets from five hospitals in different countries to explore patient movement patterns between departments of these hospitals (intra-hospital movements). We assessed whether movement patterns differ between patients at high or low risk of colonization. Our results show that in every intra-hospital network, there exist a few departments which are strongly connected and many peripheral departments which are loosely connected. High-risk patients stay on average longer in the hospital, and move more frequently between departments than low-risk patients. Targeting interventions to strongly connected departments may help to reduce pathogen spread inside the hospital. To explore this, we simulated the spread of MDR-E inside one hospital using an agent-based model that includes patient movements. In the simulations, we found positive correlations between departments’ prevalence and network characteristics such as degree and weighted degree, thus highlighting the importance of targeting interventions to departments of higher (weighted) degree to control the spread of MDR-E.

Household acquisition and transmission of extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL) -producing Enterobacteriaceae after hospital discharge of ESBL-positive index patients

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to determine rates and risk factors of extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing Enterobacteriaceae (ESBL-PE) acquisition and transmission within households after hospital discharge of an ESBL-PE-positive index patient.

METHODS

Two-year prospective cohort study in five European cities. Patients colonized with ESBL-producing Escherichia coli (ESBL-Ec) or Klebsiella pneumoniae (ESBL-Kp), and their household contacts were followed up for 4 months after hospital discharge of the index case. At each follow up, participants provided a faecal sample and personal information. ESBL-PE whole-genome sequences were compared using pairwise single nucleotide polymorphism-based analysis.

RESULTS

We enrolled 71 index patients carrying ESBL-Ec (n = 45), ESBL-Kp (n = 20) or both (n = 6), and 102 household contacts. The incidence of any ESBL-PE acquisition among household members initially free of ESBL-PE was 1.9/100 participant-weeks at risk. Nineteen clonally related household transmissions occurred (case to contact: 13; contact to case: 6), with an overall rate of 1.18 transmissions/100 participant-weeks at risk. Most of the acquisition and transmission events occurred within the first 2 months after discharge. The rate of ESBL-Kp household transmission (1.16/100 participant-weeks) was higher than of ESBL-Ec (0.93/100 participant-weeks), whereas more acquisitions were noted for ESBL-Ec (1.06/100 participant-weeks) compared with ESBL-Kp (0.65/100 participant-weeks). Providing assistance for urinary and faecal excretion to the index case by household members increased the risk of ESBL-PE transmission (adjusted prevalence ratio 4.3; 95% CI 1.3-14.1).

CONCLUSIONS

ESBL-PE cases discharged from the hospital are an important source of ESBL-PE transmission within households. Most acquisition and transmission events occurred during the first 2 months after hospital discharge and were causally related to care activities at home, highlighting the importance of hygiene measures in community settings.

CLINICAL STUDY REGISTRATION

German Clinical Trials Register, DRKS-ID: DRKS00013250.

Long-Lasting Decrease of the Acquisition of Enterococcus faecium and Gram-Negative Bacteria Producing Extended Spectrum Beta-Lactamase (ESBL) by Transient Application of Probiotics

Previously it was shown that application of probiotics stopped the acquisition of vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium (VRE) by patients in an early rehabilitation ward. Once the application of probiotics ended, we examined whether acquisition of VRE reoccurred. Furthermore, we examined whether probiotics altered prevalence of vancomycin-susceptible E. faecium (VSE) and Gram-negative bacteria, which produce extended spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL). Although probiotic application ceased in April 2018, VRE-colonized patients rarely presented on that ward until 2019. Probiotic treatment also resulted in a decreased number of patients with VSE and ESBL. While decreased incidence of VRE occurred immediately, decreased VSE and ESBL numbers occurred months later. A probiotic-mediated decrease of VSE and ESBL incidence cannot be explained when assuming bacterial transmission exclusively as a linear cause and effect event. The decrease is better understood by considering bacterial transmissions to be stochastic events, which depend on various driving forces similar to an electric current. We hypothesize that VRE, VSE and ESBL uptake by patients and by staff members mutually reinforced each other, leading staff members to form a bacterial reservoir, similar to a condenser that stores electrical energy. Probiotic treatment then inhibited regeneration of that store, resulting in a breakdown of the driving force.

Risk factors for acquisition of multidrug-resistant Enterobacterales among international travellers: a synthesis of cumulative evidence

BACKGROUND

Recent studies have shown that over 50% of people travelling to Southeast Asia return colonized with multidrug-resistant Enterobacterales (MRE) including carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales. Importation of MRE by travellers and subsequent spread to family members, communities and healthcare facilities poses real risks that have not yet been adequately assessed. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to quantify the risk factors and interventions for reducing the risk of MRE acquisition among international travellers.

METHODS

A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science and Scopus for analytical epidemiological studies containing data post-2000 that assessed the risk factors to acquire and/or interventions to reduce the risk of MRE acquisition in travellers. Two researchers independently screened all the studies and extracted the information, and disagreements were resolved through consensus. The proportions of MRE acquisition by the region of destination and the odds ratio (OR) for the different risk factors and/or interventions were pooled using the inverse variance heterogeneity model.

RESULTS

A total of 20 studies (5253 travellers from high-income countries) were included in the meta-analysis. South Asia [58.7%; 95% confidence interval (CI), 44.5-72.5%] and Northern Africa (43.9%; 95% CI 37.6-50.3%) were the travel destinations with the highest proportion of MRE acquisition. Inflammatory bowel disease (OR 2.1; 95% CI 1.2-3.8), use of antibiotics (OR 2.4; 95% CI 1.9-3.0), traveller's diarrhoea (OR 1.7; 95% CI 1.3-2.3) and contact with the healthcare system overseas (OR 1.5; 95% CI 1.1-2.2) were associated with MRE colonization. Vegetarians (OR 1.4; 95% CI 1.0-2.0) and backpackers (OR 1.5; 95% CI 1.2-1.8) were also at increased odds of MRE colonization. Few studies (n = 6) investigated preventive measures and found that consuming only bottled water/beverages, meticulous hand hygiene and probiotics had no protective effect on MRE colonization.

CONCLUSIONS

International travel is an important driver for MRE spread worldwide. Future research needs to identify effective interventions to reduce the risk of MRE acquisition as well as design strategies to reduce local transmission on return.

The damage response framework and infection prevention: From concept to bedside

Hospital-acquired infections remain a common cause of morbidity and mortality despite advances in infection prevention through use of bundles, environmental cleaning, antimicrobial stewardship, and other best practices. Current prevention strategies and further hospital-acquired infection reduction are limited by lack of recognition of the role that host-microbe interactions play in susceptibility and by the inability to analyze multiple risk factors in real time to accurately predict the likelihood of a hospital-acquired infection before it occurs and to inform medical decision making. Herein, we examine the value of incorporating the damage-response framework and host attributes that determine susceptibility to infectious diseases known by the acronym MISTEACHING (ie, microbiome, immunity, sex, temperature, environment, age, chance, history, inoculum, nutrition, genetics) into infection prevention strategies using machine learning to drive decision support and patient-specific interventions.

Transmission dynamics and control of multidrug-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae in neonates in a developing country

Multidrug-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae is an increasing cause of infant mortality in developing countries. We aimed to develop a quantitative understanding of the drivers of this epidemic by estimating the effects of antibiotics on nosocomial transmission risk, comparing competing hypotheses about mechanisms of spread, and quantifying the impact of potential interventions. Using a sequence of dynamic models, we analysed data from a one-year prospective carriage study in a Cambodian neonatal intensive care unit with hyperendemic third-generation cephalosporin-resistant K. pneumoniae. All widely-used antibiotics except imipenem were associated with an increased daily acquisition risk, with an odds ratio for the most common combination (ampicillin + gentamicin) of 1.96 (95% CrI 1.18, 3.36). Models incorporating genomic data found that colonisation pressure was associated with a higher transmission risk, indicated sequence type heterogeneity in transmissibility, and showed that within-ward transmission was insufficient to maintain endemicity. Simulations indicated that increasing the nurse-patient ratio could be an effective intervention.

Intestinal colonization with extended-spectrum beta-lactamase producing Enterobacterales (ESBL-PE) during long distance travel: A cohort study in a German travel clinic (2016-2017)

BACKGROUND

Intercontinental travel contributes to the spread of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase producing Enterobacterales (ESBL-PE). We assessed risk factors for intestinal ESBL-PE colonization in people travelling to low and middle income countries in the tropics and subtropics to better understand how travel affects ESBL-PE spread.

METHOD

This prospective cohort study in travellers attending a travel clinic in Leipzig, Germany was conducted in 2016-2017. Information on risk factors related to travel, symptoms, antibiotic use, health care usage, accommodation, destination, diet and hygiene was collected by questionnaire after travel. Stools were phenotypically tested for ESBL-PE before and after travel. Risk factors for ESBL-PE colonization were identified using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Of the 230 travellers that were ESBL-PE negative before travelling, 23% (n = 53) travellers returned positive. Multivariable analyses showed that age, type of accommodation and travelling to Asia were associated with ESBL-PE colonization.

CONCLUSIONS

Given that a considerable amount of travellers returned with ESBL-PE, we recommend raising awareness in returning high-risk travellers, e.g. those returning from high-risk areas. They should be aware that they may carry antimicrobial-resistant bacteria after travel, and how they can prevent its spread. The role of the type of accommodation as a factor favouring intestinal colonization with ESBL-PE requires further investigation.