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Caldwell HS, Kuo L, Pata JD, Dupuis AP, Arnold JJ, Yeager C, Stout J, Koetzner CA, Payne AF, Bialosuknia SM, Banker EM, Nolen TA, Cameron CE, Ciota AT. Maintenance of a host-specific minority mutation in the West Nile virus NS3. iScience 2023; 26:107468. [PMID: 37593454 PMCID: PMC10428113 DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2023.107468] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2022] [Revised: 06/22/2023] [Accepted: 07/21/2023] [Indexed: 08/19/2023] Open
Abstract
West Nile virus (WNV), the most prevalent arthropod-borne virus (arbovirus) in the United States, is maintained in a cycle between Culex spp. mosquitoes and birds. Arboviruses exist within hosts and vectors as a diverse set of closely related genotypes. In theory, this genetic diversity can facilitate adaptation to distinct environments during host cycling, yet host-specific fitness of minority genotypes has not been assessed. Utilizing WNV deep-sequencing data, we previously identified a naturally occurring, mosquito-biased substitution, NS3 P319L. Using both cell culture and experimental infection in natural hosts, we demonstrated that this substitution confers attenuation in vertebrate hosts and increased transmissibility by mosquitoes. Biochemical assays demonstrated temperature-sensitive ATPase activity consistent with host-specific phenotypes. Together these data confirm the maintenance of host-specific minority variants in arbovirus mutant swarms, suggest a unique role for NS3 in viral fitness, and demonstrate that intrahost sequence data can inform mechanisms of host-specific adaptation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haley S. Caldwell
- The Arbovirus Laboratory, Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Slingerlands, NY 12159, USA
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, State University of New York at Albany, School of Public Health, Rensselaer, NY 12144, USA
| | - Lili Kuo
- The Arbovirus Laboratory, Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Slingerlands, NY 12159, USA
| | - Janice D. Pata
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, State University of New York at Albany, School of Public Health, Rensselaer, NY 12144, USA
- Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Albany, NY 12208, USA
| | - Alan P. Dupuis
- The Arbovirus Laboratory, Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Slingerlands, NY 12159, USA
| | - Jamie J. Arnold
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA
| | - Calvin Yeager
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA
| | - Jessica Stout
- The Arbovirus Laboratory, Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Slingerlands, NY 12159, USA
| | - Cheri A. Koetzner
- The Arbovirus Laboratory, Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Slingerlands, NY 12159, USA
| | - Anne F. Payne
- The Arbovirus Laboratory, Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Slingerlands, NY 12159, USA
| | - Sean M. Bialosuknia
- The Arbovirus Laboratory, Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Slingerlands, NY 12159, USA
| | - Elyse M. Banker
- The Arbovirus Laboratory, Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Slingerlands, NY 12159, USA
| | - Taylor A. Nolen
- The Arbovirus Laboratory, Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Slingerlands, NY 12159, USA
| | - Craig E. Cameron
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA
| | - Alexander T. Ciota
- The Arbovirus Laboratory, Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Slingerlands, NY 12159, USA
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, State University of New York at Albany, School of Public Health, Rensselaer, NY 12144, USA
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Jara M, Frias-De-Diego A, Machado G. Phylogeography of Equine Infectious Anemia Virus. Front Ecol Evol 2020. [DOI: 10.3389/fevo.2020.00127] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
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Tsai JJ, Lin PC, Tsai CY, Wang YH, Liu LT. Low frequency of asymptomatic dengue virus-infected donors in blood donor centers during the largest dengue outbreak in Taiwan. PLoS One 2018; 13:e0205248. [PMID: 30296301 PMCID: PMC6175512 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0205248] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2018] [Accepted: 09/23/2018] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
To determine the prevalence of asymptomatic dengue virus-infected blood donors during the largest dengue outbreak in Taiwan history occurred in 2015, we examined the evidence of dengue virus (DENV) infection by the detection of DENV RNA genome using real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (real-time RT-PCR), DENV NS1 antigen using rapid diagnosis test (RDT) and anti-dengue antibody using IgM/IgG capture enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (capture ELISA) and RDT in eight thousand serum samples from blood donations to the blood centers of the Taiwan Blood Services Foundation (TBSF) in Kaohsiung City and Tainan City during the largest dengue outbreak in Taiwan history occurred in 2015. Only one serum sample was positive for DENV RNA detection by using dengue-specific real-time RT-PCR, the virus was DENV-2 determined by serotype-specific real-time RT-PCR and sequencing, and the DENVs in the serum were confirmed as being infectious by a plaque assay. The recipient of this blood did not develop any dengue fever symptom on follow-up. None of the samples was NS1 RDT-reactive. Seventeen IgM-positive samples were identified. There was a low prevalence of asymptomatic confirmed or probable DENV-infected blood donors in our study (0.013% and 0.21%, respectively), and no symptomatic transfusion-transmitted dengue (TT dengue) was developed during the largest dengue outbreak in Taiwan history in highly endemic areas and periods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jih-Jin Tsai
- Center for Dengue Fever Control and Research, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
- Tropical Medicine Center, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
| | - Ping-Chang Lin
- Center for Dengue Fever Control and Research, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
- Tropical Medicine Center, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
| | - Ching-Yi Tsai
- Center for Dengue Fever Control and Research, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
- Tropical Medicine Center, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
| | - Ying-Hui Wang
- Center for Dengue Fever Control and Research, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
- Tropical Medicine Center, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
| | - Li-Teh Liu
- Center for Dengue Fever Control and Research, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
- Department of Medical Laboratory Science and Biotechnology, College of Medical Technology, Chung-Hwa University of Medical Technology, Tainan City, Taiwan
- * E-mail:
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4
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Large-Scale Complete-Genome Sequencing and Phylodynamic Analysis of Eastern Equine Encephalitis Virus Reveals Source-Sink Transmission Dynamics in the United States. J Virol 2018; 92:JVI.00074-18. [PMID: 29618651 DOI: 10.1128/jvi.00074-18] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/12/2018] [Accepted: 03/30/2018] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Eastern equine encephalitis virus (EEEV) has a high case-fatality rate in horses and humans, and Florida has been hypothesized to be the source of EEEV epidemics for the northeastern United States. To test this hypothesis, we sequenced complete genomes of 433 EEEV strains collected within the United States from 1934 to 2014. Phylogenetic analysis suggested EEEV evolves relatively slowly and that transmission is enzootic in Florida, characterized by higher genetic diversity and long-term local persistence. In contrast, EEEV strains in New York and Massachusetts were characterized by lower genetic diversity, multiple introductions, and shorter local persistence. Our phylogeographic analysis supported a source-sink model in which Florida is the major source of EEEV compared to the other localities sampled. In sum, this study revealed the complex epidemiological dynamics of EEEV in different geographic regions in the United States and provided general insights into the evolution and transmission of other avian mosquito-borne viruses in this region.IMPORTANCE Eastern equine encephalitis virus (EEEV) infections are severe in horses and humans on the east coast of the United States with a >90% mortality rate in horses, an ∼33% mortality rate in humans, and significant brain damage in most human survivors. However, little is known about the evolutionary characteristics of EEEV due to the lack of genome sequences. By generating large collection of publicly available complete genome sequences, this study comprehensively determined the evolution of the virus, described the epidemiological dynamics of EEEV in different states in the United States, and identified Florida as one of the major sources. These results may have important implications for the control and prevention of other mosquito-borne viruses in the Americas.
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Nyaga MM, Tan Y, Seheri ML, Halpin RA, Akopov A, Stucker KM, Fedorova NB, Shrivastava S, Duncan Steele A, Mwenda JM, Pickett BE, Das SR, Jeffrey Mphahlele M. Whole-genome sequencing and analyses identify high genetic heterogeneity, diversity and endemicity of rotavirus genotype P[6] strains circulating in Africa. INFECTION GENETICS AND EVOLUTION 2018; 63:79-88. [PMID: 29782933 DOI: 10.1016/j.meegid.2018.05.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/31/2017] [Revised: 05/15/2018] [Accepted: 05/16/2018] [Indexed: 10/16/2022]
Abstract
Rotavirus A (RVA) exhibits a wide genotype diversity globally. Little is known about the genetic composition of genotype P[6] from Africa. This study investigated possible evolutionary mechanisms leading to genetic diversity of genotype P[6] VP4 sequences. Phylogenetic analyses on 167 P[6] VP4 full-length sequences were conducted, which included six porcine-origin sequences. Of the 167 sequences, 57 were newly acquired through whole genome sequencing as part of this study. The other 110 sequences were all publicly-available global P[6] VP4 full-length sequences downloaded from GenBank. The strength of association between the phenotypic features and the phylogeny was also determined. A number of reassortment and mixed infections of RVA genotype P[6] strains were observed in this study. Phylogenetic analyses demostrated the extensive genetic diversity that exists among human P[6] strains, porcine-like strains, their concomitant clades/subclades and estimated that P[6] VP4 gene has a higher substitution rate with the mean of 1.05E-3 substitutions/site/year. Further, the phylogenetic analyses indicated that genotype P[6] strains were endemic in Africa, characterised by an extensive genetic diversity and long-time local evolution of the viruses. This was also supported by phylogeographic clustering and G-genotype clustering of the P[6] strains when Bayesian Tip-association Significance testing (BaTS) was applied, clearly supporting that the viruses evolved locally in Africa instead of spatial mixing among different regions. Overall, the results demonstrated that multiple mechanisms such as reassortment events, various mutations and possibly interspecies transmission account for the enormous diversity of genotype P[6] strains in Africa. These findings highlight the need for continued global surveillance of rotavirus diversity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Martin M Nyaga
- South African Medical Research Council/Diarrhoeal Pathogens Research Unit, Faculty of Health Sciences, Sefako Makgatho Health Sciences University, Medunsa, Pretoria, South Africa; Next Generation Sequencing Unit, Department of Medical Virology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Free State, Bloemfontein, South Africa
| | - Yi Tan
- Infectious Diseases Group, J. Craig Venter Institute, Rockville, MD, USA; Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Mapaseka L Seheri
- South African Medical Research Council/Diarrhoeal Pathogens Research Unit, Faculty of Health Sciences, Sefako Makgatho Health Sciences University, Medunsa, Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Rebecca A Halpin
- Infectious Diseases Group, J. Craig Venter Institute, Rockville, MD, USA
| | - Asmik Akopov
- Infectious Diseases Group, J. Craig Venter Institute, Rockville, MD, USA
| | - Karla M Stucker
- Infectious Diseases Group, J. Craig Venter Institute, Rockville, MD, USA
| | - Nadia B Fedorova
- Infectious Diseases Group, J. Craig Venter Institute, Rockville, MD, USA
| | | | - A Duncan Steele
- South African Medical Research Council/Diarrhoeal Pathogens Research Unit, Faculty of Health Sciences, Sefako Makgatho Health Sciences University, Medunsa, Pretoria, South Africa; Enteric and Diarrhoeal Diseases Programme, Global Health Program, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Jason M Mwenda
- World Health Organization, Regional Office for Africa, Brazzaville, People's Republic of Congo
| | - Brett E Pickett
- Infectious Diseases Group, J. Craig Venter Institute, Rockville, MD, USA
| | - Suman R Das
- Infectious Diseases Group, J. Craig Venter Institute, Rockville, MD, USA; Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - M Jeffrey Mphahlele
- South African Medical Research Council/Diarrhoeal Pathogens Research Unit, Faculty of Health Sciences, Sefako Makgatho Health Sciences University, Medunsa, Pretoria, South Africa.
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Complexity of Neutralizing Antibodies against Multiple Dengue Virus Serotypes after Heterotypic Immunization and Secondary Infection Revealed by In-Depth Analysis of Cross-Reactive Antibodies. J Virol 2015; 89:7348-62. [PMID: 25972550 DOI: 10.1128/jvi.00273-15] [Citation(s) in RCA: 55] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
UNLABELLED The four serotypes of dengue virus (DENV) cause the most important and rapidly emerging arboviral diseases in humans. The recent phase 2b and 3 studies of a tetravalent dengue vaccine reported a moderate efficacy despite the presence of neutralizing antibodies, highlighting the need for a better understanding of neutralizing antibodies in polyclonal human sera. Certain type-specific (TS) antibodies were recently discovered to account for the monotypic neutralizing activity and protection after primary DENV infection. The nature of neutralizing antibodies after secondary DENV infection remains largely unknown. In this study, we examined sera from 10 vaccinees with well-documented exposure to first and second DENV serotypes through heterotypic immunization with live-attenuated vaccines. Higher serum IgG avidities to both exposed and nonexposed serotypes were found after secondary immunization than after primary immunization. Using a two-step depletion protocol to remove different anti-envelope antibodies, including group-reactive (GR) and complex-reactive (CR) antibodies separately, we found GR and CR antibodies together contributed to more than 50% of neutralizing activities against multiple serotypes after secondary immunization. Similar findings were demonstrated in patients after secondary infection. Anti-envelope antibodies recognizing previously exposed serotypes consisted of a large proportion of GR antibodies, CR antibodies, and a small proportion of TS antibodies, whereas those recognizing nonexposed serotypes consisted of GRand CR antibodies. These findings have implications for sequential heterotypic immunization or primary immunization of DENV-primed individuals as alternative strategies for DENV vaccination. The complexity of neutralizing antibodies after secondary infection provides new insights into the difficulty of their application as surrogates of protection. IMPORTANCE The four serotypes of dengue virus (DENV) are the leading cause of arboviral diseases in humans. Despite the presence of neutralizing antibodies, a moderate efficacy was recently reported in phase 2b and 3 trials of a dengue vaccine; a better understanding of neutralizing antibodies in polyclonal human sera is urgently needed.We studied vaccinees who received heterotypic immunization of live-attenuated vaccines, as they were known to have received the first and second DENV serotype exposures.We found anti-envelope antibodies consist of group-reactive (GR), complex-reactive (CR), and type-specific (TS) antibodies, and that both GR and CR antibodies contribute significantly to multitypic neutralizing activities after secondary DENV immunization. These findings have implications for alternative strategies for DENV vaccination. Certain TS antibodies were recently discovered to contribute to the monotypic neutralizing activity and protection after primary DENV infection; our findings of the complexity of neutralizing activities after secondary immunization/infection provide new insights for neutralizing antibodies as surrogates of protection.
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Large Dengue virus type 1 outbreak in Taiwan. Emerg Microbes Infect 2015; 4:e46. [PMID: 26421269 PMCID: PMC4576165 DOI: 10.1038/emi.2015.46] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2015] [Revised: 06/05/2015] [Accepted: 06/08/2015] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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de Bruycker-Nogueira F, Nogueira RMR, Faria NRDC, Simões JBS, Nunes PCG, de Filippis AMB, dos Santos FB. Insights of the genetic diversity of DENV-1 detected in Brazil in 25 years: Analysis of the envelope domain III allows lineages characterization. INFECTION GENETICS AND EVOLUTION 2015; 34:126-36. [PMID: 26160541 DOI: 10.1016/j.meegid.2015.07.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2015] [Revised: 07/03/2015] [Accepted: 07/04/2015] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Abstract
Dengue virus type 1 (DENV-1) was first isolated in Brazil in 1986 in the state of Rio de Janeiro (RJ) and during 25years, this serotype emerged and re-emerged causing explosive epidemics in the country. Here, we aimed to present the phylogeny and molecular characterization based on the envelope gene (E) of DENV-1 (n=48) isolated during epidemics occurred from 1986 to 2011. Six full coding region genomes of DENV-1 were fully sequenced and possible genomic recombination events were analyzed. The results showed that the Brazilian DENV-1 isolates analyzed belong to genotype V (Americas/Africa), but grouping into distinct clades. Three groups were identified, one dating from 1986 to 2002 (lineage 1a), a second group isolated from 2009 to 2011 and a representative strain isolated in 2002 (lineage 2), and a group of strains isolated from 2010 to 2011 (lineage 1b). The lineages 1a and 1b were more closely related to the American strains, while lineage 2 to the Asian strains. Amino acids (aa) substitutions were observed in the domains I and III of the E protein and were associated to the lineages segregation. A substitution on E297 differentiated the lineage 1a from the lineages 1b and 2. Substitutions on E338, E394 (domain III), E428 and E436 (stem region) differentiated lineages 1a, 1b and 2. With the exception of the C gene, all the others genes analyzed allowed the DENV-1 classification into the distinct genotypes. Interestingly, the E gene's domain III and stem regions alone were able to characterize the distinct lineages, as observed by the analysis of the entire E gene and the complete coding region. No recombinant events were detected, but a strain belonging to lineage 1a was closely related to a known recombinant strain (AF513110/BR/2001).
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Rita Maria Ribeiro Nogueira
- Laboratory of Flavivirus, Oswaldo Cruz Institute-FIOCRUZ, Av. Brasil 4365, 21045-900 Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
| | | | | | | | - Ana Maria Bispo de Filippis
- Laboratory of Flavivirus, Oswaldo Cruz Institute-FIOCRUZ, Av. Brasil 4365, 21045-900 Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
| | - Flávia Barreto dos Santos
- Laboratory of Flavivirus, Oswaldo Cruz Institute-FIOCRUZ, Av. Brasil 4365, 21045-900 Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.
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Wu B, Shang X, Schubert J, Habekuß A, Elena SF, Wang X. Global-scale computational analysis of genomic sequences reveals the recombination pattern and coevolution dynamics of cereal-infecting geminiviruses. Sci Rep 2015; 5:8153. [PMID: 25633348 PMCID: PMC4311259 DOI: 10.1038/srep08153] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/04/2014] [Accepted: 12/24/2014] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Genetic diversity and recombination patterns were evaluated for 229 isolates of Wheat dwarf virus (WDV), which are important cereal-infecting geminiviruses. Recombination hot spots were concentrated at the boundary of the genes encoding for the replication protein (Rep), the coat protein (cp) and the movement protein (mp), as well as inside Rep and cp and in the short intergenic regions (SIR). Phylogenomic analyses confirmed that the global population of WDV clustered into two groups according to their specific host: wheat and barley, and the crucial regions for the division of two groups were mp and the large intergenic regions (LIR). The computationally inferred pattern of coevolution between amino acid residues and the predicted 3D structure for the viral proteins provided further differences among the strains or species at the genome and protein level. Pervasive interaction between Rep and Rep A proteins in WDV-wheat-specific group reflected their important and complex function in the replication and transcription of WDV. Furthermore, significant predicted interactions between CP and Rep and CP and Rep A proteins in the WDV-wheat-specific group are thought to be crucial for successful encapsidation and movement of the virus during infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Beilei Wu
- State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100193, China
| | - Xiaonan Shang
- State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100193, China
| | - Jörg Schubert
- Institute for Biosafety in Plant Biotechnology, Federal Research Institute for Cultivated Plants, Julius Kuehn Institute, Erwin-Baur-Straβe 27, 06484, Quedlinburg, Germany
| | - Antje Habekuß
- Institute for Resistance Research and Stress Tolerance, Federal Research Institute for Cultivated Plants, Julius Kuehn Institute, Erwin-Baur-Straβe 27, 06484, Quedlinburg, Germany
| | - Santiago F. Elena
- Instituto de Biología Molecular y Celular de Plantas (CSIC-UPV), Campus UPV CPI 8E, Ingeniero Fausto Elio s/n, 46022 València, Spain
- The Santa Fe Institute, 1399 Hyde Park Road, Santa Fe NM87501, USA
| | - Xifeng Wang
- State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100193, China
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Abstract
Host immunity is a major driver of pathogen evolution and thus a major determinant of pathogen diversity. Explanations for pathogen diversity traditionally assume simple interactions between pathogens and the immune system, a view encapsulated by the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model. However, there is growing evidence that the complexity of many host-pathogen interactions is dynamically important. This revised perspective requires broadening the definition of a pathogen's immunological phenotype, or what can be thought of as its immunological niche. After reviewing evidence that interactions between pathogens and host immunity drive much of pathogen evolution, I introduce the concept of a pathogen's immunological phenotype. Models that depart from the SIR paradigm demonstrate the utility of this perspective and show that it is particularly useful in understanding vaccine-induced evolution. This paper highlights questions in immunology, evolution, and ecology that must be answered to advance theories of pathogen diversity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sarah Cobey
- Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois
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Beard R, Magee D, Suchard MA, Lemey P, Scotch M. Generalized linear models for identifying predictors of the evolutionary diffusion of viruses. AMIA JOINT SUMMITS ON TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE PROCEEDINGS. AMIA JOINT SUMMITS ON TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE 2014; 2014:23-8. [PMID: 25717395 PMCID: PMC4333690] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
Bioinformatics and phylogeography models use viral sequence data to analyze spread of epidemics and pandemics. However, few of these models have included analytical methods for testing whether certain predictors such as population density, rates of disease migration, and climate are drivers of spatial spread. Understanding the specific factors that drive spatial diffusion of viruses is critical for targeting public health interventions and curbing spread. In this paper we describe the application and evaluation of a model that integrates demographic and environmental predictors with molecular sequence data. The approach parameterizes evolutionary spread of RNA viruses as a generalized linear model (GLM) within a Bayesian inference framework using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). We evaluate this approach by reconstructing the spread of H5N1 in Egypt while assessing the impact of individual predictors on evolutionary diffusion of the virus.
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