Epidemiology of CKD Regression in Patients under Nephrology Care

Projecting the Population Level Burden of CKD Progression According to Urine Albumin-to-Creatinine Ratio Categories

Introduction

Urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) is an independent predictor of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. However there is limited evidence on the burden of CKD according to uACR categories at the population level. This study estimates future clinical and financial burden of CKD according to uACR categories using the Inside CKD microsimulation.

Methods

The Inside CKD model is an individual patient level microsimulation that emulates national populations based on demographic, epidemiological, and economic data. The analysis estimates clinical and economic outcomes over time according to the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) uACR categories (A1-A3) at a population level for 31 countries and regions.

Results

CKD populations (diagnosed and undiagnosed individuals, stages G3-G5) were projected to be predominantly within uACR categories A1 and A2 in 2022. Projected cumulative incidence of CKD stage transitions (disease progression) and cardio-renal complications (heart failure, myocardial infarction, stroke, and all-cause mortality) occurred mostly in uACR categories A1 and A2 between 2022 and 2027. Patients in uACR categories A1 and A2, who represent the largest proportion of patients with CKD, were projected to incur most of the health care costs associated with CKD management and cardio-renal complications for the diagnosed population (prevalence 2027).

Conclusion

This study highlights the disproportionate population-level clinical and economic burden associated with individuals within KDIGO uACR categories A1 and A2, who represent most of the CKD population. This awareness will help health care decision makers to appropriately allocate resources and interventions to the CKD population, including those with mild to moderately increased albuminuria, to reduce clinical and economic burden associated with CKD.

Omics Studies in CKD: Diagnostic Opportunities and Therapeutic Potential

Omics technologies have significantly advanced the prediction and therapeutic approaches for chronic kidney disease (CKD) by providing comprehensive molecular insights. This is a review of the current state and future prospects of integrating biomarkers into the clinical practice for CKD, aiming to improve patient outcomes by targeted therapeutic interventions. In fact, the integration of genomic, transcriptomic, proteomic, and metabolomic data has enhanced our understanding of CKD pathogenesis and identified novel biomarkers for an early diagnosis and targeted treatment. Advanced computational methods and artificial intelligence (AI) have further refined multi-omics data analysis, leading to more accurate prediction models for disease progression and therapeutic responses. These developments highlight the potential to improve CKD patient care with a precise and individualized treatment plan .

A comparison of the epidemiology of kidney replacement therapy between Europe and the United States: 2021 data of the ERA Registry and the USRDS

BACKGROUND

This paper compares the most recent data on the incidence and prevalence of kidney replacement therapy (KRT), kidney transplantation rates, and mortality on KRT from Europe to those from the United States (US), including comparisons of treatment modalities (haemodialysis (HD), peritoneal dialysis (PD), and kidney transplantation (KTx)).

METHODS

Data were derived from the annual reports of the European Renal Association (ERA) Registry and the United States Renal Data System (USRDS). The European data include information from national and regional renal registries providing the ERA Registry with individual patient data. Additional analyses were performed to present results for all participating European countries together.

RESULTS

In 2021, the KRT incidence in the US (409.7 per million population (pmp)) was almost 3-fold higher than in Europe (144.4 pmp). Despite the substantial difference in KRT incidence, approximately the same proportion of patients initiated HD (Europe: 82%, US: 84%), PD (14%; 13%, respectively), or underwent pre-emptive KTx (4%; 3%, respectively). The KRT prevalence in the US (2436.1 pmp) was 2-fold higher than in Europe (1187.8 pmp). Within Europe, approximately half of all prevalent patients were living with a functioning graft (47%), while in the US, this was one third (32%). The number of kidney transplantations performed was almost twice as high in the US (77.0 pmp) compared to Europe (41.6 pmp). The mortality of patients receiving KRT was 1.6-fold higher in the US (157.3 per 1000 patient years) compared to Europe (98.7 per 1000 patient years).

CONCLUSIONS

The US had a much higher KRT incidence, prevalence, and mortality compared to Europe, and despite a higher kidney transplantation rate, a lower proportion of prevalent patients with a functioning graft.

Secular Trend in GFR Decline in Non-Dialysis CKD Based on Observational Data From Standard of Care Arms of Trials

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

The standard of care (SoC) group of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) is a useful setting to explore the secular trends in kidney disease progression because implementation of best clinical practices is pursued for all patients enrolled in trials. This meta-analysis evaluated the secular trend in the change of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) decline in the SoC arm of RCTs in chronic kidney disease (CKD) published in the last 30 years.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis of the SoC arms of RCTs analyzed as an observational study.

SETTING & STUDY POPULATIONS

Adult patients with CKD enrolled in the SoC arm of RCTs.

SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES

Phase 3 RCTs evaluating GFR decline as an outcome in SoC arms.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two independent reviewers evaluated RCTs for eligibility and extracted relevant data.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

The mean of GFR declines extracted in the SoC arm of selected RCTs were pooled by using a random effects model. Meta-regression analyses were performed to identify factors that may explain heterogeneity.

RESULTS

The SoC arms from 92 RCTs were included in the meta-analysis with a total of 32,202 patients. The overall mean GFR decline was-4.00 (95% CI, -4.55 to-3.44) mL/min/1.73m2 per year in the SoC arms with a high level of heterogeneity (I2, 98.4% [95% CI, 98.2-98.5], P<0.001). Meta-regression analysis showed an association between publication year (β estimate, 0.09 [95% CI, 0.032-0.148], P=0.003) and reduction in GFR over time. When evaluating publication decade categorically, GFR decline was-5.44 (95% CI, -7.15 to-3.73), -3.92 (95% CI, -4.82 to-3.02), and -3.20 (95% CI, -3.75 to -2.64) mL/min/1.73m2 per year during 1991-2000, 2001-2010, and 2011-2023, respectively. Using meta-regression, the heterogeneity of GFR decline was mainly explained by age and proteinuria.

LIMITATIONS

Different methods assessing GFR in selected trials and observational design of the study.

CONCLUSIONS

In the last 3 decades, GFR decline has decreased over time in patients enrolled in RCTs who received the standard of care.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Registered at PROSPERO with record number CRD42022357704.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

This study evaluated the secular trend in the change in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) decline in the placebo arms of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that were studying approaches to protect the kidneys in the setting of chronic kidney disease. The placebo groups of RCTs are useful for examining whether the rate of progression of kidney disease has changed over time. We found an improvement in the slope of change in GFR over time. These findings suggest that adherence to standards of kidney care as implemented in clinical trials may be associated with improved clinical outcomes, and these data may inform the design of future RCTs in nephrology.

Trajectories of kidney function and risk of mortality

BACKGROUND

We aimed to identify patterns within the rate of kidney function decline, determinants of these patterns and their association with all-cause mortality risk in the general population.

METHODS

Participants aged ≥ 45 years with at least one assessment of creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) taken between 1997 and 2018 were selected from a population-based cohort study. Analyses were performed using several distinct latent class trajectory modelling methods. Cumulative incidences were calculated with 45 years of age as the starting point.

RESULTS

In 12 062 participants (85 922 eGFR assessments, mean age 67.0 years, 58.7% women, median follow-up 9.6 years), four trajectories of eGFR change with age were identified: slow eGFR decline [rate of change in mL/min/1.73 m2 per year (RC), -0.9; 95% CI, -0.9 to -0.9; reference group], intermediate eGFR decline (RC, -2.5; 95% CI, -2.7 to -2.5) and fast eGFR decline (RC, -4.3; 95% CI, -4.4 to -4.1), and an increase/stable eGFR (RC, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.3 to 0.4). Women were more likely to have an increase/stable eGFR [odds ratio (OR), 1.94; 95% CI, 1.53 to 2.46] whereas men were more likely to have a fast eGFR decline (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.33 to 2.60). Participants with diabetes, cardiovascular disease (CVD) or hypertension were more likely to have an intermediate or fast eGFR decline. All-cause mortality risks (cumulative incidence at age of 70 years) were 32.3% (95% CI, 21.4 to 47.9, slow eGFR decline), 6.7% (95% CI, 3.5 to 12.4, intermediate eGFR decline), 68.8% (95% CI, 44.4 to 87.8, fast eGFR decline) and 9.5% (95% CI, 5.5 to 15.7, increase/stable eGFR).

CONCLUSION

Sex, hypertension, diabetes and CVD were identified as trajectory membership determinants. Having fast eGFR decline was associated with the highest risk of all-cause mortality, highlighting the need for extensive monitoring and prevention of kidney function decline in individuals at risk of having fast eGFR decline.

Sustained Recovery of Kidney Function in Patients with ESKD under Chronic Dialysis Treatment: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

The prevalence of recovery of kidney function (RKF) in patients under maintenance dialysis is poorly defined mainly because of different definitions of RKF. Therefore, to gain more insights into the epidemiology of RKF, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies addressing the prevalence of sustained (at least for 30 days) RKF in patients under maintenance dialysis. Acute kidney injury (AKI) and RKF in the first 90 days of dialysis were the main exclusion criteria. Overall, 7 studies (10 cohorts) including 2,444,943 chronic dialysis patients (range: 430-1,900,595 patients) were meta-analyzed. The period of observation ranged from 4 to 43 years. The prevalence of RKF was 1.49% (95% C.I.:1.05-2.11; p < 0.001] with high heterogeneity I2: 99.8%, p < 0.001. The weighted mean dialysis vintage before RKF was 294 ± 165 days; RKF persisted for a weighted mean of 27.5 months. The percentage of RKF was higher in studies from the U.S. (1.96% [95% C.I.: 1.24-3.07]) as compared to other countries (1.04% [95%C.I.: 0.66-1.62]; p = 0.049). In conclusion, sustained RKF unrelated to AKI occurs in about 1.5% of patients under maintenance dialysis. On average, RKF patients discontinue chronic dialysis about ten months after starting treatment and live free of dialysis for more than two years. The higher prevalence of RKF reported in the U.S. versus other countries suggests a major role of country-specific policies for dialysis start.

Defining improvement in chronic kidney disease: regression and remission

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

International definitions exist for chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression and kidney failure but despite evidence that kidney function may improve, there are no agreed definitions for regression and remission of CKD. In the light of recent novel kidney protective therapies and the promise of regenerative medicine to reverse kidney damage, it is time to critically examine these neglected aspects of CKD epidemiology.

RECENT FINDINGS

We propose that CKD regression is viewed as a process of improvement defined as a sustained increase in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) by ≥25% and an improvement in GFR category or increase in GFR of 1≥ml/min/year, whereas remission is considered a category of improvement defined as GFR ≥60 ml/min/1.73m 2 and urine albumin to creatinine ratio &lt;30 mg/g. Several recent studies have reported improvement in kidney function in populations with CKD, even in the absence of specific therapy. Regression and remission of CKD are associated with increased likelihood of sustained improvement in kidney function as well as improved survival.

SUMMARY

Further research is warranted to validate the proposed definitions and investigate associated mechanisms. We look to a future in which the goal of therapy is not merely to slow CKD progression but to improve kidney function and seek a cure.

Association of Albuminuria and Regression of Chronic Kidney Disease in Adults With Newly Diagnosed Moderate to Severe Chronic Kidney Disease

IMPORTANCE

People with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are risk-stratified for adverse events based on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria level. CKD has often a favorable course (CKD regression) regardless of eGFR. Determining whether lower albuminuria is associated with CKD regression may have implications on CKD management.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the 5-year probability of CKD regression across albuminuria categories accounting for the competing risks of CKD progression and death in people with newly diagnosed CKD and the association between albuminuria level and CKD regression.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This population-based cohort study used administrative and laboratory data from Alberta, Canada, for adults with incident moderate to severe CKD (defined as sustained eGFR of 15-44 mL/min/1.73 m2 for >90 days), between April 1, 2008, and March 31, 2017, and albuminuria measures before cohort entry. Data analysis occurred in January to June 2022.

EXPOSURE

Albuminuria categories were defined by albumin to creatinine ratios (ACRs): A1 (ACR, <3 mg/mmol), A2 (ACR, 3-29 mg/mmol), A3<60 (ACR, 30-59 mg/mmol), and A3≥60 (ACR, ≥60 mg/mmol).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The main outcome was time to the earliest of CKD regression or progression (sustained change in CKD stage for >3 months and ≥25% increase or decrease in eGFR from baseline or kidney failure, respectively), death, or censoring (outmigration or study end date: March 31, 2019). Cumulative incidence functions were used to estimate absolute risks, and cause-specific Cox models were used to assess the association between albuminuria and CKD regression, accounting for age, sex, eGFR, comorbidities, and health services use indicators.

RESULTS

Of 58 004 people with moderate to severe CKD (mean [SD] age, 77 [12] years; 31 725 [55%] women), 35 360 had A1 albuminuria (61%), 15 597 had A2 albuminuria (27%), 1527 had A3<60 albuminuria (3%), and 5520 had A3≥60 albuminuria (10%). Five-year probability of regression was highest with A1 (22.6%), followed by A2 (16.5%), and A3<60 (11.6%) and lowest with A3≥60 (5.3%). Using A1 albuminuria as the reference group, the hazard of regression was highest for A2 (hazard ratio [HR], 0.75; 95% CI, 0.72-0.79), then A3<60 (HR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.40-0.54), and lowest for A3≥60 (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.24-0.30).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study of people with moderate to severe CKD, albuminuria levels were inversely associated with CKD regression. These findings extend the key prognostic role of albuminuria, offering novel opportunities to discuss both favorable and adverse outcomes in people with CKD and inform CKD management.

No additional benefit of prescribing a very low-protein diet in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease under regular nephrology care: a pragmatic, randomized, controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Whether a very low-protein diet supplemented with ketoanalogues (sVLPD), compared with a standard low-protein diet (LPD), improves outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) under stable nephrology care is undefined.

OBJECTIVES

To compare the effectiveness of sVLPD compared with LPD in patients regularly seen in tertiary nephrology care.

METHODS

Participants were patients with CKD stages 4-5, followed for at least 6 mo, randomly allocated to receive sVLPD or LPD [0.35 or 0.60 g/kg ideal body weight (IBW)/d, respectively], stratified by center and CKD stage. The primary outcome was time to renal death, defined as the first event between end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and all-cause mortality; secondary outcomes were the single components of the primary outcome, cardiovascular outcome, and nutritional status.

RESULTS

We analyzed 223 patients (sVLPD, n = 107; LPD, n = 116). Mean age was 64 y, 61% were male, and 35% had diabetes. Median protein intake (PI), which was 0.8 g/kg IBW/d at baseline in both groups, was 0.83 and 0.60 g/kg IBW/d in LPD and sVLPD, respectively, during the trial with a large decrease only in sVLPD (P = 0.011). During a median of 74.2 mo, we recorded 180 renal deaths (141 dialysis and 39 deaths before dialysis). Risk of renal death did not differ in sVLPD compared with LPD (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 0.88, 1.57; P = 0.28). No difference was observed for ESRD (HR: 1.12; 95% CI: 0.81, 1.56; P = 0.51), mortality (HR: 0.95; 95% CI: 0.62, 1.45; P = 0.82), or time to fatal/nonfatal cardiovascular events (P = 0.2, log-rank test). After 36 mo, still active patients were 45 in sVLPD and 56 in LPD. No change of nutritional status emerged during the study in any arm.

CONCLUSIONS

This long-term pragmatic trial found that in patients with CKD under stable nephrology care, adherence to protein restriction is low. Prescribing sVLPD compared with standard LPD is safe but does not provide additional advantage to the kidney or patient survival.

OMICS in Chronic Kidney Disease: Focus on Prognosis and Prediction

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients are characterized by a high residual risk for cardiovascular (CV) events and CKD progression. This has prompted the implementation of new prognostic and predictive biomarkers with the aim of mitigating this risk. The ‘omics’ techniques, namely genomics, proteomics, metabolomics, and transcriptomics, are excellent candidates to provide a better understanding of pathophysiologic mechanisms of disease in CKD, to improve risk stratification of patients with respect to future cardiovascular events, and to identify CKD patients who are likely to respond to a treatment. Following such a strategy, a reliable risk of future events for a particular patient may be calculated and consequently the patient would also benefit from the best available treatment based on their risk profile. Moreover, a further step forward can be represented by the aggregation of multiple omics information by combining different techniques and/or different biological samples. This has already been shown to yield additional information by revealing with more accuracy the exact individual pathway of disease.

Prediction of non-responsiveness to pre-dialysis care program in patients with chronic kidney disease: a retrospective cohort analysis

The responsiveness of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) to nephrologists’ care is unpredictable. We defined the longitudinal stages (LSs) 1–5 of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) by group-based trajectory modeling for repeated eGFR measurements of 7135 patients with CKD aged 20–90 years from a 13-year pre-end-stage renal disease (ESRD) care registry. Patients were considered nonresponsive to the pre-dialysis care if they had a more advanced eGFR LS compared with the baseline. Conversely, those with improved or stable eGFR LS were considered responsive. The proportion of patients with CKD stage progression increased with the increase in the baseline CKD stage (stages 1–2: 29.2%; stage 4: 45.8%). The adjusted times to ESRD and all-cause mortality in patients with eGFR LS-5 were 92% (95% confidence interval [CI] 86–96%) and 57% (95% CI 48–65%) shorter, respectively, than in patients with eGFR LS-3A. Among patients with baseline CKD stages 3 and 4, the adjusted times to ESRD and all-cause death in the nonresponsive patients were 39% (95% CI 33–44%) and 20% (95% CI 14–26%) shorter, respectively, than in the responsive patients. Our proposed Renal Care Responsiveness Prediction (RCRP) model performed significantly better than the conventional Kidney Failure Risk Equation in discrimination, calibration, and net benefit according to decision curve analysis. Non-responsiveness to nephrologists’ care is associated with rapid progression to ESRD and all-cause mortality. The RCRP model improves early identification of responsiveness based on variables collected during enrollment in a pre-ESRD program. Urgent attention should be given to characterize the underlying heterogeneous responsiveness to pre-dialysis care.

Progression and Regression of Chronic Kidney Disease by Age Among Adults in a Population-Based Cohort in Alberta, Canada

IMPORTANCE

The burden of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is expected to increase worldwide as the global population ages, potentially increasing the demand for nephrology services. Understanding whether CKD inevitably progresses or may regress can inform clinical decision-making and health policy.

OBJECTIVE

To study CKD progression and regression by age in adults with CKD.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This population-based cohort study used linked administrative and laboratory data to assess adults in the province of Alberta, Canada, with incident mild, moderate, or severe CKD, defined by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 45 to 59, 30 to 44, or 15 to 29 mL/min/1.73 m2 for longer than 3 months, from April 1, 2009, to March 31, 2015. Data were analyzed from July 20 to November 30, 2020.

EXPOSURES

Age.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Time to the earliest of CKD regression or progression (defined as sustained increase or drop in eGFR category for >3 months, respectively, and a ≥25% increase or decrease in eGFR from baseline, respectively), kidney failure (the earlier of kidney replacement initiation or eGFR <15 mL/min/1.73 m2 for >3 months), death, or censoring (outmigration, 5 years of follow-up, or end of study on March 31, 2017).

RESULTS

Study participants with CKD (55.2% women and 44.8% men) included 81 320 with mild CKD (mean [SD] age, 72.4 [11.3] years), 35 929 with moderate CKD (mean [SD] age, 77.1 [11.5] years), and 12 237 with severe CKD (mean [SD] age, 76.6 [13.8] years). The annual incidence of CKD increased with advancing age, from 180 per 100 000 population younger than 65 years to 7250 per 100 000 in those 85 years or older. After cohort entry, the 5-year probability of regression was similar to that of progression or kidney failure in mild (14.3% vs 14.6%), moderate (18.9% vs 16.5%), and severe (19.3% vs 20.4%) CKD. As mortality at 5 years increased with advancing age in moderate (from 9.6% for age <65 years to 48.4% for age ≥85 years) and severe (from 10.8% for age <65 years to 60.2% for age ≥85 years) CKD, the risk of progression or kidney failure decreased substantially (for moderate CKD, from 32.3% for <65 years to 9.4% for ≥85 years; for severe CKD, from 55.2% for <65 years to 4.7% for ≥85 years), whereas the probabilities of regression varied to a lesser extent (for moderate CKD, from 22.5% for <65 years to 15.4% for ≥85 years; for severe CKD, from 13.9% for <65 years to 18.7% for ≥85 years).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This cohort study found that with advancing age, CKD regression and death were more likely than CKD progression or kidney failure. These findings have important implications for patient care and for assessing the potential effect of population aging on the burden of CKD.

Area Deprivation and Risk of Death and CKD Progression: Long-Term Cohort Study in Patients under Unrestricted Nephrology Care

BACKGROUND

Area deprivation index (ADI) associates with prognosis in non-dialysis CKD. However, no study has evaluated this association in CKD patients under unrestricted nephrology care.

METHODS

We performed a long-term prospective study to assess the role of deprivation in CKD progression and mortality in stage 1-4 CKD patients under regular nephrology care, living in Naples (Italy). We used ADI calculated at census block levels, standardized to mean values of whole population in Naples, and linked to patients by georeference method. After 12 months of "goal-oriented" nephrology treatment, we compared the risk of death or composite renal outcomes (end-stage kidney disease or doubling of serum creatinine) in the tertiles of standardized ADI. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline was evaluated by mixed effects model for repeated eGFR measurements.

RESULTS

We enrolled 715 consecutive patients (age: 64 ± 15 years; 59.1% males; eGFR: 49 ± 22 mL/min/1.73 m2). Most (75.2%) were at the lowest national ADI quintile. At referral, demographic, clinical, and therapeutic features were similar across ADI tertiles; after 12 months, treatment intensification allowed better control of hypertension, proteinuria, hypercholesterolaemia, and anaemia with no difference across ADI tertiles. During the subsequent long-term follow-up (10.5 years [interquartile range 8.2-12.6]), 166 renal events and 249 deaths were registered. ADI independently associated with all-cause death (p for trend = 0.020) and non-cardiovascular (CV) mortality (p for trend = 0.045), while CV mortality did not differ (p for trend = 0.252). Risk of composite renal outcomes was similar across ADI tertiles (p for trend = 0.467). The same held true for eGFR decline (p for trend = 0.675).

CONCLUSIONS

In CKD patients under regular nephrology care, ADI is not associated with CKD progression, while it is associated with all-cause death due to an excess of non-CV mortality.

Precision Nephrology Is a Non-Negligible State of Mind in Clinical Research: Remember the Past to Face the Future

CKD is a major public health problem. It is characterized by a multitude of risk factors that, when aggregated, can strongly modify outcome. While major risk factors, namely, albuminuria and low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) have been well analyzed, a large variability in disease progression still remains. This happens because (1) the weight of each risk factor varies between populations (general population or CKD cohort), countries, and single individuals and (2) response to nephroprotective drugs is so heterogeneous that a non-negligible part of patients maintains a high cardiorenal risk despite optimal treatment. Precision nephrology aims at individualizing cardiorenal prognosis and therapy. The purpose of this review is to focus on the risk stratification in different areas, such as clinical practice, population research, and interventional trials, and to describe the strategies used in observational or experimental studies to afford individual-level evidence. The future of precision nephrology is also addressed. Observational studies can in fact provide more adequate findings by collecting more information on risk factors and building risk prediction models that can be applied to each individual in a reliable fashion. Similarly, new clinical trial designs can reduce the individual variability in response to treatment and improve individual outcomes.

Sodium Intake and Chronic Kidney Disease

In Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) patients, elevated blood pressure (BP) is a frequent finding and is traditionally considered a direct consequence of their sodium sensitivity. Indeed, sodium and fluid retention, causing hypervolemia, leads to the development of hypertension in CKD. On the other hand, in non-dialysis CKD patients, salt restriction reduces BP levels and enhances anti-proteinuric effect of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors in non-dialysis CKD patients. However, studies on the long-term effect of low salt diet (LSD) on cardio-renal prognosis showed controversial findings. The negative results might be the consequence of measurement bias (spot urine and/or single measurement), reverse epidemiology, as well as poor adherence to diet. In end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), dialysis remains the only effective means to remove dietary sodium intake. The mismatch between intake and removal of sodium leads to fluid overload, hypertension and left ventricular hypertrophy, therefore worsening the prognosis of ESKD patients. This imposes the implementation of a LSD in these patients, irrespective of the lack of trials proving the efficacy of this measure in these patients. LSD is, therefore, a rational and basic tool to correct fluid overload and hypertension in all CKD stages. The implementation of LSD should be personalized, similarly to diuretic treatment, keeping into account the volume status and true burden of hypertension evaluated by ambulatory BP monitoring.

Chronic kidney disease progression and mortality risk profiles in Germany: results from the Chronic Kidney Disease Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression among German patients in a representative setting has not been described previously. The Verband Deutsche Nierenzentren and Chronic Kidney Disease Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study established a longitudinal observational cohort among German CKD patients to research variations in patient care and outcomes in real-world nephrology practices.

METHODS

A cohort of CKD Stages 3 (25%) and 4 (75%) patients was established from German nephrologist-run CKD clinics in 2013-16. Linear models were used to determine the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slope during follow-up and Cox models were used to assess outcomes of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and death.

RESULTS

A total of 1834 patients (median age 75 years, 58% male, 42% diabetics, median baseline eGFR 25 mL/min/1.73 m2) were followed for a median of 29 months. More than 50% had slow or no decline and 17% declined ≥5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year. After 4.5 years, the incidence of ESKD was 8% and of deaths without ESKD 16% among patients with eGFR ≥30 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 37% and 19% for eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2. Adjusted models showed higher risks of ESKD or death for patients with worse kidney function at baseline, male sex, diabetes and higher blood pressure; a higher risk of ESKD with higher albuminuria; and a higher risk of death with older age or cardiovascular comorbidity.

CONCLUSIONS

Routine nephrology care of patients in Germany comprises mostly elderly patients, many with slow CKD progression. Identification of risk factors for CKD progression and mortality may help guide resources by closer follow-up of high-risk patients.

Atherosclerotic-nephropathy: an updated narrative review

The increased prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in elderly patients recognizes, as main cause, the long-term exposure to atherosclerosis and hypertension. Chronic ischemic damage due to critical renal arterial stenosis induces oxidative stress and intra-renal inflammation, resulting in fibrosis and microvascular remodelling, that is the histological picture of atherosclerotic renal vascular disease (ARVD). The concomitant presence of a long history of hypertension may generate intimal thickening and luminal narrowing of renal arteries and arterioles, glomerulosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy, more typically expression of hypertensive nephropathy. These complex mechanisms contribute to the development of CKD and the progression to End Stage Kidney Disease. In elderly CKD patients, the distinction among these nephropathies may be problematic; therefore, ischemic and hypertensive nephropathies can be joined in a unique clinical syndrome defined as atherosclerotic nephropathy. The availability of novel diagnostic procedures, such as intra-vascular ultrasound and BOLD-MRI, in addition to traditional imaging, have opened new scenarios, because these tools allow to identify ischemic lesions responsive to renal revascularization. Indeed, although trials have deflated the role of renal revascularization on the renal outcomes, it should be still used to avoid dialysis initiation and/or to reduce blood pressure in selected elderly patients at high risk. Nonetheless, lifestyle modifications (smoking cessation, increased physical activity), statins and antiplatelet use, as well as cautious use of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors, remain the main therapeutic approach aimed at slowing the renal damage progression. Mesenchymal stem cells and Micro-RNA are promising target of anti-fibrotic therapy, which might provide potential benefit in ARVD patients, though safety and efficacy profile in humans is unknown too.

Influence of low free thyroxine on progression of chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Hypothyroidism is highly prevalent in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and has been associated with poorer clinical outcomes, including faster decline of kidney function. However, there is no consensus whether low free thyroxin (LFT) affects the rate of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline and how the presence of proteinuria influences the progression of renal dysfunction in hypothyroidism.

METHODS

We assessed thyroid status, proteinuria, and progression of eGFR by Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation and CKD-EPI equation in a cohort of CKD patients followed in general nephrology clinics. We estimated the association of LFT levels, and the degree of proteinuria on progression of eGFR. We adjusted for other covariables: age, gender, body mass index, diabetes, hypertension, HbA1c, uric acid, cholesterol, and triglycerides levels..

RESULTS

One thousand six hundred ten patients (64 ± 15 years, 46.8% men, 25.3% diabetic) were included. At beggnining of follow up eGFR was between 45 and 60, 30-45 and 15-30 ml/min/1.73m2 in 479 (29.8%), 551(34.2%), and 580(36.0%) patients, respectively. LFT levels were available at initial evaluation in 288(17.9%) patients and 735(48.5%) had assessment of proteinuria (19.6% with LFT vs. 15.4% without LFT, p = 0.032). Median follow-up time was of 21 months, and 1223(76%) had at least 1 year of follow up. Overall, eGFR decline per month was - 0.05(- 0.26, 0.23) ml/min/1.73m2, reaching 1.7(1.3, 2.4) ml/min/1.73m2 by the end of study period. Similar results were obtained using CKD-EPI. Multivariable mixed linear analysis showed that proteinuria and age were independently associated with eGFR decline, with no effect of LFT, and no interaction between proteinuria and LFT. In patients without proteinuria, there was an improvement of eGFR despite the presence of LFT.

CONCLUSIONS

We confirmed a faster rate of eGFR declined in patients with proteinuria. However, despite the pathophysiological rational that hypothyroidism can lead to increased rate of CKD progression, we failed to demonstrate an association between LFT and rate of CKD progression. We conclude that the benefit of hypothyroidism treatment in CKD patients needs to be evaluate in prospective studies.

Targeted VEGF (Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor) Therapy Induces Long-Term Renal Recovery in Chronic Kidney Disease via Macrophage Polarization

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) universally associates with renal microvascular rarefaction and inflammation, but whether a link exists between these 2 processes is unclear. We designed a therapeutic construct of VEGF (vascular endothelial growth factor) fused to an ELP (elastin-like polypeptide) carrier and show that it improves renal function in experimental renovascular disease. We test the hypothesis that ELP-VEGF therapy will improve CKD, and that recovery will be driven by decreasing microvascular rarefaction partly via modulation of macrophage phenotype and inflammation. CKD was induced in 14 pigs, which were observed for 14 weeks. At 6 weeks, renal blood flow and filtration were quantified using multidetector computed tomography, and then pigs received single intrarenal ELP-VEGF or placebo (n=7 each). Renal function was quantified again 4 and 8 weeks later. Pigs were euthanized and renal microvascular density, angiogenic and inflammatory markers, fibrosis, macrophage infiltration, and phenotype were quantified. Loss of renal hemodynamics in CKD was progressively recovered by ELP-VEGF therapy, accompanied by improved renal microvascular density, fibrosis, and expression of inflammatory mediators. Although renal macrophage infiltration was similar in both CKD groups, ELP-VEGF therapy distinctly shifted their phenotype from proinflammatory M1 to VEGF-expressing M2. Our study unravels potential mechanisms and feasibility of a new strategy to offset progression of CKD using drug-delivery technologies. The results indicate that renal recovery after ELP-VEGF therapy was largely driven by modulation of renal macrophages toward VEGF-expressing M2 phenotype, restoring VEGF signaling and sustaining improvement of renal function and microvascular integrity in CKD.

Beyond chronic kidney disease: the diagnosis of Renal Disease in the Elderly as an unmet need. A position paper endorsed by Italian Society of Nephrology (SIN) and Italian Society of Geriatrics and Gerontology (SIGG)

The dramatic increase in prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) with ageing makes the recognition and correct referral of these patients of paramount relevance in order to implement interventions preventing or delaying the development of CKD complications and end-stage renal disease. Nevertheless, several issues make the diagnosis of CKD in the elderly cumbersome. Among these are age related changes in structures and functions of the kidney, which may be difficult to distinguish from CKD, and multimorbidity. Thus, symptoms, clinical findings and laboratory abnormalities should be considered as potential clues to suspect CKD and to suggest screening. Comprehensive geriatric assessment is essential to define the clinical impact of CKD on functional status and to plan treatment. Correct patient referral is very important: patients with stage 4-5 CKD, as well as those with worsening proteinuria or progressive nephropathy (i.e. eGFR reduction > 5 ml/year) should be referred to nephrologist. Renal biopsy not unfrequently may be the key diagnostic exam and should not be denied simply on the basis of age. Indeed, identifying the cause(s) of CKD is highly desirable to perform a targeted therapy against the pathogenetic mechanisms of CKD, which complement and may outperform in efficacy the general measures for CKD.

Being Overweight Is Related to Faster Decline in Annual Glomerular Filtration Rate in Kidney Transplant

Few studies have examined the relationship between non-immunological factors and glomerular filtration rate (GFR) decline in kidney transplant. Correcting these factors in native kidneys slows the progression of chronic kidney disease. The aim of this study was to analyze the association between the control of non-immunological factors and the annual decline of GFR.

METHODS

A single-center, retrospective study was performed. We included 128 patients who received kidney transplants between 2000 and 2015, with at least 1-year post-transplant follow-up. Clinical records were reviewed. GFR was estimated by CKD-EPI. Three groups were defined according to the annual change in eGFR (ΔGFR 2016-1015): non-progressors (> -1 mL/min/1.73 m²), slow progressors (> -1 and < -5 mL/min/1.73 m²), and fast progressors (< -5 mL/min/1.73 m²). Percentage of achievement of KDIGO target was also analyzed.

RESULTS

The mean GFR was 62.5 mL/min/1.73 m². Glomerulonephritis was the most common cause of kidney failure (36%). When the fast progressor group was compared with the non-progressor group, they differed significantly in age-patients were younger (40 ± 12.3 vs 45 ± 13.1 years)-post-transplant body mass index (27.4 ± 5.6 vs 25.2 x ± 5.9 kg/m²), and serum uric acid, which was significantly higher (6.4 ± 1.7 vs 5.5 ± 1.58 mg/dL). There were no differences between the groups with regard to blood pressure, dyslipidemia, proteinuria, or venous bicarbonate. Target systolic blood pressure was achieved by 45% of patients. Biopsy-proven acute rejection was higher in the fast progression group, although this was not statistically significant (13 [24.5%] vs 8 [13.1%]).

CONCLUSIONS

High body mass index was associated with a faster decline in glomerular filtration rate in this study. Target blood pressure <140/90 mm Hg was achieved in less than 50% of cases.

10-Year Renal Function Trajectories in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: Exploring the Risk Factors for Different Patterns

Longitudinal changes of renal function help inform patients’ clinical courses and improve risk stratification. Rare studies address risk factors predicting changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over time in older adults, particularly of Chinese ethnicity. We identified prospectively enrolled community-dwelling older adults (≥65 years) receiving annual health examinations between 2005 and 2015 with serum creatinine available continuously in a single institute, and used linear regression to derive individual’s annual eGFR changes, followed by multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify features associated with different eGFR change patterns. Among 500 elderly (71.3 ± 4.2 years), their mean annual eGFR changes were 0.84 ± 1.67 mL/min/1.73 m²/year, with 136 (27.2%) and 238 (47.6%) classified as having downward (annual eGFR change <0 mL/min/1.73 m²/year) and upward eGFR (≥1 mL/min/1.73 m²/year) trajectories, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression showed that higher age (odds ratio (OR) 1.08), worse renal function (OR 13.2), and more severe proteinuria (OR 9.86) or hematuria (OR 3.39) were predictive of a declining eGFR while greater waist circumference (OR 1.06) and higher leukocyte counts (OR 1.21) were predictive of an uprising 10-year eGFR. These findings elucidate important features associated with geriatric renal function variations, which are expected to improve their renal care.

Long-term outcomes of patients with type 2 diabetes attending a multidisciplinary diabetes kidney disease clinic

BACKGROUND

The best model of care to retard diabetic kidney disease (DKD) in the clinic is underexplored. In this study we investigated the long-term renal outcomes of a joint endocrinologist-nephrologist clinic.

METHODS

The present study was a nested case-control study derived from a cohort of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) seen prospectively at a secondary care diabetes center (DC). Cases ("DKD clinic group") were patients seen at the CKD clinic after being referred by physicians in DCs for management of DKD. Controls ("non-DKD clinic group") were patients from the same DC (i.e. same source population) with the same inclusion criteria of Stages 3-4 chronic kidney disease (CKD) at baseline but not seen at the DKD clinic. The outcome was Stage 5 CKD, defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate <15 mL/min per 1.73 m² .

RESULTS

During the median follow-up period of 3.0 years (interquartile range 1.2-5.1 years), 240 patients (28.7%) reached Stage 5 CKD, with 45.8% and 54.2% of those reaching Stage 5 CKD in the DKD and non-DKD clinic groups, respectively. Multivariable Cox regression revealed that the DKD clinic group had a lower risk of progressing to Stage 5 CKD (hazard ratio 0.55; 95% confidence interval 0.36-0.83; P = 0.004) compared with the non-DKD clinic group.

CONCLUSIONS

Multidisciplinary endocrinology and nephrology care in the DKD clinic is associated with a lower risk of end-stage renal disease. These findings may inform future management strategies targeted at patients with T2DM and CKD, especially with regard to joint specialist management involving endocrinologists and nephrologists.

Raising awareness on the therapeutic role of cholecalciferol in CKD: a multidisciplinary-based opinion

Vitamin D is recognized to play an essential role in health and disease. In kidney disease, vitamin D analogs have gained recognition for their involvement and potential therapeutic importance. Nephrologists are aware of the use of oral native vitamin D supplementation, however, uncertainty still exists with regard to the use of this treatment option in chronic kidney disease as well as clinical settings related to chronic kidney disease, where vitamin D supplementation may be an appropriate therapeutic choice. Two consecutive meetings were held in Florence in July and November 2016 comprising six experts in kidney disease (N = 3) and bone mineral metabolism (N = 3) to discuss a range of unresolved issues related to the use of cholecalciferol in chronic kidney disease. The panel focused on the following six key areas where issues relating to the use of oral vitamin D remain controversial: (1) vitamin D and parathyroid hormone levels in the general population, (2) cholecalciferol in chronic kidney disease, (3) vitamin D in cardiovascular disease, (4) vitamin D and renal bone disease, (5) vitamin D in rheumatological diseases affecting the kidney, (6) vitamin D and kidney transplantation.

Sublytic C5b-9 Induces Glomerular Mesangial Cell Apoptosis through the Cascade Pathway of MEKK2-p38 MAPK-IRF-1-TRADD-Caspase 8 in Rat Thy-1 Nephritis

The apoptosis of glomerular mesangial cells (GMCs) in the early phase of rat Thy-1 nephritis (Thy-1N), a model of human mesangioproliferative glomerulonephritis (MsPGN), is primarily triggered by sublytic C5b-9. However, the mechanism of GMC apoptosis induced by sublytic C5b-9 remains unclear. In this study, we demonstrate that expressions of TNFR1-associated death domain-containing protein (TRADD) and IFN regulatory factor-1 (IRF-1) were simultaneously upregulated in the renal tissue of Thy-1N rats (in vivo) and in GMCs under sublytic C5b-9 stimulation (in vitro). In vitro, TRADD was confirmed to be a downstream gene of IRF-1, because IRF-1 could bind to TRADD gene promoter to promote its transcription, leading to caspase 8 activation and GMC apoptosis. Increased phosphorylation of p38 MAPK was verified to contribute to IRF-1 and TRADD production and caspase 8 activation, as well as to GMC apoptosis induced by sublytic C5b-9. Furthermore, phosphorylation of MEK kinase 2 (MEKK2) mediated p38 MAPK activation. More importantly, three sites (Ser^153/164/239) of MEKK2 phosphorylation were identified and demonstrated to be necessary for p38 MAPK activation. In addition, silencing of renal MEKK2, IRF-1, and TRADD genes or inhibition of p38 MAPK activation in vivo had obvious inhibitory effects on GMC apoptosis, secondary proliferation, and urinary protein secretion in rats with Thy-1N. Collectively, these findings indicate that the cascade axis of MEKK2-p38 MAPK-IRF-1-TRADD-caspase 8 may play an important role in GMC apoptosis following exposure to sublytic C5b-9 in rat Thy-1N.

Controversial issues in CKD clinical practice: position statement of the CKD-treatment working group of the Italian Society of Nephrology

This position paper of the study group "Conservative treatment of Chronic Kidney Disease-CKD" of the Italian Society of Nephrology addresses major practical, unresolved, issues related to the conservative treatment of chronic renal disease. Specifically, controversial topics from everyday clinical nephrology practice which cannot find a clear, definitive answer in the current literature or in nephrology guidelines are discussed. The paper reports the point of view of the study group. Concise and practical advice is given on several common issues: renal biopsy in diabetes; dual blockade of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS); management of iron deficiency; low protein diet; dietary salt intake; bicarbonate supplementation; treatment of obesity; the choice of conservative therapy vs. dialysis. For each topic synthetic statements, guideline-style, are reported.

Associations of mitochondrial haplogroups and mitochondrial DNA copy numbers with end-stage renal disease in a Han population

Mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) is closely related to mitochondrion function, and variations have been suggested to be involved in pathogenesis of complex diseases. The present study sought to elucidate mitochondrial haplogroups and mtDNA copy number in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in a Han population. First, the mitochondrial haplogroups of 37 ESRD patients were clustered into several haplogroups, and haplogroup A & D were taken as the candidate risk haplogroups for ESRD. Second, the frequencies of A and D were assessed in 344 ESRD patients and 438 healthy controls, respectively. Haplogroup D was found to be risk maker for ESRD in young subjects (<30 years) with an OR of 2.274. Finally, intracellular and cell-free mtDNA copy numbers were evaluated with quantitative-PCR. The ESRD patients exhibited greater cell-free mtDNA contents than the healthy controls but less intracellular mtDNA. Haplogroup D exhibited a further increase in cell-free mtDNA content and a decrease in intracellular mtDNA content among the ESRDs patients. Our findings suggest that mtNDA haplogroup D may contributes to pathogenesis of early-onset ESRD through alterations of mtDNA copy numbers.