Empirical estimation of life expectancy from a linked health database of adults who entered care for HIV

Factors associated with the mortality of women living with HIV: a case-control study

This case-control study investigated factors associated with death among women living with HIV (WLHIV) in the city of Porto Alegre/RS, Brazil. Sociodemographic, parental and reproductive characteristics, exposure to HIV, laboratory markers and adherence to treatmen were variables examined. The cases were selected among WLHIV who were followed up by health care services for the vertical transmission of HIV (VT) and who died between the years of 2007 and 2017. The controls were the WLHIV who did not die. Sixty-six cases and 264 controls were included. Conditional Logistic Regression was conducted to estimate the Crude and Adjusted Odds Ratio. A conceptual block model was considered for the multivariate analysis. In addition to multiple pregnancies and worse immunological characteristics, WLHIV between 18 and 29 years of age (OR = 25.72; 95% CI: 4.45-148.42), drug users (OR = 7.09; 95% CI: 1.24-40.23) and who were not followed up during prenatal care (OR = 8.43; 95% CI: 1.58-44.87) were more likely to die. Conclusion: Young WLHIV and those with greater social vulnerability have a greater chance of death, and it is essential that health care and treatment strategies consider actions for the prevention of deaths taking into account the multiple vulnerabilities of these women.

Risk of cause-specific death, its sex and age differences, and life expectancy in post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus

AIMS

The aim was to investigate sex- and age-stratified risks of cause-specific death and life expectancy in individuals with post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus (PPDM).

METHODS

Nationwide data on mortality in New Zealand were obtained. For two head-to-head comparisons (PPDM versus type 2 diabetes mellitus [T2DM]; PPDM versus type 1 diabetes mellitus [T1DM]), the groups were matched on age, sex, and calendar year of diabetes diagnosis. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted to estimate risks of vascular, cancer, and non-vascular non-cancer mortality. Remaining life expectancy at age of diabetes diagnosis was estimated using the Chiang II method.

RESULTS

A total of 15,848 individuals (1,132 PPDM, 3,396 T1DM, and 11,320 T2DM) were included. The risks of vascular mortality and non-vascular non-cancer mortality did not differ significantly between PPDM and T2DM or T1DM. PPDM was associated with a significantly higher risk of cancer mortality compared with T2DM (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.32; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-1.63) or T1DM (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.65; 95% confidence interval, 1.27-2.13). The risk of cancer mortality associated with PPDM (versus T2DM) was significantly higher in women than in men (p for interaction = 0.003). This sex difference in cancer mortality risk was also significant in the comparison between PPDM and T1DM (p for interaction = 0.006). Adults of both sexes with PPDM had the lowest remaining life expectancy (in comparison with T2DM or T1DM) up to 64 years of age.

CONCLUSIONS

People with PPDM have a higher risk of cancer mortality compared with those with T2DM or T1DM. This is especially pronounced in women. Young and middle-aged adults with PPDM have a lower life expectancy compared with their counterparts with T2DM or T1DM.

Cause-specific mortality among HIV-infected people in Ontario, 1995-2014: a population-based retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Risk factors for cause-specific mortality have not been widely studied among people with HIV infection. Our objectives were to estimate rates of and risk factors for all-cause and cause-specific mortality from 1995 to 2014 among HIV-infected people in Ontario.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study using provincial health databases of people with HIV infection who were aged 16 years or more, were residents of Ontario between 1995 and 2014, and had HIV infection according to a previously validated algorithm. We used International Classification of Diseases codes to classify the underlying cause of death and estimated age-adjusted mortality rates per 100 person-years for 1995 to 2014. We used descriptive statistics to characterize the cohort at baseline and calculated adjusted mortality rate ratios (RRs) using generalized estimating equations.

RESULTS

Among 23 043 people, the all-cause mortality rate declined from 6.69 to 1.53 per 100 person-years over the study period, and the rate of death from HIV/AIDS declined from 4.75 to 0.46 per 100 person-years. Concomitantly, the proportions of deaths due to cancer, cardiovascular disease and other noncommunicable diseases rose; however, rates remained constant or declined. Compared to males, females had higher mortality due to cardiovascular disease (adjusted RR 1.36, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.77), noncommunicable causes (adjusted RR 1.75, 95% CI 1.39-2.20) and, by 2010-2014, any cause (adjusted RR 1.19, 95% CI 1.02-1.38). Residing in a low-income neighbourhood was associated with increased risk for most causes, including HIV/AIDS (adjusted RR in 2010-2014 1.86, 95% CI 1.49-2.31). Rural residence was associated with increased mortality due to malignant disease (adjusted RR 1.60, 95% CI 1.10-2.34) and noncommunicable disease (adjusted RR 1.86, 95% CI 1.25-2.77). Being an immigrant was associated with lower risk of death from all causes.

INTERPRETATION

Over the study period, death was increasingly due to common chronic conditions rather than to HIV infection itself. Care should incorporate the prevention and management of these conditions, especially among females and those residing in rural and low-income areas.