Identifying novel acute pancreatitis sub-phenotypes using total serum calcium trajectories

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) has heterogeneous clinical features, and identifying clinically relevant sub-phenotypes is useful. We aimed to identify novel sub-phenotypes in hospitalized AP patients using longitudinal total serum calcium (TSC) trajectories.

METHODS

AP patients had at least two TSC measurements during the first 24 h of hospitalization in the US-based critical care database (Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) and MIMIC-IV were included. Group-based trajectory modeling was used to identify calcium trajectory phenotypes, and patient characteristics and treatment outcomes were compared between the phenotypes.

RESULTS

A total of 4518 admissions were included in the analysis. Four TSC trajectory groups were identified: "Very low TSC, slow resolvers" (n = 65; 1.4% of the cohort); "Moderately low TSC" (n = 559; 12.4%); "Stable normal-calcium" (n = 3875; 85.8%); and "Fluctuating high TSC" (n = 19; 0.4%). The "Very low TSC, slow resolvers" had the lowest initial, maximum, minimum, and mean TSC, and highest SOFA score, creatinine and glucose level. In contrast, the "Stable normal-calcium" had the fewest ICU admission, antibiotic use, intubation and renal replace treatment. In adjusted analysis, significantly higher in-hospital mortality was noted among "Very low TSC, slow resolvers" (odds ratio [OR], 7.2; 95% CI, 3.7 to 14.0), "moderately low TSC" (OR, 5.0; 95% CI, 3.8 to 6.7), and "Fluctuating high TSC" (OR, 5.6; 95% CI, 1.5 to 20.6) compared with the "Stable normal-calcium" group.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified four novel sub-phenotypes of patients with AP, with significant variability in clinical outcomes. Not only the absolute TSC levels but also their trajectories were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality.

Calcium administration appears not to benefit acute pancreatitis patients with hypocalcemia

OBJECTIVE

Hypocalcemia occurs commonly among patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) in the intensive care unit (ICU). Calcium therapy could be used to correct hypocalcemia and maintain calcium levels, but its impact on the prognosis has not been demonstrated. Our study aimed to determine whether calcium therapy could benefit the multiple outcomes of AP patients with hypocalcemia.

METHODS

We extracted 807 AP patients with hypocalcemia from the Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (MIMIC-IV) database and performed retrospective analyses. The outcomes were in-hospital, 28 days, ICU mortality, and the length of stay (LOS) in the hospital and ICU. We performed propensity matching (PSM) and inverse probability weighting (IPTW) to balance the baseline differences and conducted multivariate regression to investigate the impact of calcium therapy.

RESULTS

A total of 620 patients (76.8%) received calcium treatment (calcium group) during hospitalization, while 187 patients (non-calcium group) did not. Patients in the calcium group did not present significant survival differences between groups before and after matching. After including covariates, calcium administration had no association with patients' in-hospital (HR: 1.03, 95% Cl: 0.47-2.27, p = .942), 28 days and ICU mortality and was significantly associated with prolonged length of stay in the hospital (effect estimate: 6.18, 95% Cl: 3.27-9.09, p < .001) and ICU (effect estimate: 1.72, 95% Cl: 0.24-3.20, p < .001). Calcium therapy could not benefit patients in subgroups with exclusive parenteral infusion, early calcium therapy (<48 h), or various degrees of hypocalcemia.

CONCLUSION

AP patients with hypocalcemia could not benefit from calcium administration, which has no association with multiple mortality and is significantly associated with prolonged LOS in the hospital and ICU.

Comparative effectiveness of cardiovascular, renal and safety outcomes of second-line antidiabetic drugs use in people with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

AIMS

To compare the cardiovascular, renal and safety outcomes of second-line glucose-lowering agents used in the management of people with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

MEDLINE, EMBASE and CENTRAL were searched from inception to 13 July 2021 for randomised controlled trials comparing second-line glucose lowering therapies with placebo, standard care or one another. Primary outcomes included cardiovascular and renal outcomes. Secondary outcomes were non-cardiovascular adverse events. Risk ratios (RRs) and corresponding confidence intervals (CI) or credible intervals (CrI) were reported within pairwise and network meta-analysis. The quality of evidence was evaluated using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation) criteria. Number needed to treat (NNT) and number needed (NNH) to harm were calculated at 5 years using incidence rates and RRs. PROSPERO (CRD42020168322).

RESULTS

We included 38 trials from seven classes of glucose-lowering therapies. Both sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP1RA) showed moderate to high certainty in reducing risk of 3-point major adverse cardiovascular events, 3P-MACE (network estimates: SGLT2i [RR 0.90; 95% CrI 0.84-0.96; NNT, 59], GLP1RA [RR 0.88; 95% CrI 0.83-0.93; NNT, 50]), cardiovascular death, all-cause mortality, renal composite outcome and macroalbuminuria. SGLT2i also showed high certainty in reducing risk of hospitalization for heart failure (hHF), ESRD, acute kidney injury, doubling in serum creatinine and decline in eGFR. GLP1RA were associated with lower risk of stroke (high certainty) while glitazone use was associated with an increased risk of hHF (very low certainty). The risk of developing ESRD was lower with the use of sulphonylureas (low certainty). For adverse events, sulphonylureas and insulin were associated with increased hypoglycaemic events (very low to low certainty), while GLP1RA increased the risk of gastrointestinal side effects leading to treatment discontinuation (low certainty). DPP-4i increased risk of acute pancreatitis (low certainty). SGLT2i were associated with increased risk of genital infection, volume depletion (high certainty), amputation and ketoacidosis (moderate certainty). Risk of fracture was increased with the use of glitazones (moderate certainty).

CONCLUSIONS

SGLT2i and GLP1RA were associated with lower risk for different cardiorenal end points, when used as an adjunct to metformin in people with type 2 diabetes. Additionally, SGLT2i demonstrated benefits in reducing risk for surrogate end points in kidney disease progression. Safety outcomes differ among the available pharmacotherapies.

The BISAP score, NLR, CRP, or BUN: Which marker best predicts the outcome of acute pancreatitis?

Acute pancreatitis is a common disease, and the mortality rate can be high. Thus, a risk assessment should be performed early to optimize treatment. We compared simple prognostic markers with the bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) scoring system to identify the best predictors of severity and mortality.This retrospective study stratified disease severity based on the revised Atlanta criteria. The accuracies of the markers for predicting severe AP (SAP) were assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were calculated for each marker. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent predictors of SAP and mortality.The area under the curve (AUC) for the BISAP score was classified as fair for predicting SAP. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio at 48 hours (NLR48 h) and the C-reactive protein level at 48 hours (CRP48 h) had the best AUCs and were independently associated with SAP. When both criteria were met, the AUC was 0.89, sensitivity was 68%, and specificity was 92%. CRP48 h and hematocrit at 48 hours were independently associated with mortality.NLR48 h and CRP48 h were independently associated with SAP but not superior to the BISAP score at admission. Assessing NLR48 h and CRP48H together was most suitable for predicting SAP. The CRP level was a good predictive marker for mortality.

Chymase as a Novel Therapeutic Target in Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis is still a life-threatening disease without an evidenced therapeutic agent. In this study, the effect of chymase in acute pancreatitis and the possible effect of a chymase inhibitor in acute pancreatitis were investigated. Hamsters were subcutaneously administered 3.0 g/kg of L-arginine to induce acute pancreatitis. Biological markers were measured 1, 2, and 8 h after L-arginine administration. To investigate the effect of a chymase inhibitor, a placebo (saline) or a chymase inhibitor TY-51469 (30 mg/kg) was given 1 h after L-arginine administration. The survival rates were evaluated for 24 h after L-arginine administration. Significant increases in serum lipase levels and pancreatic neutrophil numbers were observed at 1 and 2 h after L-arginine administration, respectively. Significant increases in pancreatic neutrophil numbers were observed in the placebo-treated group, but they were significantly reduced in the TY-51469-treated group. A significant increase in the pancreatic tumor necrosis factor-α mRNA level was observed in the placebo-treated group, but it disappeared in the TY-51469-treated group. Chymase activity significantly increased in the placebo-treated group, but it was significantly reduced by treatment with TY-51469. The survival rate significantly improved in the TY-51469-treated group. A chymase inhibitor may become a novel therapeutic agent for acute pancreatitis.

Analysis of Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients With Varying Degrees of Hyperlipasemia

OBJECTIVES

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients may have varying degrees of hyperlipasemia. The aim was to compare outcomes among different levels of hyperlipasemia in patients with COVID-19.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study examining outcomes among hospitalized COVID-19 patients with a lipase <3× upper limit of normal (ULN), asymptomatic hyperlipasemia (>3× ULN), secondary pancreatitis (typical respiratory COVID-19 symptoms and found to have pancreatitis), and primary pancreatitis (presenting with pancreatitis).

RESULTS

Of 11,883 patients admitted with COVID-19, 1560 patients were included: 1155 patients had normal serum lipase (control group), 270 had elevated lipase <3× ULN, 46 patients had asymptomatic hyperlipasemia with lipase >3× ULN, 57 patients had secondary pancreatitis, and 32 patients had primary pancreatitis. On adjusted multivariate analysis, the elevated lipase <3× ULN and asymptomatic hyperlipasemia groups had worse outcomes with higher mortality (odds ratio [OR], 1.6 [95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2-2.2) and 1.1 [95% CI, 0.5-2.3], respectively), higher need for mechanical ventilation (OR, 2.8 [95% CI, 1.2-2.1] and 2.8 [95% CI, 1.5-5.2], respectively), and longer length of stay (OR, 1.5 [95% CI, 1.1-2.0] and 3.16 [95% CI, 1.5-6.5], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with COVID-19 with elevated lipase <3× ULN and asymptomatic hyperlipasemia have generally worse outcomes than those with pancreatitis.

SARS-CoV-2 infection in acute pancreatitis increases disease severity and 30-day mortality: COVID PAN collaborative study

OBJECTIVE

There is emerging evidence that the pancreas may be a target organ of SARS-CoV-2 infection. This aim of this study was to investigate the outcome of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) and coexistent SARS-CoV-2 infection.

DESIGN

A prospective international multicentre cohort study including consecutive patients admitted with AP during the current pandemic was undertaken. Primary outcome measure was severity of AP. Secondary outcome measures were aetiology of AP, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, length of hospital stay, local complications, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), persistent organ failure and 30-day mortality. Multilevel logistic regression was used to compare the two groups.

RESULTS

1777 patients with AP were included during the study period from 1 March to 23 July 2020. 149 patients (8.3%) had concomitant SARS-CoV-2 infection. Overall, SARS-CoV-2-positive patients were older male patients and more likely to develop severe AP and ARDS (p<0.001). Unadjusted analysis showed that SARS-CoV-2-positive patients with AP were more likely to require ICU admission (OR 5.21, p<0.001), local complications (OR 2.91, p<0.001), persistent organ failure (OR 7.32, p<0.001), prolonged hospital stay (OR 1.89, p<0.001) and a higher 30-day mortality (OR 6.56, p<0.001). Adjusted analysis showed length of stay (OR 1.32, p<0.001), persistent organ failure (OR 2.77, p<0.003) and 30-day mortality (OR 2.41, p<0.04) were significantly higher in SARS-CoV-2 co-infection.

CONCLUSION

Patients with AP and coexistent SARS-CoV-2 infection are at increased risk of severe AP, worse clinical outcomes, prolonged length of hospital stay and high 30-day mortality.

Risk of cause-specific death, its sex and age differences, and life expectancy in post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus

AIMS

The aim was to investigate sex- and age-stratified risks of cause-specific death and life expectancy in individuals with post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus (PPDM).

METHODS

Nationwide data on mortality in New Zealand were obtained. For two head-to-head comparisons (PPDM versus type 2 diabetes mellitus [T2DM]; PPDM versus type 1 diabetes mellitus [T1DM]), the groups were matched on age, sex, and calendar year of diabetes diagnosis. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted to estimate risks of vascular, cancer, and non-vascular non-cancer mortality. Remaining life expectancy at age of diabetes diagnosis was estimated using the Chiang II method.

RESULTS

A total of 15,848 individuals (1,132 PPDM, 3,396 T1DM, and 11,320 T2DM) were included. The risks of vascular mortality and non-vascular non-cancer mortality did not differ significantly between PPDM and T2DM or T1DM. PPDM was associated with a significantly higher risk of cancer mortality compared with T2DM (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.32; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-1.63) or T1DM (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.65; 95% confidence interval, 1.27-2.13). The risk of cancer mortality associated with PPDM (versus T2DM) was significantly higher in women than in men (p for interaction = 0.003). This sex difference in cancer mortality risk was also significant in the comparison between PPDM and T1DM (p for interaction = 0.006). Adults of both sexes with PPDM had the lowest remaining life expectancy (in comparison with T2DM or T1DM) up to 64 years of age.

CONCLUSIONS

People with PPDM have a higher risk of cancer mortality compared with those with T2DM or T1DM. This is especially pronounced in women. Young and middle-aged adults with PPDM have a lower life expectancy compared with their counterparts with T2DM or T1DM.

Temporary Trend, Characteristics and Clinical Outcomes of Acute Pancreatitis Patients Infected with Human Immunodeficiency Virus

BACKGROUND

Compared to general population, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection may increase frequency of acute pancreatitis (AP); however, evidence regarding effects of HIV infection on AP-related outcomes is limited and controversial.

AIMS

We aim to investigate the temporary trend, characteristics and clinical outcomes of AP infected with HIV.

METHODS

We reviewed data from the 2003-2014 National Inpatient Sample to identify patients with a primary diagnosis of AP. The primary outcomes (in-hospital mortality, acute respiratory failure, acute kidney injury, and prolonged length of stay [LOS]) and secondary outcomes (gastrointestinal hemorrhage, sepsis and total cost) were compared between patients with and without HIV infection using univariate, multivariable and propensity score matching analyses.

RESULTS

Of 594,106 patients diagnosed with AP, 6775 (1.14%) had HIV infection. Patients with HIV were more likely to be younger, black, male, less likely to be gallstone-related and had lower rate of interventions. Multivariable analyses based on multiple imputation revealed that HIV infection was associated with higher risk of mortality (odds ratio [OR]: 1.74; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34-2.25), acute kidney injury (OR: 1.13; 95% CI 1.19-1.44), prolonged LOS (OR: 1.26; 95% CI 1.15-1.37) and 6% higher cost. There were no differences in sepsis, gastrointestinal bleeding, and respiratory failure between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV infection is associated with adverse outcomes including increased mortality, acute kidney injury and more healthcare utilization in AP patients. More assertive management strategies like early intravenous fluid resuscitation in HIV patients hospitalized with AP to prevent acute kidney injury may be helpful to improve clinical outcomes.

Nutritional treatment is associated with longer survival in patients with pancreatic disease and concomitant risk of malnutrition

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic diseases involve complex nutritional challenges. Despite this, conflicting evidence exists regarding the clinical relevance of detecting the risk of malnutrition and implementing systematic nutrition support for these patients. Thus, our aims were to investigate whether screening for malnutrition risk and initiating nutrition support are predictive of mortality for hospitalized patients with pancreatic diseases.

DESIGN

From 2008 to 2018, 34 prevalence surveys of nutrition were conducted at Haukeland University Hospital (HUH), Norway. Risk of malnutrition was defined by a score of ≥3 in Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 (NRS 2002). Primary outcomes included overall, one-year, and one-month mortality, and were compared according to malnutrition risk and nutrition support for adult patients with ICD-10 codes of K85: acute pancreatitis, K86: other diseases of pancreas, and C25: malignant neoplasm of pancreas. Length of hospital stay (LOS) was included as a secondary outcome.

RESULTS

Of the 283 patients investigated, risk of malnutrition was present in 61.5%. Risk of malnutrition was associated with higher overall mortality (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 1.67, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.2-2.4, P = 0.003) and one-year mortality (HR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.2-2.9, P = 0.004) compared to patients not at risk. Not receiving nutrition support for at-risk patients was associated with higher overall mortality (HR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.1-2.4, P = 0.019) and one-year mortality (HR = 1.64, 95% CI: 1.04-2.6, P = 0.034) compared to patients at risk who received nutrition support. Patients at risk of malnutrition had increased LOS (20.5 nights vs 15.2 nights, P = 0.044) compared to patients not at risk of malnutrition.

CONCLUSION

This study of hospitalized patients with pancreatic disease suggests that risk of malnutrition may be associated with higher mortality rates, whereas nutrition support may decrease mortality rates.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY

Not registered.

DIAGNOSIS OF ENDOCRINE DISEASE: Post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus: prime time for secondary disease

While most people with diabetes have type 2 disease, a non-negligible minority develops a secondary diabetes. Post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus (PPDM) is an exemplar secondary diabetes that represents a sequela of pancreatitis - the most common disease of the exocrine pancreas. Although this type of diabetes has been known as a clinical entity since the late 19th century, early 21st century high-quality epidemiological, clinical, and translational studies from around the world have amassed a sizeable body of knowledge that have led to a renewed understanding of PPDM. People have at least two-fold higher lifetime risk of developing diabetes after an attack of pancreatitis than those in the general population without a history of diseases of the exocrine pancreas. PPDM is caused by acute pancreatitis (including non-necrotising pancreatitis, which constitutes the majority of acute pancreatitis) in four-fifth of cases and chronic pancreatitis in one-fifth of cases. Moreover, the frequency of incident diabetes is not considerably lower after acute pancreatitis than after chronic pancreatitis. Recurrent attacks of pancreatitis and exocrine pancreatic dysfunction portend high risk for PPDM, but are not mandatory for its development. Further, young- or middle-aged non-obese men have an increased risk of developing PPDM. In comparison with type 2 diabetes, PPDM is characterised by poorer glycaemic control, higher risk of developing cancer (in particular, pancreatic cancer), younger age at death, and a higher risk of mortality. Metformin monotherapy is recommended as the first-line therapy for PPDM. Appropriate screening of individuals after an attack of pancreatitis, correct identification of PPDM, and apposite management is crucial with a view to improving the outcomes of this secondary but not inappreciable disease.

The Value of Managing Acute Pancreatitis With Standardized Order Sets to Achieve "Perfect Care"

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to define perfect care index (PCI) metrics and to evaluate whether implementation of standardized order sets would improve outcomes without increasing hospital-based charges in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

This is a retrospective, pre-post, observational study measuring clinical quality, processes of care, and hospital-based charges at a single tertiary care center. The first data set included AP patients from August 2011 to December 2014 (n = 219) before the implementation of a standardized order set (Methodist Acute Pancreatitis Protocol [MAPP]) and AP patients after MAPP implementation from January 2015 to September 2018 (n = 417). The second data set included AP patients (n = 150 in each group) from January 2013 to September 2014 (pre-MAPP) and January 2018 to September 2019 (post-MAPP) to evaluate perfect care between the 2 cohorts after controlling for systemic inflammatory response syndrome at baseline. Length of stay, PCI, and hospital-based charges were measured.

RESULTS

The post-MAPP cohort had a significantly shorter length of stay (median, 3 days vs 4 days; P = 0.01). In the second data set, PCI significantly increased after implementation of MAPP order sets (5.3%-35.3%, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The MAPP order sets increased the value of care by improving clinical outcomes without increasing hospital-based charges.

Impact of Enteral Nutrition Within 24 Hours Versus Between 24 and 48 Hours in Patients With Severe Acute Pancreatitis: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

OBJECTIVES

In patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), early enteral nutrition (EN) is recommended by major clinical practice guidelines, but the exact timing for the initiation of EN is unknown.

METHODS

We conducted a post hoc analysis of the database for a multicenter (44 institutions) retrospective study of patients with SAP in Japan. The patients were classified into 3 groups according to the timing of EN initiation after the diagnosis of SAP: within 24 hours, between 24 and 48 hours, and more than 48 hours. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Of the 1094 study patients, 176, 120, and 798 patients started EN within 24 hours, between 24 and 48 hours, and more than 48 hours after SAP diagnosis, respectively. On multivariable analysis, hospital mortality was significantly better with EN within 48 hours than with more than 48 hours (adjusted odds ratio, 0.49; 95% confidence interval, 0.29-0.83; P < 0.001) but did not significantly differ between the groups with EN starting within 24 hours and between 24 and 48 hours (P = 0.29).

CONCLUSIONS

Enteral nutrition within 24 hours may not confer any additional benefit on clinical outcomes compared with EN between 24 and 48 hours.

Efficiency of free thyroxine in predicting severity and mortality of patients with acute pancreatitis: A protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Previous studies suggest that free thyroxine may be used as a severity indicator of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) in emergency department, helping determine the differential care of AP. However, there are no systematic reviews and the association between free thyroxine and AP is still not completely understood. Therefore, we will undertake a systematic review of the literature to summarize previous evidence regarding this topic, in order to clarify whether free thyroxine can help us pick out the mild AP cases.

METHODS

: We will search the EMBASE, Web of Knowledge, PubMed, ClinicalTrials.gov, and Cochrane Library from inception to Mar 2021 to retrieve relevant studies using the search strategy: ("free thyroxine") AND (pancreatitis OR pancreatitides). Two authors independently judged study eligibility and extracted data. Heterogeneity will be examined by computing the Q statistic and I2 statistic.

RESULTS

: This study proved the efficiency of free thyroxine in predicting the severity of patients with AP.

CONCLUSIONS

: This study will provide reliable evidence-based evidence for the clinical application of free thyroxine predicting the severity of patients with AP.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethical approval is unnecessary as this protocol is only for systematic review and does not involve privacy data. The findings of this study will be disseminated electronically through a peer-review publication or presented at a relevant conference.

Efficiency of red cell distribution width in predicting severity and mortality of patients with acute pancreatitis: A protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have showed that red cell distribution width (RDW) may be an inflammatory status, and it may be used to predict prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP). However, there are no systematic reviews for the evidence, and the association between RDW and AP is still not completely understood. Therefore, we will undertake a systematic review of the literature to summarize previous evidence regarding this topic, in order to clarify the value of RDW predicting prognosis of patients with AP.

METHODS

We will search EMBASE, Web of Knowledge, PubMed, ClinicalTrials.gov and Cochrane Library from their inception to Mar 2021 to retrieve relevant studies. Two authors independently judged study eligibility and extracted data. Heterogeneity will be examined by computing the Q statistic and I2 statistic.

RESULTS

This study proved the Efficiency of RDW in predicting mortality and severity of patients with AP. And provided easy method for clinical evaluation for AP patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this systematic review will show the value of RDW predicting prognosis of patients with AP.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethical approval is unnecessary as this protocol is only for systematic review and does not involve privacy data. The findings of this study will be disseminated electronically through a peer-review publication or presented at a relevant conference.

Hypercalcemia of Malignancy and Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

Hypercalcemia of malignancy confers a poor prognosis. This systematic review evaluated published cases of hypercalcemia of malignancy presenting with acute pancreatitis (AP), in terms of clinical presentation and outcomes.

METHODS

A comprehensive review of PubMed and Embase until March 18, 2020, was conducted. Studies were included if they reported on patients with hypercalcemia of malignancy and AP with attempts to exclude other etiologies of hypercalcemia and AP. Two independent reviewers selected and appraised studies using the Murad tool.

RESULTS

Thirty-seven cases were identified. Mean (standard deviation) age was 44.8 (2.46) years. Mean (standard deviation) presenting corrected calcium was 14.5 (0.46) mg/dL. Parathyroid carcinoma (21.6%) and multiple myeloma (21.6%) were the most common malignancies. Cases were classified as severe (37.8%), mild (21.6%), and moderately severe (18.9%), whereas 21.6% did not report severity. Necrotizing pancreatitis developed in 21.6% of cases. Most cases were treated with intravenous hydration and bisphosphonates or calcitonin/calcitonin analogues. Mortality was 32.4% during the same presentation of AP. Among mortality cases, 10 of 12 had severe AP, and 5 of 12 had necrotizing pancreatitis. Degree of hypercalcemia did not influence mortality.

CONCLUSION

Acute pancreatitis associated with hypercalcemia of malignancy is rare. One in 3 patients with this presentation may not survive AP.

Predictors of hospital transfer and associated risks of mortality in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

There is limited research in prognosticators of hospital transfer in acute pancreatitis (AP). Hence, we sought to determine the predictors of hospital transfer from small/medium-sized hospitals and outcomes following transfer to large acute-care hospitals.

METHODS

Using the 2010-2013 Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS), patients ≥18 years of age with a primary diagnosis of AP were identified. Hospital size was classified using standard NIS Definitions. Multivariable analyses were performed for predictors of "transfer-out" from small/medium-sized hospitals and mortality in large acute-care hospitals.

RESULTS

Among 381,818 patients admitted with AP to small/medium-sized hospitals, 13,947 (4%) were transferred out to another acute-care hospital. Multivariable analysis revealed that older patients (OR = 1.04; 95%CI 1.03-1.06), men (OR = 1.15; 95%CI 1.06-1.24), lower income quartiles (OR = 1.54; 95%CI 1.35-1.76), admission to a non-teaching hospital (OR = 3.38; 95%CI 3.00-3.80), gallstone pancreatitis (OR = 3.32; 95%CI 2.90-3.79), pancreatic surgery (OR = 3.14; 95%CI 1.76-5.58), and severe AP (OR = 3.07; 95%CI 2.78-3.38) were predictors of "transfer-out". ERCP (OR = 0.53; 95%CI 0.43-0.66) and cholecystectomy (OR = 0.14; 95%CI 0.12-0.18) were associated with decreased odds of "transfer-out". Among 507,619 patients admitted with AP to large hospitals, 31,058 (6.1%) were "transferred-in" from other hospitals. The mortality rate for patients "transferred-in" was higher than those directly admitted (2.54% vs. 0.91%, p < 0.001). Multivariable analysis revealed that being "transferred-in" from other hospitals was an independent predictor of mortality (OR = 1.47; 95% CI 1.22-1.77).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with AP transferred into large acute-care hospitals had a higher mortality than those directly admitted likely secondary to more severe disease. Early implementation of published clinical guidelines, triage, and prompt transfer of high-risk patients may potentially offset these negative outcomes.

Systemic lupus erythematosus-related acute pancreatitis

INTRODUCTION

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a complex autoimmune pathology that can involve any organ. Lupus-related acute pancreatitis (AP) is, together with lupus mesenteric vasculitis, an important cause of SLE-induced acute abdominal pain.

METHODS

A literature search was conducted using the terms "Pancreatitis" and "Lupus Erythematosus, Systemic" on PubMed/Medline and Web of Science from January 2007 to January 2020. Clinical characteristics, diagnostic approach, and treatment principles in SLE-related AP are presented in this review.

RESULTS

Mainly retrospective reports were identified. The reported incidence of SLE-associated AP ranges from 0.9 to more than 5% of patients. A total of 264 SLE patients were found in the selected research, with a net female predominance (sex ratio 9:1) and mean age of 31.4 years. Abdominal pain was virtually present in all cases. AP occurrence was more frequent in SLE patients with short disease duration, high activity scores, and multiorgan involvement. The AP definition was based on currently available guidelines and after exclusion of any other known causes (including iatrogenic, i.e. drugs), a diagnosis of "idiopathic" SLE-related AP might be sustained. Management is difficult, as there is no standardized therapeutic approach. Of note, glucocorticoid use remains still controversial as, especially for high doses, subsequent pancreatic injury may occur. Monitoring serum lipase levels after high dose steroids might be considered. One study reported beneficial prognostic effect of plasma exchange. Moreover, AP in SLE might raise awareness about macrophage activation syndrome association. Mortality up to one third of AP cases in SLE was reported.

CONCLUSION

The SLE-related AP is a rare, but severe, life-threatening complication. Corticosteroids must be used with caution. Plasma exchange could be considered in selected cases.

Undernutrition and Obesity Are Associated with Adverse Clinical Outcomes in Hospitalized Children and Adolescents with Acute Pancreatitis

Background: Adult studies demonstrated that extremes of nutritional status adversely impact clinical outcomes in acute pancreatitis (AP). With rising prevalence of undernutrition/obesity in children, we analyzed the effect of nutritional status on the clinical outcomes in children and adolescents with acute pancreatitis. Methodology: We analyzed the Kids’ Inpatient Database (KID) between 2003 and 2016 to include all patients with a primary diagnosis of AP using specific International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes. We classified into (1) undernutrition, (2) obesity and (3) control groups, based on ICD codes, and we compared severe acute pancreatitis and healthcare utilization (length of stay and hospitalization costs). Results: Total number of AP admissions was 39,805. The prevalence of severe AP was higher in the undernutrition and obesity groups than the control group (15.7% vs. 5.8% vs. 3.5% respectively, p < 0.001). Multivariate analyses demonstrated that undernutrition and obesity were associated with 2.5 and 1.6 times increased risk of severe AP, p < 0.001. Undernutrition was associated with an additional six days of hospitalization and almost $16,000 in hospitalization costs. Obesity was associated with an additional 0.5 day and almost $2000 in hospitalization costs, p < 0.001. Conclusion: Undernutrition and obesity were associated with greater severity of AP, as well as prolonged hospitalization stay and costs. It is imperative for treating clinicians to be aware of these high-risk groups to tailor management and strive for improved outcomes.

Effect of initiation of renal replacement therapy on mortality in acute pancreatitis patients

This study aims to explore effect of initiation of renal replacement therapy (RRT) on mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP) patients. In this study, a total of 92 patients from the surgical intensive care unit (SICU) of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University who were diagnosed with AP and underwent RRT or not between January 2014 and December 2018 were included in this retrospective study. Demographic and clinical data were obtained on admission to SICU. Patients were divided into early initiation of RRT group (n = 44) and delayed initiation of RRT group (n = 48). Duration of mechanical ventilation (MV), intra-peritoneal pressure, vasopressors infusion, body temperature, procalcitonin, creatinine, platelet counts, length of hospital stay and prognosis were recorded during hospitalization, and then compared between groups. Patients with delayed initiation of RRT exhibited significantly higher APACHE II score, SOFA score and lower GCS score than those with early initiation of RRT (P < 0.001, <0.001,  = 0.04, respectively). No difference in the rest of the baseline data and vasopressors infusion was found. Dose of Norepinephrine, maximum and mean PCT, maximum and mean creatinine, maximum and mean intra-peritoneal pressure, length of hospital stay, prognosis of ICU and hospitalization showed significant difference between groups. Early initiation of RRT may be beneficial for AP patients, which can provide some insight and support for patients' treatment in clinic.

Renal doppler changes in patients with acute pancreatitis: A prospective study

BACKGROUND

Renal Doppler to assess renal resistive index (RRI) is an attractive option to prognosticate acute kidney injury (AKI) in acute pancreatitis (AP) as it is feasible within scope of point-of-care ultrasound. However, RRI has been infrequently evaluated in AP.

OBJECTIVE

Prospectively study diagnostic and prognostic performance of RRI in patients with AP.

METHODOLOGY

75 patients with AP were prospectively enrolled and followed till recovery/death. All patients were subjected to renal Doppler and RRI was compared between patients with and without AKI.

RESULTS

Thirty six patients developed AKI and 39 patients did not develop AKI. AKI network stage 1, 2 and 3 AKI was seen in 7(19.4%), 12(33.3%) and 17 (47.2%) patients respectively. Prognostic scoring done at admission by SIRS, modified marshal score, and BISAP scores, as well as duration of hospitalization and mortality rates were significantly higher in patients with AKI. Mean peak systolic velocity and RRI at upper, middle and lower poles of bilateral kidneys were comparable between patients with and without AKI. The RRI was abnormal in 46 (66.6%) patients and it was <0.6 in 35/46 (76%) and >0.7 in 11/46 (24%) patients respectively. RRI <0.6 was observed in 16 (53.3%) and 19 (48.7%) patients with and without AKI respectively (p = 0.80). RRI >0.7 was observed in 4 (53.3%) and 7 (48.7%) patients with and without AKI respectively (p = 0.74).

CONCLUSIONS

AKI is associated with poor prognosis in AP. RRI on renal Doppler at admission seems to have poor diagnostic as well as prognostic performance for AKI in patients with AP.

Deceased serum bilirubin and albumin levels in the assessment of severity and mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis

Background: Our study investigated the diagnostic and prognostic role of serum antioxidant indexes in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). Methods: This study included 708 AP patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) database and 477 patients from the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD). X-tile software was applied to determine the best cutoff values for serum antioxidant indexes. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were employed to select variables associated with severe AP (SAP) and in-hospital mortality. Finally, the nomograms were also externally validated in the eICU-CRD. Results: The best cutoff values for serum total bilirubin (TBIL) and albumin were 1.1 mg/dL and 2.1 g/dL in the training set, respectively. Multivariate logistical regression indicated that both TBIL (odds ratio [OR]=0.740, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.616-0.889, P=0.001) and albumin (OR=0.890, 95%CI: 0.819-0.967, P=0.006) were independent risk factors for SAP. Similarly, multivariate Cox analysis revealed that serum TBIL (hazard ratio [HR]=0.768, 95%CI:0.635-0.928, P=0.006) and albumin (HR=0.962, 95%CI:0.927-0.998, P=0.037) were independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in AP patients. The diagnostic nomogram containing TBIL, albumin, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and urea nitrogen and prognostic nomogram combining TBIL, albumin, white blood count, SOFA score, and age obtained good discrimination, calibration and clinical utility in both the MIMIC-III and eICU-CRD. Conclusion: Serum TBIL and albumin were independent predictors for SAP and in-hospital mortality in AP patients. The nomograms combining serum TBIL and albumin with other significant features exerted favorable predictive performance for SAP and in-hospital mortality.

Th17/Treg imbalance in patients with severe acute pancreatitis: Attenuated by high-volume hemofiltration treatment

BACKGROUND

To investigate the effect of high-volume hemofiltration (HVHF) on Th17/Treg imbalance in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

METHODS

Forty-two patients with SAP were randomly received 24 hours of continuous HVHF (n = 21) or without HVHF (n = 21). At day 28, all 42 patients were divided into survival group (n = 32) and non-survival group (n = 10). Venous blood samples collected at 0, 6, 12, and 24 hours during HVHF treatment (or equivalent time in non-HVHF group) were assessed by flow cytometry to detect Th17 and Treg cells. Concentrations of IL-6, IL-17, IL-10, and TGF-β1 were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.

RESULTS

Th17%, Treg%, Th17/Treg, and levels of related cytokines were significantly higher in SAP patients than healthy controls (P < .05), and these changes were more pronounced in SAP patients with multiple organ failure than those with single organ failure (P < .05). After HVHF treatment, Th17%, Treg%, Th17/Treg, IL-6, IL-17, and IL-10 significantly reduced (P < .05), while there were no significant changes in non-HVHF group (P > .05). In addition, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II and sequential organ failure assessment scores decreased markedly after HVHF treatment. Baselines of Th17%, Treg%, Th17/Treg, and related cytokines were significantly higher in non-survival group than survival group. Both acute physiology and chronic health evaluation I score and IL-6 level were positively correlated with Th17% before and after HVHF treatment (P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Th17/Treg imbalance is present in SAP and may be correlated with its severity and prognosis. HVHF effectively attenuates the Th17/Treg imbalance in SAP patients. The beneficial effect of HVHF on Th17/Treg imbalance is possibly associated with removing excess inflammatory mediators.

Evaluation of Prognostic Factors of Severity in Acute Biliary Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disorder of the pancreas that, when classified as severe, is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Promptly identifying the severity of AP is of extreme importance for improving clinical outcomes. The aim of this study was to compare the prognostic value of serological biomarkers, ratios, and multifactorial scores in patients with acute biliary pancreatitis and to identify the best predictors. In this observational and prospective study, the biomarkers, ratios and multifactorial scores were evaluated on admission and at 48 h of the symptom onset. On admission, regarding the AP severity, the white blood count (WBC) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and regarding the mortality, the WBC and the modified Marshall score (MMS) showed the best predictive values. At 48 h, regarding the AP severity, the hepcidin, NLR, systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) and MMS and regarding the mortality, the NLR, hepcidin and the bedside index for severity in AP (BISAP) score, showed the best predictive values. The present study enabled the identification, for the first time, of SIRI as a new prognostic tool for AP severity, and validated hepcidin and the NLR as better prognostic markers than C-reactive protein (CRP) at 48 h of symptom onset.

Clinical practice of acute pancreatitis in Japan: An analysis of nationwide epidemiological survey in 2016

BACKGROUND

To provide updates on clinical practice of acute pancreatitis (AP) in Japan, we conducted a nationwide epidemiological survey.

METHODS

This study consisted of a two-staged survey; the number of AP patients was estimated by the first-stage survey and their clinical features were examined by the second-stage survey. We surveyed AP patients who had visited hospitals in 2016.

RESULTS

The estimated number of AP patients in 2016 was 78,450, with an overall incidence of 61.8 per 100,000 persons. We obtained detailed clinical information of 2994 AP patients, including 706 (23.6%) severe cases classified according to the Japanese severity criteria. The male-to-female sex ratio was 2.0, and the mean age at onset was 59.9 years in males and 66.5 years in females. Alcohol was the most common etiology (42.8%) in males and gallstones in females (37.7%). The AP-associated mortality was 6.1% in severe AP cases, which was decreased by 40% compared to the 2011 survey. Antibiotics were administered to most cases, with carbapenem being frequently used. Enteral nutrition was given in 31.8% of severe cases, but majority cases received after 48 h. Among the 107 patients who received intervention for walled-off necrosis, five patients received surgery-first approach, 66 received endoscopic ultrasound-guided transluminal drainage, and 19 underwent step-up approach.

CONCLUSIONS

We clarified the current status of AP in Japan including the significant reduction of mortality in severe cases, shift to endoscopic approaches for walled-off necrosis, and poor compliance of the recommendations in the guidelines including management of enteral nutrition and antibiotic administration.

Fat-modified computed tomography severity index (CTSI) is a better predictor of severity and outcome in patients with acute pancreatitis compared with modified CTSI

BACKGROUND

The amount of intra-abdominal fat on CT correlates positively with the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP). The objective of the study was to evaluate a fat-modified CT severity index (FMCTSI) and compare its performance with MCTSI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

For this retrospective study, 99 patients with AP who underwent contrast-enhanced CT between 3 and 7 days after pain onset were divided into a training cohort (n = 75) and a validation cohort (n = 24). MCTSI was calculated. The total adipose tissue (TAT), visceral adipose tissue (VAT), and total to visceral fat ratio (TVFR) were computed using semi-automatic software. These parameters were given a score of 1-3. FMCTSI was calculated by adding the fat score to MCTSI. Concordance for diagnosing the severity of AP was assessed. Areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) for predicting clinical outcomes were compared between FMCTSI and MCTSI. The diagnostic performance of the FMCTSI in the validation cohort was also evaluated.

RESULTS

In the training cohort, our proposed FMCTSI performed better than MCTSI for all the outcome parameters. The highest concordance for the severity of AP was achieved for VAT-MCTSI. For all outcome parameters, the highest AUC was seen for TVFR-MCTSI. In the validation cohort, the FMCTSI achieved diagnostic performance similar to the training cohort with the highest AUC for TVFR-MCTSI.

CONCLUSION

FMCTSI is a better CT index than MCTSI for predicting the severity and clinical outcomes of AP. Among the various FMCTSI parameters, TVFR-MCTSI is the best performer.

Factors associated with mortality in patients with infected pancreatic necrosis: the "surgery effect"

Severe acute pancreatitis complicated by infection is associated with high mortality. Invasive treatment is indicated in the presence of infected (suspected) pancreatic and/or peripancreatic necrosis (IPN) in the absence of response to intensive medical support. Step-up approach (SUA) has been demonstrated to lower complication rate compared to upfront open surgery. However, this approach has not been associated with lower mortality, and no factors have been studied that could help to identify the high risk patients. In this study, we aimed to analyse those factors associated with mortality following the invasive treatment of IPN, focusing on the role of surgical necrosectomy. A retrospective and observational study based on a multicentre prospective database was conducted. The database was coordinated by the Hospital General Universitario de Alicante, Spain and the Spanish Association of Pancreatology. Demographics, clinical data, and laboratory and imaging findings were collected. Atlanta 2012 criteria were considered to classify acute necrotizing pancreatitis and for the definition of IPN. Step-up approach was used in all centres with the intention of avoiding surgery whenever possible. Surgical necrosectomy was performed by open approach. From January 2013 to October 2014, a total of 1655 patients with the diagnosis of acute pancreatitis were included in our database. 1081 were recruited for the final analysis. Out of them, 205 (19%) were classified into acute necrotizing pancreatitis. 77 (8.3%) patients underwent invasive treatment of INP and were included in our study. Overall mortality was 29.9%. Upfront endoscopic or percutaneous drainage was performed in 60 (77.9%) patients and mortality was 26.6%. Out of 60, 22 (36.6%) patients subsequently received rescue surgery; mortality in rescue surgery group was 18.3%. Upfront surgery was carried out in 17 (22.1%) patients; mortality in this group was 41%. At univariate analysis, surgical necrosectomy, extrapancreatic infection, immunosuppression and de-novo haemodialysis were associated with mortality. At multivariate analysis, only surgical necrosectomy was significantly associated with mortality (p = 0.002 OR 3.89). Surgical approach for IPN is associated with high mortality rate. However, these data should be interpreted with caution, since we are not able to assess whether this occurs due to the need of surgery as the only resort when the other approaches are not feasible or fail.

Initially elevated arterial lactate as an independent predictor of poor outcomes in severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

The present study aimed to investigate the relationships between arterial lactate levels and outcomes in severe acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

The study retrospectively analyzed the medical data of 329 patients with severe acute pancreatitis from January 2014 to February 2019. We compared baseline characteristics, laboratory data, severity scores, types of persistent organ failure, and primary and secondary outcomes of patients with and without elevated arterial lactate levels at admission. A multivariate logistic regression analysis model and receiver operating characteristic curve were adopted to evaluate the value of arterial lactate ≥4 mmol/L for identifying high-risk patients. Trends in arterial lactate levels were compared between patients in the survivor and nonsurvivor groups over a period of 7 days.

RESULTS

Compared to normal arterial lactate levels, patients with elevated arterial lactate levels show significantly higher incidences of multiple persistent organ failure (3% vs 30%, P < 0.01), death (2% vs 11%, P < 0.01), septic shock (4% vs 24%, P < 0.01), pancreatic infection (12% vs 37%, P < 0.01), abdominal compartment syndrome (3% vs 20%, P < 0.01), pancreatic necrosis (41% vs 63%, P < 0.01), and a need for ventilator support (26% vs 54%, P < 0.01). For predicting mortality, arterial lactate levels ≥4 mmol/L had a high hazard ratio (10, 95% CI; 3.7-27; P < 0.01) and the highest area under the curve (0.78).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that initially elevated arterial lactate is independently associated with poor outcomes and death in patients with severe acute pancreatitis and may serve as an early high-risk stratification indicator.

EarLy Elimination of Fatty Acids iN hypertriglyceridemia-induced acuTe pancreatitis (ELEFANT trial): Protocol of an open-label, multicenter, adaptive randomized clinical trial

INTRODUCTION

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a life-threatening inflammatory disease, with no specific pharmacological treatment. However, concerning some etiologies, early specific intervention (such as ERCP in biliary AP) has proven to be remarkably beneficial. Hypertriglyceridemia (HTG) induces severe pancreatic damage by several direct (cellular damage) and indirect (deterioration of microcirculation) mechanisms. Published data suggest that early removal of triglycerides (TGs) and toxic free fatty acids (FFAs) may be advantageous; however, high-quality evidence is still missing in the literature.

METHODS

Design: ELEFANT is a randomized controlled, multicenter, international trial testing the concept that early elimination of TGs and FFAs from the blood is beneficial in HTG-AP. The study will be performed with the adaptive "drop-the-loser" design, which supports the possibility of dropping the inferior treatment arm, based on the results of the interim analysis. Patients with HTG-AP defined by TG level over 11.3 mmol/l (1000 mg/dL) are randomized into three groups: (A) patients who undergo plasmapheresis and receive aggressive fluid resuscitation; (B) patients who receive insulin and heparin treatment with aggressive fluid resuscitation; and (C) patients with aggressive fluid resuscitation. Please note that all intervention must be started within 48 h from the onset of abdominal pain. Exclusion criteria are designed logically to decrease the possibility of any distorting effects of other diseases. The composite primary endpoint will include both severity and mortality.

RESULTS

Our null hypothesis is that early elimination of HTG and FFAs reduces the risk of mortality and severity of AP. Sample size calculation suggests that 495 patients will need to be enrolled in order to confirm or reject the hypothesis with a 10% dropout, 80% power and 95% significance level. The general safety and quality checks required for high-quality evidence will be adhered to. The study will be organized between February 2020 and December 2025.

CONCLUSION

Our study would provide the first direct evidence for or against early intervention in HTG-induced AP.

The diagnostic work-up and outcomes of 'presumed' idiopathic acute pancreatitis: A post-hoc analysis of a multicentre observational cohort

INTRODUCTION

After standard diagnostic work-up, the aetiology of acute pancreatitis remains unknown in 16-27% of cases, a condition referred to as idiopathic acute pancreatitis (IAP). Determining the aetiology of pancreatitis is essential, as it may direct treatment in the acute phase and guides interventions to prevent recurrent pancreatitis.

METHODS

Between 2008 and 2015, patients with acute pancreatitis were registered prospectively in 19 Dutch hospitals. Patients who had a negative initial diagnostic work-up with regard to the underlying aetiology of their pancreatitis were labelled 'presumed' IAP. The aim of this study was to assess the use of diagnostic modalities and their yield to establish an aetiology in 'presumed' IAP, and to assess recurrence rates both with and without treatment.

RESULTS

Out of the 1632 registered patients, 191 patients had a first episode of 'presumed' IAP, of whom 176 (92%) underwent additional diagnostic testing: CT (n = 124, diagnostic yield 8%), EUS (n = 62, yield 35%), MRI/MRCP (n = 56, yield 33%), repeat ultrasound (n = 97, yield 21%), IgG4 (n = 54, yield 9%) and ERCP (n = 15, yield 47%). In 64 of 176 patients (36%) an aetiological diagnosis was established, mostly biliary (n = 39). In 13 out of 176 of patients (7%) a neoplasm was diagnosed. If additional diagnostic workup revealed an aetiology, the recurrence rate was lower in the treated patients than in the patients without a definite aetiology (15% versus 43%, p = 0.014).

CONCLUSION

Additional diagnostic testing revealed an aetiology in one-third of 'presumed' IAP patients. The aetiology found was mostly biliary, but occasionally neoplasms were found. Identification of an aetiology with subsequent treatment reduced the rate of recurrence.

Etiology and mortality in severe acute pancreatitis: A multicenter study in Japan

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) has a high mortality rate despite ongoing attempts to improve prognosis through a various therapeutic modalities. This study aimed to delineate etiology-based routes that may guide clinical decisions for the treatment of SAP.

METHODS

Using data from a recent retrospective multicenter study in Japan, we analyzed the association between clinical outcomes, mainly in-hospital mortality and pancreatic infection, and various etiologies while considering confounding factors. We performed additional multivariate analyses and built decision tree models.

RESULTS

The 1097 participating patients were classified into the following groups by etiology: alcohol (n = 436, 39.7%); cholelithiasis (n = 230, 21.0%); idiopathic (n = 227, 20.7%); and others (n = 204, 18.6%). Mortality at hospital discharge was 8.4%, 12.2%, 16.7%, and 16.2% in the alcohol, cholelithiasis, idiopathic, and others groups, respectively. According to multivariable analysis, early enteral nutrition (EN) was significantly associated with reduced in-hospital mortality only in the cholelithiasis group. However, there was a consistent association between age and the need for mechanical ventilation and increased mortality, regardless of etiology. Our decision tree models presented different contributing factors depending on the etiology and patient background. Interaction analysis showed that EN and the use of prophylactic antibiotics may influence these results differently according to etiology.

CONCLUSIONS

No study has yet used comprehensive models to investigate etiology-related prognostic factors for SAP; our results can, therefore, be used as a reference for improving clinical decisions.

Nasogastric versus nasojejunal tube feeding for severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Nutrition is an important aspect of management in severe acute pancreatitis. Enteral nutrition has advantages over parenteral nutrition and is the preferred method of feeding. Enteral feeding via nasojejunal tube is often recommended, but its benefits over nasogastric feeding are unclear. The placement of a nasogastric tube is technically simpler than the placement of a nasojejunal tube.

OBJECTIVES

To compare the mortality, morbidity, and nutritional status outcomes of people with severe acute pancreatitis fed via nasogastric tube versus nasojejunal tube.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, Embase, and LILACS on 17 October 2019 without using any language restrictions. We also searched reference lists and conference proceedings for relevant studies and clinical trial registries for ongoing trials. We contacted authors for additional information.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and quasi-RCTs comparing enteral feeding by nasogastric and nasojejunal tubes in participants with severe acute pancreatitis.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently screened studies for inclusion, assessed risk of bias of the included studies, and extracted data. This information was independently verified by the other review authors. We used standard methods expected by Cochrane to assess the risk of bias and perform data synthesis. We rated the certainty of evidence according to GRADE.

MAIN RESULTS

We included five RCTs that randomised a total of 220 adult participants from India, Scotland, and the USA. Two of the trial reports were available only as abstracts. The trials differed in the criteria used to rate the severity of acute pancreatitis, and three trials excluded those who presented in severe shock. The duration of onset of symptoms before presentation in the trials ranged from within one week to four weeks. The trials also differed in the methods used to confirm the placement of the tubes and in what was considered to be nasojejunal placement. We assessed none of the trials as at high risk of bias, though reporting of methods in four trials was insufficient to judge the risk of bias for one or more of the domains assessed. There was no evdence of effect with nasogastric or nasojejunal placement on the primary outcome of mortality (risk ratio (RR) 0.65, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.36 to 1.17; I² = 0%; 5 trials, 220 participants; very low-certainty evidence due to indirectness and imprecision). Similarly, there was no evidence of effect on the secondary outcomes for which data were available. These included organ failure (3 trials, 145 participants), rate of infection (2 trials, 108 participants), success rate (3 trials, 159 participants), complications associated with the procedure (2 trials, 80 participants), need for surgical intervention (3 trials, 145 participants), requirement of parenteral nutrition (2 trials, 80 participants), complications associated with feeds (4 trials, 195 participants), and exacerbation of pain (4 trials, 195 participants). However, the certainty of the evidence for these secondary outcomes was also very low due to indirectness and imprecision. Three trials (117 participants) reported on length of hospital stay, but the data were not suitable for meta-analysis. None of the trials reported data suitable for meta-analysis for the other secondary outcomes of this review, which included days taken to achieve full nutrition requirement, duration of tube feeding, and duration of analgesic requirement after feeding tube placement.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

There is insufficient evidence to conclude that there is superiority, inferiority, or equivalence between the nasogastric and nasojejunal mode of enteral tube feeding in people with severe acute pancreatitis.

Is aggressive intravenous fluid resuscitation beneficial in acute pancreatitis? A meta-analysis of randomized control trials and cohort studies

BACKGROUND

There is conflincting evidence on the intravenous fluid (IVF) strategy for acute pancreatitis (AP). We perform a metaanalysis of the available evidence.

AIM

To investigate if aggressive IVF therapy in AP patients is beneficial to decrease mortality and improve outcomes.

METHODS

Metaanalysis of available randomized controlled trials and cohort studies comparing aggressive IVF vs non-aggressive IVF resuscitation.

RESULTS

There was no significant difference in mortality between the aggressive (n = 1229) and non-aggressive IVF (n = 1397) patients. Patients receiving aggressive IVF therapy had higher risk for acute kidney injury and acute respiratory distress syndrome. There also was no significant difference in the overall incidence of systemic inflammatory response syndrome, persistent organ failure, pancreatic necrosis when comparing both study groups.

CONCLUSION

Early aggressive IVF therapy did not improve mortality. Moreover, aggressive IVF therapy could potentially increase the risk for acute kidney injury and pulmonary edema leading to respiratory failure and mechanical ventilation. Studies are needed to investigate which subset of AP patients could benefit from aggressive IVF therapy.

Severity of acute gastrointestinal injury grade is a good predictor of mortality in critically ill patients with acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Gastrointestinal (GI) dysfunction is a common and important complication of acute pancreatitis (AP), especially in patients with severe AP. Despite this, there is no consensus means of obtaining a precise assessment of GI function.

AIM

To determine the association between acute gastrointestinal injury (AGI) grade and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with AP.

METHODS

Patients with AP admitted to our pancreatic intensive care unit from May 2017 to May 2019 were enrolled. GI function was assessed according to the AGI grade proposed by the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine in 2012, which is mainly based on GI symptoms, intra-abdominal pressure, and feeding intolerance in the first week of admission to the intensive care unit. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association between AGI grade and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with AP.

RESULTS

Among the 286 patients included, the distribution of patients with various AGI grades was 34.62% with grade I, 22.03% with grade II, 32.52% with grade III, and 10.84% with grade IV. The distribution of mortality was 0% among those with grade I, 6.35% among those with grade II, 30.11% among those with grade III, and 61.29% among those with grade IV, and AGI grade was positively correlated with mortality (χ² = 31.511, P < 0.0001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, serum calcium level, AGI grade, persistent renal failure, and persistent circulatory failure were independently associated with mortality. Compared with the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (area under the curve: 0.739 vs 0.854; P < 0.05) and Ranson score (area under the curve: 0.72 vs 0.854; P < 0.01), the AGI grade was more useful for predicting mortality.

CONCLUSION

AGI grade is useful for identifying the severity of GI dysfunction and can be used as a predictor of mortality in critically ill patients with AP.

Efficacy of ulinastatin for the treatment of patients with severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study is to explore the efficacy and safety of ulinastatin for the treatment of patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

METHODS

We will search randomized controlled trials which assess the efficacy and safety of ulinastatin for patients with SAP from the electronic databases of Cochrane Library, MEDILINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, PsycINFO, Scopus, CBM, Wangfang, VIP, and CNKI. All electronic databases will be searched from inception to the present with no limitations of language and publication status. Two researchers will carry out study selection, data extraction, and study quality assessment independently. Another researcher will help to resolve any disagreements between 2 researchers.

RESULTS

The outcomes include overall mortality, time of hospital stay, complications of systematic or local infection, multiple organ deficiency syndrome, health related quality of life (as measured as the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey), and adverse events related to nutrition.

CONCLUSION

This study will provide evidence to evaluate the efficacy and safety of ulinastatin in the treatment of patients with SAP.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42019149566.

Antidiabetic Medications and Mortality Risk in Individuals With Pancreatic Cancer-Related Diabetes and Postpancreatitis Diabetes: A Nationwide Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

There are no specific treatment guidelines for diabetes of the exocrine pancreas. High-quality studies are warranted to investigate whether the use of antidiabetic medications has survival benefit in individuals with diabetes of the exocrine pancreas. The objective was to determine the risk of mortality associated with the use of antidiabetic medications in individuals with pancreatic cancer-related diabetes (PCRD) and postpancreatitis diabetes mellitus (PPDM).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Nationwide pharmaceutical dispensing data (2006-2015) linked to hospital discharge data were used to identify 1,862 individuals with PCRD or PPDM. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was conducted, and the risk was expressed as hazard ratios and 95% CIs. A 6-month lag was used to minimize reverse causality.

RESULTS

In individuals with PCRD, ever users of metformin (adjusted hazard ratio 0.54; 95% CI 0.46-0.63) and ever users of insulin (adjusted hazard ratio 0.46; 95% CI 0.39-0.55) had significantly lower risks of mortality compared with never users of antidiabetic medications. These associations attenuated toward the null with the use of a 6-month lag. In individuals with PPDM, ever users of metformin had a significantly lower risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 0.51; 95% CI 0.36-0.70), whereas ever-users of insulin did not have a significantly changed risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 0.75; 95% CI 0.49-1.14) compared with never users of antidiabetic medications. The former association remained significant with the use of a 6-month lag.

CONCLUSIONS

Metformin promotes a survival benefit in individuals with PPDM but not PCRD. Reverse causality may play a role in the association between insulin use and mortality in PCRD.

Prognostic value of red blood cell distribution width for severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a common condition in the intensive care unit (ICU) and has a high mortality. Early evaluation of the severity and prognosis is very important for SAP therapy. Recently, red blood cell distribution (RDW) was associated with mortality of sepsis patients and could be used as a predictor of prognosis. Similarly, RDW may be associated with the prognosis of SAP patients and be used as a prognostic indicator for SAP patients.

AIM

To investigate the prognostic value of RDW for SAP patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled SAP patients admitted to the ICU of the First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University from June 2015 to June 2017. According to the prognosis at 90 d, SAP patients were divided into a survival group and a non-survival group. RDW was extracted from a routine blood test. Demographic parameters and RDW were recorded and compared between the two groups. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was constructed and Cox regression analysis was performed to investigate the prognostic value of RDW for SAP patients.

RESULTS

In this retrospective cohort study, 42 SAP patients were enrolled, of whom 22 survived (survival group) and 20 died (non-survival group). The baseline parameters were comparable between the two groups. The coefficient of variation of RDW (RDW-CV), standard deviation of RDW (RDW-SD), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score were significantly higher in the non-survival group than in the survival group (P < 0.05). The RDW-CV and RDW-SD were significantly correlated with the APACHE II score and SOFA score, respectively. The areas under the ROC curves (AUCs) of RDW-CV and RDW-SD were all greater than those of the APACHE II score and SOFA score, among which, the AUC of RDW-SD was the greatest. The results demonstrated that RDW had better prognostic value for predicting the mortality of SAP patients. When the RDW-SD was greater than 45.5, the sensitivity for predicting prognosis was 77.8% and the specificity was 70.8%. Both RDW-CV and RDW-SD could be used as independent risk factors to predict the mortality of SAP patients in multivariate logistic regression analysis and univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, similar to the APACHE II and SOFA scores.

CONCLUSION

The RDW is greater in the non-surviving SAP patients than in the surviving patients. RDW is significantly correlated with the APACHE II and SOFA scores. RDW has better prognostic value for SAP patients than the APACHE II and SOFA scores and could easily be used by clinicians for the treatment of SAP patients.

Predictive factors for the mortality of acute pancreatitis on admission

Background and aims

The revised Atlanta classification is widely used for the evaluation of acute pancreatitis (AP) severity. However, this classification cannot be used within 48 hours of AP onset. The aim of this study was to investigate the predictive factors of mortality in patients with AP on admission.

Methods

We evaluated the association between AP mortality and clinical parameters at the time of admission in patients with AP from April 2013 to December 2017 at one university hospital and one tertiary care referral center.

Results

A total of 203 consecutive patients were enrolled. Nine patients (4.4%) died despite multidisciplinary treatment. In a multivariable analysis, hematocrit ≥ 40% (odds ratio [OR], 1.07; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01–1.13; P = 0.021), blood urea nitrogen (BUN) ≥ 40 mg/dL (OR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.11–1.42; P < 0.001), base excess < -3.0 mmol/L (OR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.04–1.26; P = 0.004), and inflammation extending to the rectovesical excavation (OR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.10–1.30; P < 0.001) on admission were significantly associated with mortality.

Conclusion

Among the imaging findings, inflammation extending to the rectovesical excavation was the only independent predictive factor for mortality in AP. This simple finding, obtained on computed tomography without contrast agent on admission, might be a promising prognostic factor for AP.

Efficacy and safety of acupuncture as an adjuvant treatment for acute pancreatitis: a protocol of systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Acupuncture may be effective for acute pancreatitis (AP). This systematic review aims to assess the efficacy and safety of acupuncture as an adjuvant treatment for AP.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We will search PubMed, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, EMBASE, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wan Fang Data and Chinese Science Journal Database from inception to 30 June 2019 to identify any eligible study. Only randomised controlled trials will be included. The selection of studies, data extraction and management will be completed by two reviewers independently. The primary outcomes include the overall response rate, mortality during the treatment, the proportion of patients with severe acute pancreatitis transferred to the intensive care unit or scheduled for surgery, gastrointestinal function and the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II scores. The secondary outcomes include visual analogue scale, the use of analgesics, the recovery time of blood amylase becoming normal, tumour necrosis factor α counts, IL-6 counts, IL-10 counts, length of hospital stay and adverse events related to acupuncture (such as fainting, nausea, haematoma and local infection). Review Manager V.5.3 software will be used for statistical analyses. The risk of bias of included studies will be assessed by the Cochrane 'risk of bias' tool.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study will not involve personal information. The ethical approval will not be required. The results will be published in a peer-reviewed journal.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42018115099.

Association of elevated serum triglyceride levels with a more severe course of acute pancreatitis: Cohort analysis of 1457 patients

BACKGROUND

Previous publications have reported an association between hypertriglyceridemia (HTG) and severity of acute pancreatitis, but this relationship remains somewhat controversial.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the outcome of acute pancreatitis according to serum triglyceride levels on admission.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data, which included all consecutive cases of acute pancreatitis admitted to a tertiary hospital (January 2002-December 2014). Acute pancreatitis patients were classified into 3 groups based on serum triglyceride levels (mg/dl) measured within 48 h from admission: normal triglycerides-mild HTG (<200); moderate HTG (200-749); severe HTG (≥750). Primary outcomes were the difference in organ failure, pancreatic necrosis, acute peripancreatic collections and mortality among the three groups.

RESULTS

A total of 1,457 cases were included: 1,335 with normal-mild HTG, 77 with moderate HTG and 45 with severe HTG. The rates of organ failure (11.2% in normal-mild HTG group, 15.6% in moderate HTG and 20.0% in severe HTG), persistent multiple organ failure (2.5% vs. 5.2% vs. 6.7%), pancreatic necrosis (9.2% vs. 14.3% vs. 26.7%) and acute collections (21.6% vs. 40.3% vs. 55.6%) increased significantly with hypertriglyceridemia severity grades. On multivariate analysis, triglycerides as a quantitative variable, evaluated in increments of 100 mg/dl, was independently associated with organ failure, pancreatic necrosis, acute collections and mortality (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated serum triglyceride levels are independently associated with a more severe course of pancreatitis. It must be highlighted the elevated frequency of local complications in patients with HTG that increases proportionally and significantly with HTG severity grades.

Prediction of mortality and organ failure based on coagulation and fibrinolysis markers in patients with acute pancreatitis: A retrospective study

This study explored the predictive value of coagulation and fibrinolysis markers with acute pancreatitis (AP)-related mortality and organ failure.We retrospectively reviewed and analyzed coagulation and fibrinolysis markers and clinical outcomes of the patients with AP.A total of 273 patients with AP were enrolled, 7 patients died and 28 patients suffered from organ failure. Uni- and multivariate logistic regression identified the differences of all of the coagulation and fibrinolysis markers as risk factors for AP-related mortality. The differences of APTT value, TT value, D-dimmer level, FDP level, and AT III level were risk factors for organ failure. Furthermore, the OR of the differences of platelet, PT, APTT, TT, fibrinogen, D-dimmer, FDP, and AT III was substantially improved by grouping with intervals of 10 × 10/L, 2 seconds, 5 seconds, 3 seconds, 0.5 g/L, 3 mg/L FEU, 5 mg/L and 10%, respectively. The risk of mortality can increase up to 1.62, 5.17, and 5.60 fold for every 10 × 10/L, 2 seconds and 5 seconds of increase in platelet, PT and APTT, respectively. There is approximate 2-fold increase in risk of organ failure for every 2 seconds of TT increase. In receiver operating characteristic analysis, there is no difference in the predictive power of bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) with them in mortality or organ failure.In patients with AP, the dynamic changes of coagulation and fibrinolysis markers are good predictors for AP-related mortality and organ failure, especially platelet, PT and APTT in mortality and TT in organ failure.

Mortality predictors of patients suffering of acute pancreatitis and development of intraabdominal hypertension

Background/aim

Intraabdominal hypertension (IAH) occurs frequently in patients with acute pancreatitis and adds to their morbidity and mortality. The main aim of the study was to identify the determination of the predictive factors connected to IAH that influence the evolution of acute pancreatitis.

Materials and methods

The prospective cohort study was conducted on 100 patients who had acute pancreatitis. According to obtained intraabdominal pressure (IAP) values, the patients were divided into two groups: one group (n = 40) with normal IAP values and the other (IAH group, n = 60) with increased IAP values. Deceased patients were specially analyzed within the IAH group in order to determine mortality predictors.

Results

Statistical significance of IAP (P = 0.048), lactates (P = 0.048), peak pressure (P = 0.043), abdominal perfusion pressure (P = 0.05), and mean arterial pressure (P = 0.041) was greater for deceased than for surviving patients in the IAH group. High mortality appears for patients younger than 65 years old, with lactate level higher than 3.22 mmol/L and filtration gradient (GF) lower than 67 mmHg.

Conclusion

Age, lactates, GF, and APACHE II score are determined as mortality predictors for patients suffering from acute pancreatitis who developed IAH. The mortality rate is higher when the level of GF is decreasing and the level of lactate increasing.

Severity stratification and prognostic prediction of patients with acute pancreatitis at early phase: A retrospective study

Severity stratification and prognostic prediction at early stage is crucial for reducing the rates of mortality of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). We aim to investigate the predicting performance of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and red-cell distribution width (RDW) combined with severity scores (sequential organ failure assessment [SOFA], bed-side index for severity of AP [BISAP], Ranson criteria, and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II [APACHE II]) for severe AP (SAP) and mortality.A total of 406 patients diagnosed with AP admitted in a tertiary teaching hospital were enrolled. Demographic information and clinical parameters were retrospectively collected and analyzed. NLR, PLR, RDW, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), and AP severity scores (SOFA, BISAP, Ranson, and APACHE II) were compared between different severity groups and the survival and death group. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves for SAP and 28-day mortality were calculated for each predictor using cut-off values. Area under the curve (AUC) analysis and logistic regression models were performed to compare the performance of laboratory biomarkers and severity scores.Our results showed that NLR, PLR, RDW, glucose, and BUN level of the SAP group were significantly increased compared to the mild acute pancreatitis (MAP) group on admission (P < .001). The severity of AP increased as the NLR, SOFA, BISAP, and Ranson increased (P < .01). The AUC values of NLR, PLR, RDW, BUN, SOFA, BISAP, Ranson, and APACHE II to predict SAP were 0.722, 0.621, 0.787, 0.677, 0.806, 0.841, 0.806, and 0.752, respectively, while their AUC values to predict 28-day mortality were 0.851, 0.693, 0.885, 0.765, 0.968, 0.929, 0.812, and 0.867, respectively. BISAP achieved the highest AUC, sensitivity and NPV in predicting SAP, while SOFA is the most superior in predicting mortality. The combination of BISAP + RDW achieved the highest AUC (0.872) in predicting SAP and the combination of SOFA + RDW achieved the highest AUC (0.976) in predicting mortality. RDW (OR = 1.739), SOFA (OR = 1.554), BISAP (OR = 2.145), and Ranson (OR = 1.434) were all independent risk factors for predicting SAP, while RDW (OR = 7.361) and hematocrit (OR = 0.329) were independent risk factors for predicting mortality by logistic regression model.NLR, PLR, RDW, and BUN indicated good predictive value for SAP and mortality, while RDW had the highest discriminatory capacity. RDW is a convenient and reliable indicator for prediction not only SAP, but also mortality.

Body-mass index correlates with severity and mortality in acute pancreatitis: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Obesity rates have increased sharply in recent decades. As there is a growing number of cases in which acute pancreatitis (AP) is accompanied by obesity, we found it clinically relevant to investigate how body-mass index (BMI) affects the outcome of the disease.

AIM

To quantify the association between subgroups of BMI and the severity and mortality of AP.

METHODS

A meta-analysis was performed using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) Protocols. Three databases (PubMed, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library) were searched for articles containing data on BMI, disease severity and mortality rate for AP. English-language studies from inception to 19 June 2017 were checked against our predetermined eligibility criteria. The included articles reported all AP cases with no restriction on the etiology of the disease. Only studies that classified AP cases according to the Atlanta Criteria were involved in the severity analyses. Odds ratios (OR) and mean differences (MD) were pooled using the random effects model with the DerSimonian-Laird estimation and displayed on forest plots. The meta-analysis was registered in PROSPERO under number CRD42017077890.

RESULTS

A total of 19 articles were included in our meta-analysis containing data on 9997 patients. As regards severity, a subgroup analysis showed a direct association between AP severity and BMI. BMI < 18.5 had no significant effect on severity; however, BMI > 25 had an almost three-fold increased risk for severe AP in comparison to normal BMI (OR = 2.87, 95%CI: 1.90-4.35, P < 0 .001). Importantly, the mean BMI of patients with severe AP is higher than that of the non-severe group (MD = 1.79, 95%CI: 0.89-2.70, P < 0.001). As regards mortality, death rates among AP patients are the highest in the underweight and obese subgroups. A BMI < 18.5 carries an almost two-fold increase in risk of mortality compared to normal BMI (OR = 1.82, 95%CI: 1.32-2.50, P < 0.001). However, the chance of mortality is almost equal in the normal BMI and BMI 25-30 subgroups. A BMI > 30 results in a three times higher risk of mortality in comparison to a BMI < 30 (OR = 2.89, 95%CI: 1.10-7.36, P = 0.026).

CONCLUSION

Our findings confirm that a BMI above 25 increases the risk of severe AP, while a BMI > 30 raises the risk of mortality. A BMI < 18.5 carries an almost two times higher risk of mortality in AP.

The triad of diabetes ketoacidosis, hypertriglyceridemia and acute pancreatitis. How does it affect mortality and morbidity?: A 10-year analysis of the National Inpatient Sample

The triad of acute pancreatitis (AP) coexisting with diabetes ketoacidosis (DKA) and hypertriglyceridemia (HTG) has been reported, but no impact on mortality has been found to date. We aim to assess if patients with this triad are at a higher inpatient mortality compared to patients with acute pancreatitis only.Retrospective cohort. The National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database from 2003 to 2013 was queried for patients with a discharge diagnosis of AP and presence of DKA and HTG was ascertained based on International Classification of Diseases, 9th revision (ICD9) codes. Adjusted for age, gender, race, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), median income quartile, and hospital characteristics.Over 2.8 million AP patients were analyzed. When compared with patients with AP-only, patients with the triad of AP + DKA + HTG had higher inpatient mortality (aOR 2.8, P < .001; CI: 1.9 - 4.2), Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) (aOR 4.1, P < .001; CI: 3.6-4.6), Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) (aOR 4.9, P < .001), Shock (aOR 4.3, P < .001), Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) (aOR 3.0, P < .001), sepsis (aOR 2.6, P < .001), ileus (aOR 2.1, P < .001), parenteral nutrition requirement (aOR 1.8, P < .001), inflation-adjusted hospital charges (US$ 17,704.1), and had longer length of stay (LOS) (aOR 2.0, P < .001; CI 1.8-2.3). Furthermore, when compared to AP-only, patients with AP + HTG had lower mortality, which is different from the current AP knowledge. Finally, it appears that the driving force for the increased in mortality of patients with the triad (AP, DKA, HTG) is the DKA rather than the HTG.Patients with the triad of AP, DKA, and HTG constitute a unique subgroup of patients that has higher inpatient mortality, multi-organ failure, hospital charges, and longer hospital length of stay. Therefore, hospital protocols targeting this subgroup of AP patients could improve mortality and outcomes.

Pancreatitis cytosorbents (CytoSorb) inflammatory cytokine removal: A Prospective Study (PACIFIC)

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) usually has a mild course with a mortality rate below 1%. However, around 10% of patients develop severe AP (SAP) involving extra-pancreatic tissues and other organ systems. The mortality of SAP is around 42%. The outcome of SAP is closely related to the development of systemic inflammation and consecutive organ failures. Most current therapies including fluid resuscitation, antimicrobial therapy, drainage procedures, and endoscopic management of complications are symptomatic rather than causative approaches, except sphincterotomy for gallstone pancreatitis. Regarding the high mortality of SAP and its close association with systemic inflammation, extracorporeal removal of inflammatory mediators is an appealing approach. Several recent studies have demonstrated that the CytoSorb adsorber effectively eliminates inflammatory cytokines, such as IL-1ß, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, and TNF-alpha. Some of these trials suggested that therapy with CytoSorb might improve outcome, including a reduction in the vasopressor dosage and reversal of shock.Therefore, it is the objective of this study to evaluate the effectiveness of 2 consecutive 24 h-treatments with CytoSorb on hemodynamics in patients with early SAP.

METHODS

This study includes patients with early SAP (APACHE-II ≥10) and transpulmonary thermodilution hemodynamic monitoring (PiCCO; EV-1000) within a maximum of seven days from the onset of pain. Eligible patients will be treated with 2 consecutive periods of CytoSorb. A 20%-improvement in the vasopressor dependency index (VDI) - which relates is derived from mean arterial pressure (MAP) and catecholamine dosage - is the primary outcome. In addition to this clinical outcome, there are several laboratory (cytokine levels) and translational endpoints (including multiplex-ELISAs of numerous anti- and pro-inflammatory cytokines/chemokines and DNA analyses). Primary outcome analysis will compare the incidence of the primary endpoint in 30 patients from the intervention group to 60 matched controls with advanced hemodynamic monitoring recruited from recent studies in SAP within the same setting and the same centers.

DISCUSSION

A potential improvement in hemodynamics and/or other outcomes by CytoSorb would provide a new therapeutic option in the early treatment of SAP with a pathophysiological rationale.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study was registered on March 17, 2017 (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03082469). URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03082469.

VERSION

V_PACIFIC_1.0 September 30, 2018.

Large Volume Fluid Resuscitation for Severe Acute Pancreatitis is Associated With Reduced Mortality: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Although fluid resuscitation is critical in acute pancreatitis, the optimal fluid volume is unknown. The aim of this study is to evaluate the association between the volume of fluid administered and clinical outcomes in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter retrospective study at 44 institutions in Japan. Inclusion criteria were age 18 years or older, and diagnosed with SAP from 2009 to 2013. Patients were stratified into 2 groups: administered fluid volume <6000 and ≥6000 mL in the first 24 hours. We evaluated the association between the 2 groups and clinical outcomes using multivariable logistic regression analysis. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included the incidence of pancreatic infection and the need for surgical intervention.

RESULTS

We analyzed 1097 patients, and the mean fluid volume administered was 5618±3018 mL (mean±SD), with 708 and 389 patients stratified into the fluid <6000 mL and fluid ≥6000 mL groups, respectively. Overall in-hospital mortality was 12.3%. The fluid ≥6000 mL group had significantly higher mortality than the fluid <6000 mL group (univariable analysis, 15.9% vs. 10.3%; P<0.05). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, administration of ≥6000 mL of fluid within the first 24 hours was significantly associated with reduced mortality (odds ratio, 0.58; P<0.05). No significant association was found between the administered fluid volume and pancreatic infection, or between the volume administered and the need for surgical intervention.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with SAP, administration of a large fluid volume within the first 24 hours is associated with decreased mortality.

Survival and new-onset morbidity after critical care admission for acute pancreatitis in Scotland: a national electronic healthcare record linkage cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Severe acute pancreatitis (AP) requiring critical care admission (ccAP) impacts negatively on long-term survival.

OBJECTIVE

To document organ-specific new morbidity and identify risk factors associated with premature mortality after an episode of ccAP.

DESIGN

Cohort study.

SETTING

Electronic healthcare registries in Scotland.

PARTICIPANTS

The ccAP cohort included 1471 patients admitted to critical care with AP between 1 January 2008 and 31 December 2010 followed up until 31 December 2014. The population cohort included 3450 individuals from the general population of Scotland frequency-matched for age, sex and social deprivation.

METHODS

Record linkage of routinely collected electronic health data with population matching.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Patient demographics, comorbidity (Charlson Comorbidity Index), acute physiology, organ support and other critical care data were linked to records of mortality (death certificate data) and new-onset morbidity. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were used to identify risk factors associated with mortality.

RESULTS

310 patients with AP died during the index admission. Outcomes were not ascertained for five patients, and the deprivation quintile was not known for six patients. 340 of 1150 patients in the resulting postdischarge ccAP cohort died during the follow-up period. Greater comorbidity measured by the Charlson score, prior to ccAP, negatively influenced survival in the hospital and after discharge. The odds of developing new-onset diabetes mellitus after ccAP compared with the general population were 10.70 (95% CI 5.74 to 19.94). A new diagnosis of myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, liver disease, peptic ulcer, renal failure, cancer, peripheral vascular disease and lung disease was more frequent in the ccAP cohort than in the general population.

CONCLUSIONS

The persistent deleterious impact of severe AP on long-term outcome and survival is multifactorial in origin, influenced by pre-existing patient characteristics and acute episode features. Further mechanistic and epidemiological investigation is warranted.

New Predictor of Organ Failure in Acute Pancreatitis: CD4+ T Lymphocytes and CD19+ B Lymphocytes

OBJECTIVE

Lymphocytes are one of the main effector cells in the inflammatory response of acute pancreatitis (AP). The purpose of the study was to evaluate whether peripheral blood lymphocyte (PBL) subsets at admission change during AP based on clinical outcomes and to explore whether these changes vary by aetiology of AP. Hence, we performed a prospective study to find a predictor in lymphocyte subsets that might allow easier, earlier, and more accurate prediction of clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Patients with AP were enrolled from December 2017 to June 2018 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University. Age, sex, clinical and biochemical parameters, and aetiology of AP were obtained at admission. PBL counts were assessed within 24 hours after admission. Clinical outcomes were observed as endpoints. The areas under the curve (AUCs) of different predictors were calculated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

Overall, 133 patients were included. Patients (n=24) with organ failure (OF) had significantly lower CD4+ T lymphocyte levels than those (n=109) with No OF (NOF) (39.60 (33.94-46.13) vs. 32.41 (26.51-38.00), P=0.004). The OF group exhibited significantly higher CD19+ B lymphocytes than the NOF group (16.07 (10.67-21.06) vs. 23.78 (17.84-29.45), P=0.001). Of the AP cases, 68.8% were caused by gallstones; 10.1% were attributed to alcohol; 16.5% were due to hyperlipidaemia; and 4.6% had other causes. Across all aetiologies, a lower CD4+ T lymphocyte level was significantly related to OF (P<0.05). However, CD19+ B lymphocytes were significant only in gallstone pancreatitis (P<0.05). The ROC curve results showed that the AUC values of CD4+T lymphocytes, CD19+ B lymphocytes, and combined CD4+T lymphocytes and CD19+ B lymphocytes were similar to those of traditional scoring systems, such as APACHEII and Ranson.

CONCLUSIONS

CD4+ T and CD19+ B lymphocytes during the early phase of AP can predict OF.