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Burwell JM. The AI Efficiency Paradox: Reclaiming Quality Patient Care in an Era of Optimization. J Med Syst 2025; 49:49. [PMID: 40240567 DOI: 10.1007/s10916-025-02183-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/26/2025] [Accepted: 04/08/2025] [Indexed: 04/18/2025]
Abstract
We examine how artificial intelligence (AI) integration in healthcare may create an "efficiency paradox" where technologies designed to reduce workload can instead generate new layers of inefficiency. We argue that AI implementation strategies prioritizing efficiency metrics over meaningful patient interactions risk undermining care quality. A framework is proposed for evaluating AI adoption that balances technological optimization with perseveration of the physician-patient relationship.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julian Michael Burwell
- Department of Medical Education, Geisinger Commonwealth School of Medicine, Scranton, PA, USA.
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2
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Son JG, Shon HK, Kim JE, Lee IH, Lee TG. Peak-Based Machine Learning for Plastic Type Classification in Time-of-Flight Secondary Ion Mass Spectrometry. JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN SOCIETY FOR MASS SPECTROMETRY 2024. [PMID: 39514395 DOI: 10.1021/jasms.4c00325] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2024]
Abstract
Time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry (ToF-SIMS) measurement data and machine learning were used in this work to classify six different types of plastics. In order to take into account the characteristics of the measurement data, the local maxima of the measurement data were first examined in a preprocessing step. Several machine learning methods were then implemented to create a model that could successfully classify the plastics. To visualize the data distribution, we applied a dimensionality reduction method, namely, principal component analysis. Finally, to distinguish between the six types of plastics, we conducted an ensemble analysis using four tree-based algorithms: decision tree, random forest, gradient boosting, and LIGHTGBM. This approach can identify the feature importance of plastic samples and allow the inference of the chemical properties of each plastic type. In this way, ToF-SIMS data could be utilized to successfully classify plastics and enhance explainability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jin Gyeong Son
- Nanobio Measurement Group, Korea Research Institute of Standards and Science, Daejeon 34113, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyun Kyong Shon
- Nanobio Measurement Group, Korea Research Institute of Standards and Science, Daejeon 34113, Republic of Korea
| | - Ji-Eun Kim
- Research Institute, AIRISS Co., Ltd., Daejeon 34037, Republic of Korea
| | - In Ho Lee
- Material Property Metrology Group, Korea Research Institute of Standards and Science, Daejeon 34113, Republic of Korea
| | - Tae Geol Lee
- Nanobio Measurement Group, Korea Research Institute of Standards and Science, Daejeon 34113, Republic of Korea
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3
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Romero P, Lozano M, Dux-Santoy L, Guala A, Teixidó-Turà G, Sebastián R, García-Fernández I. Beyond the root: Geometric characterization for the diagnosis of syndromic heritable thoracic aortic diseases. Comput Biol Med 2024; 182:109176. [PMID: 39533542 DOI: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2024.109176] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2024] [Revised: 08/21/2024] [Accepted: 09/18/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024]
Abstract
Syndromic heritable thoracic aortic diseases (sHTAD), such as Marfan (MFS) or Loeys-Dietz (LDS) syndromes, involve high risk of life threatening aortic events. Diagnosis of syndromic features alone is difficult, and negative genetic tests do not necessarily exclude a genetic or hereditary condition. Periodic 3D imaging of the aorta is recommended in patients with aortic disease. Thus, an imaging-based approach aimed at identifying unique features of aortic geometry can be highly effective for diagnosing sHTAD and assessing risk. In this study, we present a method that can help identify the manifestations of sHTAD by focusing on the entire geometry of the thoracic aorta, rather than only using measurements of dilation of the aortic root. We analyze the geometric phenotype of 97 patients with genetically confirmed sHTAD (79 MF and 18 LDS) and of 45 healthy volunteers, using 3D aorta meshes obtained from phase contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance angiograms computed from 4D flow cardiac magnetic resonance. We build a geometric encoding of the aorta, based on a vessel coordinate system, and use several mathematical models to discriminate between controls and patients with sHTAD: a baseline scenario, based on aortic root dimensions only, a descriptor typically used in sHTAD patients; a low dimensional scenario, with a reduce encoding using principal component analysis; and a high-dimensional scenario, which included the full coefficient representation for geometry encoding, aiming to capture finer geometric details. The results indicate that considering the anatomy of the whole thoracic aorta can improve predictive ability. We achieve precision and sensitivity values over 0.8, with a specificity of over 70% in all the models used, while a single value classifiers (based only on aortic root diameter) demonstrated a trade-off between sensitivity and specificity. Using the mathematical properties of the vessel coordinate system representation, feature importance is mapped onto a set of anatomical traits that are used by the models to do the classification, thus providing interpretability of the results. This analysis indicates that in addition to the diameter of the aortic root, aortic elongation and a narrowing of the descending thoracic aorta may be markers of positive sHTAD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pau Romero
- CoMMLab - Computational Multiscale Simulation Lab. University of Valencia, Spain
| | - Miguel Lozano
- CoMMLab - Computational Multiscale Simulation Lab. University of Valencia, Spain
| | | | - Andrea Guala
- Vall d'Hebron Institut de Recerca (VHIR), Barcelona, Spain; CIBER de Enfermedades Cardiovasculares, CIBER-CV, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
| | - Gisela Teixidó-Turà
- CIBER de Enfermedades Cardiovasculares, CIBER-CV, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain; Department of Cardiology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Rafael Sebastián
- CoMMLab - Computational Multiscale Simulation Lab. University of Valencia, Spain
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Frassao KO, Filho SMS, Pedroso RV, Nascimento CMC, Pott H, Cominetti MR, Fraga FJ. Event-Related Potentials and Event-Related Spectral Perturbation for Classification of Apolipoprotein E ϵ4 Allele Carriers in Alzheimer Disease Patients and Healthy Controls. ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF THE IEEE ENGINEERING IN MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY SOCIETY. IEEE ENGINEERING IN MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY SOCIETY. ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE 2024; 2024:1-6. [PMID: 40039594 DOI: 10.1109/embc53108.2024.10782085] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/06/2025]
Abstract
In this paper we used Event-Related Potentials and Event-Related Spectral Perturbation as features for classification of apolipoprotein E ϵ4 allele (APOE ε4) carriers in Alzheimer disease (AD) patients and healthy controls. The study participants were 37 healthy older adults and 47 AD patients, which performed an auditory oddball task using an EEG equipment with 21 channels. A leave-one-subject-out cross-validation approach was used to perform feature selection and classification with Support Vector Machine classifiers. After feature extraction and selection, we achieved a classification accuracy of 86,90% in the APOE ε4 carriers versus non-carriers comparison (regardless of diagnosis) and 85,71% in the AD patients versus healthy controls comparison (regardless of APOE ε4 status). When combining the results of all participants we reached a global accuracy of 73,81% in the four-class classification (AD patients carriers and non-carriers, healthy elderly carriers and non-carriers). We hope our work could help clinicians to make a more accurate and earlier AD diagnosis, considering the presence of the APOE ε4 allele.
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Moreno-Sánchez PA, García-Isla G, Corino VDA, Vehkaoja A, Brukamp K, van Gils M, Mainardi L. ECG-based data-driven solutions for diagnosis and prognosis of cardiovascular diseases: A systematic review. Comput Biol Med 2024; 172:108235. [PMID: 38460311 DOI: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2024.108235] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/11/2023] [Revised: 02/07/2024] [Accepted: 02/25/2024] [Indexed: 03/11/2024]
Abstract
Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are a leading cause of death globally, and result in significant morbidity and reduced quality of life. The electrocardiogram (ECG) plays a crucial role in CVD diagnosis, prognosis, and prevention; however, different challenges still remain, such as an increasing unmet demand for skilled cardiologists capable of accurately interpreting ECG. This leads to higher workload and potential diagnostic inaccuracies. Data-driven approaches, such as machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) have emerged to improve existing computer-assisted solutions and enhance physicians' ECG interpretation of the complex mechanisms underlying CVD. However, many ML and DL models used to detect ECG-based CVD suffer from a lack of explainability, bias, as well as ethical, legal, and societal implications (ELSI). Despite the critical importance of these Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence (AI) aspects, there is a lack of comprehensive literature reviews that examine the current trends in ECG-based solutions for CVD diagnosis or prognosis that use ML and DL models and address the Trustworthy AI requirements. This review aims to bridge this knowledge gap by providing a systematic review to undertake a holistic analysis across multiple dimensions of these data-driven models such as type of CVD addressed, dataset characteristics, data input modalities, ML and DL algorithms (with a focus on DL), and aspects of Trustworthy AI like explainability, bias and ethical considerations. Additionally, within the analyzed dimensions, various challenges are identified. To these, we provide concrete recommendations, equipping other researchers with valuable insights to understand the current state of the field comprehensively.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Guadalupe García-Isla
- Department of Electronics Information and Bioengineering, Politecnico di Milano, Italy
| | - Valentina D A Corino
- Department of Electronics Information and Bioengineering, Politecnico di Milano, Italy
| | - Antti Vehkaoja
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland
| | | | - Mark van Gils
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland
| | - Luca Mainardi
- Department of Electronics Information and Bioengineering, Politecnico di Milano, Italy
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Nelson AR, Christiansen SL, Naegle KM, Saucerman JJ. Logic-based mechanistic machine learning on high-content images reveals how drugs differentially regulate cardiac fibroblasts. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2024; 121:e2303513121. [PMID: 38266046 PMCID: PMC10835125 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2303513121] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2023] [Accepted: 11/30/2023] [Indexed: 01/26/2024] Open
Abstract
Fibroblasts are essential regulators of extracellular matrix deposition following cardiac injury. These cells exhibit highly plastic responses in phenotype during fibrosis in response to environmental stimuli. Here, we test whether and how candidate anti-fibrotic drugs differentially regulate measures of cardiac fibroblast phenotype, which may help identify treatments for cardiac fibrosis. We conducted a high-content microscopy screen of human cardiac fibroblasts treated with 13 clinically relevant drugs in the context of TGFβ and/or IL-1β, measuring phenotype across 137 single-cell features. We used the phenotypic data from our high-content imaging to train a logic-based mechanistic machine learning model (LogiMML) for fibroblast signaling. The model predicted how pirfenidone and Src inhibitor WH-4-023 reduce actin filament assembly and actin-myosin stress fiber formation, respectively. Validating the LogiMML model prediction that PI3K partially mediates the effects of Src inhibition, we found that PI3K inhibition reduces actin-myosin stress fiber formation and procollagen I production in human cardiac fibroblasts. In this study, we establish a modeling approach combining the strengths of logic-based network models and regularized regression models. We apply this approach to predict mechanisms that mediate the differential effects of drugs on fibroblasts, revealing Src inhibition acting via PI3K as a potential therapy for cardiac fibrosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anders R. Nelson
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA22903
| | - Steven L. Christiansen
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA22903
- Department of Biochemistry, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT84602
| | - Kristen M. Naegle
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA22903
| | - Jeffrey J. Saucerman
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA22903
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7
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Badrulhisham F, Pogatzki-Zahn E, Segelcke D, Spisak T, Vollert J. Machine learning and artificial intelligence in neuroscience: A primer for researchers. Brain Behav Immun 2024; 115:470-479. [PMID: 37972877 DOI: 10.1016/j.bbi.2023.11.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2023] [Revised: 10/16/2023] [Accepted: 11/08/2023] [Indexed: 11/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Artificial intelligence (AI) is often used to describe the automation of complex tasks that we would attribute intelligence to. Machine learning (ML) is commonly understood as a set of methods used to develop an AI. Both have seen a recent boom in usage, both in scientific and commercial fields. For the scientific community, ML can solve bottle necks created by complex, multi-dimensional data generated, for example, by functional brain imaging or *omics approaches. ML can here identify patterns that could not have been found using traditional statistic approaches. However, ML comes with serious limitations that need to be kept in mind: their tendency to optimise solutions for the input data means it is of crucial importance to externally validate any findings before considering them more than a hypothesis. Their black-box nature implies that their decisions usually cannot be understood, which renders their use in medical decision making problematic and can lead to ethical issues. Here, we present an introduction for the curious to the field of ML/AI. We explain the principles as commonly used methods as well as recent methodological advancements before we discuss risks and what we see as future directions of the field. Finally, we show practical examples of neuroscience to illustrate the use and limitations of ML.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Esther Pogatzki-Zahn
- Department of Anaesthesiology, Intensive Care and Pain Medicine, University Hospital Muenster, Muenster, Germany
| | - Daniel Segelcke
- Department of Anaesthesiology, Intensive Care and Pain Medicine, University Hospital Muenster, Muenster, Germany
| | - Tamas Spisak
- Institute of Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology and Neuroradiology, University Medicine Essen, Essen, Germany; Center for Translational Neuro- and Behavioral Sciences, Department of Neurology, University Medicine Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Jan Vollert
- Department of Clinical and Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom; Pain Research, Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
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Nelson AR, Christiansen SL, Naegle KM, Saucerman JJ. Logic-based mechanistic machine learning on high-content images reveals how drugs differentially regulate cardiac fibroblasts. BIORXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR BIOLOGY 2023:2023.03.01.530599. [PMID: 36909540 PMCID: PMC10002757 DOI: 10.1101/2023.03.01.530599] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
Fibroblasts are essential regulators of extracellular matrix deposition following cardiac injury. These cells exhibit highly plastic responses in phenotype during fibrosis in response to environmental stimuli. Here, we test whether and how candidate anti-fibrotic drugs differentially regulate measures of cardiac fibroblast phenotype, which may help identify treatments for cardiac fibrosis. We conducted a high content microscopy screen of human cardiac fibroblasts treated with 13 clinically relevant drugs in the context of TGFβ and/or IL-1β, measuring phenotype across 137 single-cell features. We used the phenotypic data from our high content imaging to train a logic-based mechanistic machine learning model (LogiMML) for fibroblast signaling. The model predicted how pirfenidone and Src inhibitor WH-4-023 reduce actin filament assembly and actin-myosin stress fiber formation, respectively. Validating the LogiMML model prediction that PI3K partially mediates the effects of Src inhibition, we found that PI3K inhibition reduces actin-myosin stress fiber formation and procollagen I production in human cardiac fibroblasts. In this study, we establish a modeling approach combining the strengths of logic-based network models and regularized regression models, apply this approach to predict mechanisms that mediate the differential effects of drugs on fibroblasts, revealing Src inhibition acting via PI3K as a potential therapy for cardiac fibrosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anders R. Nelson
- University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA 22903
| | - Steven L. Christiansen
- University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA 22903
- Brigham Young University Department of Biochemistry, Provo, UT 84602
| | - Kristen M. Naegle
- University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA 22903
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Mumtaz H, Saqib M, Jabeen S, Muneeb M, Mughal W, Sohail H, Safdar M, Mehmood Q, Khan MA, Ismail SM. Exploring alternative approaches to precision medicine through genomics and artificial intelligence - a systematic review. Front Med (Lausanne) 2023; 10:1227168. [PMID: 37849490 PMCID: PMC10577305 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2023.1227168] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/22/2023] [Accepted: 09/20/2023] [Indexed: 10/19/2023] Open
Abstract
The core idea behind precision medicine is to pinpoint the subpopulations that differ from one another in terms of disease risk, drug responsiveness, and treatment outcomes due to differences in biology and other traits. Biomarkers are found through genomic sequencing. Multi-dimensional clinical and biological data are created using these biomarkers. Better analytic methods are needed for these multidimensional data, which can be accomplished by using artificial intelligence (AI). An updated review of 80 latest original publications is presented on four main fronts-preventive medicine, medication development, treatment outcomes, and diagnostic medicine-All these studies effectively illustrated the significance of AI in precision medicine. Artificial intelligence (AI) has revolutionized precision medicine by swiftly analyzing vast amounts of data to provide tailored treatments and predictive diagnostics. Through machine learning algorithms and high-resolution imaging, AI assists in precise diagnoses and early disease detection. AI's ability to decode complex biological factors aids in identifying novel therapeutic targets, allowing personalized interventions and optimizing treatment outcomes. Furthermore, AI accelerates drug discovery by navigating chemical structures and predicting drug-target interactions, expediting the development of life-saving medications. With its unrivaled capacity to comprehend and interpret data, AI stands as an invaluable tool in the pursuit of enhanced patient care and improved health outcomes. It's evident that AI can open a new horizon for precision medicine by translating complex data into actionable information. To get better results in this regard and to fully exploit the great potential of AI, further research is required on this pressing subject.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Muhammad Muneeb
- Department of Medicine, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Wajiha Mughal
- Department of Medicine, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Hassan Sohail
- Department of Medicine, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Myra Safdar
- Armed Forces Institute of Cardiology and National Institute of Heart Diseases (AFIC-NIHD), Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | - Qasim Mehmood
- Department of Medicine, King Edward Medical University, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Muhammad Ahsan Khan
- Department of Medicine, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan
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Hatanaka M, Kato H, Sakai M, Kariya K, Nakatani S, Yoshimura T, Inagaki T. Insights into the Luminescence Quantum Yields of Cyclometalated Iridium(III) Complexes: A Density Functional Theory and Machine Learning Approach. J Phys Chem A 2023; 127:7630-7637. [PMID: 37651718 DOI: 10.1021/acs.jpca.3c02179] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/02/2023]
Abstract
Cyclometalated iridium(III) complexes have been used in various optical materials, including organic light-emitting diodes (OLEDs) and photocatalysts, and a deeper understanding and prediction of their luminescence quantum yields (LQYs) greatly aid in accelerating material design. In this study, we integrated density functional theory (DFT) calculations with machine learning (ML) techniques to extract factors controlling LQY. Although a substantial data set of Ir(III) complexes and their LQYs is indispensable for constructing accurate ML models to predict LQYs, generating this type of data set is challenging due to the complexities associated with ab initio calculations of LQYs. To address this issue, we investigated the nonradiative decay process of nine Ir(III) complexes emitting blue to green, each exhibiting varying experimental LQYs, by using DFT calculations. For all nine complexes, the quenching process was induced by the rotation of the single bond in one of the ligands, which converted the six-coordinate structure to the five-coordinate structure. Since the decay mechanism was common for the nine Ir(III) complexes, parameters correlated with LQYs could be used as objective variables instead of LQYs. Based on this idea, we collected a data set featuring Ir(III) complexes and the energy differences between their six- and five-coordinate triplet structures, which correlated with LQYs. We also constructed ML models using the calculated LQYs as the objective variables with the parameters from the ground-state calculations as explanatory variables. The analyses of the constructed model revealed that the LUMO energy of the ligand made the most significant negative contribution to LQY. This suggests that the potential energy surface of the metal-to-ligand charge transfer (MLCT) excited state, which stabilizes the six-coordinate structure, is reduced by decreasing the energy of the unoccupied orbitals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Miho Hatanaka
- Department of Chemistry, Faculty of Science and Technology, Keio University, 3-14-1 Hiyoshi, Kohoku-ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa 223-8522, Japan
| | - Hiromoto Kato
- Department of Chemistry, Faculty of Science and Technology, Keio University, 3-14-1 Hiyoshi, Kohoku-ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa 223-8522, Japan
| | - Minami Sakai
- Division of Materials Science, Graduate School of Science and Technology, Nara Institute of Science and Technology, 8916-5 Takayama-cho, Ikokma, Nara 630-0192, Japan
| | - Kosuke Kariya
- Department of Chemistry, Faculty of Science and Technology, Keio University, 3-14-1 Hiyoshi, Kohoku-ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa 223-8522, Japan
| | - Shunsuke Nakatani
- Department of Chemistry, Faculty of Science and Technology, Keio University, 3-14-1 Hiyoshi, Kohoku-ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa 223-8522, Japan
| | - Takayoshi Yoshimura
- Department of Chemistry, Faculty of Science and Technology, Keio University, 3-14-1 Hiyoshi, Kohoku-ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa 223-8522, Japan
| | - Taichi Inagaki
- Department of Chemistry, Faculty of Science and Technology, Keio University, 3-14-1 Hiyoshi, Kohoku-ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa 223-8522, Japan
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Verhaeghe J, De Corte T, Sauer CM, Hendriks T, Thijssens OWM, Ongenae F, Elbers P, De Waele J, Van Hoecke S. Generalizable calibrated machine learning models for real-time atrial fibrillation risk prediction in ICU patients. Int J Med Inform 2023; 175:105086. [PMID: 37148868 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2023.105086] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/19/2023] [Revised: 04/19/2023] [Accepted: 04/21/2023] [Indexed: 05/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in the intensive care unit (ICU) and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Identification of patients at risk for AF is not routinely performed as AF prediction models are almost solely developed for the general population or for particular ICU populations. However, early AF risk identification could help to take targeted preemptive actions and possibly reduce morbidity and mortality. Predictive models need to be validated across hospitals with different standards of care and convey their predictions in a clinically useful manner. Therefore, we designed AF risk models for ICU patients using uncertainty quantification to provide a risk score and evaluated them on multiple ICU datasets. METHODS Three CatBoost models, utilizing feature windows comprising data 1.5-13.5, 6-18, or 12-24 hours before AF occurrence, were built using 2-repeat-10-fold cross-validation on AmsterdamUMCdb, the first freely available European ICU database. Furthermore, AF Patients were matched with no-AF patients for training. Transferability was validated using a direct and a recalibration evaluation on two independent external datasets, MIMIC-IV and GUH. The calibration of the predicted probability, used as an AF risk score, was measured using the Expected Calibration Error (ECE) and the presented Expected Signed Calibration Error (ESCE). Additionally, all models were evaluated across time during the ICU stay. RESULTS The model performance reached Areas Under the Curve (AUCs) of 0.81 at internal validation. Direct external validation showed partial generalizability with AUCs reaching 0.77. However, recalibration resulted in performances matching or exceeding that of the internal validation. All models furthermore showed calibration capabilities demonstrating adequate risk prediction competence. CONCLUSION Ultimately, recalibrating models reduces the challenge of generalization to unseen datasets. Moreover, utilizing the patient-matching methodology together with the assessment of uncertainty calibration can serve as a step toward the development of clinical AF prediction models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jarne Verhaeghe
- IDLab, Ghent University - imec, Technologiepark-Zwijnaarde 126, Ghent, 9052, Belgium.
| | - Thomas De Corte
- Department of Internal Medicine and Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Ghent University, C. Heymanslaan 10, Ghent, 9000, Belgium; Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Ghent University Hospital, C. Heymanslaan 10, Ghent, 9000, Belgium
| | - Christopher M Sauer
- Center for Critical Care Computational Intelligence (C4i), Amsterdam Medical Data Science (AMDS), Amsterdam Public Health (APH), VU University Medical Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands; Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences (ACS), Amsterdam Infection and Immunity Institute (AI and II), VU University Medical Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Tom Hendriks
- Pacmed, Stadhouderskade 55, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | | | - Femke Ongenae
- IDLab, Ghent University - imec, Technologiepark-Zwijnaarde 126, Ghent, 9052, Belgium
| | - Paul Elbers
- Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences (ACS), Amsterdam Infection and Immunity Institute (AI and II), VU University Medical Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands; Research VUmc Intensive Care (REVIVE), VU University Medical Center Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Jan De Waele
- Department of Internal Medicine and Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Ghent University, C. Heymanslaan 10, Ghent, 9000, Belgium; Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Ghent University Hospital, C. Heymanslaan 10, Ghent, 9000, Belgium
| | - Sofie Van Hoecke
- IDLab, Ghent University - imec, Technologiepark-Zwijnaarde 126, Ghent, 9052, Belgium. http://predict.idlab.ugent.be/
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Alugubelli N, Abuissa H, Roka A. Wearable Devices for Remote Monitoring of Heart Rate and Heart Rate Variability-What We Know and What Is Coming. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2022; 22:8903. [PMID: 36433498 PMCID: PMC9695982 DOI: 10.3390/s22228903] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2022] [Revised: 09/27/2022] [Accepted: 11/15/2022] [Indexed: 05/26/2023]
Abstract
Heart rate at rest and exercise may predict cardiovascular risk. Heart rate variability is a measure of variation in time between each heartbeat, representing the balance between the parasympathetic and sympathetic nervous system and may predict adverse cardiovascular events. With advances in technology and increasing commercial interest, the scope of remote monitoring health systems has expanded. In this review, we discuss the concepts behind cardiac signal generation and recording, wearable devices, pros and cons focusing on accuracy, ease of application of commercial and medical grade diagnostic devices, which showed promising results in terms of reliability and value. Incorporation of artificial intelligence and cloud based remote monitoring have been evolving to facilitate timely data processing, improve patient convenience and ensure data security.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Attila Roka
- Division of Cardiology, Creighton University and CHI Health, 7500 Mercy Rd, Omaha, NE 68124, USA
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13
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Faust O, Hong W, Loh HW, Xu S, Tan RS, Chakraborty S, Barua PD, Molinari F, Acharya UR. Heart rate variability for medical decision support systems: A review. Comput Biol Med 2022; 145:105407. [DOI: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2022.105407] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2021] [Revised: 03/09/2022] [Accepted: 03/12/2022] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
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Anand A, Kadian T, Shetty MK, Gupta A. Explainable AI decision model for ECG data of cardiac disorders. Biomed Signal Process Control 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/j.bspc.2022.103584] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
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Norori N, Hu Q, Aellen FM, Faraci FD, Tzovara A. Addressing bias in big data and AI for health care: A call for open science. PATTERNS (NEW YORK, N.Y.) 2021; 2:100347. [PMID: 34693373 PMCID: PMC8515002 DOI: 10.1016/j.patter.2021.100347] [Citation(s) in RCA: 182] [Impact Index Per Article: 45.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
Artificial intelligence (AI) has an astonishing potential in assisting clinical decision making and revolutionizing the field of health care. A major open challenge that AI will need to address before its integration in the clinical routine is that of algorithmic bias. Most AI algorithms need big datasets to learn from, but several groups of the human population have a long history of being absent or misrepresented in existing biomedical datasets. If the training data is misrepresentative of the population variability, AI is prone to reinforcing bias, which can lead to fatal outcomes, misdiagnoses, and lack of generalization. Here, we describe the challenges in rendering AI algorithms fairer, and we propose concrete steps for addressing bias using tools from the field of open science.
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Affiliation(s)
- Natalia Norori
- Institute of Computer Science, University of Bern, Neubrückstrasse 10 3012 Bern, Switzerland
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1UD, UK
| | - Qiyang Hu
- Institute of Computer Science, University of Bern, Neubrückstrasse 10 3012 Bern, Switzerland
| | | | - Francesca Dalia Faraci
- Institute of Digital Technologies for Personalized Healthcare (MeDiTech), Department of Innovative Technologies, University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Southern Switzerland, 6962 Lugano, Switzerland
| | - Athina Tzovara
- Institute of Computer Science, University of Bern, Neubrückstrasse 10 3012 Bern, Switzerland
- Sleep Wake Epilepsy Center | NeuroTec, Department of Neurology, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, 3010 Bern, Switzerland
- Helen Wills Neuroscience Institute, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
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