Prognostic significance of body temperature in the emergency department vs the ICU in Patients with severe sepsis or septic shock: A nationwide cohort study

Long-term Mortality and Hospital Readmissions Among Survivors of Sepsis in Sweden: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Background

Survivors of sepsis may experience long-term risk of increased morbidity and mortality, but estimations of cause-specific effects beyond 1 year after a sepsis episode are lacking.

Method

This nationwide population-based cohort study linked data from national registers to compare patients aged ≥18 years in Sweden admitted to an intensive care unit from 2008 to 2019 with severe community-acquired sepsis. Patients were identified through the Swedish Intensive Care Registry, and randomly selected population controls were matched for age, sex, calendar year, and county of residence. Confounding from comorbidities, health care use, and socioeconomic and demographic factors was accounted for by using entropy-balancing methods. Long-term mortality and readmission rates, total and cause specific, were compared for 20 313 patients with sepsis and 396 976 controls via Cox regression.

Results

During the total follow-up period, 56% of patients with sepsis died, as opposed to 26% of the weighted controls. The hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was attenuated with time but remained elevated in all periods: 3.0 (95% CI, 2.8-3.2) at 2 to 12 months after admission, 1.8 to 1.9 between 1 and 5 years, and 1.6 (95% CI, 1.5-1.8) at >5 years. The major causes of death and readmission among the sepsis cases were infectious diseases, cancer, and cardiovascular diseases. The hazard ratios were larger among those without underlying comorbidities.

Conclusions

Severe community-acquired sepsis was associated with substantial long-term effects beyond 1 year, as measured by mortality and rehospitalization. The cause-specific rates indicate the importance of underlying or undetected comorbidities while suggesting that survivors of sepsis may face increased long-term mortality and morbidity not explained by underlying health factors.

Systematic Literature Review of the Association of Fever and Elevated Temperature with Outcomes in Critically Ill Adult Patients

Although most commonly associated with infection, elevated temperature and fever also occur in a variety of critically ill populations. Prior studies have suggested that fever and elevated temperature may be detrimental to critically ill patients and can lead to poor outcomes, but the evidence surrounding the association of fever with outcomes is rapidly evolving. To broadly assess potential associations of elevated temperature and fever with outcomes in critically ill adult patients, we performed a systematic literature review focusing on traumatic brain injury, stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), cardiac arrest, sepsis, and general intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Searches were conducted in Embase® and PubMed® from 2016 to 2021, following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, including dual-screening of abstracts, full texts, and extracted data. In total, 60 studies assessing traumatic brain injury and stroke (24), cardiac arrest (8), sepsis (22), and general ICU (6) patients were included. Mortality, functional, or neurological status and length of stay were the most frequently reported outcomes. Elevated temperature and fever were associated with poor clinical outcomes in patients with traumatic brain injury, stroke, and cardiac arrest but not in patients with sepsis. Although a causal relationship between elevated temperature and poor outcomes cannot be definitively established, the association observed in this systematic literature review supports the concept that management of elevated temperature may factor in avoidance of detrimental outcomes in multiple critically ill populations. The analysis also highlights gaps in our understanding of fever and elevated temperature in critically ill adult patients.

Four Assessment Tools for Predicting Mortality and Adverse Events in Surgical Patients With Sepsis and Septic Shock: A Comparative Study

BACKGROUND

The mortality rate for sepsis and septic shock in surgical patients is approximately 36%, which is higher than that of other medical patients. Predisposition, infection/injury, response, and organ dysfunction (PIRO) is currently the most widely used tool for assessing patients with surgical sepsis. However, it is not a standardized assessment tool for surgical patients in general.

PURPOSE

The purposes of this study were to (a) create a modified PIRO (mPIRO) that adds a count of platelets and does not include a body temperature reading; (b) test the sensitivity and specificity of the mPIRO for predicting mortality and adverse events among patients with surgical sepsis; and (c) compare the predictive accuracy of the mPIRO, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), quick SOFA, and PIRO tools.

METHODS

A retrospective observational cohort study was conducted. Two thousand fifty-five patient medical records were reviewed, with 103 identified as meeting the inclusion criteria.

RESULTS

Compared with the other tools, mPIRO ≥ 4 achieved better sensitivity (90.5%) in predicting mortality and high sensitivity (72%) and specificity (80%) in predicting adverse events. mPIRO was the most accurate predictor of mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] = 0.83) among the tools considered. SOFA and mPIRO were the first and second most accurate predictor of adverse events, respectively, with respective AUC values of 0.86 and 0.82.

CONCLUSIONS/IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

mPIRO, which employs an easy-to-use scoring system, is a valid assessment tool with good sensitivity and AUC for predicting both mortality and adverse events in patients with surgical sepsis. We recommend using mPIRO ≥ 3 as an indicator of potential adverse events.

Effects of gruel feeding and oral dextrose on the survivability of pigs after weaning

Two experiments were conducted in a 14,400 head nursery using 3,087 (experiment 1) and 988 (experiment 2) pigs to determine the effect of gruel feeding (experiment 1) and supplemental oral dextrose (experiment 2) on nursery pig survivability after weaning. Upon arrival to the nursery, for experiment 1, the smallest 10% of pigs were selected and randomly placed in pens with 61 to 108 pigs per pen. Pens of small pigs were assigned to one of two treatments in a completely randomized design. Treatments consisted of gruel feeding two or four times per day for 14 d postplacement. At each gruel feeding, approximately 1.13 kg of solid feed was added to a round bowl (Rotecna S.A., Agramunt, Spain) located at the front of each pen and water added at a decreasing rate over time. In experiment 2, every other pig removed for welfare considerations (lameness, sick, or unthrifty) from the general population or pens of small pigs received a single 10 mL oral dose of a 50% dextrose solution (Vet One, MWI Animal Health, Boise, ID), as a source of glucose, before being placed in a removal pen. All removed pigs were tagged and weighed, body temperature recorded, and blood glucose concentration measured prior to and 30 min after entering removal pens. Overall, gruel feeding small pigs two or four times per day for 14 d postplacement did not influence (P > 0.10) mortality from weaning to the end of gruel feeding (3.78% vs. 4.25%, respectively). Likewise, dextrose administration did not influence (P > 0.10) pig mortality after removal to approximately 38 d postweaning (21.4% vs. 23.4% respectively), even though blood glucose concentration increased (P < 0.001) 30 min after removal for pigs administered dextrose. An interaction was observed for blood glucose concentration and body temperature (P < 0.001) where pigs with blood glucose concentrations less than 70 mg/dL had increased mortality as body temperature increased. In contrast, pigs with a blood glucose concentration of 70 mg/dL or greater had decreased mortality as body temperature increased. Pigs weighing less than 4.5 kg also had increased mortality (P < 0.001) compared with pigs weighing greater than or equal to 4.5 kg at removal. In summary, gruel feeding four times per day vs. two times per day or providing a dextrose supplement to pigs removed from the general population did not improve the survivability of pigs after weaning. Additionally, pigs removed with decreased body weight or with body temperature or blood glucose concentrations below or above the normal range had decreased survivability.

Temperature Monitoring and Thermal Support in Exotic Animal Critical Care

Body temperature measurement is one of the most important parameters to assess the health of a patient. In small exotic mammals, rectal temperature is obtained via a similar process as in dogs or cats, with a few specific differences. In reptiles and birds, measurement of body temperature can provide important information, albeit its accuracy may be limited. In most animals, temperature should be taken at the beginning of the examination to not artificially elevate the temperature during the physical exam. Heat support is typically indicated any time a patient's temperature is below the accepted core temperature range and cooling may be indicated whenever a patient's temperature exceeds a critical point.

Consensus Clinical Guidance for Diagnosis and Management of Adult COVID-19 Encephalopathy Patients

Encephalopathy, a common condition among patients hospitalized with COVID-19, can be a challenge to manage and negatively affect prognosis. While encephalopathy may present clinically as delirium, subsyndromal delirium, or coma and may be a result of systemic causes such as hypoxia, COVID-19 has also been associated with more prolonged encephalopathy due to less common but nevertheless severe complications, such as inflammation of the brain parenchyma (with or without cerebrovascular involvement), demyelination, or seizures, which may be disproportionate to COVID-19 severity and require specific management. Given the large number of patients hospitalized with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 infection, even these relatively unlikely complications are increasingly recognized and are particularly important because they require specific management. Therefore, the aim of this review is to provide pragmatic guidance on the management of COVID-19 encephalopathy through consensus agreement of the Global COVID-19 Neuro Research Coalition. A systematic literature search of MEDLINE, medRxiv, and bioRxiv was conducted between January 1, 2020, and June 21, 2021, with additional review of references cited within the identified bibliographies. A modified Delphi approach was then undertaken to develop recommendations, along with a parallel approach to score the strength of both the recommendations and the supporting evidence. This review presents analysis of contemporaneous evidence for the definition, epidemiology, and pathophysiology of COVID-19 encephalopathy and practical guidance for clinical assessment, investigation, and both acute and long-term management.

Relationship between Dynamic Changes of Microcirculation Flow, Tissue Perfusion Parameters, and Lactate Level and Mortality of Septic Shock in ICU

Background

Septic shock is a common clinical critical disease with high mortality, hemodynamic instability, and easy to be complicated with multiple organ failure. The rapid progress of the patient's condition poses a serious threat to patient's safety.

Aim

To investigate the relationship between the dynamic monitoring of microcirculation perfusion parameters and blood lactic acid level and the prognosis of patients with infection shock in ICU.

Methods

A total of 104 patients with septic shock admitted to ICU of Affiliated Hai'an Hospital of Nantong University from February 2018 to June 2021 were selected for clinical research. According to the survival situation of patients after 28 days of treatment, they were divided into the death group (n = 48) and the survival group (n = 56). The central venous-arterial carbon dioxide partial pressure difference (Pcv-aCO2), the ratio of central venous-arterial carbon dioxide partial pressure difference to arterial central venous oxygen content difference (Pcv-aCO2/Ca-cvO2), and blood lactic acid level were retrospectively analyzed and compared between the two groups on the first, third, and seventh days after admission to ICU. The odds ratio (OR) of three indexes affecting the prognosis of patients with septic shock was analyzed by univariate and multivariate mathematical models, and the value of three indexes in predicting the prognosis of patients was analyzed by receiver operating curve (ROC).

Results

Pcv-aCO2 and lactic acid in the death group were higher than those in the survival group on the 1st, 3rd, and 7th day of ICU stay (P < 0.05). The Pcv-aCO2/Ca-cvO2 of the death group was higher than that of the survival group on the 3rd and 7th day of ICU stay (P < 0.05). Logistic model results showed that age, SOFA score, APACHE II score, the number of multiple organ failure (MODS), intracranial infection, the increase of Pcv-aCO2, Pcv-aCO2/Ca-cvO2, and the increase of lactic acid were independent risk factors for death in patients with septic shock (OR values were 1.519, 1.808, 1.781, 1.912, 2.069, 1.848, 1.781, and 1.642, respectively, P < 0.05). The results showed that the AUC value of Pcv-aCO2 in predicting death was 0.943, and the sensitivity and specificity were 93.72% and 83.09%, respectively. The AUC value of Pcv-aCO2/Ca-cvO2 for predicting death was 0.887, and the sensitivity and specificity were 81.63% and 77.56%, respectively. The AUC value of lactic acid in predicting death of patients was 0.825, and the sensitivity and specificity were 71.66% and 82.09%, respectively.

Conclusion

Changes of microcirculation flow tissue perfusion parameters and blood lactic acid level changes are closely related to the prognosis of patients with septic shock, which is of great value in the evaluation of the prognosis of patients with septic shock.

Therapeutic Hyperthermia Is Associated With Improved Survival in Afebrile Critically Ill Patients With Sepsis: A Pilot Randomized Trial

OBJECTIVES

To test the hypothesis that forced-air warming of critically ill afebrile sepsis patients improves immune function compared to standard temperature management.

DESIGN

Single-center, prospective, open-label, randomized controlled trial.

SETTING

One thousand two hundred-bed academic medical center.

PATIENTS

Eligible patients were mechanically ventilated septic adults with: 1) a diagnosis of sepsis within 48 hours of enrollment; 2) anticipated need for mechanical ventilation of greater than 48 hours; and 3) a maximum temperature less than 38.3°C within the 24 hours prior to enrollment. Primary exclusion criteria included: immunologic diseases, immune-suppressing medications, and any existing condition sensitive to therapeutic hyperthermia (e.g., brain injury). The primary outcome was monocyte human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DR expression, with secondary outcomes of CD3/CD28-induced interferon gamma (IFN-γ) production, mortality, and 28-day hospital-free days.

INTERVENTIONS

External warming using a forced-air warming blanket for 48 hours, with a goal temperature 1.5°C above the lowest temperature documented in the previous 24 hours.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We enrolled 56 participants in the study. No differences were observed between the groups in HLA-DR expression (692 vs 2,002; p = 0.396) or IFN-γ production (31 vs 69; p = 0.678). Participants allocated to external warming had lower 28-day mortality (18% vs 43%; absolute risk reduction, 25%; 95% CI, 2-48%) and more 28-day hospital-free days (difference, 2.6 d; 95% CI, 0-11.6).

CONCLUSIONS

Participants randomized to external forced-air warming did not have a difference in HLA-DR expression or IFN-γ production. In this pilot study, however, 28-day mortality was lower in the intervention group. Future research should seek to better elucidate the impact of temperature modulation on immune and nonimmune organ failure pathways in sepsis.

Metformin attenuated sepsis-related liver injury by modulating gut microbiota

Increased evidence shows that gut microbiota acts as the primary regulator of the liver; however, its role in sepsis-related liver injury (SLI) in the elderly is unclear. This study assessed whether metformin could attenuate SLI by modulating gut microbiota in septic-aged rats. Cecal ligation and puncture (CLP) was used to induce SLI in aged rats. Fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) was used to validate the roles of gut microbiota in these pathologies. The composition of gut microbiota was analysed by 16S rRNA sequencing. Moreover, the liver and colon tissues were analysed by histopathology, immunofluorescence, immunohistochemistry, and reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT–PCR). Metformin improved liver damage, colon barrier dysfunction in aged SLI rats. Moreover, metformin improved sepsis-induced liver inflammation and damage under gut microbiota. Importantly, FMT assay showed that rats gavaged with faeces from metformin-treated SLI rats displayed less severe liver damage and colon barrier dysfunctions than those gavaged with faeces from SLI rats. The gut microbiota composition among the sham-operated, CLP-operated and metformin-treated SLI rats was different. In particular, the proportion of Klebsiella and Escherichia_Shigella was higher in SLI rats than sham-operated and metformin-treated SLI rats; while metformin could increase the proportion of Bifidobacterium, Muribaculaceae, Parabacteroides_distasonis and Alloprevitella in aged SLI rats. Additionally, Klebsiella and Escherichia_Shigella correlated positively with the inflammatory factors in the liver. Our findings suggest that metformin may improve liver injury by regulating the gut microbiota and alleviating colon barrier dysfunction in septic-aged rats, which may be an effective therapy for SLI.

Metformin attenuated sepsis-associated liver injury and inflammatory response in aged mice

Sepsis-associated liver injury is with poor survival in intensive care units. Metformin is well known for its therapeutic effects; however, its impact on treating liver injury due to sepsis remains poorly understood. This study investigated the therapeutic effects of metformin on aged mice suffering from sepsis-associated liver injury. Male C57BL/6 J mice aged (18–19 months) were divided into 3 groups: 1) intraperitoneal injection of sterile normal saline (C group), 12.5 mg/kg lipopolysaccharide (LPS) to induce sepsis-associated liver injury (LPS group), and 25 mg/kg metformin (MET) at 1 h after LPS injection (MET group). After 24 h, blood samples and liver tissue were collected for biochemical analysis. Histological assays revealed significantly elevated inflammatory infiltration and apoptosis in the liver, while metformin was found to relieve these aberrant features. The percentage of apoptotic cells decreased after metformin treatment (P < 0.05). Additionally, MET group had significantly reduced plasma alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels compared to the LPS group (P < 0.05). Furthermore, in the MET group, the mRNA levels of chemokines and inflammatory factors, TNF-α, IL-6, caspase-1, decreased markedly (P < 0.05). Metformin notably reversed the decreased phosphorylated AMP-activated protein kinase (p-AMPK) and PGC-1α expressions in the liver of septic rats. Metformin also inhibited PDK1, HIF-1α expression, including downstream inflammatory mediators, HMGB1 and TNF-α. Metformin attenuated inflammation and liver injury in septic aged mice. Most importantly, we report the effect of metformin on liver injury via the AMPK–PGC1α axis in septic aged mice for the first time.

Cluster analysis integrating age and body temperature for mortality in patients with sepsis: a multicenter retrospective study

It is not clear whether mortality is associated with body temperature (BT) in older sepsis patients. This study aimed to evaluate the mortality rates in sepsis patients according to age and BT and identify the risk factors for mortality. We investigated the clusters using a machine learning method based on a combination of age and BT, and identified the mortality rates according to these clusters. This retrospective multicenter study was conducted at five hospitals in Korea. Data of sepsis patients aged ≥ 18 years who were admitted to the intensive care unit between January 1, 2011 and April 30, 2021 were collected. BT was divided into three groups (hypothermia < 36 °C, normothermia 36‒38 °C, and hyperthermia > 38 °C), and age groups were divided using a 75-year age threshold. Kaplan‒Meier analysis was performed to assess the cumulative mortality over 90 days. A K-means clustering algorithm using age and BT was used to characterize phenotypes. During the study period, 15,574 sepsis patients were enrolled. Overall, 90-day mortality was 20.5%. Kaplan‒Meier survival analyses demonstrated that 90-day mortality rates were 27.4%, 19.6%, and 11.9% in the hypothermia, normothermia, and hyperthermia groups, respectively, in those ≥ 75 years old (Log-rank p < 0.001). Cluster analysis demonstrated three groups: Cluster A (relatively older age and lower BT), Cluster B (relatively younger age and wide range of BT), and Cluster C (relatively higher BT than Cluster A). Kaplan‒Meier curve analysis showed that the 90-day mortality rates of Cluster A was significantly higher than those of Clusters B and C (24.2%, 17.1%, and 17.0%, respectively; Log-rank p < 0.001). The 90-day mortality rate correlated inversely with BT groups among sepsis patients in either age group (< 75 and ≥ 75 years). Clustering analysis revealed that the mortality rate was higher in the cluster of patients with relatively older age and lower BT.

Fever is associated with earlier antibiotic onset and reduced mortality in patients with sepsis admitted to the ICU

To evaluate the association of body temperature with mortality in septic patients admitted to the ICU from the ward. In addition, we intend to investigate whether the timing of antibiotic administration was different between febrile and afebrile patients and whether this difference contributed to mortality. This is a retrospective cohort study that included sepsis patients admitted to the ICU from the ward between July 2017 and July 2019. Antibiotic administration was defined as the initiation of antimicrobial treatment or the expansion of the antimicrobial spectrum within 48 h prior to admission to the ICU. Regarding vital signs, the most altered vital sign in the 48 h prior to admission to the ICU was considered. Two hundred and eight patients were included in the final analysis. Antibiotic administration occurred earlier in patients with fever than in patients without fever. Antibiotic administration occurred before admission to the ICU in 27 (90.0%) patients with fever and in 101 (64.7%) patients without fever (p = 0.006). The mortality rate in the ICU was 88 in 176 (50.0%; 95% CI 42.5-57.5%) patients without fever and 7 in 32 (21.9%; 95% CI 6.7-37.0%) patients with fever (p = 0.004). In the multivariate analysis, absence of fever significantly increased the risk of ICU mortality (OR 3.462; 95% CI 1.293-9.272). We found an inverse association between body temperature and mortality in patients with sepsis admitted to the ICU from the ward. Although antibiotic administration was earlier in patients with fever and precocity was associated with reduced mortality, the time of antibiotic administration did not fully explain the lower mortality in these patients.