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Paull JS, Petros BA, Brock-Fisher TM, Jalbert SA, Selser VM, Messer KS, Dobbins ST, DeRuff KC, Deng D, Springer M, Sabeti PC. Optimisation and evaluation of viral genomic sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 rapid diagnostic tests: a laboratory and cohort-based study. THE LANCET. MICROBE 2024; 5:e468-e477. [PMID: 38621394 DOI: 10.1016/s2666-5247(23)00399-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2023] [Revised: 12/04/2023] [Accepted: 12/05/2023] [Indexed: 04/17/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 from rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) can bolster viral genomic surveillance efforts; however, approaches to maximise and standardise pathogen genome recovery from RDTs remain underdeveloped. We aimed to systematically optimise the elution of genetic material from RDT components and to evaluate the efficacy of RDT sequencing for outbreak investigation. METHODS In this laboratory and cohort-based study we seeded RDTs with inactivated SARS-CoV-2 to optimise the elution of genomic material from RDT lateral flow strips. We measured the effect of changes in buffer type, time in buffer, and rotation on PCR cycle threshold (Ct) value. We recruited individuals older than 18 years residing in the greater Boston area, MA, USA, from July 18 to Nov 5, 2022, via email advertising to students and staff at Harvard University, MA, USA, and via broad social media advertising. All individuals recruited were within 5 days of a positive diagnostic test for SARS-CoV-2; no other relevant exclusion criteria were applied. Each individual completed two RDTs and one PCR swab. On Dec 29, 2022, we also collected RDTs from a convenience sample of individuals who were positive for SARS-CoV-2 and associated with an outbreak at a senior housing facility in MA, USA. We extracted all returned PCR swabs and RDT components (ie, swab, strip, or buffer); samples with a Ct of less than 40 were subject to amplicon sequencing. We compared the efficacy of elution and sequencing across RDT brands and components and used RDT-derived sequences to infer transmission links within the outbreak at the senior housing facility. We conducted metagenomic sequencing of negative RDTs from symptomatic individuals living in the senior housing facility. FINDINGS Neither elution duration of greater than 10 min nor rotation during elution impacted viral titres. Elution in Buffer AVL (Ct=31·4) and Tris-EDTA Buffer (Ct=30·8) were equivalent (p=0·34); AVL outperformed elution in lysis buffer and 50% lysis buffer (Ct=40·0, p=0·0029 for both) as well as Universal Viral Transport Medium (Ct=36·7, p=0·079). Performance of RDT strips was poorer than that of matched PCR swabs (mean Ct difference 10·2 [SD 4·3], p<0·0001); however, RDT swabs performed similarly to PCR swabs (mean Ct difference 4·1 [5·2], p=0·055). No RDT brand significantly outperformed another. Across sample types, viral load predicted the viral genome assembly length. We assembled greater than 80% complete genomes from 12 of 17 RDT-derived swabs, three of 18 strips, and four of 11 residual buffers. We generated outbreak-associated SARS-CoV-2 genomes using both amplicon and metagenomic sequencing and identified multiple introductions of the virus that resulted in downstream transmission. INTERPRETATION RDT-derived swabs are a reasonable alternative to PCR swabs for viral genomic surveillance and outbreak investigation. RDT-derived lateral flow strips yield accurate, but significantly fewer, viral reads than matched PCR swabs. Metagenomic sequencing of negative RDTs can identify viruses that might underlie patient symptoms. FUNDING The National Science Foundation, the Hertz Foundation, the National Institute of General Medical Sciences, Harvard Medical School, the Howard Hughes Medical Institute, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the Broad Institute and the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jillian S Paull
- Department of Systems Biology, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA.
| | - Brittany A Petros
- Department of Systems Biology, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA; Division of Health Sciences and Technology, Harvard Medical School and MIT, Cambridge, MA, USA; Harvard/MIT MD-PhD Program, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
| | - Taylor M Brock-Fisher
- Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA; Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Chevy Chase, MD, USA; Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Davy Deng
- Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA
| | - Michael Springer
- Department of Systems Biology, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA; Wyss Institute for Biologically Inspired Engineering, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Pardis C Sabeti
- Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA; Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Chevy Chase, MD, USA; Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA; Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.
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Sanchez Jimenez B, Sterling T, Brown A, Modica B, Gibson K, Collins H, Koch C, Schwarz T, Dye KN. Wastewater surveillance in the COVID-19 post-emergency pandemic period: A promising approach to monitor and predict SARS-CoV-2 surges and evolution. Heliyon 2023; 9:e22356. [PMID: 38045160 PMCID: PMC10689941 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e22356] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/09/2023] [Revised: 09/17/2023] [Accepted: 11/10/2023] [Indexed: 12/05/2023] Open
Abstract
On May 24, 2023, approximately 3.5 years into the pandemic, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency. However, as there are still ∼3000 COVID-19 deaths per day in May 2023, robust surveillance systems are still warranted to return to normalcy in times of low risk and respond appropriately in times of high risk. The different phases of the pandemic have been defined by infection numbers and variants, both of which have been determined through clinical tests that are subject to many biases. Unfortunately, the end of the COVID-19 emergency threatens to exasperate these biases, thereby warranting alternative tracking methods. We hypothesized that wastewater surveillance could be used as a more accurate and comprehensive method to track SARS-CoV-2 in the post-emergency pandemic period (PEPP). SARS-CoV-2 was quantified and sequenced from wastewater between June 2022 and March 2023 to research the anticipated 2022/23 winter surge. However, in the 2022/23 winter, there was lower-than-expected SARS-CoV-2 circulation, which was hypothesized to be due to diagnostic testing biases but was confirmed by our wastewater analysis, thereby emphasizing the unpredictable nature of SARS-CoV-2 surges while also questioning its winter seasonality. Even in times of low baseline circulation, we found wastewater surveillance to be sensitive enough to detect minor changes in circulation levels ∼30-46 days prior to diagnostic tests, suggesting that wastewater surveillance may be a more appropriate early warning system to prepare for unpredictable surges in the PEPP. Furthermore, sequencing of wastewater detected variants of concern that were positively correlated with clinical samples and also provided a method to identify mutations with a high likelihood of appearing in future variants, necessary for updating vaccines and therapeutics prior to novel variant circulation. Together, these data highlight the effectiveness of wastewater surveillance in the PEPP to limit the global health burden of SARS-CoV-2 due to increases in circulation and/or viral evolution.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Trinity Sterling
- Department of Health Sciences, Stetson University, DeLand, FL, 32723, USA
| | - Austin Brown
- Department of Health Sciences, Stetson University, DeLand, FL, 32723, USA
| | - Brian Modica
- Department of Health Sciences, Stetson University, DeLand, FL, 32723, USA
| | - Kaylee Gibson
- Department of Health Sciences, Stetson University, DeLand, FL, 32723, USA
| | - Hannah Collins
- Department of Health Sciences, Stetson University, DeLand, FL, 32723, USA
| | - Carolyn Koch
- Department of Health Sciences, Stetson University, DeLand, FL, 32723, USA
| | - Tyler Schwarz
- Department of Health Sciences, Stetson University, DeLand, FL, 32723, USA
| | - Kristine N. Dye
- Department of Health Sciences, Stetson University, DeLand, FL, 32723, USA
- Department of Biology, Stetson University, DeLand, FL, 32723, USA
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3
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Tomar SS, Khairnar K. Challenges of SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance in India during low positivity rate scenario. Front Public Health 2023; 11:1117602. [PMID: 37441634 PMCID: PMC10335399 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1117602] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/06/2022] [Accepted: 06/12/2023] [Indexed: 07/15/2023] Open
Abstract
Being the second most populous country in the world, India presents valuable lessons for the world about dealing with the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. From this perspective, we attempted a retrospective evaluation of India's SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance strategy and also gave some recommendations for undertaking effective genomic surveillance. The dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic are continuously evolving, and there is a dire need to modulate the genomic surveillance strategy accordingly. The pandemic is now settling towards a low positivity rate scenario, so it is required to revise the practices and policies formulated for a high positivity rate scenario. The perspective also recommends adopting a decentralised approach for SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance with a focus on optimising the workflow of SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance to ensure early detection of emerging variants, especially in the low positivity rate scenario. The perspective emphasises a key observation that the SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance is an important mitigation effort during the pandemic, the guards of such mitigation efforts should not be lowered during the low positivity rate scenario. We attempt to highlight the limitations faced by the Indian healthcare administration during the SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance and, simultaneously, suggest policy interventions derived from our first-hand experience, which may be implementable in a vast, populated country like India.
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Affiliation(s)
- Siddharth Singh Tomar
- Environmental Virology Cell (EVC), Council of Scientific and Industrial Research-National Environmental Engineering Research Institute (CSIR-NEERI), Nagpur, India
- Academy of Scientific and Innovative Research (AcSIR), New Delhi, India
| | - Krishna Khairnar
- Environmental Virology Cell (EVC), Council of Scientific and Industrial Research-National Environmental Engineering Research Institute (CSIR-NEERI), Nagpur, India
- Academy of Scientific and Innovative Research (AcSIR), New Delhi, India
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Temte JL, Bell C, Goss MD, Reisdorf E, Tamerius J, Reddy S, Griesser R, Barlow S, Temte E, Wedig M, Shult PA. Adequacy of using a single nasal swab for rapid influenza diagnostic testing, PCR, and whole genome sequencing. PLOS GLOBAL PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 3:e0001422. [PMID: 37224148 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001422] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2022] [Accepted: 04/24/2023] [Indexed: 05/26/2023]
Abstract
Rapid influenza diagnostic tests (RIDT) demonstrate varying sensitivities, often necessitating reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) to confirm results. The two methods generally require separate specimens. Using the same anterior nasal swab for both RIDT and molecular confirmation would reduce cost and waste and increase patient comfort. The aim of this study was to determine if RIDT residual nasal swab (rNS) specimens are adequate for RT-PCR and whole genome sequencing (WGS). We performed RT-PCR and WGS on paired rNS and nasopharyngeal or oropharyngeal (NP/OP) swab specimens that were collected from primary care patients across all ages. We randomly selected 199 and 40 paired specimens for RT-PCR and WGS, respectively, from the 962 paired surveillance specimens collected during the 2014-2015 influenza season. Sensitivity and specificity for rNS specimens were 81.3% and 96.7%, respectively, as compared to NP/OP specimens. The mean cycle threshold (Ct) value for the NP/OP specimen was significantly lower when the paired specimens were both positive than when the NP/OP swab was positive and the nasal swab was negative (25.5 vs 29.5; p<0.001). Genomic information was extracted from all 40 rNS specimens and 37 of the 40 NP/OP specimens. Complete WGS reads were available for 67.5% (14 influenza A; 13 influenza B) of the rNS specimens and 59.5% (14 influenza A; 8 influenza B) of the NP/OP specimens. It is feasible to use a single anterior nasal swab for RIDT followed by RT-PCR and/or WGS. This approach may be appropriate in situations where training and supplies are limited. Additional studies are needed to determine if residual nasal swabs from other rapid diagnostic tests produce similar results.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jonathan L Temte
- Department of Family Medicine and Community Health, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
| | - Cristalyne Bell
- Department of Family Medicine and Community Health, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
| | - Maureen D Goss
- Department of Family Medicine and Community Health, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
| | - Erik Reisdorf
- Wisconsin State Laboratory of Hygiene, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
| | - John Tamerius
- Quidel Corporation, San Diego, California, United States of America
| | - Sushruth Reddy
- Quidel Corporation, San Diego, California, United States of America
| | - Richard Griesser
- Wisconsin State Laboratory of Hygiene, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
| | - Shari Barlow
- Department of Family Medicine and Community Health, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
| | - Emily Temte
- Department of Family Medicine and Community Health, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
| | - Mary Wedig
- Wisconsin State Laboratory of Hygiene, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
| | - Peter A Shult
- Wisconsin State Laboratory of Hygiene, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
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Rector A, Bloemen M, Schiettekatte G, Maes P, Van Ranst M, Wollants E. Sequencing directly from antigen-detection rapid diagnostic tests in Belgium, 2022: a gamechanger in genomic surveillance? Euro Surveill 2023; 28:2200618. [PMID: 36862099 PMCID: PMC9983067 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2023.28.9.2200618] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/03/2023] Open
Abstract
BackgroundLateral flow antigen-detection rapid diagnostic tests (Ag-RDTs) for viral infections constitute a fast, cheap and reliable alternative to nucleic acid amplification tests (NAATs). Whereas leftover material from NAATs can be employed for genomic analysis of positive samples, there is a paucity of information on whether viral genetic characterisation can be achieved from archived Ag-RDTs.AimTo evaluate the possibility of retrieving leftover material of several viruses from a range of Ag-RDTs, for molecular genetic analysis.MethodsArchived Ag-RDTs which had been stored for up to 3 months at room temperature were used to extract viral nucleic acids for subsequent RT-qPCR, Sanger sequencing and Nanopore whole genome sequencing. The effects of brands of Ag-RDT and of various ways to prepare Ag-RDT material were evaluated.ResultsSARS-CoV-2 nucleic acids were successfully extracted and sequenced from nine different brands of Ag-RDTs for SARS-CoV-2, and for five of these, after storage for 3 months at room temperature. The approach also worked for Ag-RDTs for influenza virus (n = 3 brands), as well as for rotavirus and adenovirus 40/41 (n = 1 brand). The buffer of the Ag-RDT had an important influence on viral RNA yield from the test strip and the efficiency of subsequent sequencing.ConclusionOur finding that the test strip in Ag-RDTs is suited to preserve viral genomic material, even for several months at room temperature, and therefore can serve as source material for genetic characterisation could help improve global coverage of genomic surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 as well as for other viruses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Annabel Rector
- KU Leuven, Rega Institute, Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Mandy Bloemen
- KU Leuven, Rega Institute, Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Gilberte Schiettekatte
- Center for Medical Analysis, Department of Molecular Biology and Immunology, Herentals, Belgium
| | - Piet Maes
- KU Leuven, Rega Institute, Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Marc Van Ranst
- KU Leuven, Rega Institute, Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Leuven, Belgium,University Hospitals Leuven, Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Reference Center for Respiratory Pathogens, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Elke Wollants
- KU Leuven, Rega Institute, Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Leuven, Belgium
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Eftimov T, Genova-Kalou P, Dyankov G, Bock WJ, Mankov V, Shoar Ghaffari S, Veselinov P, Arapova A, Makouei S. Capabilities of Double-Resonance LPG and SPR Methods for Hypersensitive Detection of SARS-CoV-2 Structural Proteins: A Comparative Study. BIOSENSORS 2023; 13:318. [PMID: 36979530 PMCID: PMC10046782 DOI: 10.3390/bios13030318] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2023] [Revised: 02/11/2023] [Accepted: 02/16/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
The danger of the emergence of new viral diseases and their rapid spread demands apparatuses for continuous rapid monitoring in real time. This requires the creation of new bioanalytical methods that overcome the shortcomings of existing ones and are applicable for point-of-care diagnostics. For this purpose, a variety of biosensors have been developed and tested in proof-of-concept studies, but none of them have been introduced for commercial use so far. Given the importance of the problem, in this study, long-period grating (LPG) and surface plasmon resonance (SPR) biosensors, based on antibody detection, were examined, and their capabilities for SARS-CoV-2 structural proteins detection were established. Supersensitive detections of structural proteins in the order of several femtomoles were achieved by the LPG method, while the SPR method demonstrated a sensitivity of about one hundred femtomoles. The studied biosensors are compatible in sensitivity with ELISA and rapid antigen tests but, in contrast, they are quantitative, which makes them applicable for acute SARS-CoV-2 infection detection, especially during the early stages of viral replication.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tinko Eftimov
- Photonics Research Center, Université du Québec en Outaouais, Rue 101 St-Jean Bosco, Gatineau, QC J8X 3G5, Canada
- Central Laboratory of Applied Physics, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, 61 Sanct Peterburg Blvd., 4000 Plovdiv, Bulgaria
| | - Petia Genova-Kalou
- National Center of Infectious and Parasitic Diseases, 44A “Gen. Stoletov” Blvd., 1233 Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - Georgi Dyankov
- Central Laboratory of Applied Physics, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, 61 Sanct Peterburg Blvd., 4000 Plovdiv, Bulgaria
- Institute of Optical Materials and Technologies “Acad. J. Malinowski” (IOMT), Bulgarian Academy of Sciences (BAS), 109 “Acad. G. Bonchev” Str., 1113 Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - Wojtek J. Bock
- Photonics Research Center, Université du Québec en Outaouais, Rue 101 St-Jean Bosco, Gatineau, QC J8X 3G5, Canada
| | - Vihar Mankov
- Institute of Optical Materials and Technologies “Acad. J. Malinowski” (IOMT), Bulgarian Academy of Sciences (BAS), 109 “Acad. G. Bonchev” Str., 1113 Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - Sanaz Shoar Ghaffari
- Photonics Research Center, Université du Québec en Outaouais, Rue 101 St-Jean Bosco, Gatineau, QC J8X 3G5, Canada
| | - Petar Veselinov
- Institute of Optical Materials and Technologies “Acad. J. Malinowski” (IOMT), Bulgarian Academy of Sciences (BAS), 109 “Acad. G. Bonchev” Str., 1113 Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - Alla Arapova
- Photonics Research Center, Université du Québec en Outaouais, Rue 101 St-Jean Bosco, Gatineau, QC J8X 3G5, Canada
| | - Somayeh Makouei
- Faculty of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Tabriz, Tabriz 5166616471, Iran
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SARS-CoV-2 diagnostic testing rates determine the sensitivity of genomic surveillance programs. Nat Genet 2023; 55:26-33. [PMID: 36624344 PMCID: PMC9839449 DOI: 10.1038/s41588-022-01267-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2022] [Accepted: 11/11/2022] [Indexed: 01/11/2023]
Abstract
The first step in SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance is testing to identify people who are infected. However, global testing rates are falling as we emerge from the acute health emergency and remain low in many low- and middle-income countries (mean = 27 tests per 100,000 people per day). We simulated COVID-19 epidemics in a prototypical low- and middle-income country to investigate how testing rates, sampling strategies and sequencing proportions jointly impact surveillance outcomes, and showed that low testing rates and spatiotemporal biases delay time to detection of new variants by weeks to months and can lead to unreliable estimates of variant prevalence, even when the proportion of samples sequenced is increased. Accordingly, investments in wider access to diagnostics to support testing rates of approximately 100 tests per 100,000 people per day could enable more timely detection of new variants and reliable estimates of variant prevalence. The performance of global SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance programs is fundamentally limited by access to diagnostic testing.
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8
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Martin GE, Taiaroa G, Taouk ML, Savic I, O'Keefe J, Quach R, Prestedge J, Krysiak M, Caly L, Williamson DA. Maintaining genomic surveillance using whole-genome sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 from rapid antigen test devices. THE LANCET. INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2022; 22:1417-1418. [PMID: 35934015 PMCID: PMC9352270 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(22)00512-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2022] [Revised: 07/25/2022] [Accepted: 07/26/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Genevieve E Martin
- Victorian Infectious Diseases Reference Laboratory, Royal Melbourne Hospital at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia
| | - George Taiaroa
- Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Mona L Taouk
- Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Ivana Savic
- Victorian Infectious Diseases Reference Laboratory, Royal Melbourne Hospital at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia
| | - Jacinta O'Keefe
- Victorian Infectious Diseases Reference Laboratory, Royal Melbourne Hospital at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia
| | - Robert Quach
- Victorian Infectious Diseases Reference Laboratory, Royal Melbourne Hospital at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia
| | - Jacqueline Prestedge
- Victorian Infectious Diseases Reference Laboratory, Royal Melbourne Hospital at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia; Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Marcelina Krysiak
- Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Leon Caly
- Victorian Infectious Diseases Reference Laboratory, Royal Melbourne Hospital at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia; Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Deborah A Williamson
- Victorian Infectious Diseases Reference Laboratory, Royal Melbourne Hospital at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia; Department of Infectious Diseases, University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; The Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
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9
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Han AX, Toporowski A, Sacks JA, Perkins MD, Briand S, van Kerkhove M, Hannay E, Carmona S, Rodriguez B, Parker E, Nichols BE, Russell CA. SARS-CoV-2 diagnostic testing rates determine the sensitivity of genomic surveillance programs. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2022:2022.05.20.22275319. [PMID: 35664998 PMCID: PMC9164450 DOI: 10.1101/2022.05.20.22275319] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/21/2023]
Abstract
The first step in SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance is testing to identify infected people. However, global testing rates are falling as we emerge from the acute health emergency and remain low in many low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) (mean = 27 tests/100,000 people/day). We simulated COVID-19 epidemics in a prototypical LMIC to investigate how testing rates, sampling strategies, and sequencing proportions jointly impact surveillance outcomes and showed that low testing rates and spatiotemporal biases delay time-to-detection of new variants by weeks-to-months and can lead to unreliable estimates of variant prevalence even when the proportion of samples sequenced is increased. Accordingly, investments in wider access to diagnostics to support testing rates of ~100 tests/100,000 people/day could enable more timely detection of new variants and reliable estimates of variant prevalence. The performance of global SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance programs is fundamentally limited by access to diagnostic testing.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alvin X. Han
- Department of Medical Microbiology & Infection Prevention, Amsterdam University Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands,Corresponding authors. and
| | - Amy Toporowski
- Foundation for Innovative New Diagnostics (FIND), Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Jilian A. Sacks
- Department of Epidemic and Pandemic Preparedness and Prevention, Emergency Preparedness Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Mark D. Perkins
- Department of Epidemic and Pandemic Preparedness and Prevention, Emergency Preparedness Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Sylvie Briand
- Department of Epidemic and Pandemic Preparedness and Prevention, Emergency Preparedness Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Maria van Kerkhove
- Department of Epidemic and Pandemic Preparedness and Prevention, Emergency Preparedness Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Emma Hannay
- Foundation for Innovative New Diagnostics (FIND), Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Sergio Carmona
- Foundation for Innovative New Diagnostics (FIND), Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Bill Rodriguez
- Foundation for Innovative New Diagnostics (FIND), Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Edyth Parker
- Department of Immunology and Microbiology, The Scripps Research Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Brooke E. Nichols
- Department of Medical Microbiology & Infection Prevention, Amsterdam University Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands,Foundation for Innovative New Diagnostics (FIND), Geneva, Switzerland,Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Colin A. Russell
- Department of Medical Microbiology & Infection Prevention, Amsterdam University Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands,Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA,Corresponding authors. and
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