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Meurisse N, Marcot BG, Woodberry O, Barratt BIP, Todd JH. Risk Analysis Frameworks Used in Biological Control and Introduction of a Novel Bayesian Network Tool. RISK ANALYSIS : AN OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE SOCIETY FOR RISK ANALYSIS 2022; 42:1255-1276. [PMID: 34462929 DOI: 10.1111/risa.13812] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2020] [Revised: 06/24/2021] [Accepted: 07/20/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Classical biological control, the introduction of natural enemies to new environments to control unwanted pests or weeds, is, despite numerous successful examples, associated with rising concerns about unwanted environmental impacts such as population decline of nontarget species. Recognition of these biosafety risks is globally increasing, and prerelease assessments of biological control agents (BCAs) have become more rigorous in many countries. We review the current approaches to risk assessment for BCAs as used in Australasia, Europe, and North America. Traditionally, these assessments focus on providing assurance about the specificity of a proposed BCA, generally via a list of suitable versus nonsuitable hosts determined through laboratory specificity tests (i.e., by determining the BCA's physiological host range). The outcome of interactions of proposed agents in the natural environment can differ from laboratory-based predictions. Potential nontarget host testing may be incomplete, additional ecological barriers under field conditions may limit encounters between BCA and nontargets or reduce attack levels, and BCAs could disperse to habitats beyond those used by the target species and adversely affect nontarget species. We advocate for the adoption of more comprehensive, ecologically-based, probabilistic risk assessment approaches to BCA introductions. An example is provided using a Bayesian network that can integrate information on probabilities and uncertainties of a BCA to spread and establish in new habitats, interact with nontarget species in these habitats, and eventually negatively impact the populations of these nontarget species. Our new model, Biocontrol Adverse Impact Probability Assessment, aims to be incorporated into a structured decision-making framework to support national regulatory authorities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicolas Meurisse
- New Zealand Crown Research Institutes, New Zealand Forest Research Institute (Scion), Rotorua, 3046, New Zealand
- Better Border Biosecurity (B3), New Zealand
| | - Bruce G Marcot
- USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, OR, USA
| | | | - Barbara I P Barratt
- Better Border Biosecurity (B3), New Zealand
- AgResearch, Invermay Research Centre, Mosgiel, 9092, New Zealand
| | - Jacqui H Todd
- Better Border Biosecurity (B3), New Zealand
- The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research, Mt Albert Research Centre, Mt Albert, 1025, New Zealand
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Casanovas P, Goldson SL, Tylianakis JM. Asymmetry in reproduction strategies drives evolution of resistance in biological control systems. PLoS One 2018; 13:e0207610. [PMID: 30566468 PMCID: PMC6300327 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0207610] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2018] [Accepted: 11/02/2018] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
The success of biological control may depend on the control agent co-evolving with its target pest species, precluding the emergence of resistance that often undermines chemical control. However, recent evidence of a decline in attack rates of a sexual pest weevil by its asexual parasitoid suggests that evolutionary arms races may not prevent the emergence of resistance if the host and parasitoid do not have reproductive strategies that generate equal amounts of genetic variation. To understand how these asymmetries in reproductive strategies may drive the emergence of resistance, we combined life history data from two pest weevils and their parasitoids (one sexual and one asexual) in the New Zealand pastoral ecosystem, with a population dynamic model that allows the coevolution of hosts and parasitoids. We found that the ratio of the genetic variance of hosts to parasitoids was a key determinant of the emergence of resistance. Host resistance eventually occurred unless the parasitoids had considerably greater additive genetic variance than their host. The higher reproductive rate of asexual parasitoids did little to offset the cost of reduced additive genetic variance. The model predictions were congruent with long-term parasitism rates observed in the field for both of the pests considered (one with a sexual and one with an asexual parasitoid). We then explored the consequences of introducing two parasitoids with different reproductive strategies that attack the same sexual host. The model showed that the sexually reproducing parasitoid always out-competed the asexually reproducing one. Our study shows that any asymmetry in reproductive strategies is extremely important for predicting the long-term success of biological control agents. Fortunately, introduction of sexually reproducing individuals after an initial introduction of asexual strains may overcome the problems of host resistance. We conclude that evolution must be considered when evaluating the long-term outcomes of importation biological control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Paula Casanovas
- Bio-Protection Research Centre, School of Biological Sciences, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand
- * E-mail:
| | - Stephen L. Goldson
- Bio-Protection Research Centre, Lincoln University, Lincoln, New Zealand
- AgResearch Ltd., Christchurch, New Zealand
| | - Jason M. Tylianakis
- Bio-Protection Research Centre, School of Biological Sciences, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand
- Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Silwood Park Campus, Ascot, Berkshire, United Kingdom
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Brown SDJ. Austromonticola, a new genus of broad-nosed weevil (Coleoptera, Curculionidae, Entiminae) from montane areas of New Zealand. Zookeys 2017; 707:73-130. [PMID: 29118629 PMCID: PMC5674147 DOI: 10.3897/zookeys.707.12649] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2017] [Accepted: 08/20/2017] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Austromonticolagen. n. is proposed for a group of eight New Zealand alpine broad-nosed weevil species, all of which are here described: A. atriariussp. n. (type locality: Umbrella Mountains, Central Otago), A. caelibatussp. n. (type locality: Ohau Range, Mackenzie), A. furcatussp. n. (type locality: Old Man Range, Central Otago), A. inflatussp. n. (type locality: Hawkdun Range, Central Otago), A. planulatussp. n. (type locality: St Marys Range, Central Otago), A. postinventussp. n. (type locality: Kirkliston Range, South Canterbury), A. mataurasp. n. (type locality: Mt Dick, Otago Lakes) and A. rotundussp. n. (type locality: Old Man Range, Central Otago). All species occur exclusively above 1000 m elevation in the mountains of Central Otago and South Canterbury in the South Island. A phylogeny of the genus, including six outgroups, was inferred from 33 morphological characters. It resolved the genus as monophyletic, and revealed two strongly supported clades within Austromonticola. DNA sequences of four gene regions were obtained from five species. Of these, the 3' end of COI proved to be the most suitable for the identification of specimens. Females of all species have diagnostic secondary sexual structures on the elytra and ventrites. These structures are hypothesised to have evolved to assist with oviposition in and beside cushion plants or by selection for structures to mitigate the costs to females of prolonged mating.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samuel D. J. Brown
- Bio-Protection Research Centre, PO Box 85084, Lincoln University 7647, Canterbury, New Zealand
- AgResearch, Gerald St, Lincoln, Canterbury, New Zealand
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Kaufman LV, Wright MG. Assessing Probabilistic Risk Assessment Approaches for Insect Biological Control Introductions. INSECTS 2017; 8:E67. [PMID: 28686180 PMCID: PMC5620687 DOI: 10.3390/insects8030067] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2016] [Revised: 04/12/2017] [Accepted: 04/24/2017] [Indexed: 12/02/2022]
Abstract
The introduction of biological control agents to new environments requires host specificity tests to estimate potential non-target impacts of a prospective agent. Currently, the approach is conservative, and is based on physiological host ranges determined under captive rearing conditions, without consideration for ecological factors that may influence realized host range. We use historical data and current field data from introduced parasitoids that attack an endemic Lepidoptera species in Hawaii to validate a probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) procedure for non-target impacts. We use data on known host range and habitat use in the place of origin of the parasitoids to determine whether contemporary levels of non-target parasitism could have been predicted using PRA. Our results show that reasonable predictions of potential non-target impacts may be made if comprehensive data are available from places of origin of biological control agents, but scant data produce poor predictions. Using apparent mortality data rather than marginal attack rate estimates in PRA resulted in over-estimates of predicted non-target impact. Incorporating ecological data into PRA models improved the predictive power of the risk assessments.
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Affiliation(s)
- Leyla V Kaufman
- Department of Plant and Environmental Protection Sciences, University of Hawaii at Manoa, 3050 Maile Way, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.
| | - Mark G Wright
- Department of Plant and Environmental Protection Sciences, University of Hawaii at Manoa, 3050 Maile Way, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.
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Barratt BIP, Barton DM, Philip BA, Ferguson CM, Goldson SL. Is the Invasive Species Listronotus bonariensis (Kuschel) (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) (Argentine Stem Weevil) a Threat to New Zealand Natural Grassland Ecosystems? FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE 2016; 7:1091. [PMID: 27507979 PMCID: PMC4960262 DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2016.01091] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2016] [Accepted: 07/11/2016] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
Listronotus bonariensis (Argentine stem weevil) is a stem-boring weevil that has become a major pasture pest in New Zealand, and cool climate turf grass in Australia. This species is also frequently found in native tussock grassland in New Zealand. Laboratory and field trials were established to determine the risk posed to both seedlings and established plants of three native grass species compared to what happens with a common host of this species, hybrid ryegrass (L. perenne X L. multiflorum). Adult weevil feeding damage scores were higher on Poa colensoi and Festuca novae-zelandiae than Chionochloa rigida. Oviposition was lower on P. colensoi than hybrid ryegrass, and no eggs were laid on F. novae-zelandiae. In field trials using the same four species established as spaced plants L. bonariensis laid more eggs per tiller in ryegrass in a low altitude pasture site than in ryegrass in a higher altitude site. No eggs were found on the three native grass species at the tussock sites, and only low numbers were found on other grasses at the low altitude pasture site. Despite this, numbers of adult weevils were extracted from the plants in the field trials. These may have comprised survivors of the original weevils added to the plants, together with new generation weevils that had emerged during the experiment. Irrespective, higher numbers were recovered from the tussock site plants than from those from the pasture site. It was concluded that L. bonariensis is likely to have little overall impact, but a greater impact on native grass seedling survival than on established plants.
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Affiliation(s)
- Barbara I. P. Barratt
- AgResearch InvermayMosgiel, New Zealand
- Better Border BiosecurityMosgiel, New Zealand
| | - Diane M. Barton
- AgResearch InvermayMosgiel, New Zealand
- Better Border BiosecurityMosgiel, New Zealand
| | - Bruce A. Philip
- AgResearch InvermayMosgiel, New Zealand
- Better Border BiosecurityMosgiel, New Zealand
| | - Colin M. Ferguson
- AgResearch InvermayMosgiel, New Zealand
- Better Border BiosecurityMosgiel, New Zealand
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Barratt BIP, Worner SP, Affeld K, Ferguson CM, Barton DM, Bell NL, Townsend RJ. Biodiversity of indigenous tussock grassland sites in Otago, Canterbury and the Central North Island of New Zealand VI. Coleoptera biodiversity, community structure, exotic species invasion, and the effect of disturbance by agricultural development. J R Soc N Z 2012. [DOI: 10.1080/03036758.2011.559664] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
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Wagner DL, Van Driesche RG. Threats posed to rare or endangered insects by invasions of nonnative species. ANNUAL REVIEW OF ENTOMOLOGY 2010; 55:547-568. [PMID: 19743915 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-ento-112408-085516] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/26/2023]
Abstract
Endangerment factors are reviewed for 57 U.S. federally listed insects and 116 rare eastern North American lepidopterans to determine the importance of invasive species relative to 15 other recognized endangerment factors. Invasive plants, social insects (especially ants), and vertebrate grazers and predators repeatedly were identified as groups directly or indirectly threatening native insect biodiversity. Among rare eastern North American lepidopterans, the (mostly indirect) consequences of the establishment of the gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar) surfaced as a general threat. Remote islands, especially those with high human visitation, stand out as being highly threatened by invasives. In the worst cases, impacts from invasive species cascade through a community and destabilize existing trophic interconnections and alter basic ecosystem properties, changing hydrology, nutrient cycles, soil chemistry, fire susceptibility, and light availability, and precipitate myriad other changes in biotic and abiotic parameters. Invasive ants and herbivorous insects provide some of the most dramatic examples of such insect-induced invasional cascades.
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Affiliation(s)
- David L Wagner
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT 06269, USA.
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