1
|
Drozdovitch V, Kukhta T, Trofimik S, Melo DR, Viarenich K, Podgaiskaya M, Minenko V. Doses from external irradiation and ingestion of 134Cs, 137Cs and 90Sr of the population of Belarus accumulated over 35 years after the Chernobyl accident. RADIATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL BIOPHYSICS 2022; 61:445-464. [PMID: 35767189 PMCID: PMC10084818 DOI: 10.1007/s00411-022-00979-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2021] [Accepted: 06/04/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
This study considers the exposure of the population of the most contaminated Gomel and Mogilev Oblasts in Belarus to prolonged sources of irradiation resulting from the Chernobyl accident. Dose reconstruction methods were developed and applied in this study to estimate the red bone-marrow doses (RBMs) from (i) external irradiation from gamma-emitting radionuclides deposited on the ground and (ii) 134Cs, 137Cs and 90Sr ingestion with locally produced foodstuffs. The mean population-weighted RBM doses accumulated during 35 years after the Chernobyl accident were 12 and 5.7 mGy for adult residents in Gomel and Mogilev Oblasts, respectively, while doses for youngest age groups were 20-40% lower. The highest mean area-specific RBM doses for adults accumulated in 1986-2021 were 63, 56 and 46 mGy in Narovlya, Vetka and Korma raions in Gomel Oblast, respectively. For most areas, external irradiation was the predominant pathway of exposure (60-70% from the total dose), except for areas with an extremely high aggregated 137Cs soil to cow's milk transfer coefficient (≥ 5.0 Bq L-1 per kBq m-2), where the contribution of 134Cs and 137Cs ingestion to the total RBM dose was more than 70%. The contribution of 90Sr intake to the total RBM dose did not exceed 4% for adults and 10% for newborns in most raion in Gomel and Mogilev Oblasts. The validity of the doses estimated in this study was assessed by comparison with doses obtained from measurements by thermoluminescence dosimeters and whole-body counters done in 1987-2015. The methodology developed in this study can be used to calculate doses to target organs other than RBM such as thyroid and breast doses. The age-dependent and population-weighted doses estimated in this study are useful for ecological epidemiological studies, for projection of radiation risk, and for justification of analytical epidemiological studies in populations exposed to Chernobyl fallout.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Vladimir Drozdovitch
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, NIH, DHHS, 9609 Medical Center Drive, Room 7E548 MSC 9778, Bethesda, MD, 20892-9778, USA.
| | - Tatiana Kukhta
- United Institute of Informatics Problems, National Academy of Sciences of Belarus, Minsk, Belarus
| | - Sergey Trofimik
- Institute for Nuclear Problems, Belarusian State University, Minsk, Belarus
| | | | - Kiryl Viarenich
- Institute for Nuclear Problems, Belarusian State University, Minsk, Belarus
| | - Marina Podgaiskaya
- Republican Center of Radiation Control and Environmental Monitoring, 220023, Minsk, Belarus
| | - Victor Minenko
- Institute for Nuclear Problems, Belarusian State University, Minsk, Belarus
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Miloudi H, Locatelli M, Autret G, Balvay D, Desbree A, Blanchardon E, Bertho JM. Application of rodes software to experimental biokinetic data for dose assessment in mice and rats. JOURNAL OF RADIOLOGICAL PROTECTION : OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE SOCIETY FOR RADIOLOGICAL PROTECTION 2017; 37:564-583. [PMID: 28617675 DOI: 10.1088/1361-6498/aa6732] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
H Miloudi, M Locatelli, G Autret, D Balvay, A Desbrée, E Blanchardon, J M Bertho: application of RODES software to experimental biokinetic data for dose assessment in mice and rats. In support of experimental studies of chronic, long-term contamination in rodents, voxel-based computer models were built representing adult mice and juvenile, adult and elderly rats of both sexes. RODES software was created to calculate absorbed radiation doses to organs with these specific anatomical models. Absorbed doses were then calculated starting from previously published biokinetic data. Whole body doses showed less than 5% differences between calculation with RODES and calculation with the ICRP Publication 108 model for long term exposure to 90Sr of mice. Similar results were obtained for long term exposure to 137Cs. Dose distribution for 90Sr internal contamination also showed that the dose to the skeleton is six fold more as compared to the whole body dose while radiation dose to other organs is less than the mean whole body dose. These results underline the importance of using specific anatomical models according to the age and the sex of experimental animals.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- H Miloudi
- Institut de radioprotection et de sûreté nucléaire (IRSN), PRP-HOM/SDI/LEDI, Fontenay-aux-roses, France
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
3
|
Davis FG, Krestinina LY, Preston D, Epifanova S, Degteva M, Akleyev AV. Solid Cancer Incidence in the Techa River Incidence Cohort: 1956–2007. Radiat Res 2015; 184:56-65. [DOI: 10.1667/rr14023.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 59] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
|
4
|
Tolstykh EI, Shagina NB, Degteva MO. Increase in accumulation of strontium-90 in the maternal skeleton during pregnancy and lactation: analysis of the Techa River data. RADIATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL BIOPHYSICS 2014; 53:551-557. [PMID: 24861824 DOI: 10.1007/s00411-014-0548-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2013] [Accepted: 04/27/2014] [Indexed: 06/03/2023]
Abstract
The unique contamination of the Techa River (Southern Urals, Russia) in the 1950s by long-lived (90)Sr allows investigation of the accumulation of bone-seeking elements in humans. This study is based on information compiled at the Urals Research Center for Radiation Medicine (Chelyabinsk, Russia) over a long period of time. It includes the results of in vivo measurements of (90)Sr-body burden with a whole body counter (WBC), data on personal medical examinations and residence and family histories. Data on 185 women from two Techa riverside villages Muslyumovo and Brodokalmak were selected. The settlements differ in terms of (90)Sr diet intake (higher in Muslyumovo than in Brodokalmak) and ethnicity (residents were mainly Slavs in Brodokalmak and Turkic in Muslyumovo). Results of a total of 555 WBC measurements performed in 1974-1997 were available for the women studied; maximum measured values reached 40 kBq/body. The women from each settlement were subdivided into three groups according to their childbearing history: pregnancy and lactation occurred (1) during the period of maximal (90)Sr intake (1950-1951); (2) after the period of maximal intake and (3) before this period or women who were childless. An increase was found in accumulation of (90)Sr in maternal skeleton during pregnancy and lactation (group 1) by a factor of 1.5-2 in comparison with non-pregnant, non-lactating women. This result was found in both Muslyumovo and Brodokalmak samples. An increase in accumulation of toxic elements in pregnant/lactating women is associated with increased radiation/toxic doses and risk for the women's health.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Evgenia I Tolstykh
- Urals Research Center for Radiation Medicine, 68-A, Vorovsky Street, Chelyabinsk, 454076, Russia,
| | | | | |
Collapse
|
5
|
Krestinina LY, Davis FG, Schonfeld S, Preston DL, Degteva M, Epifanova S, Akleyev AV. Leukaemia incidence in the Techa River Cohort: 1953-2007. Br J Cancer 2013; 109:2886-93. [PMID: 24129230 PMCID: PMC3844904 DOI: 10.1038/bjc.2013.614] [Citation(s) in RCA: 75] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2013] [Revised: 08/31/2013] [Accepted: 09/16/2013] [Indexed: 01/11/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Little is known about leukaemia risk following chronic radiation exposures at low dose rates. The Techa River Cohort of individuals residing in riverside villages between 1950 and 1961 when releases from the Mayak plutonium production complex contaminated the river allows quantification of leukaemia risks associated with chronic low-dose-rate internal and external exposures. Methods: Excess relative risk models described the dose–response relationship between radiation dose on the basis of updated dose estimates and the incidence of haematological malignancies ascertained between 1953 and 2007 among 28 223 cohort members, adjusted for attained age, sex, and other factors. Results: Almost half of the 72 leukaemia cases (excluding chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL)) were estimated to be associated with radiation exposure. These data are consistent with a linear dose response with no evidence of modification. The excess relative risk estimate was 0.22 per 100 mGy. There was no evidence of significant dose effect for CLL or other haematopoietic malignancies. Conclusion: These analyses demonstrate that radiation exposures, similar to those received by populations exposed as a consequence of nuclear accidents, are associated with long-term dose-related increases in leukaemia risks. Using updated dose estimates, the leukaemia risk per unit dose is about half of that based on previous dosimetry.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- L Y Krestinina
- Urals Research Center for Radiation Medicine, Epidemiology Laboratory, 68-a, Vorovsky Street, Chelyabinsk 454076, Russia
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
6
|
Cortical bone resorption rate in elderly persons: Estimates from long-term in vivo measurements of 90Sr in the skeleton. Arch Gerontol Geriatr 2012; 54:e411-8. [DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2011.06.039] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2011] [Revised: 06/07/2011] [Accepted: 06/29/2011] [Indexed: 01/02/2023]
|
7
|
Synhaeve N, Stefani J, Tourlonias E, Dublineau I, Bertho JM. Biokinetics of 90Sr after chronic ingestion in a juvenile and adult mouse model. RADIATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL BIOPHYSICS 2011; 50:501-511. [PMID: 21688012 DOI: 10.1007/s00411-011-0374-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2011] [Accepted: 06/04/2011] [Indexed: 05/30/2023]
Abstract
The aim of our study was to define the biokinetics of (90)Sr after chronic contamination by ingestion using a juvenile and adult murine model. Animals ingested (90)Sr by drinking water containing 20 kBq l(-1) of (90)Sr. For the juvenile model, parents received (90)Sr before mating and their offspring were killed between birth and 20 weeks of ingestion. For the adult model, (90)Sr ingestion started at 9 weeks of age and they were killed after different ingestion periods up to 20 weeks. The body weight, food and water consumption of the animals were monitored on a weekly basis. Before killing and sampling of organs, animals were put in metabolic cages. (90)Sr in organs and excreta was determined by liquid scintillation β counting. Highest (90)Sr contents were found in bones and were generally higher in females than in males, and (90)Sr retention varied according to the skeletal sites. An accumulation of (90)Sr in the bones was observed over time for both models, with a plateau level at adult age for the juvenile model. The highest rate of (90)Sr accumulation in bones was observed in early life of offspring, i.e. before the age of 6 weeks. With the exception of the digestive tract, (90)Sr was below the detection limit in all other organs sampled. Overall, our results confirm that (90)Sr mainly accumulates in bones. Furthermore, our results indicate that there are gender- and age-dependent differences in the distribution of (90)Sr after low-dose chronic ingestion in the mouse model. These results provide the basis for future studies on possible non-cancerous effects during chronic, long-term exposure to (90)Sr through ingestion in a mouse model, especially on the immune and hematopoietic systems.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Nicholas Synhaeve
- Institut de Radioprotection et Sûreté Nucléaire (IRSN), DRPH, SRBE, LRTOX, Fontenay-aux-Roses, France
| | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
8
|
Tolstykh EI, Shagina NB, Degteva MO, Anspaugh LR, Napier BA. Does the cortical bone resorption rate change due to 90Sr-radiation exposure? Analysis of data from Techa Riverside residents. RADIATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL BIOPHYSICS 2011; 50:417-430. [PMID: 21523463 DOI: 10.1007/s00411-011-0363-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2010] [Accepted: 04/09/2011] [Indexed: 05/30/2023]
Abstract
The Mayak Production Association released large amounts of (90)Sr into the Techa River (Southern Urals, Russia) with peak amounts in 1950-1951. Techa Riverside residents ingested an average of about 3,000 kBq of (90)Sr. The (90)Sr-body burden of approximately 15,000 individuals has been measured in the Urals Research Center for Radiation Medicine in 1974-1997 with use of a special whole-body counter (WBC). Strontium-90 had mainly deposited in the cortical part of the skeleton by 25 years following intake, and (90)Sr elimination occurs as a result of cortical bone resorption. The effect of (90)Sr-radiation exposure on the rate of cortical bone resorption was studied. Data on 2,022 WBC measurements were selected for 207 adult persons, who were measured three or more times before they were 50-55 years old. The individual-resorption rates were calculated with the rate of strontium recirculation evaluated as 0.0018 year(-1). Individual absorbed doses in red bone marrow (RBM) and bone surface (BS) were also calculated. Statistically significant negative relationships of cortical bone resorption rate were discovered related to (90)Sr-body burden and dose absorbed in the RBM or the BS. The response appears to have a threshold of about 1.5-Gy RBM dose. The radiation-induced decrease in bone resorption rate may not be significant in terms of health. However, a decrease in bone remodeling rate can be among several causes of an increased level of degenerative dystrophic bone pathology in exposed persons.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Evgenia I Tolstykh
- Urals Research Center for Radiation Medicine, Vorovskogo 68a, 454076, Chelyabinsk, Russian Federation.
| | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
9
|
Tolstykh EI, Shagina NB, Peremyslova LM, Degteva MO. Bone mineral density in residents of radioactive territories of Chelyabinsk Region. Biophysics (Nagoya-shi) 2011. [DOI: 10.1134/s0006350911010222] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
|
10
|
Tolstykh EI, Shagina NB, Peremyslova LM, Degteva MO, Phipps AW, Harrison JD, Fell TP. Reconstruction of (90)Sr intake for breast-fed infants in the Techa riverside settlements. RADIATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL BIOPHYSICS 2008; 47:349-357. [PMID: 18443812 DOI: 10.1007/s00411-008-0168-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/19/2007] [Accepted: 04/12/2008] [Indexed: 05/26/2023]
Abstract
The Techa River (Southern Urals, Russia) was contaminated as a result of radioactive releases by the Mayak plutonium production facility during 1949-1956. The persons born after the onset of the contamination have been identified as the "Techa River Offspring Cohort" (TROC). The TROC has the potential to provide direct data on health effects in progeny that resulted from exposure of a general parent population to chronic radiation. The purpose of the present investigation is the estimation of (90)Sr intake from breast milk and river water in the period from birth to 6 months of life, necessary for an infant dose calculation. The investigation is based on all available data concerning radioactive contamination due to global fallouts and Mayak releases in the Southern Urals where extensive radiometric and radiochemical investigations of human tissues and environmental samples were conducted during the second half of the twentieth century. The strontium transfer factor from mother's daily diet to breast milk was estimated as 0.05 (0.01-0.13) d L(-1). Based on this transfer factor and data on (90)Sr water contamination, the average total (90)Sr intake for an infant born in the middle Techa River region was found to be equal to 60-80 kBq in 1950-1951. For the same period, calculations of (90)Sr intake using ICRP models gave values of 70-100 kBq. From 1952 onwards, the differences in intakes calculated using the two approaches increased, reaching a factor of 2-3 in 1953. The Techa River data provide the basis for improving and adapting the ICRP models for application to Techa River-specific population.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Evgenia I Tolstykh
- Urals Research Center for Radiation Medicine, 68-a Vorovsky Street, Chelyabinsk, Russia.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
11
|
Gochfeld M. Framework for gender differences in human and animal toxicology. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2007; 104:4-21. [PMID: 16616135 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2005.12.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 56] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2005] [Accepted: 12/01/2005] [Indexed: 05/08/2023]
Abstract
Differences in exposure, anatomy, physiology, biochemistry, and behavior between males and females are a dominant theme in biology, transcending the plant and animal kingdoms. Yet differences due to sex and gender have not received adequate attention in human or animal toxicology nor always in epidemiology. Generalizations are often made about species' responses to xenobiotics, without data or consideration of female/male differences. Despite the leading role that pharmacology and drug development play in elucidating toxicokinetics, gender studies are relatively recent. Phenomenologic or clinical observations of sex differences often go unexplored, but pharmaceutical companies recognize the importance of enhanced understanding of toxicokinetics and toxicodynamics and emphasize the value of translational or integrational research--bringing laboratory findings to bedside applications and bedside questions to laboratory study. However, for many years Food and Drug Administration guidelines specifically precluded participation of females in many drug studies. Many occupational epidemiology studies, on which much of our understanding of toxic effects is based, begin by excluding women and minorities. Sex differentiation begins in the embryo under genetic and hormonal control. Changes affecting exposure, susceptibility, risk, and health continue throughout life. This paper provides a framework for analyzing the level(s) at which gender differences arise. The framework addresses exposure, toxicokinetics, toxicodynamics, and modulating influences. Men and women differ in many aspects of vulnerability to xenobiotics and other stressors, beginning with their opportunities for exposure. Toxicokinetic differences mainly involve metabolism, with few differences in absorption yet demonstrated. In addition, lifestyle, psychosocial, and hormonal factors modify the kinetics and responsiveness. Some phenomena fit the Classic Sex Hormone Paradigm in which castration (with and without hormone replacement) and administration of the opposite sex hormone demonstrate the primary regulatory role of sex hormones. Many phenomena, however, differ between males and females without showing a clear-cut relationship with the sex hormones. Since every cell both has a sex chromosome (X or Y) and is exposed to hormones, elegant techniques are just beginning to tease apart genetic from hormonal influences. Wherever possible, studies should use balanced gender and gender x age designs and should analyze data by sex and interactions, rather than simply adjusting for (discarding) gender. Power should be adequate, or lack of power (if inevitable) should be clearly stated.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Michael Gochfeld
- Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences Institute, Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey, Piscataway, NJ 08854, USA.
| |
Collapse
|
12
|
Shagina NB, Bougrov NG, Degteva MO, Kozheurov VP, Tolstykh EI. An application ofin vivowhole body counting technique for studying strontium metabolism and internal dose reconstruction for the Techa River population. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2006. [DOI: 10.1088/1742-6596/41/1/048] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022]
|
13
|
Paquet F, Houpert P, Blanchardon E, Delissen O, Maubert C, Dhieux B, Moreels AM, Frelon S, Gourmelon P. Accumulation and distribution of uranium in rats after chronic exposure by ingestion. HEALTH PHYSICS 2006; 90:139-47. [PMID: 16404171 DOI: 10.1097/01.hp.0000174527.66111.83] [Citation(s) in RCA: 49] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/06/2023]
Abstract
Data describing the biokinetics of radionuclides after contamination come mainly from experimental acute exposures of laboratory animals and follow-up of incidental exposures of humans. These data were compiled to form reference models that could be used for dose calculation in humans. In case of protracted exposure, the same models are applied, assuming that they are not modified by the duration of exposure. This work aims at testing this hypothesis. It presents new experimental data on retention of uranium after chronic intake, which are compared to values calculated from a biokinetic model that is based on experiments of acute exposure of rats to uranium. Experiments were performed with 56 male Sprague Dawley rats, from which 35 were exposed during their whole adult life to 40 mg L of uranyl nitrate dissolved in mineral water and 21 were kept as controls. Animals were euthanatized at 32, 95, 186, 312, 368, and 570 d after the beginning of contamination. Urine and all tissues were removed, weighted, mineralized, and then analyzed for uranium content by Kinetics Phosphorescence Analysis (KPA) or by ICP-MS. Experimental data showed that uranium accumulated in most organs, following a nonmonotonous pattern. Peaks of activities were observed at 1-3, 10, and 19 mo after the beginning of exposure. Additionally, accumulation was shown to occur in tissues such as teeth and brain that are not usually described as target organs. Comparison with model prediction showed that the accumulation of uranium in target organs after chronic exposure is overestimated by the use of a model designed for acute exposure. These differences indicate that protracted exposure to uranium may induce changes in biokinetic parameters when compared to acute contamination and that calculation of dose resulting from chronic intake of radionuclides may need specific models that are not currently available.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- F Paquet
- IRSN/DRPH/SRBE Laboratoire de Radiotoxicologie Expérimentale, BP 166, 26702 Pierrelatte, Cedex, France.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
14
|
Apostoaei AI, Miller LF. Uncertainties in dose coefficients from ingestion of 131I, 137Cs, and 90Sr. HEALTH PHYSICS 2004; 86:460-482. [PMID: 15083142 DOI: 10.1097/00004032-200405000-00003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/24/2023]
Abstract
Quantification of uncertainties in doses from intakes of radionuclides is important in risk assessments and epidemiologic studies of individuals exposed to radiation. In this study, the uncertainties in the doses per unit intake (i.e., dose coefficients) for ingestion of 131I, 137Cs, and 90Sr by healthy individuals have been determined. Age-dependent thyroid dose coefficients were derived for 131I. The analysis for 131I uses recent measurements of thyroid volume obtained by ultrasonography, which indicate a thyroid mass lower than that previously obtained using autopsy measurements. The coefficients for 137Cs are determined using the relationship between the biological half-lives and the amount of potassium in the human body. The most recent International Commission on Radiological Protection biokinetic model was employed to determine the uncertainties for 90Sr. For 137Cs and 90Sr, the dose coefficients represent exposure in adulthood and they were determined for all organs of radiological importance. The uncertainty in the estimated dose coefficients represent state of knowledge estimates for a reference individual, and they are described by lognormal distributions with a specified geometric mean (GM) and geometric standard deviation (GSD). The estimated geometric means vary only slightly from the dose coefficients reported by ICRP publications. The largest uncertainty is observed in the dose coefficients for bone surface (GSD = 2.6), and red bone marrow (GSD = 2.4) in the case of ingestion of 90Sr. For most other organs, the uncertainty in the 90Sr dose coefficients is characterized by a GSD of 1.8 (or less for some organs). For 131I, the uncertainty in the thyroid dose coefficients is well represented by a GSD of 1.7 for both sexes and all ages other than infants for whom a GSD of 1.8 is more appropriate. The lowest uncertainties are obtained for the dose coefficients from ingestion of 137Cs (GSD = 1.24 for males; 1.4 for females). A dominant source of uncertainty in the ingestion dose coefficients is the variation of the biokinetic parameters. For 131I, the largest contribution to the uncertainty comes from the variation in the thyroid mass, but the contribution of the biokinetic parameters is comparable. The biokinetic parameters with the largest contribution to the uncertainty are (a) the fractional uptake from blood to thyroid in the case of ingestion of 131I, (b) the absorbed fraction from the gastrointestinal tract (f1) in the case of 90Sr, and (c) the amount of potassium in the body for 137Cs. The contribution to the uncertainty of the absorbed fraction (which accounts for the fraction of energy deposited in the target organ) is the smallest contributor to the uncertainty in the dose coefficients for most organs. To reduce the uncertainty in the dose estimated for a real individual, one should determine the above-mentioned parameters for the specified individual rather than to rely on assumptions for a reference individual.
Collapse
|