The risk score for in-hospital mortality in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

Factors Associated With Hospital Mortality in Acute Myocardial Infarction

Aim    To determine clinical and laboratory parameters associated with in-hospital mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction and to develop a multifactorial prognostic model of in-hospital mortality.Material and methods    This was a study based on the 2019-2020 Registry of acute coronary syndrome of the Tyumen Cardiology Research Center, a branch of the Tomsk National Research Medical Center. The study included 477 patients with ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction (AMI), 617 patients with non-ST segment elevation AMI, and 26 patients with unspecified AMI. In-hospital mortality was 6.0 % (n=67). Clinical and laboratory parameters were assessed on the day of admission. The separation power of indicators associated with in-hospital mortality was determined using a ROC analysis. The data array of each quantitative parameter was converted into a binary variable according to the obtained cut-off thresholds, followed by creation of a multifactorial model for predicting in-hospital mortality using a stepwise analysis with backward inclusion (Wald). The null hypothesis was rejected at p<0.05.Results    The multivariate model for prediction of in-hospital mortality included age (cut-off, 72 years), OR 3.0 (95 % CI: 1.5-5.6); modified shock index (cut-off threshold, 0.87), OR 1.5 (95 % CI: 1.1-2.0); creatine phosphokinase-MB (cut-off threshold, 32.8 U / L), OR 4.1 (95 % CI: 2.2-7.7); hemoglobin (121.5 g / l), OR 1.7 (95 % CI: 1.2-2.3); leukocytes (11.5×109 / l), OR 1.9 (95 % CI: 1.3-2.6); glomerular filtration rate (60.9 ml / min), OR 1.7 (95 % CI: 1.2-2.2); left ventricular ejection fraction (42.5 %), OR 4.1 (95 % CI: 2.0-8.3); and size of myocardial asynergy (32.5 %), OR 2.6 (95 % CI: 1.4-5.0).Conclusions    Independent predictors of in-hospital mortality in AMI are age, modified shock index, creatine phosphokinase-MB, peripheral blood leukocyte count, hemoglobin concentration, left ventricular ejection fraction, size of myocardial asynergy, and glomerular filtration rate. The in-hospital mortality model had a high predictive potential: AUC 0.930 (95 % CI: 0.905-0.954; p <0.001) with a cutoff threshold of 0.15; sensitivity 0.851, and specificity 0.850.

Platelet-to-Hemoglobin Ratio Is an Important Predictor of In-Hospital Mortality in Patients With ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

Background: Despite effective interventional treatments, the mortality of acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is still high. Several mortality predictors are known in STEMI. Platelet-to-hemoglobin ratio (PHR) is a recently used mortality parameter in cardiac or non-cardiac diseases. We aim to investigate the relationship of PHR with in-hospital mortality in patients with STEMI.

Methods: Eight hundred eighty-four patients were included in the study. All of them underwent coronary intervention due to STEMI. Demographic characteristics, laboratory, electrocardiographic and echocardiographic parameters were analyzed from hospital records. A cut-off value for PHR was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Then, patients were divided into two groups PHR < 1.99 and PHR ≥ 1.99. The data of both groups were compared.

Results: The median age of the study population was 64 (54-75). Of these 633 (71.6 %) were male and 251 (28.4 %) were female. All cause mortality of the study population was 9.7% (n=86). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, PHR was independently associated with a significantly increased risk of in-hospital mortality for STEMI (OR: 2.645, CI: 1.641-4.263, p< 0.001). Also, age (OR: 1.044, CI: 1.021-1.067, p< 0.001), mean arterial pressure (MAP) less than 87 mmHg (OR: 2.078, CI: 1.185-3.645, p= 0.011), prior coronary artery disease (CAD) (OR: 2.839, CI: 1.345-5.993, p= 0.006), anterior myocardial infarction (MI) (OR: 1.912, CI: 1.069-3.421, p= 0.029), creatinine (OR: 3.710, CI: 2.255-6.106, p<0.001), alanine transaminase (ALT) (OR: 1.004, CI: 1.001-1.007, p=0.002), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (OR: 1.122, CI: 1.014-1.242, p= 0.025) were determined as independent predictors of in-hospital mortality.

Conclusion: In conclusion, we found that PHR is an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients with STEMI.