Predictors of early treatment discontinuation in patients enrolled on Phase I oncology trials

Caring for caregivers in early-phase clinical oncology trials

This commentary reviews the experiences of caregivers in early‐phase clinical trial settings by illuminating their significant emotional distress, limited role preparation, and substantial logistical and financial burdens. Comprehensive strategies to strengthen supports for these caregivers are proposed, including timely mental health screening and intervention, active engagement in trial discussions, concrete delineation of trial‐specific caregiving responsibilities, and trial decentralization.

Order of patient entry and outcomes in phase II clinical trials: A meta-analysis of individual patient data

BACKGROUND

Prior meta-analysis of stem-cell transplantation trials for renal-cell carcinoma observed that clinical outcomes vary by subjects' order of entry, specifically their quartile of accrual. We test this hypothesis using meta-analysis of individual patient data from diverse Phase II trials conducted by an oncology consortium.

METHODS

Eligible were all Phase II trials in hematologic or solid tumors opened and closed by California Cancer Consortium during 2005-2020. Excluded were trials closed in first quartile or currently embargoed pending publication and subjects ineligible per protocol or untreated on study. The primary risk factor was entry by quartile of planned sample size. As a cross-protocol endpoint, primary outcome was time to discontinuation of intervention. One-stage meta-analysis used a shared frailty model with trial as random effect. As covariates, stepwise selection retained tumor type, obesity, their interaction, calendar year, entry at least 3 years post-diagnosis, and performance status but rejected age, sex, randomized design, and class of drug.

RESULTS

Twenty trials (including 8 terminated early, 2 not published) included n = 923 subjects. Most (90.6%) subjects discontinued intervention, usually for disease progression or toxicity. Independently of covariates, risk of discontinuation increased (p < 0.0001) with each quartile of entry (Hazards Ratio 1.13, 95% CI 1.06-1.22), culminating at Quartile 4 (HR 1.46, 1.36-1.57). The 95% prediction interval for the Hazards Ratio in future trials was (1.04-1.24). Progression-free survival similarly worsened by quartile of entry.

CONCLUSION

In Phase II trials, clinical outcome worsens with quartile of entry. This finding merits independent replication, and the cause of this phenomenon merits investigation.

Serum protein and electrolyte imbalances are associated with chemotherapy induced neutropenia

Introduction

Cancer and its treatment using various chemotherapeutic agents can have many adverse side effects. These side effects often result in significant changes in haematological and biochemical composition of blood. As a result, the regular monitoring of serum biochemical and haematological changes plays an important role in management of disease. The present study aimed to determine the relationship between haematological and biochemical changes in neutropenic cancer patients following chemotherapy. Specifically we evaluated the association between neutrophil count and serum proteins and electrolytes.

Methods

For this purpose we analysed retrospectively collected laboratory results from two independent patient cohorts. Each cohort was divided into a control group consisting of patients with normal haematological parameters and a study group which included patients with reduced neutrophil counts. Neutropenic patients (study group) were cancer patients on chemotherapy.

Results and conclusion

Blood samples of cancer patients in study group showed reduction in haemoglobin, neutrophils and platelets. Neutropenic group showed a significant reduction in serum albumin, total protein, calcium, and potassium. Our results show that patients with severe neutropenia had pronounced changes in serum protein and electrolytes and increased incidence of abnormal serum protein and electrolyte level. The changes in the neutrophil counts showed a positive correlation with the changes in serum protein and electrolyte levels. A similar trend was seen in both the patient cohorts: the discovery set (176 patients) and the validation set (200 patients). Taken together our results suggest that chemotherapy-induced neutropenia is associated with dysregulation in haemoglobin, platelets, serum proteins and electrolytes.

Population Pharmacokinetics and Exposure-Response Analyses for Venetoclax in Combination with R-CHOP in Relapsed/Refractory and Previously Untreated Patients with Diffuse Large B Cell Lymphoma

Introduction

Outcomes remain poor in patients with diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL) who overexpress BCL-2 protein. We present population pharmacokinetics (PopPK) and exposure–response (ER) analyses for venetoclax (a selective BCL-2 inhibitor) administered with rituximab-cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP) in patients with relapsed/refractory (R/R) and previously untreated (1L) non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) from the phase 1b/2 CAVALLI study, to confirm dose selection for future studies.

Methods

Analyses included 216 patients with R/R or 1L NHL treated for eight 21-day cycles with 400–800 mg venetoclax (cycle 1: days 4–10; cycles 2–8: days 1–10) in combination with R for eight cycles and CHOP for 6–8 cycles. A legacy PopPK model for venetoclax was used to describe the observed data and provide post hoc PK parameters. Venetoclax steady-state exposure (AUC_ss) was used to predict clinical efficacy, safety, or tolerability. To isolate the effect of venetoclax, ER analyses referenced data from the R-CHOP arm of a historical control study, GOYA, in 1L DLBCL.

Results

There was no significant association between venetoclax AUC_ss and progression-free survival or complete response either for all-comers or the BCL-2-immunohistochemistry-positive subpopulation. No statistically significant trends were observed with venetoclax AUC_ss and the key grade ≥ 3 adverse events and serious adverse events. Similar dose intensities were observed for venetoclax and R-CHOP components across venetoclax exposures, suggesting venetoclax did not impact delivery of the R-CHOP backbone.

Conclusions

The PopPK and ER analyses, in addition to the positive benefit–risk observed in the clinical data, support the selection of 800 mg venetoclax given with R-CHOP for future studies in BCL-2-immunohistochemistry-positive patients with 1L DLBCL.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT02055820.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12325-021-01919-z.

Smartphone measurements of physical activity and fitness are associated with early trial discontinuation of patients in (hemato)oncology phase I/II clinical trials

BACKGROUND

Patients, who discontinue early, do not benefit from phase I/II clinical trials (early-phase clinical trials (EPCT)). In this study, associations between objective smartphone measurements of physical activity and fitness and early trial discontinuation in patients with cancer participating in EPCT were investigated.

METHODS

Before start of treatment, physical activity (steps/day) and physical fitness (meters walked in 6 min) were measured with a smartphone, and patient-reported physical function (PRO-PF) was assessed (EORTC QLQ-C30-PF). Early trial discontinuation was defined as discontinuation ≤ 28 days. Univariable logistic regression analyses were performed to study associations of physical activity, fitness, and function with early trial discontinuation. Optimal cutoff values of physical activity and fitness were assessed with ROCs, based on positive predictive values (PPV).

RESULTS

Median (interquartile range (IQR)) step count was 4263 (2548-6897) steps/day, mean ± standard deviation 6-min walking distance was 477 ± 120 m and median (IQR) PRO-PF score was 83 (67-95) points. Fourteen patients (12%) discontinued the trial early. Smartphone measurements of physical activity in units of 100 steps per day (odds ratio (OR) = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.94-0.99, p = 0.01), physical fitness (OR = 0.99, 95% CI = 0.98-0.99, p < 0.01), and PRO-PF (OR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.94-1.00, p = 0.03) were associated with early trial discontinuation. Optimal cutoff values were < 900 steps for physical activity and < 285 m for physical fitness. PPV for early trial discontinuation was 100% in patients who walked both < 1500 steps per day and < 300 m in 6 min.

CONCLUSIONS

Objective smartphone measurements of physical activity and fitness are associated with early trial discontinuation. However, cutoff values should be externally validated in a larger cohort before implementation in clinical practice.

Clinical Predictors of Early Trial Discontinuation for Patients Participating in Phase I Clinical Trials in Oncology

Simple Summary

About 20% of patients with cancer who participate in a phase I clinical trial discontinue the trial early. Early trial discontinuation is undesirable both for the wellbeing of the patient as well as for the trial efficiency and the development of new anticancer drugs. We investigated which clinical predictors at baseline were significantly associated with early trial discontinuation of patients with cancer who participated in phase I clinical trials. The clinical predictors which were identified in this study were hyponatremia, elevated alkaline phosphatase level, performance score of 1 or higher and opioid use. Hyponatremia especially, which was the strongest predictor, should be considered to be used as an additional eligibility criterion in order to reduce the early trial discontinuation of patients with cancer who participate in phase I clinical trials.

Abstract

Despite stringent eligibility criteria for trial participation, early discontinuation often occurs in phase I trials. To better identify patients unlikely to benefit from phase I trials, we investigated predictors for early trial discontinuation. Data from 415 patients with solid tumors who participated in 66 trials were pooled for the current analysis. Early trial discontinuation was defined as (i) trial discontinuation within 28 days after start of treatment or (ii) discontinuation before administration of the first dosage in eligible patients. Multilevel logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify predictors for early trial discontinuation. Eighty-two participants (20%) demonstrated early trial discontinuation. Baseline sodium level below the lower limit of normal (OR = 2.95, 95%CI = 1.27–6.84), elevated alkaline phosphatase level > 2.5 times the upper limit of normal (OR = 2.72, 95%CI = 1.49–4.99), performance score ≥ 1 (OR = 2.07, 95%CI = 1.03–4.19) and opioid use (OR = 1.82, 95%CI = 1.07–3.08) were independent predictors for early trial discontinuation. Almost 50% of the patients with hyponatremia and all four patients in whom all four predictors were present together discontinued the trial early. Hyponatremia, elevated alkaline phosphatase level, performance score ≥ 1 and opioid use were identified as significant predictors for early trial discontinuation. Hyponatremia was the strongest predictor and deserves consideration for inclusion in eligibility criteria for future trials.

A phase I study of HER1, HER2 dual kinase inhibitor lapatinib plus the proteasome inhibitor bortezomib in patients with advanced malignancies

PURPOSE

This phase I trial evaluated the maximum tolerated dose, safety and preliminary efficacy of lapatinib, a HER1, HER2 dual kinase inhibitor plus bortezomib, a proteasome inhibitor, in adult patients with advanced malignancies.

METHODS

Patients were enrolled in a standard 3 + 3 design with lapatinib (L) 750, 1000, 1250 or 1500 mg daily, and bortezomib (B) 0.7, 1.0, 1.3 or 1.6 mg/m² for 3 weeks with 1 week off. Dose-limiting toxicities (DLT) were assessed during the first 28 days RESULTS: Fifteen patients received the combination of lapatinib and bortezomib in three different cohorts and ten were evaluable for DLT. There were no DLTs. Anorexia was the most common adverse event. Biomarker analysis showed upregulation of p27 expression with lapatinib and the combination. No tumor response was observed and thus the study was closed early.

CONCLUSION

The combination of lapatinib and bortezomib was well tolerated but no complete or partial tumor responses were observed at the dose levels tested. CLINICALTRIALS.

GOV IDENTIFIER

NCT01497626.

A DREAM Challenge to Build Prediction Models for Short-Term Discontinuation of Docetaxel in Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer

Purpose

Docetaxel has a demonstrated survival benefit for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC); however, 10% to 20% of patients discontinue docetaxel prematurely because of toxicity-induced adverse events, and the management of risk factors for toxicity remains a challenge.

Patients and Methods

The comparator arms of four phase III clinical trials in first-line mCRPC were collected, annotated, and compiled, with a total of 2,070 patients. Early discontinuation was defined as treatment stoppage within 3 months as a result of adverse treatment effects; 10% of patients discontinued treatment. We designed an open-data, crowd-sourced DREAM Challenge for developing models with which to predict early discontinuation of docetaxel treatment. Clinical features for all four trials and outcomes for three of the four trials were made publicly available, with the outcomes of the fourth trial held back for unbiased model evaluation. Challenge participants from around the world trained models and submitted their predictions. Area under the precision-recall curve was the primary metric used for performance assessment.

Results

In total, 34 separate teams submitted predictions. Seven models with statistically similar area under precision-recall curves (Bayes factor ≤ 3) outperformed all other models. A postchallenge analysis of risk prediction using these seven models revealed three patient subgroups: high risk, low risk, or discordant risk. Early discontinuation events were two times higher in the high-risk subgroup compared with the low-risk subgroup. Simulation studies demonstrated that use of patient discontinuation prediction models could reduce patient enrollment in clinical trials without the loss of statistical power.

Conclusion

This work represents a successful collaboration between 34 international teams that leveraged open clinical trial data. Our results demonstrate that routinely collected clinical features can be used to identify patients with mCRPC who are likely to discontinue treatment because of adverse events and establishes a robust benchmark with implications for clinical trial design.

Early disease progression and treatment discontinuation in patients with advanced ovarian cancer receiving immune checkpoint blockade

OBJECTIVE

Delayed responses observed with immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) present a challenge for patients with peritoneal malignancies, who risk early symptomatic disease progression requiring treatment discontinuation. While efforts are ongoing to define the biomarkers of response, it is equally important to identify patients at risk for early discontinuation. We sought to investigate the timing of disease progression in epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) patients treated with ICB and to identify pre-treatment clinical parameters associated with early discontinuation.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis was performed on EOC patients treated with ICB at MSKCC from January 2013 to May 2017. Cutoffs for early and very early discontinuation due to disease progression were defined at 12 and 8 weeks, respectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were built based on pre-treatment clinical variables.

RESULTS

Of 108 identified patients, 89 were included in the analysis. Forty-six (51.7%) patients discontinued therapy early, 30 of which (33.7%) discontinued therapy very early. Eight patients (9.0%) died within 12 weeks of ICB initiation from disease progression. In multivariate analyses, bulky peritoneal disease (p = 0.009, OR: 4.94) and liver parenchymal metastases (p = 0.001, OR: 8.08) were associated with early discontinuation. Liver parenchymal metastases (p = 0.001, OR 6.64), and high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (p = 0.021, OR: 3.54), were associated with very early discontinuation.

CONCLUSIONS

Over 50% of EOC patients suffer disease progression requiring early discontinuation of ICB. Pre-treatment prognostic clinical characteristics may identify patients at highest risk for early discontinuation due to disease progression and warrant caution in using these agents in late line patients with advanced disease.

Hypoalbuminemia: Pathogenesis and Clinical Significance

Hypoalbuminemia is associated with inflammation. Despite being addressed repeatedly in the literature, there is still confusion regarding its pathogenesis and clinical significance. Inflammation increases capillary permeability and escape of serum albumin, leading to expansion of interstitial space and increasing the distribution volume of albumin. The half‐life of albumin has been shown to shorten, decreasing total albumin mass. These 2 factors lead to hypoalbuminemia despite increased fractional synthesis rates in plasma. Hypoalbuminemia, therefore, results from and reflects the inflammatory state, which interferes with adequate responses to events like surgery or chemotherapy, and is associated with poor quality of life and reduced longevity. Increasing or decreasing serum albumin levels are adequate indicators, respectively, of improvement or deterioration of the clinical state. In the interstitium, albumin acts as the main extracellular scavenger, antioxidative agent, and as supplier of amino acids for cell and matrix synthesis. Albumin infusion has not been shown to diminish fluid requirements, infection rates, and mortality in the intensive care unit, which may imply that there is no body deficit or that the quality of albumin “from the shelf” is unsuitable to play scavenging and antioxidative roles. Management of hypoalbuminaemia should be based on correcting the causes of ongoing inflammation rather than infusion of albumin. After the age of 30 years, muscle mass and function slowly decrease, but this loss is accelerated by comorbidity and associated with decreasing serum albumin levels. Nutrition support cannot fully prevent, but slows down, this chain of events, especially when combined with physical exercise.

Quality-of-Life (QOL) during Screening for Phase 1 Trial Studies in Patients with Advanced Solid Tumors and Its Impact on Risk for Serious Adverse Events

Background: Serious adverse events (SAEs) and subject replacements occur frequently in phase 1 oncology clinical trials. Whether baseline quality-of-life (QOL) or social support can predict risk for SAEs or subject replacement among these patients is not known. Methods: Between 2011-2013, 92 patients undergoing screening for enrollment into one of 22 phase 1 solid tumor clinical trials at Roswell Park Cancer Institute were included in this study. QOL Questionnaires (EORTC QLQ-C30 and FACT-G), Medical Outcomes Study Social Support Survey (MOSSSS), Charlson comorbidity scores (CCS) and Royal Marsden scores (RMS) were obtained at baseline. Frequency of dose limiting toxicities (DLTs), subject replacement and SAEs that occurred within the first 4 cycles of treatment were recorded. Fisher's exact test and Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon test were used to study the association between categorical and continuous variables, respectively. A linear transformation was used to standardize QOL scores. p-value ≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: Baseline QOL, MOSSSS, CCS and RMS were not associated with subject replacement nor DLTs. Baseline EORTC QLQ-C30 scores were significantly lower among patients who encountered SAEs within the first 4 cycles (p = 0.04). Conclusions: Lower (worse) EORTC QLQ-C30 score at baseline is associated with SAE occurrence during phase 1 oncology trials.

Evaluation of the Safety and Benefit of Phase I Oncology Trials for Patients With Primary CNS Tumors

PURPOSE

Patients with high-grade gliomas (HGG) are frequently excluded from first-in-human solid tumor trials because of perceived poor prognosis, excessive toxicities, concomitant drug interactions, and poor efficacy. We conducted an analysis of outcomes from select, single-agent phase I studies in patients with HGG. We compared outcomes to pooled analysis of published studies in solid tumors with various molecular and cytotoxic drugs evaluated as single agents or as combinations.

PATIENT AND METHODS

Individual records of patients with recurrent HGG enrolled onto Adult Brain Tumor Consortium trials of single-agent, cytotoxic or molecular agents from 2000 to 2008 were analyzed for baseline characteristics, toxicities, responses, and survival.

RESULTS

Our analysis included 327 patients with advanced, refractory HGG who were enrolled onto eight trials involving targeted molecular (n=5) and cytotoxic (n=3) therapies. At enrollment, patients had a median Karnofsky performance score of 90 and median age of 52 years; 62% were men, 63% had glioblastoma, and the median number of prior systemic chemotherapies was one. Baseline laboratory values were in an acceptable range to meet eligibility criteria. Patients were on the study for a median of two cycles (range, <one to 56 cycles), and 96% were evaluable for primary end points. During cycle 1, grade≥3 nonhematologic and grade≥4 hematologic toxicities were 5% (28 of 565 adverse events) and 0.9% (five of 565 adverse events), respectively, and 66% of these occurred at the highest dose level. There was one death attributed to drug. Overall response rate (complete and partial response) was 5.5%. Median progression-free and overall survival times were 1.8 and 6 months, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Patients with HGG who meet standard eligibility criteria may be good candidates for solid tumor phase I studies with single-agent molecular or cytotoxic drugs with favorable preclinical rationale and pharmacokinetic properties in this population.