Non responders to neoadjuvant chemoradiation for esophageal cancer: why better prediction is necessary

Pathologic complete response in patients with esophageal cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy or chemoradiation: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemoradiation and chemotherapy are recommended for the treatment of nonmetastatic esophageal cancer. The benefit of neoadjuvant treatment is mostly limited to patients who exhibit pathologic complete response (pCR). Existing estimates of pCR rates among patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy have not been synthesized and lack precision.

METHODS

We conducted an independently funded systematic review and meta-analysis (PROSPERO CRD42023397402) of pCR rates among patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemo(radiation). Studies were identified from Medline, EMBASE, and CENTRAL database searches. Eligible studies included trials published from 1992 to 2022 that focused on nonmetastatic esophageal cancer, including the gastroesophageal junction. Histology-specific pooled pCR prevalence was determined using the Freeman-Tukey transformation and a random effects model.

RESULTS

After eligibility assessment, 84 studies with 6451 patients were included. The pooled prevalence of pCR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in squamous cell carcinomas was 9% (95% CI: 6%-14%), ranging from 0% to 32%. The pooled prevalence of pCR after neoadjuvant chemoradiation in squamous cell carcinomas was 32% (95% CI: 26%-39%), ranging from 8% to 66%. For adenocarcinoma, the pooled prevalence of pCR was 6% (95% CI: 1%-12%) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and 22% (18%-26%) after neoadjuvant chemoradiation.

CONCLUSIONS

Under one-third of patients with esophageal cancer who receive neoadjuvant chemo(radiation) experience pCR. Patients diagnosed with squamous cell carcinomas had higher rates of pCR than those with adenocarcinomas. As pCR represents an increasingly utilized endpoint in neoadjuvant trials, these estimates of pooled pCR rates may serve as an important benchmark for future trial design.

Pathological complete response in multimodal treatment of esophageal cancer: a retrospective cohort study

To evaluate pathological complete response (pCR, ypT0ypN0) after neoadjuvant treatment compared with non-complete response (non-CR) in patients with esophageal cancer (EC), and 393 patients were retrospectively analyzed. Survival probability was analyzed in patients with: (i) pCR vs non-CR; (ii) complete response of the primary tumor but persisting lymphatic metastases (non-CR-T0N+) and (iii) pCR and tumor-free lymphnodes exhibiting signs of postneoadjuvant regression vs. no signs of regression. (i) Median overall survival (mOS) was favorable in patients with pCR (pCR: mOS not reached vs. non-CR: 41 months, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that grade of regression was not an independent predictor for prolonged survival. Instead, the achieved postneoadjuvant TNM-stage (T-stage: Hazard ratio [HR] ypT3-T4 vs. ypT0-T2: 1.837; N-stage: HR ypN1-N3 vs. ypN0: 2.046; Postneoadjuvant M-stage: HR ypM1 vs. ycM0: 2.709), the residual tumor (R)-classification (HR R1 vs. R0: 4.195) and the histologic subtype of EC (HR ESCC vs. EAC: 1.688) were prognostic factors. Patients with non-CR-T0N+ have a devastating prognosis, similar to those with local non-CR and lymphatic metastases (non-CR-T + N+) (non-CR-T0N+: 22.0 months, non-CR-T + N-: mOS not reached, non-CR-T + N+: 23.0 months; P-values: non-CR-T0N+ vs. non-CR-T + N-: 0.016; non-CR-T0N+ vs. non-CR-T + N+: 0.956; non-CR-T + N- vs. non-CR-T + N+: <0.001). Regressive changes in lymphnodes after neoadjuvant treatment did not influence survival-probability in patients with pCR (mOS not reached in each group; EAC-patients: P = 0.0919; ESCC-patients: P = 0.828). Particularly, the achieved postneoadjuvant ypTNM-stage influences the survival probability of patients with EC. Patients with non-CR-T0N+ have a dismal prognosis, and only true pathological complete response with ypT0ypN0 offers superior survival probabilities.

The measurement of NRF2 and TP53 in blood expects radiotherapeutic sensitivity in patients with esophageal cancer

OBJECTIVE

This study investigates the relationship between the mRNA expression of nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (NRF2) and Tumor protein p53 (TP53) in circulating tumor cells (CTC) and sensitivity to radiotherapy in patients with esophageal cancer. To investigate the relationship between cytokines IL-6, CD8⁺, and NRF2 during patient treatment and their predictive role for treatment.

METHODS

Radiosensitivity was assessed by measuring a morphological or functional change in the tumor in response to ionizing radiation. Fasting venous anticoagulated blood (EDTA anticoagulation) was drawn from patients, and the Trizol-chloroform two-step method was used for RNA extraction. Data were collected from 45 patients admitted with radiotherapy alone from January 2018 to December 2021. The expression levels of NRF2mRNA (Messenger Ribose Nucleic Acid) and TP53mRNA in CTCs were detected by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Pre- and post-treatment changes in IL-6 and CD8⁺ were recorded. The correlation between their expression level and the clinical stage, radiotherapy sensitivity, and efficacy of patients was analyzed.

RESULTS

Twenty-six cases were sensitive to radiotherapy, and 19 were resistant, for a radiotherapy sensitivity rate of 58.8%. NRF2mRNA and TP53mRNA values increased in 19 radiotherapy-resistant patients and decreased in 26 radiotherapy-sensitive patients compared with those before radiotherapy (P = 0.001, P＜0.05). The ΔCT values of NRF2mRNA and TP53mRNA before treatment were moderately correlated with prognosis (P < 0.002). Inflammatory cytokine IL-6 was elevated in 22 of 45 patients after radiation, P = 0.04. NRF2 mRNA level was consistently elevated with CD8⁺ in 10 patients, P = 0.02.

CONCLUSIONS

The expression of NRF2mRNA and TP53mRNA in the CTCs found in the peripheral blood of patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma was significantly associated with the sensitivity to radiotherapy. NRF2 mRNA level was consistently elevated with CD8⁺ and IL-6 in patients.

Applying post-neoadjuvant pathologic stage as prognostic tool in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

It is still uncertain whether the newly released eighth American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) post-neoadjuvant pathologic (yp) tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage for esophageal carcinoma can perform well regarding patient stratification. The current study aimed to assess the prognostication ability of the eighth AJCC ypTNM staging system and attempted to explore how to facilitate the staging system for more effective evaluation of prognosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 486 patients treated with neoadjuvant radiotherapy/chemoradiotherapy (nRT/CRT) were enrolled. ypN stage was reclassified by recursive partitioning. Prognostic performance, monotonicity, homogeneity, and discriminatory of yp and modified yp (myp) staging systems were assessed by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), linear trend log-rank test, likelihood ratio χ2 test, Harrell's c statistic, and Akaike information criterion (AIC).

RESULTS

The ypT stage, ypN stage, and pathologic response were significant prognostic factors of overall survival. Survival was not discriminated well using the eighth AJCC ypN stage and ypTNM stage. Recursive partitioning reclassified mypN0-N2 as metastasis in 0, 1-2, and ≥3 regional lymph nodes. Applying the ypT stage, mypN stage, and pathologic response to construct the myp staging system, the myp stage performed better in time-dependent ROC, linear trend log-rank test, likelihood ratio χ2 test, Harrell's c statistic, and AIC.

CONCLUSIONS

The eighth AJCC ypTNM staging system performed well in differentiating prognosis to some extent. By reclassifying the ypN stage and enrolling pathologic response as a staging element, the myp staging system holds significant potential for prognostic discrimination.

Genomic and Transcriptomic Characteristics of Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is a deadly disease with limited options for targeted therapy. With the help of next-generation sequencing studies over the last decade, we gained an understanding of the genomic architecture of EAC. The tumor suppressor gene TP53 is mutated in 70 to 80% of tumors followed by genomic alterations in CDKN2A, KRAS, ERBB2, ARID1A, SMAD4 and a long tail of less frequently mutated genes. EAC is characterized by a high burden of point mutations and genomic rearrangements, resulting in amplifications and deletions of genomic regions. The genomic complexity is likely hampering the efficacy of targeted therapies. Barrett's esophagus (BE), a metaplastic response of the esophagus to gastro-esophageal reflux disease, is the main risk factor for the development of EAC. Almost all EACs are derived from BE. The sequence from BE to EAC provides an opportunity to study the genomic evolution towards EAC. While the overlap of point mutations between BE and EAC within the same patient is, at times, surprisingly low, there is a correlation between the complexity of the genomic copy number profile and the development of EAC. Transcriptomic analyses separated EAC into a basal and a classical subtype, with the basal subtype showing a higher level of resistance to chemotherapy. In this review, we provide an overview of the current knowledge of the genomic and transcriptomic characteristics of EAC and their relevance for the development of the disease and patient care.

Treatment Patterns and Outcomes in Patients with Esophageal Cancer: An Analysis of a Multidisciplinary Tumor Board Database

BACKGROUND

Multidisciplinary management strategies are standard in esophageal cancer. Based on a multidisciplinary tumor board (MTB) database in a high-volume center, we aimed to evaluate real-world treatment patterns and patient outcomes in patients with esophageal cancer. In addition, we determined the impact of MTB discussions on patient prognosis.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer between 2010 and 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. The pattern of treatment modalities and overall survival (OS) of patients with limited, locally advanced, and advanced/metastatic disease were reported.

RESULTS

Data from 1132 patients, including 247 patients with limited esophageal cancer, 606 patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer, and 279 patients with advanced/metastatic esophageal cancer were included. Upfront surgery was the most common (56.3%) treatment modality for patients with limited esophageal cancer, while treatment for locally advanced esophageal cancer included upfront surgery (19.1%), neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (44.9%), and definitive chemoradiotherapy (36.0%); however, 27.9% of patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy did not receive planned esophagectomy. Definitive chemoradiotherapy was mainly used for patients with locally advanced and advanced/metastatic disease, but had an incompletion rate of 22.0% and 33.7%, respectively. Regarding survival, the 5-year OS rates were 56.4%, 26.3%, and 5.1% in patients with limited, locally advanced, and advanced/metastatic disease, respectively. Additionally, patients whose clinical management was discussed in the MTB had a significantly better 5-year OS rate than the other patients (27.3% vs. 20.5%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

We report the real-world data of treatment patterns and patient outcomes in patients with esophageal cancer with respect to multidisciplinary management, and demonstrate the positive impact of MTB discussions on patient prognosis.

Pre-treatment tumor-infiltrating T cells influence response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in esophageal adenocarcinoma

Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is a disease with dismal treatment outcomes. Response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation (CRT) varies greatly. Although the underlying mechanisms of CRT resistance are not identified, accumulating evidence indicates an important role for local antitumor immunity. To explore the immune microenvironment in relation to response to CRT we performed an in-depth analysis using multiplex immunohistochemistry, flow cytometry and mRNA expression analysis (NanoString) to generate a detailed map of the immunological landscape of pretreatment biopsies as well as peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) of EAC patients. Response to CRT was assessed by Mandard’s tumor regression grade (TRG), disease-free- and overall survival. Tumors with a complete pathological response (TRG 1) to neoadjuvant CRT had significantly higher tumor-infiltrating T cell levels compared to all other response groups (TRG 2–5). These T cells were also in closer proximity to tumor cells in complete responders compared to other response groups. Notably, immune profiles of near-complete responders (TRG 2) showed more resemblance to non-responders (TRG 3–5) than to complete responders. A high CD8:CD163 ratio in the tumor was associated with an improved disease-free survival. Gene expression analyses revealed that T cells in non-responders were Th2-skewed, while complete responders were enriched in cytotoxic immune cells. Finally, complete responders were enriched in circulating memory T cells. preexisting immune activation enhances the chance for a complete pathological response to neoadjuvant CRT. This information can potentially be used for future patient selection, but also fuels the development of immunomodulatory strategies to enhance CRT efficacy.

Molecular profiles of response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in oesophageal cancers to develop personalized treatment strategies

Identification of molecular predictive markers of response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation could aid clinical decision‐making in patients with localized oesophageal cancer. Therefore, we subjected pretreatment biopsies of 75 adenocarcinoma (OAC) and 16 squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) patients to targeted next‐generation DNA sequencing, as well as biopsies of 85 OAC and 20 OSCC patients to promoter methylation analysis of eight GI‐specific genes, and subsequently searched for associations with histopathological response and disease‐free (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Thereby, we found that in OAC, CSMD1 deletion (8%) and ETV4 amplification (5%) were associated with a favourable histopathological response, whereas SMURF1 amplification (5%) and SMARCA4 mutation (7%) were associated with an unfavourable histopathological response. KRAS (15%) and GATA4 (7%) amplification were associated with shorter OS. In OSCC, TP63 amplification (25%) and TFPI2 (10%) gene promoter methylation were associated with an unfavourable histopathological response and shorter DFS (TP63) and OS (TFPI2), whereas CDKN2A deletion (38%) was associated with prolonged OS. In conclusion, this study identified candidate genetic biomarkers associated with response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with localized oesophageal cancer.

GATA binding protein 6 (GATA6) is co-amplified with PIK3CA in patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma and is linked to neoadjuvant therapy

Purpose

Driver mutations are typically absent in esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Mostly, oncogenes are amplified as driving molecular events (including GATA6-amplification in 14% of cases). However, only little is known about its biological function and clinical relevance.

Methods

We examined a large number of EAC (n = 496) for their GATA6 amplification by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) analyzing both primary resected (n = 219) and neoadjuvant treated EAC (n = 277). Results were correlated to clinicopathological data and known mutations/amplifications in our EAC-cohort.

Results

GATA6 amplification was detectable in 49 (9.9%) EACs of our cohort. We observed an enrichment of GATA6-positive tumors among patients after neoadjuvant treatment (12,3% amplified tumors versus 6,8% in the primary resected group; p = 0.044). Additionally, there was a simultaneous amplification of PIK3CA and GATA6 (p < 0.001) not detectable when analyzing other genes such as EGFR, ERBB2, KRAS or MDM2. Although we did not identify a survival difference depending on GATA6 in the entire cohort (p = 0.212), GATA6 amplification was associated with prolonged overall survival among patients with primary surgery (median overall-survival 121.1 vs. 41.4 months, p = 0.032). Multivariate cox-regression analysis did not confirm GATA6 as an independent prognostic marker, neither in the entire cohort (p = 0.210), nor in the subgroup with (p = 0.655) or without pretreatment (p = 0.961).

Conclusions

Our study investigates the relevance of GATA6 amplification on a large tumor collective, which includes primary resected tumors and the clinically relevant group of neoadjuvant treated EACs. Especially in the pretreated group, we found an accumulation of GATA6-amplified tumors (12.3%) and a frequent co-amplification of PIK3CA. Our data suggest an increased resistance to radio-chemotherapy in GATA6-amplified tumors.

A FDG-PET radiomics signature detects esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients who do not benefit from chemoradiation

Detection of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who do not benefit from standard chemoradiation (CRT) is an important medical need. Radiomics using 18-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) is a promising approach. In this retrospective study of 184 patients with locally advanced ESCC. 152 patients from one center were grouped into a training cohort (n = 100) and an internal validation cohort (n = 52). External validation was performed with 32 patients treated at a second center. Primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS), secondary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and local control (LC). FDG-PET radiomics features were selected by Lasso-Cox regression analyses and a separate radiomics signature was calculated for each endpoint. In the training cohort radiomics signatures containing up to four PET derived features were able to identify non-responders in regard of all endpoints (DFS p < 0.001, LC p = 0.003, OS p = 0.001). After successful internal validation of the cutoff values generated by the training cohort for DFS (p = 0.025) and OS (p = 0.002), external validation using these cutoffs was successful for DFS (p = 0.002) but not for the other investigated endpoints. These results suggest that pre-treatment FDG-PET features may be useful to detect patients who do not respond to CRT and could benefit from alternative treatment.

A three-lncRNA signature of pretreatment biopsies predicts pathological response and outcome in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Current strategies are insufficient to predict pathologically complete response (pCR) for esophageal squamous cell carcinomas (ESCCs) before treatment. Here, we aim to develop a novel long noncoding RNA (lncRNA) signature for pCR and outcome prediction of ESCCs through a multicenter analysis for a Chinese population.

METHODS

Differentially expressed lncRNAs (DELs) between pCRs and less than pCR (

RESULTS

Twelve DELs were identified from Guangzhou cohort and six lncRNAs were verified. Then, a classifier of three lncRNAs (SCAT1, PRKAG2-AS1, and FLG-AS1) was established and achieved a high accuracy with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.952 in the training cohort, which was well validated in the internal validation cohort and external cohort with the AUCs of 0.856 and 0.817, respectively. Furthermore, the predictive score was identified as the only independent predictor for pCR. Patients with high discriminant score showed a significantly longer overall and relapse-free survival (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

We developed the first and applicable three-lncRNA signature of pCR and outcome prediction, which is robust and reproducible in multicenter cohorts for ESCCs with nCRT.

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Key Words

• esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
• individualized medicine
• lncRNAs
• neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy
• pathologically complete response

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Grants

• 2017-I2M-1-005 CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences
• 2016-I2M-1-001 CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences
• 2016YFC1303201 National Key R&D Program of China
• 81802299 National Natural Science Foundation of China
• 81502514 National Natural Science Foundation of China
• 3332018070 Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
• 2018YFC1312105 National Key Basic Research Development Plan
• 7204291 Beijing Natural Science Foundation
• LC2019B18 Beijing Hope Run Special Fund of Cancer Foundation of China
• National Natural Science Foundation of China
• Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
• Beijing Natural Science Foundation

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Affiliation(s)

Chaoqi Zhang Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Zhihui Zhang Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Guochao Zhang Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Liyan Xue Department of PathologyNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Haijun Yang Department of PathologyAnyang Cancer HospitalThe Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Science and TechnologyAnyangHenanChina
Yuejun Luo Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Xiaoli Zheng Department of radiotherapyThe Affiliated Cancer hospital of Zhengzhou UniversityZhengzhouHenanChina
Yonglei Zhang Department of General SurgeryThe Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou UniversityZhengzhouHenanChina
Yufen Yuan Department of PathologyAnyang Cancer HospitalThe Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Science and TechnologyAnyangHenanChina
Ruixue Lei Department of PathologyAnyang Cancer HospitalThe Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Science and TechnologyAnyangHenanChina
Zhaoyang Yang Department of PathologyNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Bo Zheng Department of PathologyNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Zhen Zhang Biotherapy CenterThe First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou UniversityZhengzhouHenanChina
Le Wang Department of OtologyThe First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou UniversityZhengzhouHenanChina
Yun Che Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Sihui Wang Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Feng Wang Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Lingling Fang Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Qingpeng Zeng Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Jiagen Li Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Shugeng Gao Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Qi Xue Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Nan Sun Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina
Jie He Department of Thoracic SurgeryNational Cancer CenterNational Clinical Research Center for CancerCancer HospitalChinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeBeijingChina

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Patients with Non-response to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation for Esophageal Cancer Have No Survival Advantage over Patients Undergoing Primary Esophagectomy

BACKGROUND

Survival for patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer remains dismal. Non-response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation (nCRT) portends worse survival. We hypothesized that patients undergoing up-front esophagectomy may have better survival than those who do not respond to nCRT.

METHODS

We identified all patients undergoing esophagectomy with a pathologic stage of II or greater at our institution between 1994 and 2015 and separated them into two groups: those who received nCRT and those undergoing up-front esophagectomy. The neoadjuvant group was further separated into patients downstaged to pathologic stage 0 or I (responders) and patients with either the same or higher pathologic stage after nCRT, or with pathologic stage II disease or greater (non-responders). Overall survival was compared between groups using Kaplan-Meier statistics. Covariate-adjusted Cox modeling was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for mortality associated with non-response.

RESULTS

Overall, 287 patients met inclusion criteria. Fifty-nine percent of the responders had pathologic complete response (pCR). The majority of non-responders and primary esophagectomy patients had stage II or III disease (94%). Median survival was 58.3 months in responders, 23.9 months in non-responders, and 29.1 months in primary esophagectomy patients (p < 0.01). The HR for mortality associated with non-response was 1.82 compared to response to nCRT (p < 0.01) and 1.09 compared to primary esophagectomy (p = 0.71).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with esophageal cancer who do not respond to nCRT, neoadjuvant therapy may represent a toxic and costly treatment modality that does not improve survival and may delay potentially curative resection. Further research is needed to identify potential non-responders with advanced resectable disease and allow individual tailoring of pre-surgical decision-making.

The value of tumor-stroma ratio as predictor of pathologic response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in esophageal cancer

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Scoring the tumor-stroma ratio is a simple and reproducible method.

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Tumor-stroma ratio and response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy are correlated.

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Stroma-low tumors are likely to respond better to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

Background and purpose

With currently available techniques, the prediction of pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy is insufficient. The tumor-stroma ratio (TSR) has proven to be a predictor of survival for several types of cancer, including esophageal. The aim of this study was to investigate the value of TSR in predicting pathologic response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in esophageal cancer patients.

Materials and methods

Patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by a resection were selected. Haematoxylin and eosin (H&E) stained sections of diagnostic biopsies were collected and TSR was independently assessed by two investigators. Patients were categorized in stroma-low (≤50% stroma) and stroma-high (>50% stroma) groups for further analyses. The tumor regression grade (TRG) was assessed on H&E stained sections of the resected primary tumor to determine pathologic response.

Results

A total of 94 patients were included in this study, of which 76 patients were categorized as stroma-low and 18 as stroma-high. Forty-two (45%) patients had a major pathologic response (TRG 1–2), whereas 52 (55%) were considered non-responders. After adjustment for gender, tumor type, cT-status and differentiation grade, patients with a stroma-high tumor showed a higher chance of no response compared to patients with a stroma-low tumor (OR 3.57, 95%CI 1.03–12.31, P = 0.04).

Conclusion

TSR showed to have the potential to aid in the prediction of pathologic response in esophageal cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Larger validation studies are necessary before implementing this method in daily practice.

Morphomic Factors Associated With Complete Response to Neoadjuvant Therapy in Esophageal Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) followed by surgery for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), patients with a pathologic complete response (pCR) have the greatest benefit. The purpose of this study was to identify morphomic factors obtained from pretreatment computed tomography scans associated with a pCR in ESCC.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed patients with ESCC treated with nCRT who underwent esophagectomy between 2006 and 2016. Clinical and morphomic characteristics pre-nCRT were analyzed to identify factors associated with pCR using univariate and multivariable analyses.

RESULTS

There were 183 patients with ESCC included in this study, and 45 (24.6%) patients achieved pCR. The overall survival in patients with pCR was better than that in patients without pCR (5.8 years vs 1.2 years; P < .001). On univariate analysis, increased age, radiation dose greater than or equal to 4000 cGy, and larger subcutaneous adipose tissue area were correlated with pCR. On multivariable logistic regression, increased age (odds ratio, 1.53; P = .03), radiation dose greater than or equal to 4000 cGy (odds ratio, 2.19; P = .04), and larger dorsal muscle group normal-density area (odds ratio, 1.59; P = .03) were independently associated with pCR.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased age, radiation dose greater than or equal to 4000 cGy, and larger dorsal muscle group normal-density area were significantly associated with pCR. These factors may be useful in determining which patients are most likely to benefit from nCRT followed by esophagectomy.

CT-based radiomic signatures for prediction of pathologic complete response in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

The objective of this study was to build models to predict complete pathologic response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients using radiomic features. A total of 55 consecutive patients pathologically diagnosed as having ESCC were included in this study. Patients were divided into a training cohort (44 patients) and a testing cohort (11 patients). The logistic regression analysis using likelihood ratio forward selection was performed to select the predictive clinical parameters for pCR, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) with logistic regression to select radiomic predictors in the training cohort. Model performance in the training and testing groups was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC). The multivariate logistic regression analysis identified no clinical predictors for pCR. Thus, only radiomic features selected by LASSO were used to build prediction models. Three logistic regression models for pCR prediction were developed in the training cohort, and they were able to predict pCR well in both the training (AUC, 0.84-0.86) and the testing cohorts (AUC, 0.71-0.79). There were no differences between these AUCs. We developed three predictive models for pCR after nCRT using radiomic parameters and they demonstrated good model performance.